Black Friday高达80%折扣

趋势线

BTC进入震荡收尾，空军式微今天 19:00 左右，BTC 的 15 分钟上升趋势线破位，当时我就在思考接下来的操作。Crypto10 的 15 分钟上升趋势线其实第二个低点比较低，当时也在考虑是否以它为参考，一旦破位就设止损。不过目前我还没有写脚本，也没有接好 API，只能一直盯盘操作。 好在昨天仓位没动，至少让我只需要专注考虑一件事：何时止损？ 我现在的止损位设在了 103000，这个位置是短期内的最低位。我不认为在 103000~105000 震荡了这么久之后，还会直接下砸打开新一轮跌势。 如果真要打开下跌空间，我倾向于认为： 要么是 1小时周期先拉一波上涨，然后走“画门式”快速回落； 要么就是出现 非常利空的突发消息，才可能引发这种击穿震荡区间的走势。
做多
由Letstartfrom100u提供
复盘昨晚操作 + 当前走势分析与决策思路回想昨晚的操作，我因为没有用程序交易，错过了103500的15分钟金叉，后面看到了在104000买进的5倍仓位，导致止损设置难以接受。 目前crypto10在15分钟上升趋势附近那纠结，crypto10和btc一小时线往死叉方向发展，15分钟跌势明显，比较理想的情况是15分钟趋势反转，重新打开1小时的上升曲线。 更大周期上，由于上升趋势线被击破，周线日线处于跌势打开后，今天决定是否要进一步打开跌幅的日子，看4小时已经得到有力的金叉反转了。 这里走向有三种，我们再评估哪种概率大。 1.走出新的上升趋势，重塑日线，维持周线上涨，也就是牛后期的大幅震荡上行，新高涨的点数不多，但是上下幅度很大。 2.进一步打开跌幅，日线和更大周期下的跌幅调整，直到多军踩踏清仓，空军获利离场才能站稳。在这个角度也看不到比四月末那个6万的位置，这个周线上的上升曲线目前支撑在8万附近，难以想象。 3.小幅震荡下行，没有增加交易量，也没有增加跌的幅度，但就是跌，涨一点点，跌再多一点点。折磨。 目前加仓了6倍杠杆，位置在104200附近，我没有在103500下方看到支撑，所以如果看法是下跌的话，我其实现在做空位置就不错了，止损在上个15分钟的反转开始跌的高位，后面有些日子不会回到这个位置了。但是我现在有多仓，我考虑止盈的话，1小时的死叉没出现又不想止盈。我很犹豫，多空双开吗？你们有什么建议？ 我一般比如看1小时趋势，开仓在15min的反转方向上，对应的1小时趋势反转，就止盈止损在15分钟趋势反转的上。 想想应该是存在问题的，看15min和1小时的趋势共振，其实就同时开仓和平仓，那个周期很小，不如等到4小时的周期共振下做操作。 尤其是等到日线和更小周期的所以趋势共振来的更好。 以下是你这段话的整理版本，逻辑更清晰、条理分明，适合发布在 Trading 的中文社区，便于他人理解你的思路并进行讨论： 复盘昨晚操作 + 当前走势分析与决策思路 昨晚操作复盘： 因为没有使用程序交易，错过了 103500 附近 15分钟级别的金叉信号。 后来在 104000 附近买入了 5倍杠杆多仓，但由于点位不够理想，导致止损空间难以接受。 当前市场情况： • Crypto10 正在15分钟上升趋势线附近震荡纠结 • BTC 和 Crypto10 的 1小时线正向死叉方向演化 • 15分钟跌势明显，短期压力较大 • 比较理想的走势是：15分钟反转形成底部，重新带动1小时上行趋势 更大周期角度来看： • 上升趋势线已经被击破 • 日线和周线处于跌势打开的过程中 • 今天的走势可能是决定是否进一步打开跌幅的关键节点 • 4小时图上已经出现明显金叉反转信号 三种可能的行情演化路径： 1. 重塑上升趋势，修复日线结构，维持周线多头 ○ 类似牛市后期的高波动震荡上涨，虽新高有限，但涨跌幅度都很大 2. 进一步深跌，释放中长期调整需求 ○ 多头踩踏、空头获利后才能企稳 ○ 如果走这一路径，可能会回测更深位置，比如 Crypto10 的周线支撑在 8万附近，目前难以想象，但需警惕 3. 震荡下行，不放量、不爆跌，但缓慢走低 ○ 小幅上涨伴随更大幅度的下跌，持续性消耗多头信心，极其折磨 当前持仓与困惑： 我目前已经在 104200 附近加了 6倍杠杆的多仓。 • 问题在于：我没在 103500 下方看到明显支撑，所以现在若看空，当前的位置其实是个不错的做空点，止损可以放在前一个 15分钟反转起跌点上方 • 但我现在手里是多仓，而 1小时死叉还没出现，止盈又不甘心 • 是否考虑多空双开？很犹豫 • 欢迎你们给点建议 关于操作周期的反思： 我过去的习惯是： 如果看1小时趋势，在 15分钟反转方向上开仓； 如果1小时趋势也反转，就在 15分钟趋势反转处止盈或止损。 但现在看来，这种节奏有问题： • 15分钟与1小时共振的窗口太小，容易频繁进出 • 更合理的策略是：等待至少4小时级别的趋势共振再操作 • 最理想是出现日线与短周期趋势共振，信号更强、容错更高 总结： 目前市场不确定性较大，持仓方向也让我陷入犹豫。下一步重点关注： • 15分钟是否反转带动1小时修复 • 若走弱则要考虑是否果断止盈甚至反手做空 • 操作周期上，倾向于从1小时-15分钟切换为4小时-1小时为主轴 欢迎大家交流你们当前的思路或仓位配置，我也在积极优化自己的节奏和策略框架。
由Letstartfrom100u提供
BTC 跌破支撑，空仓观望中BTC 跌破支撑，空仓观望中，注意 Crypto10 的关键支撑位 昨晚 BTC 跌破了我昨天提到的支撑位，已止损，目前空仓观望。 这轮下跌中，Crypto10 已经回踩到 4小时级别的上升趋势线支撑，而 BTC 的走势暂时看不太清楚。 值得注意的是，许多前期超涨的山寨币甚至还没回调到 4小时趋势线的支撑位，走势与二饼（ETH）更为接近。 目前： ETH 离 4小时趋势线破位还有较远距离 山寨虽然跌幅较深，但也还没触及4小时支撑 这主要是因为前期山寨涨得太猛，透支了上涨空间 操作思路： 虽然不太愿意持续空仓观望，但目前确实没有明显的进场时机。我的操作计划是： ✅ 如果今天出现放量下跌： 尝试 低杠杆（2-3倍）做多 在第二/第三支撑位视情况逐步加仓（再加2-3倍） 止损设在放量跌破的最低点，若止损则结束今天的交易，说明对低点判断不准确 ✅ 如果今天没有放量跌： 当前已经进入 1小时 MACD 金叉的后半段 若这轮 15分钟级别的下跌不破关键支撑，并出现反转信号 将考虑在 15分钟反转+金叉位置，进场 5倍仓位做多 整体节奏仍偏短线，等待更清晰的信号后才会动作。欢迎交流你的看法。
由Letstartfrom100u提供
