Breakout Condition Indicator - Long - V2 - Mega 86Script used for swing trading - contains certain adjustable metrics that I use for scanning and day or entry
在脚本中搜索"breakout"
Breakout Bar CandidateShows the values of True Range, LS volatility and whether the volume is above or below average
MAC's V6 finalBreakout retest strategy
Works best on a NQ 1 hour chart
Also works on other futures charts
Adjust the initial capital to 100000
and the margin requirement percent to 0
Breakout ORB + HTF EMA + ATR Targets (America/Denver)This is a perfect simple chart for those trading Crypto pairs between the London and US market overlays.
Breakout Retest ScannerStill working on it, but break the previous day high or low, retest and get an alert of some sort.
Breakout Josip strategy is focused on analyzing price movements during specific time intervals (from 9:00 AM to 12:00 PM) each day. It tracks the highest and lowest prices in that period and uses them to set targets for potential trades, placing horizontal lines based on these levels. Additionally, you're interested in tracking the success and failure of trades based on whether price breaks certain levels during this time range. The strategy also calculates various metrics like the percentage of successful trades, failed trades, and total trades during a selected time range.
Breakout Candles + RSIHello!
This is my firt script :)
This indicator looks for candles that are significantly larger than the previous X candle.
It is possible to set the following:
Multiplier: deviation from the size of the previous X candle (if set to 3 the size of the actual candle's body /abs(open - close)/ must be larger than the size of the bigger candle from the prevous X candles)
Previous candles: the number of previous candles to size check
Upper RSI limit: if the RSI14 close higher than the specified number, the candle will ignore
Lower RSI limit: if the RSI14 close lower than the specified number, the candle will ignore
Without dojis: if checked, watches candles only that do not have a bottom spike (bullish) or top spike (bearish). Useful for Heikin-Ashi candles
Feel free to left any suggestion!
Thank You!
Breakout Peak Detection - cryptofnqDetect peaks (and valleys) after the indicator has broken out of horizontal bands.
The peaks (and valleys) are connected by lines and the final line is extended to the right.
This can be used with built-in indicator functions or with other chart indicators.
I'm a coder, not a trader. If you find a useful strategy based on my scripts, please drop me a line.
Breakout Volume [racer8]BV determines when volume is high by comparing the previous volume high over n periods to the current volume.
If the current volume exceeds the previous volume high, then the indicator columns will turn red. Enjoy :)
Breakout Volume Can Help Confirm Other SignalsVolume can help confirm signals we might discover using other methods of technical analysis.
This indicator tracks volume intelligently. Its logic spots above-average turnover and then tests against the price change. BrkVol highlights sessions with heavy volume and directional moves. This can help take out the noise and help confirm the trend.
Tesla is a classic example of this, with the stock rallying after showing heavy-volume gains on October 24- 25, December 16 and January 8.
UCS_Ready Set Go2017 - First Code
This is a another way of looking at DMI indicator. Almost similar to any oscillator. You still need to understand the indicator and chart before you can trade with these.
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Intrabar Volume Flow IntelligenceIntrabar Volume Flow Intelligence: A Comprehensive Analysis:
The Intrabar Volume Flow Intelligence indicator represents a sophisticated approach to understanding market dynamics through the lens of volume analysis at a granular, intrabar level. This Pine Script version 5 indicator transcends traditional volume analysis by dissecting price action within individual bars to reveal the true nature of buying and selling pressure that often remains hidden when examining only the external characteristics of completed candlesticks. At its core, this indicator operates on the principle that volume is the fuel that drives price movement, and by understanding where volume is being applied within each bar—whether at higher prices indicating buying pressure or at lower prices indicating selling pressure—traders can gain a significant edge in anticipating future price movements before they become obvious to the broader market.
The foundational innovation of this indicator lies in its use of lower timeframe data to analyze what happens inside each bar on your chart timeframe. While most traders see only the open, high, low, and close of a five-minute candle, for example, this indicator requests data from a one-minute timeframe by default to see all the individual one-minute candles that comprise that five-minute bar. This intrabar analysis allows the indicator to calculate a weighted intensity score based on where the price closed within each sub-bar's range. If the close is near the high, that volume is attributed more heavily to buying pressure; if near the low, to selling pressure. This methodology is far more nuanced than simple tick volume analysis or even traditional volume delta calculations because it accounts for the actual price behavior and distribution of volume throughout the formation of each bar, providing a three-dimensional view of market participation.
The intensity calculation itself demonstrates the coding sophistication embedded in this indicator. For each intrabar segment, the indicator calculates a base intensity using the formula of close minus low divided by the range between high and low. This gives a value between zero and one, where values approaching one indicate closes near the high and values approaching zero indicate closes near the low. However, the indicator doesn't stop there—it applies an open adjustment factor that considers the relationship between the close and open positions within the overall range, adding up to twenty percent additional weighting based on directional movement. This adjustment ensures that strongly directional intrabar movement receives appropriate emphasis in the final volume allocation. The adjusted intensity is then bounded between zero and one to prevent extreme outliers from distorting the analysis, demonstrating careful consideration of edge cases and data integrity.
The volume flow calculation multiplies this intensity by the actual volume transacted in each intrabar segment, creating buy volume and sell volume figures that represent not just quantity but quality of market participation. These figures are accumulated across all intrabar segments within the parent bar, and simultaneously, a volume-weighted average price is calculated for the entire bar using the typical price of each segment multiplied by its volume. This intrabar VWAP becomes a critical reference point for understanding whether the overall bar is trading above or below its fair value as determined by actual transaction levels. The deviation from this intrabar VWAP is then used as a weighting mechanism—when the close is significantly above the intrabar VWAP, buying volume receives additional weight; when below, selling volume is emphasized. This creates a feedback loop where volume that moves price away from equilibrium is recognized as more significant than volume that keeps price near balance.
