Bitcoin: Mayer MultipleMayer Multiple Indicator
The Mayer Multiple is a powerful tool designed to help traders assess market conditions and identify optimal buying or selling opportunities. It calculates the ratio between the current price and its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), visualizing key thresholds that indicate value zones, caution areas, and overheated markets.
Key Features:
Dynamic Market Zones: Clearly marked levels like "Smash Buy," "Boost DCA," and "Extreme Euphoria" to guide your trading decisions.
Customizable Input: Adjust the SMA length to fit your strategy.
Color-Coded Signals: Intuitive visualization of market sentiment for quick analysis.
Comprehensive Thresholds: Historical insights into price behavior with plotted reference levels based on probabilities.
This indicator is ideal for traders aiming to enhance their long-term strategies and improve decision-making in volatile markets. Use it to gain an edge in identifying potential turning points and managing risk effectively.
MAYERMULTIPLE
Tri-MayerMultiple by USCG_VetThe Mayer Multiple was created by Trace Mayer as a way to analyze the price of an asset in a historical context.
The Mayer Multiple is the multiple of the current price over some x-day moving average.
I preferred to display multiple average lines as they can help with identifying divergences.
Mikolaj Zakrzowski - Adjusted Mayer MultipleAuthor - Publication: Mikołaj Zakrzowski, Marek Zatwarnicki
Author - Algorithm: Mikołaj Zakrzowski
Author - Code: Marek Zatwarnicki, Derek Gruening
Inspired by: Mayer Multiple by Trace Mayer
Category: Technical Analysis
Type: Indicator
Timeframe: 1D Only
Index: INDEX:BTCUSD Only
About:
According to Willy Woo Mayer Multiple is "A way to gauge the current price of Bitcoin against its long range historical price movements (200 day moving average), the Mayer Multiple highlights when Bitcoin is overbought or oversold in the context of longer time frames".
My friend, Mikolaj Zakrzowski, decided to modify and adjust this indicator so that it could be normalized. This procedure allows for easier interpretation, and clear signals of the end of the ups and downs of a given Bitcoin cycle.
How to use:
BUY - Buy some Bitcoin , when label on last candle shows "Buy".
SELL- Sell some Bitcoin , when label on last candle shows "Sell".
Formula:
- Mayer Multiple - Close / ta. sma (close, 200)
- Formula for normalization is an intellectual property of Mikolaj Zakrzowski.
Overfitting: The presented algorithm is characterized by log regresion determined as of 01/01/2022. Tests with historical data show that the algorithm is very likely to work equally well the following years.
Disclaimer: Past good results do not guarantee future trading success. Please use the algorithm with caution and support it with your knowledge. Published algorithm decisions are not financial advice.
Mayer Multiple Bands [TXMC]This Bitcoin indicator provides level bands using price distance from the 200 day moving average, also known as the Mayer Multiple.
The percentage levels are based on historical distribution of the Mayer Multiple since Bitcoin's inception, and are meant to inform the user of price action probabilities.
Usage examples:
The 25% line means that 25% of Bitcoin's price history has traded below that distance away from the 200 day moving average.
A value of 95% means that only 5% of Bitcoin's price history has extended that far above the 200 day moving average.
Levels displayed:
5% (5% chance of trading below)
10% (10% chance of trading below)
20%
75%
90% (10% chance of trading above)
95% (5% chance of trading above)
This indicator is for information purposes only . Use at your own discretion.
Mayer Multiple RainbowUses a more recent sampling (since 2013) to generated Mayer Multiple distribution.
Mayer Multiple Dynamic Histogram [arviman]Plots dynamic levels of the standard mayer multiple based on percentile of recent history. This allows you to view color coded information in a more dynamic fashion.
Hope this helps give you an overview of the current market.
This can be used for crypto but also for quick analysis of the current trend for any other instruments like stocks.
Mayer MultipleThe script implements a custom version of the Mayer multiple and it may be useful for analyzing the price of Bitcoin in a historical context.
Note n.1: Mayer multiple does not tell whether to buy, sell or hold, but highlights the best long-term area when the bitcoin price is below a threshold value (2.4).
Note n.2: the threshold value (2.4) has been determined in the past by simulations performed.
The script user may decide whether to use the shown graph or another graph for the calculation of the Mayer multiple.
