WTI POSSIBLE RALLY
Oil prices rebounded after experiencing losses last week, primarily due to expectations of a tight supply situation for the rest of the year. This rebound was driven by key factors, including the commitment of major oil producers Saudi Arabia and Russia to maintaining production cuts until the end of the year. The decrease in the U.S. oil rig count also played a role, as it indicated a lack of response from U.S. producers to the current price environment, giving confidence to Saudi Arabia to continue withholding supply from the market. Additionally, concerns about potential supply disruptions in the Middle East related to the Israel-Hamas conflict subsided, contributing to the market's rebound.
The oil market is now closely focused on economic data from China, particularly trade and inflation figures, to gauge commodity demand in the country. While China's oil imports and fuel demand have remained robust, rising stockpiles could lead to a drop in oil imports in the coming months, especially if economic conditions deteriorate. Meanwhile, the overall health of the U.S. economy, another major consumer of oil, remains a factor influencing oil demand, with expectations of weakening demand during the winter season. Additionally, a weaker U.S. dollar is currently providing some support to oil prices, but it may also reflect concerns about a cooling U.S. economy, which could impact oil consumption.
If the trend continues the price might reach levels of 90.51, in the opposite scenario the price might drop to 80.49.
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The oil market is now closely focused on economic data from China, particularly trade and inflation figures, to gauge commodity demand in the country. While China's oil imports and fuel demand have remained robust, rising stockpiles could lead to a drop in oil imports in the coming months, especially if economic conditions deteriorate. Meanwhile, the overall health of the U.S. economy, another major consumer of oil, remains a factor influencing oil demand, with expectations of weakening demand during the winter season. Additionally, a weaker U.S. dollar is currently providing some support to oil prices, but it may also reflect concerns about a cooling U.S. economy, which could impact oil consumption.
If the trend continues the price might reach levels of 90.51, in the opposite scenario the price might drop to 80.49.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
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