10月28日黄金价格分析基本面分析
金价小幅下跌至2735美元附近，结束了周一亚洲早盘的连续两天下跌。然而，由于地缘政治局势持续紧张以及美国总统大选的不确定性，贵金属的跌幅可能有限。
各国央行购买黄金储备和投资者不断增长的需求推高了黄金价格。世界黄金协会表示，过去两年世界各国央行每年购买黄金超过1000吨，而中国在寻求增加黄金储备的国家中名列前茅。
另一方面，由于美国经济数据走强，美联储降息步伐放缓，令黄金走软。根据 CME 的 FedWatch 工具，交易员目前对美联储将在 11 月降息 25 个基点 (bps) 的预期接近 97.7%。
技术分析
金价正在回到缺口区域，如果突破2750这一重要区域，历史高点2768暂时仍将充当阻力位。相反，价格突破2725被认为是寻找长期买点的机会，2711和2723是今天交易时段的两个关注区域。祝您交易日成功。
Goldtradingstrategy
10月15日黄金价格分析基本面分析
周二欧洲早盘，金价在 2,638 美元附近找到了一些支撑，目前似乎已经停止了从前一天创下的一周多高点的小幅回调。持续的地缘政治风险和对中东更广泛冲突的担忧成为为避险贵金属提供一些支撑的主要因素。
然而，在美元（USD）持续买盘的情况下，金价似乎仍难以出现任何有意义的上行走势，而美元（USD）买盘仍受到政策宽松程度不如美联储（Fed）剧烈的预期的有力支撑。此外，对中国财政刺激措施的失望未能重燃投资者信心，可能有助于限制XAU/美元的涨幅。
技术分析
请注意昨晚美国时段的港口区域在 2660 点左右，当欧洲时段无法突破该区域时，将设置卖出信号。 2638端口被认为是重要的欧洲时段价格端口，当金价出现强烈反应时，可能会出现另一个反应。当美国时段延长至 2630-2628 点时，主要买入区域。美国时段延长阻力区延伸至2668-2670。祝您交易成功
9月11日黄金分析基本面分析
欧洲时段早段持续稳定上涨，并将大宗商品推至新的周高点，买家现在希望在 2,525-2,526 美元供应区域之外建立上行势头。美元（USD）正在努力利用过去三天的涨幅，并在美联储（Fed）的鸽派预期下从月度高点回落。反过来，这被视为推动资金流向无收益黄色金属的关键因素。
与此同时，风险偏好情绪普遍疲弱，引发了一些避险资金流入，并推动金价接近过去一小时的历史高点。然而，多头可能不会为任何进一步的上行走势做准备，而是宁愿在最新的美国消费者通胀数据发布之前暂停。美国关键的CPI报告将在调查市场对美联储9月降息规模的预期并确定贵金属下一步的方向性走势方面发挥关键作用。
技术分析
今天早些时候，金价在欧洲交易中上涨至 2529 点，有望突破历史高点。当前欧洲交易中关键区域2529附近可能会将价格推回到2540。顶部将推向心理港口区域，即斐波那契水平2555。相反，如果2029年未能突破，价格可能很快会推向2517 CPI 数据之前的区域以及美国时段。消息公布后重看2495支撑位和2555阻力位。因为如果消息推高的话，直到2540和2555区域才会有好的入场机会。
上方阻力：2535 - 2540 - 2550-2555…
支持：2512 - 2506 - 2499 - 2493 - 2485
卖出 2537 - 2529 止损 2442
卖出 2554 - 2556 止损 2559
买入 2508 - 2506 止损 2503
买入 2496 - 2494。止损 2491
9.2 Analysis of short-term gold operationsGold is long near 2490.
In the 4-hour period, there is a pressure level of 2530 on the top and a first-line support of 2492 on the bottom (it cannot fall after being touched multiple times). It is not a unilateral trend at present, so it still takes a long time to fall back. The middle track of the Bollinger Bands runs horizontally, and the price of gold is supported by the lower track of the Bollinger Bands. You can go long if it is close to 2492.
There is non-agricultural data this week. Gold will definitely break this week. The shock pattern between 2492-2530 will not last long. If you grasp the signal well, the big market is about to emerge.
Trading strategy: Gold is long near 2492, stop loss is 2482, target is 2510
What kind of analysis and suggestions do you have on the trend of gold? Everyone is welcome to like and comment.
Gold sold in 1933-1938
The market continued to be in a unilateral decline mode this week. Today gold once again came to the 1928 first-line position. I personally think that the initial jobless claims data later will be even more bearish. So today is the best time to sell gold.
Follow my trading signals. Make money like crazy. Start now
Continue to buy, expand profits
If the position of 1958 is broken, it will continue to rise. If the entity cannot break through and stabilize, it will fall.
New channel created. The last time I made a lot of money by buying, many members made a lot of money because of it. Then continue to watch the rebound this time. If you don't know how to follow, you can join my channel and contact me. This way I can give you trading signals directly. Help you expand your profits.
If you don't know how to do it, you can enter in the link below.
Follow me, gold will continue to rally.
