Daily Buy Signal – RSI/EMA21
Daily Buy Signal – RSI/EMA21
A simple technical signal that identifies potential daily buy opportunities using RSI and EMA21 alignment.
This script generates a daily buy signal when momentum and trend strength align.
The signal triggers when the price closes above the 21-period EMA and the RSI(14) crosses above the 50 level, or when both the RSI stays above 50 and the price shifts from closing below the EMA21 to closing above it.
A label is plotted below the candle, and the script includes an alert condition so users can receive real-time notifications.
基本面分析
宏观压力计 (Macro Stress Gauge)call on green, sell on red
the Red Line represents US Treasury Yield momentum (the cost of capital), and the Green Line represents US Dollar momentum (the global liquidity valve).
When both lines spike and break above the 50 midline, it means money is both expensive and scarce. This is the dangerous "Double Kill" moment. At this time, you should hold cash and strictly avoid high-valuation tech stocks.
Conversely, if both the Red and Green lines fall below 50—and the background turns green—that is the macro "Goldilocks Zone." This implies a loose Fed and a weakening Dollar, representing peak risk appetite. You should boldly buy high-beta growth stocks or crypto without worrying about a broad market correction.
The most common scenario is divergence (one up, one down)—for example, if the Red Line rises while the Green Line falls. This usually signals Sector Rotation rather than a crash. In this environment, capital often flows from Tech into Industrials or Commodities; you just need to follow the "Sector Radar" mentioned earlier to allocate into the strong sectors.
To summarize simply, just stare at the middle line: when both lines are above it, it’s "Red Light: Stop"; when both are below, it’s "Green Light: Go." Now, take a look at your screen—if the background hasn't turned red, you can proceed to use the sector tools to hunt for opportunities.
Fed Rate ProbabilityFed Rate Probability – Simple & Clean v2.0
Real-time composite score (0–100) for the next Fed move: Rate Cut, Hike or Hold
Overview
A clean, all-in-one indicator that combines the most reliable market signals into two easy-to-read lines:
• Red line → Probability of RATE CUT
• Blue line → Probability of RATE HIKE
• Hold score = 100 – max(cut, hike)
The dominant signal (CUT / HOLD / HIKE) is highlighted in the information table.
Key Features
Automatic daily data from FRED (DFF, 3M/1M/2Y/10Y yields)
Smart fallback to TradingView native symbols (US01MY, US03MY, US02Y, US10Y) when FRED is unavailable
Manual CME FedWatch probability override (perfect for weekends/holidays)
Historical Fed rate cut/hike markers with background shading and labels
Colored probability zones + customizable threshold lines
Threshold-crossing labels and full alert suite
Special alert on 2Y-10Y yield curve un-inversion (strong historical precursor to rate cuts)
Detailed summary table with current spreads, scores and dominant signal
Fully customizable: enable/disable each component, adjust weights indirectly via toggles, change smoothing, thresholds, colors, etc.
Score Composition (0–100 points)
T-bills vs Fed Funds spread – max 50 pts (with persistence & 1M confirmation bonus)
2-Year Treasury vs Fed Funds spread – max 30 pts (or direct CME probability input)
2Y-10Y yield curve behavior – max 20 pts (inversion depth + large bonus on steepening after un-inversion)
Interpretation
0–40 → Low probability
40–60 → Moderate
60–75 → High
75–100 → Very High / Almost certain
Why this indicator?
Instead of checking FRED, CME FedWatch, yield curves and T-bill spreads separately, get everything in one pane with a clear, smoothed composite score and instant alerts when the market starts pricing a Fed move aggressively.
Disclaimer
This is a decision-support tool based on historical relationships and current market pricing. It is not financial advice and past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Enjoy and trade safe! 🚀
EMA 20/50/200 - Warning Note Before Cross EMA 20/50/200 - Smart Cross Detection with Customizable Alerts
A clean and minimalistic indicator that tracks three key Exponential Moving Averages (20, 50, and 200) with intelligent near-cross detection and customizable warning system.
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📊 KEY FEATURES
✓ Triple EMA System
• EMA 20 (Red) - Fast/Short-term trend
• EMA 50 (Yellow) - Medium/Intermediate trend
• EMA 200 (Green) - Slow/Long-term trend & major support/resistance
✓ Smart Near-Cross Detection
• Get warned BEFORE crosses happen (not after)
• Adjustable threshold percentage (how close is "close")
• Automatic hiding after cross to prevent false signals
• Configurable lookback period
✓ Dual Warning System
• Price Label: Appears directly on chart near EMAs
• Info Table: Positioned anywhere on your chart
• Both show distance percentage and direction
• Dynamic positioning to avoid blocking candles
✓ Color-Coded Alerts
• GREEN warning = Bullish cross approaching (EMA 20 crossing UP through EMA 50)
• RED warning = Bearish cross approaching (EMA 20 crossing DOWN through EMA 50)
✓ Cross Signal Detection
• Golden Cross (EMA 50 crosses above EMA 200)
• Death Cross (EMA 50 crosses below EMA 200)
• Fast crosses (EMA 20 and EMA 50)
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⚙️ CUSTOMIZATION OPTIONS
Warning Settings:
• Custom warning text for bull/bear signals
• Adjustable opacity for better visibility
• Toggle distance and direction display
• Flexible table positioning (9 positions available)
• 5 text size options
Alert Settings:
• Golden/Death Cross alerts
• Fast cross alerts (20/50)
• Near-cross warnings (before it happens)
• All alerts are non-repainting
Display Options:
• Show/hide each EMA individually
• Toggle all signals on/off
• Adjustable threshold sensitivity
• Dynamic label positioning
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🎯 HOW TO USE
1. ADD TO CHART
Simply add the indicator to any chart and timeframe
2. ADJUST THRESHOLD
Default is 0.5% - increase for less frequent warnings, decrease for earlier warnings
3. SET UP ALERTS
Create alerts for:
• Near-cross warnings (get notified before the cross)
• Actual crosses (when EMA 20 crosses EMA 50)
• Golden/Death crosses (major trend changes)
4. CUSTOMIZE APPEARANCE
• Change warning text to your language
• Adjust opacity for your chart theme
• Position table where it's most convenient
• Choose label size for visibility
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💡 TRADING TIPS
- Use the near-cross warning to prepare entries/exits BEFORE the cross happens
- Green warning = Prepare for potential long position
- Red warning = Prepare for potential short position
- Combine with other indicators for confirmation
- Higher timeframes = more reliable signals
- Warning disappears after cross to avoid confusion
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🔧 TECHNICAL DETAILS
- Pine Script v6
- Non-repainting (all signals confirm on bar close)
- Works on all timeframes
- Works on all instruments (stocks, crypto, forex, futures)
- Lightweight and efficient
- No external data sources required
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📝 SETTINGS GUIDE
Near Cross Settings:
• Threshold %: How close EMAs must be to trigger warning (default 0.5%)
• Lookback Bars: Hide warning for X bars after a cross (default 3)
Warning Note Style:
• Text Size: Tiny to Huge
• Colors: Customize bull/bear warning colors
• Position: Place table anywhere on chart
• Opacity: 0 (solid) to 90 (very transparent)
Price Label:
• Size: Tiny to Large
• Opacity: Control transparency
• Auto-positioning: Moves to avoid blocking candles
Custom Text:
• Bull/Bear warning messages
• Toggle distance display
• Toggle direction display
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⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES
- Warnings only appear BEFORE crosses, not after
- After a cross happens, warning is hidden for the lookback period
- Adjust threshold if you're getting too many/too few warnings
- This is a trend-following indicator - best used with confirmation
- Always use proper risk management
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Happy Trading! 📈📉
If you find this indicator useful, please give it a boost and leave a comment!
