Gould 10Y + 4Y patternDescription:
Overview This indicator is a comprehensive tool for macro-market analysis, designed to visualize historical market cycles on your chart. It combines Edson Gould’s famous Decennial Pattern with a Customizable 4-Year Cycle (e.g., 2002 base) to help traders identify long-term trends, potential market bottoms, and strong bullish years.
This tool is ideal for long-term investors and analysts looking for cyclical confluence on monthly or yearly timeframes (e.g., SPX, NDX).
Key Concepts
Edson Gould’s Decennial Pattern (10-Year Cycle)
Based on the theory that the stock market follows a psychological cycle determined by the last digit of the year.
5 (Strongest Bull): Historically the strongest performance years.
7 (Panic/Crash): Years often associated with market panic or crashes.
2 (Bottom/Buy): Years that often mark major lows.
Custom 4-Year Cycle (Target Year Strategy)
Identify recurring 4-year opportunities based on a user-defined base year.
Default Setting (Base 2002): Highlights years like 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, 2018, 2022... which have historically been significant market bottoms or excellent buying opportunities.
When a "Target Year" arrives, the indicator highlights the background and displays a distinct Green "Target Year" Label.
Features
Real-time Dashboard: A table in the top-right corner displays the current year's status for both the 10-Year and 4-Year cycles, including a countdown to the next target year.
Dynamic Labels: Automatically marks every year on the chart with its Decennial status (e.g., "Strong Bull (5)", "Panic (7)").
Visual Highlighting:
Target Years: Distinct green background and labels for easy identification of the 4-year cycle.
Significant Decennial Years: Special small markers for years ending in 5 and 7.
Fully Customizable: You can change the base year for the 4-year cycle, toggle the dashboard, and adjust colors via the settings menu.
How to Use
Apply this indicator to high-timeframe charts (Weekly or Monthly) of major indices like S&P 500 or Nasdaq.
Look for confluence between the 10-Year Pattern (e.g., Year 6 - Bullish) and the 4-Year Cycle (Target Year) to confirm long-term bias.
Disclaimer This tool is for educational and research purposes only based on historical cycle theories. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always manage your risk.
