G. Santostasi Bitcoin Power Law Bands

2024年5月11日

This indicator is based on the author's previously published Power Law Adaptive Indicator. The Power Law is adaptive because it recalculates the slope of the log-log fitting iteratively in a moving window using specific weights that emphasize recent data and make the fit more robust. This particular version add the full model that has 3 components: 1) the general power law trend 2) sinusoidal oscillation to model the periodic oscillations associated with the halvings 3) a fixed bottom at 60 % deviation from the trend that is a hard bottom for Bitcoin price. In addition, the user can choose different values of averaging the price to match the price more closely to the Power Law full Model. The price values are also color-coded according to the standard deviation multiple of that particular price.
Areas in between the full model and the simple model are color-coded to indicate regions where the price is over-valued or under-valued (if the full model is above the simple model the price is over-valued, if the full model is below the simple model the price is undervalued).

2024年5月16日

版本注释

Changed the vertical halving lines to labels. The labels can be turned on or off.

2024年5月16日

版本注释

Fixed a problem with labels.

2024年10月30日

版本注释

Update for the location of the peak label. Now it displays correctly the peak and its relative value.

2024年11月18日

版本注释

Updated option to turn off labels for projections.

2月17日

版本注释

Added an upper decay channel, based on the observed exponential decay of the residuals after subtracting the power law trend.

2月17日

版本注释

Added prediction for the power law support.