For questions or suggestions, feel free to reach out.
MSTR mNAV indicatorTrack and compute MicroStrategy's mNAV (EV divided by BTC reserve value) over time.
- compute method: www.strategy.com
- data source: www.strategy.com
Crypto Market Pulse: Dom vs Vol AnalyzerConcept & Methodology
The core logic of this indicator is based on the "Money Flow" theory. It aggregates data from multiple sources (CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL, BTC.D, BINANCE:BTCUSDT) to provide a comprehensive market overview in a single panel.
Key Calculations:
Total Market Cap & Volume: Fetches real-time data to determine the overall health of the market.
Inverse Dominance Logic: Unlike standard indicators, this script applies inverse color coding to Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D).
When BTC Dominance drops, it is colored Green (indicating liquidity flowing into Altcoins).
When BTC Dominance rises, it is colored Red (indicating risk for Altcoins).
Volume Delta: Compares the current timeframe's volume against the previous candle to calculate the percentage change, highlighting sudden liquidity injections.
█ Features
Real-time Dashboard: Displays Cap, Volume, BTC Price, and BTC Dominance.
Altcoin-Focus Coloring: Automatically interprets data to favor Altcoin traders (Green Signals = Good for Alts).
Dynamic Alerts:
Volume Surge Alert: Triggers when volume exceeds a user-defined threshold (default +50%), signaling potential breakout activity.
Dominance Drop Alert: Triggers when BTC Dominance falls significantly, signaling the start of potential Altcoin movement.
█ How to Use
Look for Confluence: The ideal "Altseason" signal is when the Total Cap is Green (Market up) AND BTC Dominance is Green (Dominance down). This indicates money is moving from BTC to Alts.
Volume Confirmation: Use the Volume row to confirm the strength of the move. A price rise without volume is often a fakeout.
Customization: You can adjust the table position and text size from the settings menu to fit your screen setup.
Relative Value & Risk Analytics DashboardThis is your risk-adjusted alpha analysis tool - exactly what hedge fund and insurance company clients want to see.
Attractiveness Score | Composite score combining RV and Risk (0-100)
Relative Performance | vs Benchmark (SET/SPY), RS Ratio Trend, 52W Position, Spread Z-Score
Risk Metrics | Beta, Alpha, Sharpe, Sortino, Information Ratio, Volatility
Correlation | Benchmark Correlation, R-Squared, Regime Change Detection
Pair Trade | Peer Correlation, Pair Z-Score, Long/Short Signals
Factor Exposure | Momentum (1/3/6M), Mean Reversion Signal, Distance from SMA50
Drawdown | Current DD, Max DD, Recovery Needed, Ulcer Index, Calmar, VaR
Key Features:
Benchmark-Relative Analysis: Compare any stock vs SET Index or any other benchmark
Pair Trade Signals: Automatically generates long/short signals based on Z-score
Risk-Adjusted Returns: Sharpe, Sortino, Information Ratio - what your clients actually care about
Regime Change Detection: Alert when correlation dynamics shift
Drawdown Risk: VaR, Ulcer Index, Calmar Ratio for risk-conscious clients
CRAZY RAY RAY - Dashboard 1-5-15-1D + SMC + Clock + Candles PRO OANDA:XAUUSD This script is essentially your institutional "nuclear power plant" for scalping and swing trading: it combines the 1-5-15-1D dashboard, SMC, PRO candles, money flow times, institutional filters, Bull/Bear 12C, Liquidity HUD, Fibo Move, and Target Trend with SL + 3 TPs into a single indicator. 1. Dashboard 1–5–15–1D (Central HUD)
Calculates across 4 timeframes: 1m, 5m, 15m, and 1D:
Trend with EMAs 15/30/200.
RSI (strength >50 buy, <50 sell).
MACD (crossover in favor or against).
For each timeframe it shows:
TREND → BULLISH / BEARISH / NEUTRAL.
ACTION → BUY / SELL / WAIT.
If all 4 timeframes align:
MODE = BULLISH BUY
MODE = BEARISH SELL
Filters and displays on the HUD if buys or sells are blocked by SMC context (BLOCKED BUY / BLOCKED SELL).
Also draws 2 simple moving averages on the chart:
SMA 20 white (you can use it as a micro-trend).
SMA 200 red (macro trend and institutional reference).
2. Real-Time Clock + Trading Hours
Calculates the real time for:
New York / Miami
London
Tokyo
using current time and real time zone.
Also calculates GMT time to know which session is dominant.
Marks your trading hours:
LONDON 3:00–5:30 (London time) → goodLondon
NY OPEN 8:30–10:00 (NY time) → goodNYOpen
ASIA 20:00–23:00 (Tokyo) → goodAsiaScalp
Displays a message on the HUD:
LONDON 3:00–5:30 (1–2 TRADES)
NY OPEN 8:30–10:00 (1 TRADE)
ASIA 20–23 (SCALP)
NO TRADE ROLL / DEAD / LATE
ONLY A+ SETUPS (when not in strong trading hours).
3. Institutional Power (volume + ATR + session)
Filter that evaluates whether the moment is institutional or retail:
Checks:
If you are in a strong trading session (London / NY). If the volume is above the average × multiplier.
If the ATR is above the average × multiplier.
If it passes the filters → INST ON, otherwise → RETAIL ZONE.
Used internally to block buys/sells and for the HUD.
4. Micro-signal “NO RETRACEMENT” on 1m (BUY SR / SELL SR)
On the 1-minute timeframe, it detects a very aggressive entry:
Clean trend (15/30/200 EMAs aligned).
Price crosses the 200 EMA.
MACD turns in favor.
Marks on the candle:
BUY SR (buys without retracement below the EMA200).
SELL SR (sales without retracement above the EMA200).
This state is also reflected in the HUD as the “SR” row.
5. SMC Block: HH/HL/LH/LL + BMS + ChoCH + Fibo + Zones
This is the SMC brain of the script:
Detects swings with pivots:
Paints HH, HL, LH, LL (if you activate showHHLL).
Marks BOS (break of structure).
Marks BMS and ChoCH (with strong or weak filter using ATR, volume, MACD, gaps).
Draws:
Internal Fibo of the last range (38–50–61).
Fibo entry zone 38–78% as a green discount/premium box.
Institutional mitigation zones (simple OB type green/red boxes).
Current range with dotted yellow lines.
Calculates logic for:
antiStupidBuy: blocks purchases when the context is very bearish (LL–LL–LH, bearish ChoCH, premium, EQH, etc.).
antiStupidSell: symmetrical for sales.
From this comes:
allowBuyInst
allowSellInst
buyBlockerOn / sellBlockerOn
buyTrapDetected (BUY SR signal but context blocks it → BUY TRAP).
All this feeds the HUD and institutional alerts.
6. PRO Candles (candlestick + smart color)
Candlestick pattern system:
Detects:
Hammer, Inverted Hammer. Doji.
Strong bullish/bearish candle.
Bullish/bearish engulfing.
Uses a trend EMA to determine if the pattern is with or against the trend.
Colors the candles according to the pattern (if you enable useColorCandles).
Defines texts:
patternText (pattern name).
biasText (reversal, momentum, indecision).
Updates the HUD with the current pattern (“CANDLE: Engulf Bull”, etc.).
7. Institutional PRO Combo + Reversals
Connects everything:
fullBuySetup:
allowBuyInst TRUE (SMC + Fibo + mitigation OK).
Institutional candles in favor (engulfing, hammer, etc.).
MultiTF aligned (1m, 5m in favor, 15/1D not strongly against).
Strong session (London or NY).
No blockages.
fullSellSetup: the same for sales.
Marks on the chart:
BUY PRO, SELL PRO.
BUY REV LL → reversal from a LL, at Fibo discount, with an institutional candle and above EMA200.