BTC空仓等待上升结构 昨晚市场共振下跌，大约在凌晨12点，Crypto10指数也正式跌破趋势线。 其实从位置来看，当时是个不错的做空机会，但我在 106500 附近被止损后，价格反弹至 107500，当时没能及时观察和判断，避免了情绪化反手操作。 目前来看： • BTC 找到了 5.13、5.15 和 5.19 的低点连线支撑位，但 Crypto10 仍未见明显支撑 • BTC 日线 MACD 死叉已打开，中期偏空 • 小周期走势与日线相反： ○ 1小时线处于急跌后的技术性反弹阶段 ○ 4小时图呈现插针状态，整体仍是下跌趋势 操作策略思路如下： • 下跌趋势中，若考虑做空，应等待 1小时线反弹结束后的下跌确认点 • 若尝试做多，只能用极低杠杆尝试，因为若再次回测 104600 附近支撑，止损空间将接近 1500 点 我的决策是： • 等 15分钟图上出现两次趋势反转确认 • 结合这两个低点画出新的上升趋势线 • 确认支撑结构后再考虑开多仓 • 如果行情上涨过快，在关键阻力位出现剧烈反转，将考虑止盈平多反手做空，止损位设置反转高位，止盈在1小时的金叉 • 若错过入场时机，继续保持空仓观望 欢迎交流不同周期下的节奏切换和操作策略。个人当前以“等待确认 + 控制仓位”为主，尽量避免在大波动中追单。
由Letstartfrom100u提供
BTC开始不妙，空仓好**行情观察与操作计划分享：** 目前价格已经上破趋势线，但在 **106500 附近存在支撑位**，出现了小幅反弹。现阶段正处于下降趋势的阻力位附近。 从**日线**来看，情况不太乐观： * 趋势线已经破位 * 均线形态较差 * 日线 MACD 出现死叉 * 好的一点是：**成交量并未放大**，消息面也暂时没有特别利空的动向 因此，只要 **不跌破 106500**，我认为行情仍在震荡区间内。 **4小时图**上，同样的趋势线已经破位，但 **99周期均线**仍有一定支撑作用。 **15分钟图**中，因睡觉错过了 **106500 附近放量下跌后的反转点**，导致昨日仓位未能止盈也未止损。在 **107500 附近加仓至6倍杠杆**。 --- **当前操作计划如下：** * 震荡期内，计划在 **1小时图寻找趋势反转点** * 如果 MACD 出现新的死叉，将考虑**清仓** * 当前仓位已经偏高，即使有很多短线机会，也不打算频繁操作 * 如果能顺利无亏损清仓，接下来可能在 **15分钟图尝试轻仓（1倍杠杆）反转交易** --- **中长期趋势判断：** * **三日线**来看，当前这波上涨已有颓势 * **周线**层面仍处于上升趋势中 * 预期行情将会出现 **三日线下行调整**，测试日线破位后的支撑 * 若无明显消息面推动，则横盘过程需要通过 **下行放量来完成** --- **两个潜在的大行情节点关注：** 1. **三日线与周线共振死叉** —— 这通常是牛市末期的标志信号，往往会触发一波较大幅度的下跌 2. **日线支撑破位后的放量调整** —— 可视为趋势转弱的中期信号 目前尚未判断这两个大行情何时到来，但它们是值得提前准备与关注的方向。 ---
由Letstartfrom100u提供
2025.05.07 NQ100 纳斯达克指数 做空思路最近美国关税问题逐渐趋缓，美股以及众多市场都迎来一波反弹。 NQ 纳斯达克指数，2月最高点22320，回调至4月最低16460。 裴波纳契0.168位置刚好在20080上下。 目前行情短线刚好在20100附近有阻力在压制， 这波反弹上涨也许会缓缓了，可以尝试进场长线空单 空单进场价格：20000~20100附近 止损点：20300 止盈点：19400、19000、17500
CME_MINI:NQ1!做空
由VT_Eric_Huang提供
原油双底结构确认，反抽时刻！今年以来原油连续下挫，一度跌至55.1美元附近，近期周线级别原油已经在55-57区间完成了底部的支撑结构2次确认，形成周线级别双底结构。 向上反抽的第一目标我们定在64-66区间，如果这里的供给有效，则可能还有一次61附近的回落幅度，然后继续向上突破，如果行情按照预期节奏走的话，下半年有望继续上扬直至周线级别的下降趋势线附近再做关注。 不扯太远，先关注64-66附近的供给区位置反馈，祝你好运~
FX:USOIL做多
由ASAP_BustinG提供
Gold prices rise in a sweeping manner around the channel 💡Gold prices are rising in a sweeping manner around the channel, and both bulls and bears have opportunities Starting from April 22, when the price sprinted to 3500, it entered this wave of wide range sweep, thus forming a purple channel range. There is at least $100 space from the lower track to the upper track of the purple channel Now the rebound is almost $70, getting closer and closer to the upper track of this channel Since the price is still sweeping within the channel range, first lock the upper and lower track positions in the large range and remember the specific positions 📢 Let’s talk about it in detail 1. The purple channel interval, combined with the hourly double-line interval, and the four-hour closing and flattening pattern, declares that the interval sweep is still going on, and the space switches back and forth The purple channel lower rail is 3202-3203, and the support starts to rise. The upper rail focuses on the 3305-3310 area The hourly double-line interval is 3272-3237 The four-hour closing and flattening interval is 3313-3199, the lifeline position is 3256, and the current price is above the lifeline It can hold the lifeline and switch the space upwards one by one 2. The daily level hovers at the lifeline position, sweeping up and down around the lifeline. The subsequent attention is whether the price relies on the lifeline to extend upward or suppresses the lifeline to extend downward. This will take at least three to five days to slowly confirm. 