The imbalance filter represents another layer of analytical sophistication that separates meaningful volume flows from normal market noise. The indicator calculates the absolute difference between buy and sell volume as a percentage of total volume, and this imbalance must exceed a user-defined threshold—defaulted to twenty-five percent but adjustable from five to eighty percent—before the volume flow is considered significant enough to register on the indicator. This filtering mechanism ensures that only bars with clear directional conviction contribute to the cumulative flow measurements, while bars with balanced buying and selling are essentially ignored. This is crucial because markets spend considerable time in equilibrium states where volume is simply facilitating position exchanges without directional intent. By filtering out these neutral periods, the indicator focuses trader attention exclusively on moments when one side of the market is demonstrating clear dominance.
The decay factor implementation showcases advanced state management in Pine Script coding. Rather than allowing imbalanced volume to simply disappear after one bar, the indicator maintains decayed values using variable state that persists across bars. When a new significant imbalance occurs, it replaces the decayed value; when no significant imbalance is present, the previous value is multiplied by the decay factor, which defaults to zero point eight-five. This means that a large volume imbalance continues to influence the indicator for several bars afterward, gradually diminishing in impact unless reinforced by new imbalances. This decay mechanism creates persistence in the flow measurements, acknowledging that large institutional volume accumulation or distribution campaigns don't execute in single bars but rather unfold across multiple bars. The cumulative flow calculation then sums these decayed values over a lookback period, creating a running total that represents sustained directional pressure rather than momentary spikes.
The dual moving average crossover system applied to these volume flows creates actionable trading signals from the underlying data. The indicator calculates both a fast exponential moving average and a slower simple moving average of the buy flow, sell flow, and net flow values. The use of EMA for the fast line provides responsiveness to recent changes while the SMA for the slow line provides a more stable baseline, and the divergence or convergence between these averages signals shifts in volume flow momentum. When the buy flow EMA crosses above its SMA while volume is elevated, this indicates that buying pressure is not only present but accelerating, which is the foundation for the strong buy signal generation. The same logic applies inversely for selling pressure, creating a symmetrical approach to detecting both upside and downside momentum shifts based on volume characteristics rather than price characteristics.
The volume threshold filtering ensures that signals only generate during periods of statistically significant market participation. The indicator calculates a simple moving average of total volume over a user-defined period, defaulted to twenty bars, and then requires that current volume exceed this average by a multiplier, defaulted to one point two times. This ensures that signals occur during periods when the market is actively engaged rather than during quiet periods when a few large orders can create misleading volume patterns. The indicator even distinguishes between high volume—exceeding the threshold—and very high volume—exceeding one point five times the threshold—with the latter triggering background color changes to alert traders to exceptional participation levels. This tiered volume classification allows traders to calibrate their position sizing and conviction levels based on the strength of market participation supporting the signal.
The flow momentum calculation adds a velocity dimension to the volume analysis. By calculating the rate of change of the net flow EMA over a user-defined momentum length—defaulted to five bars—the indicator measures not just the direction of volume flow but the acceleration or deceleration of that flow. A positive and increasing flow momentum indicates that buying pressure is not only dominant but intensifying, which typically precedes significant upward price movements. Conversely, negative and decreasing flow momentum suggests selling pressure is building upon itself, often preceding breakdowns. The indicator even calculates a second derivative—the momentum of momentum, termed flow acceleration—which can identify very early turning points when the rate of change itself begins to shift, providing the most forward-looking signal available from this methodology.
The divergence detection system represents one of the most powerful features for identifying potential trend reversals and continuations. The indicator maintains separate tracking of price extremes and flow extremes over a lookback period defaulted to fourteen bars. A bearish divergence is identified when price makes a new high or equals the recent high, but the net flow EMA is significantly below its recent high—specifically less than eighty percent of that high—and is declining compared to its value at the divergence lookback distance. This pattern indicates that while price is pushing higher, the volume support for that movement is deteriorating, which frequently precedes reversals. Bullish divergences work inversely, identifying situations where price makes new lows without corresponding weakness in volume flow, suggesting that selling pressure is exhausted and a reversal higher is probable. These divergence signals are plotted as distinct diamond shapes on the indicator, making them visually prominent for trader attention.
The accumulation and distribution zone detection provides a longer-term context for understanding institutional positioning. The indicator uses the bars-since function to track consecutive periods where the net flow EMA has remained positive or negative. When buying pressure has persisted for at least five consecutive bars, average intensity exceeds zero point six indicating strong closes within bar ranges, and volume is elevated above the threshold, the indicator identifies an accumulation zone. These zones suggest that smart money is systematically building long positions across multiple bars despite potentially choppy or sideways price action. Distribution zones are identified through the inverse criteria, revealing periods when institutions are systematically exiting or building short positions. These zones are visualized through colored fills on the indicator pane, creating a backdrop that helps traders understand the broader volume flow context beyond individual bar signals.
The signal strength scoring system provides a quantitative measure of conviction for each buy or sell signal. Rather than treating all signals as equal, the indicator assigns point values to different signal components: twenty-five points for the buy flow EMA-SMA crossover, twenty-five points for the net flow EMA-SMA crossover, twenty points for high volume presence, fifteen points for positive flow momentum, and fifteen points for bullish divergence presence. These points are summed to create a buy score that can range from zero to one hundred percent, with higher scores indicating that multiple independent confirmation factors are aligned. The same methodology creates a sell score, and these scores are displayed in the information table, allowing traders to quickly assess whether a signal represents a tentative suggestion or a high-conviction setup. This scoring approach transforms the indicator from a binary signal generator into a nuanced probability assessment tool.
