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Analysis of short-term gold trading on August 308.29 Data
1. The European market rose slowly. If the market is extremely strong, there will not be a large retracement. As a result, the US market has a large retracement.
2. The US market quickly bottomed out at 2503, which is the 618 position of the previous day. Relying on the 618 position to rise, this position is the same as the previous day, and it rebounded at 618, but at 618, it was oscillating.
3. The US market rose and broke the high, but continued to fall from the early morning to the morning. Whether it is the daily line or the hourly line, multiple tops have been suppressed.
Generally speaking, the more times the top resistance is tested during the rise, the greater the possibility of a breakthrough.
As for today, it is also a headache.
1. 2513 is the 618 retracement of yesterday's rise. The previous two days were long at 618, but today 618 appeared in the morning. No matter how many times this position is, I am worried about the trend of the European market.
2. In the oscillation, it is still relatively simple to rely on the trend of the European market to layout the US market. I am also worried about the continuous decline during the day.
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In the current situation, we are still long low and short high. No matter how the market is washed out, we have not gambled on the short position above.
Therefore, even if the current situation is stagflation, we will not go to the short position above. If there is no clear signal, we will not operate.
The short-term support for the day is 2508-09. The bottom of the hourly big positive line, you can try aggressively, stop loss 02, and the target is above 2520.
Remember, the market that fell in the morning must rebound in the European session. If the European session is weak, the market will be weak. Only when the European session rises can the bullish rhythm be restored.
Therefore, no matter what position is more, it depends on the intraday rise. If it does not rise during the day, the bulls must withdraw at night
Nikkei approaching resistance, potential drop!Nikkei is approaching our first resistance at 21088.5 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal pullback resistance, 100% Fibonacci extension ) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 20132.9 (horizontal overlap support, 50% Fibonacci retracement ).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
DAX bounced off support, potential for further rise!DAX bounced off our first support at 11008 ( Inverse head and shoulder neckline support, 23.6% fibonacci retracement ) where a further rise might occur pushing price up to our major resistance at 11757.29 (50% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension , Inverse head and shoulder porfit potential ).
Ichimoku Cloud shows bullish trend where we might see a corresponding rise in price.
Gold: Latest Trading Strategies
Fundamentals of Gold:
In early Asian trading on Monday, March 13th, spot gold maintained its strong upward trend, with the price hovering around $1881 per ounce, up nearly $15 on the day. Earlier, the price of gold had risen more than $20, as the Fed's "rescue" action sparked an increase in market risk appetite, which dealt a major blow to the dollar and stimulated a surge in gold prices. After Silicon Valley Bank's bankruptcy, the Fed announced a new emergency loan program on Sunday to strengthen the banking system's capacity, which will help ensure that banks have the ability to meet the needs of all depositors and prevent other banks from experiencing similar runs.
Currently, the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March has plummeted from 75% to less than 10%, and the probability of a 50 basis point hike in May has been wiped out. There are increasing calls in the market for the Fed to consider pausing or even cutting interest rates. The Fed and the U.S. Treasury's emergency measures to support banks have been well-received by the market, improving risk appetite and dealing a blow to the dollar. Market anxiety is also running high ahead of this week's U.S. consumer price index (CPI) report, especially after Fed Chairman Powell recently emphasized that the pace of tightening will be based on "overall data".
Technical Analysis of Gold:
After the release of the non-farm payroll report last Friday night, the market's expectations for a 50 basis point rate hike by the Fed in March cooled somewhat, and the U.S. dollar index continued to dive, nearly breaking through the 104 level. Driven by the risk aversion sparked by Silicon Valley Bank's collapse and the non-farm payroll report, spot gold broke through three key levels of $1850, $1860, and $1870, before giving back some gains to close up 1.97% at $1867.03 per ounce, marking a new closing high since February 10th and achieving two consecutive weeks of gains. The highest point of gold was around 1869, with the closing price settling around 1867 in the following period.
On the 4-hour chart, a bottom-up rebound wave broke through the secondary high of 1858 to form a reversal, while the double bottom rebound of 1805 and 1810 formed a 4-hour double bottom rebound, with the neckline of 1858 forming a breakthrough. The top-bottom reversal this week has changed from resistance to support at 1858, which is the reversal point of the neckline and also the support of the bulls. The 4-hour chart also shows a bottom-up rebound, which is also an upward wave, with a wave of 1810 forming a surge in volume, and after a retracement, it is gathering strength again.
In the beginning of the week, pay attention to the second rebound support point. In the short term, there may be some back and forth, as this is the first upward reversal and the moving average indicator has not yet turned upward, so short-term consolidation is needed. On the 1-hour chart, gold is oscillating upwards based on the middle rail. Last Friday, it broke through 1858 and retraced to 1854 before stabilizing, which is also the strong and weak critical point of this week, and strength will not break below 1854. In the Asian session, there is a gap in prices, so it is not urgent to chase the high, wait for the gap to be filled before participating in a low long position.
Trading Strategy:
Short around $1885, take profit at $1870-1865;
Long around $1865, take profit at $1880-1890
Follow me for more trading strategies!
