X-indicator
GBPUSD(20250813)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July remained unchanged from the previous month at 2.7%; the core CPI for July rose to a five-month high of 3.1%. Following the release of these data, traders increased their bets on a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
1.1656
Support and Resistance Levels:
1.1753
1.1717
1.1693
1.1618
1.1594
1.1558
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 1.1693, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price at 1.1717.
If the price breaks below 1.1656, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price at 1.1618
以太坊行情分析 4H以太坊走独立行情，非常强势，做空的很多，爆仓的也很多。昨天晚间借CPI又是爆拉，上涨非常迅速，一夜之间爆拉近400点
目前还没有任何颓势迹象，就算恐高不敢追多，也不能去摸顶做空，以太坊太强了，做空还需耐心等待，等一个顶部结构
比特币行情分析 4H晚间CPI利好拉了一波，最高到120000上方，目前受阻回落，多头没有得到很好的延续，又继续回落预期
若跌破趋势线，跌破118100波段低点，趋势结束，多转空，日内操作高空为主
支撑：118000-116500
压力：120000-122000
8.13以太坊价格今日行情：以太坊看小四浪调整后，再打一波高点或次高点才结束上涨（以太坊合约交易）以太坊大周期5浪上涨接近尾声，目前处于5-3浪上涨，后续还有一笔5-5冲高。
涨完后进入回调周期，回调预计到趋势线3000附近。
金汇得手：黄金昨日震荡下跌 今日主多辅空操作 美元指数昨天二次上探没新高回落，日线收阴，今日关注98-97.3区间。
黄金昨天早盘3359附近受阻回落，日内来回震荡洗盘，晚间触及3331关键支撑反弹，日线收十字星。今天倾向低多，日线支撑3340附近，触及可以做多。不过凌晨回落的低点在3345附近，如果行情走强会在3345上方运行。上方目标先看3354附近，一旦上破3359昨天高点大概率挡不住，还会去3368甚至3377附近，不破可以继续空。下方如果意外跌破3331，先看3320附近，强支撑3291附近。
操作建议：先跌接近3340多，走强的话3345先多，看破3359。接近3368或3377再空。昨天给出3363空，3342和3331多单。
原油二次上探没新高回落，日线收阴。早盘回落出新低，建议接近62.7不破先空，震荡的话63附近空。目标62.3破位看61.6附近，然后小止损博多。分析仅供参考，实盘为准，注意原油报价未统一。
8.13 比特币走势分析：比特币中长线看跌不变，5-5浪结束后看一笔较深幅度的回调整理，逢高布局空单（比特币合约交易）军长 8.13 比特币价格今日行情：现在比特币在12万一线，按理说五五浪有望突破123,300，它已经具备结束的可能性，即便没突破，也吃掉了80%以上的空间，所以选择在这里摸空，止损设在关键位置，打到说明五五浪还没走完，打不到那就算摸空成功。
If it drops, it will be a perfect start.If it drops to around 265, it will be a very perfect bottom. The price is expected to reach a new high in the future, rising by 70% within 12 months. The prerequisite is that the current price drops to around 265 US dollars.
如果下跌，将是非常完美的开始。
After the release of CPI, the short-term gold operation strategyThe CPI data for gold is bullish. Gold has soared directly from around 3340, reaching a high of around 3354 and starting an oscillation mode. Currently, gold is still oscillating around 3349, with strong pressure from above. We will continue to focus on the pressure at 3366 and 3370 to go short and bearish.