The script is very easy to use and it is possible to change the following parameters:
the period of SMA (default value is 200)
the threshold (default value 2.4)
Show or not the sell area
Use or not the shown graph to calculate the Mayer multiple (default value is true)
name of exchange to use for calculation of the Mayer multiple (default value is BNC)
name of chart to use for calculation of the Mayer multiple (default value is BLX)
Indicator: Weight Of Middle [xQT5]This is my original indicator that was inspired by "Mayer Multiple" and "Chande Forecast Oscillator" (CFO).
I decided to search truth of trend power with SMA and LinReg and found it in a somewhere of the middle. Also, I added a limit area, where you need to keep a more attention, because it can show a potential reversal.
You can change parametrs with a your own look.
One more signal for indicator:
- If "WOM" is above "1" - it's a bullish direction;
- If "WOM" is below "1" - it's a bearish direction.
Enjoy it!
BTC Mayer Multiple BandsIntroduced by Trace Mayer as a way to gauge the current price of Bitcoin against its long range historical price movements (200 day moving average), the Mayer Multiple highlights when Bitcoin is overbought or oversold in the context of longer time frames.
It's worth noting that as the market becomes larger and less volatile, the peaks are becoming less exaggerated. This is because a 200 day moving average baseline is a static yardstick against an ever growing, more stable, Bitcoin market. We should recalibrate what constitutes the overbought/oversold extremes on this chart accordingly.
Idea by CryptoKea. Original author:
MACD & Mayer multpile Crypto-EmbassyThis is a combination of two indicators MACD & The Mayer Multiple.
MACD = Short for moving average convergence/divergence. It is designed to reveal changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a stock's price.
You will find the normal histogram and also a generated trend line (green = bullish , red = bearish )
The Mayer Multiple = The Mayer Multiple was created by Trace Mayer as a way to analyse the price of Bitcoin in a historical context. The Mayer Multiple is the multiple of the current price over the 200-days moving average.
"It does NOT tell whether to buy, sell or hold" but it gives you a pretty good idea of where we are at.
Basically
🔵Blue = Please buy🙏
🟢Light green = Looking for good entries 👀
🟢Green = Buy if you wish
🟡Yellow = This is starting to take off
🟠Orange = Looking for good exit 👀
🔴Red = You should get out of this
🔴Dark Red = You have balls, now please sell🙏
BEST Mayer MultipleHello traders
I'm not a HODLer by any means. I know when to sell (or I think I know....) when an asset starts going against me too much.
Even if it's a "long-term" investment.
My mentor used to telling me this: "If a short-term trade becomes a long-term investment, then you're in for a hell of a ride".
I have no clue if Bitcoin/BTC will go back up or not - I don't even care because I'm an intraday trader.
What if BTC was actually a way to accumulate more fiat? Satoshi fooled us
I coded this Mayer Multiple according to the specifications below. By the way, I'm a big fan of Willy Woo. I've been monitoring all his work since I learned about crypto (10 minutes ago.... it's a joke come on)
charts.woobull.com
Scaling
To respect the Mayer's multiple model, I recommend to select the Logarithmic scaling as shown below
imgur.com
What Mayer's model says
Using the reference below, the model says we're in the oversold zone. But, we can be in that zone for months/years...
When a model says an asset could bounce in a 1000-7000 USD range... well... I don't know how I would be able to perform optimally with that insight. This is very subjective and not a recommendation.
Mayer's Multiple model reference
All the BEST
Dave
Al Po Multiples [ADV]Al Po Multiples - is the logical evolving of a very well known to every bitcoiner Mayer Multiples formula. Instead of fixed constants (like 200MA, current price and below or above the 1, etc.), I use a variable values which helps in general to set the very best values for separate timeframes.
You can set Buy and Sell borders to separate green/red/yellow fields for better visual integrity.
Mayer Multiple [ChuckBanger]The Mayer Multiple is calculated by dividing the current price by 200-day moving average so you have to use daily charts fort it to work properly. This script is design to be a help for deciding when to buy Bitcoin and when it is time to sell your HODL position. This script uses moving average for optimal sell and buy points. In time of writing the average Mayer Multiple is 1.47 for the history of Bitcoin.
Mayer Multiple Optimal Multi-Color Histogram [aamonkey]Mayer Multiple developed by Trace Mayer gives the ratio of price to 200 daily moving average.
Buy when it's white sell when it's orange.
Is intended for use on day chart only.
This is an extension of the Mayer Multiple developed by Trace Mayer.
Normally you only have 2 thresholds signaling buying or selling (blue and yellow).
