9.2 Analysis of short-term gold operationsGold is long near 2490.
In the 4-hour period, there is a pressure level of 2530 on the top and a first-line support of 2492 on the bottom (it cannot fall after being touched multiple times). It is not a unilateral trend at present, so it still takes a long time to fall back. The middle track of the Bollinger Bands runs horizontally, and the price of gold is supported by the lower track of the Bollinger Bands. You can go long if it is close to 2492.
There is non-agricultural data this week. Gold will definitely break this week. The shock pattern between 2492-2530 will not last long. If you grasp the signal well, the big market is about to emerge.
Trading strategy: Gold is long near 2492, stop loss is 2482, target is 2510
What kind of analysis and suggestions do you have on the trend of gold? Everyone is welcome to like and comment.
Goldlong
Gold sold in 1933-1938
The market continued to be in a unilateral decline mode this week. Today gold once again came to the 1928 first-line position. I personally think that the initial jobless claims data later will be even more bearish. So today is the best time to sell gold.
Follow my trading signals. Make money like crazy. Start now
Continue to buy, expand profits
If the position of 1958 is broken, it will continue to rise. If the entity cannot break through and stabilize, it will fall.
New channel created. The last time I made a lot of money by buying, many members made a lot of money because of it. Then continue to watch the rebound this time. If you don't know how to follow, you can join my channel and contact me. This way I can give you trading signals directly. Help you expand your profits.
If you don't know how to do it, you can enter in the link below.
Follow me, gold will continue to rally.
There are no continuously falling markets. There is no such thing as a consistently rising market. So how to grasp accurate trading signals. Follow me.
At present, gold has come to the 1940 line. The short-term support below is at the 1937 line. Very narrow. So why did it suddenly drop yesterday. It still has a lot to do with the dollar. So how will the market behave when it encounters support. I personally see the rebound trend.
Follow me.
Gold sells high and buys low
The market is currently struggling with two stocks of news. The long and short sides are in a fierce game. Mainly based on bulls' risk aversion. Bullish on gold. The bears are using the Fed's rate hike as a medium. Bearish on the market. The current price of gold is around 1960. The short-term remained at the 1966-1954 first-line shock. Although there is no big trading opportunity, but when there is a high point or a low point in the band. It is still possible to complete the transaction through accurate trading signals. thus making money.