The visual presentation of the indicator demonstrates exceptional attention to user experience and information density. The primary display shows the net flow EMA as a thick colored line that transitions between green when above zero and above its SMA, indicating strong buying, to a lighter green when above zero but below the SMA, indicating weakening buying, to red when below zero and below the SMA, indicating strong selling, to a lighter red when below zero but above the SMA, indicating weakening selling. This color gradient provides immediate visual feedback about both direction and momentum of volume flows. The net flow SMA is overlaid in orange as a reference line, and a zero line is drawn to clearly delineate positive from negative territory. Behind these lines, a histogram representation of the raw net flow—scaled down by thirty percent for visibility—shows bar-by-bar flow with color intensity reflecting whether flow is strengthening or weakening compared to the previous bar. This layered visualization allows traders to simultaneously see the raw data, the smoothed trend, and the trend of the trend, accommodating both short-term and longer-term trading perspectives.
The cumulative delta line adds a macro perspective by maintaining a running sum of all volume deltas divided by one million for scale, plotted in purple as a separate series. This cumulative measure acts similar to an on-balance volume calculation but with the sophisticated volume attribution methodology of this indicator, creating a long-term sentiment gauge that can reveal whether an asset is under sustained accumulation or distribution across days, weeks, or months. Divergences between this cumulative delta and price can identify major trend exhaustion or reversal points that might not be visible in the shorter-term flow measurements.
The signal plotting uses shape-based markers rather than background colors or arrows to maximize clarity while preserving chart space. Strong buy signals—meeting multiple criteria including EMA-SMA crossover, high volume, and positive momentum—appear as full-size green triangle-up shapes at the bottom of the indicator pane. Strong sell signals appear as full-size red triangle-down shapes at the top. Regular buy and sell signals that meet fewer criteria appear as smaller, semi-transparent circles, indicating they warrant attention but lack the full confirmation of strong signals. Divergence-based signals appear as distinct diamond shapes in cyan for bullish divergences and orange for bearish divergences, ensuring these critical reversal indicators are immediately recognizable and don't get confused with momentum-based signals. This multi-tiered signal hierarchy helps traders prioritize their analysis and avoid signal overload.
The information table in the top-right corner of the indicator pane provides real-time quantitative feedback on all major calculation components. It displays the current bar's buy volume and sell volume in millions with appropriate color coding, the imbalance percentage with color indicating whether it exceeds the threshold, the average intensity score showing whether closes are generally near highs or lows, the flow momentum value, and the current buy and sell scores. This table transforms the indicator from a purely graphical tool into a quantitative dashboard, allowing discretionary traders to incorporate specific numerical thresholds into their decision frameworks. For example, a trader might require that buy score exceed seventy percent and intensity exceed zero point six-five before taking a long position, creating objective entry criteria from subjective chart reading.
The background shading that occurs during very high volume periods provides an ambient alert system that doesn't require focused attention on the indicator pane. When volume spikes to one point five times the threshold and net flow EMA is positive, a very light green background appears across the entire indicator pane; when volume spikes with negative net flow, a light red background appears. These backgrounds create a subliminal awareness of exceptional market participation moments, ensuring traders notice when the market is making important decisions even if they're focused on price action or other indicators at that moment.
The alert system built into the indicator allows traders to receive notifications for strong buy signals, strong sell signals, bullish divergences, bearish divergences, and very high volume events. These alerts can be configured in TradingView to send push notifications to mobile devices, emails, or webhook calls to automated trading systems. This functionality transforms the indicator from a passive analysis tool into an active monitoring system that can watch markets continuously and notify the trader only when significant volume flow developments occur. For traders monitoring multiple instruments, this alert capability is invaluable for efficient time allocation, allowing them to analyze other opportunities while being instantly notified when this indicator identifies high-probability setups on their watch list.
The coding implementation demonstrates advanced Pine Script techniques including the use of request.security_lower_tf to access intrabar data, array manipulation to process variable-length intrabar arrays, proper variable scoping with var keyword for persistent state management across bars, and efficient conditional logic that prevents unnecessary calculations. The code structure with clearly delineated sections for inputs, calculations, signal generation, plotting, and alerts makes it maintainable and educational for those studying Pine Script development. The use of input groups with custom headers creates an organized settings panel that doesn't overwhelm users with dozens of ungrouped parameters, while still providing substantial customization capability for advanced users who want to optimize the indicator for specific instruments or timeframes.
For practical trading application, this indicator excels in several specific use cases. Scalpers and day traders can use the intrabar analysis to identify accumulation or distribution happening within the bars of their entry timeframe, providing early entry signals before momentum indicators or price patterns complete. Swing traders can use the cumulative delta and accumulation-distribution zones to understand whether short-term pullbacks in an uptrend are being bought or sold, helping distinguish between healthy retracements and trend reversals. Position traders can use the divergence detection to identify major turning points where price extremes are not supported by volume, providing low-risk entry points for counter-trend positions or warnings to exit with-trend positions before significant reversals.
The indicator is particularly valuable in ranging markets where price-based indicators produce numerous false breakout signals. By requiring that breakouts be accompanied by volume flow imbalances, the indicator filters out failed breakouts driven by low participation. When price breaks a range boundary accompanied by a strong buy or sell signal with high buy or sell score and very high volume, the probability of successful breakout follow-through increases dramatically. Conversely, when price breaks a range but the indicator shows low imbalance, opposing flow direction, or low volume, traders can fade the breakout or at minimum avoid chasing it.
