Brent: forecast for Sept 27 - Oct 1
There was no negative news for the oil market following the September Fed meeting. Interest rates and asset purchases remained unchanged, although the rhetoric continued to escalate. In particular, the Fed announced its readiness to make a decision to start cutting the asset purchase program at the next meeting. Additionally, an increase in expectations for the level of the base rate in 2022-2023 was announced.
Consequently, buying priority remains, but at the moment it is risky to get into a long position. The price would be corrected. From the very beginning of the week, the instrument may start its downtrend movement. It will be much more conservative to wait for oil to approach the resistance line of the ascending channel and try to sell around the level of ~ 78.
Buying mood for gas and coal, as well as the expected deficit in the oil market by the end of the month, would continue to support oil prices. The trading instrument, taking into account the expected correction, would remain above $ 75 per barrel.
Consequently, buying priority remains, but at the moment it is risky to get into a long position. The price would be corrected. From the very beginning of the week, the instrument may start its downtrend movement. It will be much more conservative to wait for oil to approach the resistance line of the ascending channel and try to sell around the level of ~ 78.
Buying mood for gas and coal, as well as the expected deficit in the oil market by the end of the month, would continue to support oil prices. The trading instrument, taking into account the expected correction, would remain above $ 75 per barrel.
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