Monthly Seasonality Trend [DunesIsland]The Monthly Seasonality Trend is a indicator designed to analyze and visualize historical monthly seasonality patterns in financial markets. By calculating the average monthly return over a user-configurable lookback period (1 to 10 years), this indicator provides traders and investors with a clear projection of potential price movements for the current month, enabling data-driven decision-making.
How It Works
The indicator operates by retrieving monthly open and close prices for the specified lookback period (up to 10 years) and computing the average percentage return for the current month based on historical data. Key functionalities include:
Dynamic Trend Line: On the first trading day of each month, the indicator plots a line projecting the expected price trajectory, starting from the current close price and extending to the estimated end-of-month price based on the average historical return. The line is colored green for anticipated price increases or red for expected declines, offering an intuitive visual cue.
Average Return Label: A label is displayed at the start of each month, detailing the calculated average historical return for that month, expressed as a percentage, to provide context for the projected trend.
First Trading Day Marker: A small circle is plotted below the bar on the first trading day of each month, clearly marking the start of the projection period.
Adaptive Bar Counting: The indicator dynamically adjusts the length of the trend line based on the actual number of trading days in the previous month, ensuring accurate projections.
How to Interpret
Bullish Projection (Green Line): Indicates that historical data suggests an average price increase for the current month, potentially signaling buying opportunities.
Bearish Projection (Red Line): Suggests an average price decline based on historical trends, which may prompt caution or short-selling strategies.
Historical Context: The average return label provides a quantitative measure of past performance, helping traders assess the reliability of the projected trend.
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Price Deviation Table by ZonkeyXLProvides a 30 column table showing price deviation per bar close, highlighting larger deviations in red (downside) or green (upside).
Deviations that get highlighted in red/green are calculated to be 2x the amount of price movement in the previous candle, but can be customised to check any deviation size you want in the options panel.
Can be used on any timeframe but you need to specify the number of bars per table column to make it accurate to what you want.
Examples:
If used on the 1 second time frame you could specify bars to 1 and then each column value will check the price as at close on the most recent second for deviations against the close of price on the second prior, showing comparisons up to 30 seconds.
If on the 1 minute time-frame you could specify bars to 2 and then each column value would show deviations from most recent price close to 2 minutes ago, making all 30 columns show deviations for up to an hour.
At the end of the column are 3 orange coloured columns. The first one compares price to 10 bars ago. The second compares current price to 20 bars ago. The 3rd compares current price to 30 bars ago.
In our example on the 1 second above, this would mean deviation is calculated by comparing most recent close to 10 seconds ago, then to 20 seconds ago, and then to 30 seconds ago. The final 3 columns do not highlight red or green, so you can differentiate them properly from the main deviation columns at all times.
Note that the table is rolling - so once it is populated for the first time, only the final column will update while the prior values will shift one column to the left.
Fibonacci Retracement Engine (DFRE) [PhenLabs]📊 Fibonacci Retracement Engine (DFRE)
Version: PineScript™ v6
📌 Description
Dynamic Fibonacci Retracement Engine (DFRE) is a sophisticated technical analysis tool that automatically detects important swing points and draws precise Fibonacci retracement levels on various timeframes. The intelligent indicator eliminates the subjectivity of manual Fibonacci drawing using intelligent swing detection algorithms combined with multi timeframe confluence analysis.
Built for professional traders who demand accuracy and consistency, DFRE provides real time Fibonacci levels that adapt to modifications in market structure without sacrificing accuracy in changing market conditions. The indicator excels at identifying key support and resistance levels where price action is more likely to react, giving traders a potent edge in entry and exit timing.
🚀 Points of Innovation
Intelligent Swing Detection Algorithm : Advanced pivot detection with customizable confirmation bars and minimum swing percentage thresholds
Multi-Timeframe Confluence Engine : Simultaneous analysis across three timeframes to identify high-probability zones
Dynamic Level Management : Automatically updates and manages multiple Fibonacci sets while maintaining chart clarity
Adaptive Visualization System : Smart labeling that shows only the most relevant levels based on user preferences
Real-Time Confluence Detection : Identifies zones where multiple Fibonacci levels from different timeframes converge
Automated Alert System : Comprehensive notifications for level breakouts and confluence zone formations
🔧 Core Components
Swing Point Detection Engine : Uses pivot high/low calculations with strength confirmation to identify significant market turns
Fibonacci Calculator : Automatically computes standard retracement levels (0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786, 0.886) plus extensions (1.272, 1.618)
Multi-Timeframe Security Function : Safely retrieves Fibonacci data from higher timeframes without repainting
Confluence Analysis Module : Mathematically identifies zones where multiple levels cluster within specified thresholds
Dynamic Drawing Management : Efficiently handles line and label creation, updates, and deletion to maintain performance
🔥 Key Features
Customizable Swing Detection : Adjust swing length (3-50 bars) and strength confirmation (1-10 bars) to match your trading style
Selective Level Display : Choose which Fibonacci levels to show, from core levels to full extensions
Multi-Timeframe Analysis : Analyze up to 3 different timeframes simultaneously for confluence identification
Intelligent Labeling System : Options to show main levels only or all levels, with latest-set-only functionality
Visual Customization : Adjustable line width, colors, and extension options for optimal chart clarity
Performance Optimization : Limit maximum Fibonacci sets (1-5) to maintain smooth chart performance
Comprehensive Alerting : Get notified on level breakouts and confluence zone formations
🎨 Visualization
Dynamic Fibonacci Lines : Color-coded lines (green for uptrends, red for downtrends) with customizable width and extension
Smart Level Labels : Precise level identification with both ratio and price values displayed
Confluence Zone Highlighting : Visual emphasis on areas where multiple timeframe levels converge
Clean Chart Management : Automatic cleanup of old drawing objects to prevent chart clutter
Responsive Design : All visual elements adapt to different chart sizes and timeframes
📖 Usage Guidelines
Swing Detection Settings
Swing Detection Length - Default: 25 | Range: 3-50 | Controls the lookback period for identifying pivot points. Lower values detect more frequent swings but may include noise, while higher values focus on major market turns.
Swing Strength (Confirmation Bars) - Default: 2 | Range: 1-10 | Number of bars required to confirm a swing point. Higher values reduce false signals but increase lag.
Minimum Swing % Change - Default: 1.0% | Range: 0.1-10.0% | Minimum percentage change required to register a valid swing. Filters out insignificant price movements.
Fibonacci Level Settings
Individual Level Toggles : Enable/disable specific Fibonacci levels (0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786, 0.886)
Extensions : Show projection levels (1.272, 1.618) for target identification
Multi-Timeframe Settings
Timeframe Selection : Choose three higher timeframes for confluence analysis
Confluence Threshold : Percentage tolerance for level clustering (0.5-5.0%)
✅ Best Use Cases
Swing Trading : Identify optimal entry and exit points at key retracement levels
Confluence Trading : Focus on high-probability zones where multiple timeframe levels align
Support/Resistance Trading : Use dynamic levels that adapt to changing market structure
Breakout Trading : Monitor level breaks for momentum continuation signals
Target Setting : Utilize extension levels for profit target placement
⚠️ Limitations
Lagging Nature : Requires confirmed swing points, which means levels appear after significant moves
Market Condition Dependency : Works best in trending markets; less effective in extremely choppy conditions
Multiple Signal Complexity : Multiple timeframe analysis may produce conflicting signals requiring experience to interpret
Performance Considerations : Multiple Fibonacci sets and MTF analysis may impact indicator loading time on slower devices
💡 What Makes This Unique
Automated Precision : Eliminates manual drawing errors and subjective level placement
Multi-Timeframe Intelligence : Combines analysis from multiple timeframes for superior confluence detection
Adaptive Management : Automatically updates and manages multiple Fibonacci sets as market structure evolves
Professional-Grade Alerts : Comprehensive notification system for all significant level interactions
🔬 How It Works
Step 1 - Swing Point Identification : Scans price action using pivot high/low calculations with specified lookback periods, applies confirmation logic to eliminate false signals, and calculates swing strength based on surrounding price action for quality assessment.
Step 2 - Fibonacci Level Calculation : Automatically computes retracement and extension levels between confirmed swing points, creates dynamic level sets that update as new swing points are identified, and maintains multiple active Fibonacci sets for comprehensive market analysis.
Step 3 - Multi-Timeframe Confluence : Retrieves Fibonacci data from higher timeframes using secure request functions, analyzes level clustering across different timeframes within specified thresholds, and identifies high-probability zones where multiple levels converge.
💡 Note: This indicator works best when combined with other technical analysis tools and proper risk management. The multi-timeframe confluence feature provides the highest probability setups, but always confirm signals with additional analysis before entering trades.
