Neeson Trend Price Oscillator Pulse EditionNeeson Trend Price Oscillator Pulse Edition: A Comprehensive Market Cycle Analysis Tool
Overview and Purpose
The Trend Price Oscillator Pulse Edition is a sophisticated technical analysis indicator designed to identify major market cycle tops and bottoms. This tool operates as a standalone oscillator in a subchart, providing clear visual signals of overbought and oversold conditions within the context of long-term market cycles. Developed for position traders and long-term investors, it focuses on capturing significant market turning points rather than short-term fluctuations.
Integration Rationale and Component Synergy
The indicator integrates three core analytical concepts into a cohesive system:
Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO) Foundation: Traditional DPO methodology isolates cyclical price movements by removing the underlying trend component. This creates a clearer view of oscillatory behavior without the distortion of long-term directional bias.
Normalization Framework: By converting raw DPO values to a standardized 0-100 scale, the indicator establishes consistent reference points for market extremes across different instruments and timeframes. This normalization enables meaningful comparison of oscillator readings regardless of absolute price levels.
Dynamic Threshold System: The implementation of adjustable threshold levels (default: 95% for overbought, 5% for oversold) creates adaptive boundaries that respond to changing market volatility and cycle characteristics.
These components work synergistically: The DPO extracts cyclical information from price action, the normalization process standardizes this information for consistent interpretation, and the threshold system provides actionable decision points based on historical extremes.
Operational Mechanism
The indicator calculates a detrended price value by comparing current price against a displaced moving average. This detrended value is then normalized against its historical range over a specified lookback period, transforming it into a percentage-based oscillator. A smoothing filter is applied to reduce noise and highlight significant movements.
The oscillator's movement through threshold zones generates four distinct market signals:
Entry into overbought territory (crossing above 95%)
Exit from overbought territory (crossing below 95%)
Entry into oversold territory (crossing below 5%)
Exit from oversold territory (crossing above 5%)
Each signal corresponds to a specific market condition hypothesis regarding institutional versus retail trader dynamics in major market cycles.
Practical Application Guidelines
Primary Use Cases:
Identification of potential major cycle turning points on weekly and monthly timeframes
Confirmation tool for existing trading strategies requiring cycle analysis
Risk management through recognition of extreme market conditions
Interpretation Framework:
Overbought Conditions (Oscillator ≥ 95%): Suggest potential selling pressure from major market participants. Consider reducing long exposure or implementing protective measures.
Oversold Conditions (Oscillator ≤ 5%): Indicate potential accumulation zones by institutional buyers. Consider establishing or adding to long positions using dollar-cost averaging strategies.
Threshold Crossings: Monitor for exits from extreme zones as potential confirmation that a cycle peak or trough may have formed.
Parameter Considerations:
Default parameters (548-period oscillator, 274-period offset, 1096-period lookback) are optimized for identifying major market cycles. Users may adjust these values for different market conditions or timeframes, though significant parameter changes will alter the indicator's sensitivity and signal frequency.
Originality and Distinctive Features
This implementation incorporates several innovative aspects:
Extended Cycle Focus: Unlike most oscillators designed for shorter timeframes, this tool employs exceptionally long calculation periods specifically for identifying primary market cycles.
Dynamic Normalization: The lookback-based normalization adapts to changing market conditions without requiring manual recalibration.
Multi-Signal Alert System: Four distinct alert conditions provide nuanced information about market state transitions rather than simple binary signals.
Integrated Risk Context: Each signal includes contextual information about potential market participant behavior, encouraging disciplined risk management.
Empirical Considerations and Limitations
The indicator provides probabilistic assessments based on historical price behavior, not predictive certainties. Market conditions may change, rendering historical patterns less reliable. Users should consider:
The indicator performs best in trending or cyclical markets; it may generate false signals during extended range-bound periods.
No technical indicator, including this one, can guarantee future market movements.
Proper position sizing and risk management should accompany all trading decisions, regardless of indicator signals.
Expected User Outcomes
When used as part of a comprehensive trading plan, this indicator can help users:
Identify potential reversal zones in major market cycles
Develop patience by focusing on significant rather than frequent trading opportunities
Maintain objective perspective during market extremes through quantitative assessment
Coordinate entry and exit timing with cycle analysis
The Trend Price Oscillator Pulse Edition represents a specialized tool for traders seeking to align their strategies with major market cycles through systematic analysis of price oscillation behavior relative to long-term trends.
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Luminous Volume Flow [Pineify]Luminous Volume Flow
The Luminous Volume Flow is a specialized volume-based momentum oscillator designed to uncover the underlying buying and selling pressure within the market. Unlike traditional volume indicators that simply aggregate volume based on the close relative to the open, LVF analyzes intrabar dynamics—specifically the relationship between the close price and the high/low wicks—to estimate the dominance of buyers or sellers.
By smoothing this raw volume delta and applying a signal line, the LVF provides a clear visual representation of volume flow, helping traders identify trend strength, potential reversals, and momentum shifts with high-definition "luminous" visuals.
Key Features
Intrabar Pressure Analysis : Calculates buying and selling pressure based on wick dynamics and price polarity to provide a more granular view of market sentiment.
Multi-Type Smoothing : Offers selectable Moving Average types (SMA, EMA, RMA) for the main Flow Line to adapt to different market volatilities.
Luminous Visuals : Utilizes dynamic color gradients that brighten as momentum expands and darken as it contracts, offering immediate visual feedback on trend intensity.
Sentiment Cloud : Fills the area between the Flow and Signal lines to clearly visualize the prevailing bullish or bearish sentiment.
High-Contrast Signals : Optional high-contrast signal markers for clear crossover identification.
How It Works
The LVF operates on a multi-stage calculation process:
Pressure Calculation : The script compares the lower wick (Close - Low) against the upper wick (High - Close).
If the lower wick is longer, it suggests buying pressure (rejection of lower prices), and volume is assigned to Buy Pressure .
If the upper wick is longer, it suggests selling pressure (rejection of higher prices), and volume is assigned to Sell Pressure .
If equal, the Close > Open polarity is used as a tie-breaker.
Raw Delta : The difference between Buy and Sell Pressure is calculated to determine the net volume flow for the bar.
Flow Line : The Raw Delta is smoothed using a user-selected Moving Average (SMA, EMA, or RMA) over the Flow Length period. This creates the main oscillator line.
Signal Line : An EMA of the Flow Line is calculated to generate the Signal Line, similar to the MACD mechanic.
Histogram : The difference between the Flow Line and Signal Line determines the Histogram, which drives the "Luminous" color gradient logic.
Trading Ideas and Insights
Trend Confirmation : When the Flow Line is above the Signal Line and the Cloud is green, the bullish trend is supported by volume. Conversely, a red cloud indicates bearish volume dominance.
Momentum Crossovers : The triangle shapes indicate crossovers between the Flow and Signal lines. A triangle up (Green) suggests a potential bullish entry or invalidation of a short bias. A triangle down (Red) suggests a bearish turn.
Expansion vs. Contraction : Pay attention to the brightness of the histogram columns. Bright colors indicate expanding momentum (a strong move), while darker, fading colors suggest the move is losing steam, potentially preceding a consolidation or reversal.
How multiple components work together
This script combines the logic of Volume Delta analysis with Signal Line Crossover mechanics (popularized by MACD). By applying trend-following smoothing to raw volume data, we transform erratic volume spikes into a coherent flow. The "Luminous" visual layer is added to make the data interpretation intuitive—removing the need to mentally calculate the rate of change based on histogram height alone.
Unique Aspects
Adaptive Gradient Coloring : The histogram doesn't just show positive/negative values; it visually communicates the *acceleration* of the move via color intensity based on standard deviation.
Wick-Based Volume Attribution : Instead of a binary close-to-open comparison, LVF respects the price action within the candle (the wicks), acknowledging that a long lower wick on a red candle can actually represent significant buying interest.
How to Use
Add the indicator to your chart.
Adjust the Flow Length to match your trading timeframe (lower for scalping, higher for swing trading).
Select your preferred Smoothing Type (EMA is default and recommended for responsiveness).
Use the "Sentiment Cloud" filter: Look for long signals only when the cloud is green, and short signals when the cloud is red.
Monitor the Luminous Histogram for signs of exhaustion (colors fading) to manage exits.
Customization
Flow Length : Period for the main smoothing (Default: 14).
Signal Length : Period for the signal line (Default: 9).
Smoothing Type : Choose between SMA, EMA, or RMA.
Colors : Fully customizable colors for Bullish/Bearish phases and signals.
Chart Bars : Option to color the main chart candles based on the Flow direction.
Conclusion
The Luminous Volume Flow is a robust tool for traders who want to go beyond price action and understand the volume dynamics driving the market. By visualizing the flow of buying and selling pressure with advanced smoothing and reactive visuals, it provides a clearer picture of market sentiment than standard volume bars.
Neeson Vegas ChannelVegas Channel Indicator: A Comprehensive Multi-Timeframe Trend-Following System
Originality and Conceptual Foundation
This script implements an enhanced version of the classic "Vegas Tunnel" or "Vegas Channel" methodology, popularized by traders who follow the work associated with the "Vegas" technique. Its primary original contribution lies in its specific, rule-based multi-layered trend identification and visualization system. While the core uses well-known Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), the originality is in the precise combination of periods and the strict, hierarchical logic for defining trend states and generating signals.
Unlike simpler moving average crossovers or single-tunnel systems, this script employs three distinct EMA pairs, each serving a unique purpose within the trend hierarchy:
Short-Term Momentum Pair (EMA 12 & 24): Acts as the primary signal trigger and momentum gauge.
Core Trend Tunnel (EMA 144 & 169): Serves as the central "channel" or "tunnel." A key visual and logical component is the shading between these two lines, which thickens and changes color with the trend, creating a dynamic channel.
Long-Term Foundation Pair (EMA 580 & 670): Represents the underlying, slower-moving trend foundation, providing context for the higher-timeframe bias.
The system's true innovation is its binary and exclusive trend definition logic. It does not rely on a single crossover. Instead, it defines a confirmed Uptrend only when both the short-term EMAs (12 and 24) are established above both lines of the core tunnel (144 and 169). Conversely, a Downtrend is confirmed only when both short-term EMAs are established below both core tunnel lines. This creates a high-confidence filter, reducing whipsaw signals that can occur when price oscillates around a single moving average.
Functionality, Implementation, and Usage
What It Does:
This indicator is a multi-timeframe trend identification and signal-generation tool. It visually condenses trend information from short, medium, and long-term perspectives onto a single chart. Its primary functions are:
Trend State Classification: It dynamically classifies the market into one of three states: Bull Trend (Blue), Bear Trend (Orange), or Sideways/Congestion (Gray). This is reflected in the chart's background color, the color of all EMA lines, and the fill of the central 144/169 channel.
Signal Generation: It plots discrete buy and sell arrows. A Buy Signal (blue upward triangle) appears the first bar the market transitions into the defined "Uptrend" state from a non-uptrend state. A Sell Signal (orange downward triangle) appears the first bar the market transitions into the defined "Downtrend" state.
Visual Structuring: It plots all six EMAs and prominently highlights the interaction zone between the 144 and 169 EMAs with a colored fill, making the "tunnel" a focal point for support/resistance and trend quality assessment.
How It's Implemented:
The logic is implemented through a clear sequence of conditional checks:
Calculation: All six EMAs are calculated based on user-definable periods (defaults as listed).
Trend Logic: The script continuously evaluates the position of EMA12 and EMA24 relative to EMA144 and EMA169 using strict AND conditions to define the uptrend and downtrend Boolean variables.
Signal Logic: A signal (buy or sell) is generated only on the change of the trend state. It uses a check of the form current_trend_state AND (NOT previous_bar_trend_state) to pinpoint the exact bar of transition.
Visual Feedback: All plot colors, the channel fill color, and the background color are unified and determined by the current trend state variable. Labels for the trend and each EMA line are drawn on the last bar for clarity.
How to Use It:
Traders employ this indicator primarily for trend-following and breakout confirmation. It is suited for swing trading or higher-timeframe positional trades rather than scalping, due to the lag inherent in its longer EMAs and its focus on confirmed states.
Trend Bias: The overall color scheme (blue/orange/gray background) provides an immediate, at-a-glance assessment of the dominant trend force. Trading in the direction of the colored background is considered aligned with the system's trend.
Signal Entry: The arrow signals are not meant for blind entry. They mark the point of a confirmed trend state transition.
A Buy Signal suggests the short-term momentum (12,24) has decisively broken above and established itself over the medium-term trend framework (144,169). This could be used as a trigger for long entries, preferably with the long-term EMAs (580,670) sloping upwards or flat, adding confluence.
A Sell Signal suggests the opposite breakdown.
Channel as Dynamic S/R: The filled area between EMA144 and EMA169 acts as a dynamic support zone in an uptrend and a resistance zone in a downtrend. Pullbacks into this "tunnel" that hold without triggering a sell signal (i.e., without both EMA12 & 24 closing back below both tunnel lines) can be viewed as potential continuation opportunities.
Filter for Other Systems: The clear trend state (uptrend/downtrend) can be exported or used as a filter for other trading systems or discretionary decisions, ensuring actions are only taken in the direction of the script's defined trend.
Core Computational Philosophy and Strategic Rationale
The script's logic is rooted in the philosophy of trend hierarchy and confirmation. It belongs to the category of Multi-Moving Average Convergence/Divergence Systems with State-Based Rules.
The 144/169 Tunnel: These numbers are derived from Fibonacci sequences (144, 169 is 12^2 and 13^2). They are believed by proponents to represent a natural rhythm or "heartbeat" of the market, defining a robust intermediate-term trend framework.
The 12/24 Pair: A standard fast-moving average pair commonly used to gauge short-term momentum and trigger entries.
The Strategic Innovation (Dual-Condition Crossover): The core idea is that a crossover of a single fast MA above a single slow MA can be false and noisy. By requiring both members of a fast pair to establish position relative to both members of a slower "tunnel" pair, the system demands a broader, more concerted move. This seeks to filter out weak, unsustainable breaks and only capture shifts in momentum strong enough to flip the entire short-term structure's position relative to the medium-term structure.
The 580/670 Pair: These very slow EMAs represent the "secular" trend. While not part of the direct signal logic, they provide critical context. A buy signal that occurs while price is above the 580/670 pair (which would be sloping up in a healthy bull market) carries more weight than one that occurs while price is below this long-term foundation, which might indicate a counter-trend rally.
In essence, this script is more than just moving averages on a chart. It is a systematic, rule-based framework for identifying when the market's short-term energy (12,24) has converged sufficiently to overcome and reposition itself against its medium-term equilibrium (144/169 tunnel), thereby signaling a high-probability phase change in trend, all while considering the backdrop of a long-term trend (580/670).
BTC - Satoshis Altcoin Graveyard OVERVIEW
The Satoshi's Altcoin Graveyard (SAG) is a macro-statistical engine designed to solve the problem of Survivorship Bias . It is a well-known phenomenon in the crypto markets that the "Top 10" list is in a constant state of flux. If you look at historical data from CoinMarketCap (CMC) year by year, you will see a revolving door of projects that once seemed "too big to fail" disappearing into obscurity. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has remained the undisputed #1 since inception.
While most traders have a "gut feeling" that Altcoins eventually depreciate against Bitcoin, I believe in measuring it and drawing it on a chart for better visibility. By locking in specific "Cohorts" of market leaders from the past, we can track their inevitable decay through the Satoshi Sieve .
THE 13-COIN STATISTICAL BUCKET
To ensure an objective, non-biased audit, each cohort (we look at 2018, 2020 and 2022) is constructed using a fixed market-cap methodology from the snapshot date (excluding stablecoins):
• The Core: The Top 10 non-stablecoin assets at that time by Marketcap.
• The Risk Alpha: Representative samples from the Top #25, #50, and #100 ranks. (By including lower-ranked "riskier" alts, we capture the full statistical decay of the market, not just the "Blue Chips.")
TECHNICAL ARCHITECTURE
This script is engineered to push the boundaries of the Pine Script engine. TradingView enforces a hard limit of 40 unique data requests . By tracking 3 cohorts of 13 assets plus the Bitcoin base, this indicator utilizes exactly 40/40 requests , providing the maximum possible data density in a single chart window.
THE SPS CONCEPT (Survival Probability Score)
The SPS measures the Breadth of Survival . It answers: "How many coins from this year (the year of the snapshot) are actually outperforming BTC?"
We use a binary logic system to determine if a coin is "Winning" or "Losing" against the only benchmark that matters: Bitcoin.
• The Status Formula: Status = Current_Alt_BTC_Ratio >= Entry_Alt_BTC_Ratio ? 1 : 0 . This means: Every single day, at the Daily Close , the script compares the current Alt/BTC ratio to the fixed ratio from the snapshot date. If the coin is worth more in Bitcoin today than it was back then, it is assigned a "1" (a Win). If it has lost value against Bitcoin, it gets a "0" (a Loss).
• The SPS Line: SPS Line = (Sum of 'Wins' / 13) * 100 This means: We add up all the "Winners" for that specific day and turn it into a percentage. For example, if the Aqua line is at 7.69% on your chart, it confirms that on that day , exactly 1 out of the 13 coins was successfully beating Bitcoin, while the other 12 were underperforming.
THE PERFORMANCE MATRIX
In the top-right corner, we provide a Weighted Portfolio Simulation . This answers the financial question: "If I swapped 1 BTC into an equal-weight basket of these 13 coins on the snapshot day, what is my BTC value today?".
• Value < 1.0 BTC: You lost purchasing power compared to holding Bitcoin.
• Value > 1.0 BTC: You successfully achieved "Alpha" over the benchmark.
HOW TO READ THE CHART
• The Waterfall: Lines generally trend downward as the "Satoshi Sieve" filters out assets that cannot maintain their BTC-relative value.
• Dynamic Winners: We dynamically print the names of the current survivors at the tip of each line. If a cohort shows "None," the graveyard is full.
HOW TO READ THE MATRIX
• The BTC Target: Any portfolio value in the matrix below 1.0 BTC represents a failed altcoin rotation.
• Class of 2018: A portfolio value near 0.15 BTC at the current date, means a 85% loss rate.
• Class of 2020: A portfolio value near 0.77 BTC at the current date, means an approx 20 % loss rate.
• Class of 2022: A portfolio value near 0.31 BTC at the current date, means an approx 70% loss rate.
