12.13 比特币走势分析:比特币12月以来形成了震荡绞杀盘,中间的震荡结构会怎么走可能性大多,等关键位置突破或跌破再操作,整体 12.13 比特币价格今日行情:比特币目前运行在9万附近,昨晚再次出现了典型的上下绞杀盘面。自从进入12月份之后,这种行情已经反复出现,整体进入了一个宽幅震荡阶段,节奏表现为快速拉升、快速回落,来回反复,对交易非常不友好。这类盘面本质上是主力通过震荡不断收割情绪与止损,在中间区间几乎没有稳定的交易优势。
从整体结构来看,有一点是可以相对确定的,那就是8万附近并不是最终的底部,后续行情大概率会跌破这一位置,但问题在于从哪里开始跌,目前并不确定。结构上的可能性非常多:一种情况是价格再次运行至通道上轨附近后再展开下跌;另一种情况是在当前区域震荡完成后直接向下破位;也不排除走出更复杂的组合结构之后才结束盘整。
综上分析,12月以来的比特形成了震荡绞杀盘,中间的震荡结构会怎么走可能性大多,等关键位置突破或跌破再操作了。
X-indicator
Latest gold price trend analysis today!Market News:
On Friday (December 12th) in early Asian trading, spot gold fluctuated narrowly, currently trading at $4270 per ounce. The dollar was sold off following the Fed's decision, and weak US unemployment claims data put pressure on the dollar, accelerating the rise in international gold prices. This prompted a surge in spot gold overnight, reaching a more than one-month high, with international gold rising nearly $80, reaching a high of $4285. In addition, silver hit a new historical high, which also boosted London gold prices.
With the release of non-farm payroll data and the evolution of geopolitical situations, the gold market may see more opportunities, but potential pullback risks should be noted, such as the Fed pausing interest rate cuts or an unexpectedly strong global economy. Overall, gold still has strong upward momentum, and long-term holders are advised to pay attention to tools such as ETFs to seize the wealth opportunities brought by this safe-haven wave. In addition, the speeches of Fed officials should be noted during this trading day.
Technical Analysis:
Gold's strong rally, following expectations, broke through 4280 and reached a new monthly high of 4286. The daily chart shows a large bullish candle, with the 10-day and 7-day moving averages opening upwards, and the price trading along the upper Bollinger Band. The hourly and 4-hour charts also show a bullish crossover of moving averages across different timeframes, and the Bollinger Bands are widening upwards. The trading strategy for gold remains unchanged: buy on dips during the day. From a 4-hour technical perspective, gold broke through the upper Bollinger Band resistance with a strong bullish candle, simultaneously breaching recent highs. The current price is firmly above the upper band, indicating a strong buy trend. Future analysis should focus on two key levels: the 4300 ounce level as resistance; a successful break and hold above this level could open up further upside potential. On the downside, the 4220 ounce level is crucial support, serving as the midpoint of the recent trading range and providing strong technical support.
Gold Trading Strategy:
Buy gold at 4230-4235 (short-term), stop-loss at 4220, target 4280-4300; Sell gold at 4300-4305 (short-term), stop-loss at 4320, target 4220-4200;
Key Levels:
First Support: 4255, Second Support: 4240, Third Support: 4222
First Resistance: 4290, Second Resistance: 4312, Third Resistance: 4328
USD/CAD(20251212)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
US initial jobless claims last week saw the largest weekly increase since the pandemic began. The Federal Reserve reappointed 11 regional Fed presidents, easing concerns about personnel uncertainty.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
1.3782
Support and Resistance Levels:
1.3848
1.3823
1.3807
1.3757
1.3741
1.3716
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 1.3782, consider buying with a first target price of 1.380.
If the price breaks below 1.3757, consider selling with a first target price of 1.3741.
AUDUSD(20251212)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
US initial jobless claims last week saw the largest weekly increase since the pandemic began. The Federal Reserve reappointed 11 regional Fed presidents, easing concerns about personnel uncertainty.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
0.6655
Support and Resistance Levels:
0.6707
0.6687
0.6675
0.6635
0.6623
0.6603
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 0.6675, consider buying, with a first target price of 0.6687.
If the price breaks below 0.6655, consider selling, with a first target price of 0.6635.
GBPUSD(20251212)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
US initial jobless claims last week saw the largest weekly increase since the pandemic began. The Federal Reserve reappointed 11 regional Fed presidents, easing concerns about personnel uncertainty.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
1.3392
Support and Resistance Levels:
1.3475
1.3444
1.3424
1.3360
1.3340
1.3309
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 1.3392, consider buying, with a first target price of 1.3424.
If the price breaks below 1.3360, consider selling, with a first target price of 1.3340.
The positive factors for BTC are losing momentumMarket Overview: After the Fed announced its rate cut yesterday, the price briefly rallied but failed to surpass 95K, then fell to around 90K and consolidated.
Macroeconomic: The rate cut's positive impact has been realized, and the previously anticipated RMP (Rate Monetary Policy Committee) has materialized. Currently, Japan, Australia, and Europe all have rate hike expectations, with Japan already implementing its rate hike. Therefore, even with the Fed's easing measures, the effect will be very limited.
