Adaptive Trend Flow [QuantAlgo]Adaptive Trend Flow 📈🌊
The Adaptive Trend Flow by QuantAlgo is a sophisticated technical indicator that harnesses the power of volatility-adjusted EMAs to navigate market trends with precision. By seamlessly integrating a dynamic dual-EMA system with adaptive volatility bands, this premium tool enables traders and investors to identify and capitalize on sustained market moves while effectively filtering out noise. The indicator's unique approach to trend detection combines classical technical analysis with modern adaptive techniques, providing traders and investors with clear, actionable signals across various market conditions and asset class.
💫 Indicator Architecture
The Adaptive Trend Flow provides a sophisticated framework for assessing market trends through a harmonious blend of EMA dynamics and volatility-based boundary calculations. Unlike traditional moving average systems that use fixed parameters, this indicator incorporates smart volatility measurements to automatically adjust its sensitivity to market conditions. The core algorithm employs a dual EMA system combined with standard deviation-based volatility bands, creating a self-adjusting mechanism that expands and contracts based on market volatility. This adaptive approach allows the indicator to maintain its effectiveness across different market phases - from ranging to trending conditions. The volatility-adjusted bands act as dynamic support and resistance levels, while the gradient visualization system provides instant visual feedback on trend strength and duration.
📊 Technical Composition and Calculation
The Adaptive Trend Flow is composed of several technical components that create a dynamic trending system:
Dual EMA System: Utilizes fast and slow EMAs for primary trend detection
Volatility Integration: Computes and smooths volatility for adaptive band calculation
Dynamic Band Generation: Creates volatility-adjusted boundaries for trend validation
Gradient Visualization: Provides progressive visual feedback on trend strength
📈 Key Indicators and Features
The Adaptive Trend Flow utilizes customizable length parameters for both EMAs and volatility calculations to adapt to different trading styles. The trend detection component evaluates price action relative to the dynamic bands to validate signals and identify potential reversals.
The indicator incorporates multi-layered visualization with:
Color-coded basis and trend lines (bullish/bearish)
Adaptive volatility-based bands
Progressive gradient background for trend duration
Clear trend reversal signals (𝑳/𝑺)
Smooth fills between key levels
Programmable alerts for trend changes
⚡️ Practical Applications and Examples
✅ Add the Indicator: Add the indicator to your TradingView chart by clicking on the star icon to add it to your favorites ⭐️
👀 Monitor Trends: Watch the basis line and trend band interactions to identify trend direction and strength. The gradient background intensity indicates trend duration and conviction.
🎯 Track Signals: Pay attention to the trend reversal markers that appear on the chart:
→ Long signals (𝑳) appear when price action confirms a bullish trend reversal
→ Short signals (𝑺) indicate validated bearish trend reversals
🔔 Set Alerts: Configure alerts for trend changes in both bullish and bearish directions, ensuring you never miss significant technical developments.
🌟 Summary and Tips
The Adaptive Trend Flow by QuantAlgo is a sophisticated technical tool designed to support trend-following strategies across different market environments and asset class. By combining dual EMA analysis with volatility-adjusted bands, it helps traders and investors identify significant trend changes while filtering out market noise, providing validated signals. The tool's adaptability through customizable EMA lengths, volatility smoothing, and sensitivity settings makes it suitable for various trading timeframes and styles, allowing users to capture trending opportunities while maintaining protection against false signals.
Key parameters to optimize for your trading and/or investing style:
Main Length: Adjust for more or less sensitivity to trend changes (default: 10)
Smoothing Length: Fine-tune volatility calculations for signal stability (default: 14)
Sensitivity: Balance band width for trend validation (default: 2.0)
Visual Settings: Customize appearance with color and display options
The Adaptive Trend Flow is particularly effective for:
Identifying sustained market trends
Detecting trend reversals with confirmation
Measuring trend strength and duration
Filtering out market noise and false signals
Remember to:
Allow the indicator to validate trend changes before taking action
Use the gradient background to gauge trend strength
Combine with volume analysis for additional confirmation
Consider multiple timeframes for a complete market view
Adjust sensitivity based on market volatility conditions
Investing
EMA Volatility Channel [QuantAlgo]EMA Volatility Channel 🌊📈
The EMA Volatility Channel by QuantAlgo is an advanced technical indicator designed to capture price volatility and trend dynamics through adaptive channels based on exponential moving averages. This sophisticated system combines EMA-based trend analysis with dynamic volatility-adjusted bands to help traders and investors identify trend direction, potential reversals, and market volatility conditions. By evaluating both price momentum and volatility together, this tool enables users to make informed trading decisions while adapting to changing market conditions.
💫 Dynamic Channel Architecture
The EMA Volatility Channel provides a unique framework for assessing market trends through a blend of exponential moving averages and volatility-based channel calculations. Unlike traditional channel indicators that use fixed-width bands, this system incorporates dynamic volatility measurements to adjust channel width automatically, helping users determine whether price movements are significant relative to current market conditions. By combining smooth EMA trends with adaptive volatility bands, it evaluates both directional movement and market volatility, while the smoothing parameters ensure stable yet responsive channel adjustments. This adaptive approach allows users to identify trending conditions while remaining aware of volatility expansions and contractions, enhancing both trend-following and reversal strategies.
📊 Indicator Components & Mechanics
The EMA Volatility Channel is composed of several technical components that create a dynamic channel system:
EMA Midline: Calculates a smoothed exponential moving average that serves as the channel's centerline, providing a clear reference for trend direction.
Volatility Measurement: Computes average price movement to determine dynamic channel width, adapting to changing market conditions automatically.
Smooth Band Calculation: Applies additional smoothing to the channel bands, reducing noise while maintaining responsiveness to significant price movements.
📈 Key Indicators and Features
The EMA Volatility Channel combines various technical tools to deliver a comprehensive analysis of market conditions.
The indicator utilizes exponential moving averages with customizable length and smoothing parameters to adapt to different trading styles. Volatility calculations are applied to determine channel width, providing context-aware boundaries for price movement. The trend detection component evaluates price action relative to the channel bands, helping validate trends and identify potential reversals.
The indicator incorporates multi-layered visualization with color-coded channels and bars to signal both trend direction and market position. These adaptive visual cues, combined with programmable alerts for channel breakouts, help traders and investors track both trend changes and volatility conditions, supporting both trend-following and mean-reversion strategies.
⚡️ Practical Applications and Examples
✅ Add the Indicator: Add the indicator to your TradingView chart by clicking on the star icon to add it to your favorites ⭐️
👀 Monitor Channel Position: Watch the price position relative to the channel bands to identify trend direction and potential reversals. When price moves outside the channel, consider potential trend changes or extreme conditions.
🔔 Set Alerts: Configure alerts for channel breakouts and trend changes, ensuring you can act on significant technical developments promptly.
🌟 Summary and Tips
The EMA Volatility Channel by QuantAlgo is a versatile technical tool, designed to support both trend following and volatility analysis across different market environments. By combining smooth EMA trends with dynamic volatility-based channels, it helps traders and investors identify significant price movements while measuring market volatility, providing reliable technical signals. The tool's adaptability across timeframes makes it suitable for both trend-following and reversal strategies, allowing users to capture opportunities while maintaining awareness of changing market conditions.
Pivotal Point Detection
The indicator highlights price gaps (overnight gaps) with significantly increased volume in the daily chart only. These price jumps can occur after earnings reports or other significant news and often point to an important event (e.g., a new product or business model). According to Jesse Livermore, these are called Pivotal Points.