DIFFERENCE FROM AN ALTCOIN INDEX
Standard Altcoin Indexes (like my ALSI Index ) "rebalance" by removing losers and adding new winners. This is deceptive. The Altcoin Graveyard never rebalances . It forces you to watch the "losers" decay, providing a realistic look at the long-term opportunity cost of "Buy and Hold" for anything other than Bitcoin.
CONCLUSION
The data revealed by the Satoshi Sieve leads to a singular, sobering "Lesson Learned": Picking the right coin to outperform Bitcoin is not just difficult—it is statistically improbable over a long-term horizon.
While the "Risk-Reward" of altcoins is often marketed as having higher upside, the Altcoin Graveyard proves that for the vast majority of assets, the reward does not justify the risk of total portfolio erosion in BTC terms.
• The Mathematical Odds: If you picked a Top 10 coin in 2018, your chance of outperforming BTC today is effectively 0%.
• The Rotation Trap: Most investors "HODL" these assets into the graveyard, hoping for a return to previous ATHs that never comes because the liquidity has already moved on to the next "Class" of winners.
The final conclusion is clear: Diversification into altcoins is often just a slow-motion transfer of wealth back to Bitcoin. If you cannot identify the 1-out-of-13 that survives the Sieve, your best risk-adjusted move has historically been to simply hold the benchmark.
DISCLAIMER
This script is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. It is a mathematical study of historical opportunity cost and survivorship bias.
Tags
bitcoin, btc, satoshis graveyard, altseason, dominance, total3, rotation, cycle, index, alsi, Rob Maths, robmaths
MAD Supertrend [Alpha Extract]A sophisticated SuperTrend implementation that replaces traditional ATR calculations with Mean Absolute Deviation methodology for adaptive volatility measurement and band construction. Utilizing SMA baseline with MAD-based deviation bands and optional adaptive factor adjustments, this indicator delivers institutional-grade trend detection with strength-based filtering and dynamic visual feedback. The system's MAD approach provides superior noise reduction compared to ATR while maintaining responsiveness to genuine volatility changes, combined with momentum-based strength calculations for high-conviction signal generation.
🔶 Advanced MAD-Based Band Construction
Implements Mean Absolute Deviation calculation as volatility proxy, measuring absolute price deviations from mean and smoothing for stable band generation without ATR dependency. The system calculates SMA baseline, computes MAD from configurable lookback period, applies factor multipliers to create upper and lower bands, then implements classic SuperTrend ratcheting logic where bands only adjust when price violates previous levels or calculations warrant updates.
// Core MAD SuperTrend Framework
SMA_Value = ta.sma(src, SMA_Length)
Mean = ta.sma(src, MAD_Length)
Abs_Deviation = abs(src - Mean)
MAD_Value = ta.sma(Abs_Deviation, MAD_Length)
// Band Construction with Ratcheting
Upper_Band = SMA_Value + MAD_Factor * MAD_Value
Lower_Band = SMA_Value - MAD_Factor * MAD_Value
// Ratcheting logic prevents premature band adjustments
🔶 Adaptive Factor Adjustment Engine
Features optional adaptive multiplier system that modulates MAD factor based on normalized MAD magnitude relative to recent extremes, creating bands that automatically expand during high-volatility regimes and contract during consolidation. The system applies min-max normalization to MAD values over configurable lookback, multiplies by adaptation parameter, and adds to base factor for dynamic volatility sensitivity without manual recalibration.
🔶 Momentum-Based Strength Filter
Implements sophisticated strength calculation measuring price momentum relative to baseline divided by volatility-adjusted MAD bands, producing normalized 0-1 strength scores with exponential smoothing. The system calculates distance from SMA baseline, normalizes by MAD-derived band width, and applies configurable minimum threshold requiring sufficient momentum before trend signals activate, filtering weak or choppy market conditions.
🔶 SuperTrend Direction Logic
Utilizes classic SuperTrend methodology adapted for MAD bands where trend direction flips on opposite band violations with state persistence until confirmation. The system tracks whether price closes above upper band (bearish flip to bullish) or below lower band (bullish flip to bearish), maintains directional state until opposing violation occurs, and generates binary +1/-1 trend signals suitable for systematic position management.
🔶 Intelligent Candle Sticking System
Provides advanced line positioning option that anchors SuperTrend line to candle wicks or bodies rather than pure calculation values for enhanced visual clarity. The system supports two modes: Wick (positions at high/low extremes based on trend direction) and Body (constrains line between calculation and candle extremes), creating cleaner chart presentation while maintaining mathematical integrity of underlying signals.
🔶 Dynamic Gradient Visualization Framework
Implements color intensity modulation based on smoothed strength calculations, transitioning from muted to vivid hues as momentum conviction increases. The system applies gradient interpolation using strength ratio, creating visual feedback where strong trending moves display intense colors while weak or consolidating conditions show faded tones across trend line, channel bands, and candle coloring for immediate regime assessment.
🔶 MAD Channel Architecture
Features volatility-adjusted channel bands centered on baseline or candle-stuck line with configurable multiplier for support/resistance visualization. The system calculates upper and lower bounds using MAD values scaled by adaptive factors and channel multipliers, applies dynamic transparency based on trend strength, and creates filled regions that intensify during strong trends and fade during weak conditions.
🔶 Multi-Layer Glow Effect System
Provides sophisticated line rendering with triple-layer plot system creating glow effect through progressively wider and more transparent outer layers. The system plots core trend line at specified width with full color intensity, adds inner glow layer at +2 width with moderate transparency, and outer glow at +4 width with higher transparency, creating visual depth and emphasis without cluttering chart space.
🔶 Strength-Based State Management
Implements intelligent trend state logic requiring both directional signal and minimum strength threshold breach before confirming trend transitions. The system calculates raw SuperTrend direction, evaluates smoothed strength against configurable minimum, generates filtered trend state that can be bullish (+1), bearish (-1), or neutral (0), and maintains state persistence using hold logic that prevents oscillation during ambiguous conditions.
🔶 Comprehensive Alert Integration
Generates trend flip alerts when filtered state transitions from bearish to bullish or bullish to bearish with full confirmation requirements satisfied. The system detects state changes through comparison with previous bar, triggers single alert per transition rather than continuous notifications, and provides customizable message templates for automated trading system integration or manual notification preferences.
🔶 Performance Optimization Architecture
Utilizes efficient calculation methods with null value handling, nz() functions preventing errors during initialization bars, and optimized gradient calculations. The system includes intelligent state persistence minimizing recalculation overhead, streamlined MAD computation avoiding redundant mean calculations, and smooth visual updates maintaining consistent performance across extended historical periods.
This indicator delivers sophisticated SuperTrend analysis through Mean Absolute Deviation methodology providing superior statistical properties compared to traditional ATR-based approaches. MAD calculations offer more robust volatility measurement resistant to extreme outliers while maintaining sensitivity to genuine market regime changes. The system's adaptive factor adjustment, momentum-based strength filtering, and dynamic visual feedback make it essential for traders seeking reliable trend-following signals with reduced false breakouts during choppy conditions. The combination of MAD bands, candle-sticking options, gradient strength visualization, and comprehensive filtering creates institutional-grade trend detection suitable for systematic approaches across cryptocurrency, forex, and equity markets with clear entry/exit signals and comprehensive alert capabilities.
Sizing Coach HUD Long and Short This HUD is designed as a systematic execution layer to bridge the gap between technical analysis and mechanical risk management. Its primary purpose is to eliminate the "discretionary gap"—the moment where a trader’s "feeling" about volatility or spreads causes hesitation.
By using this tool, you are not just watching price; you are managing a business where Risk is a constant and Size is a variable.
Core Functionality: The Position Sizing Engine
The HUD automates the math of "Capital-Based Tiers". Instead of choosing an arbitrary share size, the system calculates your position based on three predefined levels of conviction:
Tier 1 (1% Notional): Low-confidence or high-volatility "tester" positions.
Tier 2 (3% Notional): Standard, high-probability setups.
Tier 3 (5% Notional): High-conviction trades where multiple timeframes and factors align.
Execution Workflow (The Poka-Yoke)
To use this HUD effectively and eliminate the "hesitation" identified in the Five Whys analysis, follow this workflow:
Toggle Direction: Set the HUD to Long or Short based on your setup (e.g., NEMA Continuation).
Define Invalidation: Identify your technical stop (default is High/Low of Day +/- 5%). The HUD will automatically calculate the distance to this level.
Check Risk $: Observe the Risk $ row. This tells you exactly how much you will lose in dollars if the stop is hit. If the volatility is extreme (like the NASDAQ:SNDK 14% plunge), the HUD will automatically shrink your Shares count to keep this dollar amount constant.
Execute via HUD: Transmit the order using the Shares provided in your selected Tier. Do not manually adjust the size based on "gut feeling".
Trade Management: The "R" Focus
The bottom half of the HUD displays your Targets (PnL / R).
VWAP & Fibonacci Levels: Automatically plots and calculates profit targets at key institutional levels (VWAP, 0.618, 0.786, 0.886).
Binary Exit Logic: The color-coded logic flags any target that yields less than 1R (Reward-to-Risk) as a warning.
Systematic Holding: Ride the trade to the targets or until your technical exit (e.g., 1M candle close above/below NEMA) is triggered, ignoring the fluctuating P&L.
Aura Squeeze Projections [Pineify]Pineify - Aura Squeeze Projections
This indicator combines the volatility compression detection of the TTM Squeeze methodology with an innovative "aura glow" visualization, offering traders a clear and aesthetically distinct way to identify low-volatility consolidation phases and anticipate breakout directions. By merging Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels, and linear regression momentum analysis, the Aura Squeeze Projections provides actionable squeeze signals with directional bias.
Key Features
Visual "aura glow" effect highlighting squeeze zones and momentum shifts
Squeeze detection combining Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels
Linear regression-based momentum for directional bias
Dynamic candle coloring reflecting current market state
Squeeze start and release signal markers
How It Works
The core logic identifies volatility compression by comparing Bollinger Bands to Keltner Channels. When the Bollinger Bands contract inside the Keltner Channel boundaries (BB upper < KC upper AND BB lower > KC lower), the market enters a "squeeze" state — a period of low volatility that often precedes significant price movement.
Momentum direction is calculated using a linear regression slope of the difference between price and its moving average. A positive slope indicates bullish momentum; negative indicates bearish momentum. This determines the anticipated breakout direction when the squeeze releases.
How Multiple Indicators Work Together
Bollinger Bands measure statistical volatility through standard deviation, expanding during high volatility and contracting during consolidation. Keltner Channels use Average True Range (ATR) for a smoother volatility envelope. When BB fits entirely within KC, volatility has compressed below normal levels — the squeeze condition.
The linear regression momentum component adds directional intelligence. Rather than simply detecting compression, it forecasts the likely breakout direction by analyzing the trend slope of price deviation from its mean. This synergy transforms a binary squeeze signal into an actionable directional setup.
Unique Aspects
The "aura glow" visualization creates gradient fills between the trend midline and Keltner boundaries, providing an intuitive heat-map style view of market conditions. Colors transition dynamically: gray during squeeze (consolidation), green for bullish momentum, and red for bearish momentum. This makes market state immediately recognizable at a glance.
How to Use
Watch for the gray squeeze state indicating volatility compression
Note the circle marker appearing above bars when squeeze begins
Observe when the diamond marker appears below bars — squeeze release
The color at release (green/red) indicates anticipated breakout direction
Use candle coloring for confirmation of momentum alignment
Customization
Lookback Length : Adjusts sensitivity (shorter = more signals, longer = fewer but stronger)
BB/KC Multipliers : Fine-tune squeeze detection threshold
Use EMA : Toggle between EMA (smoother) or SMA for the midline basis
Aura Transparency : Control visual intensity of the glow effect
Conclusion
Aura Squeeze Projections offers a refined approach to squeeze-based trading by combining proven volatility compression detection with momentum-based directional analysis and distinctive visual presentation. The indicator helps traders identify consolidation periods and prepare for breakouts with directional confidence. Best used alongside price action analysis and support/resistance levels for confirmation.
Volume-Adjusted CCI Trend [Alpha Extract]A sophisticated trend identification system that combines dual EMA direction analysis with volume-weighted normalization and CCI momentum filtering for comprehensive trend validation. Utilizing Volume RSI integration and standard deviation-based bands that expand and contract with volume characteristics, this indicator delivers institutional-grade trend detection with multi-layered confirmation requirements. The system's volume adjustment mechanism modulates signal sensitivity based on participation strength while CCI thresholds prevent false signals during weak momentum conditions, creating a robust trend-following framework with reduced whipsaw susceptibility.
🔶 Advanced Dual EMA Direction Engine
Implements fast and slow exponential moving average comparison to establish primary trend direction bias with configurable period parameters for timeframe optimization. The system calculates trend direction as binary +1 (bullish when fast EMA exceeds slow EMA) or -1 (bearish when slow exceeds fast), providing foundational directional input that requires additional confirmation before generating actionable trend states.
🔶 Volume-Adjusted Normalization Framework
Features sophisticated normalization calculation that measures price deviation from basis EMA, scales by standard deviation, then applies volume-weighted adjustment factor for participation-sensitive signal generation. The system calculates Volume RSI to quantify relative volume strength, converts to ratio format, and multiplies normalized deviation by volume factor scaled by impact parameter, creating signals that strengthen during high-volume confirmations and weaken during low-volume moves.
// Volume-Adjusted Normalization
Vol_Ratio = Volume_RSI / 50
Vol_Factor = 1 + (Vol_Ratio - 1) * Vol_Impact
Dev = src - Basis_EMA
Raw_Normalized = Dev / (StdDev * Multiplier)
Vol_Adjusted_Norm = Raw_Normalized * Vol_Factor
🔶 CCI Momentum Filter Integration
Implements Commodity Channel Index threshold system with configurable upper and lower bounds to validate trend strength and filter sideways market conditions. The system calculates standard CCI with adjustable length, compares against asymmetric thresholds (default +100 bullish, -50 bearish), and requires CCI confirmation in addition to EMA direction and normalized deviation before transitioning trend states, ensuring only high-conviction signals generate entries.
🔶 Multi-Layer Trend State Logic
Provides intelligent trend state machine requiring simultaneous confirmation from EMA direction, volume-adjusted normalization threshold breach, and optional CCI momentum validation. The system maintains persistent trend state that only transitions when all three conditions align, preventing premature reversals during temporary retracements or low-volume fluctuations while capturing genuine trend changes with institutional-grade confirmation requirements.
🔶 Dynamic Volume Band Architecture
Creates volatility-adjusted bands around basis EMA using standard deviation multiplied by volume factor, producing channels that widen during high-volume periods and contract during low-volume consolidations. The system applies identical volume adjustment to band calculations as normalization metric, ensuring visual envelope consistency with underlying signal logic and providing intuitive reference boundaries for trend-following price action.
🔶 Gradient Strength Visualization System
Implements color intensity modulation based on normalized signal strength relative to threshold requirements, creating visual feedback that communicates trend conviction. The system calculates strength ratio by dividing absolute normalized value by threshold, caps at 1.0, and applies gradient interpolation from muted to vivid colors, instantly conveying whether current trend exhibits marginal or strong characteristics through line and candle coloring.
🔶 Volume RSI Calculation Engine
Utilizes RSI methodology applied to volume series rather than price to quantify relative participation strength with normalization to 0.5-1.5 range for factor multiplication. The system processes volume through standard RSI calculation, divides by 50 to center around 1.0, and produces ratio values where readings above 1.0 indicate above-average volume and below 1.0 suggest below-average participation for signal adjustment purposes.
🔶 Asymmetric Threshold Configuration
Features separate positive and negative normalization thresholds with independent CCI upper and lower bounds enabling optimization for bullish versus bearish signal generation characteristics. The system defaults to symmetric normalized thresholds (±0.2) but asymmetric CCI levels (+100/-50), recognizing that bullish momentum often requires stronger confirmation than bearish reversals in typical market structures.
🔶 Comprehensive Visual Integration
Provides multi-dimensional trend visualization through color-coded basis line, volume-adjusted bands with gradient fills, trend-synchronized candle coloring, and transition signal labels. The system enables selective display toggling for each visual component while maintaining consistent color scheme and strength-based intensity across all elements for cohesive chart presentation without overwhelming information density.
🔶 Alert and Signal Framework
Generates trend change alerts when state transitions occur with all confirmation requirements satisfied, providing notifications for bullish (transition to +1) and bearish (transition to -1) signals. The system implements state change detection through comparison with previous bar trend state, ensuring single alert per transition rather than continuous notifications during sustained trends.
🔶 Performance Optimization Architecture
Employs efficient calculation methods with null value handling for Volume RSI initialization and nz() functions preventing calculation errors during early bars. The system includes intelligent state persistence maintaining previous trend during ambiguous conditions and optimized gradient calculations balancing visual quality with computational efficiency across extended historical periods.
🔶 Why Choose Volume-Adjusted CCI Trend ?
This indicator delivers sophisticated trend identification through multi-layered confirmation combining directional EMA analysis, volume-weighted normalization, and momentum validation via CCI filtering. Unlike traditional trend indicators relying solely on price-based calculations, the volume adjustment mechanism ensures signals strengthen during high-participation moves and weaken during low-volume drifts, reducing false breakouts and choppy market whipsaws. The system's requirement for simultaneous EMA direction, normalized threshold breach, and CCI momentum confirmation creates institutional-grade signal quality suitable for systematic trend-following approaches across cryptocurrency, forex, and equity markets. The volume-adjusted bands provide dynamic support/resistance references while the gradient strength visualization enables instant assessment of trend conviction for position sizing and risk management decisions.
Intrabar Volume Flow IntelligenceIntrabar Volume Flow Intelligence: A Comprehensive Analysis:
The Intrabar Volume Flow Intelligence indicator represents a sophisticated approach to understanding market dynamics through the lens of volume analysis at a granular, intrabar level. This Pine Script version 5 indicator transcends traditional volume analysis by dissecting price action within individual bars to reveal the true nature of buying and selling pressure that often remains hidden when examining only the external characteristics of completed candlesticks. At its core, this indicator operates on the principle that volume is the fuel that drives price movement, and by understanding where volume is being applied within each bar—whether at higher prices indicating buying pressure or at lower prices indicating selling pressure—traders can gain a significant edge in anticipating future price movements before they become obvious to the broader market.