During trending markets, the indicator helps traders identify the healthiest entry points by revealing where pullbacks are being accumulated by smart money. A trending market will show the cumulative delta continuing in the trend direction even as price pulls back, and accumulation zones will form during these pullbacks. When price resumes the trend, the indicator will generate strong buy or sell signals with high scores, providing objective entry points with clear invalidation levels. The flow momentum component helps traders stay with trends longer by distinguishing between healthy momentum pauses—where momentum goes to zero but doesn't reverse—and actual momentum reversals where opposing pressure is building.
The VWAP deviation weighting adds particular value for traders of liquid instruments like major forex pairs, stock indices, and high-volume stocks where VWAP is widely watched by institutional participants. When price deviates significantly from the intrabar VWAP and volume flows in the direction of that deviation with elevated weighting, it indicates that the move away from fair value is being driven by conviction rather than mechanical order flow. This suggests the deviation will likely extend further, creating continuation trading opportunities. Conversely, when price deviates from intrabar VWAP but volume flow shows reduced intensity or opposing direction despite the weighting, it suggests the deviation will revert to VWAP, creating mean reversion opportunities.
The ATR normalization option makes the indicator values comparable across different volatility regimes and different instruments. Without normalization, a one-million share buy-sell imbalance might be significant for a low-volatility stock but trivial for a high-volatility cryptocurrency. By normalizing the delta by ATR, the indicator accounts for the typical price movement capacity of the instrument, making signal thresholds and comparison values meaningful across different trading contexts. This is particularly valuable for traders running the indicator on multiple instruments who want consistent signal quality regardless of the underlying instrument characteristics.
The configurable decay factor allows traders to adjust how persistent they want volume flows to remain influential. For very short-term scalping, a lower decay factor like zero point five will cause volume imbalances to dissipate quickly, keeping the indicator focused only on very recent flows. For longer-term position trading, a higher decay factor like zero point nine-five will allow significant volume events to influence the indicator for many bars, revealing longer-term accumulation and distribution patterns. This flexibility makes the single indicator adaptable to trading styles ranging from one-minute scalping to daily chart position trading simply by adjusting the decay parameter and the lookback bars.
The minimum imbalance percentage setting provides crucial noise filtering that can be optimized per instrument. Highly liquid instruments with tight spreads might show numerous small imbalances that are meaningless, requiring a higher threshold like thirty-five or forty percent to filter noise effectively. Thinly traded instruments might rarely show extreme imbalances, requiring a lower threshold like fifteen or twenty percent to generate adequate signals. By making this threshold user-configurable with a wide range, the indicator accommodates the full spectrum of market microstructure characteristics across different instruments and timeframes.
In conclusion, the Intrabar Volume Flow Intelligence indicator represents a comprehensive volume analysis system that combines intrabar data access, sophisticated volume attribution algorithms, multi-timeframe smoothing, statistical filtering, divergence detection, zone identification, and intelligent signal scoring into a cohesive analytical framework. It provides traders with visibility into market dynamics that are invisible to price-only analysis and even to conventional volume analysis, revealing the true intentions of market participants through their actual transaction behavior within each bar. The indicator's strength lies not in any single feature but in the integration of multiple analytical layers that confirm and validate each other, creating high-probability signal generation that can form the foundation of complete trading systems or provide powerful confirmation for discretionary analysis. For traders willing to invest time in understanding its components and optimizing its parameters for their specific instruments and timeframes, this indicator offers a significant informational advantage in increasingly competitive markets where edge is derived from seeing what others miss and acting on that information before it becomes consensus.
HOHO Oscillator Squeeze With AGAIG TurnsHOHO OSCILLATOR SQUEEZE WITH AGAIG TURN DETECTION
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OVERVIEW
This powerful indicator combines three proven trading concepts into one visually stunning, highly accurate momentum and trend analysis tool:
• HOHO (Hump Oscillator) - Multi-timeframe momentum oscillator
• Squeeze Indicator - Bollinger Bands/Keltner Channel volatility compression detector
• AGAIG (As Good As It Gets) Turn Detection - Intelligent price reversal identification
The result is a comprehensive trading system that identifies high-probability entry and exit points with exceptional visual clarity.
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KEY FEATURES
HOHO OSCILLATOR
The foundation of this indicator is the Hump Oscillator, which creates distinctive wave patterns ("humps") above and below the zero line. These colorful columns provide instant visual feedback on momentum direction and strength:
• Fast oscillator (thin columns) - Responsive to immediate price action
• Slow oscillator (wide columns) - Confirms underlying trend momentum
• Color-coded bars shift from bright (strong momentum) to dark (weakening momentum)
• Fully customizable MA types (EMA/SMA) and lengths
SQUEEZE DETECTION
Integrated Bollinger Band and Keltner Channel analysis identifies volatility compression:
• Yellow zero-line dots signal active squeeze conditions
• Optional yellow background highlights compression zones
• Anticipates explosive breakout moves
• Adjustable BB and KC parameters for different markets and timeframes
AGAIG TURN DETECTION
Intelligent price reversal identification based on the "As Good As It Gets" methodology:
• Automatically identifies significant market turning points
• Adjustable sensitivity via "Turn Detection Length" (lower = more signals, higher = fewer signals)
• Strength filter ensures only quality setups are marked (1-10 scale)
• Eliminates noise and false signals common in traditional pivot indicators
VISUAL SIGNALS
• BUY arrows (green triangles) mark bullish reversal opportunities
• SELL arrows (red triangles) mark bearish reversal opportunities
• Text labels positioned for optimal readability
• All arrows appear at actual turning points with configurable lookback offset
FLEXIBLE CUSTOMIZATION
• Choose between EMA or SMA for all moving average calculations
• Adjustable oscillator lengths for different trading styles
• Configurable turn detection sensitivity
• Optional bar coloring based on Fast or Slow momentum
• Clean, professional visual design
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HOW TO USE
ENTRY SIGNALS
Look for BUY/SELL arrows combined with:
1. Squeeze conditions (yellow markers) for highest-probability setups
2. Oscillator color confirmation (green for longs, red for shorts)
3. Turn strength that meets your minimum requirements
TREND CONFIRMATION
• Strong green humps = bullish momentum building
• Strong red humps = bearish momentum building
• Oscillator crossing zero = momentum shift
• Color transitions = momentum strengthening or weakening
VOLATILITY ANALYSIS
• Yellow zero-line dots = consolidation/squeeze active
• Expansion after squeeze = high-probability breakout opportunity
• Combine with turn arrows for precise entry timing
PARAMETER TUNING
For scalping/day trading (5m-15m charts):
• Turn Detection Length: 3-5
• Turn Strength: 2-4
For swing trading (1H-4H charts):
• Turn Detection Length: 5-8
• Turn Strength: 3-5
For position trading (Daily charts):
• Turn Detection Length: 8-15
• Turn Strength: 5-7
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CREDITS & ATTRIBUTION
This indicator builds upon the excellent work of:
• HOHO (Hump Oscillator) - Original concept from ThinkorSwim community
• Squeeze Indicator - Based on TTM Squeeze by John Carter
• AGAIG (As Good As It Gets) - Turn detection methodology by NPR21
Converted and enhanced for TradingView with permission from the trading community.