SELL REV HH → reversal from HH, at Fibo premium, with an institutional candle and below EMA200.
And generates alerts for all of this.
8. Dynamic Main HUD
On barstate.islast, updates the HUD:
Changes “BUY / SELL” to:
BUY BLOCK / SELL BLOCK when the context blocks that direction.
Writes:
Current candle pattern.
Time message.
Global status:
BUY TRAP ❌, BUY REV LL ✅, SELL REV HH ✅, BUY PRO ✅, SELL PRO ✅,
BUY BLOCK, SELL BLOCK, BUY/SELL OK.
9. Bull/Bear 12C HUD (Small right HUD)
12-confirmation bull/bear engine:
Calculates:
Sweep, 5th leg, mitigation, HL/LH, strong BOS.
Volume pattern (high-low-high).
ATR rising.
MACD crossover.
Liquidity.
Fear & Greed (SMA50).
Gap/imbalance. Bull/Bear 180 weak.
Count how many are ON:
bullScore /12
bearScore /12
Define a regime:
INSTITUTIONAL → many confirmations + rvol + ATR.
NORMAL
RETAIL
Show on right HUD:
List 1 to 12 with green/red dots BULL / BEAR.
Summary: “Regime: INSTITUTIONAL / NORMAL / RETAIL”.
10. Liquidity HUD XAU SCALP
Calculates RVOL, normalized ATR, spread vs ATR, current range vs average range.
Generates score and classifies:
LOW / MED / HIGH / INS.
Only moves up one level if you are in London/NY session (depending on sessions)
Open Interest RSI [BackQuant]Open Interest RSI
A multi-venue open interest oscillator that aggregates OI across major derivatives exchanges, converts it to coin or USD terms, and runs an RSI-style engine on that aggregated OI so you can track positioning pressure, crowding, and mean reversion in leverage flows, not just in price.
What this is
This tool is an RSI built on top of aggregated open interest instead of price. It pulls futures OI from several major exchanges, converts it into a unified unit (COIN or USD), sums it into a single synthetic OI candle, then applies RSI and smoothing to that combined series.
You can then render that Open Interest RSI in different visual modes:
Clean line or colored line for classic oscillator-style reads.
Column-style oscillator for impulse and compression views.
Flag mode that fills between OI RSI and its EMA for trend/mean reversion blends. See:
Heatmap mode that paints the panel based on OI RSI extremes, ideal for scanning. See:
On top of that it includes:
Aggregated OI source selection (Binance, Bybit, OKX, Bitget, Kraken, HTX, Deribit).
Choice of OI units (COIN or USD).
Reference lines and OB/OS zones.
Extreme highlighting for either trend or mean reversion.
A vertical OI RSI meter that acts as a quick strength gauge.
Aggregated open interest source
Under the hood, the indicator builds a synthetic open interest candle by:
Looping over a list of supported exchanges: Binance, Bybit, OKX, Bitget, Kraken, HTX, Deribit.
Looping over multiple contract suffixes (such as USDT.P, USD.P, USDC.P, USD.PM) to capture different contract types on each venue.
Requesting OI candles from each venue + contract combination for the same underlying symbol.
Converting each OI stream into a common unit: In COIN mode, everything is normalized into coin-denominated OI. In USD mode, coin OI is multiplied by price to approximate notional OI.
Summing up open, high, low and close of OI across venues into a single aggregated OI candle.
If no valid OI is available for the current symbol across all sources, the script throws a clear runtime error so you know you are on an unsupported market.
This gives you a single, exchange-agnostic open interest curve instead of being tied to one venue. That aggregated OI is then passed into the RSI logic.
How the OI RSI is calculated
The RSI side is straightforward, but it is applied to the aggregated OI close:
Compute a base RSI of aggregated OI using the Calculation Period .
Apply a simple moving average of length Smoothing Period (SMA) to reduce noise in the raw OI RSI.
Optionally apply an EMA on top of the smoothed OI RSI as a moving average signal line.
Key parameters:
Calculation Period – base RSI length for OI.
Smoothing Period (SMA) – extra smoothing on the RSI value.
EMA Period – EMA length on the smoothed OI RSI.
The result is:
oi_rsi – raw RSI of aggregated OI.
oi_rsi_s – SMA-smoothed OI RSI.
ma – EMA of the smoothed OI RSI.
Thresholds and extremes
You control three core thresholds:
Mid Point – central reference level, typically 50.
Extreme Upper Threshold – high-level OI RSI edge (for example 80).
Extreme Lower Threshold – low-level OI RSI edge (for example 20).
These thresholds are used for:
Reference lines or OB/OS zone fills.
Heatmap gradient bounds.
Background highlighting of extremes.
The Extreme Highlighting mode controls how extremes are interpreted:
None – do nothing special in extreme regions.
Mean-Rev – background turns red on high OI RSI and green on low OI RSI, framing extremes as contrarian zones.
Trend – background turns green on high OI RSI and red on low OI RSI, framing extremes as participation zones aligned with the prevailing move.
Reference lines and OB/OS zones
You can choose:
None – clean plotting without guides.
Basic Reference Lines – mid, upper and lower thresholds as simple gray horizontals.
OB/OS Levels – filled zones between:
Upper OB: from the upper threshold to 100, colored with the short/overbought color.
Lower OS: from 0 to the lower threshold, colored with the long/oversold color.
These guides help visually anchor the OI RSI within "normal" versus "extreme" regions.
Plotting modes
The Plotting Type input controls how OI RSI is drawn. All modes share the same underlying OI and RSI logic, but emphasise different aspects of the signal.
1) Line mode
This is the classic oscillator representation:
Plots the smoothed OI RSI as a simple line using RSI Line Color and RSI Line Width .
Optionally plots the EMA overlay on the same panel.
Works well when you want standard RSI-style signals on leverage flows: crosses of the midline, divergences versus price, and so on.
2) Colored Line mode
In this mode:
The OI RSI is plotted as a line, but its color is dynamic.
If the smoothed OI RSI is above the mid point, it uses the Long/OB Color .
If it is below the mid point, it uses the Short/OS Color .
This creates an instant visual regime switch between "bullish positioning pressure" and "bearish positioning pressure", while retaining the feel of a traditional RSI line.
3) Oscillator mode
Oscillator mode renders OI RSI as vertical columns around the mid level:
The smoothed OI RSI is plotted as columns using plot.style_columns .
The histogram base is fixed at 50, so bars extend above and below the mid line.
Bar color is dynamic, using long or short colors depending on which side of the mid point the value sits.
This representation makes impulse and compression in OI flows more obvious. It is especially useful when you want to focus on how quickly OI RSI is expanding or contracting around its neutral level. See:
4) Flag mode
Flag mode turns OI RSI and its EMA into a two-line band with a filled area between them:
The smoothed OI RSI and its EMA are both plotted.
A fill is drawn between them.
The fill color flips between the long color and the short color depending on whether OI RSI is above or below its EMA.
Black outlines are added to both lines to make the band clear against any background.
This creates a "flag" style region where:
Green fills show OI RSI leading its EMA, suggesting positive positioning momentum.
Red fills show OI RSI trailing below its EMA, suggesting negative positioning momentum.
Crossovers of the two lines can be read as shifts in OI momentum regime.
Flag mode is useful if you want a more structural view that combines both the level and slope behaviour of OI RSI. See:
5) Heatmap mode
Heatmap mode recasts OI RSI as a single-row gradient instead of a line:
A single row at level 1 is plotted using column style.
The color is pulled from a gradient between the lower and upper thresholds: Near the lower threshold it approaches the short/oversold color and near the upper threshold it approaches the long/overbought color.
The EMA overlay and reference lines are disabled in this mode to keep the panel clean.
