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已更新 Value at Risk (VAR)

Value at Risk (VAR) is a measure of risk metric in finance used to quantify the potential loss in the value of a portfolio of assets or a single investment in a specific time horizon, given a certain level of confidence.
For instance, lets say there is a VAR of $1000000 at the 95% confidence level in a daily time horizon period, that means that there is a 5% chance that the portfolio will decrease by more than a million within a single day.
Indicator Overview
This indicator calculates the Value at Risk (VAR) using the Variance - Covariance method. On the settings of the indicator you can also determine what significance level you want for the indicator.
Confidence level = 1 - α
α is the significance level.
Basically a 5% significance level will have a 95% Confidence level.
There is also a information tab that displays the Value at Risk (VAR), the Confidence level of the significant level you selected, and an Estimated Range. This is just an estimated range because this is based on returns which follow a normal distributions, unlike price which follows a log normal distribution. So this range will only be obeyed here and then.
Calculation method: Variance - Covariance Method
This method involves the expected return and the standard deviation (volatility). It is based on the assumption that returns follow a normal distribution. For more information on this calculation check this link out.
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/04/092904.asp
Applications:

For instance, lets say there is a VAR of $1000000 at the 95% confidence level in a daily time horizon period, that means that there is a 5% chance that the portfolio will decrease by more than a million within a single day.
Indicator Overview
This indicator calculates the Value at Risk (VAR) using the Variance - Covariance method. On the settings of the indicator you can also determine what significance level you want for the indicator.
Confidence level = 1 - α
α is the significance level.
Basically a 5% significance level will have a 95% Confidence level.
There is also a information tab that displays the Value at Risk (VAR), the Confidence level of the significant level you selected, and an Estimated Range. This is just an estimated range because this is based on returns which follow a normal distributions, unlike price which follows a log normal distribution. So this range will only be obeyed here and then.
Calculation method: Variance - Covariance Method
This method involves the expected return and the standard deviation (volatility). It is based on the assumption that returns follow a normal distribution. For more information on this calculation check this link out.
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/04/092904.asp
Applications:
- If the calculated Value at Risk (VAR) is high then, that means the risk is high and if the trader has a low risk tolerance then the trader might want to reconsider the trade.
- The indicator also lets you see what the potential losses (Long and Short) of the asset can be with the confidence level of your choice.
版本注释
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作者的说明
Get access here: https://www.patreon.com/user?u=80987417
Link Tree: linktr.ee/tradersendeavors
Access our indicators: patreon.com/user?u=80987417
Access our indicators: patreon.com/user?u=80987417
免责声明
这些信息和出版物并非旨在提供,也不构成TradingView提供或认可的任何形式的财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议或推荐。请阅读使用条款了解更多信息。
仅限邀请脚本
只有作者授权的用户才能访问此脚本。您需要申请并获得使用许可。通常情况下,付款后即可获得许可。更多详情,请按照下方作者的说明操作,或直接联系Traders_Endeavors。
TradingView不建议您付费购买或使用任何脚本,除非您完全信任其作者并了解其工作原理。您也可以在我们的社区脚本找到免费的开源替代方案。
作者的说明
Get access here: https://www.patreon.com/user?u=80987417
Link Tree: linktr.ee/tradersendeavors
Access our indicators: patreon.com/user?u=80987417
Access our indicators: patreon.com/user?u=80987417
免责声明
这些信息和出版物并非旨在提供,也不构成TradingView提供或认可的任何形式的财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议或推荐。请阅读使用条款了解更多信息。