日圆多头小心：USD/JPY关键吞噬K线仍未失效尽管近期USD/JPY呈现横向盘整甚至略有反弹，但8月1日出现的「大阴吞噬」K线形态依然值得密切关注。这类形态若出现在关键位置，往往会在图表上留下深远影响，而非昙花一现。
就业数据点燃市场情绪
8月1日（周五）对宏观交易者而言是相当活跃的一天。当日公布的美国非农就业报告逊于预期，导致美元走软，USD/JPY应声大幅回落，并形成经典的「看跌吞噬」K线形态。当日价格从开盘一路下跌，不仅跌破前一日区间，更以下影线极短的阴线收盘，卖方主导气氛明显，吸引了不少技术面交易者的注意。
这个形态为何仍具参考价值？
尽管当前价格尚未明确延续下行趋势，但吞噬K线的「规模」与「位置」依然构成技术层面的重要信号。该形态出现在多个阻力点交汇处，包括一连串的前高、200日简单移动平均线，以及自今年1月高点起锚的VWAP（成交量加权平均价格）。
对于如此强烈的K线型态，价格往往会有一段短期的技术反弹或修正，但这不一定代表趋势反转。吞噬K线的高点经常成为后市的重要关键位，而目前所看到的横向整理，更像是市场在「消化讯号」，而非出现明显的多头转向。短线交易者或许会将这段整理视为多空激战区，而长线参与者则会聚焦于卖方是否能够捍卫8月1日的高点压力位。
若从吞噬K线高点拉至近期盘整低点进行斐波那契回撤分析，目前价格正逼近50%回撤位。若在此位置出现明确卖压，空方可能重新掌握主导权；反之，若价格有效突破，则有机会进一步上探更高压力区。但在此之前，8月1日的看跌吞噬形态仍构成图表上不可忽视的关键，直到其高点被实质性突破之前，该形态仍将压制中期上行预期。
USD/JPY日K线图
过去表现不代表未来结果
放大观察：USD/JPY 日K线图
过去表现不代表未来结果
免责声明：本资料仅供信息和学习用途。提供的信息不构成投资建议，也未考虑任何投资者的个人财务状况或目标。任何涉及过去表现的信息均不可靠地指示未来结果或表现。社交媒体渠道对于英国居民不适用。差价合约和差价交易是复杂的金融工具，因杠杆效应而伴随着快速亏损的高风险。 82.67%的零售投资者在与本提供者交易差价合约和差价交易时亏损。 您应考虑您是否了解差价合约和差价交易的运作方式，并且是否能够承担高风险以避免资金损失。
黄金因等待通胀数据而犹豫不决OANDA:XAUUSD 货币对在 8 月 11 日星期一承压，并在 8 月 12 日星期二上午小幅回升。美国总统特朗普确认不会对黄金进口征收关税，缓解了市场对全球供应链中断的担忧。投资者目前正等待本周公布的美国通胀数据，以评估美联储的利率前景。
关税疑虑终结
特朗普在推特上写道：“黄金不会征收关税！”，但没有提供更多细节。这一声明为全球黄金市场带来了一丝慰藉。
作为全球黄金运输和精炼中心，瑞士曾被认为是“最大的受害者”，但特朗普的最新声明实际上消除了这一风险。
投资者的注意力现在转向通胀。
随着关税不确定性的缓解，交易员将转向其他市场因素，其中最重要的是美联储的利率前景。
• 如果美国通胀数据高于预期，美联储可能会推迟 9 月份的降息，这将给金价带来压力。
• 相反，如果数据温和甚至疲软，这将支撑金价，因为市场对降息的预期增强。
市场前景
短期来看，关税担忧缓解后，金价进入回调阶段，价格走势可能进一步受到美元和通胀数据的影响。
如果通胀保持在低位，且美联储发出鸽派信号，金价将维持强劲支撑位。反之，如果通胀超预期且美元走强，金价可能面临进一步回调的风险。
中长期来看，在全球经济不确定性和低利率可能持续的背景下，黄金仍是避险资产和宝贵的资产配置渠道。
市场预计7月份核心CPI同比涨幅将达3.0%，高于6月份的2.9%。关税成本的征收可能引发商品通胀反弹。
• 如果数据好于预期，美联储可能会推迟降息。
• 相反，降息将增加9月份降息的可能性，目前期货合约的降息概率为87%。
技术前景分析 OANDA:XAUUSD
黄金价格走强，交投于 21 点移动平均线 (EMA) 附近，表明整体市场情绪依然犹豫，等待基本面突破。
短期内，黄金价格面临来自 21 点移动平均线 (EMA) 和 0.236% 斐波那契回撤位的技术压力。黄金价格要满足持续看涨前景的所有条件，必须突破该斐波那契回撤位，之后短期目标位为 3,400 美元。
如果黄金价格继续突破 3,400 美元并保持在此水平之上，则可能开启新的看涨周期，下一个目标位为 3,430-3,450 美元。
另一方面，黄金价格仍保持在 3,300 美元上方，避免出现熊市。这意味着，只要金价维持在 3,300 美元的初始价格和 0.382% 的斐波那契回撤位上方，短期内仍可能走强。
如果金价跌破 3,300 美元，则将进入熊市。短期目标价位为 3,246 美元，高于 0.50% 斐波那契回撤位。
动量方面，相对强弱指数 (RSI) 徘徊在 50 左右，表明市场情绪犹豫不决，但突破 50 则可能是看涨潜力的积极信号。
就今日而言，整体前景依然看涨，以下列出了需要注意的要点。
支撑位：3,340 美元 – 3,310 美元 – 3,300 美元
阻力位：3,371 美元 – 3,400 美元
卖出 XAUUSD：价格 3,377 - 3,375 ⚡️
↠↠ 止损 3,381
→止盈 1 3,369
↨
→止盈 2 3,363
买入 XAUUSD：价格 3,298 - 3,300 ⚡️
↠↠ 止损 3,294
→止盈 1 3,306
↨
→止盈 2 3,312
8.12比特币行情本文撰写时间13:07
近期由于私事繁忙断更一段时间，大家见谅！即日起将恢复持续更新！
比特币前面下跌至111850位置后持续拉升至目前高点122450位置，未破前高123300；以太坊回调至3353位置后持续拉升至目前高点4370位置，再度突破前高，未破历史高点4877；
日线图上看，比特前面下跌至111850位置是并未跌到支撑位置的，前面一波下跌的支撑是107700,103500区间，没有到达这个区间就走出反弹，说明市场多头是强势的，行情也是表现的多头强势，但比特币上涨并未突破前面高点123300位置，这波反弹的压力位是120850，刺破但收针，这种走势我们能视为压力有效，日线收针并收出阴锤头线，这个信号就是下跌信号，交易上给到信号我们就可以做布局，这波回调不看很深，预计116000-114200区间就好，空单可现价直接119100附近做布局，止损带120800，目标看116000，114200，到达后根据收线情况再来做多布局，自行把握进场机会；