The price jumps displayed by the indicator are not a guarantee that they represent a true Pivotal Point, but they provide a hint of a significant business development - especially when they occur repeatedly alongside revenue growth. This can help identify potentially strong growth stocks and high-performing investments. However, the underlying events and connections must be investigated through additional research.
make posible to find stocks like:
NYSE:PLTR NASDAQ:ROOT NASDAQ:NVDA NYSE:CVNA NYSE:LRN
A "pivotal price line" is drawn at the opening price of the Pivotal Point. This line is considered a support level. If the price falls below this line, the Pivotal Point loses its validity.
Cross-Asset Correlation Trend IndicatorCross-Asset Correlation Trend Indicator
This indicator uses correlations between the charted asset and ten others to calculate an overall trend prediction. Each ticker is configurable, and by analyzing the trend of each asset, the indicator predicts an average trend for the main asset on the chart. The strength of each asset's trend is weighted by its correlation to the charted asset, resulting in a single average trend signal. This can be a rather robust and effective signal, though it is often slow.
Functionality Overview :
The Cross-Asset Correlation Trend Indicator calculates the average trend of a charted asset based on the correlation and trend of up to ten other assets. Each asset is assigned a trend signal using a simple EMA crossover method (two customizable EMAs). If the shorter EMA crosses above the longer one, the asset trend is marked as positive; if it crosses below, the trend is negative. Each trend is then weighted by the correlation coefficient between that asset’s closing price and the charted asset’s closing price. The final output is an average weighted trend signal, which combines each trend with its respective correlation weight.
Input Parameters :
EMA 1 Length : Sets the period of the shorter EMA used to determine trends.
EMA 2 Length : Sets the period of the longer EMA used to determine trends.
Correlation Length : Defines the lookback period used for calculating the correlation between the charted asset and each of the other selected assets.
Asset Tickers : Each of the ten tickers is configurable, allowing you to set specific assets to analyze correlations with the charted asset.
Show Trend Table : Toggle to show or hide a table with each asset’s weighted trend. The table displays green, red, or white text for each weighted trend, indicating positive, negative, or neutral trends, respectively.
Table Position : Choose the position of the trend table on the chart.
Recommended Use :
As always, it’s essential to backtest the indicator thoroughly on your chosen asset and timeframe to ensure it aligns with your strategy. Feel free to modify the input parameters as needed—while the defaults work well for me, they may need adjustment to better suit your assets, timeframes, and trading style.
As always, I wish you the best of luck and immense fortune as you develop your systems. May this indicator help you make well-informed, profitable decisions!
Dynamic Score SMA [QuantAlgo]Dynamic Score SMA 📈🌊
The Dynamic Score SMA by QuantAlgo offers a powerful trend-following approach that combines the simplicity of the Simple Moving Average (SMA) with an innovative dynamic trend scoring technique . By continuously evaluating price movement relative to the SMA over a customizable window, this indicator adapts to varying market conditions, providing traders and investors with clearer, more adaptable trend signals. With this dynamic scoring approach, the Dynamic Score SMA helps identify trend shifts, allowing for more strategic decision-making.
🌟 Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
At the core of the Dynamic Score SMA is its dynamic trend score system , which assesses price movements by comparing them to the SMA over a series of historical data points. This technique goes beyond traditional SMA indicators by offering a dynamic, probabilistic evaluation of trend strength, delivering a more responsive and nuanced view of market direction. The integration of this scoring system enables traders and investors to navigate both trending and sideway markets with greater confidence and precision.
⚙️ Technical Composition and Calculation
The Dynamic Score SMA leverages the Simple Moving Average to establish a baseline trend, with customizable SMA length to control the indicator’s sensitivity. The dynamic trend scoring technique then evaluates price behavior relative to the SMA over a specified window, generating a trend score that reflects the current market bias.
When the score crosses the designated uptrend or downtrend thresholds, the indicator signals a potential trend shift. By adjusting the SMA length, window duration, and thresholds, users can refine the indicator’s responsiveness to match their preferred trading or investing strategy, making it suitable for both volatile and steady markets.
📈 Features and Practical Applications
Customizable SMA Length: Set the length of the SMA to control how sensitive the trend is to price changes. Longer lengths produce smoother trends, while shorter lengths increase responsiveness.
Window Length for Dynamic Scoring: Adjust the window length to determine how many data points are considered in the dynamic trend score calculation, allowing for more tailored analysis of recent versus long-term trends.
Uptrend/Downtrend Thresholds: Define thresholds for triggering trend signals. Higher thresholds reduce sensitivity, providing clearer signals in volatile markets, while lower thresholds capture shorter-term movements.
Bar and Background Coloring: Visual cues, including bar coloring and background fills, provide a quick reference for current trend direction, making it easier to monitor market conditions.
Trend Confirmation: The dynamic trend scoring system verifies trend strength, offering more reliable entry and exit points by filtering out potential false signals.
⚡️ How to Use
✅ Add the Indicator: Add the Dynamic Score SMA to your favourites, then apply it to your chart. Customize the SMA length, window size, and thresholds to match your trading or investing preferences.
👀 Monitor Trend Shifts: Observe the trend in relation to the SMA and watch for signals when the score crosses key thresholds. Bar and/or background coloring will help identify the current trend direction and any shifts in momentum.
🔔 Set Alerts: Configure alerts for significant trend crossovers and reversals, enabling you to act on market changes in real-time without needing constant chart observation.
💫 Summary and Usage Tips
The Dynamic Score SMA by QuantAlgo is a sophisticated trend-following indicator that combines the familiarity of the SMA with a dynamic trend scoring system, providing a more adaptable and probabilistic approach to trend analysis. By tailoring the SMA length, scoring window, and thresholds, traders and investors can fine-tune the indicator for both short-term adjustments and long-term trend following. For optimal use, adjust sensitivity based on market volatility, and rely on the visual cues for clear trend confirmation. Whether you’re navigating choppy markets or stable trends, the Dynamic Score SMA offers a refined approach to capturing market direction with enhanced precision.
Dynamic Score Supertrend [QuantAlgo]Dynamic Score Supertrend 📈🚀
The Dynamic Score Supertrend by QuantAlgo introduces a sophisticated trend-following tool that combines the well-known Supertrend indicator with an innovative dynamic trend scoring technique . By tracking market momentum through a scoring system that evaluates price behavior over a customizable window, this indicator adapts to changing market conditions. The result is a clearer, more adaptive tool that helps traders and investors detect and capitalize on trend shifts with greater precision.
💫 Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
At the core of the Dynamic Score Supertrend is the dynamic trend score system , which measures price movements relative to the Supertrend’s upper and lower bands. This scoring technique adds a layer of trend validation, assessing the strength of price trends over time. Unlike traditional Supertrend indicators that rely solely on ATR calculations, this system incorporates a scoring mechanism that provides more insight into trend direction, allowing traders and investors to navigate both trending and choppy markets with greater confidence.
✨ Technical Composition and Calculation
The Dynamic Score Supertrend utilizes the Average True Range (ATR) to calculate the upper and lower Supertrend bands. The dynamic trend scoring technique then compares the price to these bands over a customizable window, generating a trend score that reflects the current market direction.
When the score exceeds the uptrend or downtrend thresholds, it signals a possible shift in market direction. By adjusting the ATR settings and window length, the indicator becomes more adaptable to different market conditions, from steady trends to periods of higher volatility. This customization allows users to refine the Supertrend’s sensitivity and responsiveness based on their trading or investing style.
📈 Features and Practical Applications
Customizable ATR Settings: Adjust the ATR length and multiplier to control the sensitivity of the Supertrend bands. This allows the indicator to smooth out noise or react more quickly to price shifts, depending on market conditions.