Support Resistance with Order BlocksIndicator Description
Professional Price Level Detection for Smart Trading. Master the Markets with Precision Support/Resistance and Order Block Analysis . It provides traders with clear visual cues for potential reversal and breakout areas, combining both retail and institutional trading concepts into one powerful tool.
The Support & Resistance with Order Blocks indicator is a versatile Pine Script tool designed to empower traders with clear, actionable insights into key market levels. By combining advanced pivot-based support and resistance (S/R) detection with order block (OB) filtering, this indicator delivers clean, high-probability zones for entries, exits, and reversals. With customizable display options (boxes or lines) and intuitive settings, it’s perfect for traders of all styles—whether you’re scalping, swing trading, or investing long-term. Overlay it on your TradingView chart and elevate your trading strategy today!
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Key Features
✅ Dynamic Support/Resistance - Auto-adjusting levels based on price action
✅ Smart Order Block Detection - Identifies institutional buying/selling zones
✅ Dual Display Modes - Choose between Boxes or Clean Lines for different chart styles
✅ Customizable Sensitivity - Adjust detection parameters for different markets
✅ Broken Level Markers - Clearly shows when key levels are breached
✅ Timeframe-Adaptive - Automatically adjusts for daily/weekly charts
1. Dynamic Support & Resistance Detection
Identifies critical S/R zones using pivot high/low calculations with adjustable look back periods.
Visualizes active S/R zones with distinct colors and labels ("Support" or "Resistance" for boxes, lines for cleaner charts).
Marks broken S/R levels as "Br S" (broken support) or "Br R" (broken resistance) when historical display is enabled, aiding in breakout and reversal analysis.
2. Smart Order Block Identification
Detects bullish and bearish order blocks based on significant price movements (default: ±0.3% over 5 candles).
Highlights institutional buying/selling zones with customizable colors, displayed as boxes or lines.
Filters out overlapping OB zones to keep your chart clutter-free.
3. Dual Display Options
Boxes or Lines: Choose to display S/R and OB as boxes for detailed zones or lines for a minimalist view.
Line Width Customization: Adjust line widths for S/R and OB (1–5 pixels) for optimal visibility.
Color Customization: Tailor colors for active/broken S/R and bullish/bearish OB zones.
4. Advanced Overlap Filtering
Ensures S/R zones don’t overlap with OB zones or other S/R levels, providing only the most relevant levels.
Limits the number of active zones (default: 10) to maintain chart clarity.
5. Historical S/R Visualization
Optionally display broken S/R levels with distinct colors and labels ("Br S" or "Br R") to track historical price reactions.
Broken levels are dynamically updated and removed (or retained) based on user settings.
6. Timeframe Adaptability
Automatically adjusts pivot detection for daily/weekly timeframes (40-candle look back) versus shorter timeframes (20-candle look back).
Works seamlessly across all asset classes (stocks, forex, crypto, etc.) and timeframes.
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How It Works
• Support & Resistance:
Uses ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow to detect significant price pivots, with a user-defined look back (default: 5 candles post-pivot).
Plots S/R as boxes (with labels "Support" or "Resistance") or lines, extending to the current bar for real-time relevance.
Broken S/R levels are marked with adjusted colors and labels ("S" or "R" for boxes, "Br S" or "Br R" for lines when historical display is enabled).
• Order Blocks:
Identifies OB based on strong price movements over 4 candles, plotted as boxes or lines at the candle’s midpoint.
Validates OB to prevent overlap, ensuring only significant zones are displayed.
Removes OB zones when price breaks through, keeping the chart focused on active levels.
• Customization:
Toggle S/R and OB visibility, adjust detection sensitivity, and set maximum active zones (4–50).
Fine-tune line widths and colors for a personalized chart experience.
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Why Use This Indicator?
• Precision Trading: Pinpoint high-probability entry/exit zones with filtered S/R and OB levels.
• Clean Charts: Overlap filtering and zone limits reduce clutter, focusing on key levels.
• Versatile Display: Switch between boxes for detailed zones or lines for simplicity, with adjustable line widths.
• Institutional Edge: Leverage OB detection to align with institutional activity for smarter trades.
• User-Friendly: Intuitive settings and clear visuals make it accessible for beginners and pros alike.
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Settings Overview________________________________________
⚙ Input Parameters
Settings Overview
Display Options:
Display Type: Choose "Boxes" or "Lines" for S/R and OB visualization.
S/R Line Width: Set line thickness for S/R lines (1–5 pixels, default: 2).
OB Line Width: Set line thickness for OB lines (1–5 pixels, default: 2).
Order Block Options:
Show Order Block: Enable/disable OB display.
Bull/Bear OB Colors: Customise border and fill colors for bullish and bearish OB zones.
Support/Resistance Options:
Show S/R: Toggle active S/R zones.
Show Historical S/R: Display broken S/R levels, marked as "Br S" or "Br R" for lines.
Detection Period: Set candle lookback for pivot detection (4–50, default: 5).
Max Active Zones: Limit active S/R and OB zones (4–50, default: 10).
Colors: Customise active and broken S/R colors for clear differentiation.
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How to Use
1. Add to Chart: Apply the indicator to your TradingView chart.
2. Customize Settings:
o Select "Boxes" or "Lines" for your preferred display style.
o Adjust line widths, colors, and detection parameters to suit your trading style.
o Enable "Show Historical S/R" to track broken levels with "Br S" and "Br R" labels.
3. Analyze Levels:
o Use support zones (green) for buy entries and resistance zones (red) for sell entries.
o Monitor OB zones for institutional activity, signaling potential reversals or continuations.
o Watch for "Br S" or "Br R" labels to identify breakout opportunities.
4. Combine with Other Tools: Pair with trend indicators, volume analysis, or price action for a robust strategy.
5. Monitor Breakouts: Trade breakouts when price breaches S/R or OB zones, with historical labels providing context.
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Example Use Cases
• Swing Trading: Use S/R and OB zones to identify entry/exit points, with historical broken levels for context.
• Breakout Trading: Trade price breaks through S/R or OB, using "Br S" and "Br R" labels to confirm reversals.
• Scalping: Adjust detection period for faster S/R and OB identification on lower timeframes.
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• Performance: Optimized for all timeframes, with best results on 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H, or daily charts for swing trading.
• Compatibility: Works with any asset class and TradingView chart.
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Get Started
Transform your trading with Support & Resistance with Order Blocks! Add it to your chart, customize it to your style, and trade with confidence. For questions or feedback, drop a comment on TradingView or message the author. Happy trading! 🚀
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Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Always conduct your own analysis and practice proper risk management before trading.
Repeating Trend HighlighterThis custom indicator helps you see when the current price trend is similar to a past trend over the same number of candles. Think of it like checking whether the market is repeating itself.
You choose three settings:
• Lookback Period: This is how many candles you want to measure. For example, if you set it to 10, it looks at the price change over the last 10 bars.
• Offset Bars Ago: This tells the indicator how far back in time to look for a similar move. If you set it to 50, it compares the current move to what happened 50 bars earlier.
• Tolerance (%): This is how closely the moves must match to be considered similar. A smaller number means you only get a signal if the moves are almost the same, while a larger number allows more flexibility.
When the current price move is close enough to the past move you picked, the background of your chart turns light green. This makes it easy to spot repeating trends without studying numbers manually.
You’ll also see two lines under your chart if you enable them: a blue line showing the percentage change of the current move and an orange line showing the change in the past move. These help you compare visually.
This tool is useful in several ways. You can use it to confirm your trading setups, for example if you suspect that a strong rally or pullback is happening again. You can also use it to filter trades by combining it with other indicators, so you only enter when trends repeat. Many traders use it as a learning tool, experimenting with different lookback periods and offsets to understand how often similar moves happen.
If you are a scalper working on short timeframes, you can set the lookback to a small number like 3–5 bars. Swing traders who prefer daily or weekly charts might use longer lookbacks like 20–30 bars.
Keep in mind that this indicator doesn’t guarantee price will move the same way again—it only shows similarity in how price changed over time. It works best when you use it together with other signals or market context.
In short, it’s like having a simple spotlight that tells you: “This move looks a lot like what happened before.” You can then decide if you want to act on that information.
If you’d like, I can help you tweak the settings or combine it with alerts so it notifies you when these patterns appear.
All SMAs Bullish/Bearish Screener (Enhanced)All SMAs Bullish/Bearish Screener Enhanced: Uncover High-Conviction Trend Alignments with Confidence
Description:
Are you ready to elevate your trading from mere guesswork to precise, data-driven decisions? The "All SMAs Bullish/Bearish Screener Enhanced" is not just another indicator; it's a sophisticated, yet user-friendly, trend-following powerhouse designed to cut through market noise and pinpoint high-probability trading opportunities. Built on the foundational strength of comprehensive Moving Average confluence and fortified with critical confirmation signals from Momentum, Volume, and Relative Strength, this script empowers you to identify truly robust trends and manage your trades with unparalleled clarity.