This is a very compact way to track OI RSI state at a glance, especially when stacking it alongside other indicators. See:
OI RSI vertical meter
Beyond the main plot, the script can draw a small "thermometer" table showing the current OI RSI position from 0 to 100:
The meter is a two-column table with a configurable number of rows.
Row colors form an inverted gradient: red at the top (100) and green at the bottom (0).
The script clamps OI RSI between 0 and 100 and maps it to a row index.
An arrow marker "▶" is drawn next to the row corresponding to the current OI RSI value.
0 and 100 labels are printed at the ends of the scale for orientation.
You control:
Show OI RSI Meter – turn the meter on or off.
OI RSI Blocks – number of vertical blocks (granularity).
OI RSI Meter Position – panel anchor (top/bottom, left/center/right).
The meter is particularly helpful if you keep the main plot in a small panel but still want an intuitive strength gauge.
How to read it as a market pressure gauge
Because this is an RSI built on aggregated open interest, its extremes and regimes speak to positioning pressure rather than price alone:
High OI RSI (near or above the upper threshold) indicates that open interest has been increasing aggressively relative to its recent history. This often coincides with crowded leverage and a buildup of directional pressure.
Low OI RSI (near or below the lower threshold) indicates aggressive de-leveraging or closing of positions, often associated with flushes, forced unwinds or post-liquidation clean-ups.
Values around the mid point indicate more balanced positioning flows.
You can combine this with price action:
Price up with rising OI RSI suggests fresh leverage joining the move, a more persistent trend.
Price up with falling OI RSI suggests shorts covering or longs taking profit, more fragile upside.
Price down with rising OI RSI suggests aggressive new shorts or levered selling.
Price down with falling OI RSI suggests de-leveraging and potential exhaustion of the move.
Trading applications
Trend confirmation on leverage flows
Use OI RSI to confirm or question a price trend:
In an uptrend, rising OI RSI with values above the mid point indicates supportive leverage flows.
In an uptrend, repeated failures to lift OI RSI above mid point or persistent weakness suggest less committed participation.
In a downtrend, strong OI RSI on the downside points to aggressive shorting.
Mean reversion in positioning
Use thresholds and the Mean-Rev highlight mode:
When OI RSI spends extended time above the upper threshold, the crowd is extended on one side. That can set up squeeze risk in the opposite direction.
When OI RSI has been pinned low, it suggests heavy de-leveraging. Once price stabilises, a re-risking phase is often not far away.
Background colours in Mean-Rev mode help visually identify these periods.
Regime mapping with plotting modes
Different plotting modes give different perspectives:
Heatmap mode for dashboard-style use where you just need to know "hot", "neutral" or "cold" on OI flows at a glance.
Oscillator mode for short term impulses and compression reads around the mid line. See:
Flag mode for blending level and trend of OI RSI into a single banded visual. See:
Settings overview
RSI group
Plotting Type – None, Line, Colored Line, Oscillator, Flag, Heatmap.
Calculation Period – base RSI length for OI.
Smoothing Period (SMA) – smoothing on RSI.
Moving Average group
Show EMA – toggle EMA overlay (not used in heatmap).
EMA Period – length of EMA on OI RSI.
EMA Color – colour of EMA line.
Thresholds group
Mid Point – central reference.
Extreme Upper Threshold and Extreme Lower Threshold – OB/OS thresholds.
Select Reference Lines – none, basic lines or OB/OS zone fills.
Extreme Highlighting – None, Mean-Rev, Trend.
Extra Plotting and UI
RSI Line Color and RSI Line Width .
Long/OB Color and Short/OS Color .
Show OI RSI Meter , OI RSI Blocks , OI RSI Meter Position .
Open Interest Source
OI Units – COIN or USD.
Exchange toggles: Binance, Bybit, OKX, Bitget, Kraken, HTX, Deribit.
Notes
This is a positioning and pressure tool, not a complete system. It:
Models aggregated futures open interest across multiple centralized exchanges.
Transforms that OI into an RSI-style oscillator for better comparability across regimes.
Offers several visual modes to match different workflows, from detailed analysis to compact dashboards.
Use it to understand how leverage and positioning are evolving behind the price, to gauge when the crowd is stretched, and to decide whether to lean with or against that pressure. Attach it to your existing signals, not in place of them.
Also, please check out @NoveltyTrade for the OI Aggregation logic & pulling the data source!
Here is the original script:
BuLLzEyE_MNQ FVG/IFVG SystemFVG Boxes
These are the main trading zones. The indicator automatically detects Fair Value Gaps and draws boxes on your chart:
• GREEN boxes = Bullish FVG (potential buy zone)
• RED boxes = Bearish FVG (potential sell zone)
• YELLOW boxes = IFVG (Inverse FVG - filled gaps that now act as support/resistance)
• GRAY boxes = Mitigated FVG (gap has been filled)
• WHITE dashed line = 50% level (optimal entry point within the FVG)
Session Boxes
Session boxes show you the high/low range of each major trading session. This helps identify where liquidity sits:
• PURPLE = Asia Session (6:00 PM - 3:00 AM ET)
• BLUE = London Session (3:00 AM - 12:00 PM ET)
• ORANGE = New York Session (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET)
• TEAL = Sydney Session (5:00 PM - 2:00 AM ET)
• LIME GREEN = Kill Zone / London-NY Overlap (8:00 AM - 11:00 AM ET) - BEST TRADING TIME
Entry Signals
• GREEN triangle pointing UP = Long entry signal at a Bullish FVG (not 100% reliable)
• RED triangle pointing DOWN = Short entry signal at a Bearish FVG (not 100% reliable)
Liquidity Sweeps
• RED X with 'SWEEP' = Previous Day High (PDH) was swept
• GREEN X with 'SWEEP' = Previous Day Low (PDL) was swept
• Dotted lines = PDH (red) and PDL (green) levels
Information Tables
HTF Bias Table (Top Right): Shows whether the higher timeframe (default 15m) is bullish or bearish, the number of active FVGs, and whether you're in the trading session.
Risk Calculator Table (Bottom Right): Shows your risk amount and calculates how many contracts you can trade for different stop loss sizes (5pt, 10pt, 15pt).
How It Works
What is a Fair Value Gap?
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a 3-candle pattern where aggressive buying or selling creates a price void. Specifically, it's when the wick of the first candle doesn't overlap with the wick of the third candle, leaving a gap in between. Price tends to return to these gaps to 'rebalance' before continuing in the original direction.
What is an Inverse FVG?
When an FVG gets filled (price returns and closes through the gap), it becomes an Inverse FVG (IFVG). These zones flip their polarity - a filled Bullish FVG becomes resistance, and a filled Bearish FVG becomes support. The indicator automatically converts mitigated FVGs to yellow IFVG boxes.
The 50% Entry Level
The dashed white line in each FVG represents the 50% level (also called Consequent Encroachment). This is considered the optimal entry point - it's the middle of the imbalance where price is most likely to react.