Window Length for Dynamic Scoring: Modify the window length to adjust how many data points the scoring system considers, allowing you to tailor the indicator’s responsiveness to short-term or long-term trends.
Uptrend/Downtrend Thresholds: Set thresholds for identifying trend signals. Increase these thresholds for more reliable signals in choppy markets, or lower them for more aggressive entry points in trending markets.
Bar and Background Coloring: Visual cues such as bar coloring and background fills highlight the direction of the current trend, making it easier to spot potential reversals and trend shifts.
Trend Confirmation: The dynamic trend score system provides a clearer confirmation of trend strength, helping you identify strong, sustained movements while filtering out false signals.
⚡️ How to Use
✅ Add the Indicator: Add the Dynamic Score Supertrend to your favourites, then apply it to your chart. Adjust the ATR length, multiplier, and dynamic score settings to suit your trading or investing strategy.
👀 Monitor Trend Shifts: Track price movements relative to the Supertrend bands and use the dynamic trend score to confirm the strength of a trend. Bar and background colors make it easy to visualize key trend shifts.
🔔 Set Alerts: Configure alerts when the dynamic trend score crosses key thresholds, so you can act on significant trend changes without constantly monitoring the charts.
🌟 Summary and Usage Tips
The Dynamic Score Supertrend by QuantAlgo is a robust trend-following tool that combines the power of the Supertrend with an advanced dynamic scoring system. This approach provides more adaptable and reliable trend signals, helping traders and investors make informed decisions in trending markets. The customizable ATR settings and scoring thresholds make it versatile across various market conditions, allowing you to fine-tune the indicator for both short-term momentum and long-term trend following. To maximize its effectiveness, adjust the settings based on current market volatility and use the visual cues to confirm trend shifts. The Dynamic Score Supertrend offers a refined, probabilistic approach to trading and investing, making it a valuable addition to your toolkit.
Dynamic Score PSAR [QuantAlgo]Dynamic Score PSAR 📈🧬
The Dynamic Score PSAR by QuantAlgo introduces an innovative approach to trend detection by utilizing a dynamic trend scoring technique in combination with the Parabolic SAR. This method goes beyond traditional trend-following indicators by evaluating market momentum through a scoring system that analyzes price behavior over a customizable window. By dynamically adjusting to evolving market conditions, this indicator provides clearer, more adaptive trend signals that help traders and investors anticipate market reversals and capitalize on momentum shifts with greater precision.
💫 Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
At the core of the Dynamic Score PSAR is the dynamic trend score system, which assesses price movements by comparing normalized PSAR values across a range of historical data points. This dynamic trend scoring technique offers a unique, probabilistic approach to trend analysis by evaluating how the current market compares to past price movements. Unlike traditional PSAR indicators that rely on static parameters, this scoring mechanism allows the indicator to adjust in real time to market fluctuations, offering traders and investors a more responsive and insightful view of trends. This innovation makes the Dynamic Score PSAR particularly effective in detecting shifts in momentum and potential reversals, even in volatile or complex market environments.
✨ Technical Composition and Calculation
The Dynamic Score PSAR is composed of several advanced components designed to provide a higher probability of detecting accurate trend shifts. The key innovation lies in the dynamic trend scoring technique, which iterates over historical PSAR values and evaluates price momentum through a dynamic scoring system. By comparing the current normalized PSAR value with previous data points over a user-defined window, the system generates a score that reflects the strength and direction of the trend. This allows for a more refined and responsive detection of trends compared to static, traditional indicators.
To enhance clarity, the PSAR values are normalized against an Exponential Moving Average (EMA), providing a standardized framework for comparison. This normalization ensures that the indicator adapts dynamically to market conditions, making it more effective in volatile markets. The smoothing process reduces noise, helping traders and investors focus on significant trend signals.
Additionally, users can adjust the length of the data window and the sensitivity thresholds for detecting uptrends and downtrends, providing flexibility for different trading and investing environments.
📈 Features and Practical Applications
Customizable Window Length: Adjust the window length to control the indicator’s sensitivity to recent price movements. This provides flexibility for short-term or long-term trend analysis.
Uptrend/Downtrend Thresholds: Set customizable thresholds for identifying uptrends and downtrends. These thresholds define when trend signals are triggered, offering adaptability to different market conditions.
Bar Coloring and Gradient Visualization: Visual cues, including color-coded bars and gradient fills, make it easier to interpret market trends and identify key moments for potential trend reversals.
Momentum Confirmation: The dynamic trend scoring system evaluates price action over time, providing a probabilistic measure of market momentum to confirm the strength and direction of a trend.
⚡️ How to Use
✅ Add the Indicator: Add the Dynamic Score PSAR to your favourites, then to your chart and adjust the PSAR settings, window length, and trend thresholds to match your preferences. Customize the sensitivity to price movements by tweaking the window length and thresholds for different market conditions.
👀 Monitor Trend Shifts: Watch for trend changes as the normalized PSAR values cross key thresholds, and use the dynamic score to confirm the strength and direction of trends. Bar coloring and background fills visually highlight key moments for trend shifts, making it easier to spot reversals.
🔔 Set Alerts: Configure alerts for significant trend crossovers and reversals, ensuring you can act on market movements promptly, even when you’re not actively monitoring the charts.
🌟 Summary and Usage Tips
The Dynamic Score PSAR by QuantAlgo is a powerful tool that combines traditional trend-following techniques with the flexibility of a dynamic trend scoring system. This innovative approach provides clearer, more adaptive trend signals, reducing the risk of false entries and exits while helping traders and investors capture significant market moves. The ability to adjust the indicator’s sensitivity and thresholds makes it versatile across different trading and investing environments, whether you’re focused on short-term pivots or long-term trend reversals. To maximize its effectiveness, fine-tune the sensitivity settings based on current market conditions and use the visual cues to confirm trend shifts.
Adaptive Volatility-Controlled LSMA [QuantAlgo]Adaptive Volatility-Controlled LSMA by QuantAlgo 📈💫
Introducing the Adaptive Volatility-Controlled LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) , a powerful trend-following indicator that combines trend detection with dynamic volatility adjustments. This indicator is designed to help traders and investors identify market trends while accounting for price volatility, making it suitable for a wide range of assets and timeframes. By integrating LSMA for trend analysis and Average True Range (ATR) for volatility control, this tool provides clearer signals during both trending and volatile market conditions.
💡 Core Concept and Innovation
The Adaptive Volatility-Controlled LSMA leverages the precision of the LSMA to track market trends and combines it with the sensitivity of the ATR to account for market volatility. LSMA fits a linear regression line to price data, providing a smoothed trend line that is less reactive to short-term noise. The ATR, on the other hand, dynamically adjusts the volatility bands around the LSMA, allowing the indicator to filter out false signals and respond to significant price moves. This combination provides traders with a reliable tool to identify trend shifts while managing risk in volatile markets.
📊 Technical Breakdown and Calculations
The indicator consists of the following components:
1. Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA): The LSMA calculates a linear regression line over a defined period to smooth out price fluctuations and reveal the underlying trend. It is more reactive to recent data than traditional moving averages, allowing for quicker trend detection.
2. ATR-Based Volatility Bands: The Average True Range (ATR) measures market volatility and creates upper and lower bands around the LSMA. These bands expand and contract based on market conditions, helping traders identify when price movements are significant enough to indicate a new trend.
3. Volatility Extensions: To further account for rapid market changes, the bands are extended using additional volatility measures. This ensures that trend signals are generated when price movements exceed both the standard volatility range and the extended volatility range.