If you are still in the market and don't know how to make precise transactions. Come to my channel. contact me. I will tell you how to make steady profits in such a market through more than ten years of trading experience. I can always steadily lead my VIP members to rapidly expand profits. If you are still losing money. Then go to my channel link below. Find me and message me.
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NFP报告: 它将如何塑造黄金走势?NFP报告: 它将如何塑造黄金走势?
在交易员对美国联邦储备局再次加息的预期推动下,金价在周二和周四经历了一次上涨(周三横盘整理)。但中期的下跌趋势真的结束了吗?
可以帮助回答这个问题的一个基本指标是本周五(美国时间)将公布的非农就业数据。任何意外的结果都可能导致黄金等利率敏感资产的波动加剧。
市场预测显示,即将公布的5月份非农就业报告将显示经济新增就业岗位放缓,为19万个,而4月份的新增就业岗位为25.3万个。有趣的是,对前一个月的预测也是在19万个工作岗位左右。
非农数据是6月14日公布的通胀数据和美联储同时公布的利率决定之前的最后一个关键指标。
目前市场情绪表明,美联储在即将举行的6月会议期间加息25个基点的可能性为60%,而一周前观察到的可能性为26%。如果实施,这将标志着该央行连续第11次加息。
黄金在1,932美元左右交易,在周二开始倾斜之前达到了3月17日以来的最低水平。虽然周四对该金属来说是积极的一天,但它仍然回撤了当天约一半的涨幅,目前交易价格约为1,960美元。它在1,974美元达到顶峰,这是最直接的阻力位,但没有太多的历史先例。考虑到距离NFP还有两天时间,这个水平可能变得无关紧要。
1,985美元是一个有更多中期先例的水平,但要等到接近数据发布时才能判断这个水平是否需要关注。如果黄金转向下行,可能需要关注1938美元这一支撑位。
为最坏的情况做准备: 在美国债务违约之前的交易 为最坏的情况做准备: 在美国债务违约之前的交易
"财政部长珍妮特-耶伦(Janet Yellen)在给国会的信中说:"我们不可能确切地预测财政部无法支付政府账单的确切日期。
虽然美国违约的可能性很小,但这并不意味着交易商不会制定应对违约的计划,也不会感到不安。两个可能要应对这些投资者的举动的市场将是外汇和黄金。
如果关于史无前例的潜在美国债务违约的不确定性持续存在,美元将失去一些避风港的地位,这可能会转移到黄金。
美国总统拜登计划在5月9日与众议院民主党领袖Hakeem Jeffries、参议院多数党领袖Chuck Schumer和共和党领袖Mitch McConnell会面。这将是一个观察美元和黄金的关键日期,以防这群人达成某种协议来提高债务上限。
由于美国是整个世界金融体系的基石,我们可能也会看到投资者的紧张情绪也表现在离岸资产上。其他安全避风港,如日元、瑞士法郎,特别是欧元,可能成为资金流入的主要候选者。
如果美联储暂停加息的黄金目标 如果美联储暂停加息的黄金目标
充分利用美元价格和国债收益率重新走低的机会,黄金成功地飙升至2,020美元/盎司。
美国最近的数据显示,服务业增长放缓,3月份私营企业新增就业人数少于预期,工厂订单连续第二个月下降。这表明,在更高的利率下,经济可能正在降温。因此,市场预计美联储将在下个月保持基金利率稳定,这与澳大利亚储备银行本月决定暂停加息的路径相似。投资者最近将美联储在5月2-3日会议后选择暂停加息的押注提高到约60%,高于前一天的43%左右。
黄金对利率前景特别敏感,因为较低的利率会降低持有无收益黄金的机会成本。
如果美联储确实决定在5月暂停加息,我们可能会预期黄金价格会如何反应? 市场认为美联储暂停加息的可能性约为60%。目标价格可能包括2,027美元、2,032美元、2,036美元和2,040美元,其中前两个是近期的斗争水平。如果我们想回顾一下上一次黄金如此昂贵的时候(2022年3月),我们可能愿意考虑将2,070美元和2,060美元的几个日高点作为更高目标。
美联储的决定还有相当一段时间,所以在此期间,一些下行风险当然仍然存在。
黄金后市如何演绎,让我们拭目以待!2023-3-31
如果勤劳能致富,那现在的世界首富就应该是一头牛或驴!!!
关联品种: OANDA:XAUUSD
目前黄金正处在高位的三角收敛区间,从盘面上来看,K线似乎正在形成极具收窄的第四浪形态,通常而言,这必将成为多空双方展开激烈厮杀的绝地阵地,而我相信鹿死谁手即将见分晓。
如果你问我这次是站在哪一方?我会毫不犹豫地告诉你,站在 空头 这边,不要问我为什么,时间会告诉你答案!
想要抄顶的朋友,不妨耐心等待第四浪顶的到来,因为这是计划!
进场点位:
1990±3
止损:
统一放2015
止盈:
第一目标1938
第二目标1915
第三目标1890
市场瞬息万变,我们能做的就是制定交易计划,并按计划执行,所以请计划你的交易,交易你的计划!
战场无常胜将军,智者千虑,必有一失。
【策略和思路为个人观点 仅供参考,不作为投资依据,若按此操作,盈亏自负,投资有风险,入市需谨慎】
黄金还有希望达到2000美元吗?黄金还有希望达到2000美元吗?