Suggested Trading Strategy
1. Check HTF Bias (top right table) - only trade in that direction
2. Wait for a liquidity sweep (SWEEP label appears)
3. Look for an FVG to form AFTER the sweep
4. Enter when price returns to the 50% level (dashed line)
5. Place stop loss below/above the FVG (add 2 ticks buffer)
6. Take profit at 1:2 or 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio
Settings Explained
FVG Settings
• Min FVG Size: Minimum gap size in points to be considered valid (default: 2.0)
• Max FVG Age: How many bars until an FVG is removed from chart (default: 50)
• Show 50% Entry Level: Toggle the dashed entry line on/off
Session Settings
• Show Session Boxes: Toggle all session boxes on/off
• Max Sessions to Show: How many historical sessions to display (default: 5)
• Individual Session Toggles: Turn each session (Asia/London/NY/Sydney/Kill Zone) on or off
Risk Calculator Settings
• Account Size: Your trading account balance
• Risk Per Trade: Percentage of account to risk per trade (default: 0.5%)
• Tick Value/Size: Contract specifications for MNQ ($0.50 per tick, 0.25 point tick size)
Tips for Best Results
1. Trade during the Kill Zone (8:00-11:00 AM ET) for best volatility and liquidity
2. Always align trades with HTF bias - don't fight the trend
3. Wait for liquidity sweeps before entering - this confirms smart money activity
4. Use the 50% level for entries - it offers the best risk-to-reward
5. Watch for IFVG zones as additional confluence for entries
6. Use the risk calculator to size positions properly - never risk more than you can afford
7. Session boxes help identify where stops are clustered - sweeps of these levels often precede reversals
Available Alerts
• New FVG Formed (Bullish or Bearish)
• Price Touching 50% Entry Level
• FVG Mitigated (gap filled)
• Long Entry Signal
• Short Entry Signal
• PDH/PDL Liquidity Sweep
─────────────────────────────────────
Created by BullyTrading
Designed for MNQ Prop Firm Trading
One Point Global Net Liquidity The "Fuel" Behind the MarketMost traders look at price action, but price is often just a reflection of the money supply available in the system. This indicator tracks Global Net Liquidity—the actual amount of fiat currency available to flow into risk assets like Crypto and Equities.
Unlike standard "Money Supply" (M2) charts, this indicator focuses on Central Bank Balance Sheets, which is a more direct proxy for "Quantitative Easing" (QE) and "Quantitative Tightening" (QT).
How It Works (The Formula)
This script aggregates the balance sheets of the "Big 4" Central Banks, which represent ~90% of global liquidity. It automatically converts all values to USD Trillions for a standardized view.
{Global Liquidity} = {US Net Liquidity} + {ECB} + {PBoC} + {BoJ}
1. US Net Liquidity (The "Trader's" Formula) We do not just use the Fed's Total Assets. We subtract the money that is "stuck" outside the private economy:
(+) Fed Balance Sheet: Total Assets.
(-) TGA (Treasury General Account): The government's checking account. When this goes up, liquidity is drained from markets.
(-) RRP (Reverse Repo): Money parked by banks at the Fed overnight. When this goes up, liquidity is removed from the system.
2. Global Additions
ECB (Eurozone): Converted to USD.
PBoC (China): Converted to USD.
BoJ (Japan): Converted to USD.
How to Use This Indicator This indicator is designed as an Overlay on the main chart (using the Left Scale).
Correlation: Generally, when the Orange Line (Liquidity) trends up, Bitcoin and the S&P 500 trend up. When Central Banks tighten (line down), risk assets struggle.
The "Divergence" Signal (Alpha):
Bullish: If Price makes a Lower Low but Liquidity makes a Higher Low, it often signals seller exhaustion and a potential bottom.
Bearish: If Price makes a New High but Liquidity fails to follow (or drops), the rally may be unsupported and prone to a reversal.
Settings
Scale: This indicator is pinned to the Scale Left to allow it to overlay price action without distortion.
Data: Uses daily data from ECONOMICS and FRED feeds.
Fabio-Style Order Flow SystemFabio-Style Order Flow System — LVN • Delta • Big Trades • FVG • Order Blocks • Liquidity • Volume Profile
This indicator brings together all major components of Fabio Valentino’s order-flow strategy in one unified tool. It visualizes where smart money is active, where inefficiencies form, and where price is likely to react next.
🔍 FEATURES
1. Order Flow & Delta
Smoothed delta to show true market imbalance
Background color shifts to bullish/bearish delta dominance
Alerts for delta spikes & order-flow flips
2. Big Trade Detection
Highlights Big Buy and Big Sell prints (relative to average volume)
Helps identify institutional aggression on both sides
3. Low Volume Nodes (LVNs)
Automatically detects low-volume zones
Flags retests of LVNs for high-probability reactions
Uses dynamic volume thresholds for accuracy
4. Volume Profile (Lightweight)
Bucket-based intrabar profile across user-defined lookback
Highlights volume distribution without heavy TradingView CPU load
Auto-scales bucket density & transparency
5. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
Detects both bullish & bearish three-bar imbalances
Marks gaps visually using colored boxes
Updates dynamically with a user-set lookback
6. Order Blocks (OBs)
Identifies valid displacement bars and their origin OB
Plots clean, minimalist rectangles around key OB zones
Uses ATR-based impulse filtering
7. Liquidity Grabs
Detects wick-based liquidity sweeps
Highlights both equal high/low and stop-run type wicks
Useful for spotting reversals & trap setups
8. Strategy Dashboard
Shows real-time order flow state
Displays delta strength, big trades, LVNs, and last directional impulse
Auto-positions in all corners
🎯 PERFECT FOR
Traders who use:
Order Flow
Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
ICT / FVG / Liquidity models
Market Structure + Volume
Fabio Valentino-style analysis
⚙️ PERFORMANCE
All elements optimized
Uses automatic box-clearing to avoid array overload
Works on all timeframes & markets (crypto, FX, indices, stocks)
Aether Market MapAether Market Map A multi-component structure-based tool that aids chart analysis by visually displaying various market structure elements.
It combines order blocks, fair value gaps, liquidity segments, trend-shifting signals, and more to help users interpret the pricing structure more clearly.
This script does not provide specific trading strategies or investment advice and is a reference tool for chart analysis.
🔍 Key Features
1. Order Blocks (OB)
Displays the potential inflection sections in box form according to the specified conditions.
This feature helps to visually grasp the price segments that market participants have repeatedly responded to.
2. Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
It detects the area where the imbalance between the candles has occurred and displays it in a box form.
The area represents the section where there has been a fast movement or abnormal flow of prices.
3. Liquidity Levels
Shapes the points where liquidity was gathered through a short-term high-point and low-point pivot structure.
You can see the structural levels at which prices can react repeatedly.
4. BOS / CHOCH (Structural Change Detection)
Label changes in market structure based on recent high/low breakthroughs.
This is not just trend tracking, it helps us to visually grasp the changes in the structure itself.
📈 Analysis of multi-time frame trends
We compute the comprehensive trend state by leveraging the moving average slope of the swing and macro higher order time frames.
These values are reflected in chart background and EMA color changes to intuitively display the overall market mood.
Positive Environment (Regime > 0) → Green Family
Negative Environment (Regime < 0) → Red Series
This is a simple visualization of the flow of the market to the user, not a specific trading direction.
🔧 Signal Engine (Confluence-Based Visual Tool)
The script does not provide a transaction signal and does not induce a particular trading decision.
The Signal feature is a visual notification element that appears on the chart when a number of conditions overlap.
a change in the ratio of trading volume
Structural activities in recent analysis sections
Trending Environment
short-term momentum change
This feature is a reference visual element for interpreting market data from multiple perspectives.
🎛 Setting Items
Show Order Blocks — Visualize Order Blocks
Show Fair Value Gaps — Show FVG Detection
Show Liquidity Levels — Show pivot-based liquidity areas
Show BOS/CHoCH — Show Structural Switching Points
Show Trade Signals — Display visual signal notifications
HTF Settings — Enter parent timeframe analysis values
💡 Precautions for Use
This script is a market structure visualization tool and does not guarantee specific trading strategies, forecasts, or returns.
Components are calculated based on historical data and may not fully reflect real-time market changes.
All features are intended for research and chart analysis assistance purposes.
📌 Official Disclaimer
This script does not provide investment, finance, or trading advice.
All trading judgments made by the user and their consequences are the user's own responsibility.
This tool only provides a reference visualization function to assist with analysis.
