OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
已更新 Trend Reversal Probability [Algoalpha]

Introducing Trend Reversal Probability by AlgoAlpha – a powerful indicator that estimates the likelihood of trend reversals based on an advanced custom oscillator and duration-based statistics. Designed for traders who want to stay ahead of potential market shifts, this indicator provides actionable insights into trend momentum and reversal probabilities.
Key Features:
How to Use:
How It Works:
The indicator begins by calculating a custom oscillator using short and long simple moving averages (SMA) of the midpoint price. A proprietary RSI-like formula then transforms these values to estimate trend direction and momentum. The duration between trend reversals is tracked and averaged, with standard deviations plotted to provide probabilistic guidance on trend longevity. Additionally, the indicator incorporates a cumulative probability function to estimate the likelihood of a trend reversal, displaying the result in a data table for easy reference. When probability levels cross key thresholds, alerts are triggered, helping traders take timely action.
Key Features:
- 🔧 Custom Oscillator Calculation: Combines a dual SMA strategy with a proprietary RSI-like calculation to detect market direction and strength.
- 📊 Probability Levels & Visualization: Plots average signal durations and their statistical deviations (±1, ±2, ±3 SD) on the chart for clear visual guidance.
- 🎨 Dynamic Color Customization: Choose your preferred colors for upward and downward trends, ensuring a personalized chart view.
- 📈 Signal Duration Metrics: Tracks and displays signal durations with columns representing key percentages (80%, 60%, 40%, and 20%).
- 🔔 Alerts for High Probability Events: Set alerts for significant reversal probabilities (above 84% and 98% or below 14%) to capture key trading moments.
How to Use:
- Add the Indicator: Add Trend Reversal Probability to your favorites by clicking the star icon.
- Market Analysis: Use the plotted probability levels (average duration and ±SD bands) to identify overextended trends and potential reversals. Use the color of the duration counter to identify the current trend.
- Leverage Alerts: Enable alerts to stay informed of high or extreme reversal probabilities without constant chart monitoring.
How It Works:
The indicator begins by calculating a custom oscillator using short and long simple moving averages (SMA) of the midpoint price. A proprietary RSI-like formula then transforms these values to estimate trend direction and momentum. The duration between trend reversals is tracked and averaged, with standard deviations plotted to provide probabilistic guidance on trend longevity. Additionally, the indicator incorporates a cumulative probability function to estimate the likelihood of a trend reversal, displaying the result in a data table for easy reference. When probability levels cross key thresholds, alerts are triggered, helping traders take timely action.
版本注释
Small Changes开源脚本
本着TradingView的真正精神,此脚本的创建者将其开源,以便交易者可以查看和验证其功能。向作者致敬!虽然您可以免费使用它,但请记住,重新发布代码必须遵守我们的网站规则。
🚨Get premium: algoalpha.io
🛜Get FREE signals: discord.gg/algoalpha
❓Do you have feedback or indicator ideas? Join our server to tell us about it!
🛜Get FREE signals: discord.gg/algoalpha
❓Do you have feedback or indicator ideas? Join our server to tell us about it!
免责声明
这些信息和出版物并不意味着也不构成TradingView提供或认可的金融、投资、交易或其它类型的建议或背书。请在使用条款阅读更多信息。
开源脚本
本着TradingView的真正精神,此脚本的创建者将其开源,以便交易者可以查看和验证其功能。向作者致敬!虽然您可以免费使用它,但请记住,重新发布代码必须遵守我们的网站规则。
🚨Get premium: algoalpha.io
🛜Get FREE signals: discord.gg/algoalpha
❓Do you have feedback or indicator ideas? Join our server to tell us about it!
🛜Get FREE signals: discord.gg/algoalpha
❓Do you have feedback or indicator ideas? Join our server to tell us about it!
免责声明
这些信息和出版物并不意味着也不构成TradingView提供或认可的金融、投资、交易或其它类型的建议或背书。请在使用条款阅读更多信息。