The foundational innovation of this indicator lies in its use of lower timeframe data to analyze what happens inside each bar on your chart timeframe. While most traders see only the open, high, low, and close of a five-minute candle, for example, this indicator requests data from a one-minute timeframe by default to see all the individual one-minute candles that comprise that five-minute bar. This intrabar analysis allows the indicator to calculate a weighted intensity score based on where the price closed within each sub-bar's range. If the close is near the high, that volume is attributed more heavily to buying pressure; if near the low, to selling pressure. This methodology is far more nuanced than simple tick volume analysis or even traditional volume delta calculations because it accounts for the actual price behavior and distribution of volume throughout the formation of each bar, providing a three-dimensional view of market participation.
The intensity calculation itself demonstrates the coding sophistication embedded in this indicator. For each intrabar segment, the indicator calculates a base intensity using the formula of close minus low divided by the range between high and low. This gives a value between zero and one, where values approaching one indicate closes near the high and values approaching zero indicate closes near the low. However, the indicator doesn't stop there—it applies an open adjustment factor that considers the relationship between the close and open positions within the overall range, adding up to twenty percent additional weighting based on directional movement. This adjustment ensures that strongly directional intrabar movement receives appropriate emphasis in the final volume allocation. The adjusted intensity is then bounded between zero and one to prevent extreme outliers from distorting the analysis, demonstrating careful consideration of edge cases and data integrity.
The volume flow calculation multiplies this intensity by the actual volume transacted in each intrabar segment, creating buy volume and sell volume figures that represent not just quantity but quality of market participation. These figures are accumulated across all intrabar segments within the parent bar, and simultaneously, a volume-weighted average price is calculated for the entire bar using the typical price of each segment multiplied by its volume. This intrabar VWAP becomes a critical reference point for understanding whether the overall bar is trading above or below its fair value as determined by actual transaction levels. The deviation from this intrabar VWAP is then used as a weighting mechanism—when the close is significantly above the intrabar VWAP, buying volume receives additional weight; when below, selling volume is emphasized. This creates a feedback loop where volume that moves price away from equilibrium is recognized as more significant than volume that keeps price near balance.
The imbalance filter represents another layer of analytical sophistication that separates meaningful volume flows from normal market noise. The indicator calculates the absolute difference between buy and sell volume as a percentage of total volume, and this imbalance must exceed a user-defined threshold—defaulted to twenty-five percent but adjustable from five to eighty percent—before the volume flow is considered significant enough to register on the indicator. This filtering mechanism ensures that only bars with clear directional conviction contribute to the cumulative flow measurements, while bars with balanced buying and selling are essentially ignored. This is crucial because markets spend considerable time in equilibrium states where volume is simply facilitating position exchanges without directional intent. By filtering out these neutral periods, the indicator focuses trader attention exclusively on moments when one side of the market is demonstrating clear dominance.
The decay factor implementation showcases advanced state management in Pine Script coding. Rather than allowing imbalanced volume to simply disappear after one bar, the indicator maintains decayed values using variable state that persists across bars. When a new significant imbalance occurs, it replaces the decayed value; when no significant imbalance is present, the previous value is multiplied by the decay factor, which defaults to zero point eight-five. This means that a large volume imbalance continues to influence the indicator for several bars afterward, gradually diminishing in impact unless reinforced by new imbalances. This decay mechanism creates persistence in the flow measurements, acknowledging that large institutional volume accumulation or distribution campaigns don't execute in single bars but rather unfold across multiple bars. The cumulative flow calculation then sums these decayed values over a lookback period, creating a running total that represents sustained directional pressure rather than momentary spikes.
The dual moving average crossover system applied to these volume flows creates actionable trading signals from the underlying data. The indicator calculates both a fast exponential moving average and a slower simple moving average of the buy flow, sell flow, and net flow values. The use of EMA for the fast line provides responsiveness to recent changes while the SMA for the slow line provides a more stable baseline, and the divergence or convergence between these averages signals shifts in volume flow momentum. When the buy flow EMA crosses above its SMA while volume is elevated, this indicates that buying pressure is not only present but accelerating, which is the foundation for the strong buy signal generation. The same logic applies inversely for selling pressure, creating a symmetrical approach to detecting both upside and downside momentum shifts based on volume characteristics rather than price characteristics.
The volume threshold filtering ensures that signals only generate during periods of statistically significant market participation. The indicator calculates a simple moving average of total volume over a user-defined period, defaulted to twenty bars, and then requires that current volume exceed this average by a multiplier, defaulted to one point two times. This ensures that signals occur during periods when the market is actively engaged rather than during quiet periods when a few large orders can create misleading volume patterns. The indicator even distinguishes between high volume—exceeding the threshold—and very high volume—exceeding one point five times the threshold—with the latter triggering background color changes to alert traders to exceptional participation levels. This tiered volume classification allows traders to calibrate their position sizing and conviction levels based on the strength of market participation supporting the signal.
The flow momentum calculation adds a velocity dimension to the volume analysis. By calculating the rate of change of the net flow EMA over a user-defined momentum length—defaulted to five bars—the indicator measures not just the direction of volume flow but the acceleration or deceleration of that flow. A positive and increasing flow momentum indicates that buying pressure is not only dominant but intensifying, which typically precedes significant upward price movements. Conversely, negative and decreasing flow momentum suggests selling pressure is building upon itself, often preceding breakdowns. The indicator even calculates a second derivative—the momentum of momentum, termed flow acceleration—which can identify very early turning points when the rate of change itself begins to shift, providing the most forward-looking signal available from this methodology.
The divergence detection system represents one of the most powerful features for identifying potential trend reversals and continuations. The indicator maintains separate tracking of price extremes and flow extremes over a lookback period defaulted to fourteen bars. A bearish divergence is identified when price makes a new high or equals the recent high, but the net flow EMA is significantly below its recent high—specifically less than eighty percent of that high—and is declining compared to its value at the divergence lookback distance. This pattern indicates that while price is pushing higher, the volume support for that movement is deteriorating, which frequently precedes reversals. Bullish divergences work inversely, identifying situations where price makes new lows without corresponding weakness in volume flow, suggesting that selling pressure is exhausted and a reversal higher is probable. These divergence signals are plotted as distinct diamond shapes on the indicator, making them visually prominent for trader attention.
The accumulation and distribution zone detection provides a longer-term context for understanding institutional positioning. The indicator uses the bars-since function to track consecutive periods where the net flow EMA has remained positive or negative. When buying pressure has persisted for at least five consecutive bars, average intensity exceeds zero point six indicating strong closes within bar ranges, and volume is elevated above the threshold, the indicator identifies an accumulation zone. These zones suggest that smart money is systematically building long positions across multiple bars despite potentially choppy or sideways price action. Distribution zones are identified through the inverse criteria, revealing periods when institutions are systematically exiting or building short positions. These zones are visualized through colored fills on the indicator pane, creating a backdrop that helps traders understand the broader volume flow context beyond individual bar signals.
The signal strength scoring system provides a quantitative measure of conviction for each buy or sell signal. Rather than treating all signals as equal, the indicator assigns point values to different signal components: twenty-five points for the buy flow EMA-SMA crossover, twenty-five points for the net flow EMA-SMA crossover, twenty points for high volume presence, fifteen points for positive flow momentum, and fifteen points for bullish divergence presence. These points are summed to create a buy score that can range from zero to one hundred percent, with higher scores indicating that multiple independent confirmation factors are aligned. The same methodology creates a sell score, and these scores are displayed in the information table, allowing traders to quickly assess whether a signal represents a tentative suggestion or a high-conviction setup. This scoring approach transforms the indicator from a binary signal generator into a nuanced probability assessment tool.
The visual presentation of the indicator demonstrates exceptional attention to user experience and information density. The primary display shows the net flow EMA as a thick colored line that transitions between green when above zero and above its SMA, indicating strong buying, to a lighter green when above zero but below the SMA, indicating weakening buying, to red when below zero and below the SMA, indicating strong selling, to a lighter red when below zero but above the SMA, indicating weakening selling. This color gradient provides immediate visual feedback about both direction and momentum of volume flows. The net flow SMA is overlaid in orange as a reference line, and a zero line is drawn to clearly delineate positive from negative territory. Behind these lines, a histogram representation of the raw net flow—scaled down by thirty percent for visibility—shows bar-by-bar flow with color intensity reflecting whether flow is strengthening or weakening compared to the previous bar. This layered visualization allows traders to simultaneously see the raw data, the smoothed trend, and the trend of the trend, accommodating both short-term and longer-term trading perspectives.
The cumulative delta line adds a macro perspective by maintaining a running sum of all volume deltas divided by one million for scale, plotted in purple as a separate series. This cumulative measure acts similar to an on-balance volume calculation but with the sophisticated volume attribution methodology of this indicator, creating a long-term sentiment gauge that can reveal whether an asset is under sustained accumulation or distribution across days, weeks, or months. Divergences between this cumulative delta and price can identify major trend exhaustion or reversal points that might not be visible in the shorter-term flow measurements.
The signal plotting uses shape-based markers rather than background colors or arrows to maximize clarity while preserving chart space. Strong buy signals—meeting multiple criteria including EMA-SMA crossover, high volume, and positive momentum—appear as full-size green triangle-up shapes at the bottom of the indicator pane. Strong sell signals appear as full-size red triangle-down shapes at the top. Regular buy and sell signals that meet fewer criteria appear as smaller, semi-transparent circles, indicating they warrant attention but lack the full confirmation of strong signals. Divergence-based signals appear as distinct diamond shapes in cyan for bullish divergences and orange for bearish divergences, ensuring these critical reversal indicators are immediately recognizable and don't get confused with momentum-based signals. This multi-tiered signal hierarchy helps traders prioritize their analysis and avoid signal overload.
The information table in the top-right corner of the indicator pane provides real-time quantitative feedback on all major calculation components. It displays the current bar's buy volume and sell volume in millions with appropriate color coding, the imbalance percentage with color indicating whether it exceeds the threshold, the average intensity score showing whether closes are generally near highs or lows, the flow momentum value, and the current buy and sell scores. This table transforms the indicator from a purely graphical tool into a quantitative dashboard, allowing discretionary traders to incorporate specific numerical thresholds into their decision frameworks. For example, a trader might require that buy score exceed seventy percent and intensity exceed zero point six-five before taking a long position, creating objective entry criteria from subjective chart reading.
The background shading that occurs during very high volume periods provides an ambient alert system that doesn't require focused attention on the indicator pane. When volume spikes to one point five times the threshold and net flow EMA is positive, a very light green background appears across the entire indicator pane; when volume spikes with negative net flow, a light red background appears. These backgrounds create a subliminal awareness of exceptional market participation moments, ensuring traders notice when the market is making important decisions even if they're focused on price action or other indicators at that moment.
The alert system built into the indicator allows traders to receive notifications for strong buy signals, strong sell signals, bullish divergences, bearish divergences, and very high volume events. These alerts can be configured in TradingView to send push notifications to mobile devices, emails, or webhook calls to automated trading systems. This functionality transforms the indicator from a passive analysis tool into an active monitoring system that can watch markets continuously and notify the trader only when significant volume flow developments occur. For traders monitoring multiple instruments, this alert capability is invaluable for efficient time allocation, allowing them to analyze other opportunities while being instantly notified when this indicator identifies high-probability setups on their watch list.
The coding implementation demonstrates advanced Pine Script techniques including the use of request.security_lower_tf to access intrabar data, array manipulation to process variable-length intrabar arrays, proper variable scoping with var keyword for persistent state management across bars, and efficient conditional logic that prevents unnecessary calculations. The code structure with clearly delineated sections for inputs, calculations, signal generation, plotting, and alerts makes it maintainable and educational for those studying Pine Script development. The use of input groups with custom headers creates an organized settings panel that doesn't overwhelm users with dozens of ungrouped parameters, while still providing substantial customization capability for advanced users who want to optimize the indicator for specific instruments or timeframes.
For practical trading application, this indicator excels in several specific use cases. Scalpers and day traders can use the intrabar analysis to identify accumulation or distribution happening within the bars of their entry timeframe, providing early entry signals before momentum indicators or price patterns complete. Swing traders can use the cumulative delta and accumulation-distribution zones to understand whether short-term pullbacks in an uptrend are being bought or sold, helping distinguish between healthy retracements and trend reversals. Position traders can use the divergence detection to identify major turning points where price extremes are not supported by volume, providing low-risk entry points for counter-trend positions or warnings to exit with-trend positions before significant reversals.
The indicator is particularly valuable in ranging markets where price-based indicators produce numerous false breakout signals. By requiring that breakouts be accompanied by volume flow imbalances, the indicator filters out failed breakouts driven by low participation. When price breaks a range boundary accompanied by a strong buy or sell signal with high buy or sell score and very high volume, the probability of successful breakout follow-through increases dramatically. Conversely, when price breaks a range but the indicator shows low imbalance, opposing flow direction, or low volume, traders can fade the breakout or at minimum avoid chasing it.
During trending markets, the indicator helps traders identify the healthiest entry points by revealing where pullbacks are being accumulated by smart money. A trending market will show the cumulative delta continuing in the trend direction even as price pulls back, and accumulation zones will form during these pullbacks. When price resumes the trend, the indicator will generate strong buy or sell signals with high scores, providing objective entry points with clear invalidation levels. The flow momentum component helps traders stay with trends longer by distinguishing between healthy momentum pauses—where momentum goes to zero but doesn't reverse—and actual momentum reversals where opposing pressure is building.
The VWAP deviation weighting adds particular value for traders of liquid instruments like major forex pairs, stock indices, and high-volume stocks where VWAP is widely watched by institutional participants. When price deviates significantly from the intrabar VWAP and volume flows in the direction of that deviation with elevated weighting, it indicates that the move away from fair value is being driven by conviction rather than mechanical order flow. This suggests the deviation will likely extend further, creating continuation trading opportunities. Conversely, when price deviates from intrabar VWAP but volume flow shows reduced intensity or opposing direction despite the weighting, it suggests the deviation will revert to VWAP, creating mean reversion opportunities.
The ATR normalization option makes the indicator values comparable across different volatility regimes and different instruments. Without normalization, a one-million share buy-sell imbalance might be significant for a low-volatility stock but trivial for a high-volatility cryptocurrency. By normalizing the delta by ATR, the indicator accounts for the typical price movement capacity of the instrument, making signal thresholds and comparison values meaningful across different trading contexts. This is particularly valuable for traders running the indicator on multiple instruments who want consistent signal quality regardless of the underlying instrument characteristics.
The configurable decay factor allows traders to adjust how persistent they want volume flows to remain influential. For very short-term scalping, a lower decay factor like zero point five will cause volume imbalances to dissipate quickly, keeping the indicator focused only on very recent flows. For longer-term position trading, a higher decay factor like zero point nine-five will allow significant volume events to influence the indicator for many bars, revealing longer-term accumulation and distribution patterns. This flexibility makes the single indicator adaptable to trading styles ranging from one-minute scalping to daily chart position trading simply by adjusting the decay parameter and the lookback bars.
The minimum imbalance percentage setting provides crucial noise filtering that can be optimized per instrument. Highly liquid instruments with tight spreads might show numerous small imbalances that are meaningless, requiring a higher threshold like thirty-five or forty percent to filter noise effectively. Thinly traded instruments might rarely show extreme imbalances, requiring a lower threshold like fifteen or twenty percent to generate adequate signals. By making this threshold user-configurable with a wide range, the indicator accommodates the full spectrum of market microstructure characteristics across different instruments and timeframes.
In conclusion, the Intrabar Volume Flow Intelligence indicator represents a comprehensive volume analysis system that combines intrabar data access, sophisticated volume attribution algorithms, multi-timeframe smoothing, statistical filtering, divergence detection, zone identification, and intelligent signal scoring into a cohesive analytical framework. It provides traders with visibility into market dynamics that are invisible to price-only analysis and even to conventional volume analysis, revealing the true intentions of market participants through their actual transaction behavior within each bar. The indicator's strength lies not in any single feature but in the integration of multiple analytical layers that confirm and validate each other, creating high-probability signal generation that can form the foundation of complete trading systems or provide powerful confirmation for discretionary analysis. For traders willing to invest time in understanding its components and optimizing its parameters for their specific instruments and timeframes, this indicator offers a significant informational advantage in increasingly competitive markets where edge is derived from seeing what others miss and acting on that information before it becomes consensus.
[CT] D&W PPO + RBF + DivergenceThis indicator combines two separate ideas into one tool so you can read trend context from your price chart while timing momentum shifts from a clean oscillator panel. The first component is the Daily and Weekly Percentage Price Oscillator (D&W PPO), which measures the relationship between two EMA spreads that are intentionally built to reflect two “speeds” of market structure. The “weekly” leg is calculated as the percentage distance between a slower and faster EMA pair (L1 and L2), and the “daily” leg is calculated as the percentage distance between a shorter EMA pair (L3 and L4), but both are normalized by the same long EMA (e2) so the values behave like a percent-based oscillator rather than raw points. The script then combines those two legs by creating R = W + D, and it plots the histogram as R − W, which simplifies to D. That is not a mistake, it is the point of the design. By setting the baseline at “R equals W,” the zero line becomes a very intuitive threshold that tells you whether the shorter-term push is adding to the longer-term bias or subtracting from it. When the histogram is above zero, the daily component is supportive of the larger trend pressure, and when it is below zero, the daily component is opposing it. The histogram color is intentionally binary and stable, green when the histogram is at or above zero and red when it is below, so the panel reads like a momentum confirmation tool rather than a noisy oscillator that constantly shifts shades.
The second component is the RBF Price Trail, which is drawn on the upper price chart even though the indicator itself lives in a lower panel. This line is not a moving average in the traditional sense. It is a Radial Basis Function kernel smoother that weights recent prices based on their similarity rather than only their recency. In plain terms, the kernel attempts to build a smoother “baseline” that adapts to the shape of price action, and then the script optionally wraps that baseline inside an ATR band and applies a Supertrend-like trailing clamp. When the ATR band is enabled, the line will not simply track the kernel value, it will trail price and hold its position until price forces it to ratchet. This behavior is what makes it useful as a structure-aligned trend line rather than just another smoothing curve. When the adaptive band boost is enabled, the band width is multiplied by a factor that grows when recent price change is large relative to a lookback normalization window. That means the trailing mechanism can adapt to fast markets by changing the effective band behavior, which helps reduce whipsaws in choppy conditions while still allowing the line to respond when volatility expands. The line color is determined by where price closes relative to the trail, bullish when price is above the trail and bearish when price is below it, and you can optionally color your actual chart candles from either the PPO state or the RBF state depending on what you want your eyes to follow.