黄金价格创下了1971美元/盎司的高点,然后回撤并在1960美元上方找到支撑。涨势喜人的股市和较高的国债收益率使XAU/USD难以继续其近期的涨势。对更广泛的银行业蔓延的担忧也有所减弱,损害了对更安全资产的需求。市场对第一公民银行同意购买破产的硅谷银行的所有存款和贷款感到高兴。美联储负责监管的副主席迈克尔-巴尔(Michael Barr)表示,SVB的麻烦是由于 "糟糕的 "风险管理,这可能是一个孤立的案例。
此外,DXY指数为102.60,上涨了0.20%,为黄金增加了砝码,因为市场仍然预计美联储将在5月份加息25个基点。通货膨胀的可能性大于银行危机进一步蔓延的可能性,导致投资者对5月份加息25个基点的可能性进行了定价,约为39%。
尽管如此,黄金仍将出现8%左右的月度涨幅,月度图表上出现了明显的看涨吞噬形态,这表明短期前景看涨。
投资者还在关注核心个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数,该指数预计将在本周末公布,以获得有关美联储货币紧缩计划的更多线索。如果核心PCE指数低于4.5%,那么美联储将不得不减少加息,这将削弱美元并使黄金上涨。在这种情况下,买家的目标可能是1,900美元。
Gold: Latest Trading Strategies
Fundamentals of Gold:
In early Asian trading on Monday, March 13th, spot gold maintained its strong upward trend, with the price hovering around $1881 per ounce, up nearly $15 on the day. Earlier, the price of gold had risen more than $20, as the Fed's "rescue" action sparked an increase in market risk appetite, which dealt a major blow to the dollar and stimulated a surge in gold prices. After Silicon Valley Bank's bankruptcy, the Fed announced a new emergency loan program on Sunday to strengthen the banking system's capacity, which will help ensure that banks have the ability to meet the needs of all depositors and prevent other banks from experiencing similar runs.
Currently, the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March has plummeted from 75% to less than 10%, and the probability of a 50 basis point hike in May has been wiped out. There are increasing calls in the market for the Fed to consider pausing or even cutting interest rates. The Fed and the U.S. Treasury's emergency measures to support banks have been well-received by the market, improving risk appetite and dealing a blow to the dollar. Market anxiety is also running high ahead of this week's U.S. consumer price index (CPI) report, especially after Fed Chairman Powell recently emphasized that the pace of tightening will be based on "overall data".
Technical Analysis of Gold:
After the release of the non-farm payroll report last Friday night, the market's expectations for a 50 basis point rate hike by the Fed in March cooled somewhat, and the U.S. dollar index continued to dive, nearly breaking through the 104 level. Driven by the risk aversion sparked by Silicon Valley Bank's collapse and the non-farm payroll report, spot gold broke through three key levels of $1850, $1860, and $1870, before giving back some gains to close up 1.97% at $1867.03 per ounce, marking a new closing high since February 10th and achieving two consecutive weeks of gains. The highest point of gold was around 1869, with the closing price settling around 1867 in the following period.
On the 4-hour chart, a bottom-up rebound wave broke through the secondary high of 1858 to form a reversal, while the double bottom rebound of 1805 and 1810 formed a 4-hour double bottom rebound, with the neckline of 1858 forming a breakthrough. The top-bottom reversal this week has changed from resistance to support at 1858, which is the reversal point of the neckline and also the support of the bulls. The 4-hour chart also shows a bottom-up rebound, which is also an upward wave, with a wave of 1810 forming a surge in volume, and after a retracement, it is gathering strength again.
In the beginning of the week, pay attention to the second rebound support point. In the short term, there may be some back and forth, as this is the first upward reversal and the moving average indicator has not yet turned upward, so short-term consolidation is needed. On the 1-hour chart, gold is oscillating upwards based on the middle rail. Last Friday, it broke through 1858 and retraced to 1854 before stabilizing, which is also the strong and weak critical point of this week, and strength will not break below 1854. In the Asian session, there is a gap in prices, so it is not urgent to chase the high, wait for the gap to be filled before participating in a low long position.
Trading Strategy:
Short around $1885, take profit at $1870-1865;
Long around $1865, take profit at $1880-1890
Follow me for more trading strategies!
