GOLD | Data-Driven Momentum Ahead of ADP & PCE

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GOLD – Technical Overview

Gold prices are rising as investors await key U.S. economic data this week for clearer signals on the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook.
Markets are watching ADP employment, ISM Services, and the PCE price index, all of which are expected to influence rate-cut expectations.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders now price in an 87% probability of a December rate cut.
Meanwhile, physical demand remains firm, with ETFs increasing their gold holdings for the fifth consecutive day, supporting overall bullish sentiment.

Technical Analysis

Gold maintains bullish pressure as long as it trades above 4207, targeting 4226 and 4255.
A breakout above 4255 could extend momentum toward the 4300 zone.

However, a 1H close below 4207 will trigger a bearish correction toward 4187.
A break below 4187 would further confirm a bearish trend continuation toward 4173 and 4151.

Key Levels

Pivot Line: 4207
Resistance: 4226 · 4255 · 4300
Support: 4187 · 4173 · 4151

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