3. Starting from a low position, it rebounds and rises, the low point rises, the high point moves up, and gradually recovers the lost ground. In this process, it is particularly important to keep the low. Keep the low and break the high to see acceleration. Break the low point and return to sweep Currently entering the sweeping rise mode from the low point, the space budget is about 40-60 US dollars in the process, and then switch the space upwards one by one, and the adjustment space range is also about 40-60 US dollars Therefore, when the rise or fall is close to 40-60 US dollars, it is necessary to consider whether to adjust (reversal, sweeping method, correction is reversal), and then look at about 40-60 US dollars, and then look at the turning point. 📖 In summary, for the next gold, we first define a wide sweep of the large range, with a space range of about $100, and then subdivide the space one by one The currently locked range is the purple channel space, which is currently in the process of a sweep-up from the lower track of the channel to determine the support. Both long and short have opportunities, with a space of about $40-60, and then further subdivided into multiple $20 spaces, repeatedly switching spaces Determine the idea, around the channel range, it is mainly long and auxiliary short, keep the low point raised, and the high point moves up in a sweeping rise. There is a squat in the process. When holding the previous low point, it is all for standing up and sprinting through the high. 📊 Referring to this idea, in the afternoon, we will enter the market with low-long bullish around the four-hour lifeline 3256-3254 area, which is also the support point 3253 of the Asian session. We will pay attention to the 3270 position. If we can stand above 3270, we will look for 3277-3280, and then 3288-3290 area. If there is a high-rise and fall again, we will pay attention to the 3243-3242 position (the extreme purple trend line 3237-3235 position), pay attention to the squat here to determine the support action, and then continue to climb upward to find the upper track position of the purple channel
OANDA:XAUUSD
由k61nuw提供
2
2025.4.24 BTC/USD 比特币 行情观点与操作思路受到乌俄战争趋缓、美股反弹、特朗普放话BTC储备等众多利好消息。 BTC本周 4/21 突破了月初一周多的震荡盘整区间。 日线级别，比特已站稳至89,000，这个重要关口上方。 目前有出现多头动能趋缓回跌现象，1H、4H皆呈现弱势回调。 预估会回撤8万9附近。 想吃行情回调，可以小仓位现价进场做空， 待回调测试支撑完毕后，重点可以放在89,000附近进场做多。 空单进场点：９２,６００ or 现价进场 止盈点：８９,０００～９０,０００ 止损点：９５,０００ 多单进场点：８９,０００or 空单止赢反手做多 止盈点：９４０００、９９０００ 止损点:　跌破８８,０００
做多
由VT_Eric_Huang提供