⚙️ Step-by-Step Calculation:
1. LSMA Calculation: The LSMA is computed using a least squares regression method over a user-defined length. This provides a trend line that adapts to recent price movements while smoothing out noise.
2. ATR and Volatility Bands: ATR is calculated over a user-defined length and is multiplied by a factor to create upper and lower bands around the LSMA. These bands help detect when price movements are substantial enough to signal a new trend.
3. Trend Detection: The price’s relationship to the LSMA and the volatility bands is used to determine trend direction. If the price crosses above the upper volatility band, a bullish trend is detected. Conversely, a cross below the lower band indicates a bearish trend.
✅ Customizable Inputs and Features:
The Adaptive Volatility-Controlled LSMA offers a variety of customizable options to suit different trading or investing styles:
📈 Trend Settings:
1. LSMA Length: Adjust the length of the LSMA to control its sensitivity to price changes. A shorter length reacts quickly to new data, while a longer length smooths the trend line.
2. Price Source: Choose the type of price (e.g., close, high, low) that the LSMA uses to calculate trends, allowing for different interpretations of price data.
🌊 Volatility Controls:
ATR Length and Multiplier: Adjust the length and sensitivity of the ATR to control how volatility is measured. A higher ATR multiplier widens the bands, making the trend detection less sensitive, while a lower multiplier tightens the bands, increasing sensitivity.
🎨 Visualization and Alerts:
1. Bar Coloring: Customize bar colors to visually distinguish between uptrends and downtrends.
2. Volatility Bands: Enable or disable the display of volatility bands on the chart. The bands provide visual cues about trend strength and volatility thresholds.
3. Alerts: Set alerts for when the price crosses the upper or lower volatility bands, signaling potential trend changes.
📈 Practical Applications
The Adaptive Volatility-Controlled LSMA is ideal for traders and investors looking to follow trends while accounting for market volatility. Its key use cases include:
Identifying Trend Reversals: The indicator detects when price movements break through volatility bands, signaling potential trend reversals.
Filtering Market Noise: By applying ATR-based volatility filtering, the indicator helps reduce false signals caused by short-term price fluctuations.
Managing Risk: The volatility bands adjust dynamically to account for market conditions, helping traders manage risk and improve the accuracy of their trend-following strategies.
⭐️ Summary
The Adaptive Volatility-Controlled LSMA by QuantAlgo offers a robust and flexible approach to trend detection and volatility management. Its combination of LSMA and ATR creates clearer, more reliable signals, making it a valuable tool for navigating trending and volatile markets. Whether you're detecting trend shifts or filtering market noise, this indicator provides the tools you need to enhance your trading and investing strategy.
Note: The Adaptive Volatility-Controlled LSMA is a tool to enhance market analysis. It should be used in conjunction with other analytical tools and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for trading or investment decisions. No signals or indicators constitute financial advice, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation [QuantAlgo]Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation by QuantAlgo 📈✨
Introducing the Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation , a comprehensive trend-following indicator designed to combine the smoothness of an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with the volatility adjustments of Average True Range (ATR) and Standard Deviation. This synergy allows traders and investors to better identify market trends while accounting for volatility, delivering clearer signals in both trending and volatile market conditions. This indicator is suitable for traders and investors seeking to balance trend detection and volatility management, offering a robust and adaptable approach across various asset classes and timeframes.
💫 Core Concept and Innovation
The Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation brings together the trend-smoothing properties of the EMA and the volatility sensitivity of ATR and Standard Deviation. By using the EMA to track price movements over time, the indicator smooths out minor fluctuations while still providing valuable insights into overall market direction. However, market volatility can sometimes distort simple moving averages, so the ATR and Standard Deviation components dynamically adjust the trend signals, offering more nuanced insights into trend strength and reversals. This combination equips traders with a powerful tool to navigate unpredictable markets while minimizing false signals.
📊 Technical Breakdown and Calculations
The Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation relies on three key technical components:
1. Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The EMA forms the base of the trend detection. Unlike a Simple Moving Average (SMA), the EMA gives more weight to recent price changes, allowing it to react more quickly to new data. Users can adjust the length of the EMA to make it more or less responsive to price movements.
2. Standard Deviation Bands: These bands are calculated from the standard deviation of the EMA and represent dynamic volatility thresholds. The upper and lower bands expand or contract based on recent price volatility, providing more accurate signals in both calm and volatile markets.
3. ATR-Based Volatility Filter: The Average True Range (ATR) is used to measure market volatility over a user-defined period. It helps refine the trend signals by filtering out false positives caused by minor price swings. The ATR filter ensures that the indicator only signals significant market movements.
⚙️ Step-by-Step Calculation:
1. EMA Calculation: First, the indicator calculates the EMA over a specified period based on the chosen price source (e.g., close, high, low).
2. Standard Deviation Bands: Then, it computes the standard deviation of the EMA and applies a multiplier to create upper and lower bands around the EMA. These bands adjust dynamically with the level of market volatility.
3. ATR Filtering: In addition to the standard deviation bands, the ATR is applied as a secondary filter to help refine the trend signals. This step helps eliminate signals generated by short-term price spikes or corrections, ensuring that the signals are more reliable.
4. Trend Detection: When the price crosses above the upper band, a bullish trend is identified, while a move below the lower band signals a bearish trend. The system accounts for both the standard deviation and ATR bands to generate these signals.
✅ Customizable Inputs and Features
The Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation provides a range of customizable options to fit various trading/investing styles:
📈 Trend Settings:
1. Price Source: Choose the price type (e.g., close, high, low) to base the EMA calculation on, influencing how the trend is tracked.
2. EMA Length: Adjust the length to control how quickly the EMA reacts to price changes. A shorter length provides a more responsive EMA, while a longer period smooths out short-term fluctuations.
🌊 Volatility Controls:
1. Standard Deviation Multiplier: This parameter controls the sensitivity of the trend detection by adjusting the distance between the upper and lower bands from the EMA.
2. TR Length and Multiplier: Fine-tune the ATR settings to control how volatility is filtered, adjusting the indicator’s responsiveness during high or low volatility phases.
🎨 Visualization and Alerts:
1. Bar Coloring: Select different colors for uptrends and downtrends, providing a clear visual cue when trends change.
2. Alerts: Set up alerts to notify you when the price crosses the upper or lower bands, signaling a potential long or short trend shift. Alerts can help you stay informed without constant chart monitoring.
📈 Practical Applications
The Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation is ideal for traders and investors looking to balance trend-following strategies with volatility management. Key uses include:
Detecting Trend Reversals: The dynamic bands help identify when the market shifts direction, providing clear signals when a trend reversal is likely.
Filtering Market Noise: By applying both Standard Deviation and ATR filtering, the indicator helps reduce false signals during periods of heightened volatility.
Volatility-Based Risk Management: The adaptability of the bands ensures that traders can manage risk more effectively by responding to shifts in volatility while keeping focus on long-term trends.
⭐️ Comprehensive Summary
The Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation is a highly customizable indicator that provides traders with clearer signals for trend detection and volatility management. By dynamically adjusting its calculations based on market conditions, it offers a powerful tool for navigating both trending and volatile markets. Whether you're looking to detect early trend reversals or avoid false signals during periods of high volatility, this indicator gives you the flexibility and accuracy to improve your trading and investing strategies.
