Header - FWIW, his is the best I can do until February.
Summary - We are going to get to 1975. The only question in my mind is how, and how many times. Right now it looks like it will tag 1975 3 times from 01/26 to 02/22. It may break a bit higher the third time closer to 02/20. This chart only covers price action to 02/03/
Details - This is basically the most likely topping route for this rally (I have suspicion that 02/20 top should be closer to 2015, but don't have evidence yet, just speculation). As time passes, price should drift HIGHER THAN FORECASTED HILIGHT. That means same curve but it should be higher with passing time. Why not adjust for that? I don't have time.
Summary - We are going to get to 1975. The only question in my mind is how, and how many times. Right now it looks like it will tag 1975 3 times from 01/26 to 02/22. It may break a bit higher the third time closer to 02/20. This chart only covers price action to 02/03/
Details - This is basically the most likely topping route for this rally (I have suspicion that 02/20 top should be closer to 2015, but don't have evidence yet, just speculation). As time passes, price should drift HIGHER THAN FORECASTED HILIGHT. That means same curve but it should be higher with passing time. Why not adjust for that? I don't have time.
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Notes 2) watch out for this move though:
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a) for chart above
b) it's unlikely, but the setup is legit
c) in that case, SHORT 1960 is very high probability trade
b) it's unlikely, but the setup is legit
c) in that case, SHORT 1960 is very high probability trade
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HOLD ON, THIS NEEDS TO NOT HAPPEN FIRST:
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a) for chart above:
b) this #006-1 disproof prerequesite is the current 48-50 hour favorite
c) so it takes precedent vs #006 until it goes off course
b) this #006-1 disproof prerequesite is the current 48-50 hour favorite
c) so it takes precedent vs #006 until it goes off course
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11:15 AM ET, #006-1 DISPROVED LAST NIGHT.
1) but #006 in danger of being disproved ID 1910 doesn't hold here.
2) under 1908, there is a stick save outcome for 1888
3) meaning it goes down then all the way back up to 1925 in 36 hours
4) from my end, I'm 1908 breaks, it's wait and see
5) if it goes under 1900 without immediate recovery like 2 hours,
6) then this chart is dead too
1) but #006 in danger of being disproved ID 1910 doesn't hold here.
2) under 1908, there is a stick save outcome for 1888
3) meaning it goes down then all the way back up to 1925 in 36 hours
4) from my end, I'm 1908 breaks, it's wait and see
5) if it goes under 1900 without immediate recovery like 2 hours,
6) then this chart is dead too
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1:56 PM ET, so this chart (006) is still live BUT MORE VOL BOTH WAYS WITH THE SAME CURVES.
1) replay chart at top
2) the previous 3 moves broke both sides of the first box
3) so the next move up will be jig and jag
4) but the top of Friday should be 1948-ish bc it should higher than the second box
5) the 3rd box should hold 1908-ish
1) replay chart at top
2) the previous 3 moves broke both sides of the first box
3) so the next move up will be jig and jag
4) but the top of Friday should be 1948-ish bc it should higher than the second box
5) the 3rd box should hold 1908-ish
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9.27 AM JAN 19. 1917 . THIS CHART IS DEAD. THIS POST HAS ENDED. HOURLY PATTERN SUSPICIOUS OF REVERSAL 1888.
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9.11 AM 1.24, THIS CHART HAS COMPLETELY EXPIRED. PLEASE DONT USE IT FOR ANY DECISION MAKING FROM HERE ON OUT.
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good for next 116 hours:
a) the current forecast does not say we should hit any part of that "S"
b) but if price were to reach up there...
c) short more and more as it passes each of those lines
d) data mining says it's a super strong short for 5 days or (in the scenario that price reaches up there for whatever reasons)