Gold prices hit 3,500 for the first time and then plummeted David: Gold price falls after touching 3500 for the first time, and keeping high is the focus today This 3500 will leave a deep impression on everyone. First, it rushed to 3500 in one breath, rising strongly. Second, it fell by the largest space range in recent times. The previous 0.382 position was a decline of more than 70 US dollars at most. But here, as of press time, it has fallen from 3500 to 3291, a drop of more than 200 US dollars. It meets two points: quick arrival and quick pressure bearing. Today, the price gapped down to 3312 area, and then filled the gap window, and finally determined the 3386.6 position to restart further decline. This position happens to be the position where triple pressure is superimposed. The first is the channel switching point of the same spatial amplitude in the previous period, the second is the golden section 0.382 position of this wave of decline, and the third is the gap filling point of the window. The superposition becomes resistance. After the price lingers here, it continues to restart a new round of decline. So, today's first point of attention is here again, still at 0.382. After a large-volume decline, pay attention to 0.382 as the resistance point for adjustment. If the suppression is successful, continue to decline in large volume. If the price returns to the area above 3330, then wait for opportunities in the 3350-3355 area, and then look for a partial sweeping decline. Gold trading ideas on Wednesday Gold long order: 3305-3303 long, target 3350-3352 Gold short order: 3350-3355 short, target 3320-3315
OANDA:XAUUSD做空
由k61nuw提供
BTC垂直攀登后，关注压力区间反馈，继续右侧低多参考我的上一篇内容，当比特币四月中旬在小时级别74500-76500位置走出双底结构之后，稳步上升突破8.4W前期重要压力关口，该位置也是从高位回落后高点逐步降低形成的下降趋势线“的交叉点，并且，关注我公众号日更内容【策略研报】板块的朋友也能细腻的感受到这个趋势反转的过程，所以我们当时判断该位置是上半年的充分调整后带来的一次 阶段性机会 ， 可以适当逢低做多 ，向上分别关注91000、94000区间的压力反馈择机止盈。 现在的价格已经来到这个区间，但趋势并没有结束，而是刚刚开始，这一轮垂直拉升打出了气势，多头动能的不断延续，带动整个加密市场多点爆发，日线级别继续关注94500-96800区间的反馈，一波冲高后的中继调整结构将在这里发生，我们右侧等待调整之后的再次突破，继续向更高目标10W上方迈进！
做多
由ASAP_BustinG提供
3500 peaked or is the bull market gaining momentum? The price of gold plummeted by $187 in a single day, and began a deep adjustment after hitting the 3485-3500 range. The four-hour chart shows that the price effectively rushed up to complete the ABCD pattern structure, accurately touching the 3490 theoretical suppression area of ​​the Harmony Trading System. This plunge has completely wiped out all the gains at the beginning of the week, and the market has begun to question whether "3500 has become a historical high." We seized the technical rebound window in today's late trading and have made considerable floating profits by continuously placing long positions in the 3325-3333 area. The key observation is whether the Asian session can stand firm in the 3370-3380 range and fill the gap: if the European session maintains a strong recovery trend, the US session is expected to recover all the losses on Tuesday;
OANDA:XAUUSD做多
由k61nuw提供
1
