USOIL H4 Another ABCD and Supply zone - rather short scenario

What do you think - what is more probable?

• Short? Because of ABCD and Supply zone with 78.6% fibo (something ala Cypher, then?)
  
• or Long? Because price was so low, so time for some movements up - then we would wait for breakout yellow zone, pullback and buy :)
  

I am more bullish here now... but maybe it is just bias - to many green candles recently :-)