The settings are organized so you can control each module without changing how the core PPO trend logic behaves. The PPO settings L1, L2, L3, and L4 define the EMA lengths used to compute the weekly leg W and the daily leg D. Increasing these values makes the oscillator slower and smoother, while decreasing them makes it react faster to recent movement. “Show W line” is simply a visual aid, it plots the W line in the oscillator panel so you can see the longer-term component, but it does not change the histogram logic. “Histogram thickness” is purely visual and controls how thick the column bars are. The PPO colors are the two base colors used for the histogram state, green when the daily component is supportive and red when it is opposing.
The RBF settings control what you see on the upper chart. “Show RBF on Price Chart” turns the trail line on or off. “Source” chooses which price series feeds the kernel, and close is usually the cleanest choice. “Kernel Length” determines how many bars the kernel uses; a larger value makes the baseline smoother and slower, and a smaller value makes it more reactive. “Gamma Adj” controls how quickly the kernel’s weights decay as price becomes dissimilar, so higher gamma tends to make the kernel react more sharply to changes while lower gamma produces a broader smoothing effect. “Use ATR Trail Band” is the switch that turns the kernel baseline into a trailing band line, and it is the reason the line can “hold” and then ratchet instead of moving continuously like a normal moving average. “ATR Length” and “ATR Factor” control the width of that band, and widening the band will generally reduce flips and noise at the cost of later signals. “Use Adaptive Band Boost” turns on the volatility normalization idea, “Boost Normalization Lookback” defines how far back the script looks to determine what counts as a large price change, and “Boost Multiplier” controls how strongly the band behavior is adjusted during those periods. The line width and bull/bear colors are visual controls only.
Price bar coloring is intentionally handled with a single selector so you do not end up with two modules fighting to color candles differently. If you choose “Off,” nothing on the main chart is recolored. If you choose “PPO,” your price candles reflect whether the PPO histogram is above or below zero. If you choose “RBF,” your price candles reflect whether price is above or below the RBF trail. Most traders will pick one and stick with it so the chart communicates a single bias at a glance.
The divergence module is optional and is designed to be a confirmation layer rather than a primary trigger. When enabled, it can mark regular divergence and hidden divergence, and it lets you decide what the pivots should be based on. The divergence source can be the PPO histogram or the R line, depending on whether you want divergence measured on the cleaner momentum component or on the combined series. “Key off pivots” determines whether pivot detection is driven by oscillator pivots or by price pivots. If you choose oscillator pivots, divergence anchors are found where the oscillator makes pivot highs or lows and those are compared against price at the same points. If you choose price pivots, the pivots are taken from price first and the oscillator value at those pivot bars is used for the comparison, which can feel more intuitive when you want divergence to respect obvious swing structure on the chart. Pivot Left and Pivot Right control how strict the swing definition is, larger values create fewer but more meaningful pivots and smaller values create more frequent signals. “Mark on Price Chart” adds tiny markers on the candles at the pivot location so you can see where the divergence event was confirmed, while the oscillator panel uses lines and labels to make the divergence relationship obvious.
For trading, the cleanest way to use this tool is to separate “bias” from “timing.” The RBF Price Trail is your bias filter because it is structure-like and tends to hold and ratchet rather than constantly drifting. When price is closing above the trail and the trail is colored bullish, you treat the market as long-biased and you focus on long setups, pullbacks, and continuation entries. When price is closing below the trail and the trail is bearish, you treat the market as short-biased and you focus on short setups, rallies, and continuation shorts. The PPO histogram is then your timing and pressure confirmation. In an up-bias, the highest quality continuation conditions are when the histogram is above zero and stays above zero through pullbacks, because that means the shorter-term pressure is still supporting the longer-term drift. When the histogram dips below zero during an up-bias, it is a warning that the daily component is now opposing, which often corresponds to a deeper pullback, a rotation, or a period of consolidation, so you either wait for the histogram to recover above zero or you tighten expectations and manage risk more aggressively. In a down-bias, the mirror logic applies: the best continuation conditions are when the histogram is below zero, and pushes above zero tend to represent countertrend rotations or pauses inside the bearish condition.
Divergence is best used as an early warning and a location filter, not as a standalone entry button. Regular bullish divergence, where price makes a lower low but the oscillator makes a higher low, can signal bearish pressure is weakening and is most useful when it appears while price is below the RBF trail but failing to continue downward, because it often precedes a reclaim of the trail or at least a meaningful rotation. Regular bearish divergence, where price makes a higher high but the oscillator makes a lower high, can signal bullish pressure is weakening and is most useful when it appears while price is above the trail but extension is failing, because it often precedes a drop back to the trail or a full flip. Hidden divergence is a continuation concept. Hidden bullish divergence, where price makes a higher low while the oscillator makes a lower low, often shows up during pullbacks in an uptrend and can help you confirm continuation as long as the RBF bias remains bullish. Hidden bearish divergence, where price makes a lower high while the oscillator makes a higher high, often shows up during rallies in a downtrend and can help you confirm continuation as long as the RBF bias remains bearish. In practice, you’ll get the best results when you only act on divergence that aligns with the RBF bias for hidden divergence continuation, and you treat regular divergence as a caution or reversal setup only when it occurs near a meaningful swing and is followed by a bias change or a strong momentum shift on the PPO.
The most practical workflow is to keep the RBF trail visible on the price chart as your regime guide, keep the PPO histogram as your momentum confirmation, and decide in advance whether you want candle coloring to represent the PPO state or the RBF state so your eyes are not reading two different meanings at once. if you want the cleanest “trend-following” behavior, color candles by the RBF trail and use the PPO histogram as the timing trigger. If you want the cleanest “momentum-first” behavior, color candles by PPO and treat the RBF trail as the higher-level filter for whether you should press a move or fade it.
Digital MACD Divergences MTF [LUPEN]Digital MACD Divergences MTF V1.0
Overview:
Digital MACD Divergences MTF is an advanced momentum oscillator based on digital signal processing techniques.
Instead of relying on traditional moving-average smoothing, it applies Finite Impulse Response (FIR) digital filters to extract momentum more cleanly, reducing lag and short-term market noise.
The indicator is designed to provide a clear visualization of momentum structure, divergence behavior, and multi-timeframe context, rather than discrete trading signals.
Conceptual Architecture
At its core, the indicator reinterprets the classic MACD framework through digital convolution logic:
FIR filters are used to compute momentum in a more responsive and stable manner than standard EMA-based MACD.
The resulting histogram represents momentum intensity and direction as a continuous state rather than binary conditions.
A digitally smoothed signal line provides structural reference without introducing excessive delay.
This approach emphasizes momentum quality and structure, not signal frequency.
Divergence Detection Logic:
The script includes automatic divergence detection based on pivot analysis:
Regular bullish and bearish divergences are identified using confirmed pivot points.
Divergences are visualized with explicit line structures and optional filled areas, highlighting the zone of disagreement between price behavior and momentum.
The visualization is designed to remain readable without obscuring price action.
Divergences are presented as contextual information, not as mandatory actions.
Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Context
Digital MACD Divergences MTF supports native multi-timeframe analysis through a dual-pane workflow:
A lower-timeframe instance visualizes local momentum dynamics.
A higher-timeframe instance visualizes the broader momentum regime within which lower-timeframe fluctuations occur.
The higher-timeframe view is not intended as confirmation or filtering logic, but as a contextual background layer that helps interpret short-term momentum behavior inside a larger structural environment.
This separation avoids decision compression and keeps each timeframe’s role conceptually distinct.
Visual Design
Gradient-based histogram fills represent momentum intensity in a continuous manner.
Positive and negative momentum regions are clearly differentiated while remaining adaptable to both dark and light chart themes.
All visual elements are designed to emphasize state and regime, not discrete events.
Reliability
No repainting: all divergences and momentum states are confirmed on candle close and remain fixed.
Designed for consistency across instruments and timeframes.
Customization Options
Timeframe selection for MTF mode (leave empty to use the chart’s timeframe).
Adjustable signal smoothing parameters.
Divergence visibility controls, pivot sensitivity, and optional divergence fill.
Fully customizable color palette.
Usage Notes
This indicator is a visual market analysis tool intended to support momentum interpretation and structural context.
It does not provide investment advice, trading signals, or automated decision logic, and should be used as part of a broader analytical framework.
Final quotes:
"Trading is not about prediction, but about understanding momentum structure.
Digital MACD removes noise to make that structure visible."
BTC - CII: Drawdown DNA | RMBTC - CII: Drawdown DNA | Rob_Maths
The "Broken Cycle" Series: Pt 1
Welcome to the debut of the Cycle Integrity Index (CII) . This quantitative diagnostic suite was engineered for a singular mission: to determine if Bitcoin’s historical 4-year cycle is still the primary track rhythm, or if the market has shifted into a high-downforce Institutional Regime.
As of January 2026 , the Bitcoin market is at a historical crossroads. According to the classical 4-year model, we have passed the "Theoretical Peak" and are now on the long descent toward a projected cycle low in late 2026 . However, a massive debate is raging: Is the cycle broken?
While legacy models expect a total engine failure (an -80% wipeout) by the end of this year, the ETF-era market structure suggests we may have "re-engineered" the asset's DNA. Pt 1: Drawdown DNA acts as our first telemetry check, auditing the "Structural Fatigue" of every correction to see if we are taking a tactical pit stop or heading for a catastrophic crash.
How to Read the Telemetry
Think of the Bitcoin market as a Formula 1 engine. This indicator audits the "Wear and Tear" (drawdowns) to see if the chassis can sustain its pace or if the structural integrity is failing as we approach the legacy "finish line."
• Vibrant Green (Institutional Sync): Optimal Performance. The engine is healthy. Pullbacks are shallow (-20% to -35% range), representing professional re-fueling stops by smart money. This suggests the "Supercycle" narrative is overriding the 4-year clock.
• Red/Dark Blue (Regime Decay): Loss of Traction. The "Institutional" heartbeat is weakening. Volatility is rising as the engine stalls, drifting back toward the chaotic, un-buffered "Drift" patterns of the retail era.
• Blue Shaded Zones (Legacy DNA): SYSTEMIC CRASH. The price has breached the -50% "G-Force Threshold." At this depth, the correction carries the genetic makeup of a Legacy Bear Market (historically bottoming near -80%). The 4-year cycle is still very much alive—and it's painful.
Behind the Math: ECU Tuning
This script is an original quantitative work utilizing Gaussian Probability Density logic to categorize market drawdowns into distinct historical regimes.
Instead of simple binary "on/off" logic, the code acts like an ECU (Electronic Control Unit) , calculating the mathematical "fit" of the current drawdown against a specific Institutional Mean (-25%) . Why 25%? I chose -25% as the Institutional DNA anchor based on the structural shift observed between 2023 and 2025. While legacy retail cycles were defined by violent 30-40% "shakeouts" during bull phases, the introduction of spot ETFs and corporate treasury adoption has significantly compressed volatility. A -25% correction now represents the maximum "healthy" absorption of sell-side liquidity by institutional "bids." Staying near this level maintains high aerodynamic sync; dropping further suggests the chassis is failing.
How it Audits the Regime
The closer the price stays to this -25% target, the higher the Integrity Score (10/10). By providing unique "DNA Match" calculations and background shading based on specific threshold crossings, this indicator provides utility beyond standard price-change indicators. It allows you to mathematically distinguish between an "Institutional Rebalancing" and the start of a "Legacy Cycle-Ending Termination."
User Inputs & Navigation
• Rolling High Lookback: Default 52 Weeks . Defines our diagnostic lap. It ensures the audit focuses on the current race, not the entire history of the track.
• Inst. Drawdown Target: Default -25% . The "Perfect Pit Stop." Corrections near this level maintain the highest aerodynamic sync.
• Legacy Threshold: Default -50% . The "Point of No Return" where the engine enters total failure and the Blue Legacy Shading triggers.
• Legacy Crash Target: Default -80% . The historical baseline for previous 4-year cycle bear market floors (Expected mid-to-late 2026 in legacy models).
Instructions & Performance
• Preferred Timeframe: This is a macro-telemetry tool. It performs best on Weekly (1W) or Daily (1D) charts.
• The Dashboard: Monitor the INST. DNA MATCH in the table. A score of 8.0+ / 10 provides the "Green Light" that the Supercycle is still the primary driver, effectively breaking the 4-year "Crash" script.
Disclaimer
Trading and investing in digital assets involve significant risk. The Cycle Integrity Index (CII) is a quantitative tool for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is not financial advice. Your capital is at risk.
Tags
robmaths, Rob Maths, Bitcoin, CycleTheory, Institutional, Drawdown, Quant, RegimeShift, CII
Check out my published scripts here: de.tradingview.com
Quantum Reversal Detector [JOAT]
Quantum Reversal Detector - Multi-Factor Reversal Probability Analysis
Introduction and Purpose
Quantum Reversal Detector is an open-source overlay indicator that combines multiple reversal detection methods into a unified probability-based framework. The core problem this indicator addresses is the unreliability of single-factor reversal signals. A price touching support means nothing without momentum confirmation; an RSI oversold reading means nothing without price structure context.
This indicator solves that by requiring multiple independent factors to align before generating reversal signals, then expressing the result as a probability score rather than a binary signal.
Why These Components Work Together
The indicator combines five analytical approaches, each addressing a different aspect of reversal detection:
1. RSI Extremes - Identifies momentum exhaustion (overbought/oversold)
2. MACD Crossovers - Confirms momentum direction change
3. Support/Resistance Proximity - Ensures price is at a significant level
4. Multi-Depth Momentum - Analyzes momentum across multiple timeframes
5. Statistical Probability - Quantifies reversal likelihood using Bayesian updating
These components are not randomly combined. Each filter catches reversals that others miss:
RSI catches momentum exhaustion but misses structural reversals
MACD catches momentum shifts but lags price action
S/R proximity catches structural levels but ignores momentum
Multi-depth momentum catches divergences across timeframes
Probability scoring combines all factors into actionable confidence levels
How the Detection System Works
Step 1: Pattern Detection
The indicator first identifies potential reversal conditions:
// Check if price is at support/resistance
float lowestLow = ta.lowest(low, period)
float highestHigh = ta.highest(high, period)
bool atSupport = low <= lowestLow * 1.002
bool atResistance = high >= highestHigh * 0.998
// Check RSI conditions
float rsi = ta.rsi(close, 14)
bool oversold = rsi < 30
bool overbought = rsi > 70
// Check MACD crossover
float macd = ta.ema(close, 12) - ta.ema(close, 26)
float signal = ta.ema(macd, 9)
bool macdBullish = ta.crossover(macd, signal)
bool macdBearish = ta.crossunder(macd, signal)
// Combine for reversal detection
if atSupport and oversold and macdBullish
bullishReversal := true
Step 2: Multi-Depth Momentum Analysis
The indicator calculates momentum across multiple periods to detect divergences:
calculateQuantumMomentum(series float price, simple int period, simple int depth) =>
float totalMomentum = 0.0
for i = 0 to depth - 1
int currentPeriod = period * (i + 1)
float momentum = ta.roc(price, currentPeriod)
totalMomentum += momentum
totalMomentum / depth
This creates a composite momentum reading that smooths out noise while preserving genuine momentum shifts.
Step 3: Bayesian Probability Calculation
The indicator uses Bayesian updating to calculate reversal probability:
bayesianProbability(series float priorProb, series float likelihood, series float evidence) =>
float posterior = evidence > 0 ? (likelihood * priorProb) / evidence : priorProb
math.min(math.max(posterior, 0.0), 1.0)
The prior probability starts at 50% and updates based on:
RSI extreme readings increase likelihood
MACD crossovers increase likelihood
S/R proximity increases likelihood
Momentum divergence increases likelihood
Step 4: Confidence Intervals
Using Monte Carlo simulation concepts, the indicator estimates price distribution:
monteCarloSimulation(series float price, series float volatility, simple int iterations) =>
float sumPrice = 0.0
float sumSqDiff = 0.0
for i = 0 to iterations - 1
float randomFactor = (i % 10 - 5) / 10.0
float simulatedPrice = price + volatility * randomFactor
sumPrice += simulatedPrice
float avgPrice = sumPrice / iterations
// Calculate standard deviation for confidence intervals
This provides 95% and 99% confidence bands around the current price.
Signal Classification
Signals are classified by confirmation level:
Confirmed Reversal : Pattern detected for N consecutive bars (default 3)
High Probability : Confirmed + Bayesian probability > 70%
Ultra High Probability : High probability + PDF above average
Dashboard Information
The dashboard displays:
Bayesian Probability - Updated reversal probability (0-100%)
Quantum Momentum - Multi-depth momentum average
RSI - Current RSI value with overbought/oversold status
Volatility - Current ATR as percentage of price
Reversal Signal - BULLISH, BEARISH, or NONE
Divergence - Momentum divergence detection
MACD - Current MACD histogram value
S/R Zone - AT SUPPORT, AT RESISTANCE, or NEUTRAL
95% Confidence - Price range with 95% probability
Bull/Bear Targets - ATR-based reversal targets
Visual Elements
Quantum Bands - ATR-based upper and lower channels
Probability Field - Circle layers showing probability distribution
Confidence Bands - 95% and 99% confidence interval circles
Reversal Labels - REV markers at confirmed reversals
High Probability Markers - Star diamonds at high probability setups
Reversal Zones - Boxes around confirmed reversal areas
Divergence Markers - Triangles at momentum divergences
How to Use This Indicator
For Reversal Trading:
1. Wait for Bayesian Probability to exceed 70%
2. Confirm price is at S/R zone (dashboard shows AT SUPPORT or AT RESISTANCE)
3. Check that RSI is in extreme territory (oversold for longs, overbought for shorts)
4. Enter when REV label appears with high probability marker
For Risk Management:
1. Use the 95% confidence band as a stop-loss reference
2. Use Bull/Bear Targets for take-profit levels
3. Higher probability readings warrant larger position sizes
For Filtering False Signals:
1. Increase Confirmation Bars to require more consecutive signals
2. Only trade when probability exceeds 70%
3. Require divergence confirmation for highest conviction
Input Parameters
Reversal Period (21) - Lookback for S/R and momentum calculations
Quantum Depth (5) - Number of momentum layers for multi-depth analysis
Confirmation Bars (3) - Consecutive bars required for confirmation
Detection Sensitivity (1.2) - Band width and target multiplier
Bayesian Probability (true) - Enable probability calculation
Monte Carlo Simulation (true) - Enable confidence interval calculation
Normal Distribution (true) - Enable PDF calculation
Confidence Intervals (true) - Enable confidence bands
Timeframe Recommendations
1H-4H: Best for swing trading reversals
Daily: Fewer but more significant reversal signals
15m-30m: More signals, requires higher probability threshold
Limitations
Statistical concepts are simplified implementations for Pine Script
Monte Carlo uses deterministic pseudo-random factors, not true randomness
Bayesian probability uses simplified prior/likelihood model
Reversal detection does not guarantee actual reversals will occur
Confirmation bars add lag to signal generation
Open-Source and Disclaimer
This script is published as open-source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 for educational purposes. The source code is fully visible and can be studied to understand how each component works.