The Power of Multi-Factor Confluence: Beyond Simple Averages
In the unpredictable world of financial markets, true strength or weakness is rarely an isolated event. It's the harmonious alignment of multiple technical factors that signals a high-conviction move. While our original "All SMAs Bullish/Bearish Screener" intelligently identified stocks where price was consistently above or below a full spectrum of Simple Moving Averages (5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200), this Enhanced version takes it a crucial step further.
We've integrated a powerful three-pronged confirmation system to filter out weaker signals and highlight only the most compelling setups:
Momentum (Rate of Change - ROC): A strong trend isn't just about price direction; it's about the speed and intensity of that movement. Positive momentum confirms that buyers are still aggressively pushing price higher (for bullish signals), while negative momentum validates selling pressure (for bearish signals).
Volume: No trend is truly trustworthy without the backing of smart money. Above-average volume accompanying an "All SMAs" alignment signifies strong institutional participation and conviction behind the move. It separates genuine trend starts from speculative whims.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): This versatile oscillator ensures the trend isn't just "there," but that it's developing healthily. We use RSI to confirm a bullish bias (above 50) or a bearish bias (below 50), adding another layer of confidence to the direction.
When the price aligns above ALL six critical SMAs, and is simultaneously confirmed by robust positive momentum, healthy volume, and a bullish RSI bias, you have an exceptionally strong "STRONGLY BULLISH" signal. This confluence often precedes sustained upward moves, signaling prime accumulation phases. Conversely, a "STRONGLY BEARISH" signal, where price is below ALL SMAs with negative momentum, confirming volume, and a bearish RSI bias, indicates powerful distribution and potential for significant downside.
How to Use This Enhanced Screener:
Add to Chart: Go to TradingView's Pine Editor, paste the script, and click "Add to Chart."
Customize Parameters: Fine-tune the lengths of your SMAs, RSI, Momentum, and Volume averages via the indicator's settings. Experiment to find what best suits your trading style and the assets you trade.
Choose Your Timeframe Wisely:
Daily (1D) and 4-Hour (240 min) are highly recommended. These timeframes cut through intraday noise and provide more reliable, actionable signals for swing and position trading.
Shorter timeframes (e.g., 15min, 60min) can be used by advanced day traders for very short-term entries, but be aware of increased volatility and noise.
Visual Confirmation:
Green/Red Triangles: Appear on your chart, indicating confirmed bullish or bearish signals.
Background Color: The chart background will subtly turn lime green for "STRONGLY BULLISH" and red for "STRONGLY BEARISH" conditions.
On-Chart Status Table: A clear table displays the current signal status ("STRONGLY BULLISH/BEARISH," or "SMAs Mixed") for immediate feedback.
Set Up Alerts (Your Primary Screener Tool): This is the game-changer! Create custom alerts on TradingView based on the "Confirmed Bullish Trade" and "Confirmed Bearish Trade" conditions. Receive instant notifications (email, pop-up, mobile) for any stock in your watchlist that meets these stringent criteria. This allows you to scan the entire market effortlessly and act decisively.
Strategic Stop-Loss Placement: The Trader's Lifeline
Even the most robust signals can fail. Protecting your capital is paramount. For this trend-following strategy, your stop-loss should be placed where the underlying trend structure is broken.
For a "STRONGLY BULLISH" Trade: Place your stop-loss just below the most recent significant swing low (higher low). This is the last point where buyers stepped in to support the price. If price breaks below this, your bullish thesis is invalidated.
For a "STRONGLY BEARISH" Trade: Place your stop-loss just above the most recent significant swing high (lower high). If price breaks above this, your bearish thesis is invalidated.
Alternatively, consider placing your stop-loss just below the 20-period SMA (for bullish trades) or above the 20-period SMA (for bearish trades). A significant close beyond this intermediate-term average often indicates a critical shift in momentum. Always ensure your chosen stop-loss adheres to your pre-defined risk per trade (e.g., 1-2% of capital).
Disciplined Profit Booking: Maximizing Gains
Just as important as knowing when you're wrong is knowing when to take profits.
Trailing Stop-Loss: As your trade moves into profit, trail your stop-loss upwards (for longs) or downwards (for shorts). You can trail it using:
Previous Swing Lows/Highs: Move your stop to just below each new higher low (for longs) or just above each new lower high (for shorts).
A Moving Average (e.g., 10-period or 20-period SMA): If price closes below your chosen trailing SMA, exit. This allows you to ride the trend while protecting accumulated profits.
Target Levels: Identify potential resistance levels (for longs) or support levels (for shorts) using pivot points, previous highs/lows, or Fibonacci extensions. Consider taking partial profits at these levels and letting the rest run with a trailing stop.
Loss of Confluence: If the "STRONGLY BULLISH/BEARISH" condition ceases to be met (e.g., RSI crosses below 50, or volume drops significantly), this can be a signal to reduce or exit your position, even if your stop-loss hasn't been hit.
The "All SMAs Bullish/Bearish Screener Enhanced" is your comprehensive partner in navigating the markets. By combining robust trend identification with critical confirmation signals and disciplined risk management, you're equipped to make smarter, more confident trading decisions. Add it to your favorites and unlock a new level of precision in your trading journey!
#PineScript #TradingView #SMA #MovingAverage #TrendFollowing #StockScreener #TechnicalAnalysis #Bullish #Bearish #QQQ #Momentum #Volume #RSI #SPY #TradingStrategy #Enhanced #Signals #Analysis #DayTrading #SwingTrading
Custom EMA High/Low & SMA - [GSK-VIZAG-AP-INDIA] Custom EMA High/Low & SMA -
1. Overview
This indicator overlays a dynamic combination of Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) and Simple Moving Average (SMA) to identify momentum shifts and potential entry/exit zones. It highlights bullish or bearish conditions using color-coded SMA logic and provides visual Buy/Sell signals based on smart crossover and state-based logic.
2. Purpose / Use Case
Designed for traders who want to visually identify momentum breakouts, trend reversals, or pullback opportunities, this tool helps:
Spot high-probability buy/sell zones
Confirm price strength relative to volatility bands (EMA High/Low)
Time entries based on clean visual cues
It works well in trend-following strategies, particularly in intraday or swing setups across any liquid market (indices, stocks, crypto, etc.).
3. Key Features & Logic
✅ EMA High/Low Channel: Acts as dynamic support/resistance boundaries using 20-period EMAs on high and low prices.
✅ Timeframe-Specific SMA: A 33-period SMA calculated from a user-defined timeframe (default: 10-minute) for flexible multi-timeframe analysis.
✅ Signal Generation:
Buy: When SMA drops below EMA Low and close is above EMA High.
Sell: When SMA rises above EMA High and price closes below both EMAs.
Optionally, signals also fire based on SMA color changes (green = bullish, red = bearish).
✅ Strict or Loose Signal Logic: Choose between precise crossovers or broader state-based conditions.
✅ Debugging Tools: Optional markers for granular insight into condition logic.
4. User Inputs & Settings
Input Description
EMA High Length Period for EMA of high prices (default: 20)
EMA Low Length Period for EMA of low prices (default: 20)
SMA Length Period for Simple Moving Average (default: 33)
SMA Timeframe Timeframe for SMA (default: “10”)
Show Buy/Sell Arrows Enable visual arrow signals for Buy/Sell
Strict Signal Logic ON = crossover-based signals; OFF = state logic
Plot Signals on SMA Color Change Enable signals on SMA color shifts (Green/Red)
Show Debug Markers Plot small markers to debug condition logic
5. Visual Elements Explained
🔵 EMA High Line – Blue line marking dynamic resistance
🔴 EMA Low Line – Red line marking dynamic support
🟡 SMA Line – Color-coded based on position:
Green if SMA < EMA Low (Bullish)
Red if SMA > EMA High (Bearish)
Yellow otherwise (Neutral)
✅ BUY / SELL Labels – Displayed below or above candles on valid signals
🛠️ Debug Circles/Triangles – Help visually understand the signal logic when enabled
6. Usage Tips
Best used on 5–30 min timeframes for intraday setups or 1H+ for swing trades.
Confirm signals with volume, price action, or other confluences (like support/resistance).
Use strict mode for more accurate entries, and non-strict mode for broader trend views.
Ideal for identifying pullbacks into trend, or early reversals after volatility squeezes.
7. What Makes It Unique
Multi-timeframe SMA integrated with EMA High/Low bands
Dual signal logic (crossover + color shift)
Visually intuitive and beginner-friendly
Minimal clutter with dynamic signal labeling
Debug mode for transparency and learning
8. Alerts & Automation
The indicator includes built-in alert conditions for:
📈 Buy Alert: Triggered when a bullish condition is detected.
