OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Approx STH Unrealized Profit [Relative %]
This indicator estimates the unrealized profit or loss of short-term holders (STH) without requiring on-chain data. Instead of using actual STH Realized Price (average purchase price), it employs a 155-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) to approximate the behavior of "recent buyers."
How It Works
The indicator calculates the percentage deviation between the current price and the 155-day SMA using the formula:
(Current Price - 155 SMA) / 155 SMA * 100%.
Positive values indicate profit, while negative values show loss. Key threshold levels are set at +50% (overbought) and -30% (oversold).
Trading Applications
Profit > 50% - STH are experiencing significant profits, suggesting potential correction. Consider taking partial profits.
0% < Profit < 50% - Moderate profits indicate the trend may continue. Maintain positions.
Profit ≈ 0% - Price is near STH's average entry point, showing market indecision.
-30% < Profit < 0% - STH are at a loss, potentially signaling accumulation opportunities.
Profit < -30% - Extreme oversold conditions may present buying opportunities.
Limitations
SMA only approximates STH behavior.
May produce false signals during sideways markets.
SMA lag can be noticeable in strong trending markets.
Recommendation
For improved accuracy, combine this indicator with trend-following tools (200 EMA, Volume analysis) and other technical indicators. It serves best as a supplementary tool for identifying overbought/oversold market conditions within your trading strategy.
How It Works
The indicator calculates the percentage deviation between the current price and the 155-day SMA using the formula:
(Current Price - 155 SMA) / 155 SMA * 100%.
Positive values indicate profit, while negative values show loss. Key threshold levels are set at +50% (overbought) and -30% (oversold).
Trading Applications
Profit > 50% - STH are experiencing significant profits, suggesting potential correction. Consider taking partial profits.
0% < Profit < 50% - Moderate profits indicate the trend may continue. Maintain positions.
Profit ≈ 0% - Price is near STH's average entry point, showing market indecision.
-30% < Profit < 0% - STH are at a loss, potentially signaling accumulation opportunities.
Profit < -30% - Extreme oversold conditions may present buying opportunities.
Limitations
SMA only approximates STH behavior.
May produce false signals during sideways markets.
SMA lag can be noticeable in strong trending markets.
Recommendation
For improved accuracy, combine this indicator with trend-following tools (200 EMA, Volume analysis) and other technical indicators. It serves best as a supplementary tool for identifying overbought/oversold market conditions within your trading strategy.
开源脚本
本着TradingView的真正精神，此脚本的创建者将其开源，以便交易者可以查看和验证其功能。向作者致敬！虽然您可以免费使用它，但请记住，重新发布代码必须遵守我们的网站规则。
💡 Обсуждаем торговые идеи , делимся индикаторами и стратегиями в нашем Telegram-чате:
👉 t.me/+AQWwxRhhrXI0YTgy
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免责声明
这些信息和出版物并不意味着也不构成TradingView提供或认可的金融、投资、交易或其它类型的建议或背书。请在使用条款阅读更多信息。
开源脚本
本着TradingView的真正精神，此脚本的创建者将其开源，以便交易者可以查看和验证其功能。向作者致敬！虽然您可以免费使用它，但请记住，重新发布代码必须遵守我们的网站规则。
💡 Обсуждаем торговые идеи , делимся индикаторами и стратегиями в нашем Telegram-чате:
👉 t.me/+AQWwxRhhrXI0YTgy
👉 t.me/+AQWwxRhhrXI0YTgy
免责声明
这些信息和出版物并不意味着也不构成TradingView提供或认可的金融、投资、交易或其它类型的建议或背书。请在使用条款阅读更多信息。