This indicator does not constitute financial advice. Reversal detection is probabilistic, not predictive. The probability scores represent statistical likelihood based on historical patterns, not guaranteed outcomes. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management, position sizing, and stop-losses.
- Made with passion by officialjackofalltrades
Adaptive Trend Envelope [BackQuant]Adaptive Trend Envelope
Overview
Adaptive Trend Envelope is a volatility-aware trend-following overlay designed to stay responsive in fast markets while remaining stable during slower conditions. It builds a dynamic trend spine from two exponential moving averages and surrounds it with an adaptive envelope whose width expands and contracts based on realized return volatility. The result is a clean, self-adjusting trend structure that reacts to market conditions instead of relying on fixed parameters.
This indicator is built to answer three core questions directly on the chart:
Is the market trending or neutral?
If trending, in which direction is the dominant pressure?
Where is the dynamic trend boundary that price should respect?
Core trend spine
At the heart of the indicator is a blended trend spine:
A fast EMA captures short-term responsiveness.
A slow EMA captures structural direction.
A volatility-based blend weight dynamically shifts influence between the two.
When short-term volatility is low relative to long-term volatility, the fast EMA has more influence, keeping the trend responsive. When volatility rises, the blend shifts toward the slow EMA, reducing noise and preventing overreaction. This blended output is then smoothed again to form the final trend spine, which acts as the structural backbone of the system.
Volatility-adaptive envelope
The envelope surrounding the trend spine is not based on ATR or fixed percentages. Instead, it is derived from:
Log returns of price.
An exponentially weighted variance estimate.
A configurable multiplier that scales envelope width.
This creates bands that automatically widen during volatile expansions and tighten during compression. The envelope therefore reflects the true statistical behavior of price rather than an arbitrary distance.
Inner hysteresis band
Inside the main envelope, an inner band is constructed using a hysteresis fraction. This inner zone is used to stabilize regime transitions:
It prevents rapid flipping between bullish and bearish states.
It allows trends to persist unless price meaningfully invalidates them.
It reduces whipsaws in sideways conditions.
Trend regime logic
The indicator operates with three regime states:
Bullish
Bearish
Neutral
Regime changes are confirmed using a configurable number of bars outside the adaptive envelope:
A bullish regime is confirmed when price closes above the upper envelope for the required number of bars.
A bearish regime is confirmed when price closes below the lower envelope for the required number of bars.
A trend exits back to neutral when price reverts through the trend spine.
This structure ensures that trends are confirmed by sustained pressure rather than single-bar spikes.
Active trend line
Once a regime is active, the indicator plots a single dominant trend line:
In a bullish regime, the lower envelope becomes the active trend support.
In a bearish regime, the upper envelope becomes the active trend resistance.
In neutral conditions, price itself is used as a placeholder.
This creates a simple, actionable visual reference for trend-following decisions.
Directional energy visualization
The indicator uses layered fills to visualize directional pressure:
Bullish energy fills appear when price holds above the active trend line.
Bearish energy fills appear when price holds below the active trend line.
Opacity gradients communicate strength and persistence rather than binary states.
A subtle “rim” effect is added using ATR-based offsets to give depth and reinforce the active side of the trend without cluttering the chart.
Signals and trend starts
Discrete signals are generated only when a new trend regime begins:
Buy signals appear at the first confirmed transition into a bullish regime.
Sell signals appear at the first confirmed transition into a bearish regime.
Signals are intentionally sparse. They are designed to mark regime shifts, not every pullback or continuation, making them suitable for higher-quality trend entries rather than frequent trading.
Candle coloring
Optional candle coloring reinforces regime context:
Bullish regimes tint candles toward the bullish color.
Bearish regimes tint candles toward the bearish color.
Neutral states remain visually muted.
This allows the chart to communicate trend state even when the envelope itself is partially hidden or de-emphasized.
Alerts
Built-in alerts are provided for key trend events:
Bull trend start.
Bear trend start.
Transition from trend to neutral.
Price crossing the trend spine.
These alerts support hands-off trend monitoring across multiple instruments and timeframes.
How to use it for trend following
Trend identification
Only trade in the direction of the active regime.
Ignore counter-trend signals during confirmed trends.
Entry alignment
Use the first regime signal as a structural entry.
Use pullbacks toward the active trend line as continuation opportunities.
Trend management
As long as price respects the active envelope boundary, the trend remains valid.
A move back through the spine signals loss of trend structure.
Market filtering
Periods where the indicator remains neutral highlight non-trending environments.
This helps avoid forcing trades during chop or compression.
Adaptive Trend Envelope is designed to behave like a living trend structure. Instead of forcing price into static rules, it adapts to volatility, confirms direction through sustained pressure, and presents trend information in a clean, readable form that supports disciplined trend-following workflows.
DeeptestDeeptest: Quantitative Backtesting Library for Pine Script
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█ OVERVIEW
Deeptest is a Pine Script library that provides quantitative analysis tools for strategy backtesting. It calculates over 100 statistical metrics including risk-adjusted return ratios (Sharpe, Sortino, Calmar), drawdown analysis, Value at Risk (VaR), Conditional VaR, and performs Monte Carlo simulation and Walk-Forward Analysis.
█ WHY THIS LIBRARY MATTERS
Pine Script is a simple yet effective coding language for algorithmic and quantitative trading. Its accessibility enables traders to quickly prototype and test ideas directly within TradingView. However, the built-in strategy tester provides only basic metrics (net profit, win rate, drawdown), which is often insufficient for serious strategy evaluation.
Due to this limitation, many traders migrate to alternative backtesting platforms that offer comprehensive analytics. These platforms require other language programming knowledge, environment setup, and significant time investment—often just to test a simple trading idea.
Deeptest bridges this gap by bringing institutional-level quantitative analytics directly to Pine Script. Traders can now perform sophisticated analysis without leaving TradingView or learning complex external platforms. All calculations are derived from strategy.closedtrades.* , ensuring compatibility with any existing Pine Script strategy.
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█ ORIGINALITY AND USEFULNESS
This library is original work that adds value to the TradingView community in the following ways:
1. Comprehensive Metric Suite: Implements 112+ statistical calculations in a single library, including advanced metrics not available in TradingView's built-in tester (p-value, Z-score, Skewness, Kurtosis, Risk of Ruin).
2. Monte Carlo Simulation: Implements trade-sequence randomization to stress-test strategy robustness by simulating 1000+ alternative equity curves.
3. Walk-Forward Analysis: Divides historical data into rolling in-sample and out-of-sample windows to detect overfitting by comparing training vs. testing performance.
4. Rolling Window Statistics: Calculates time-varying Sharpe, Sortino, and Expectancy to analyze metric consistency throughout the backtest period.
5. Interactive Table Display: Renders professional-grade tables with color-coded thresholds, tooltips explaining each metric, and period analysis cards for drawdowns/trades.
6. Benchmark Comparison: Automatically fetches S&P 500 data to calculate Alpha, Beta, and R-squared, enabling objective assessment of strategy skill vs. passive investing.
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█ KEY FEATURES
Performance Metrics
Net Profit, CAGR, Monthly Return, Expectancy
Profit Factor, Payoff Ratio, Sample Size
Compounding Effect Analysis
Risk Metrics
Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, Calmar Ratio (MAR)
Martin Ratio, Ulcer Index
Max Drawdown, Average Drawdown, Drawdown Duration
Risk of Ruin, R-squared (equity curve linearity)
Statistical Distribution
Value at Risk (VaR 95%), Conditional VaR
Skewness (return asymmetry)
Kurtosis (tail fatness)
Z-Score, p-value (statistical significance testing)
Trade Analysis
Win Rate, Breakeven Rate, Loss Rate
Average Trade Duration, Time in Market
Consecutive Win/Loss Streaks with Expected values
Top/Worst Trades with R-multiple tracking
Advanced Analytics
Monte Carlo Simulation (1000+ iterations)
Walk-Forward Analysis (rolling windows)
Rolling Statistics (time-varying metrics)
Out-of-Sample Testing
Benchmark Comparison
Alpha (excess return vs. benchmark)
Beta (systematic risk correlation)
Buy & Hold comparison
R-squared vs. benchmark
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█ QUICK START
Basic Usage
//@version=6
strategy("My Strategy", overlay=true)
// Import the library
import Fractalyst/Deeptest/1 as *
// Your strategy logic
fastMA = ta.sma(close, 10)
slowMA = ta.sma(close, 30)
if ta.crossover(fastMA, slowMA)
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)
if ta.crossunder(fastMA, slowMA)
strategy.close("Long")
// Run the analysis
DT.runDeeptest()
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█ METRIC EXPLANATIONS
The Deeptest table displays 23 metrics across the main row, with 23 additional metrics in the complementary row. Each metric includes detailed tooltips accessible by hovering over the value.
Main Row — Performance Metrics (Columns 0-6)
Net Profit — (Final Equity - Initial Capital) / Initial Capital × 100
— >20%: Excellent, >0%: Profitable, <0%: Loss
— Total return percentage over entire backtest period
Payoff Ratio — Average Win / Average Loss
— >1.5: Excellent, >1.0: Good, <1.0: Losses exceed wins
— Average winning trade size relative to average losing trade. Breakeven win rate = 100% / (1 + Payoff)
Sample Size — Count of closed trades
— >=30: Statistically valid, <30: Insufficient data
— Number of completed trades. Includes 95% confidence interval for win rate in tooltip
Profit Factor — Gross Profit / Gross Loss
— >=1.5: Excellent, >1.0: Profitable, <1.0: Losing
— Ratio of total winnings to total losses. Uses absolute values unlike payoff ratio
CAGR — (Final / Initial)^(365.25 / Days) - 1
— >=10%: Excellent, >0%: Positive growth
— Compound Annual Growth Rate - annualized return accounting for compounding
Expectancy — Sum of all returns / Trade count
— >0.20%: Excellent, >0%: Positive edge
— Average return per trade as percentage. Positive expectancy indicates profitable edge
Monthly Return — Net Profit / (Months in test)
— >0%: Profitable month average
— Average monthly return. Geometric monthly also shown in tooltip
Main Row — Trade Statistics (Columns 7-14)
Avg Duration — Average time in position per trade
— Mean holding period from entry to exit. Influenced by timeframe and trading style
Max CW — Longest consecutive winning streak
— Maximum consecutive wins. Expected value = ln(trades) / ln(1/winRate)
Max CL — Longest consecutive losing streak
— Maximum consecutive losses. Important for psychological risk tolerance
Win Rate — Wins / Total Trades
— Higher is better
— Percentage of profitable trades. Breakeven win rate shown in tooltip
BE Rate — Breakeven Trades / Total Trades
— Lower is better
— Percentage of trades that broke even (neither profit nor loss)
Loss Rate — Losses / Total Trades
— Lower is better
— Percentage of unprofitable trades. Together with win rate and BE rate, sums to 100%
Frequency — Trades per month
— Trading activity level. Displays intelligently (e.g., "12/mo", "1.5/wk", "3/day")
Exposure — Time in market / Total time × 100
— Lower = less risk
— Percentage of time the strategy had open positions
Main Row — Risk Metrics (Columns 15-22)
Sharpe Ratio — (Return - Rf) / StdDev × sqrt(Periods)
— >=3: Excellent, >=2: Good, >=1: Fair, <1: Poor
— Measures risk-adjusted return using total volatility. Annualized using sqrt(252) for daily
Sortino Ratio — (Return - Rf) / DownsideDev × sqrt(Periods)
— >=2: Excellent, >=1: Good, <1: Needs improvement
— Similar to Sharpe but only penalizes downside volatility. Can be higher than Sharpe
Max DD — (Peak - Trough) / Peak × 100
— <5%: Excellent, 5-15%: Moderate, 15-30%: High, >30%: Severe
— Largest peak-to-trough decline in equity. Critical for risk tolerance and position sizing
RoR — Risk of Ruin probability
— <1%: Excellent, 1-5%: Acceptable, 5-10%: Elevated, >10%: Dangerous
— Probability of losing entire trading account based on win rate and payoff ratio
R² — R-squared of equity curve vs. time
— >=0.95: Excellent, 0.90-0.95: Good, 0.80-0.90: Moderate, <0.80: Erratic
— Coefficient of determination measuring linearity of equity growth
MAR — CAGR / |Max Drawdown|
— Higher is better, negative = bad
— Calmar Ratio. Reward relative to worst-case loss. Negative if max DD exceeds CAGR
CVaR — Average of returns below VaR threshold
— Lower absolute is better
— Conditional Value at Risk (Expected Shortfall). Average loss in worst 5% of outcomes
p-value — Binomial test probability
— <0.05: Significant, 0.05-0.10: Marginal, >0.10: Likely random
— Probability that observed results are due to chance. Low p-value means statistically significant edge
Complementary Row — Extended Metrics
Compounding — (Compounded Return / Total Return) × 100
— Percentage of total profit attributable to compounding (position sizing)
Avg Win — Sum of wins / Win count
— Average profitable trade return in percentage
Avg Trade — Sum of all returns / Total trades
— Same as Expectancy (Column 5). Displayed here for convenience
Avg Loss — Sum of losses / Loss count
— Average unprofitable trade return in percentage (negative value)
Martin Ratio — CAGR / Ulcer Index
— Similar to Calmar but uses Ulcer Index instead of Max DD
Rolling Expectancy — Mean of rolling window expectancies
— Average expectancy calculated across rolling windows. Shows consistency of edge
Avg W Dur — Avg duration of winning trades
— Average time from entry to exit for winning trades only
Max Eq — Highest equity value reached
— Peak equity achieved during backtest
Min Eq — Lowest equity value reached
— Trough equity point. Important for understanding worst-case absolute loss
Buy & Hold — (Close_last / Close_first - 1) × 100
— >0%: Passive profit
— Return of simply buying and holding the asset from backtest start to end
Alpha — Strategy CAGR - Benchmark CAGR
— >0: Has skill (beats benchmark)
— Excess return above passive benchmark. Positive alpha indicates genuine value-added skill
Beta — Covariance(Strategy, Benchmark) / Variance(Benchmark)
— <1: Less volatile than market, >1: More volatile
— Systematic risk correlation with benchmark
Avg L Dur — Avg duration of losing trades
— Average time from entry to exit for losing trades only
Rolling Sharpe/Sortino — Dynamic based on win rate
— >2: Good consistency
— Rolling metric across sliding windows. Shows Sharpe if win rate >50%, Sortino if <=50%
Curr DD — Current drawdown from peak
— Lower is better
— Present drawdown percentage. Zero means at new equity high
DAR — CAGR adjusted for target DD
— Higher is better
— Drawdown-Adjusted Return. DAR^5 = CAGR if max DD = 5%
Kurtosis — Fourth moment / StdDev^4 - 3
— ~0: Normal, >0: Fat tails, <0: Thin tails
— Measures "tailedness" of return distribution (excess kurtosis)
Skewness — Third moment / StdDev^3
— >0: Positive skew (big wins), <0: Negative skew (big losses)
— Return distribution asymmetry
VaR — 5th percentile of returns
— Lower absolute is better
— Value at Risk at 95% confidence. Maximum expected loss in worst 5% of outcomes
Ulcer — sqrt(mean(drawdown^2))
— Lower is better
— Ulcer Index - root mean square of drawdowns. Penalizes both depth AND duration
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█ MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
Purpose
Monte Carlo simulation tests strategy robustness by randomizing the order of trades while keeping trade returns unchanged. This simulates alternative equity curves to assess outcome variability.
Method
Extract all historical trade returns
Randomly shuffle the sequence (1000+ iterations)
Calculate cumulative equity for each shuffle
Build distribution of final outcomes
Output
The stress test table shows:
Median Outcome: 50th percentile result
5th Percentile: Worst 5% of outcomes
95th Percentile: Best 95% of outcomes
Success Rate: Percentage of simulations that were profitable
Interpretation
If 95% of simulations are profitable: Strategy is robust
If median is far from actual result: High variance/unreliability
If 5th percentile shows large loss: High tail risk
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█ WALK-FORWARD ANALYSIS
Purpose
Walk-Forward Analysis (WFA) is the gold standard for detecting strategy overfitting. It simulates real-world trading by dividing historical data into rolling "training" (in-sample) and "validation" (out-of-sample) periods. A strategy that performs well on unseen data is more likely to succeed in live trading.
Method
The implementation uses a non-overlapping window approach following AmiBroker's gold standard methodology:
Segment Calculation: Total trades divided into N windows (default: 12), IS = ~75%, OOS = ~25%, Step = OOS length
Window Structure: Each window has IS (training) followed by OOS (validation). Each OOS becomes the next window's IS (rolling forward)
Metrics Calculated: CAGR, Sharpe, Sortino, MaxDD, Win Rate, Expectancy, Profit Factor, Payoff
Aggregation: IS metrics averaged across all IS periods, OOS metrics averaged across all OOS periods
Output
IS CAGR: In-sample annualized return
OOS CAGR: Out-of-sample annualized return ( THE key metric )
IS/OOS Sharpe: In/out-of-sample risk-adjusted return
Success Rate: % of OOS windows that were profitable
Interpretation
Robust: IS/OOS CAGR gap <20%, OOS Success Rate >80%
Some Overfitting: CAGR gap 20-50%, Success Rate 50-80%
Severe Overfitting: CAGR gap >50%, Success Rate <50%
Key Principles:
OOS is what matters — Only OOS predicts live performance
Consistency > Magnitude — 10% IS / 9% OOS beats 30% IS / 5% OOS
Window count — More windows = more reliable validation
Non-overlapping OOS — Prevents data leakage
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█ TABLE DISPLAY
Main Table — Organized into three sections:
Performance Metrics (Cols 0-6): Net Profit, Payoff, Sample Size, Profit Factor, CAGR, Expectancy, Monthly
Trade Statistics (Cols 7-14): Avg Duration, Max CW, Max CL, Win, BE, Loss, Frequency, Exposure
Risk Metrics (Cols 15-22): Sharpe, Sortino, Max DD, RoR, R², MAR, CVaR, p-value
Color Coding
🟢 Green: Excellent performance
🟠 Orange: Acceptable performance
⚪ Gray: Neutral / Fair
🔴 Red: Poor performance
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█ IMPLEMENTATION NOTES
Data Source: All metrics calculated from strategy.closedtrades , ensuring compatibility with any Pine Script strategy
Calculation Timing: All calculations occur on barstate.islastconfirmedhistory to optimize performance
Limitations: Requires at least 1 closed trade for basic metrics, 30+ trades for reliable statistical analysis
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█ QUICK NOTES
➙ This library has been developed and refined over two years of real-world strategy testing. Every calculation has been validated against industry-standard quantitative finance references.