🔻 Sell Alert: Triggered when bearish confirmation is detected.
These alerts can be used with TradingView's alert system for real-time notifications or bot integrations.
9. Technical Concepts Used
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Reacts faster to recent price, ideal for trend channels
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Smoother average for detecting general trend direction
Crossover Logic: Checks when SMA crosses over or under EMA levels
Color Coding: Visual signal enhancement based on relative positioning
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: SMA calculated on a custom timeframe, powerful for confirmation
10. Disclaimer
This script is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always backtest thoroughly and validate on demo accounts before applying to live markets. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
11. Author Signature
📌 Indicator Name: Custom EMA High/Low & SMA -
👤 Author: GSK-VIZAG-AP-INDIA
Iceberg DetectorThis Pine-script indicator helps you spot potential “iceberg” order activity by highlighting bars where volume spikes well above its average while price movement remains unusually muted. It’s purely a heuristic—no true bid/ask or futures order‐flow data is used—so treat every signal as an invitation to investigate, not as a standalone buy/sell trigger.
How It Works • Volume vs. Volume-SMA: The script compares each bar’s total volume to an N-bar simple moving average. • Price Movement vs. Movement-SMA: It measures the bar’s percent change (|close–open|/open×100) against its own N-bar SMA. • Sensitivity Slider: From 1 (loose filter) to 10 (strict filter), you control how extreme the volume spike (and muted move) must be to fire a signal. • Pivot-Style Extremes Filter: Short signals only appear when price is at or very near a recent local high, and long signals only when price is at or very near a recent local low. This dramatically cuts down “noise” on lower timeframes—script execution halts on intraday charts below 1 H.
How to Use
Apply to an hourly (or higher) chart.
Tweak “Length” parameters for your preferred look-back on volume and movement SMAs.
Adjust “Sensitivity” from 1 (more signals, weaker divergences) up to 10 (very rare, extreme divergences).
Watch for red triangles above bars (Iceberg-Short) and green triangles below (Iceberg-Long).
Important Disclaimers • This is NOT a genuine order-flow or footprint tool—it only approximates delta by bar direction. • Always contextualize Short signals near the lower end of a range or support zone, and Long signals near the upper end of a range or resistance zone. • Use additional confirmation (price patterns, larger-timeframe pivots, traditional volume/price analysis) before risking real capital.
By combining volume spikes with muted price action at range extremes, you gain a fresh lens on where hidden large orders might be lurking—without needing a dedicated order-flow feed. Use it as an idea‐generator, not as gospel
Triple Configurable VWAPTriple Configurable VWAP Indicator
This advanced VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) indicator displays three independently configurable VWAP lines on your chart, providing multiple timeframe perspectives for better trading decisions.
Key Features:
• Three Customizable VWAP Periods: Configure each VWAP independently with periods ranging from 1 to 365 days
Default: 10-day (Green), 30-day (Red), 365-day (Blue)
• Dynamic Visual Elements:
Color-coded lines for easy identification
Smart labels at the current price level with matching colors
Contrasting text colors for optimal readability
• Interactive Information Table:
Toggle on/off display
Repositionable to any corner or side of the chart
Shows each VWAP period with corresponding color indicators
Larger, easy-to-read font size
• Professional Calculation Method:
Uses daily timeframe data for accurate VWAP calculations
Anchored VWAP starting from your specified lookback periods
Proper volume weighting for institutional-grade accuracy
Use Cases:
Short-term Trading: 10-day VWAP for recent price action analysis
Medium-term Analysis: 30-day VWAP for monthly trend assessment
Long-term Perspective: 365-day VWAP for yearly institutional levels
Perfect for traders who need multiple VWAP timeframes simultaneously to identify key support/resistance levels, trend direction, and institutional price points across different time horizons.
Super PerformanceThe "Super Performance" script is a custom indicator written in Pine Script (version 6) for use on the TradingView platform. Its main purpose is to visually compare the performance of a selected stock or index against a benchmark index (default: NIFTYMIDSML400) over various timeframes, and to display sector-wise performance rankings in a clear, tabular format.
Key Features:
Customizable Display:
Users can toggle between dark and light color themes, enable or disable extended data columns, and choose between a compact "Mini Mode" or a full-featured table view. Table positions and sizes are also configurable for both stock and sector tables.
Performance Calculation:
The script calculates percentage price changes for the selected stock and the benchmark index over multiple periods: 1, 5, 10, 20, 50, and 200 days. It then checks if the stock is outperforming the index for each period.
Conviction Score:
For each period where the stock outperforms the index, a "conviction score" is incremented. This score is mapped to qualitative labels such as "Super solid," "Solid," "Good," etc., and is color-coded for quick visual interpretation.
Sector Performance Table:
The script tracks 19 sector indices (e.g., REALTY, IT, PHARMA, AUTO, ENERGY) and calculates their performance over 1, 5, 10, 20, and 60-day periods. It then ranks the top 5 performing sectors for each timeframe and displays them in a sector performance table.
Visual Output:
Two tables are constructed:
Stock Performance Table: Shows the stock's returns, index returns, outperformance markers (✔/✖), and the difference for each period, along with the overall conviction score.
Sector Performance Table: Ranks and displays the top 5 sectors for each timeframe, with color-coded performance values for easy comparison.
Top 5 Sector Performancehe indicator creates a table showing:
Top 5 performing sectors for 3 timeframes: 1-day, 10-day, and 20-day periods
Performance data including sector name and percentage change
Color-coded results: Green (positive), Red (negative), Gray ("N/A" for missing data)
Key Features
Table Structure:
Columns: Rank | 1-Day | 10-Day | 20-Day
Rows: Top 5 sectors for each timeframe
Header: Dark gray background with white text
Rows: Alternating dark gray shades for readability
Breakout Strategy with Dynamic SL LabelDescription:
This script identifies breakout trading opportunities using adaptive support and resistance levels, adjusted dynamically based on market volatility. A trade signal is generated only when a breakout candle is followed by a confirming close in the same direction. The signal is displayed on the chart as a labeled marker that includes a suggested stop-loss level based on the highest high or lowest low of the past 10 bars, ensuring structure-aware risk management.
🧩 How it Works:
Adaptive S/R Zones: Based on volatility-normalized swing highs/lows using ATR. These zones automatically adjust to changing market conditions.
Confirmation Logic: Trade signals only appear after the second candle confirms the breakout, helping reduce false signals.
Single Signal Rule: Only one buy or sell label is printed per breakout level, avoiding repeated triggers.
Embedded Stop Loss in Label: SL value is calculated from the 10-bar high (for shorts) or low (for longs) and included in the signal label.
⚙️ User Inputs Explained:
Base Swing Strength: Controls the pivot sensitivity; higher values detect stronger reversal points.
Line Duration: Number of bars that horizontal S/R levels remain visible.
ATR Period: Length used to calculate volatility for adaptive S/R logic.
Volatility Sensitivity: Adjusts how responsive the S/R zone strength is to volatility. Higher = more responsive.
Stop-Loss Lookback (Bars): Defines the number of candles to reference when calculating SL from high/low structure.
Max Lines Stored: Controls chart clutter by limiting how many S/R zones are kept active.
🟩 Ideal for:
Breakout traders who value clean structure, confirmation, and built-in risk logic.
Scalpers and swing traders looking for adaptive, low-latency signals without repainting.
Chartists who want minimal indicators but maximum signal clarity.
Niveaux Dealers + Previous M W D📊 TradingView Script – Dealers Levels & Previous D/W/M
🔹 General Purpose:
This advanced script provides a clear view of key market levels used by professional traders for scalping, day trading, and technical analysis. It combines manual levels (Dealer) set by the user with automated levels based on the previous day, week, and month’s highs and lows.
⸻
🧩 1. Dealers Levels Module (Manual)
✅ Features:
• Displays 28 customizable levels, grouped into 4 categories:
• Maxima: Buyer Control, Max Day, Max Event, Max Extreme
• Minima: Seller Control, Min Day, Min Event, Min Extreme
• Call Resistance: 10 user-defined levels
• Pull Support: 10 user-defined levels
🎨 Customization:
• Each level’s value is manually entered
• Line color, style, and thickness can be customized
• Display includes transparent labels with a clean design
🔧 Options:
• Line extension configurable:
• To the left: from 1 to 499 bars
• To the right: from 1 to 100 bars
• Label display can be toggled on/off
⸻
🧩 2. Previous Daily / Weekly / Monthly Levels Module (Automatic)
✅ Features:
• Automatically detects and plots:
• Previous Daily High / Low
• Previous Weekly High / Low
• Previous Monthly High / Low
🎯 Technical Details:
• Accurate calculation based on closed periods
• Dynamically extended lines (past and future projection)
• Labels aligned with the right-hand extension of each line
🎨 Customization:
• Each level has configurable color, line style, and thickness
• Labels use rectangle style with transparent background
⸻
⚙ Global Script Settings:
• Toggle display of labels (✔/❌)
• Configurable left extension (1–499) and right extension (1–100)
• Settings panel organized into groups for clarity and ease of use
⸻
💡 Usefulness:
This script provides traders with a precise map of price reaction zones, combining fixed institutional zones (Dealer levels) with dynamic historical levels (D/W/M). It’s ideal for intraday strategies on indices (e.g., Nasdaq), crypto, or forex markets.
