PROTECTED SOURCE SCRIPT
FintechFull — Next Candle Probability (EB, EWMA, Regime)
Purpose
Developed by FintechFull as a quantitative assistant for day traders.
This indicator estimates the probability that the next candle will close green or red, using recent R/G color patterns of depth N = 1..7.
When a trader knows which side has higher probability, it becomes a powerful edge for trading in the direction of the dominant trend.
Methodology
- Strict no-lookahead counting (no repaint, doji removed)
- Hierarchical Empirical Bayes (EB) smoothing across depths (1→7)
- Optional exponential decay (EWMA) for time-adaptive weighting
- Higher-timeframe EMA regime filter (UP-only / DOWN-only / OFF)
- ALL / SELECTED scopes with single-decision voting (one clean signal per bar)
- On-chart tags (“R” = RAW freq, “E” = EB) and full alert system
How it helps day traders
You can see whether the next bar’s probability favors the bullish or bearish side — then trade in alignment with trend and probability, not emotion.
Learn More
📘 The full research article explaining the math, logic, and Pine implementation,
and the Next-Candle Prediction Bot, are both available on the FintechFull Telegram channel.
→ Just search “FintechFull” on Telegram to read the full paper and try the bot.
Developed by FintechFull as a quantitative assistant for day traders.
This indicator estimates the probability that the next candle will close green or red, using recent R/G color patterns of depth N = 1..7.
When a trader knows which side has higher probability, it becomes a powerful edge for trading in the direction of the dominant trend.
Methodology
- Strict no-lookahead counting (no repaint, doji removed)
- Hierarchical Empirical Bayes (EB) smoothing across depths (1→7)
- Optional exponential decay (EWMA) for time-adaptive weighting
- Higher-timeframe EMA regime filter (UP-only / DOWN-only / OFF)
- ALL / SELECTED scopes with single-decision voting (one clean signal per bar)
- On-chart tags (“R” = RAW freq, “E” = EB) and full alert system
How it helps day traders
You can see whether the next bar’s probability favors the bullish or bearish side — then trade in alignment with trend and probability, not emotion.
Learn More
📘 The full research article explaining the math, logic, and Pine implementation,
and the Next-Candle Prediction Bot, are both available on the FintechFull Telegram channel.
→ Just search “FintechFull” on Telegram to read the full paper and try the bot.
受保护脚本
此脚本以闭源形式发布。 但是，您可以自由使用它，没有任何限制 — 在此处了解更多信息。
免责声明
这些信息和出版物并不意味着也不构成TradingView提供或认可的金融、投资、交易或其它类型的建议或背书。请在使用条款阅读更多信息。
受保护脚本
此脚本以闭源形式发布。 但是，您可以自由使用它，没有任何限制 — 在此处了解更多信息。
免责声明
这些信息和出版物并不意味着也不构成TradingView提供或认可的金融、投资、交易或其它类型的建议或背书。请在使用条款阅读更多信息。