Gold will soon challenge $3,500! The monthly chart of gold shows a strong upward trend, technical indicators continue to rise, and the long-term outlook is bullish The weekly chart shows a continuous upward trend of big positive lines, technical indicators continue to rise, and the medium-term is bullish The daily chart is running in a strong upward trend, and the technical indicators show a slight top divergence. Be cautious in chasing highs in the short term; the 4-hour chart is running into a new high, and the technical indicators show a top divergence. Be bullish in the short term and do not chase highs. In summary, gold prices are bullish in the long, medium and short term. In terms of operation, you should go long on dips, but pay attention to the turning rhythm and be prepared to close positions for profits in time. In terms of operation, pay attention to the long opportunities in the 3460-82 area, defend 3450, and target 3500-3550.
OANDA:XAUUSD做多
由k61nuw提供
Follow the market closely and chase the short-term rise The trend of gold prices will be mainly affected by the performance of the US dollar, the progress of trade negotiations and geopolitical risks. In the short term, the US dollar index hovering at a low level near 98.00 may continue to provide support for gold prices, while the market uncertainty caused by Trump's tariff remarks is expected to maintain the favor of safe-haven funds for gold. From a technical perspective, after stabilizing above $3,400, gold prices are expected to further challenge the round mark of $3,500. Trend: Upward trend Support: around 3400.00 Resistance: around 3458.50 Strategy: Logic of view: Around 3430, light long view, stop loss 3400, take profit around 3450----3500
OANDA:XAUUSD做多
由k61nuw提供
Is it still far for gold to break through $3,500?With the same goal, spot gold rose 2.98% to $3,424.69 per ounce, and hit an all-time high of $3,430.36 earlier in the session. The dollar fell sharply during the day as President Donald Trump's critical comments about Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell further dampened market confidence in the U.S. economy. A weaker dollar typically makes dollar-denominated gold more attractive to holders of other currencies. Gold has historically been seen as a hedge against uncertainty and a highly liquid asset, and its price has risen by more than $700 since the beginning of 2025. Last Wednesday, gold broke through $3,300 for the first time, and strong upward momentum pushed it up by more than $100 again in just a few days. David believes that the current upward momentum of gold is still continuing. In the short term, investors are not recommended to short positions. Profits still need to be made by seizing the short-term and investing more. As shared this morning, the gold target of 3410 has been broken. Now the double bottom structure is still strong, and gold is still bullish. Gold long investment: 3400-3450 3420-3500
OANDA:XAUUSD做多
由k61nuw提供