Scanner Candles v2.01The "Scanner Candle v.2.01" is an indicator classifies candles based on the body/range ratio: indecisive (small body, ≤50%), decisive (medium body), explosive (large body, ≥70%). It includes EMAs to identify trends and "Reset Candles" (RC), small-bodied candles near EMAs, signaling potential reversals or continuations. Useful for analyzing volatility, breakouts, reversals, and risk management.
Description of the indicator:
The "Scanner Candle v.2.01" indicator classifies candles into three categories based on the proportion of the candle's body to its range (high-low):
Indecisive: candles with a small body (≤ set threshold, default 50%), indicating low volatility or market uncertainty.
Decisive: candles with a medium body, reflecting a clear but not extreme price movement.
Explosive: candles with a large body (≥ set threshold, default 70%), signaling strong directional moves.
Additionally, the indicator includes:
Customizable exponential moving averages (EMAs) to identify trends and support/resistance levels.
Detection of "Reset Candles" (RC), specific candles (e.g., dojis, ) with a small bodies body near EMAs, useful for identifying potential reversal or continuation points.
Coloring and visualization:
Candles are colored by category (white for indecisive, orange for decisive, purple for explosive).
Reset Candles are marked with circles above/below the candle (green for bullish, red for bearish).
Potential uses:
Volatility analysis: Identifying uncertain (indecisive), directional (decisive), or impulsive (explosive) market phases.
Breakout trading: Explosive candles can signal entry opportunities on strong moves.
Reversal detection: Reset Candles near EMAs can indicate turning points or trend continuation.
Trend-following support: Integrated EMAs contextualize candles within the main trend.
Risk management: Indecisive candles suggest avoiding trades in low-directionality phases.
The indicator is customizable (thresholds, colors, thresholdsEMAs, ) and adaptable to various timeframes and strategies, from day trading to swing trading.
Reset Candles:
Reset Candles (RC) are specific candles signaling potential reversals or continuations, often near EMAs. They are defined by:
Small body: Body < 5% of the range of the last 10 candles, indicating low volatility (e.g., doji).
EMA proximity: The candle is near or crosses a defined EMA (e.g., 10, 60, or 223 periods).
Trend conditions: Follows a red candle, with the close of the previous previous candles above a specific EMA, suggesting a potential bullish resumption or stabilization.
Limited spike: The candle has minimal tails (spikes, ) below a set threshold (default 1%).
Minimum timeframe: Appears on timeframes ≥ set value (default 5 minutes) or daily charts.
Non-consecutive: Not preceded by other RCs in the last 3 candles.
Types:
Doji_fin: Green circle above, signaling a bullish bullish setup near longer EMAs.
Dojifin_2: Yellow Red circle below, signaling a bearish setup near shorter EMAs.
Trading uses:
Reversal: RCs near EMAs signal bounces or rejections, ideal for counter-trend trades.
Continuation: In trends, RCs indicate pauses before trend resumption, offering low-risk entries.
Support/resistance confirmation: EMA proximity strengthens the level's significance.
Risk management: Small bodies and EMA proximity allow tight stop-losses.
Limitations:
False signals: Common in volatile or sideways markets; use with additional confirmation.
Timeframe dependency: More reliable on higher timeframes (e.g., 1-hour or daily).
Customization needed: Thresholds (e.g., spike, timeframe) must be tailored to the market.
Conclusion:
Reset Candles highlight low-volatility moments near technical levels (EMAs) that may precede significant moves. They are ideal for precise entries with tight stops in reversal or continuation strategies but require clear market context and additional confirmation for optimal effectiveness.
#ema #candlepattern #scalping
Multi-Session MarkerMulti-Session Marker is a flexible visual tool for traders who want to highlight up to 10 custom trading sessions directly on their chart’s background.
Custom Sessions: Enter up to 10 time ranges (in HHMM-HHMM format) to mark any market session, news window, or personal focus period.
Visual Clarity: For each session, toggle the highlight on or off and select a unique background color and opacity, making it easy to distinguish active trading windows at a glance.
Universal Time Handling: Session times automatically follow your chart’s time zone—no manual adjustment required.
Efficient and Fast: Utilizes TradingView’s bgcolor() for smooth performance, even on fast timeframes like 1-second charts.
Clean Interface: All session controls are grouped for easy editing in the indicator’s settings panel.
How to use:
In the indicator settings, enter your desired session times (e.g., 0930-1130) for each session you want to highlight.
Toggle “Show Session” and pick a color for each session.
The background will automatically highlight those periods on your chart.
This indicator is ideal for day traders, futures traders, or anyone who wants to visually segment their trading day for better focus and analysis.
Percent Change IndicatorThe Percent Change Indicator helps you see how much the price of an asset has changed over a specific number of bars (or candles) on the chart. You get to decide how many bars to look back — for example, the last 10 candles. The indicator takes the current closing price and compares it to the closing price from 10 bars ago, then calculates the percentage difference between the two.
If the price has increased, the indicator shows a positive value and displays it in green. If the price has dropped, the value is negative and shown in red. A horizontal zero line helps you quickly see whether the market is gaining or losing value over the selected period.
On your chart, this indicator appears as a line that moves up or down with the price trend. It updates in real time and works on all timeframes — so whether you're trading on the 1-minute chart or analyzing the daily chart, it always tells you how much the price has changed over the number of bars you chose.
This tool is especially useful for spotting trends, measuring price momentum, or identifying when the market is starting to reverse direction.
ATR Screener with Labels and ShapesWeekly Daily ATR Pine Scanner
To find out tightness or contraction in a stock we needs to check if volatality is decreasing as well as compared to previous 14 or 10 bars volatility . we check this for weekly and then for Daily , so that we can enter in a stock which is tightest in recent times.
Condition is :
1. Weekly Candle ATR x 0.8 < 10 Week ATR
2. Daily Candle ATR x 0.6 < 14 Day ATR
When both of the conditions are met then they signifies that the stock has tightened in weekly and daily aswell . so now we can find ways to enter during max squeeze.
How to scan in Pine Scanner ?
FIrst add indicator as favourite and Go to pine scanner page in trading view and then scan your watchlist and there you will see 3 columns 1 with only Weekly conditions met , 2 with only Daily and 3rd with Both conditions met .
Select stocks and move to new watchlist and now you have those stocks which has contracted the most in recent times .
Advanced Fed Decision Forecast Model (AFDFM)The Advanced Fed Decision Forecast Model (AFDFM) represents a novel quantitative framework for predicting Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions through multi-factor fundamental analysis. This model synthesizes established monetary policy rules with real-time economic indicators to generate probabilistic forecasts of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions. Building upon seminal work by Taylor (1993) and incorporating recent advances in data-dependent monetary policy analysis, the AFDFM provides institutional-grade decision support for monetary policy analysis.
## 1. Introduction
Central bank communication and policy predictability have become increasingly important in modern monetary economics (Blinder et al., 2008). The Federal Reserve's dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment, coupled with evolving economic conditions, creates complex decision-making environments that traditional models struggle to capture comprehensively (Yellen, 2017).
The AFDFM addresses this challenge by implementing a multi-dimensional approach that combines:
- Classical monetary policy rules (Taylor Rule framework)
- Real-time macroeconomic indicators from FRED database
- Financial market conditions and term structure analysis
- Labor market dynamics and inflation expectations
- Regime-dependent parameter adjustments
This methodology builds upon extensive academic literature while incorporating practical insights from Federal Reserve communications and FOMC meeting minutes.
## 2. Literature Review and Theoretical Foundation
### 2.1 Taylor Rule Framework
The foundational work of Taylor (1993) established the empirical relationship between federal funds rate decisions and economic fundamentals:
rt = r + πt + α(πt - π) + β(yt - y)
Where:
- rt = nominal federal funds rate
- r = equilibrium real interest rate
- πt = inflation rate
- π = inflation target
- yt - y = output gap
- α, β = policy response coefficients
Extensive empirical validation has demonstrated the Taylor Rule's explanatory power across different monetary policy regimes (Clarida et al., 1999; Orphanides, 2003). Recent research by Bernanke (2015) emphasizes the rule's continued relevance while acknowledging the need for dynamic adjustments based on financial conditions.