周线上看，以太坊强压4000这里这次被有效突破，前面几次上涨承压并给到不同程度的回调，目前大级别上看以太依旧是处于多头强势，4000这里压力也将变为支撑，日线上以太也是上方收2根阴十字，有回调信号，但行情不走出很大幅度回调，以太的回调需求不大，比特币走出回调以太坊大概也就试探下4000附近就将开始反弹，交易上以太坊回调做多为主，高空为辅，比特币有下跌信号，以太坊可同步比特币进出，现价4315附近可直接进，止损4400，目标4100-4000，到达目标后根据走势多单杀进去，自行把握进场机会；
短线交易，控制风险，盈亏自理；
Crude oil - Sell around 65.00, target 63.00-61.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil has recently begun to decline, and selling is still evident. There is still room for selling below this level. Today's strategy is to continue selling on rebounds. If the daily line breaks 63.00, it will continue to decline. If it rebounds, consider selling around 65.00. Without major fundamental support, crude oil will struggle to recover on the daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today, focus on the most important data point this week, the CPI. This economic data has recently seen significant movement, even surpassing the non-farm payroll data.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil - Sell around 65.00, target 63.00-61.00
Gold - Sell around 3362, target 3340-3320Gold Market Analysis:
Yesterday's daily close was a large negative candlestick, which wiped out five days of gains. We sold at 3369 yesterday to take profits. Yesterday's close was a clear reversal signal, and the analysis chart also shows a breakout signal. The large negative candlestick pattern on the daily chart reaffirms the sell position. Today's strategy is undoubtedly bearish, and we should continue to sell on rebounds. Today's CPI data is out, and I believe we can still maintain our selling strategy before the data is released. Let's look at the daily chart. The current selling is only short-term, and the long-term direction remains uncertain. The daily chart is still in a wave structure and is still in the process of correction. Its overall direction is unclear. We are just followers, and we need to find its rhythm and follow it, either buying or selling. The 1-hour profit-taking chart shows that 3366 is the first minor resistance level in the Asian session today, and 3362 is the hourly high. We will continue to sell based on this level. The 1-hour high of yesterday's rebound was around 3380, which has become a new strong resistance level. If this level is not broken, it is basically a sell-off. On the contrary, if it unexpectedly breaks, it is necessary to adjust the strategy and rhythm. Gold's recent fundamentals and data have a significant impact on the market, and the buying and selling cycles are very fast.
Support 333 and 3341, resistance 3366 and 3380, and the watershed between strength and weakness is 3362.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today, focus on the most important data this week, CPI. This economic data has recently moved significantly, even surpassing the non-farm payroll data.