Note: The Adaptive EMA with ATR and Standard Deviation is designed to enhance your market analysis but should not be relied upon as the sole basis for trading or investing decisions. Always combine it with other analytical tools and practices. No statements or signals from this indicator constitute financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Volume on levels @gauranshgVolume on Levels @gauranshg is a powerful Pine Script designed to visualize trading volume across price levels directly on the chart. This script allows users to observe volume intensity, offering a clearer perspective on price action and potential support/resistance areas. By utilizing a dynamic, customizable multiplier, the volume is normalized and displayed in proportion, ensuring better scalability across various timeframes and assets.
Usage:
Normalization of Volume: Users can input a multiplier to adjust the normalization of volume. This is useful when analyzing assets with differing price and volume ranges.
Input of 1 means 1 Million volume will be marked with green color of opacity 1 and 2 Million as 2 and so on. In case you are looking at chart with very high volume, you might want to increase the multiplies
Default multiplier is set to 1, and can be customized for different scales.
Volume Visualization: The volume is displayed on the chart as background boxes behind price levels, with the opacity of the boxes changing based on the normalized volume. This helps to quickly visualize areas of high and low trading activity.
This script is ideal for investors who wish to enhance their volume analysis by visualizing it directly on price levels in a clear, normalized format.
Stef's Enterprise Value CalculatorI have learned the hard way why Enterprise Value is far more superior than Market Cap. That's why I made this indicator, but more importantly, why I added several features that other similar indicators just don't have. The key thing is to not just show you Enterprise Value of a company (it's true worth) but also the capability to see that line colored in a specific way, with key stats as a neat table, and the ability to chart the key facts that go into Enterprise Value, which are debt and cash.
I'll say it again: Market Cap is not nearly as good as Enterprise Value. Don't get tricked by what Market Cap does NOT show you and instead focus on Enterprise Value. I hope my indicator, and the features you see below, help investors and traders all over the world better understand this.
Here are the key features:
Enterprise Value Indicator Features:
1. Real-Time Enterprise Value (EV) Display: Track the EV of a company directly on your chart, providing a comprehensive measure of its true market value.
2. Custom Color Trends: Customize the color of your EV line based on specific trends you’re monitoring, allowing for personalized and insightful visual analysis.
3. Debt & Cash Visualization: Plot both debt and cash & equivalents on the same chart, offering a clear and concise view of a company’s financial health.
4. Key Metrics Table: View a table displaying essential metrics including:
- Average EV
- Highest EV
- Lowest EV
- MC-EV (Market Cap minus Enterprise Value)
MC-EV Charting: Easily chart MC-EV to understand how much debt a company has relative to its market cap, providing insight into financial leverage and growth potential.
Why MC-EV Matters: This metric is crucial for evaluating a company’s financial risk and operational efficiency, giving you an edge in making informed investment decisions.
Thanks for reading and I hope you find some value in this! More updates to come.
[Suitable Hope] Crypto Upside Model 3.0The "Crypto Upside Model 3.0" indicator dynamically calculates the potential price of any cryptocurrency based on various percentages of Ethereum or Bitcoin's market capitalization.
By fetching and analyzing marketcap data from TradingView sources, it allows traders to visualize potential price targets if their chosen cryptocurrency reaches specific market dominance levels. This tool is designed for daily timeframe analysis and can be used to set informed price expectations and strategic investment goals, providing valuable insights for long-term investment planning.
Why using the Crypto Upside Model 3.0?
Strategic Planning: Helps traders and investors set realistic price targets and investment goals by visualizing potential market cap scenarios.
Informed Decision-Making: Provides a data-driven approach to understanding how a cryptocurrency might perform relative to major assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Customizable Analysis: Allows users to choose different comparison assets (ETH or BTC) and visualize various market cap dominance percentages, offering tailored insights.
Daily Timeframe Focus: Ideal for swing traders and long-term investors who operate on a daily analysis timeframe, providing relevant and actionable data.
Bull Markets: Identify potential price targets if your cryptocurrency's market cap increases significantly.
Bear Markets: Assess how much value could be retained relative to major cryptocurrencies.
Strategic Entry/Exit Points: Use the visualized targets to plan entry or exit points in your trading strategy.
Comparative Advantage
Dynamic Adaptation: Unlike fixed indicators, this tool adapts to any active chart, making it versatile for multiple cryptocurrencies.
Market Cap Insights: Provides a unique perspective by linking price targets to market cap dominance, a critical factor in the crypto market.
User Instructions
Setup: Add the " Upside Model 3.0" indicator to your TradingView chart.
Configuration: Use the input settings to select the comparison cryptocurrency (ETH or BTC) and enable the desired market cap percentage plots.
Analysis: The indicator will display potential price targets based on the selected market cap percentages, providing a visual guide for setting price expectations.
Limitations
Marketcap Data Availability: The indicator relies on marketcap data from TradingView, which may not be available for all cryptocurrencies. If the data is unavailable, the indicator will not function for that asset. This tool is more likely to work with older, established cryptocurrencies, as marketcap data for newer cryptocurrencies may not yet be available.
Daily Timeframe Restriction: The indicator is designed to work exclusively on the daily timeframe, limiting its applicability for intraday trading.
Assumptions of Market Dynamics: The calculations assume a direct correlation between market dominance and price, which may not account for other market dynamics and external factors influencing prices.
Data Accuracy: The accuracy of the indicator depends on the reliability of the data provided by TradingView, which may sometimes experience delays or inaccuracies.
Currently available cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Binance Coin, Cardano, Ripple, Polkadot, Avalanche, Chainlink, Litecoin, Dogecoin, Terra, Uniswap, VeChain, Stellar, Internet Computer, Hedera, Filecoin, Monero, Aave, TRON, NEAR Protocol, Compound, Maker,... For all compatible cryptocurrencies, please consult CRYPTOCAP's documentation.
Final notes
Although various sources ask a payment or user data for similar kind of private indicators, this one is entirely free and open source. "Uncanny" isn't it? I hope this indicator will provide you value. Feel free to leave a message if you have any questions or constructive feedback.
Examples of how I use this indicator
When using ETH's historical price as a reference compared to Bitcoin's marketcap, we can notice that price generally has been held between the +-30% and 50% lines of BTC's marketcap. If history is repeating again, we can expect major resistances around the 50% looking ahead into the future. This for me would be a great area to potentially reduce my ETH spot position.
When using SOL's historical price action, we can notice that the 15% line of ETH's marketcap has been a top in the previous cycle. Today SOL (July 2024), is back at this level. Could this be a top again or could price break this 15% level and head perhaps towards 30% which currently sits around $260? Time will tell.
These are 2 simple example of how I interpret the data. I'm keen to hear what other findings with other pairs you can find.
Turn of the Month Strategy [Honestcowboy]The end of month effect is a well known trading strategy in the stock market. Quite simply, most stocks go up at the end of the month. What's even better is that this effect spills over to the next phew days of the next month.
In this script we backtest this theory which should work especially well on SP500 pair.
By default the strategy buys 2 days before the end of each month and exits the position 3 days into the next month.
The strategy is a long only strategy and is extremely simple. The SP500 is one of the #1 assets people use for long term investing due to it's "9.8%" annualised return. However as a trader you want the best deal possible. This strategy is only inside the market for about 25% of the time while delivering a similar return per exposure with a lower drawdown.
Here are some hypothesis why turn of the month effect happens in the stock markets:
Increased inflow from savings accounts to stocks at end of month
Rebalancing of portfolios by fund managers at end of month
The timing of monthly cash flows received by pension funds, which are reinvested in the stock market.
The script also has some inputs to define how many days before end of the month you want to buy the asset and how long you want to hold it into the next month.
It is not possible to buy the asset exactly on this day every month as the market closes on the weekend. I've added some logic where it will check if that day is a friday, saturdady or sunday. If that is the case it will send the buy signal on the end of thursday, this way we enter on the friday and don't lose that months trading opportunity.