However, I added 2 more thresholds signaling optimized buys and sells (white and orange).
Mayer MultiplerThe ‘Mayer Multiple’ is one of the most popular metrics and derives from the current price divided by the 200-day moving average (200-MA). The average value is 1.39, and historically, when it becomes equal to or greater than 2.4 it will retrace to under 1.5.
Simulations performed by Trace Mayer determined that in the past, the best long-term results were achieved by accumulating Bitcoin whenever the Mayer Multiple was below 2.4.
Since the simulations were based on historical data, they are purely educational and should not be the basis of any financial decision.
Credit:
bitcoinist.com
mayermultiple.info
Mayer Multiple | SMA Line Indicator [AJ]Inspired by Trace Mayer's 200 Day SMA cryptocurrency valuation method
I take no credit for the formula used to calculate the Mayer Multiple or the Mayer Multiple itself
For use with the Mayer Multiple Histogram Indicator which gives a visual of this line indicator
This line indicator should be used for setting alerts.
Mayer Multiple Histogram [AJ]Mayer Multiple Histogram Indicator | Customized by AJ Robertson
@Version=2
I take no credit for the actual formula used to calculate the Mayer Multiple or the Mayer Multiple itself.
For use with Mayer Multiple Line Indicator
The histogram helps give a visual representation while the line indicator is used to set alerts
I've set an additional optimal buy color which is the Mayer Multiple at or below 0.7 as this is optimal accumulation threshold
Also set an optimal sell color (red) which is the Mayer Multiple at or above 3.5
Color Coding
Red (Hist) = Optimal Sell
Red (Line) = Backtesting threshold
Orange = Overvalued
Gray = Hold
Green (dark) = Undervalued
Lime (light green) = Optimal Accumulation Zone
Bitcoin Stock To Flow Model Value (fixed)This indicator shows the Bitcoin value based on the Stock To Flow Model by planB
Fixed version of the original script by yomofoV:
Split up into 2 seperate indicators so you can put it into two seperate panes. This is the S2F Model Value.
You can find the S2F Multiple indicator here:
Bitcoin Stock to Flow Multiple (fixed)This is a fixed version of the original script by yomofoV:
I fixed the variable assignments and added switching of timeframes over indicator inputs.
To switch timeframes click on the indicator, open its settings and switch the timeframe to either monthly, weekly or daily.
Bitcoin Stock to Flow Multiplethis study plots the price of btc over the Stock to Flow Model value
idea credited to: 100trillionUSD
my data is a bit off compared to the original source but overall it seems correct
Major Mayer MultipleAdjusted version of the BTC Mayer Multiple developed by Trace Mayer www.theinvestorspodcast.com
This version includes two novelties. The first one replaces BTC with Total Market Cap from 2016/2017 (depending on your moving averages) to present and the second is that we consider two Moving Averages to produce more detailed lows.
Mayer MultipleThis indicator was created by Trace Mayer as a way to analyze the price of Bitcoin in a historical context. Consider it as a kind of Volatility Ratio that was created by Jack Schwager for the securities.
To learn more about Mayer Multiple see:
charts.woobull.com
mayermultiple.info
www.theinvestorspodcast.com
Good luck!
🔮 Mayer Multiple w/ MA Selection by Cryptorhythms🔮 Mayer Multiple w/ MA Selection by Cryptorhythms
Description
Introduced by Trace Mayer as a way to gauge the current price of Bitcoin against its long range historical price movements (200 day SMA by default), the Mayer Multiple highlights when Bitcoin is overbought or oversold in the context of longer time frames.
It`s worth noting as the market becomes larger and less volatile, the peaks are becoming less exaggerated. This is because a 200 day moving average baseline is a static yardstick against an ever growing, more stable, Bitcoin market. We should eventually recalibrate what constitutes the overbought/oversold extremes on this chart accordingly.
Additional Features
I added a heatmap based coloring and background highlighting of configurable overbought and oversold zones.
In my testing I observed anecdotal evidence that a value of >1 signaled bull market sentiment and a value of <1 signaled bear sentiment. So I added the dashed line at that value.
I also added secondary zones for experimentation on other timeframes or just plain tinkering.
Lastly I added the ability to substitute the SMA for a few different types of moving averages.
Default Settings
The defaults zones are > 2.4 is overvalued and < 0.5 is undervalued. Default timeframe is daily
Default MA is SMA and default length is 200
Suggested MA length for weekly chart is 28
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