RSL Screener Column//@version=5
indicator("RSL Screener Column", shorttitle="RSL", overlay=false)
sma26 = ta.sma(close, 26)
rsl = close / sma26
plot(rsl)
Annual Lump Sum: Yearly & CompoundedAnnual Lump Sum Investment Analyzer (Yearly vs. Compounded)
Overview
This Pine Script indicator simulates a disciplined "Lump Sum" investing strategy. It calculates the performance of buying a fixed dollar amount (e.g., $10,000) on the very first trading day of every year and holding it indefinitely.
Unlike standard backtesters that only show a total percentage, this tool breaks down performance by "Vintage" (the year of purchase), allowing you to see which specific years contributed most to your wealth.
Key Features
Automated Execution: Automatically detects the first trading bar of every new year to simulate a buy.
Dual-Yield Analysis: The table provides two distinct ways to view returns:
Yearly %: How the market performed specifically during that calendar year (Jan 1 to Dec 31).
Compounded %: The total return of that specific year's investment from the moment it was bought until today.
Live Updates: For the current year, the "End Price" and "Yields" update in real-time with market movements.
Portfolio Summary: Displays your Total Invested Capital vs. Total Current Value at the top of the table.
Table Column Breakdown
The dashboard in the bottom-right corner displays the following:
Year: The vintage year of the investment.
Buy Price: The price of the asset on the first trading day of that year.
End Price: The price on the last trading day of that year (or the current price if the year is still active).
Yearly %: The isolated performance of that specific calendar year. (Green = The market ended the year higher than it started).
Compounded %: The "Diamond Hands" return. This shows how much that specific $10,000 tranche is up (or down) right now relative to the current price.
How to Use
Add the script to your chart.
Crucial: Set your chart timeframe to Daily (D). This ensures the script correctly identifies the first trading day of the year.
Open the Settings (Inputs) to adjust:
Annual Investment Amount: Default is $10,000.
Table Size: Adjust text size (Tiny, Small, Normal, Large).
Max Rows: Limit how many historical years are shown to keep the chart clean.
Use Case
This tool is perfect for investors who want to visualize the power of long-term holding. It allows you to see that even if a specific year had a bad "Yearly Yield" (e.g., buying in 2008), the "Compounded Yield" might still be massive today due to time in the market.
SMC Pre-Trade Checklist (Mozzys)Here is a **clean, professional description** you can use when publishing your TradingView script.
It clearly explains what the indicator does and why traders use it—perfect for the public library.
---
# **📌 Script Description (for Publishing)**
**SMC Pre-Trade Checklist (Compact Edition)**
This indicator provides a **smart, compact on-chart checklist** designed for traders who use **Smart Money Concepts (SMC)**.
Instead of guessing or rushing entries, the checklist helps you confirm the essential SMC conditions *before* taking a trade.
The checklist displays as a **small 3-column panel** in the corner of your chart, making it easy to scan without covering price action.
All items are controlled through indicator settings, where you can tick each condition as you validate it in your analysis.
---
## **🔥 What This Tool Helps You Do**
This script helps you stay disciplined by verifying the core components of an SMC setup:
### **1. Higher-Timeframe (HTF) Bias**
* Market direction clarity
* Premium vs. discount zones
* HTF POIs and liquidity targets
### **2. Liquidity Conditions**
* Liquidity sweeps
* Liquidity-based take-profit targets
### **3. Market Structure**
* BOS/CHOCH confirmation
* Displacement
* Clean pullback into POI
### **4. Entry Validation**
* Quality POI
* LTF confirmation
* Logical SL/TP and RR
### **5. Risk Management**
* Correct position sizing
* Avoiding high-impact news
* Spread/volatility conditions
### **6. Trader Discipline**
* Trade matches your model
* No revenge or emotional trading
---
## **🎯 Why Traders Love This**
Most losses come from **breaking rules**, not market randomness.
This checklist forces consistency, clarity, and patience—especially in fast environments like FX, indices, and crypto.
* Prevents emotional entries
* Reduces impulsive trades
* Keeps you aligned with your SMC plan
* Works with any strategy or SMC style
* Clean, minimal, non-intrusive layout
---
## **📌 Features**
* Compact 3-column layout
* Customizable from the indicator settings
* Works on all timeframes and assets
* Zero chart clutter
* Perfect for rule-based traders
---
## **🚀 Who This Indicator Is For**
* SMC traders
* ICT-style traders
* Liquidity-based traders
* Anyone who wants more discipline & consistency
* Backtesters who want structured trade evaluation
--
Scalp Boost LONG✦ Overview
Scalp Boost LONG is a visual tool designed to highlight potential short-term upward impulses.
A signal is generated only when multiple market conditions align at the candle close, combining momentum dynamics, local probability shifts, and abnormal volume behavior.
The indicator does not repaint.
✦ Concept
The tool focuses on selective situations where the market shows signs of micro-breakout potential.
If all internal conditions are confirmed — a LONG event is displayed.
If not — the chart remains clean.
This builds a low-noise signal model, prioritizing quality over frequency.
✦ Signal Logic
The LONG signal requires confirmation of all core conditions:
• Local impulse dynamics
Identifies short-term acceleration suggesting a breakout from a compressed price structure.
• Probability beyond a statistical zone
Uses relative breakout probability instead of fixed levels, checking whether price exceeds expected local ranges.
• Abnormal volume activity
Highlights candles with monetary flow above a custom threshold, signaling increased market interest.
• Anti-overheat filter
Conditions avoiding exhausted or low-momentum phases where continuation is less likely.
Only when all filters are aligned a LONG marker appears.
✦ Visual Structure
The chart display is intentionally minimal:
• ROC Curve
Subdued line, showing short-term momentum without distraction.
• LONG Marker
Green triangle below the candle on confirmed events.
• Candle Highlight
Soft background highlight on the signal bar.
• Volume Marker
Small red dot at the bottom of candles with abnormal monetary flow.
All visual elements appear only on candle close.
✦ Alerts
A clean event structure is available for notifications:
LONG Signal
This allows receiving alerts during chart analysis or in automated workflows while keeping full control over decision-making.
✦ Notes & Guidelines
This tool:
is not a trading system,
does not provide targets or stops,
may trigger against the dominant trend,
should be combined with the user’s own methodology.
Signals are rare by design.
Do not interpret each event as a trend continuation — it highlights conditions, not outcomes.
✦ Suggested Use
-(Non-mandatory ideas for advanced users)
-identifying potential micro-breakouts,
-timing entries around volume spikes,
-adding context to scalping models,
-filtering impulsive moves from noise.
-suitable for a 5-minute timeframe
The indicator can be helpful as a confirmation layer, not a standalone decision tool.
Altcoin Relative Macro StrengthAltcoin Relative Macro Strength
Overview
The Altcoin Relative Macro Strength indicator measures the altcoin market's price performance relative to global macroeconomic conditions. By comparing TOTAL3ES (total altcoin market capitalization excluding Bitcoin, Ethereum and stable coins) against a composite macro trend, the indicator identifies periods of relative overvaluation and undervaluation.
Methodology
Global Macro Trend Calculation:
The macro trend synthesizes three primary components:
- ISM PMI – A proxy for the business cycle phase
- Global Liquidity – An aggregate measure of major central bank balance sheets and broad money supply
- IWM (Russell 2000) – Small-cap equity exposure, reflecting risk-on/risk-off market sentiment
Global Liquidity is calculated as:
Fed Balance Sheet - Reverse Repo - Treasury General Account + U.S. M2 + China M2
The final Global Macro Trend is:
ISM PMI × Global Liquidity × IWM
Theoretical Framework:
The global macro trend integrates liquidity expansion/contraction with business cycle dynamics and small-cap equity performance. The inclusion of IWM reflects altcoins' tendency to behave as high-beta risk assets, exhibiting sensitivity similar to small-cap equities. This composite exhibits strong directional correlation with altcoin market movements, capturing the risk-on/risk-off dynamics that drive altcoin performance.