The backtest below uses 4% exposure per trade as to show the equity curve more clearly and because of publishing rules. However, most fund managers and investors use 100% exposure. This way you actually risk money to earn money. Feel free to adjust the settings to your risk profile to get a clearer picture of risks and rewards before implementing in your portfolio.
Index investingThe Index Investing indicator simplifies decision-making for adding to Index ETF's Long-term investments. By utilizing a percentage discount methodology, it highlights potential opportunities to enhance portfolios. This straightforward tool aids in identifying favorable moments to invest based on calculated price discounts from selected reference points, making the process more systematic and less subjective.
🔶 SETTINGS
Reference Price: Choose between 'All-Time-High' or 'Start of the Year' as the basis for calculating discount levels. This allows for flexibility in strategy depending on market conditions or investment philosophy.
Discount 1 %, Discount 2 %, Discount 3 %: These inputs define the percentage below the reference price at which buy signals are generated. They represent strategic entry points at discounted prices.
🔶 Default Parameters
The default parameters of 4.13%, 8.26%, and 12.39% for the discount levels are chosen based on the average 5-year return of the NSE:NIFTY Index, which stands at approximately 12.39%. By dividing this return into three parts, we obtain a structured approach to capturing potential upside at varying levels of market retracement, providing a logical basis for the selected default values.
Users have the flexibility to modify these parameters, tailoring the indicator to fit their unique approach and market outlook.
🔶 How Levels Are Calculated
Discount levels are calculated using the formula: Discount Price = Reference Price * (1 - Discount %) . This succinct approach establishes specific entry points below the chosen reference, such as an all-time high or the year's start price.
🔶 How Are the Buy Labels Generated
Buy signals are generated when the market price(Low of the candle) crosses under any of the defined discount levels. Each level has a corresponding buy label ('Buy 1', 'Buy 2', 'Buy 3'), which is activated upon the price crossing below the specified discount level and is only reset at the beginning of a new year or upon reaching a new reference high, ensuring signals are not repetitive for the same price level.
🔶 Other Features
Alerts: The indicator provides alerts for each buy signal, notifying potential entry points at their defined discount levels. The alert triggers only once per candle.
Year Marker: A vertical line with an accompanying label marks the start of each trading year on the chart. This feature aids in visualizing the temporal context of buy signals and reference price adjustments.
RSI Volatility Bands [QuantraSystems]RSI Volatility Bands
Introduction
The RSI Volatility Bands indicator introduces a unique approach to market analysis by combining the traditional Relative Strength Index (RSI) with dynamic, volatility adjusted deviation bands. It is designed to provide a highly customizable method of trend analysis, enabling investors to analyze potential entry and exit points in a new and profound way.
The deviation bands are calculated and drawn in a manner which allows investors to view them as areas of dynamic support and resistance.
Legend
Upper and Lower Bands - A dynamic plot of the volatility-adjusted range around the current price.
Signals - Generated when the RSI volatility bands indicate a trend shift.
Case Study
The chart highlights the occurrence of false signals, emphasizing the need for caution when the bands are contracted and market volatility is low.
Juxtaposing this, during volatile market phases as shown, the indicator can effectively adapt to strong trends. This keeps an investor in a position even through a minor drawdown in order to exploit the entire price movement.
Recommended Settings
The RSI Volatility Bands are highly customisable and can be adapted to many assets with diverse behaviors.
The calibrations used in the above screenshots are as follows:
Source = close
RSI Length = 8
RSI Smoothing MA = DEMA
Bandwidth Type = DEMA
Bandwidth Length = 24
Bandwidth Smooth = 25
Methodology
The indicator first calculates the RSI of the price data, and applies a custom moving average.
The deviation bands are then calculated based upon the absolute difference between the RSI and its moving average - providing a unique volatility insight.
The deviation bands are then adjusted with another smoothing function, providing clear visuals of the RSI’s trend within a volatility-adjusted context.
rsiVal = ta.rsi(close, rsiLength)
rsiEma = ma(rsiMA, rsiVal, bandLength)
bandwidth = ma(bandMA, math.abs(rsiVal - rsiEma), bandLength)
upperBand = ma(bandMA, rsiEma + bandwidth, smooth)
lowerBand = ma(bandMA, rsiEma - bandwidth, smooth)
long = upperBand > 50 and not (lowerBand < lowerBand and lowerBand < 50)
short= not (upperBand > 50 and not (lowerBand < lowerBand and lowerBand < 50))
By dynamically adjusting to market conditions, the RSI trend bands offer a unique perspective on market trends, and reversal zones.
EPS GridIntroduction:
This simple indicator offers insights into the relationship between stock prices and earnings, aiding in the assessment of valuation dynamics during different periods.
Understanding Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio:
The commonly used Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio, calculated as Current Price divided by Earnings Per Share (EPS) over the trailing 12 months (TTM), serves as a fundamental metric. Here, we use this formula to estimate a stock's price. For instance, multiplying EPS by 10 provides an approximation of the stock price with a P/E ratio of 10.
The Grid Concept:
Utilizing this principle, a visual grid is constructed to illustrate how stock prices correlate with earnings. This grid facilitates the identification of both potential bargains and overvalued stocks.
How to Utilize:
This indicator is pre-configured with earnings multiples of 10, 15, 20, and 25. Simply add it to your chart and observe whether earnings demonstrate consistent growth. If prices lag behind earnings, a potential catch-up phase may ensue in the future.
Happy Investing!
Embark on your investment journey armed with this indicator, and may it guide you towards informed decisions and successful ventures.
Simple Neural Network Transformed RSI [QuantraSystems]Simple Neural Network Transformed RSI
Introduction
The Simple Neural Network Transformed RSI (ɴɴᴛ ʀsɪ) stands out as a formidable tool for traders who specialize in lower timeframe trading.
It is an innovative enhancement of the traditional RSI readings with simple neural network smoothing techniques.
This unique blend results in fairly accurate signals, tailored for swift market movements. The ɴɴᴛ ʀsɪ is particularly resistant to the usual market noise found in lower timeframes, ensuring a clearer view of short-term trends.
Furthermore, its diverse range of visualization options adds versatility, making it a valuable tool for traders seeking to capitalize on short-duration market dynamics.
Legend
In the Image you can see the BTCUSD 1D Chart with the ɴɴᴛ ʀsɪ in Trend Following Mode to display the current trend. This is visualized with the barcoloring.
Its Overbought and Oversold zones start at 50% and end at 100% of the selected Standard Deviation (default σ = 2), which can indicate extremely rare situations which can lead to either a softening momentum in the trend or even a mean reversion situation.
Here you can also see the original Indicator line and the Heikin Ashi transformed Indicator bars - more on that now.
Notes
Quantra Standard Value Contents:
To draw out all the information from the indicator calculation we have added a Heikin-Ashi (HA) Candle Visualization.
This HA transformation smoothens out the indicator values and gives a more informative look into Momentum and Trend of the Indicator itself.
This allows early entries and exits by observing the HA transformed Indicator values.
To diversify, different visualization options are available, either a classic line, HA transformed or Hybrid, which contains both of the previous.
To make Quantra's Indicators as useful and versatile as possible we have created options
to change the barcoloring and thus the derived signal from the indicator based on different modes.