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BEST PRACTICES
✓ Use on liquid markets (major indices, forex pairs, crypto)
✓ Combine with support/resistance levels for confluence
✓ Wait for oscillator color confirmation before entry
✓ Higher turn strength settings = fewer but higher-quality signals
✓ Squeeze breakouts offer exceptional risk/reward opportunities
✓ Practice proper risk management and position sizing
✗ Don't trade every arrow - wait for confluence
✗ Don't ignore the oscillator colors - they show momentum health
✗ Don't use overly sensitive settings in choppy markets
✗ Don't trade counter to the oscillator trend without strong confirmation
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WHAT MAKES THIS INDICATOR UNIQUE
Unlike standalone momentum oscillators or simple pivot indicators, this tool synthesizes three proven methodologies into a single, coherent visual system. The combination of momentum analysis (HOHO), volatility detection (Squeeze), and intelligent turn identification (AGAIG) provides traders with a comprehensive view of market conditions and high-probability trading opportunities.
The indicator's visual design uses color psychology and positioning to make complex market analysis instantly understandable at a glance - critical for fast-moving markets and quick decision-making.
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SUITABLE FOR
• Day traders on 5m-30m timeframes
• Swing traders on 1H-Daily timeframes
• Scalpers seeking momentum confirmation
• Options traders identifying reversal points
• Futures traders (especially /ES, /NQ, /YM)
• Forex traders on major pairs
• Cryptocurrency traders
Dow Theory Cockpit [Final Fixed V15]1. Evolution History
The system has reached its final form through five distinct development phases:
Phase 1: Logic Development (V1–V6)
Established four core logics: BREAK and DIP (Dow Theory), SNIPER (Reversal), and PUSH (Trend continuation).
Implemented the Multi-Timeframe (MTF) panel and Market Scanner.
Phase 2: Strategy Transition (V7–V9)
Integrated backtesting features, but found the Pine Script calculation load too heavy for real-time charting.
Phase 3: Optimization & Performance (V10–V11)
Prioritized smooth real-time execution by returning to a lightweight indicator format.
Introduced the on-chart stats panel for Win Rate and P&L tracking.
Phase 4: Visual Completion (V12–V13)
High-Vis Fib: Bold orange lines highlighting the Golden Zone (38.2%/61.8%).
Visual Zones: Introduced Green and Red bands for intuitive trade tracking.
Phase 5: Smart Adjust Implementation (V14 - Current)
Barrier Avoidance: Automatically detects nearby Support/Resistance boxes and shortens the TP to secure profits before a potential reversal.
Dynamic RR Optimization: Automatically adjusts the SL in tandem with the shortened TP to maintain a healthy Risk-Reward ratio.
2. Specifications
Name: Dow Theory Cockpit
Format: Indicator
Trading Style: Scalping to Day Trading
Timeframes: 5M, 15M (Recommended), 1H
Assets: All pairs (Gold, Crypto, Forex, Indices)
3. Features
① Quad-Logic Entry Signals
🎯 SNIPER: Reversal logic targeting "Tops and Bottoms" when the market is overextended.
🌊 DIP: Trend-following logic for "Deep Pullbacks" with clean Moving Average alignment.
⚡ PUSH: Scalping logic for "Shallow Pullbacks" during high-momentum trends.
🚀 BREAK: Classic Dow Theory momentum entry on recent High/Low breakouts.
② Visual Analysis Tools
S/R BOX: Displays key price levels as shaded zones to account for market noise and wick volatility.
High-Vis Auto Fib: Automatically plots Fibonacci levels, highlighting the Golden Zone with bold lines.
③ Bulletproof Money Management
Calculated Lot Size: Displays the precise lot size based on your account balance and Risk % directly on the signal label.
TP/SL Zones: Dynamic Green and Red bands show exactly where your profit and loss targets lie.
④ Smart Adjust Function (NEW)
Logic: Automatically scans for strong S/R walls near your entry.
Normal Condition: Displays TP/SL at your default Risk-Reward ratio.
Wall Detected: Automatically pulls the TP to the edge of the barrier and tightens the SL to maintain the ratio.
Alert: A "⚠️Adj" warning appears on the label when this adjustment is active.
