XAU/USD – 在3997供应区被拒 | 短期回调设置📅 日期: 2025年11月06日
📊 主要时间框架: H2确认 + M30执行
🎯 策略: SMC + 流动性抓取 + OB拒绝
🟡 市场背景:
黄金 (XAU/USD) 正在重新测试3995–3997供应区,之前在此发生了流动性清扫和结构突破 (BOS)。
较高时间框架的偏向仍然看涨,但日内价格走势表明在继续之前会有短期回调。
🔸 技术展望:
从OB/供应区 (3995–3997) 强烈拒绝
BOS和CHoCH确认短期疲软。
关键买入区与需求 + FVG区域对齐:
• 3968–3966 → 第一个流动性口袋
• 3957–3955 → 主要日内需求
• 3936–3934 → 深度流动性 / FVG区
🎯 交易计划:
卖出设置
• 入场: 3995 – 3997
• 止损: 4001 (≤ 6$ 风险)
• 止盈: 3970 / 3968
• 原因: OB拒绝 + 流动性清扫确认
买入设置
• 入场: 3968 – 3966 (保守) / 3957 – 3955 (激进)
• 止损: 3949 (≤ 6$ 风险)
• 止盈: 3988 / 3995
• 原因: 需求区反应 + FVG填充 + 看涨BOS
📊 偏向:
在看涨的较高时间框架趋势中,短期看跌回调。
预计在3970以下进行流动性清扫,然后可能继续向3995–4000推进。
BOS
黄金准备迎接牛市重生 | 回调买入设置内部🧭 日交易计划 — 黄金 (XAU/USD)
日期:2025年10月30日
主要时间框架:H1 – M30
策略:SMC + EMA 汇合 + 趋势线反转
🧩 市场背景
黄金刚刚完成了3920以下的流动性扫荡,并沿着上升趋势线形成了看涨修正结构。
短期结构显示CHoCH → BOS在3950–3970附近确认,表明潜在的反转阶段。
价格目前正在测试EMA区域(H1)并接近4026–4028的关键供应区,短期获利了结可能会出现。
总体而言,市场情绪仍然看涨至4020–4030,但在下一波上涨之前可能会出现短暂回调。
🎯 交易计划
买入设置 #1
入场:3950 – 3948
止损:3943
目标价:4018 → 4026
(风险回报比 ≈ 1:3)
如果价格未能保持在3948以上,等待更深的流动性抓取:
买入设置 #2
入场:3921 – 3919
止损:3913
目标价:3980 → 4020
(流动性扫荡 + 趋势线汇合)
卖出设置 (反向交易)
入场:4026 – 4028 (拒绝区)
止损:4033
目标价:3970 – 3950
(仅当M15上出现看跌BOS时有效)
🔍 技术见解
结构在M30上CHoCH & BOS后转为看涨
趋势线支撑保持完好
EMA 34在H1上向上交叉 – 确认短期动量
主要流动性池位于3919(下方)和4028(上方)
预计回调 → 看涨延续,只要价格保持在3948以上
Gold sweeps SL, wait for BUY LIMIT at Demand Zone 4,223-4,225Timeframe analysis: H4/30M
Logic: Trend Continuation after liquidity sweep.
MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS (SMC Analysis)
Main Trend: Bullish (Price is moving within a parallel channel).
Structure Confirmation (BOS): The chart has confirmed an upward Break of Structure (BOS), indicating that buyers are controlling the market.
Liquidity Sweep/Fake: The strong bearish candle (marked as "Fake") is a move to sweep Stop Losses of early buyers and gather liquidity before Smart Money pushes the price in the main direction. This is an Inducement action.
Key Demand Zone (POI/Demand Zone/Order Block): The TIMING BUY area (4,223.154 - 4,225.000) is a potential Demand Zone/Order Block identified by Smart Money. The price is expected to retest this area before continuing to rise.
MAIN TRADING SCENARIO (LONG SETUP)
SCENARIO: Wait for the price to Pullback to the POI area to enter a buy order, continuing the main bullish trend.
Parameter
Value
SMC Description
Action
BUY LIMIT
Place a pending buy order
Entry Zone (POI)
4,225.000 - 4,223.150
Demand Zone/Order Block after liquidity sweep.
Stop Loss (SL)
4,214.390
Place below the low of the liquidity sweep candle ("Fake Low"), ensuring safety.
Take Profit 1 (TP1)
4,240.000
Target the nearest Swing High.
Take Profit 2 (TP2)
4,250.000
Target psychological resistance and mid-channel.
Take Profit 3 (TP3)
4,260.000+
Target the upper boundary of the parallel channel.
R:R Ratio
Approximately 1:2.5 to 1:3.5 (Depending on TP)
Good R:R ratio for a trend-following trade.
RISK MANAGEMENT
Risk: Only risk a maximum of 1-2% of the account for this trade.
Breakeven: When the price hits TP1, move SL to the Entry point (Breakeven) to protect capital.
Invalidation: If the price closes the D1/H4 candle below the SL level (4,214.390), the buy plan will be invalidated.