Technical: BTC is still within a consolidation range. Market makers are likely to continue shaking out weak hands. Therefore, even if you hold a medium- to long-term bearish view, you should pay attention to position control and take profits promptly.
Personal Position Status: Futures: Short position at 90K with a 30% profit target, stop-loss moved down to 92K, continuing to bet on a medium- to long-term decline. No additional spot positions.
Good luck to everyone.
The above are personal judgments and do not constitute investment advice.
Keep learning, plan your trading, and practice what you preach.
Thank you for your attention.
-DamienCross · 2025-12.11 · XAUUSD/GOLD - 交易策略-DamienCross · 2025-12.11 · XAUUSD/GOLD - 交易策略
GOLD / XAUUSD – ARMAMENT · Tactical Buffering Control (TBC) 战术节奏解读
仅是用 TBC 系统观察黄金市场节奏切换点,并不是预测.
多空区域关键节奏分界参考价位约为:4210
4210上方多头节奏区:参考至 4230~4250,仅供节奏观察参考,用来感受多头动能.
4210下方空头节奏区:参考至 4190~4175,仅供节奏观察参考,用来感受空头压力.
只在节奏确认后行动,不构成买卖指令.
市场选择与责任,永远属于你自己.
—— Damien Cross · ARMAMENT · Tactical Buffering Control (TBC)
“不入三千世界者,不识生死交易之道”
GOLD / XAUUSD – ARMAMENT · Tactical Buffering Control (TBC) Rhythm Analysis
Only use the TBC system to observe rhythm switching points in the gold market—not a prediction.
Key reference rhythm level around 4210:
Bullish rhythm zone above 4210: roughly 4230~4250, for rhythm observation only, to sense bullish momentum.
Bearish rhythm zone below 4210: roughly 4190~4175, for rhythm observation only, to sense bearish pressure.
Only act after rhythm confirmation; this does not constitute trading advice.
Market decisions and responsibility always belong to you.
—— Damien Cross · ARMAMENT · Tactical Buffering Control (TBC)
"One who does not enter the three thousand worlds does not know the way of life and death in trading."
(‘Three thousand worlds’ here refers to experiencing the full intensity and chaos of the market.)
12.11比特币行情本文撰写时间15:06
今日凌晨3点美联储利率决议降息25个基点,比特币受其影响走出先涨后跌的行情,反弹高点在94444位置,随后走出快速下跌,截止目前下跌低点在89336位置,以太坊反弹高点在3446位置,下跌低点在3166位置;
昨日我们文中提及比特币短线将有回调机会,回调区间在91400-90500,消息面对行情也有一定影响,这波回调跌破9万后目前在90200附近运行;日线图上看,上涨通道并未打破,4小时级别也并未走出破位,下跌虽快,但属于正常回调,前面跟大家提及,回调就是做多机会,在90500附近布局多的继续持有,长线多单也是继续持有,空仓的朋友可现价90200附近直接布局多,止损推荐 88000,目标先看94000,突破持有看98000,自行把握进场机会;
昨日我们提及3170压力突破后变为支撑,回调布局多单点位也是这里,今日行情下跌低点在3166位置,刚好接我们上车,布局了的持有,长线也是继续持有;日线上看,前面3170是作为支撑和压力都有过一定的力度,现在突破,作为支撑也不是那么好跌破的,前面3170做了布局的继续持有,没有做布局的现价3190附近也可直接布局,止损按照昨日思路3070,目标3150附近,自行把握进场;
短线交易,控制风险,盈亏自理;
金汇得手:凌晨黄金探底回升 今日回落继续接多 美元指数昨天收大阴,今日关注98.4(98.6)-97.8区间。
黄金昨天日内来回震荡洗盘,凌晨数据下探4182附近上涨,最高触及4238一线,日线收长下影阳线。今天继续低多操作,早盘4224上涨,目前20美金,回落我们找机会继续多。走强的话顶底转换4238附近多,震荡的话接近4234或日内低点多。晚间如果洗盘,接近4209可以继续多。上方目标先看4250-60附近,强阻力4270-80触及可以空。
操作建议:接近4234或日内低点多,走强4238先多,目标4245破位看10-30美金。昨天早盘4207多,4201多,欧美盘给到4187多,凌晨4199-94多,4206多。
原油昨天先跌后张,日线收长下影阳线,今天接近58.3多,走强的话58.6附近先多,目标59-59.5,强阻力60附近,触及可以空。分析仅供参考。