There are no continuously falling markets. There is no such thing as a consistently rising market. So how to grasp accurate trading signals. Follow me.
At present, gold has come to the 1940 line. The short-term support below is at the 1937 line. Very narrow. So why did it suddenly drop yesterday. It still has a lot to do with the dollar. So how will the market behave when it encounters support. I personally see the rebound trend.
Follow me.
Profitable trading signals. sell short
If you just followed my trading signal, short gold. That's a huge profit. In the short term, you can continue to rebound. The current market remains within the normal range. More accurate trading signals will be announced in my private channel.
Gold short-term long buy
Gold 1965-1968 buy. Take Profit 1983. Stop Loss 1954.
Those who follow the trading signal have already made a lot of money。
If you don't know how to do it, contact me in the channel below.
Gold sells high and buys low
The market is currently struggling with two stocks of news. The long and short sides are in a fierce game. Mainly based on bulls' risk aversion. Bullish on gold. The bears are using the Fed's rate hike as a medium. Bearish on the market. The current price of gold is around 1960. The short-term remained at the 1966-1954 first-line shock. Although there is no big trading opportunity, but when there is a high point or a low point in the band. It is still possible to complete the transaction through accurate trading signals. thus making money.
If you are still in the market and don't know how to make precise transactions. Come to my channel. contact me. I will tell you how to make steady profits in such a market through more than ten years of trading experience. I can always steadily lead my VIP members to rapidly expand profits. If you are still losing money. Then go to my channel link below. Find me and message me.
The Law of 28 must be very clear to everyone. 80% of the people in the market are losing money. Only a few make money. If you send accurate trading signals to you, and charge a certain fee. So will this ratio continue to expand? Become my VIP member. Every trading signal is wonderful like magic.
2023-05-25 BTC&GOLD：黄金测试通道下轨支撑，会跟BTC一致吗 ？BINANCE:BTCUSDT TVC:GOLD
黄金也到上升通道下轨，测试支撑下轨，会跟BTC一致吗 ？
BTC已破下轨，在寻找支撑反弹。
临近6月的美债违约危机，全球瞩目，谨慎操作！
如果觉得TC还不错，请点个赞，以鼓励我继续前行，欢迎评论交流指正。
本文中的信息仅供参考，不构成投资建议。
在任何投资决策中，投资者应该考虑自己的投资目标和风险承受能力，并且在可能的情况下，寻求专业的金融建议，DYOR。
作者不对任何人因依赖本文中的信息而造成的损失负责。
如果美联储暂停加息的黄金目标 如果美联储暂停加息的黄金目标
充分利用美元价格和国债收益率重新走低的机会，黄金成功地飙升至2,020美元/盎司。
美国最近的数据显示，服务业增长放缓，3月份私营企业新增就业人数少于预期，工厂订单连续第二个月下降。这表明，在更高的利率下，经济可能正在降温。因此，市场预计美联储将在下个月保持基金利率稳定，这与澳大利亚储备银行本月决定暂停加息的路径相似。投资者最近将美联储在5月2-3日会议后选择暂停加息的押注提高到约60%，高于前一天的43%左右。
黄金对利率前景特别敏感，因为较低的利率会降低持有无收益黄金的机会成本。
如果美联储确实决定在5月暂停加息，我们可能会预期黄金价格会如何反应？ 市场认为美联储暂停加息的可能性约为60%。目标价格可能包括2,027美元、2,032美元、2,036美元和2,040美元，其中前两个是近期的斗争水平。如果我们想回顾一下上一次黄金如此昂贵的时候（2022年3月），我们可能愿意考虑将2,070美元和2,060美元的几个日高点作为更高目标。
美联储的决定还有相当一段时间，所以在此期间，一些下行风险当然仍然存在。
黄金还有希望达到2000美元吗？黄金还有希望达到2000美元吗？
黄金价格创下了1971美元/盎司的高点，然后回撤并在1960美元上方找到支撑。涨势喜人的股市和较高的国债收益率使XAU/USD难以继续其近期的涨势。对更广泛的银行业蔓延的担忧也有所减弱，损害了对更安全资产的需求。市场对第一公民银行同意购买破产的硅谷银行的所有存款和贷款感到高兴。美联储负责监管的副主席迈克尔-巴尔(Michael Barr)表示，SVB的麻烦是由于 "糟糕的 "风险管理，这可能是一个孤立的案例。
此外，DXY指数为102.60，上涨了0.20%，为黄金增加了砝码，因为市场仍然预计美联储将在5月份加息25个基点。通货膨胀的可能性大于银行危机进一步蔓延的可能性，导致投资者对5月份加息25个基点的可能性进行了定价，约为39%。
尽管如此，黄金仍将出现8%左右的月度涨幅，月度图表上出现了明显的看涨吞噬形态，这表明短期前景看涨。
投资者还在关注核心个人消费支出（PCE）价格指数，该指数预计将在本周末公布，以获得有关美联储货币紧缩计划的更多线索。如果核心PCE指数低于4.5%，那么美联储将不得不减少加息，这将削弱美元并使黄金上涨。在这种情况下，买家的目标可能是1,900美元。
Gold: Latest Trading Strategies
Fundamentals of Gold:
In early Asian trading on Monday, March 13th, spot gold maintained its strong upward trend, with the price hovering around $1881 per ounce, up nearly $15 on the day. Earlier, the price of gold had risen more than $20, as the Fed's "rescue" action sparked an increase in market risk appetite, which dealt a major blow to the dollar and stimulated a surge in gold prices. After Silicon Valley Bank's bankruptcy, the Fed announced a new emergency loan program on Sunday to strengthen the banking system's capacity, which will help ensure that banks have the ability to meet the needs of all depositors and prevent other banks from experiencing similar runs.