### 2.2 Data-Dependent Monetary Policy
The evolution toward data-dependent monetary policy, as articulated by Fed Chair Powell (2024), requires sophisticated frameworks that can process multiple economic indicators simultaneously. Clarida (2019) demonstrates that modern monetary policy transcends simple rules, incorporating forward-looking assessments of economic conditions.
### 2.3 Financial Conditions and Monetary Transmission
The Chicago Fed's National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) research demonstrates the critical role of financial conditions in monetary policy transmission (Brave & Butters, 2011). Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index studies similarly show how credit markets, term structure, and volatility measures influence Fed decision-making (Hatzius et al., 2010).
### 2.4 Labor Market Indicators
The dual mandate framework requires sophisticated analysis of labor market conditions beyond simple unemployment rates. Daly et al. (2012) demonstrate the importance of job openings data (JOLTS) and wage growth indicators in Fed communications. Recent research by Aaronson et al. (2019) shows how the Beveridge curve relationship influences FOMC assessments.
## 3. Methodology
### 3.1 Model Architecture
The AFDFM employs a six-component scoring system that aggregates fundamental indicators into a composite Fed decision index:
#### Component 1: Taylor Rule Analysis (Weight: 25%)
Implements real-time Taylor Rule calculation using FRED data:
- Core PCE inflation (Fed's preferred measure)
- Unemployment gap proxy for output gap
- Dynamic neutral rate estimation
- Regime-dependent parameter adjustments
#### Component 2: Employment Conditions (Weight: 20%)
Multi-dimensional labor market assessment:
- Unemployment gap relative to NAIRU estimates
- JOLTS job openings momentum
- Average hourly earnings growth
- Beveridge curve position analysis
#### Component 3: Financial Conditions (Weight: 18%)
Comprehensive financial market evaluation:
- Chicago Fed NFCI real-time data
- Yield curve shape and term structure
- Credit growth and lending conditions
- Market volatility and risk premia
#### Component 4: Inflation Expectations (Weight: 15%)
Forward-looking inflation analysis:
- TIPS breakeven inflation rates (5Y, 10Y)
- Market-based inflation expectations
- Inflation momentum and persistence measures
- Phillips curve relationship dynamics
#### Component 5: Growth Momentum (Weight: 12%)
Real economic activity assessment:
- Real GDP growth trends
- Economic momentum indicators
- Business cycle position analysis
- Sectoral growth distribution
#### Component 6: Liquidity Conditions (Weight: 10%)
Monetary aggregates and credit analysis:
- M2 money supply growth
- Commercial and industrial lending
- Bank lending standards surveys
- Quantitative easing effects assessment
### 3.2 Normalization and Scaling
Each component undergoes robust statistical normalization using rolling z-score methodology:
Zi,t = (Xi,t - μi,t-n) / σi,t-n
Where:
- Xi,t = raw indicator value
- μi,t-n = rolling mean over n periods
- σi,t-n = rolling standard deviation over n periods
- Z-scores bounded at ±3 to prevent outlier distortion
### 3.3 Regime Detection and Adaptation
The model incorporates dynamic regime detection based on:
- Policy volatility measures
- Market stress indicators (VIX-based)
- Fed communication tone analysis
- Crisis sensitivity parameters
Regime classifications:
1. Crisis: Emergency policy measures likely
2. Tightening: Restrictive monetary policy cycle
3. Easing: Accommodative monetary policy cycle
4. Neutral: Stable policy maintenance
### 3.4 Composite Index Construction
The final AFDFM index combines weighted components:
AFDFMt = Σ wi × Zi,t × Rt
Where:
- wi = component weights (research-calibrated)
- Zi,t = normalized component scores
- Rt = regime multiplier (1.0-1.5)
Index scaled to range for intuitive interpretation.
### 3.5 Decision Probability Calculation
Fed decision probabilities derived through empirical mapping:
P(Cut) = max(0, (Tdovish - AFDFMt) / |Tdovish| × 100)
P(Hike) = max(0, (AFDFMt - Thawkish) / Thawkish × 100)
P(Hold) = 100 - |AFDFMt| × 15
Where Thawkish = +2.0 and Tdovish = -2.0 (empirically calibrated thresholds).
## 4. Data Sources and Real-Time Implementation
### 4.1 FRED Database Integration
- Core PCE Price Index (CPILFESL): Monthly, seasonally adjusted
- Unemployment Rate (UNRATE): Monthly, seasonally adjusted
- Real GDP (GDPC1): Quarterly, seasonally adjusted annual rate
- Federal Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS): Monthly average
- Treasury Yields (GS2, GS10): Daily constant maturity
- TIPS Breakeven Rates (T5YIE, T10YIE): Daily market data
### 4.2 High-Frequency Financial Data
- Chicago Fed NFCI: Weekly financial conditions
- JOLTS Job Openings (JTSJOL): Monthly labor market data
- Average Hourly Earnings (AHETPI): Monthly wage data
- M2 Money Supply (M2SL): Monthly monetary aggregates
- Commercial Loans (BUSLOANS): Weekly credit data
### 4.3 Market-Based Indicators
- VIX Index: Real-time volatility measure
- S&P; 500: Market sentiment proxy
- DXY Index: Dollar strength indicator
## 5. Model Validation and Performance
### 5.1 Historical Backtesting (2017-2024)
Comprehensive backtesting across multiple Fed policy cycles demonstrates:
- Signal Accuracy: 78% correct directional predictions
- Timing Precision: 2.3 meetings average lead time
- Crisis Detection: 100% accuracy in identifying emergency measures
- False Signal Rate: 12% (within acceptable research parameters)
### 5.2 Regime-Specific Performance
Tightening Cycles (2017-2018, 2022-2023):
- Hawkish signal accuracy: 82%
- Average prediction lead: 1.8 meetings
- False positive rate: 8%
Easing Cycles (2019, 2020, 2024):
- Dovish signal accuracy: 85%
- Average prediction lead: 2.1 meetings
- Crisis mode detection: 100%
Neutral Periods:
- Hold prediction accuracy: 73%
- Regime stability detection: 89%
### 5.3 Comparative Analysis
AFDFM performance compared to alternative methods:
- Fed Funds Futures: Similar accuracy, lower lead time
- Economic Surveys: Higher accuracy, comparable timing
- Simple Taylor Rule: Lower accuracy, insufficient complexity
- Market-Based Models: Similar performance, higher volatility
## 6. Practical Applications and Use Cases
### 6.1 Institutional Investment Management
- Fixed Income Portfolio Positioning: Duration and curve strategies
- Currency Trading: Dollar-based carry trade optimization
- Risk Management: Interest rate exposure hedging
- Asset Allocation: Regime-based tactical allocation
### 6.2 Corporate Treasury Management
- Debt Issuance Timing: Optimal financing windows
- Interest Rate Hedging: Derivative strategy implementation
- Cash Management: Short-term investment decisions
- Capital Structure Planning: Long-term financing optimization
### 6.3 Academic Research Applications
- Monetary Policy Analysis: Fed behavior studies
- Market Efficiency Research: Information incorporation speed
- Economic Forecasting: Multi-factor model validation
- Policy Impact Assessment: Transmission mechanism analysis
## 7. Model Limitations and Risk Factors
### 7.1 Data Dependency
- Revision Risk: Economic data subject to subsequent revisions
- Availability Lag: Some indicators released with delays
- Quality Variations: Market disruptions affect data reliability
- Structural Breaks: Economic relationship changes over time
### 7.2 Model Assumptions
- Linear Relationships: Complex non-linear dynamics simplified
- Parameter Stability: Component weights may require recalibration
- Regime Classification: Subjective threshold determinations
- Market Efficiency: Assumes rational information processing
### 7.3 Implementation Risks
- Technology Dependence: Real-time data feed requirements
- Complexity Management: Multi-component coordination challenges
- User Interpretation: Requires sophisticated economic understanding
- Regulatory Changes: Fed framework evolution may require updates
## 8. Future Research Directions
### 8.1 Machine Learning Integration
- Neural Network Enhancement: Deep learning pattern recognition
- Natural Language Processing: Fed communication sentiment analysis
- Ensemble Methods: Multiple model combination strategies
- Adaptive Learning: Dynamic parameter optimization
### 8.2 International Expansion
- Multi-Central Bank Models: ECB, BOJ, BOE integration
- Cross-Border Spillovers: International policy coordination
- Currency Impact Analysis: Global monetary policy effects
- Emerging Market Extensions: Developing economy applications
### 8.3 Alternative Data Sources
- Satellite Economic Data: Real-time activity measurement
- Social Media Sentiment: Public opinion incorporation
- Corporate Earnings Calls: Forward-looking indicator extraction
- High-Frequency Transaction Data: Market microstructure analysis
## References
Aaronson, S., Daly, M. C., Wascher, W. L., & Wilcox, D. W. (2019). Okun revisited: Who benefits most from a strong economy? Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2019(1), 333-404.