⑤ Integrated Info Panel
Main Panel: Trends across all timeframes, real-time Win Rate, and Period Net P&L.
Scanner: Constant monitoring of Gold/JPY/BTC and major US/JP economic data.
4. How to Use
Configuration: In the settings under , input your balance and Risk %. Set your start date in .
Entry Decision: Wait for the "★ BUY" or "★ SELL" label.
"⚠️Adj" displayed: The system has detected a nearby barrier and narrowed the TP/SL for safety. This results in a higher win rate with smaller gains.
No warning: No barriers detected. Targets the default wide Risk-Reward ratio.
Execution: Enter using the exact Lot size on the label. Set your Limit/Stop orders at the provided TP/SL prices.
Exit: The trade concludes when the price reaches the Green or Red zone. Smart Adjust ensures you exit the market before a potential bounce.
1. 大幅なアップデート履歴 (Evolution History)
このシステムは、以下の5つのフェーズを経て完成しました。
フェーズ1：ロジック構築期 (V1〜V6)
ダウ理論に基づく「BREAK」「DIP」に加え、逆張り「SNIPER」、順張り追撃「PUSH」の4つのロジックを搭載。
マルチタイムフレーム（MTF）パネル、市場監視スキャナーの実装。
フェーズ2：ストラテジー化への挑戦 (V7〜V9)
バックテスト機能を搭載したが、Pine Scriptの計算負荷増大によりチャート動作が重くなる問題が発生。
フェーズ3：軽量化と原点回帰 (V10〜V11)
**「実戦での快適さ」**を最優先し、indicator 形式へ戻して超軽量化。
期間損益や勝率を、チャート上のパネルで簡易確認できる仕様に変更。
フェーズ4：視認性の完成 (V12〜V13)
High-Vis Fib: フィボナッチの重要ライン（38.2%/61.8%）を太いオレンジ実線で強調。
Visual Zone: トレード中、チャート上に「緑（利益）/赤（損失）」の帯を表示し、直感的な判断を可能に。
フェーズ5：スマート・アジャスト実装 (V14 - Current)
障害物回避機能: エントリー方向の直近に「逆側のレジサポBOX（壁）」がある場合、TPをその手前に自動短縮し、反発による含み益消滅リスクを回避。
RR自動最適化: TPの短縮に合わせて、最低限のリスクリワード（RR）を維持するようSLも自動調整する機能を搭載。
2. 全体の仕様 (Specifications)
名称: Dow Theory Cockpit
形式: インジケーター (Indicator)
※TradingViewの「ストラテジーテスター」タブは使用しません。
推奨スタイル: スキャルピング 〜 デイトレード
推奨時間足: 5分足、15分足（推奨）、1時間足
通貨ペア: 全通貨対応（Gold, Crypto, Forex, Index）
3. 特徴と機能 (Features)
① 4つの「高期待値」エントリーロジック
相場の状況に合わせて最適なサインが点灯します。
🎯 SNIPER: 行き過ぎた相場の反転（天底）を狙う逆張り。
🌊 DIP: 移動平均線の並びが良い状態での「深い押し目」を拾う順張り。
⚡ PUSH: 強いトレンド（ADX上昇中）の「浅い押し目」で飛び乗るスキャルピング用。
🚀 BREAK: ダウ理論の基本、直近高値・安値ブレイクでのエントリー。
② 視覚的環境認識ツール
レジサポ BOX: 重要価格帯を「面（ボックス）」で表示。ヒゲのダマシを許容します。
High-Vis Auto Fib: 直近の波を検知し、38.2%/61.8%（ゴールデンゾーン）を太線で強調表示。
③ 鉄壁の資金管理 (Money Management)
推奨ロット表示: 口座資金と許容リスク（％）に基づき、適正ロット数を自動計算して表示します。
TP/SL ゾーン: エントリー中、チャート上に「利確までの緑の帯」と「損切までの赤の帯」が表示され、価格の進行度合いが一目で分かります。
④ スマート・アジャスト機能 (Smart Adjust) ★NEW
機能: エントリー時、目標地点の手前に「強力なレジサポBOX」があるかを自動検知します。
動作:
通常時: 設定通りのRR（2.5倍など）でTP/SLを表示。
壁がある時: **「壁の手前」**にTPを引き下げ、それに合わせてSLも浅く調整します。
表示: 調整が行われた場合、ラベルに 「⚠️Adj（調整済み）」 と警告が出ます。
⑤ 情報集約パネル
Main Panel: 全時間足のトレンド方向、直近の勝率、期間内の純損益を表示。
Scanner: Gold / JPY / BTC の動向と、日米経済指標を常時監視。
4. 使い方 (How to Use)
STEP 1: 初期設定
インジケーター設定の 【F. 資金管理】 を開き、口座資金 と リスク(%) を入力します。
【T. バックテスト期間】 で損益計算を開始したい日付を設定します。
STEP 2: エントリー判断
チャートに 「★ BUY」 または 「★ SELL」 のラベルが出現するのを待ちます。
ラベルの確認:
「⚠️Adj」 と出ている場合 → 「近くに壁があるため、TP/SLを狭く調整しました」という意味です。勝率は上がりますが、値幅は小さくなります。
何も出ていない場合 → 「障害物なし。通常のRRで大きく狙います」という意味です。
STEP 3: 注文 (Execution)
ラベルの数値を信頼して注文を出します。
Lot: 表示された数量を入力。
TP/SL: 表示された価格に指値・逆指値を置く。
STEP 4: 決済 (Exit)
チャート上の 「緑の帯（TP）」 か 「赤の帯（SL）」 にローソク足が到達したら決済です。
**「スマートアジャスト」により、壁の手前で利確設定されているため、「反発して戻ってくる前に逃げ切る」**ことができます。
Titan 6.1 Alpha Predator [Syntax Verified]Based on the code provided above, the Titan 6.1 Alpha Predator is a sophisticated algorithmic asset allocation system designed to run within TradingView. It functions as a complete dashboard that ranks a portfolio of 20 assets (e.g., crypto, stocks, forex) based on a dual-engine logic of Trend Following and Mean Reversion, enhanced by institutional-grade filters.Here is a breakdown of how it works:1. The Core Logic (Hybrid Engine)The indicator runs a daily "tournament" where every asset competes against every other asset in a pairwise analysis. It calculates two distinct scores for each asset and selects the higher of the two:Trend Score: Rewards assets with strong directional momentum (Bullish EMA Cross), high RSI, and rising ADX.Reversal Score: Rewards assets that are mathematically oversold (Low RSI) but are showing a "spark" of life (Positive Rate of Change) and high volume.2. Key FeaturesPairwise Ranking: Instead of looking at assets in isolation, it compares them directly (e.g., Is Bitcoin's trend stronger than Ethereum's?). This creates a relative strength ranking.Institutional Filters:Volume Pressure: It boosts the score of assets seeing volume >150% of their 20-day average, but only if the price is moving up.Volatility Check (ATR): It filters out "dead" assets (volatility < 1%) to prevent capital from getting stuck in sideways markets."Alpha Predator" Boosters:Consistency: Assets that have been green for at least 7 of the