Identify excess zones resulting in market reversals by visualizing price deviations from an average. The Excess Index (BEI) is designed to identify excess zones resulting in reversals, based on price deviations from a moving average. This moving average is fully customizable (type, period to be taken into account, etc.). This indicator also multiplies the moving...
Here we are looking at the Excess CAPE yield for the SPX500 over the last 100+ years "A higher CAPE meant a lower subsequent 10-year return, and vice versa. The R-squared was a phenomenally high 0.9 — the CAPE on its own was enough to explain 90% of stocks’ subsequent performance over a decade. The standard deviation was 1.37% — in other words, two-thirds of the...