Trading Recommendation:
Gold - Sell around 3362, target 3340-3320
Gold prices plummeted! Gold was sold off strongly!Market News:
Spot gold prices fluctuated narrowly in early Asian trading on Tuesday (August 12), currently trading around $3,355 per ounce. Gold prices plummeted on Monday after Trump announced he would not impose tariffs on gold imports, putting significant pressure on London gold prices. The renewed extension of the US-China trade tariff truce, potential progress in Russia-Ukraine peace talks, and market anxiety over upcoming US inflation data have collectively weakened gold's safe-haven appeal, accelerating a price decline and sell-off. Amidst multiple negative headwinds, market attention is turning to the upcoming US inflation data. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released on Tuesday, followed by the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday. These figures will provide key insights into the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. If inflation data falls short of expectations, bets on a rate cut will strengthen, benefiting gold. Conversely, if inflation exceeds expectations, further dollar strength will weigh on international gold prices.
Technical Analysis:
Technically, the gold daily chart closed with a single, large, bearish candlestick, breaking below 3345, the low since August 4th. The New York closing price fell below the 10/7-day moving average at 3350. Gold is poised for a short-term correction due to data news. The short-term four-hour moving average formed a downward crossover at 3380, the RSI indicator is trading below its mid-axis, and the Bollinger Bands on the hourly chart are opening downward, with prices trading within the lower mid-range. Looking at the current gold market, yesterday's sharp drop has wiped out the buying advantage created by last week's weekly close. Next, focus on the direction of the market after the major market move: Support in the 3375-3380 area has been broken, and subsequent resistance could continue to be based on the intraday high and last week's high, maintaining a selling strategy. The 3340 area below is a key support level. If this level holds, buying could trigger a rebound at any time. However, if it does, the market will immediately return to selling.
Trading Strategy:
Short-term gold buy at 3332-3335, stop loss at 3324, target at 3360-3380;
Short-term gold sell at 3376-3379, stop loss at 3388, target at 3350-3330;
Key Points:
First Support Level: 3340, Second Support Level: 3333, Third Support Level: 3320
First Resistance Level: 3368, Second Resistance Level: 3381, Third Resistance Level: 3396
XAU/USD(20250812) Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The Trump team has included Bowman, Jefferson, and Logan as candidates for Federal Reserve Chairman, and the chairman is expected to be announced this fall.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
3363
Support and Resistance Levels:
3426
3402
3387
3338
3323
3299
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 3363, consider buying, with the first target price at 3387.
If the price breaks below 3338, consider selling, with the first target price at 3323.
USD/JPY(20250812)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The Trump team has included Bowman, Jefferson, and Logan as candidates for Federal Reserve Chair, and the nominee is expected to be announced this fall.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
147.90
Support and Resistance Levels:
148.78
148.45
148.24
147.56
147.35
147.01
Trading Strategy:
If the market breaks above 148.24, consider buying, with the first target price being 148.45.
If the market breaks below 147.90, consider selling, with the first target price being 147.56
GBPUSD(20250812)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The Trump team has included Bowman, Jefferson, and Logan as candidates for Federal Reserve Chair, and the nominee is expected to be announced this fall.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
1.3435
Support and Resistance Levels:
1.3512
1.3483
1.3464
1.3405
1.3386
1.3357
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 1.3435, consider a buy entry, with the first target at 1.3464.
If the price breaks below 1.3405, consider a sell entry, with the first target at 1.3386
EURUSD(20250812) Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The Trump team has included Bowman, Jefferson, and Logan as candidates for Federal Reserve Chairman, and the nominee is expected to be announced this fall.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
1.1626
Support and Resistance Levels:
1.1710
1.1679
1.1658
1.1593
1.1573
1.1541
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 1.1626, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price at 1.1658.
If the price breaks below 1.1593, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price at 1.1573.
黄金趋势与交易策略周线复合：在周高点完成前整体横盘上涨2-3周。（牛）
日线复合：在=日高点完成前整体横盘上涨2-3天。（牛）
关键因素：黄金期货创下新周线收盘这标志突破，并且同时日线两个新高收盘，如果是牛市启动的话，价格应该要继续迅速的大幅上涨。
交易策略建议：如果黄金gc期货日线收盘低于3399则表明修正尚未完成。
⚠ 短期交易者应以 TradingBox,信号系统为准