➙ The entire codebase is thoroughly documented inline. If you are curious about how a metric is calculated or want to understand the implementation details, dive into the source code -- it is written to be read and learned from.
➙ This description focuses on usage and concepts rather than exhaustively listing every exported type and function. The library source code is thoroughly documented inline -- explore it to understand implementation details and internal logic.
➙ All calculations execute on barstate.islastconfirmedhistory to minimize runtime overhead. The library is designed for efficiency without sacrificing accuracy.
➙ Beyond analysis, this library serves as a learning resource. Study the source code to understand quantitative finance concepts, Pine Script advanced techniques, and proper statistical methodology.
➙ Metrics are their own not binary good/bad indicators. A high Sharpe ratio with low sample size is misleading. A deep drawdown during a market crash may be acceptable. Study each function and metric individually -- evaluate your strategy contextually, not by threshold alone.
➙ All strategies face alpha decay over time. Instead of over-optimizing a single strategy on one timeframe and market, build a diversified portfolio across multiple markets and timeframes. Deeptest helps you validate each component so you can combine robust strategies into a trading portfolio.
➙ Screenshots shown in the documentation are solely for visual representation to demonstrate how the tables and metrics will be displayed. Please do not compare your strategy's performance with the metrics shown in these screenshots -- they are illustrative examples only, not performance targets or benchmarks.
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█ HOW-TO
Using Deeptest is intentionally straightforward. Just import the library and call DT.runDeeptest() at the end of your strategy code in main scope. .
//@version=6
strategy("My Strategy", overlay=true)
// Import the library
import Fractalyst/Deeptest/1 as DT
// Your strategy logic
fastMA = ta.sma(close, 10)
slowMA = ta.sma(close, 30)
if ta.crossover(fastMA, slowMA)
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)
if ta.crossunder(fastMA, slowMA)
strategy.close("Long")
// Run the analysis
DT.runDeeptest()
And yes... it's compatible with any TradingView Strategy! 🪄
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█ CREDITS
Author: @Fractalyst
Font Library: by @fikira - @kaigouthro - @Duyck
Community: Inspired by the @PineCoders community initiative, encouraging developers to contribute open-source libraries and continuously enhance the Pine Script ecosystem for all traders.
if you find Deeptest valuable in your trading journey, feel free to use it in your strategies and give a shoutout to @Fractalyst -- Your recognition directly supports ongoing development and open-source contributions to Pine Script.
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█ DISCLAIMER
This library is provided for educational and research purposes. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always test thoroughly and use proper risk management. The author is not responsible for any trading losses incurred through the use of this code.
Institutional Intermarket Score PRO V3.3 (Presets)This indicator is built on an unusual, non-traditional intermarket concept and is designed to provide market context rather than trading signals.
Institutional Intermarket Score – Indicator Description
Overview
The Institutional Intermarket Score is a contextual market indicator designed to provide a macro and intermarket perspective on the current market environment.
It aggregates information from multiple user-selected correlated and inversely correlated assets to determine whether the broader market context favors risk-on, risk-off, or neutral conditions.
This indicator is not a buy or sell signal.
It does not attempt to predict short-term price movements, entries, or exits.
Its sole purpose is to help the trader understand the broader market context before making any trading decisions.
Core Concept
Markets do not move in isolation.
Institutional participants continuously monitor multiple related markets to assess risk, liquidity, and conviction before deploying capital.
This indicator replicates that process by:
Monitoring several correlated assets (assets that tend to move in the same direction)
Monitoring several inversely correlated assets (assets that typically move in the opposite direction)
Combining their behavior into a single, normalized intermarket score
The result is a context filter, not a trading system.
Asset Groups
The indicator supports up to:
5 correlated assets
5 inversely correlated assets
All assets are fully configurable by the user and can be enabled or disabled individually.
Only active assets are included in all calculations.
Market State Evaluation
Each asset is evaluated using a Price vs VWAP relationship:
Price above VWAP → bullish state
Price below VWAP → bearish state
This binary state is used consistently across all assets to maintain clarity and robustness.
Intermarket Score
----------------------
The Intermarket Score represents the average directional alignment of all active assets and is normalized between -1 and +1.
Positive values indicate a risk-on environment
Negative values indicate a risk-off environment
Values near zero indicate balance, rotation, or uncertainty
The score is smoothed to reduce noise and highlight regime persistence rather than short-term fluctuations.
Confirmation Metric (X / Y)
----------------------------------
In addition to the score, the indicator calculates a confirmation ratio:
Y = total number of active assets
X = number of assets aligned with the current regime
Alignment is evaluated relative to the current regime:
In bullish regimes, assets above VWAP confirm
In bearish regimes, assets below VWAP confirm
This metric reflects the quality and conviction of the intermarket consensus.
High confirmation indicates broad agreement across markets.
Low confirmation indicates divergence, uncertainty, or fragile conditions.
Heatmap
-----------
A compact heatmap visually displays the state of each individual asset:
Green indicates alignment with the regime
Red indicates opposition
Neutral indicates inactive assets
This allows immediate identification of:
Which markets are confirming
Which markets are diverging
Whether consensus is broad or fragmented
Intended Use
----------------
This indicator is designed to be used:
Before evaluating trade setups
As a filter, not a trigger
In combination with price action, structure, and risk management
Typical applications include:
Avoiding trades against the broader market context
Distinguishing strong trends from fragile moves
Identifying periods of institutional alignment or hesitation
What This Indicator Is Not
It is not a buy or sell indicator
It does not provide entry or exit signals
It does not predict price direction on its own
It does not guarantee profitable trades
Any trading decisions remain entirely the responsibility of the user.
Summary
The Institutional Intermarket Score provides a high-level market image based on assets selected by the user.
It reflects context, alignment, and conviction, not timing.
Used correctly, it helps traders avoid low-quality trades, understand when markets are aligned or fragmented, and make decisions with greater awareness of the broader environment.
It is a decision support tool, not a trading system.
This indicator, is still evolving and its structure will continue to develop as new insights are tested...
BTC - RVPM: Run Velocity & Probability MapBTC – RVPM: Run Velocity & Probability Map | RM
Strategic Context: Understanding Price Runs
A "Price Run" (also known as a streak or consecutive sessions) is a foundational concept in time-series analysis that measures the duration of a price movement without a significant counter-signal. While common indicators like RSI or MACD measure magnitude or momentum, they often ignore the Persistence of the trend. Historically, markets move through cycles of expansion and mean-reversion. A Price Run represents a period of "Unidirectional Flow" — a fingerprint of institutional accumulation or systematic distribution. However, standard "run-counting" is often too simplistic for the volatile crypto markets.
What Makes RVPM Special?
Most community run-counters are binary; they simply tell you if X days were green or red. The RVPM distinguishes itself through three proprietary layers:
• The Intensity Filter: It doesnt just count days; it counts effort . By ignoring "flat" days through a percentage-return threshold, it filters out noise that would otherwise skew the statistical probability.
• Dynamic Benchmarking: Instead of using an arbitrary number (like "7 days"), the RVPM looks back at 200 bars of history to find the local "Persistence Ceiling." It adapts to the current volatility regime of Bitcoin.
• The Velocity Score: It transform simple counts into a -100 to +100 histogram, allowing traders to see momentum "decaying" (e.g., dropping from 90 to 70) even if the price continues to rise.
The 3 Pillars of the Engine
1. Velocity Mapping (Persistence Histogram)
The histogram calculates the density of directional effort within a defined window. It functions as the "Pulse" of the trend, mapping market behavior into three distinct zones:
• High Velocity Zone (> 80 or < -80): Institutional Expansion. This identifies a "clean" move where one side of the market possesses total structural control. In this zone, the trend is efficient, and counter-signals are immediately absorbed.
• The Neutral Zone (Near Zero): Momentum Equilibrium. When the histogram fluctuates near the zero line, the market is in a "Recharge Phase." Neither bulls nor bears are achieving persistent dominance. Tactically, this is the "Waiting Room" where range-bound chop is likely, and traders should wait for a new "Expansion" spike before committing.
• Velocity Decay: The Exhaustion Warning. Velocity Decay occurs when the indicator moves from an extreme (e.g., +95) back toward the zero line (e.g., +50) while the price is still rising. This is a "Persistence Divergence." It tells you that while the trend is still moving, the consistency of the bars is fragmenting. The "fuel" is being depleted, and the trend is transitioning from an "Institutional Expansion" into a "Speculative Exhaustion."
2. n-of-m Consistency (The Pips)
The "Pips" (Circles) mark when a specific consistency threshold is met (e.g., 5 out of 7 bars in one direction). This identifies "Leaky Trends" that are still statistically dominated by one side of the ledger.
3. Statistical Exhaustion (The Arrows)
The Dark Red (Top) and Dark Green (Bottom) triangles represent the engine's "Mean-Reversion Signal." The calculation is based on a Relative Maximum Streak (RMS) logic: the script tracks the current linear, consecutive bar count (ignoring bars that fail the Intensity Filter) and continuously benchmarks this against the highest streak recorded over the last 200 bars ( ta.highest(streak, 200) ). The triangles are triggered specifically when the current run reaches 80% of this historical record (the "Anomaly Threshold"). Mathematically, this identifies a move that is statistically pushing against its half-year limit. By using this dynamic threshold rather than a fixed number, the "Extreme" signal automatically tightens during low-volatility regimes and expands during high-volatility expansions, ensuring the signal only appears when the "statistical rubber band" is at a true breaking point.
Operational Interface: The RVPM Dashboard
The Status Dashboard (Top Right) serves as a real-time monitor for momentum health, providing a clean summary of the underlying persistence data:
• Current STREAK: The active, consecutive count of bars meeting the Intensity Filter. It is dynamically color-coded (Cyan/Bullish or Red/Bearish) to provide an instant read on trend seniority.
• WINDOW Consistency: Measures the Momentum Density (the n-of-m value). A value of "6" in a "7-bar" window indicates a high-conviction regime that is successfully absorbing pullbacks without losing its primary trajectory.
Tactical Playbook: The Mean-Reversion Rule
Price action typically follows a "Rubber Band" effect. The further it is stretched without a break, the more "unstable" the trend becomes as the pool of available buyers or sellers is depleted.
• The Setup: Wait for the Triangle Arrows to appear.
• The Logic: The move has reached a 200-day anomaly. A "Liquidity Vacuum" is forming on the opposite side.
• The Action: This is a high-probability Mean-Reversion signal. It is a tactical time to take profits or look for a sharp snap-back move toward the 20-period moving average or the "Institutional Mean."
Settings & Parameters
• Window Length (m): The lookback window used to calculate the Velocity Score.
• Required Days (n): The minimum number of directional bars needed within the window to trigger a "Consistency Pip."
• Intensity Filter (%): The minimum % change required for a bar to be counted toward a run.
• Lookback Period: The historical window (Default: 200 bars) used to calculate the "Maximum Streak" records for exhaustion alerts.
Timeframe Recommendation
The RVPM is best viewed on the Daily (1D) timeframe. This filters out intraday noise and provides the most reliable statistical mapping for macro exhaustion points.
Credits & Verification
The RVPM logic aligns with institutional "Persistence" models and Glassnode's Price Stretch benchmarks. By benchmarking against a rolling 200-day window, the indicator automatically adapts to changing market volatility.
Risk Disclaimer & No Financial Advice
The information, data, and analytical models provided in this publication are for educational and informational purposes only. This script does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading cryptocurrencies and other financial instruments carries a high degree of risk, and statistical anomalies or "Extreme Runs" do not guarantee future price action. Past performance is never indicative of future results. Every trader is responsible for their own due diligence and risk management. Rob Maths and the associated entities are not liable for any financial losses incurred through the use of this tool. Always consult with a certified financial professional before making significant investment decisions.
Tags:
bitcoin, btc, persistence, streaks, price-runs, momentum, mean-reversion, exhaustion, Rob Maths
strongResistanceActually it is education purpose. This indicator is designed to help traders clearly identify strong Support & Resistance (SNR) levels along with high-probability Buy & Sell..
The indicator works smoothly on lower timeframes for binary trading.
Moving Average ExponentialThe EMA 50 Trend Filter At the heart of the Sniper system lies the 50-period Exponential Moving Average. Unlike simple moving averages, the EMA applies a weighting factor to recent price data, significantly reducing lag. Role in Strategy:
Trend Identification: Serves as the binary divider between Long and Short bias.
Dynamic Structure: Acts as dynamic support in uptrends and resistance in downtrends.
Signal Filtering: The algorithm automatically suppresses any 'Buy' signals below the line and 'Sell' signals above it, ensuring you never trade against the institutional momentum.
Impulse Reactor RSI-SMA Trend Indicator [ApexLegion]Impulse Reactor RSI-SMA Trend Indicator
Introduction and Theoretical Background
Design Rationale
Standard indicators frequently generate binary 'BUY' or 'SELL' signals without accounting for the broader market context. This often results in erratic "Flip-Flop" behavior, where signals are triggered indiscriminately regardless of the prevailing volatility regime.
Impulse Reactor was engineered to address this limitation by unifying two critical requirements: Quantitative Rigor and Execution Flexibility.
The Solution
Composite Analytical Framework This script is not a simple visual overlay of existing indicators. It is an algorithmic synthesis designed to function as a unified decision-making engine. The primary objective was to implement rigorous quantitative analysis (Volatility Normalization, Structural Filtering) directly within an alert-enabled framework. This architecture is designed to process signals through strict, multi-factor validation protocols before generating real-time notifications, allowing users to focus on structurally validated setups without manual monitoring.
How It Works
This is not a simple visual mashup. It utilizes a cross-validation algorithm where the Trend Structure acts as a gatekeeper for Momentum signals:
Logic over Lag: Unlike simple moving average crossovers, this script uses a 15-layer Gradient Ribbon to detect "Laminar Flow." If the ribbon is knotted (Compression), the system mathematically suppresses all signals.
Volatility Normalization: The core calculation adapts to ATR (Average True Range). This means the indicator automatically expands in volatile markets and contracts in quiet ones, maintaining accuracy without constant manual tweaking.
Adaptive Signal Thresholding: It incorporates an 'Anti-Greed' algorithm (Dynamic Thresholding) that automatically adjusts entry criteria based on trend duration. This logic aims to mitigate the risk of entering positions during periods of statistical trend exhaustion.
Why Use It?
Market State Decoding: The gradient Ribbon visualizes the underlying trend phase in real-time.
◦ Cyan/Blue Flow: Strong Bullish Trend (Laminar Flow).
◦ Magenta/Pink Flow: Strong Bearish Trend.
◦ Compressed/Knotted: When the ribbon lines are tightly squeezed or overlapping, it signals Consolidation. The system filters signals here to avoid chop.
Noise Reduction: The goal is not to catch every pivot, but to isolate high-confidence setups. The logic explicitly filters out minor fluctuations to help maintain position alignment with the broader trend.
⚖️ Chapter 1: System Architecture
Introduction: Composite Analytical Framework
System Overview
Impulse Reactor serves as a comprehensive technical analysis engine designed to synthesize three distinct market dimensions—Momentum, Volatility, and Trend Structure—into a unified decision-making framework. Unlike traditional methods that analyze these metrics in isolation, this system functions as a central processing unit that integrates disparate data streams to construct a coherent model of market behavior.
Operational Objective
The primary objective is to transition from single-dimensional signal generation to a multi-factor assessment model. By fusing data from the Impulse Core (Volatility), Gradient Oscillator (Momentum), and Structural Baseline (Trend), the system aims to filter out stochastic noise and identify high-probability trade setups grounded in quantitative confluence.
Market Microstructure Analysis: Limitations of Conventional Models
Extensive backtesting and quantitative analysis have identified three critical inefficiencies in standard oscillator-based strategies:
• Bounded Oscillator Limitations (The "Oscillation Trap"): Traditional indicators such as RSI or Stochastics are mathematically constrained between fixed values (0 to 100). In strong trending environments, these metrics often saturate in "overbought" or "oversold" zones. Consequently, traders relying on static thresholds frequently exit structurally valid positions prematurely or initiate counter-trend trades against prevailing momentum, resulting in suboptimal performance.
• Quantitative Blindness to Quality: Standard moving averages and trend indicators often fail to distinguish the qualitative nature of price movement. They treat low-volume drift and high-velocity expansion identically. This inability to account for "Volatility Quality" leads to delayed responsiveness during critical market events.
• Fractal Dissonance (Timeframe Disconnect): Financial markets exhibit fractal characteristics where trends on lower timeframes may contradict higher timeframe structures. Manual integration of multi-timeframe analysis increases cognitive load and susceptibility to human error, often resulting in conflicting biases at the point of execution.
Core Design Principles
To mitigate the aforementioned systemic inefficiencies, Impulse Reactor employs a modular architecture governed by three foundational principles:
Principle A:
Volatility Precursor Analysis Market mechanics demonstrate that volatility expansion often functions as a leading indicator for directional price movement. The system is engineered to detect "Volatility Deviation" — specifically, the divergence between short-term and long-term volatility baselines—prior to its manifestation in price action. This allows for entry timing aligned with the expansion phase of market volatility.
Principle B:
Momentum Density Visualization The system replaces singular momentum lines with a "Momentum Density" model utilizing a 15-layer Simple Moving Average (SMA) Ribbon.
• Concept: This visualization represents the aggregate strength and consistency of the trend.
• Application: A fully aligned and expanded ribbon indicates a robust trend structure ("Laminar Flow") capable of withstanding minor counter-trend noise, whereas a compressed ribbon signals consolidation or structural weakness.
