XAU/USD – 卖出设置在 3999–4001 | 从下降趋势区拒绝🪙 XAU/USD — 卖出设置在 3999–4001 | 从下降趋势区拒绝
📊 市场背景:
黄金仍然遵循下降趋势线结构,在接近 4000–4005 的阻力区显示出多次拒绝。最近的反弹似乎是在更广泛的看跌框架内的修正。流动性已被扫过之前的高点,随后明显的 CHoCH 回到看跌订单流。
📉 技术分析:
结构:H1 上确认 BOS,M30 上的 CHoCH 与看跌延续一致。
关键水平:
卖出区:3999–4001(之前的供应 + 趋势线重测)
买入区:3939–3937(需求重测 + 等低区域)
动量:RSI 未能维持在 50 以上并显示出更低的高点——确认潜在的弱势。
偏向:看跌,直到价格明确收于 4005 以上。
🎯 交易思路:
入场:卖出 3999–4001
止损:4007(≈6 点高于入场)
获利:
TP1:3950
TP2:3939
TP3:3910(如果动量持续则为扩展目标)
📈 备用计划(如果回调加深):
如果价格收复 4005,等待流动性扫过 4010 以上并再次寻找看跌确认——否则,短期偏向无效。
🧠 总结:
黄金仍被主要阻力压制。接近 4000 的空头头寸与多时间框架结构和动量背离一致。多头需要强劲突破 4005 才能将偏向转回看涨。
Orderblock
每日交易计划 — 黄金 (XAU/USD) | 回调买入区🧭 每日交易计划 – GOLD (XAU/USD)
日期: 2025年10月29日
周期: M15 – M30
策略: SMC + 趋势线 + 斐波那契共振
🧩 市场背景
价格在 3983 出现BOS结构突破,显示出短期看涨意图。当前结构支持从 需求区 / OB区回调买入,目标阻力区在 4018 → 4085–4102(斐波那契反应区)。
🎯 交易计划
1️⃣ 买入#1(首选 – 趋势线回测 / CP区)
进场: 3961
止损: 3955 (6点)
TP1: 3983
TP2: 4018
2️⃣ 买入#2(OBS / OB区)
进场: 3934 – 3932
止损: 3928 (6点)
TP1: 3983
TP2: 4018
TP3: 4085 – 4102
3️⃣ 卖出(仅限逆势)
进场: 3992 – 3994
止损: 4000 (6点)
TP1: 3934
TP2: 3910
仅在3990区域出现明显拒绝形态时使用。
📈 方向偏好
短期看涨,支撑位 3930–3910。
关注 3961 / 3932 买入反应。
空单仅在3990区域形成强拒绝时有效。
Gold sweeps SL, wait for BUY LIMIT at Demand Zone 4,223-4,225Timeframe analysis: H4/30M
Logic: Trend Continuation after liquidity sweep.
MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS (SMC Analysis)
Main Trend: Bullish (Price is moving within a parallel channel).
Structure Confirmation (BOS): The chart has confirmed an upward Break of Structure (BOS), indicating that buyers are controlling the market.
Liquidity Sweep/Fake: The strong bearish candle (marked as "Fake") is a move to sweep Stop Losses of early buyers and gather liquidity before Smart Money pushes the price in the main direction. This is an Inducement action.
Key Demand Zone (POI/Demand Zone/Order Block): The TIMING BUY area (4,223.154 - 4,225.000) is a potential Demand Zone/Order Block identified by Smart Money. The price is expected to retest this area before continuing to rise.
MAIN TRADING SCENARIO (LONG SETUP)
SCENARIO: Wait for the price to Pullback to the POI area to enter a buy order, continuing the main bullish trend.
Parameter
Value
SMC Description
Action
BUY LIMIT
Place a pending buy order
Entry Zone (POI)
4,225.000 - 4,223.150
Demand Zone/Order Block after liquidity sweep.
Stop Loss (SL)
4,214.390
Place below the low of the liquidity sweep candle ("Fake Low"), ensuring safety.
Take Profit 1 (TP1)
4,240.000
Target the nearest Swing High.
Take Profit 2 (TP2)
4,250.000
Target psychological resistance and mid-channel.
Take Profit 3 (TP3)
4,260.000+
Target the upper boundary of the parallel channel.
R:R Ratio
Approximately 1:2.5 to 1:3.5 (Depending on TP)
Good R:R ratio for a trend-following trade.
RISK MANAGEMENT
Risk: Only risk a maximum of 1-2% of the account for this trade.
Breakeven: When the price hits TP1, move SL to the Entry point (Breakeven) to protect capital.
Invalidation: If the price closes the D1/H4 candle below the SL level (4,214.390), the buy plan will be invalidated.