Currently, the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March has plummeted from 75% to less than 10%, and the probability of a 50 basis point hike in May has been wiped out. There are increasing calls in the market for the Fed to consider pausing or even cutting interest rates. The Fed and the U.S. Treasury's emergency measures to support banks have been well-received by the market, improving risk appetite and dealing a blow to the dollar. Market anxiety is also running high ahead of this week's U.S. consumer price index (CPI) report, especially after Fed Chairman Powell recently emphasized that the pace of tightening will be based on "overall data".
Technical Analysis of Gold:
After the release of the non-farm payroll report last Friday night, the market's expectations for a 50 basis point rate hike by the Fed in March cooled somewhat, and the U.S. dollar index continued to dive, nearly breaking through the 104 level. Driven by the risk aversion sparked by Silicon Valley Bank's collapse and the non-farm payroll report, spot gold broke through three key levels of $1850, $1860, and $1870, before giving back some gains to close up 1.97% at $1867.03 per ounce, marking a new closing high since February 10th and achieving two consecutive weeks of gains. The highest point of gold was around 1869, with the closing price settling around 1867 in the following period.
On the 4-hour chart, a bottom-up rebound wave broke through the secondary high of 1858 to form a reversal, while the double bottom rebound of 1805 and 1810 formed a 4-hour double bottom rebound, with the neckline of 1858 forming a breakthrough. The top-bottom reversal this week has changed from resistance to support at 1858, which is the reversal point of the neckline and also the support of the bulls. The 4-hour chart also shows a bottom-up rebound, which is also an upward wave, with a wave of 1810 forming a surge in volume, and after a retracement, it is gathering strength again.
In the beginning of the week, pay attention to the second rebound support point. In the short term, there may be some back and forth, as this is the first upward reversal and the moving average indicator has not yet turned upward, so short-term consolidation is needed. On the 1-hour chart, gold is oscillating upwards based on the middle rail. Last Friday, it broke through 1858 and retraced to 1854 before stabilizing, which is also the strong and weak critical point of this week, and strength will not break below 1854. In the Asian session, there is a gap in prices, so it is not urgent to chase the high, wait for the gap to be filled before participating in a low long position.
Trading Strategy:
Short around $1885, take profit at $1870-1865;
Long around $1865, take profit at $1880-1890
Follow me for more trading strategies!
韭菜平凡之路：黄金现货3种策略，8月25日~26日30分钟级别超短线日内套利方案抢深V反弹策略
1909多，止损1905.9~1902.9，止盈1930、1936
中线多空双押策略
多头仓位在1920下方分批建仓
1930~1936区间加仓空头期货
对冲多头现货
期货空头无视短线波动，拿住不动，
如果跌至1910下方则减仓空头期货仓位
1950~1954多头现货仓位坚决平仓离场
C浪100美元追空策略
假设黄金C浪下跌尚未到来
若跌破1908
且3小时内没有突破1908
则可能C浪跳水，目标1800美元
韭菜平凡之路：残羹剩饭行情，黄金周线目标1780，亚欧盘偏空观望，港股收盘后可进场，美盘低多，短线止盈5美元，止损1.5~3美元周五不会跌破1765，多头值得一博的就是主力资金可能在周五美盘时段把周线收盘做到1780。港股收盘之前避免操作。1780以上不追高。
日内套利策略：
港股收盘后，开始短线低多，
1773以上不追，跌破1770观望
1771博反弹，止盈3~4美元，止损1.5美元
下破1770退守1768低多，1774止盈半仓，
留半仓看看是否拉到1780再平仓过周末。
亚欧盘空头在1775上方持续压制，日内变盘时间点还是在中国股市、港股收盘以后，多空发力，博弈加大。
意外下杀到1764~1760
一定是诱空，坚决做多
止损放宽到4美元
止盈7~10美元
利空消息已经出尽，
黄金周五并没有实质利空
只剩下多空技术博弈
突破阻力，
回踩1776
我认为这个上行通道
有误导性，
也避免追涨，
很容易打损，
利润空间也小
因为港股收盘前只会出现鸡肋行情，过早入场只会来回扫损。欧美股市休假，加上非农等消息面干扰已经过去，市场波动幅度降低，资金博弈意愿弱。周末消息面不确定性到来，加上周末美国各州可能出现新增病例激增，避险情绪升温，周五应该看多黄金。