和谐形态交易记录与想法(1)BINANCE:SOLUSDT
逻辑:
最近最标准的Gartley形态莫过于SOL,按照Gartley的参数和理论,0.786 retracement of XA projection 是很关键的PRZ确定点位,刚好就是图中的38.69位置,同样D点的位置也符合AB=CD Pattern,所以我认为是一个很好的做空点位。同时0.786上方40.35左右的位置还有一条阻力线,所以我理解在这个区间构成PRZ的概率比较大。止损就应该放在41左右会比较安全一些。同时4h的频率,测试这个区域的k线数应该不会太多,所以就在0.786这个位置左右(38.8)进了仓位,但是由于是临睡前开单,所以仓位开的就很少,害怕没办法及时起来做仓位调整。
反思:
自己的开仓点位选择还算不错,但是仓位太小导致利润没有吃到很多,平仓位置也比较差,导致自己只赚取了50%的一个收益就停止了,其实走一个0.382 AD projection(33.4)应该是没有什么问题的,还是太慌了一些,需要减少看盘时间,既然用了4h的频率就不应该去关注30min甚至15min k线的一个变化情况,同时Harmonic Trading这本书还在研读当中对于止盈最近应该就会有一个更好一点的理解。
记录操作,以此反思。
BIT目前正在低位三角收敛,等待突破趋势线后的进场机会!BIT从2021/12/4形成低点之后,走势呈现一个三角收敛(图中较大 的三角收敛),此三角收敛在2022/1/22跌破趋势线,价位来到斐波那契数列1.407进行反弹。
价位反弹之后形成一个较小的三角收敛,以低点1.414和高点1.662拉出Fib retracement,可以看到价位目前在阻力1.509(0.618)下方。
目前4小时周期的均线呈现空头排列,等待三角收敛向上突破趋势线并配合均线黄金交叉,可视为进场做多讯号!
您的看法如何呢?
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BTC 突破大级别颈线完成头肩底。 目标价格7万BTC震荡一周了,目前在大级别头肩底颈线徘徊, 突破目标价看 7万, 或 看到一个潜在看跌113蝙蝠 6.83万。
牛市不做空, 回调才做多。
BTC has been consolidating for a week, currently forming a inverted SHS. if the neckline is broken, SHS target price will be 70k, or a bearish 113 shark pattern at 68.3k.
Trade with the trend, retracement is a good opportunity to enter a long position.
Happy Trading.
BTC textbook-like trend on December 24,short-term range focuses 比特币市场行情在短期的变化并不大,随着市场增量开始逐渐趋于稳定,近期日内基本维持在1500点左右震荡运行,廖鑫晨在昨日的分析中说过,目前币价上涨进入中继形态,K线上看目前比价运行颇为符合缠论中的中枢延伸,短期币价会逐渐缓慢回撤测试22500-22250位置,然后再次恢复上涨,日内持续关注回撤情况,大方向关注22250-24200破位情况
The Bitcoin market has not changed much in the short-term.As the market increase gradually stabilizes,it has basically maintained a volatile operation at around 1500 in the near future.Liao Xinchen said in yesterday’s analysis that the current currency price rise has entered a relay The current price comparison operation on the K-line is quite in line with the central extension of the twist theory.The short-term currency price will gradually retrace the test position of 22500-22250,and then resume the rise again.Continue to pay attention to the retracement situation in the day and focus on 22250-24200 break situation
BTC短线建议:目前币价较为接近中枢延伸下沿位置,可在22500-22800区间开始小仓多单,币价若回撤至22250位置可加仓,空单待币价反弹至23800-23500位置再分批小仓开空,更多实时指导分析交流欢迎大家与廖鑫晨联系。
BTC short-term advice:The current currency price is relatively close to the lower edge of the central extension.You can start small positions and long orders in the 22500-22800 range.If the currency price retreats to the 22250 position,you can increase the position.The empty order waits for the currency price to rebound to the 23800-23500 position.The small warehouses will be opened in batches,and more real-time guidance,analysis and exchanges are welcome to contact Liao Xinchen(jimy38468).
2020/4/1 BTC/USD多空看法在4小时级别中
可以看到价格沿着向降通道不断下探
即将碰到上升通道的下缘
目前在费波纳西数列的0.5(6238.5)附近震荡
多方:
可以观察是否在是否有机会在回测上升趋势线还有0.382(6145)得到支撑
空方:
可以观察是否跌破上升趋势
但是在箱底的部分可能会有支撑
抑或跌破相抵再空单进场
目前可能撑压
R :7914(D)
R :7212(W)
R:6316(D)
S:5629(W)
S:3730(D)
In the 4h chart
It goes to fib retracement 0.5(6238.5) and might touch the bottom of the uptrend channel
Long Position:
We can observe the bottom of the uptrend channel and 0.382(6145) if the can be support
Short Position:
If it breakout bottom of the uptrend chabnnel
There miight be support at bottom of the purple box
The resist and support in my plan
R :7914(D)
R :7212(W)
R:6316(D)
S:5629(W)
S:3730(D)