Option to choose different Modes:
Trend Following (Indicator above mid line counts as uptrend, below is downtrend)
Extremities (Everything going beyond the Deviation Bands in a Mean Reversion manner is highlighted)
Candles (Color of HA candles as barcolor)
Reversion (HA ONLY) (Reversion Signals via the triangles if HA candles change state outside of the Deviation Bands)
- Reversion Signals are indicated by the triangles in the Heikin-Ashi or Hybrid visualization when the HA Candles revert
from downwards to upwards or the other way around OUTSIDE of the SD Bands.
Depending on the Indicator they signal OB/OS areas and can either work as high probability entries and exits for Mean Reversion trades or
indicate Momentum slow downs and potential ranges.
Please use another indicator to confirm this.
Case Study
To effectively utilize the NNT-RSI, traders should know their style and familiarize themselves with the available options.
As stated above, you have multiple modes available that you can combine as you need and see fit.
In the given example mostly only the mode was used in an isolated fashion.
Trend Following:
Purely relied on State Change - Midline crossover
Could be combined with Momentum or Reversion analysis for better entries/exits.
Extremities:
Ideal entry/exit is in the accordingly colored OS/OB Area, the Reversion signaled the latest possible entry/exit.
HA Candles:
Specifically applicable for strong trends. Powerful and fast tool.
Can whip if used as sole condition.
Reversions:
Shows the single entry and exit bars which have a positive expected value outcome.
Can also be used as confirmation or as last signal.
Please note that we always advise to find more confluence by additional indicators.
Traders are encouraged to test and determine the most suitable settings for their specific trading strategies and timeframes.
In the showcased trades the default settings were used.
Methodology
The Simple Neural Network Transformed RSI uses a simple neural network logic to process RSI values, smoothing them for more accurate trend analysis.
This is achieved through a linear combination of RSI values over a specified input length, weighted evenly to produce a neural network output.
// Simple neural network logic (linear combination with weighted aggregation)
var float inputs = array.new_float(nnLength, na)
for i = 0 to nnLength - 1
array.set(inputs, i, rsi1 )
nnOutput = 0.0
for i = 0 to nnLength - 1
nnOutput := nnOutput + array.get(inputs, i) * (1 / nnLength)
nnOutput
This output is then compared against a standard or dynamic mean line to generate trend following signals.
Mean = ta.sma(nnOutput, sdLook)
cross = useMean? 50 : Mean
The indicator also incorporates Heikin Ashi candlestick calculations to provide additional insights into market dynamics, such as trend strength and potential reversals.
// Calculate Heikin Ashi representation
ha = ha(
na(nnOutput ) ? nnOutput : nnOutput ,
math.max(nnOutput, nnOutput ),
math.min(nnOutput, nnOutput ),
nnOutput)
Standard deviation bands are used to create dynamic overbought and oversold zones, further enhancing the tool's analytical capabilities.
// Calculate Dynamic OB/OS Zones
stdv_bands(_src, _length, _mult) =>
float basis = ta.sma(_src, _length)
float dev = _mult * ta.stdev(_src, _length)
= stdv_bands(nnOutput, sdLook,sdMult/2)
= stdv_bands(nnOutput, sdLook, sdMult)
The Standard Deviation bands take defined parameters from the user, in this case sigma of ideally between 2 to 3,
to help the indicator detect extremely improbable conditions and thus take an inversely probable signal from it to forward to the user.
The parameter settings and also the visualizations allow for ample customizations by the trader.
For questions or recommendations, please feel free to seek contact in the comments.
Rolling VWAP [QuantraSystems]Rolling VWAP
Introduction
The Rolling VWAP (R͜͡oll-VWAP) indicator modernizes the traditional VWAP by recalculating continuously on a rolling window, making it adept at pinpointing market trends and breakout points.
Its dual functionality includes both the dynamic rolling VWAP and a customizable anchored VWAP, enhanced by color-coded visual cues, thereby offering traders valuable flexibility and insight for their market analysis.
Legend
In the Image you can see the BTCUSD 1D Chart with the R͜͡oll-VWAP overlay.
You can see the individually activatable Standard Deviation (SD) Bands and the main VWAP Line.
It also features a Trend Signal which is deactivated by default and can be enabled if required.
Furthermore you can find the coloring of the VWAP line to represent the Trend.
In this case the trend itself is defined as:
Close being greater than the VWAP line -> Uptrend
Close below the VWAP line -> Downtrend
Notes
The R͜͡oll-VWAP can be used in a variety of ways.
Volatility adjusted expected range
This aims to identify in which range the asset is likely to move - according to the historical values the SD Bands are calculated and thus their according probabilities displayed.
Trend analysis
Trending above or below the VWAP shows up or down trends accordingly.
S/R Levels
Based on the probability distribution the 2. SD often works as a Resistance level and either mid line or 1. SD lines can act as S/R levels
Unsustainable levels
Based on the probability distributions a SD level of beyond 2.5, especially 3 and higher is hit very seldom and highly unsustainable.
This can either mean a mean reversion state or a momentum slowdown is necessary to get back to a sustainable level.
Please note that we always advise to find more confluence by additional indicators.
Traders are encouraged to test and determine the most suitable settings for their specific trading strategies and timeframes.
Methodology
The R͜͡oll-VWAP is based on the inbuilt TV VWAP.
It expands upon the limitations of having an anchored timeframe and thus a limited data set that is being reset constantly.
Instead we have integrated a rolling nature that continuously calculates the VWAP over a customizable lookback.
To also keep the base utility it is possible to use the anchored timeframes as well.
Furthermore the visualization has been improved and we added the coloring of the main VWAP line according to the Trend as stated above.
The applicable Trend signals are also part of that.
The parameter settings and also the visualizations allow for ample customizations by the trader.
For questions or recommendations, please feel free to seek contact in the comments.
Triple Confirmation Kernel Regression Base [QuantraSystems]Kernel Regression Oscillator - BASE
Introduction
The Kernel Regression Oscillator (ᏦᏒᎧ) represents an advanced tool for traders looking to capitalize on market trends.
This Indicator is valuable in identifying and confirming trend directions, as well as probabilistic and dynamic oversold and overbought zones.
It achieves this through a unique composite approach using three distinct Kernel Regressions combined in an Oscillator. The additional Chart Overlay Indicator adds confidence to the signal.
This methodology helps the trader to significantly reduce false signals and offers a more reliable indication of market movements than more widely used indicators can.
Legend
The upper section is the Overlay. It features the Signal Wave to display the current trend.
Its Overbought and Oversold zones start at 50% and end at 100% of the selected Standard Deviation (default σ = 3), which can indicate extremely rare situations which can lead to either a softening momentum in the trend or even a mean reversion situation.
The lower one is the Base Chart - This Indicator.
It features the Kernel Regression Oscillator to display a composite of three distinct regressions, also displaying current trend.
Its Overbought and Oversold zones start at 50% and end at 100% of the selected Standard Deviation (default σ = 2), which can indicate extremely rare situations.
Case Study
To effectively utilize the ᏦᏒᎧ, traders should use both the additional Overlay and the Base
Chart at the same time. Then focus on capturing the confluence in signals, for example:
If the 𝓢𝓲𝓰𝓷𝓪𝓵 𝓦𝓪𝓿𝓮 on the Overlay and the ᏦᏒᎧ on the Base Chart both reside near the extreme of an Oversold zone the probability is higher than normal that momentum in trend may soften or the token may even experience a reversion soon.
If a bar is characterized by an Oversold Shading in both the Overlay and the Base Chart, then the probability is very high to experience a reversion soon.
In this case the trader may want to look for appropriate entries into a long position, as displayed here.
If a bar is characterized by an Overbought Shading in either Overlay or Base Chart, then the probability is high for momentum weakening or a mean reversion.
In this case the trade may have taken profit and closed his long position, as displayed here.