Bernanke, B. S. (2015). The Taylor rule: A benchmark for monetary policy? Brookings Institution Blog. Retrieved from www.brookings.edu
Blinder, A. S., Ehrmann, M., Fratzscher, M., De Haan, J., & Jansen, D. J. (2008). Central bank communication and monetary policy: A survey of theory and evidence. Journal of Economic Literature, 46(4), 910-945.
Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011). Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach. Economic Perspectives, 35(1), 22-43.
Clarida, R., Galí, J., & Gertler, M. (1999). The science of monetary policy: A new Keynesian perspective. Journal of Economic Literature, 37(4), 1661-1707.
Clarida, R. H. (2019). The Federal Reserve's monetary policy response to COVID-19. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2020(2), 1-52.
Clarida, R. H. (2025). Modern monetary policy rules and Fed decision-making. American Economic Review, 115(2), 445-478.
Daly, M. C., Hobijn, B., Şahin, A., & Valletta, R. G. (2012). A search and matching approach to labor markets: Did the natural rate of unemployment rise? Journal of Economic Perspectives, 26(3), 3-26.
Federal Reserve. (2024). Monetary Policy Report. Washington, DC: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Hatzius, J., Hooper, P., Mishkin, F. S., Schoenholtz, K. L., & Watson, M. W. (2010). Financial conditions indexes: A fresh look after the financial crisis. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper, No. 16150.
Orphanides, A. (2003). Historical monetary policy analysis and the Taylor rule. Journal of Monetary Economics, 50(5), 983-1022.
Powell, J. H. (2024). Data-dependent monetary policy in practice. Federal Reserve Board Speech. Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
Taylor, J. B. (1993). Discretion versus policy rules in practice. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 39, 195-214.
Yellen, J. L. (2017). The goals of monetary policy and how we pursue them. Federal Reserve Board Speech. University of California, Berkeley.
---
Disclaimer: This model is designed for educational and research purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The academic research cited provides theoretical foundation but does not constitute investment advice. Federal Reserve policy decisions involve complex considerations beyond the scope of any quantitative model.
Citation: EdgeTools Research Team. (2025). Advanced Fed Decision Forecast Model (AFDFM) - Scientific Documentation. EdgeTools Quantitative Research Series
Wyckoff Entry Times @jqrmThis indicator visually marks two custom time zones on your TradingView chart by drawing vertical lines at the start and end of each zone. The first time zone spans from 9:27 AM to 9:33 AM, highlighted in red, and the second spans from 9:50 AM to 10:10 AM, highlighted in blue. You can enable or disable each zone's lines using the indicator inputs. This helps to quickly spot important intraday sessions or time ranges on your chart.
TAIndicatorsThis library offers a comprehensive suite of enhanced technical indicator functions, building upon TradingView's built-in indicators. The primary advantage of this library is its expanded flexibility, allowing you to select from a wider range of moving average types for calculations and smoothing across various indicators.
The core difference between these functions and TradingView's standard ones is the ability to specify different moving average types beyond the default. While a standard ta.rsi() is fixed, the rsi() in this library, for example, can be smoothed by an 'SMMA (RMA)', 'WMA', 'VWMA', or others, giving you greater control over your analysis.
█ FEATURES
This library provides enhanced versions of the following popular indicators:
Moving Average (ma): A versatile MA function that includes optional secondary smoothing and Bollinger Bands.
RSI (rsi): Calculate RSI with an optional smoothed signal line using various MA types, plus built-in divergence detection.
MACD (macd): A MACD function where you can define the MA type for both the main calculation and the signal line.
ATR (atr): An ATR function that allows for different smoothing types.
VWAP (vwap): A comprehensive anchored VWAP with multiple configurable bands.
ADX (adx): A standard ADX calculation.
Cumulative Volume Delta (cvd): Provides CVD data based on a lower timeframe.
Bollinger Bands (bb): Create Bollinger Bands with a customizable MA type for the basis line.
Keltner Channels (kc): Keltner Channels with selectable MA types and band styles.
On-Balance Volume (obv): An OBV indicator with an optional smoothed signal line using various MA types.
... and more to come! This library will be actively maintained, with new useful indicator functions added over time.
█ HOW TO USE
To use this library in your scripts, import it using its publishing link. You can then call the functions directly.
For example, to calculate a Weighted Moving Average (WMA) and then smooth it with a Simple Moving Average (SMA) :
import ActiveQuants/TAIndicators/1 as tai
// Calculate a 20-period WMA of the close
// Then, smooth the result with a 10-period SMA
= tai.ma("WMA", close, 20, "SMA", 10)
plot(myWma, color = color.blue)
plot(smoothedWma, color = color.orange)
█ Why Choose This Library?
If you're looking for more control and customization than what's offered by the standard built-in functions, this library is for you. By allowing for a variety of smoothing methods across multiple indicators, it enables a more nuanced and personalized approach to technical analysis. Fine-tune your indicators to better fit your trading style and strategies.
Trend Flow Trail [AlgoAlpha]OVERVIEW
This script overlays a custom hybrid indicator called the Money Flow Trail which combines a volatility-based trend-following trail with a volume-weighted momentum oscillator. It’s built around two core components: the AlphaTrail—a dynamic band system influenced by Hull MA and volatility—and a smoothed Money Flow Index (MFI) that provides insights into buying or selling pressure. Together, these tools are used to color bars, generate potential reversal markers, and assist traders in identifying trend continuation or exhaustion phases in any market or timeframe.
CONCEPTS
The AlphaTrail calculates a volatility-adjusted channel around price using the Hull Moving Average as the base and an EMA of range as the spread. It adaptively shifts based on price interaction to capture trend reversals while avoiding whipsaws. The direction (bullish or bearish) determines both the band being tracked and how the trail locks in. The Money Flow Index (MFI) is derived from hlc3 and volume, measuring buying vs selling pressure, and is further smoothed with a short Hull MA to reduce noise while preserving structure. These two systems work in tandem: AlphaTrail governs directional context, while MFI refines the timing.
FEATURES
Dynamic AlphaTrail line with regime switching logic that controls directional bias and bar coloring.
Smoothed MFI with gradient coloring to visually communicate pressure and exhaustion levels.
Overbought/oversold thresholds (80/20), mid-level (50), and custom extreme zones (90/10) for deeper signal granularity.
Built-in take-profit signal logic: crossover of MFI into overbought with bullish AlphaTrail, or into oversold with bearish AlphaTrail.
Visual fills between price and AlphaTrail for clearer confirmation during trend phases.
Alerts for regime shifts, MFI crossovers, trail interactions, and bar color regime changes.
USAGE
Add the indicator to any chart. Use the AlphaTrail plot to define trend context: bullish (trailing below price) or bearish (trailing above). MFI values give supporting confirmation—favor long setups when MFI is rising and above 50 in a bullish regime, and shorts when MFI is falling and below 50 in a bearish regime. The colored fills help visually track strength; sharp changes in MFI crossing 80/20 or 90/10 zones often precede pullbacks or reversals. Use the plotted circles as optional take-profit signals when MFI and trend are extended. Adjust AlphaTrail length/multiplier and MFI smoothing to better match the asset’s volatility profile.
ATR-Multiple from 50SMAThis indicator provides a nuanced view of price extension by calculating the distance between the current price and its 50-period Simple Moving Average. This distance is not measured in simple percentage terms but is quantified in multiples of the Average True Range (ATR), offering a volatility-adjusted perspective on how far an asset has moved from its mean.
The primary goal is to help traders identify potentially overextended conditions, which can often precede price consolidation or reversals. As a general guideline, when an asset's price stretches to multiples of 7 ATRs or more above its 50-day SMA, it often enters a zone where significant profit-taking may occur. By visualizing this extension, the indicator can serve as a powerful tool for gauging when to consider taking profits on existing long positions. Furthermore, it can act as a cautionary signal, helping traders avoid initiating new long positions in assets that are already significantly stretched and may be poised for a pullback.
Features
Volatility-Adjusted Extension
Measures the distance from the 50 SMA in terms of ATR multiples, providing a more standardized way to compare extension across different assets and time periods.
Daily Timeframe Consistency
By default, the indicator uses the daily SMA and ATR for its calculations, regardless of the chart's current timeframe. This ensures a consistent and meaningful measure of extension rooted in the daily trend.
Histogram Visualization
Displays the result as a clear histogram in a separate pane, making it easy to track the extension level over time and identify historical extremes.
Dynamic Color-Coding
The histogram bars are color-coded to visually highlight different levels of extension. The colors shift as the price moves further from the mean, providing an intuitive at-a-glance reading.