Interpretation
Primary Signal:
The histogram displays the rolling percentage change of TOTAL3ES relative to the global macro trend (default: 21-period average). Positive divergence indicates altcoins are outperforming macro conditions; negative divergence suggests underperformance relative to the underlying economic and risk environment.
Data Tables:
Alts/Macro Change – Percentage deviation of the altcoin market's average value from the Global Macro Trend's average over the specified period
Macro Trend – Directional assessment of the macro trend based on slope and trend agreement:
🔵 BULLISH ▲ – Positive slope with upward trend
⚪ NEUTRAL → – Slope and trend direction disagree
🟣 BEARISH ▼ – Negative slope with downward trend
Macro Slope – Percentage rate of change in the global macro trend
Altcoin Valuation – Relative valuation category based on TOTAL3/Macro deviation:
🟢 Extreme Discount / Deep Discount / Discount
🟡 Fair Value
🔴 Premium / Large Premium / Extreme Premium
TOTAL3ES Mcap – Current total altcoin market capitalization (in billions)
Visual Components:
📊 Histogram: Alts/Macro Change
🟢 Green = Positive deviation (altcoins outperforming)
🔴 Red = Negative deviation (altcoins underperforming)
📈 Macro Slope Line
Color-coded to match trend assessment
Scaled for visibility (adjustable in settings)
Application
This indicator is designed to identify mean reversion opportunities by highlighting periods when the altcoin market materially diverges from fundamental macro and risk conditions. Extreme positive values may indicate overvaluation; extreme negative values may signal undervaluation relative to the prevailing economic and risk appetite backdrop.
Strategy Considerations:
- Identify extremes: Look for periods when the histogram reaches elevated positive or negative levels
- Assess valuation: Use the Altcoin Valuation reading to gauge relative over/undervaluation
Confirm with risk sentiment: Check whether macro conditions and risk appetite support or contradict current price levels
- Mean reversion: Consider that significant deviations from trend historically tend to revert
Note: This indicator identifies relative valuation based on macro conditions and risk sentiment—it does not predict price direction or timing.
Settings
Lookback Period – 21 bars (default) – Number of bars for calculating rolling averages
Macro Slope Scale – 3.0 (default) – Multiplier for macro slope line visibility
FAIRPRICE_VWAP_RDFAIRPRICE_VWAP_RD
This script plots an **anchored VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)** that resets
based on the user-selected anchor period. It acts as a dynamic “fair value” line
that reflects where the market has actually transacted during the chosen period.
FEATURES
- Multiple anchor options: Session, Week, Month, Quarter, Year, Decade, Century,
Earnings, Dividends, or Splits.
- Intelligent handling of the “Session” anchor so it works correctly on both 1m
(resets each new day) and 1D (continuous, non-resetting VWAP).
- Manual VWAP calculation using cumulative(price * volume) and cumulative(volume),
ensuring the line is stable and works on all timeframes.
- Optional hiding of VWAP on daily or higher charts.
- Offset input for horizontal shifting if desired.
- VWAP provides a true “fair price” reference for trend, mean-reversion,
and institutional-level analysis.
PURPOSE
This indicator solves the common problem of VWAP behaving incorrectly on higher
timeframes, on synthetic data, or with unusual anchors. By implementing VWAP
manually and allowing flexible reset conditions, it functions reliably as
an institutional-style fair value benchmark across any timeframe.
BTC – LEVR: Leverage Efficiency & Volume RatioLEVR: Leverage Efficiency & Volume Ratio
Observation-only. Data: IntoTheBlock.
Overview
The Leverage Efficiency & Volume Ratio (LEVR) is a market structure oscillator designed to detect "Paper Bubbles" and "Organic Bottoms" by separating speculative greed from network utility. While most indicators analyze price action, LEVR analyzes market fragility. It operates on the thesis that Sustainable Rallies are driven by Spot/Network Activity, while Fragile Rallies are driven by Derivatives Leverage.
Synergy
How it works with VERI
LEVR is designed to be the tactical counterpart to the fundamental VERI Indicator (Valuation & Entity Ratio Index).
Use VERI for Strategy: To identify Value. (Is Bitcoin cheap? Are Whales buying?)
Use LEVR for Risk: To identify Structure. (Is the current price move real, or is it a leverage bubble about to pop?)
The "Perfect Setup"
The strongest buy signals occur when VERI is in the Accumulation Zone (Whales buying) AND LEVR is in the Organic Zone (Leverage is flushed out) (as it was the case in the Dec 2022 Bear Market Bottom).
Why LEVR is Unique
Standard indicators often fail to contextualize Open Interest:
vs. Raw Open Interest: Raw OI always trends up over time as the market grows. LEVR solves this by normalizing OI against Active Addresses. This reveals when leverage is outpacing actual adoption.
vs. ELR (Estimated Leverage Ratio): Classic ELR divides Open Interest by Exchange Reserves. However, Exchange Reserves are notoriously difficult to track accurately. LEVR uses Active Addresses (Network Utility) as a cleaner, more reliable denominator for network health.
Methodology
The Mathematics: The indicator calculates a normalized Z-Score ratio between two IntoTheBlock datasets:
The Numerator (Greed): Perpetual Open Interest. The total dollar value of all open futures contracts. This represents the "Gambling" capital.
The Denominator (Utility): Active Addresses. The number of unique addresses transacting on-chain. This represents the "Real" user base.
The Formula : LEVR = Z-Score ( Perpetual Open Interest / Active Addresses )
How to Interpret the Visuals
The line color changes dynamically to reflect the current risk regime:
🟥 Speculative Premium (Red Line > 2.0) :
Signal: "Leverage Bubble."
Context: Open Interest is rising significantly faster than User Growth. The rally is fueled by debt.
Risk: High probability of a "Long Squeeze" or liquidation cascade.
🟦 Organic Base (Blue Line < -1.5) :
Signal: "Spot Driven Market."
Context: Speculators have been flushed out, but active network usage remains high. The line turns Blue to signal a healthy opportunity zone.
Risk: Low. Historically marks robust bottoms where hands are strong.
🟧 Neutral (Orange Line) :
The market is in a transition phase between organic growth and speculation.
Settings & Inputs
Users can customize the sensitivity of the Z-Score to fit their trading style (in brackets their current standard value):
Lookback Period (365) : The rolling window used to establish the "Baseline." A 365-day window captures the yearly trend.
Signal Smoothing (7) : A short moving average to reduce daily data noise.
Bubble Zone Top/Bottom (3.0 / 2.0) : The thresholds for the Red Zone. Raising the "Top" value will only show the most extreme, generational leverage bubbles.
Organic Zone Top/Bottom (-1.5 / -2.5) : The thresholds for the Green Zone. Lowering these values requires a deeper "flush" to trigger a signal.
Optimization
This indicator is mathematically optimized for the Daily (1D) timeframe. Using it on lower timeframes may result in noise due to the daily resolution of on-chain data.
Important Note on Historical Data
Please be aware that aggregated global Perpetual Open Interest data only becomes reliable and widely available starting around 2020-2021.
Pre-2021: The indicator will show a flat line or empty values. This is not a bug; it reflects the lack of historical derivatives market data for that period.
2021-Present: The indicator functions fully as intended.
Credits
Concept inspired by the "Estimated Leverage Ratio" (ELR) popularised by CryptoQuant and analysts like Willy Woo. LEVR adapts this concept for TradingView by substituting Exchange Reserves with Network Activity for better reliability.
Disclaimer
This tool is for research purposes only. It visualizes market structure data and does not constitute financial advice.