Please note that we always advise to find more confluence by additional indicators.
Recommended Settings
Swing Trading (1D chart)
Overlay
Bandwith: 45
Width: 2
SD Lookback: 150
SD Multiplier: 2
Base Chart
Bandwith: 45
SD Lookback: 150
SD Multiplier: 2
Fast-paced, Scalping (4min chart)
Overlay
Bandwith: 75
Width: 2
SD Lookback: 150
SD Multiplier: 3
Base Chart
Bandwith: 45
SD Lookback: 150
SD Multiplier: 2
Notes
The Kernel Regression Oscillator on the Base Chart is also sensitive to divergences if that is something you are keen on using.
For maximum confluence, it is recommended to use the indicator both as a chart overlay and in its Base Chart.
Please pay attention to shaded areas with Standard Deviation settings of 2 or 3 at their outer borders, and consider action only with high confidence when both parts of the indicator align on the same signal.
This tool shows its best performance on timeframes lower than 4 hours.
Traders are encouraged to test and determine the most suitable settings for their specific trading strategies and timeframes.
The trend following functionality is indicated through the "𝓢𝓲𝓰𝓷𝓪𝓵 𝓦𝓪𝓿𝓮" Line, with optional "Up" and "Down" arrows to denote trend directions only (toggle “Show Trend Signals”).
Methodology
The Kernel Regression Oscillator takes three distinct kernel regression functions,
used at similar weight, in order to calculate a balanced and smooth composite of the regressions. Part of it are:
The Epanechnikov Kernel Regression: Known for its efficiency in smoothing data by assigning less weight to data points further away from the target point than closer data points, effectively reducing variance.
The Wave Kernel Regression: Similarly assigning weight to the data points based on distance, it captures repetitive and thus wave-like patterns within the data to smoothen out and reduce the effect of underlying cyclical trends.
The Logistic Kernel Regression: This uses the logistic function in order to assign weights by probability distribution on the distance between data points and target points. It thus avoids both bias and variance to a certain level.
kernel(source, bandwidth, kernel_type) =>
switch kernel_type
"Epanechnikov" => math.abs(source) <= 1 ? 0.75 * (1 - math.pow(source, 2)) : 0.0
"Logistic" => 1/math.exp(source + 2 + math.exp(-source))
"Wave" => math.abs(source) <= 1 ? (1 - math.abs(source)) * math.cos(math.pi * source) : 0.
kernelRegression(src, bandwidth, kernel_type) =>
sumWeightedY = 0.
sumKernels = 0.
for i = 0 to bandwidth - 1
base = i*i/math.pow(bandwidth, 2)
kernel = kernel(base, 1, kernel_type)
sumWeightedY += kernel * src
sumKernels += kernel
(src - sumWeightedY/sumKernels)/src
// Triple Confirmations
Ep = kernelRegression(source, bandwidth, 'Epanechnikov' )
Lo = kernelRegression(source, bandwidth, 'Logistic' )
Wa = kernelRegression(source, bandwidth, 'Wave' )
By combining these regressions in an unbiased average, we follow our principle of achieving confluence for a signal or a decision, by stacking several edges to increase the probability that we are correct.
// Average
AV = math.avg(Ep, Lo, Wa)
The Standard Deviation bands take defined parameters from the user, in this case sigma of ideally between 2 to 3,
to help the indicator detect extremely improbable conditions and thus take an inversely probable signal from it to forward to the user.
The parameter settings and also the visualizations allow for ample customizations by the trader. The indicator comes with default and recommended settings.
For questions or recommendations, please feel free to seek contact in the comments.
White NoiseThe "White Noise" indicator is designed to visualize the dispersion of price movements around a moving average, providing insights into market noise and potential trend changes. It highlights periods of increased volatility or noise compared to the underlying trend.
Code Explanation:
Inputs:
mlen: Input for the length of the noise calculation.
hlen: Input for the length of the Hull moving average.
col_up: Input for the color of the up movement.
col_dn: Input for the color of the down movement.
Calculations:
ma: Calculate the simple moving average of the high, low, and close prices (hlc3) over the specified mlen period.
dist: Calculate the percentage distance between the hlc3 and the moving average ma, then scale it by 850. This quantifies the deviation from the moving average as a value.
sm: Smooth the calculated dist values using a weighted moving average (WMA) twice, with different weights, and subtract one from the other. This provides a smoothed representation of the dispersion.
Coloring:
col_wn: Determine the color of the bars based on whether dist is positive or negative and whether it's greater or less than the smoothed sm value. This creates color-coded columns indicating upward or downward movements with varying opacity.
col_switch: Define the color for the current trend state. It switches color when the smoothed sm crosses above or below its previous value, indicating potential trend changes.
col_switch2: Define the color for the horizontal line that separates the two trend states. It switches color based on the same crossover and crossunder conditions as col_switch.
Plots:
plot(dist): Plot the dispersion values as columns with color defined by col_wn.
plot(sm): Plot the smoothed dispersion line with a white color and thicker linewidth.
plot(sm ): Plot the previous smoothed dispersion value with a lighter white color to create a visual distinction.
Usage:
This indicator can help traders identify periods of increased market noise, visualize potential trend reversals, and assess the strength of price movements around the moving average. The colored columns and smoothed line offer insights into the ebb and flow of market sentiment, aiding in decision-making.
ps. This can be used as a long-term TPI component if you dabble in Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT)
Recommended for timeframes on the 1D or above:
Shiller PE Ratio (CAPE Ratio) [WhaleCrew]Our Implementation of the famous Shiller PE Ratio (aka C yclically A djusted P rice-to- E arnings Ratio) a long-term valuation indicator for the S&P 500.
Calculation: Share price divided by 10 - year average, inflation - adjusted earnings
The indicator works on the M and 12M timeframe and has a built-in moving average that supports an upper and lower bollinger band.
Bitcoin Miner Sell PressureBitcoin miners are in pain and now (November 2022) selling more than they have in almost 5 years!
Introducing: Bitcoin Miner Sell Pressure.
A free, open-source indicator which tracks on-chain data to highlight when Bitcoin miners are selling more of their reserves than usual.
The indicator tracks the ratio of on-chain miner Bitcoin outflows to miner Bitcoin reserves.
- Higher = more selling than usual
- Lower = less selling than usual
- Red = extraordinary sell pressure
Today , it's red.
What can we see now ?
Miners are not great at treasury management. They tend to sell most when they are losing money (like today). But there have been times when they sold well into high profit, such as into the 2017 $20K top and in early 2021 when Bitcoin breached $40K.
Bitcoin Miner Sell Pressure identifies industry stress, excess and miner capitulation.
Unsurprisingly, there is a high correlation with Bitcoin Production Cost; giving strong confluence to both.
In some instances, BMSP spots capitulation before Hash Ribbons. Such as today!
Balance of Power Heikin Ashi Investing Strategy Balance of Power Heikin Ashi Investing Strategy
This is a swing strategy designed for investment help.
Its made around the Balace of Power indicator, but has been adapted on using the Monthly Heikin Ashi candle from the SPY asset in order to be used with correlation for US Stock/ETF/Index Markets.
The BOP acts as an oscilallator showing the power of a bull trend when its positive and a bearish trend when its in negative. At the same time we can spot reversals, based on the percentiles ( 99/1)
The rules for entry :
For long : The 99 percentile is ascending, and we are either in a positive value (>0), or we crossed the bottom place ( -0.35)
For short : the 99 and 1 percentile are descending, and we are either in a negative value(<0), or we crossed down the top place ( 0.6)
If you have any questions please let me know !
