TradingShot

WTI OIL Is this a rejection?

TVC:USOIL   WTI 原油差价合约
Almost 3 weeks ago (February 07, see chart below), we gave a strong buy signal on WTI Oil (USOIL), right at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 2-month Channel Up:


The price is approaching the 81.50 target right at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up. Since however we see a strong Resistance Zone that has been holding since the previous Higher High of the pattern, there is a very high probability for a pull-back, until it breaks. In fact, this Resistance Zone goes back to the November 14 2023 High (Resistance 1), with numerous rejections since.

As a result, we will only buy again after a 1D candle closes above the Resistance Zone, in which case we will pursue the 81.50 Target. Until then, we regard the recent rejection as a sell signal and we target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and bottom of the Channel Up at 75.00.


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