BTC静待风暴来袭今日盘面:昨日美盘时间拉升94K以上,拿掉上方流动性后,又跌回92K附近震荡,日线保持多头结构,各项技术指标日线看涨。
宏观面:降息已无悬念,Powell讲话的态度和点阵图,将决定市场对明年一季度的流动性预期。
技术面:BTC洗盘下跌的节奏目前还没有彻底扭转,由于降息已无悬念,Powell放鹰可能极大,BTC延续下降台阶仍有很大可能。
个人仓位情况:合约,中长线空单下移94K后,昨日被打掉,目前重新建立空头头寸,止损94500上方,继续博弈中长线下跌;短线多单94K止盈出场。现货不加仓。
目前ETH等山寨反弹力度较大,而且部分已突破本轮下降趋势线,建议小伙伴合约不追多,现货自行确定。
祝小伙伴们好运。
以上均为个人判断,不构成投资建议。
坚持学习,计划交易,知行合一。感谢关注。
12.10比特币行情本文撰写时间14:49
前面拉升由于94承压并未走出突破到98位置,随后走出下跌,下跌低点在87670位置,随后昨晚再度试探94压力,截止目前拉升最高点在94569位置;以太坊站上3170压力后,跟随大饼走一波下跌,下跌低点在2903位置,昨晚走出拉升,拉升高点在3398附近,再度突破短线压力3170;
日线上看,比特币整体并未打破多头趋势,依旧在上升通道中运行,低点和高点都在不断抬高,短线94000给到一定压力,突破还需时间,长线多单可继续持有,目前大饼再度试探94000压力并未站稳,短线需有一定的回调才会拉升,回调区间预计在91400-90500,短线可围绕这一区间去做多布局,目标先看94000,突破可继续持有,多头趋势中,任何回调就是布局机会,自行把握进场;
日线上看,以太坊的拉升力度是强于大饼的,以太突破前面压力3170位置大阳线,这种走势就属于有效突破,前面的一次并未站稳,后市行情也走出回调,整体来看以太坊也是属于多头强势阶段,交易上长线多单继续拿,短线可等待回调后做多布局,推荐点位3170附近,止损3070,目标3510附近,自行把握进场机会;
短线交易,控制风险,盈亏自理;
-DamienCross · 2025-12.10 · XAUUSD/GOLD - 交易策略-DamienCross · 2025-12.10 · XAUUSD/GOLD - 交易策略
GOLD / XAUUSD – ARMAMENT · Tactical Buffering Control (TBC) 战术节奏解读
仅是用 TBC 系统观察黄金市场节奏切换点,并不是预测.
多空区域关键节奏分界参考价位约为:4200
4200上方多头节奏区:参考至 4220~4240,仅供节奏观察参考,用来感受多头动能.
4200下方空头节奏区:参考至 4185~4170,仅供节奏观察参考,用来感受空头压力.
只在节奏确认后行动,不构成买卖指令.
市场选择与责任,永远属于你自己.
—— Damien Cross · ARMAMENT · Tactical Buffering Control (TBC)
“不入三千世界者,不识生死交易之道”
GOLD / XAUUSD – ARMAMENT · Tactical Buffering Control (TBC) Rhythm Analysis
only use the TBC system to observe rhythm switching points in the gold market—not a prediction.
Key reference rhythm level around 4200:
Bullish rhythm zone above 4200: roughly 4220~4240, for rhythm observation only, to sense bullish momentum.
Bearish rhythm zone below 4200: roughly 4185~4170, for rhythm observation only, to sense bearish pressure.
only act after rhythm confirmation; this does not constitute trading advice.
Market decisions and responsibility always belong to you.
—— Damien Cross · ARMAMENT · Tactical Buffering Control (TBC)
"One who does not enter the three thousand worlds does not know the way of life and death in trading."
(‘Three thousand worlds’ here refers to experiencing the full intensity and chaos of the market.)
S&P 500趋势与基本交易策略周线复合:标普提前⼀到两周出现反转,由于周趋势并未出现超卖,预期上涨空间有限。
日线复合:日线⾼点已临近,甚⾄可能在周五已经完成,超波反转,接下来应出现约 3–4 日的修正性下跌。(熊)
关键因素:11月25日ES 收盘价站上6747.5,这⼀价位被视为潜在的 W.1 或 A 波收盘低点,这使得此前的下跌不再属于“推动式下降”,让 ES 处于 可能完成 ABC 修正 的结构中。尽管ES 已处于完成日线⾼点的位置,但未来的任何下跌应都是3–4 日的小级别修正,随后将恢复多头趋势并创出新⾼。
交易策略建议:等日线完成这波小修正,将继续推动周线多头趋势,目标可能延伸到远⾼于 10 月⾼点。
⚠ 短期交易者应以TradingBox信号系统为准!
金汇得手:凌晨利率决议 黄金日内主多辅空操作 美元指数昨天比较符合预期,日线收长影阳线。今日关注98.6-99区间,凌晨利率决议,美盘再跟进分析。
黄金昨天依旧震荡洗盘,日线收长影阳线,单看收线,今天还是偏震荡。但是结合白银走势,黄金还是倾向低多操作。日线支撑4199附近,也是日内多空分水,触及可以做多。早盘4207附近先涨,也就是行情走强的话,会在4207上方运行。目标先看4216附近,一旦破位昨晚高点4221挡不住,继续看4231甚至41附近,强阻力前高4259。如果行情继续震荡洗盘,也不排除再去4189甚至昨天低点附近。
操作建议:先涨4230上方找机会空,先跌接近日内低点或4200多。(数据前有效)昨天实盘给出4170多,4190多,4205-10空。
原油59.2附近受阻回落,日线收长影阴线,今天反弹58.8空,接近57.5多。分析仅供参考,实盘为准。






