Principle C:
Adaptive Confluence Protocols Signal validity is strictly governed by a multi-dimensional confluence logic. The system suppresses signal generation unless there is synchronized confirmation across all three analytical vectors:
1. Volatility: Confirmed expansion via the Impulse Core.
2. Momentum: Directional alignment via the Hybrid Oscillator.
3. Structure: Trend validation via the Baseline. This strict filtering mechanism significantly reduces false positives in non-trending (choppy) environments while maintaining sensitivity to genuine breakouts.
🔍 Chapter 2: Core Modules & Algorithmic Logic
Module A: Impulse Core (Normalized Volatility Deviation)
Operational Logic The Impulse Core functions as a volatility-normalized momentum gauge rather than a standard oscillator. It is designed to identify "Volatility Contraction" (Squeeze) and "Volatility Expansion" phases by quantifying the divergence between short-term and long-term volatility states.
Volatility Z-Score Normalization
The formula implements a custom normalization algorithm. Unlike standard oscillators that rely on absolute price changes, this logic calculates the Z-Score of the Volatility Spread.
◦ Numerator: (atr_f - atr_s) captures the raw momentum of volatility expansion.
◦ Denominator: (std_f + 1e-6) standardizes this value against historical variance.
◦ Result: This allows the indicator scales consistently across assets (e.g., Bitcoin vs. Euro) without manual recalibration.
f_impulse() =>
atr_f = ta.atr(fastLen) // Fast Volatility Baseline
atr_s = ta.atr(slowLen) // Slow Volatility Baseline
std_f = ta.stdev(atr_f, devLen) // Volatility Standard Deviation
(atr_f - atr_s) / (std_f + 1e-6) // Normalized Differential Calculation
Algorithmic Framework
• Differential Calculation: The system computes the spread between a Fast Volatility Baseline (ATR-10) and a Slow Volatility Baseline (ATR-30).
• Normalization Protocol: To standardize consistency across diverse asset classes (e.g., Forex vs. Crypto), the raw differential is divided by the standard deviation of the volatility itself over a 30-period lookback.
• Signal Generation:
◦ Contraction (Squeeze): When the Fast ATR compresses below the Slow ATR, it registers a potential volatility buildup phase.
◦ Expansion (Release): A rapid divergence of the Fast ATR above the Slow ATR signals a confirmed volatility expansion, validating the strength of the move.
Module B: Gradient Oscillator (RSI-SMA Hybrid)
Design Rationale To mitigate the "noise" and "false reversal" signals common in single-line oscillators (like standard RSI), this module utilizes a 15-Layer Gradient Ribbon to visualize momentum density and persistence.
Technical Architecture
• Ribbon Array: The system generates 15 sequential Simple Moving Averages (SMA) applied to a volatility-adjusted RSI source. The length of each layer increases incrementally.
• State Analysis:
Momentum Alignment (Laminar Flow): When all 15 layers are expanded and parallel, it indicates a robust trend where buying/selling pressure is distributed evenly across multiple timeframes. This state helps filter out premature "overbought/oversold" signals.
• Consolidation (Compression): When the distance between the fastest layer (Layer 1) and the slowest layer (Layer 15) approaches zero or the layers intersect, the system identifies a "Non-Tradable Zone," preventing entries during choppy market conditions.
// Laminar Flow Validation
f_validate_trend() =>
// Calculate spread between Ribbon layers
ribbon_spread = ta.stdev(ribbon_array, 15)
// Only allow signals if Ribbon is expanded (Laminar Flow)
is_flowing = ribbon_spread > min_expansion_threshold
// If compressed (Knotted), force signal to false
is_flowing ? signal : na
Module C: Adaptive Signal Filtering (Behavioral Bias Mitigation)
This subsystem, operating as an algorithmic "Anti-Greed" Mechanism, addresses the statistical tendency for signal degradation following prolonged trends.
Dynamic Threshold Adjustment
• Win Streak Detection: The algorithm internally tracks the outcome of closed trade cycles.
• Sensitivity Multiplier: Upon detecting consecutive successful signals in the same direction, a Penalty_Factor is applied to the entry logic.
• Operational Impact: This effectively raises the Required_Slope threshold for subsequent signals. For example, after three consecutive bullish signals, the system requires a 30% steeper trend angle to validate a fourth entry. This enforces stricter discipline during extended trends to reduce the probability of entering at the point of trend exhaustion.
Anti-Greed Logic: Dynamic Threshold Calculation
f_adjust_threshold(base_slope, win_streak) =>
// Adds a 10% penalty to the difficulty for every consecutive win
penalty_factor = 0.10
risk_scaler = 1 + (win_streak * penalty_factor)
// Returns the new, harder-to-reach threshold
base_slope * risk_scaler
Module D: Trend Baseline (Triple-Smoothed Structure)
The Trend Baseline serves as the structural filter for all signals. It employs a Triple-Smoothed Hybrid Algorithm designed to balance lag reduction with noise filtration.
Smoothing Stages
1. Volatility Banding: Utilizes a SuperTrend-based calculation to establish the upper and lower boundaries of price action.
2. Weighted Filter: Applies a Weighted Moving Average (WMA) to prioritize recent price data.
3. Exponential Smoothing: A final Exponential Moving Average (EMA) pass is applied to create a seamless baseline curve.
Functionality
This "Heavy" baseline resists minor intraday volatility spikes while remaining responsive to sustained structural shifts. A signal is only considered valid if the price action maintains structural integrity relative to this baseline
🚦 Chapter 3: Risk Management & Exit Protocols
Quantitative Risk Management (TP/SL & Trailing)
Foundational Architecture: Volatility-Adjusted Geometry Unlike strategies relying on static nominal values, Impulse Reactor establishes dynamic risk boundaries derived from quantitative volatility metrics. This design aligns trade invalidation levels mathematically with the current market regime.
• ATR-Based Dynamic Bracketing:
The protocol calculates Stop-Loss and Take-Profit levels by applying Fibonacci coefficients (Default: 0.786 for SL / 1.618 for TP) to the Average True Range (ATR).
◦ High Volatility Environments: The risk bands automatically expand to accommodate wider variance, preventing premature exits caused by standard market noise.
◦ Low Volatility Environments: The bands contract to tighten risk parameters, thereby dynamically adjusting the Risk-to-Reward (R:R) geometry.
• Close-Validation Protocol ("Soft Stop"):
Institutional algorithms frequently execute liquidity sweeps—driving prices briefly below key support levels to accumulate inventory.
◦ Mechanism: When the "Soft Stop" feature is enabled, the system filters out intraday volatility spikes. The stop-loss is conditional; execution is triggered only if the candle closes beyond the invalidation threshold.
◦ Strategic Advantage: This logic distinguishes between momentary price wicks and genuine structural breakdowns, preserving positions during transient volatility.
• Step-Function Trailing Mechanism:
To protect unrealized PnL while allowing for normal price breathing, a two-phase trailing methodology is employed:
◦ Phase 1 (Activation): The trailing function remains dormant until the price advances by a pre-defined percentage threshold.
◦ Phase 2 (Dynamic Floor): Once armed, the stop level creates a moving floor, adjusting relative to price action while maintaining a volatility-based (ATR) buffer to systematically protect unrealized PnL.
• Algorithmic Exit Protocols (Dynamic Liquidity Analysis)
◦ Rationale: Inefficiencies of Static Targets Static "Take Profit" levels often result in suboptimal exits. They compel traders to close positions based on arbitrary figures rather than evolving market structure, potentially capping upside during significant trends or retaining positions while the underlying trend structure deteriorates.
◦ Solution: Structural Integrity Assessment The system utilizes a Dynamic Liquidity Engine to continuously audit the validity of the position. Instead of targeting a specific price point, the algorithm evaluates whether the trend remains statistically robust.
Multi-Factor Exit Logic (The Tri-Vector System)
The Smart Exit protocol executes only when specific algorithmic invalidation criteria are met:
• 1. Momentum Exhaustion (Confluence Decay): The system monitors a 168-hour rolling average of the Confluence Score. A significant deviation below this historical baseline indicates momentum exhaustion, signaling that the driving force behind the trend has dissipated prior to a price reversal. This enables preemptive exits before a potential drawdown.
• 2. Statistical Over-Extension (Mean Reversion): Utilizing the core volatility logic, the system identifies instances where price deviates beyond 2.0 standard deviations from the mean. While the trend may be technically bullish, this statistical anomaly suggests a high probability of mean reversion (elastic snap-back), triggering a defensive exit to capitalize on peak valuation.
• 3. Oscillator Rejection (Immediate Pivot): To manage sudden V-shaped volatility, the system monitors RSI pivots. If a sharp "Pivot High" or divergence is detected, the protocol triggers an immediate "Peak Exit," bypassing standard trend filters to secure liquidity during high-velocity reversals.
🎨 Chapter 4: Visualization Guide
Gradient Oscillator Ribbon
The 15-layer SMA ribbon visualized via plot(r1...r15) represents the "Momentum Density" of the market.
• Visuals:
◦ Cyan/Blue Ribbon: Indicates Bullish Momentum.
◦ Pink/Magenta Ribbon: Indicates Bearish Momentum.
• Interpretation:
◦ Laminar Flow: When the ribbon expands widely and flows in parallel, it signifies a robust trend where momentum is distributed evenly across timeframes. This is the ideal state for trend-following.
◦ Compression (Consolidation): If the ribbon becomes narrow, twisted, or knotted, it indicates a "Non-Tradable Zone" where the market lacks a unified direction. Traders are advised to wait for clarity.
◦ Over-Extension: If the top layer crosses the Overbought (85) or Oversold (15) lines, it visually warns of potential market overheating.
Trend Baseline
The thick, color-changing line plotted via plot(baseline) represents the Structural Backbone of the market.
• Visuals: Changes color based on the trend direction (Blue for Bullish, Pink for Bearish).
• Interpretation:
Structural Filter: Long positions are statistically favored only when price action sustains above this baseline, while short positions are favored below it.
Dynamic Support/Resistance: The baseline acts as a dynamic support level during uptrends and resistance during downtrends.
Entry Signals & Labels
Text labels ("Long Entry", "Short Entry") appear when the system detects high-probability setups grounded in quantitative confluence.
• Visuals: Labeled signals appear above/below specific candles.
• Interpretation:
These signals represent moments where Volatility (Expansion), Momentum (Alignment), and Structure (Trend) are synchronized.
Smart Exit: Labels such as "Smart Exit" or "Peak Exit" appear when the system detects momentum exhaustion or structural decay, prompting a defensive exit to preserve capital.
Dynamic TP/SL Boxes
The semi-transparent colored zones drawn via fill() represent the risk management geometry.
• Visuals: Colored boxes extending from the entry point to the Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels.
• Function:
Volatility-Adjusted Geometry: Unlike static price targets, these boxes expand during high volatility (to prevent wicks from stopping you out) and contract during low volatility (to optimize Risk-to-Reward ratios).
SAR + MACD Glow
Small glowing shapes appearing above or below candles.
• Visuals: Triangle or circle glows near the price bars.
• Interpretation:
This visual indicates a secondary confirmation where Parabolic SAR and MACD align with the main trend direction. It serves as an additional confluence factor to increase confidence in the trade setup.
Support/Resistance Table
A small table located at the bottom-right of the chart.
• Function: Automatically identifies and displays recent Pivot Highs (Resistance) and Pivot Lows (Support).
• Interpretation: These levels can be used as potential targets for Take Profit or invalidation points for manual Stop Loss adjustments.
🖥️ Chapter 5: Dashboard & Operational Guide
Integrated Analytics Panel (Dashboard Overview)
To facilitate rapid decision-making without manual calculation, the system aggregates critical market dimensions into a unified "Heads-Up Display" (HUD). This panel monitors real-time metrics across multiple timeframes and analytical vectors.
A. Intermediate Structure (12H Trend)
• Function: Anchors the intraday analysis to the broader market structure using a 12-hour rolling window.
• Interpretation:
◦ Bullish (> +0.5%): Indicates a positive structural bias. Long setups align with the macro flow.
◦ Bearish (< -0.5%): Indicates structural weakness. Short setups are statistically favored.
◦ Neutral: Represents a ranging environment where the Confluence Score becomes the primary weighting factor.
B. Composite Confluence Score (Signal Confidence)
• Definition: A probability metric derived from the synchronization of Volatility (Impulse Core), Momentum (Ribbon), and Trend (Baseline).
• Grading Scale:
Strong Buy/Sell (> 7.0 / < 3.0): Indicates full alignment across all three vectors. Represents a "Prime Setup" eligible for standard position sizing.
Buy/Sell (5.0–7.0 / 3.0–5.0): Indicates a valid trend but with moderate volatility confirmation.
Neutral: Signals conflicting data (e.g., Bullish Momentum vs. Bearish Structure). Trading is not recommended ("No-Trade Zone").
C. Statistical Deviation Status (Mean Reversion)
• Logic: Utilizes Bollinger Band deviation principles to quantify how far price has stretched from the statistical mean (20 SMA).
• Alert States:
Over-Extended (> 2.0 SD): Warning that price is statistically likely to revert to the mean (Elastic Snap-back), even if the trend remains technically valid. New entries are discouraged in this zone.
Normal: Price is within standard distribution limits, suitable for trend-following entries.
D. Volatility Regime Classification
• Metric: Compares current ATR against a 100-period historical baseline to categorize the market state.
• Regimes:
Low Volatility (Lvl < 1.0): Market Compression. Often precedes volatility expansion events.
Mid Volatility (Lvl 1.0 - 1.5): Standard operating environment.
High Volatility (Lvl > 1.5): Elevated market stress. Risk parameters should be adjusted (e.g., reduced position size) to account for increased variance.
E. Performance Telemetry
• Function: Displays the historical reliability of the Trend Baseline for the current asset and timeframe.
• Operational Threshold: If the displayed Win Rate falls below 40%, it suggests the current market behavior is incoherent (choppy) and does not respect trend logic. In such cases, switching assets or timeframes is recommended.
Operational Protocols & Signal Decoding
Visual Interpretation Standards
• Laminar Flow (Trade Confirmation): A valid trend is visually confirmed when the 15-layer SMA Ribbon is fully expanded and parallel. This indicates distributed momentum across timeframes.
• Consolidation (No-Trade): If the ribbon appears twisted, knotted, or compressed, the market lacks a unified directional vector.
• Baseline Interaction: The Triple-Smoothed Baseline acts as a dynamic support/resistance filter. Long positions remain valid only while price sustains above this structure.
System Calibration (Settings)
• Adaptive Signal Filtering (Prev. Anti-Greed): Enabled by default. This logic automatically raises the required trend slope threshold following consecutive wins to mitigate behavioral bias.
• Impulse Sensitivity: Controls the reactivity of the Volatility Core. Higher settings capture faster moves but may introduce more noise.
⚙️ Chapter 6: System Configuration & Alert Guide
This section provides a complete breakdown of every adjustable setting within Impulse Reactor to assist you in tailoring the engine to your specific needs.
🌐 LANGUAGE SETTINGS (Localization)
◦ Select Language (Default: English):
Function: Instantly translates all chart labels, dashboard texts into your preferred language.
Supported: English, Korean, Chinese, Spanish
⚡ IMPULSE CORE SETTINGS (Volatility Engine)
◦ Deviation Lookback (Default: 30): The period used to calculate the standard deviation of volatility.
Role: Sets the baseline for normalizing momentum. Higher values make the core smoother but slower to react.
◦ Fast Pulse Length (Default: 10): The short-term ATR period.
Role: Detects rapid volatility expansion.
◦ Slow Pulse Length (Default: 30): The long-term ATR baseline.
Role: Establishes the background volatility level. The core signal is derived from the divergence between Fast and Slow pulses.
🎯 TP/SL SETTINGS (Risk Management)
◦ SL/TP Fibonacci (Default: 0.786 / 1.618): Selects the Fibonacci ratio used for risk calculation.
◦ SL/TP Multiplier (Default: 1.5 / 2): Applies a multiplier to the ATR-based bands.
Role: Expands or contracts the Take Profit and Stop Loss boxes. Increase these values for higher volatility assets (like Altcoins) to avoid premature stop-outs.
◦ ATR Length (Default: 14): The lookback period for calculating the Average True Range used in risk geometry.
◦ Use Soft Stop (Close Basis):
Role: If enabled, Stop Loss alerts only trigger if a candle closes beyond the invalidation level. This prevents being stopped out by wick manipulations.
🔊 RIBBON SETTINGS (Momentum Visualization)
◦ Show SMA Ribbon: Toggles the visibility of the 15-layer gradient ribbon.
◦ Ribbon Line Count (Default: 15): The number of SMA lines in the ribbon array.
◦ Ribbon Start Length (Default: 2) & Step (Default: 1): Defines the spread of the ribbon.
Role: Controls the "thickness" of the momentum density visualization. A wider step creates a broader ribbon, useful for higher timeframes.
📎 DISPLAY OPTIONS
◦ Show Entry Lines / TP/SL Box / Position Labels / S/R Levels / Dashboard: Toggles individual visual elements on the chart to reduce clutter.
◦ Show SAR+MACD Glow: Enables the secondary confirmation shapes (triangles/circles) above/below candles.
📈 TREND BASELINE (Structural Filter)
◦ Supertrend Factor (Default: 12) & ATR Period (Default: 90): Controls the sensitivity of the underlying Supertrend algorithm used for the baseline calculation.
◦ WMA Length (40) & EMA Length (14): The smoothing periods for the Triple-Smoothed Baseline.
◦ Min Trend Duration (Default: 10): The minimum number of bars the trend must be established before a signal is considered valid.
🧠 SMART EXIT (Dynamic Liquidity)
◦ Use Smart Exit: Enables the momentum exhaustion logic.
◦ Exit Threshold Score (Default: 3): The sensitivity level for triggering a Smart Exit. Lower values trigger earlier exits.
◦ Average Period (168) & Min Hold Bars (5): Defines the rolling window for momentum decay analysis and the minimum duration a trade must be held before Smart Exit logic activates.
🛡️ TRAILING STOP (Step)
◦ Use Trailing Stop: Activates the step-function trailing mechanism.
◦ Step 1 Activation % (0.5) & Offset % (0.5): The price must move 0.5% in your favor to arm the first trail level, which sets a stop 0.5% behind price.
◦ Step 2 Activation % (1) & Offset % (0.2): Once price moves 1%, the trail tightens to 0.2%, securing the position.
🌀 SAR & MACD SETTINGS (Secondary Confirmation)
◦ SAR Start/Increment/Max: Standard Parabolic SAR parameters.