last 10 days receive a mathematically significant score boost.Market Shield: If more than 50% of the monitored assets are weak, the system automatically reduces allocation percentages, signaling you to hold more cash.3. Safety ProtocolsThe system includes strict rules to protect capital:Falling Knife Protection: If an asset is in Reversal mode (REV) but the price is still dropping (Red Candle), the allocation is forced to 0.0%.Trend Stop (Toxic Asset): If an asset closes below its 50-day EMA and has negative momentum, it is marked as SELL 🛑, and its allocation is set to zero.4. How to Read the DashboardThe indicator displays a table on your chart with the following signals:SignalMeaningActionTREND 🚀Strong BreakoutHigh conviction Buy. Fresh uptrend.TREND 📈Established TrendBuy/Hold. Steady uptrend.REV ✅Confirmed ReversalBuy the Dip. Price is oversold but turning Green today.REV ⚠️Falling KnifeDo Not Buy. Price is cheap but still crashing.SELL 🛑Toxic AssetExit Immediately. Trend is broken and momentum is negative.Icons:🔥 (Fire): Institutional Buying (Volume > 1.5x average).💎 (Diamond): High Consistency (7+ Green days in the last 10).🛡️ (Shield): Market Defense Active (Allocations reduced due to broad market weakness).
Advanced Concept V4 Change your trading time zone to New York . To maximize readiness for institutional trading setups based on the prescribed models, traders should set alarms for specific times in the New York Time Zone (EST/EDT), which is generally 10.5 hours behind IST.
Asian Stop Hunt Model
The Stop Hunt Model is a liquidity-based strategy designed to exploit market stop-loss sweeps by aligning with the IPDA daily bias. The core idea is to wait for price to sweep the engineered liquidity of the Asian Session High or Low (after 10:30 AM IST). Once the sweep occurs, the trader confirms the market's true direction via a Change of Character (CHoCH) on the lower timeframe. The entry is then taken only on a retest of the resulting price inefficiency, specifically a Balanced Price Range (BPR) or imbalance, which represents the institutional entry point. By targeting the next major liquidity pool with a minimum 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio, the model prioritizes discipline and quality over frequent trading.
The New York Open Model
The New York Open Model is an index-focused strategy (SPX500, NAS100, US30) that trades solely during the New York Session (9:30 AM – 12:30 PM NYT). It establishes a Range Zone high and low from midnight until the open, treating these boundaries as institutional liquidity targets. Execution is triggered by a mandatory liquidity sweep of one side of this range, followed by a confirming Change of Character (CHoCH) on the 1-minute chart. Entry is taken precisely on the retest of a resulting price inefficiency (like an FVG), aiming for the opposite side of the session range, prioritizing simplicity, timing, and controlled risk over external biases like IPDA.
The ATM Strategy
The ATM Strategy is a high-precision, New York-session trading model designed to capture institutional liquidity moves using the IPDA directional bias. The strategy operates by first defining a Range Zone (00:00 to 8:30 AM NY time) where high and low boundaries act as liquidity targets. Execution is restricted to the Trading Zone (8:30AM to 12:30 PM NY time) and is only triggered when price executes a mandatory liquidity sweep of one range boundary that aligns with the IPDA bias. This sweep must then be confirmed on the 1-minute chart by a Change of Character (CHoCH). Final entry is taken on the retest of a resulting price inefficiency (like an FVG or BPR), with targets set at session highs or lows, ensuring institutional-style execution with high clarity and discipline.
The Central Bank Dealer Range (CBDR)
The Central Bank Dealer Range (CBDR) model is a disciplined, institutional trading strategy used on the 15-minute chart, primarily focusing on London Session liquidity for major currency pairs. The core idea is to align with Interbank Price Delivery Algorithm (IPDA) bias, which dictates a mandatory liquidity sweep (a false breakout of the previous day's high or low) must occur first. Following this sweep, a visible price imbalance (Fair Value Gap) must form within the London Session. Entry is strictly taken only on the retest of this imbalance zone, confirming institutional order flow, with a fixed target at the opposite boundary of the previous day's range.