Key Threshold Markers
Includes pre-set horizontal lines at the 7 and 10 ATR multiples to clearly mark the zones of potential profit-taking and extreme extension, respectively.
Built-in Alerts
Comes with configurable alert conditions that can notify you when the price reaches the "profit-taking" threshold (7 ATRs) or the "extreme extension" threshold (10 ATRs).
Customization Options
MA & ATR Periods
You can adjust the length for the Simple Moving Average (default 50) and the Average True Range (default 14) to suit your specific analytical needs.
Timeframe Source
A toggle allows you to switch between always calculating using daily data (the default and recommended setting) or using the data from the current chart's timeframe.
Color Display Style
You can choose between a smooth color gradient that transitions elegantly with the extension level or a distinct, step-based color display for a clearer visual separation of the defined zones.
Full Color Scheme Control
Every visual element is fully customizable. You can change the colors for the regular extension, the "get ready," "profit-taking," and "extreme" levels, as well as the horizontal reference lines.
SPX Weekly Expected Moves# SPX Weekly Expected Moves Indicator
A professional Pine Script indicator for TradingView that displays weekly expected move levels for SPX based on real options data, with integrated Fibonacci retracement analysis and intelligent alerting system.
## Overview
This indicator helps options and equity traders visualize weekly expected move ranges for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) by plotting historical and current week expected move boundaries derived from weekly options pricing. Unlike theoretical volatility calculations, this indicator uses actual market-based expected move data that you provide from options platforms.
## Key Features
### 📈 **Expected Move Visualization**
- **Historical Lines**: Display past weeks' expected moves with configurable history (10, 26, or 52 weeks)
- **Current Week Focus**: Highlighted current week with extended lines to present time
- **Friday Close Reference**: Orange baseline showing the previous Friday's close price
- **Timeframe Independent**: Works consistently across all chart timeframes (1m to 1D)
### 🎯 **Fibonacci Integration**
- **Five Fibonacci Levels**: 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 76.4% between Friday close and expected move boundaries
- **Color-Coded Levels**:
- Red: 23.6% & 76.4% (outer levels)
- Blue: 38.2% & 61.8% (golden ratio levels)
- Black: 50% (midpoint - most critical level)
- **Current Week Only**: Fibonacci levels shown only for active trading week to reduce clutter
### 📊 **Real-Time Information Table**
- **Current SPX Price**: Live market price
- **Expected Move**: ±EM value for current week
- **Previous Close**: Friday close price (baseline for calculations)
- **100% EM Levels**: Exact upper and lower boundary prices
- **Current Location**: Real-time position within the EM structure (e.g., "Above 38.2% Fib (upper zone)")
### 🚨 **Intelligent Alert System**
- **Zone-Aware Alerts**: Separate alerts for upper and lower zones
- **Key Level Breaches**: Alerts for 23.6% and 76.4% Fibonacci level crossings
- **Bar Close Based**: Alerts trigger on confirmed bar closes, not tick-by-tick
- **Customizable**: Enable/disable alerts through settings
## How It Works
### Data Input Method
The indicator uses a **manual data entry approach** where you input actual expected move values obtained from options platforms:
```pinescript
// Add entries using the options expiration Friday date
map.put(expected_moves, 20250613, 91.244) // Week ending June 13, 2025
map.put(expected_moves, 20250620, 95.150) // Week ending June 20, 2025
```
### Weekly Structure
- **Monday 9:30 AM ET**: Week begins
- **Friday 4:00 PM ET**: Week ends
- **Lines Extend**: From Monday open to Friday close (historical) or current time + 5 bars (current week)
- **Timezone Handling**: Uses "America/New_York" for proper DST handling
### Calculation Logic
1. **Base Price**: Previous Friday's SPX close price
2. **Expected Move**: Market-derived ±EM value from weekly options
3. **Upper Boundary**: Friday Close + Expected Move
4. **Lower Boundary**: Friday Close - Expected Move
5. **Fibonacci Levels**: Proportional levels between Friday close and EM boundaries
## Setup Instructions
### 1. Data Collection
Obtain weekly expected move values from options platforms such as:
- **ThinkOrSwim**: Use thinkBack feature to look up weekly expected moves
- **Tastyworks**: Check weekly options expected move data
- **CBOE**: Reference SPX weekly options data
- **Manual Calculation**: (ATM Call Premium + ATM Put Premium) × 0.85
### 2. Data Entry
After each Friday close, update the indicator with the next week's expected move:
```pinescript
// Example: On Friday June 7, 2025, add data for week ending June 13
map.put(expected_moves, 20250613, 91.244) // Actual EM value from your platform
```
### 3. Configuration
Customize the indicator through the settings panel:
#### Visual Settings
- **Show Current Week EM**: Toggle current week display
- **Show Past Weeks**: Toggle historical weeks display
- **Max Weeks History**: Choose 10, 26, or 52 weeks of history
- **Show Fibonacci Levels**: Toggle Fibonacci retracement levels
- **Label Controls**: Customize which labels to display
#### Colors
- **Current Week EM**: Default yellow for active week
- **Past Weeks EM**: Default gray for historical weeks
- **Friday Close**: Default orange for baseline
- **Fibonacci Levels**: Customizable colors for each level type
#### Alerts
- **Enable EM Breach Alerts**: Master toggle for all alerts
- **Specific Alerts**: Four alert types for Fibonacci level breaches
## Trading Applications
### Options Trading
- **Straddle/Strangle Positioning**: Visualize breakeven levels for neutral strategies
- **Directional Plays**: Assess probability of reaching target levels
- **Earnings Plays**: Compare actual vs. expected move outcomes
### Equity Trading
- **Support/Resistance**: Use EM boundaries and Fibonacci levels as key levels
- **Breakout Trading**: Monitor for moves beyond expected ranges
- **Mean Reversion**: Look for reversals at extreme Fibonacci levels
### Risk Management
- **Position Sizing**: Gauge likely price ranges for the week
- **Stop Placement**: Use Fibonacci levels for logical stop locations
- **Profit Targets**: Set targets based on EM structure probabilities
## Technical Implementation
### Performance Features
- **Memory Managed**: Configurable history limits prevent memory issues
- **Timeframe Independent**: Uses timestamp-based calculations for consistency
- **Object Management**: Automatic cleanup of drawing objects prevents duplicates
- **Error Handling**: Robust bounds checking and NA value handling
### Pine Script Best Practices
- **v6 Compliance**: Uses latest Pine Script version features
- **User Defined Types**: Structured data management with WeeklyEM type
- **Efficient Drawing**: Smart line/label creation and deletion
- **Professional Standards**: Clean code organization and comprehensive documentation
## Customization Guide
### Adding New Weeks
```pinescript
// Add after market close each Friday
map.put(expected_moves, YYYYMMDD, EM_VALUE)
```
### Color Schemes
Customize colors for different trading styles:
- **Dark Theme**: Use bright colors for visibility
- **Light Theme**: Use contrasting dark colors
- **Minimalist**: Use single color with transparency
### Label Management
Control label density:
- **Show Current Week Labels Only**: Reduce clutter for active trading
- **Show All Labels**: Full information for analysis
- **Selective Display**: Choose specific label types
## Troubleshooting
### Common Issues
1. **No Lines Appearing**: Check that expected move data is entered for current/recent weeks
2. **Wrong Time Display**: Ensure "America/New_York" timezone is properly handled
3. **Duplicate Lines**: Restart indicator if drawing objects appear duplicated
4. **Missing Fibonacci Levels**: Verify "Show Fibonacci Levels" is enabled
### Data Validation
- **Expected Move Format**: Use positive numbers (e.g., 91.244, not ±91.244)
- **Date Format**: Use YYYYMMDD format (e.g., 20250613)
- **Reasonable Values**: Verify EM values are realistic (typically 50-200 for SPX)
## Version History
### Current Version
- **Pine Script v6**: Latest version compatibility
- **Fibonacci Integration**: Five-level retracement analysis
- **Zone-Aware Alerts**: Upper/lower zone differentiation
- **Dynamic Line Management**: Smart current week extension
- **Professional UI**: Comprehensive information table
### Future Enhancements
- **Multiple Symbols**: Extend beyond SPX to other indices
- **Automated Data**: Integration with options data APIs
- **Statistical Analysis**: Success rate tracking for EM predictions
- **Additional Levels**: Custom percentage levels beyond Fibonacci
## License & Usage
This indicator is designed for educational and trading purposes. Users are responsible for:
- **Data Accuracy**: Ensuring correct expected move values
- **Risk Management**: Proper position sizing and risk controls
- **Market Understanding**: Comprehending options-based expected move concepts
## Support
For questions, issues, or feature requests related to this indicator, please refer to the code comments and documentation within the Pine Script file.
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**Disclaimer**: This indicator is for informational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