◦ SAR Score Scaling (ATR): Adjusts how much weight the SAR signal has in the overall confluence score.
◦ MACD Fast/Slow/Signal: Standard MACD parameters used for the "Glow" signals.
🔄 ANTI-GREED LOGIC (Behavioral Bias)
◦ Strict Entry after Win: Enables the negative feedback loop.
◦ Strict Multiplier (Default: 1.1): Increases the entry difficulty by 10% after each win.
Role: Prevents overtrading and entering at the top of an extended trend.
🌍 HTF FILTER (Multi-Timeframe)
◦ Use Auto-Adaptive HTF Filter: Automatically selects a higher timeframe (e.g., 1H -> 4H) to filter signals.
◦ Bypass HTF on Steep Trigger: Allows an entry even against the HTF trend if the local momentum slope is exceptionally steep (catch powerful reversals).
📉 RSI PEAK & CHOPPINESS
◦ RSI Peak Exit (Instant): Triggers an immediate exit if a sharp RSI pivot (V-shape) is detected.
◦ Choppiness Filter: Suppresses signals if the Choppiness Index is above the threshold (Default: 60), indicating a flat market.
📐 SLOPE TRIGGER LOGIC
◦ Force Entry on Steep Slope: Overrides other filters if the price angle is extremely vertical (high velocity).
◦ Slope Sensitivity (1.5): The angle required to trigger this override.
⛔ FLAT MARKET FILTER (ADX & ATR)
◦ Use ADX Filter: Blocks signals if ADX is below the threshold (Default: 20), indicating no trend.
◦ Use ATR Flat Filter: Blocks signals if volatility drops below a critical level (dead market).
🔔 Alert Configuration Guide
Impulse Reactor is designed with a comprehensive suite of alert conditions, allowing you to automate your trading or receive real-time notifications for specific market events.
How to Set Up:
Click the "Alert" (Clock) icon in the TradingView toolbar.
Select "Impulse Reactor " from the Condition dropdown.
Choose one of the specific trigger conditions below:
🚀 Entry Signals (Trend Initiation)
Long Entry:
Trigger: Fires when a confirmed Bullish Setup is detected (Momentum + Volatility + Structure align).
Usage: Use this to enter new Long positions.
Short Entry:
Trigger: Fires when a confirmed Bearish Setup is detected.
Usage: Use this to enter new Short positions.
🎯 Profit Taking (Target Levels)
Long TP:
Trigger: Fires when price hits the calculated Take Profit level for a Long trade.
Usage: Automate partial or full profit taking.
Short TP:
Trigger: Fires when price hits the calculated Take Profit level for a Short trade.
Usage: Automate partial or full profit taking.
🛡️ Defensive Exits (Risk Management)
Smart Exit:
Trigger: Fires when the system detects momentum decay or statistical exhaustion (even if the trend hasn't fully reversed).
Usage: Recommended for tightening stops or closing positions early to preserve gains.
Overbought / Oversold:
Trigger: Fires when the ribbon extends into extreme zones.
Usage: Warning signal to prepare for a potential reversal or pullback.
💡 Secondary Confirmation (Confluence)
SAR+MACD Bullish:
Trigger: Fires when Parabolic SAR and MACD align bullishly with the main trend.
Usage: Ideal for Pyramiding (adding to an existing winning position).
SAR+MACD Bearish:
Trigger: Fires when Parabolic SAR and MACD align bearishly.
Usage: Ideal for adding to short positions.
⚠️ Chapter 7: Conclusion & Risk Disclosure
Methodological Synthesis
Impulse Reactor represents a shift from reactive price tracking to proactive energy analysis. By decomposing market activity into its atomic components — Volatility, Momentum, and Structure — and reconstructing them into a coherent decision model, the system aims to provide a quantitative framework for market engagement. It is designed not to predict the future, but to identify high-probability conditions where kinetic energy and trend structure align.
Disclaimer & Risk Warnings
◦ Educational Purpose Only
This indicator, including all associated code, documentation, and visual outputs, is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments.
◦ No Guarantee of Performance
Past performance is not indicative of future results. All metrics displayed on the dashboard (including "Win Rate" and "P&L") are theoretical calculations based on historical data. These figures do not account for real-world trading factors such as slippage, liquidity gaps, spread costs, or broker commissions.
◦ High-Risk Warning
Trading cryptocurrencies, futures, and leveraged financial products involves a substantial risk of loss. The use of leverage can amplify both gains and losses. Users acknowledge that they are solely responsible for their trading decisions and should conduct independent due diligence before executing any trades.
◦ Software Limitations
The software is provided "as is" without warranty. Users should be aware that market data feeds on analysis platforms may experience latency or outages, which can affect signal generation accuracy.
Dark VectorThe Dark Vector is a professional-grade trend-following system designed to solve the two most common causes of trading losses: over-trading during chop and exiting trends too early.
Unlike standard indicators that continuously recalculate based on every price tick, this system operates on a strict "State Machine" logic. This means it tracks the current market phase and refuses to issue conflicting signals. If the system is Long, it mathematically cannot issue another Long signal until the previous trend has concluded.
The system relies on three core engines:
1. The Trend Architecture (Modified SuperTrend) The backbone of the system is an ATR-based trailing stop mechanism. It creates a dynamic trend line that adjusts to volatility. When volatility expands, the line widens to prevent premature stop-outs during market noise. When volatility contracts, the line tightens to protect profits.
2. The Noise Gate (Choppiness Index) This is the system's safety filter. It measures the fractal efficiency of the market—essentially determining if price is moving in a clear direction or moving sideways. When the market enters a consolidation phase (sideways chop), the Noise Gate activates, turning the candles gray and physically blocking all new entry signals. This prevents the user from entering trades in low-probability environments.
3. The Singularity State Machine This internal logic enforces trading discipline. It treats the trend as a binary state (Bullish or Bearish). It forces an alternating signal pattern, ensuring that you are only alerted to the specific moment a major trend reversal occurs, rather than being bombarded with repetitive signals during a long run.
Best Way to Use This System
To maximize profitability and minimize false positives, it is recommended to use the "Regime & Alignment" methodology outlined below.
1. The Traffic Light Rule
Before placing any trade, observe the color of the candlesticks on the chart:
Green Candles: The market is in a confirmed Bullish Impulse. You should only look for Long entries or hold existing positions. Shorting is statistically dangerous here.
Red Candles: The market is in a confirmed Bearish Impulse. You should only look for Short entries or hold cash. Buying the dip here is high-risk.
Gray Candles: The market is in a Chop/Squeeze regime. The Noise Gate is active. Do not open new positions. This indicates indecision, and the market is likely to destroy option premiums or stop out tight leverage. Wait for the candles to return to Green or Red before acting.
2. The Entry Trigger
Enter a trade only when a text label (LONG or SHORT) appears.
Long Signal: Occurs when price closes above the Trend Line AND the market is not in a Chop zone.
Short Signal: Occurs when price closes below the Trend Line AND the market is not in a Chop zone.
3. The Exit Strategy
There are two ways to manage the trade once active:
The Trend Follower (Conservative): Hold the position until the Trend Line flips color. This captures the maximum duration of the move but may give back some profit at the very end.
The Stop Loss (Active): The Trend Line (the white value in your dashboard) acts as your Trailing Stop. If a candle closes beyond this line, the trend is technically invalidated. You should exit immediately.
4. Multi-Timeframe Alignment (The Golden Rule)
The highest win rates are achieved when your trading timeframe aligns with the higher-order trend.
Step 1: Check the 4-Hour chart. Is the Trend Line Green?
Step 2: Switch to the 15-Minute chart.
Step 3: Only take the LONG signals on the 15-Minute chart. Ignore all Short signals.
Reasoning: Counter-trend trades often fail. By trading only in the direction of the higher timeframe, you are swimming with the current, not against it.
Recommended Settings by Style
Swing Trading (Daily/4H): Keep the Trend Factor at 4.0. This ignores daily noise and keeps you in the trade for weeks or months.
Day Trading (1H/15m): Lower the Trend Factor to 3.0. This makes the system more reactive to intraday reversals.
Scalping (5m): Lower the Trend Factor to 2.0 and the ATR Length to 7. This is aggressive and requires strict adherence to the Stop Loss.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Trading cryptocurrencies, stocks, and futures involves a high degree of risk and the potential for significant financial loss. The user assumes all responsibility for their trading decisions. Past performance of any system or indicator is not indicative of future results. Always practice risk management and never trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
RSI adaptive zones [AdaptiveRSI]This script introduces a unified mathematical framework that auto-scales oversold/overbought and support/resistance zones for any period length. It also adds true RSI candles for spotting intrabar signals.
Built on the Logit RSI foundation, this indicator converts RSI into a statistically normalized space, allowing all RSI lengths to share the same mathematical footing.
What was once based on experience and observation is now grounded in math.
✦ ✦ ✦ ✦ ✦
💡 Example Use Cases
RSI(14): Classic overbought/oversold signals + divergence
Support in an uptrend using RSI(14)
Range breakouts using RSI(21)
Short-term pullbacks using RSI(5)
✦ ✦ ✦ ✦ ✦
THE PAST: RSI Interpretation Required Multiple Rulebooks
Over decades, RSI practitioners discovered that RSI behaves differently depending on trend and lookback length:
• In uptrends, RSI tends to hold higher support zones (40–50)
• In downtrends, RSI tends to resist below 50–60
• Short RSIs (e.g., RSI(2)) require far more extreme threshold values
• Longer RSIs cluster near the center and rarely reach 70/30
These observations were correct — but lacked a unifying mathematical explanation.
✦ ✦ ✦ ✦ ✦
THE PRESENT: One Framework Handles RSI(2) to RSI(200)
Instead of using fixed thresholds (70/30, 90/10, etc.), this indicator maps RSI into a normalized statistical space using:
• The Logit transformation to remove 0–100 scale distortion
• A universal scaling based on 2/√(n−1) scaling factor to equalize distribution shapes
As a result, RSI values become directly comparable across all lookback periods.
✦ ✦ ✦ ✦ ✦
💡 How the Adaptive Zones Are Calculated
The adaptive framework defines RSI zones as statistical regimes derived from the Logit-transformed RSI .
Each boundary corresponds to a standard deviation (σ) threshold, scaled by 2/√(n−1), making RSI distributions comparable across periods.
This structure was inspired by Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s body–shoulders–tails regime model:
Body (±0.66σ) — consolidation / equilibrium
Shoulders (±1σ to ±2.14σ) — trending region
Tails (outside of ±2.14σ) — rare, high-volatility behavior
Transitions between these regimes are defined by the derivatives of the position (CDF) function :
• ±1σ → shift from consolidation to trend
• ±√3σ → shift from trend to exhaustion
Adaptive Zone Summary
Consolidation: −0.66σ to +0.66σ
Support/Resistance: ±0.66σ to ±1σ
Uptrend/Downtrend: ±1σ to ±√3σ
Overbought/Oversold: ±√3σ to ±2.14σ
Tails: outside of ±2.14σ
✦ ✦ ✦ ✦ ✦
📌 Inverse Transformation: From σ-Space Back to RSI
A final step is required to return these statistically normalized boundaries back into the familiar 0–100 RSI scale. Because the Logit transform maps RSI into an unbounded real-number domain, the inverse operation uses the hyperbolic tangent function to compress σ-space back into the bounded RSI range.
RSI(n) = 50 + 50 · tanh(z / √(n − 1))
The result is a smooth, mathematically consistent conversion where the same statistical thresholds maintain identical meaning across all RSI lengths, while still expressing themselves as intuitive RSI values traders already understand.
✦ ✦ ✦ ✦ ✦
Key Features
Mathematically derived adaptive zones for any RSI period
Support/resistance zone identification for trend-aligned reversals
Optional OHLC RSI bars/candles for intrabar zone interactions
Fully customizable zone visibility and colors
Statistically consistent interpretation across all markets and timeframes
Inputs
RSI Length — core parameter controlling zone scaling
RSI Display : Line / Bar / Candle visualization modes
✦ ✦ ✦ ✦ ✦
💡 How to Use
This indicator is a framework , not a binary signal generator.
Start by defining the question you want answered, e.g.:
• Where is the breakout?
• Is price overextended or still trending?
• Is the correction ending, or is trend reversing?
Then:
Choose the RSI length that matches your timeframe
Observe which adaptive zone price is interacting with
Interpret market behavior accordingly
Example: Long-Term Trend Assesment using RSI(200)
A trader may ask: "Is this a long term top?"
Unlikely, because RSI(200) holds above Resistance zone , therefore the trend remains strong.
✦ ✦ ✦ ✦ ✦
👉 Practical tip:
If you used to overlay weekly RSI(14) on a daily chart (getting a line that waits 5 sessions to recalculate), you can now read the same long-horizon state continuously : set RSI(70) on the daily chart (~14 weeks × 5 days/week = 70 days) and let the adaptive zones update every bar .
Note: It won’t be numerically identical to the weekly RSI due to lookback period used, but it tracks the same regime on a standardized scale with bar-by-bar updates.
✦ ✦ ✦ ✦ ✦
Note: This framework describes statistical structure, not prediction. Use as part of a complete trading approach. Past behavior does not guarantee future outcomes.
framework ≠ guaranteed signal
---
Attribution & License
This indicator incorporates:
• Logit transformation of RSI
• Variance scaling using 2/√(n−1)
• Zone placement derived from Taleb’s body–shoulders–tails regime model and CDF derivatives
• Inverse TANH(z) transform for mapping z-scores back into bounded RSI space
Released under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 — free for non-commercial use with credit.
© AdaptiveRSI
Regime [CHE] Regime — Minimal HTF MACD histogram regime marker with a simple rising versus falling state.
Summary
Regime is a lightweight overlay that turns a higher-timeframe-style MACD histogram condition into a simple regime marker on your chart. It queries an imported core module to determine whether the histogram is rising and then paints a consistent marker color based on that boolean state. The output is intentionally minimal: no lines, no panels, no extra smoothing visuals, just a repeated marker that reflects the current regime. This makes it useful as a quick context filter for other signals rather than a standalone system.
Motivation: Why this design?
A common problem in discretionary and systematic workflows is clutter and over-interpretation. Many regime tools draw multiple plots, which can distract from price structure. This script reduces the regime idea to one stable question: is the MACD histogram rising under a given preset and smoothing length. The core logic is delegated to a shared module to keep the indicator thin and consistent across scripts that rely on the same definition.
What’s different vs. standard approaches?
Reference baseline: A standard MACD histogram plotted in a separate pane with manual interpretation.
Architecture differences:
Uses a shared library call for the regime decision, rather than re-implementing MACD logic locally.
Uses a single boolean output to drive marker color, rather than plotting histogram bars.
Uses fixed marker placement at the bottom of the chart for consistent visibility.
Practical effect:
You get a persistent “context layer” on price without dedicating a separate pane or reading histogram amplitude. The chart shows state, not magnitude.
How it works (technical)
1. The script imports `chervolino/CoreMACDHTF/2` and calls `core.is_hist_rising()` on each bar.
2. Inputs provide the source series, a preset string for MACD-style parameters, and a smoothing length used by the library function.
3. The library returns a boolean `rising` that represents whether the histogram is rising according to the library’s internal definition.
4. The script maps that boolean to a color: yellow when rising, blue otherwise.
5. A circle marker is plotted on every bar at the bottom of the chart, colored by the current regime state. Only the most recent five hundred bars are displayed to limit visual load.
Notes:
The exact internal calculation details of `core.is_hist_rising()` are not shown in this code. Any higher timeframe mechanics, security usage, or confirmation behavior are determined by the imported library. (Unknown)
Parameter Guide
Source — Selects the price series used by the library call — Default: close — Tips: Use close for consistency; alternate sources may shift regime changes.
Preset — Chooses parameter preset for the library’s MACD-style configuration — Default: 3,10,16 — Trade-offs: Faster presets tend to flip more often; slower presets tend to react later.
Smoothing Length — Controls smoothing used inside the library regime decision — Default: 21 — Bounds: minimum one — Trade-offs: Higher values typically reduce noise but can delay transitions. (Library behavior: Unknown)
Reading & Interpretation
Yellow markers indicate the library considers the histogram to be rising at that bar.
Blue markers indicate the library considers it not rising, which may include falling or flat conditions depending on the library definition. (Unknown)
Because markers repeat on every bar, focus on transitions from one color to the other as regime changes.
This tool is best read as context: it does not express strength, only direction of change as defined by the library.
Practical Workflows & Combinations
Trend following:
Use yellow as a condition to allow long-side entries and blue as a condition to allow short-side entries, then trigger entries with your primary setup such as structure breaks or pullback patterns. (Optional)
Exits and stops:
Consider tightening management after a color transition against your position direction, but do not treat a single flip as an exit signal without price-based confirmation. (Optional)
Multi-asset and multi-timeframe:
Keep `Source` consistent across assets.
Use the slower preset when instruments are noisy, and the faster preset when you need earlier context shifts. The best transferability depends on the imported library’s behavior. (Unknown)
Behavior, Constraints & Performance
Repaint and confirmation:
This script itself uses no forward-looking indexing and no explicit closed-bar gating. It evaluates on every bar update.
Any repaint or confirmation behavior may come from the imported library. If the library uses higher timeframe data, intrabar updates can change the state until the higher timeframe bar closes. (Unknown)
security and HTF:
Not visible here. The library name suggests HTF behavior, but the implementation is not shown. Treat this as potentially higher-timeframe-driven unless you confirm the library source. (Unknown)
Resources:
No loops, no arrays, no heavy objects. The plotting is one marker series with a five hundred bar display window.
Known limits:
This indicator does not convey histogram magnitude, divergence, or volatility context.
A binary regime can flip in choppy phases depending on preset and smoothing.
Sensible Defaults & Quick Tuning
Starting point:
Source: close
Preset: 3,10,16
Smoothing Length: 21
Tuning recipes:
Too many flips: choose the slower preset and increase smoothing length.
Too sluggish: choose the faster preset and reduce smoothing length.
Regime changes feel misaligned with your entries: keep the preset, switch the source back to close, and tune smoothing length in small steps.
What this indicator is—and isn’t
This is a minimal regime visualization and a context filter. It is not a complete trading system, not a risk model, and not a prediction engine. Use it together with price structure, execution rules, and position management. The regime definition depends on the imported library, so validate it against your market and timeframe before relying on it.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Do not use this indicator on Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, or Range charts, as these chart types can produce unrealistic results for signal markers and alerts.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino
MACD HTF Hardcoded