Tags
bitcoin, btc, open interest, leverage, on-chain, intotheblock, risk, derivatives, levr, veri
BTC Price Prediction Model [Global PMI]V2🇺🇸 English Guide
1. Introduction
This indicator was created by GW Capital using Gemini Vibe Coding technology. It leverages advanced AI coding capabilities to reconstruct complex macroeconomic models into actionable trading tools.
2. Credits
Special thanks to the original model author, Marty Kendall. His research into the correlation between Bitcoin's price and macroeconomic factors lays the foundation for this algorithm.
3. Model Principles & Formula
This model calculates the "Fair Value" of Bitcoin based on four key macroeconomic pillars. It assumes that Bitcoin's price is a function of Global Liquidity, Network Security, Risk Appetite, and the Economic Cycle.
💡 Unique Insight: PMI & The 4-Year Cycle
A key distinguishing feature of this model is the hypothesis that Bitcoin's famous "4-Year Halving Cycle" may be intrinsically linked to the Global Business Cycle (PMI), rather than just supply shocks.
Therefore, the model incorporates PMI as a valuation "Amplifier".
Note: Due to TradingView data limitations, US PMI is currently used as the proxy for the global cycle.
The Formula
$$\ln(BTC) = \alpha + (1 + \beta \cdot PMI_{z}) \times $$
Global Liquidity (M2): Sum of M2 supply from US, China, Eurozone, and Japan (converted to USD). Represents the pool of fiat money available to flow into assets.
Network Security (Hashrate): Bitcoin's hashrate, representing the physical security and utility of the network.
Risk Appetite (S&P 500): Used as a proxy for global risk sentiment.
Economic Cycle (PMI Z-Score): US Manufacturing PMI is used to amplify or dampen the valuation based on where we are in the business cycle (Expansion vs. Contraction).
4. How to Use
The indicator plots the Fair Value (White Line) and four sentiment bands based on statistical deviation (Z-Score).
Sentiment Zones
🚨 Extreme Greed (Red Zone): Price > +0.3 StdDev. Historically indicates a market top or overheated sentiment.
⚠️ Greed (Orange Zone): Price > +0.15 StdDev. Bullish momentum is strong but caution is advised.
⚖️ Fair Value (White Line): The theoretical "correct" price based on macro data.
😨 Fear (Teal Zone): Price < -0.15 StdDev. Undervalued territory.
💎 Extreme Fear (Green Zone): Price < -0.3 StdDev. Historically a generational buying opportunity.
Sentiment Score (0-100)
100: Maximum Greed (Top)
50: Fair Value
0: Maximum Fear (Bottom)
5. Usage Recommendations
Timeframe: Daily (1D) or Weekly (1W) ONLY.
Reason: The underlying data sources (M2, PMI) are updated monthly. The S&P 500 and Hashrate are daily. Using this indicator on intraday charts (e.g., 15m, 1h, 4h) adds no value because the fundamental data does not change that fast.
Long-Term View: This is a macro-cycle indicator designed for identifying cycle tops and bottoms over months and years, not for day trading.
6. Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. The model relies on historical correlations which may not hold true in the future. All trading involves risk. GW Capital and the creators assume no responsibility for any trading losses.
7. Support Us ❤️
If you find this indicator useful, please Boost 👍, Comment, and add it to your Favorites! Your support keeps us going.
🇨🇳 中文说明 (Chinese Version)
1. 简介
本指标由 GW Capital 使用 Gemini Vibe Coding 技术制作。利用先进的 AI 编程能力，将复杂的宏观经济模型重构为可执行的交易工具。
2. 致谢
特别感谢模型原作者 Marty Kendall。他对这一算法的研究奠定了基础，揭示了比特币价格与宏观经济因素之间的深层联系。
3. 模型原理与公式
该模型基于四大宏观经济支柱计算比特币的“公允价值”。它假设比特币的价格是全球流动性、网络安全性、风险偏好和经济周期的函数。
💡 独家洞察：PMI 与 4年周期
本模型的一个核心独特之处在于：我们认为比特币著名的“4年减半周期”背后的真正驱动力，可能与全球商业周期 (PMI) 高度同步，而不仅仅是供应减半。
因此，模型特别引入 PMI 作为估值的“放大器” (Amplifier)。
注：由于 TradingView 数据源限制，目前采用历史数据最详尽的美国 PMI 作为全球周期的代理指标。
模型公式
$$\ln(BTC) = \alpha + (1 + \beta \cdot PMI_{z}) \times $$
全球流动性 (M2): 美、中、欧、日四大经济体的 M2 总量（折算为美元）。代表可流入资产的法币资金池。
网络安全性 (Hashrate): 比特币全网算力，代表网络的物理安全性和实用价值。
风险偏好 (S&P 500): 作为全球风险情绪的代理指标。
经济周期 (PMI Z-Score): 美国制造业 PMI 用于根据商业周期（扩张 vs 收缩）来放大或抑制估值。
4. 指标用法
指标会在图表上绘制 公允价值 (白线) 以及基于统计偏差 (Z-Score) 的四条情绪带。
情绪区间
🚨 极度贪婪 (红色区域): 价格 > +0.3 标准差。历史上通常预示市场顶部或情绪过热。
⚠️ 一般贪婪 (橙色区域): 价格 > +0.15 标准差。多头动能强劲，但需谨慎。
⚖️ 公允价值 (白线): 基于宏观数据的理论“正确”价格。
😨 一般恐惧 (青色区域): 价格 < -0.15 标准差。进入低估区域。
💎 极度恐惧 (绿色区域): 价格 < -0.3 标准差。历史上通常是代际级别的买入机会。
情绪评分 (0-100)
100: 极度贪婪 (顶部)
50: 公允价值
0: 极度恐惧 (底部)
5. 使用建议
周期: 仅限日线 (1D) 或周线 (1W)。
原因: 底层数据源（M2, PMI）是月度更新的。标普500和算力是日度更新的。在日内图表（如15分钟、1小时、4小时）上使用此指标没有任何意义，因为基本面数据不会变化得那么快。
长期视角: 这是一个宏观周期指标，旨在识别数月甚至数年的周期顶部和底部，而非用于日内交易。
6. 免责声明
本指标仅供教育和参考使用，不构成任何财务建议。该模型依赖于历史相关性，未来可能不再适用。所有交易均涉及风险。GW Capital 及制作者不对任何交易损失承担责任。
Global M2(USD) V2This indicator tracks the total Global M2 Money Supply in USD. It aggregates economic data from the world's four largest central banks (Fed, PBOC, ECB, BOJ). The script automatically converts non-USD money supplies (CNY, EUR, JPY) into USD using real-time exchange rates to provide a unified view of global liquidity.
Usage
Macro Analysis: Overlay this on assets like Bitcoin or the S&P 500 to see if price appreciation is driven by fiat currency debasement ("money printing").
Liquidity Trends: A rising orange line indicates expanding global liquidity (generally bullish for risk assets), while a falling line suggests monetary tightening.
Real-time Data: A label at the end of the line displays the exact raw total in USD for precise tracking.
该脚本旨在追踪以美元计价的全球 M2 货币供应总量。它聚合了四大央行（美联储、中国央行、欧洲央行、日本央行）的经济数据，并通过实时汇率将非美货币（人民币、欧元、日元）统一折算为美元，从而构建出一个标准化的全球流动性指标。
用法
宏观对冲： 将其叠加在比特币或股票图表上，用于判断资产价格的上涨是否由全球法币“大放水”推动。
趋势研判： 橙色曲线向上代表全球流动性扩张（通常利好风险资产），向下则代表流动性紧缩。
数据直观： 脚本会在图表末端生成一个标签，实时显示当前全球 M2 的具体美元总额。