黄金走势 21/01黄金昨日在高位震荡。全日开市在1840,早段亚/欧盘基本在1835-40之间上落,进入美盘开始冲高,升至全日高位1847,随後回落。收市在1839,冇升跌。
昨日走势整体合付预期,在美盘再试高位,但明显在高位已缺乏动力。在週未前预期较难往上突破,日内将有机会下试1828-30,个整体将会继续在1830-50(1)区间内震荡。
日线图 - 黄金整体仍在上升趋势(3)当中,但昨日的先升後回落(2),在日线图已出现短线见顶讯号,预期日内或会出现调整。
短线阻力:
1855
1850
1843
现价: 1841
短线支持:
1835
1830-28
1825
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P. To
韭菜平凡之路:残羹剩饭行情,黄金周线目标1780,亚欧盘偏空观望,港股收盘后可进场,美盘低多,短线止盈5美元,止损1.5~3美元周五不会跌破1765,多头值得一博的就是主力资金可能在周五美盘时段把周线收盘做到1780。港股收盘之前避免操作。1780以上不追高。
日内套利策略:
港股收盘后,开始短线低多,
1773以上不追,跌破1770观望
1771博反弹,止盈3~4美元,止损1.5美元
下破1770退守1768低多,1774止盈半仓,
留半仓看看是否拉到1780再平仓过周末。
亚欧盘空头在1775上方持续压制,日内变盘时间点还是在中国股市、港股收盘以后,多空发力,博弈加大。
意外下杀到1764~1760
一定是诱空,坚决做多
止损放宽到4美元
止盈7~10美元
利空消息已经出尽,
黄金周五并没有实质利空
只剩下多空技术博弈
突破阻力,
回踩1776
我认为这个上行通道
有误导性,
也避免追涨,
很容易打损,
利润空间也小
因为港股收盘前只会出现鸡肋行情,过早入场只会来回扫损。欧美股市休假,加上非农等消息面干扰已经过去,市场波动幅度降低,资金博弈意愿弱。周末消息面不确定性到来,加上周末美国各州可能出现新增病例激增,避险情绪升温,周五应该看多黄金。
韭菜平凡之路:黄金形成九天揽月加速形态 7月3日可能攻击1800~1840 空头抓紧逃命黄金本周攻击路线图
7月1日1785强势整理
是江恩正方和远古斐波那契螺旋阻力
1785这个阻力我认为能突破,因为远古期的
江恩和螺旋阻力年代久远,不太可信了
7月2日攻击1795
多头还会在7月2日UTC+8 18:00继续拉升
1795这个位置阻力较强,可能冲高回落
7月3日有一定悬念,可能回落1770
也可能保持加速节奏,
攻击1820、1840,最乐观的情况
我认为1840是本轮攻击波的终点
1820~1840区间 斐波那契螺旋阻力密集
我认为黄金近一两周不会突破1840
对于黄金这种月线极度强势品种
无法使用普通分析方法
角度扇形已经冲到天上去了
就连江恩正方也无法阻拦
黄金潜在的转折点:
1795、1825、1830、1840、1855、1865、1870
突破1870则我认为疯涨局面会失控
韭菜平凡之路:周五强势收盘,下周剑指1770,黄金空头最好趁回调逃命1744习惯性逢高做空策略是危险的。从5月18日的高点到6月5日的低点的下跌浪已经结束,黄金目前仍处于1670开启的一波上升浪中,1744已经不能构成绝对的阻力。
6月10日~6月18日黄金看似走弱,实际是强势横盘,否则不会长达一周时间没有任何一天收盘在1720以下,这个现象值得空头警惕,黄金已经很久没有如此强势了。
从4月14日到6月19日这段时间,黄金大部分时间运行在1720下方,然而近一周竟然在日线级别完全站稳1720,6月15日、6月18日两次测试1720都稳住了。
在周线级别形成了扩张三角,则意味着在1770和1670可能出现大级别突破。
下周很有可能上测1770,且7月1日~6日可能向上测试1780。
周末消息面只要有风吹草动(亚洲某些国家爆发战争),则黄金周一甚至会直接上到1800拉爆空头,然而要注意1797是2012年10月的一个历史级别的阻力,我认为空头一定不会让黄金轻易突破1800。
下周空头希望
守住1750,
做出周线冲高回落
但下周美元指数看跌
上破机率更大
注意1747.72这个
日线高点阻力
并未突破