Dynamic ATR-based Renko Overlay - Non repaintingDaily ATR-Based Renko Overlay
Overview
This Pine Script v5 indicator creates a dynamic Renko overlay on your time-based charts (optimized for 1-minute timeframes), using the previous period's ATR from a user-specified higher timeframe (default: 1-hour) to determine brick sizes. Unlike traditional Renko charts, this is an overlay that draws Renko bricks directly on top of your existing candles, allowing you to combine the noise-filtering power of Renko with the full features of time-based charts.
It's designed for traders who want Renko's trend-clarity benefits without switching chart types, especially useful for intraday trading in volatile markets like forex, stocks, or crypto.
Key Features
- Adaptive Brick Sizing: Brick size is calculated as a percentage (default 40%) of the previous period's ATR (Average True Range, default length 14) from the selected higher timeframe (default: 1-hour). This makes bricks volatility-adjusted—larger in high-vol periods to reduce noise, smaller in low-vol for more detail.
- Periodic Recalculation: Resets brick size at the start of each new period based on the user-specified reset timeframe (default: daily), using the prior period's ATR from the chosen timeframe. This ensures relevance without unwanted disruptions.
- Traditional Renko Logic: Uses 1-box reversal (a full brick against the trend to reverse). Bricks form based on closing prices, ignoring time and minor fluctuations.
- Visual Style: Stepped lines with green (up) and red (down) fills for a box-like appearance. Semi-transparent for easy overlay on candles.
- Customizable Inputs:
- ATR Length: Adjust the ATR period (default: 14).
- Percentage of ATR: Fine-tune brick sensitivity (default: 0.4 or 40%; range 0-1).
- ATR Timeframe: Specify the timeframe for ATR calculation (default: "60" for 1-hour; enter as a string like "240" for 4-hour, "D" for daily, etc.).
- Reset Timeframe: Specify the period for recalculating the brick size (default: "D" for daily; enter as a string like "W" for weekly, "M" for monthly, etc.).
How It Works
1. Fetches ATR from the user-specified timeframe via `request.security` for higher-timeframe volatility data.
2. On new periods based on the reset timeframe (or first load), sets brick size to `percent * ATR_HTF`.
3. Tracks Renko "close" and "previous close" to calculate bricks:
- Upward moves add green bricks in multiples of the size.
- Downward moves add red bricks.
- Reversals require a full brick against the direction.
4. Plots and fills create the overlay, updating on each 1-min bar close.
Add it to a 1-minute chart for best results—bricks will adapt periodically while you retain full candle visibility.
Why This Indicator is Helpful
TradingView's native Renko charts are powerful but come with limitations that can frustrate serious traders:
- No Bar Replay: Native Renko doesn't support TradingView's bar replay feature, making it hard to simulate historical trading sessions.
- Inaccurate/Repainting Strategy Testing: Strategies on native Renko can repaint or lack precision due to the non-time-based nature, leading to unreliable backtests.
- Limited Data History: Fast Renko timeframes (e.g., small bricks) often load very little historical data, restricting long-term analysis.
This overlay solves these by building Renko on a time-based chart:
- Full Bar Replay Support: Replay sessions as usual on your 1-min chart—the Renko follows along.
- Accurate, Non-Repainting Testing: Test strategies on the underlying time chart without repainting issues, as Renko is derived from closes.
- Unlimited Data Depth: Access TradingView's full historical data for 1-min charts (up to years of bars), not limited by Renko's data constraints.
- Hybrid Analysis: Overlay Renko on candles to spot trends while using volume, indicators (e.g., RSI, MAs), or drawing tools that don't work well on native Renko.
It's a game-changer for trend-following, breakout strategies, or filtering noise in short-term trades. No more switching charts—get the best of both worlds!
Usage Tips
- Best on 1-min charts for intraday precision, but experiment with others.
- Tune the percentage lower (e.g., 0.3) for more bricks/sensitivity, higher (e.g., 0.5) for fewer/false-signal reduction.
- Adjust the ATR timeframe to match your strategy—e.g., "240" for longer-term volatility or "15" for shorter.
- Customize the reset timeframe for different recalculation frequencies—e.g., "W" for weekly resets to capture broader market shifts, or "240" for every 4 hours.
- Combine with alerts: right now I am experimenting with 90 period EMA and the Renko brick pullbacks to find some EDGE
If you find this useful, give it a thumbs up or share your tweaks in the comments. Feedback welcome—happy trading! 🚀
ORB Fusion🎯 CORE INNOVATION: INSTITUTIONAL ORB FRAMEWORK WITH FAILED BREAKOUT INTELLIGENCE
ORB Fusion represents a complete institutional-grade Opening Range Breakout system combining classic Market Profile concepts (Initial Balance, day type classification) with modern algorithmic breakout detection, failed breakout reversal logic, and comprehensive statistical tracking. Rather than simply drawing lines at opening range extremes, this system implements the full trading methodology used by professional floor traders and market makers—including the critical concept that failed breakouts are often higher-probability setups than successful breakouts .
The Opening Range Hypothesis:
The first 30-60 minutes of trading establishes the day's value area —the price range where the majority of participants agree on fair value. This range is formed during peak information flow (overnight news digestion, gap reactions, early institutional positioning). Breakouts from this range signal directional conviction; failures to hold breakouts signal trapped participants and create exploitable reversals.
Why Opening Range Matters:
1. Information Aggregation : Opening range reflects overnight news, pre-market sentiment, and early institutional orders. It's the market's initial "consensus" on value.
2. Liquidity Concentration : Stop losses cluster just outside opening range. Breakouts trigger these stops, creating momentum. Failed breakouts trap traders, forcing reversals.
3. Statistical Persistence : Markets exhibit range expansion tendency —when price accepts above/below opening range with volume, it often extends 1.0-2.0x the opening range size before mean reversion.
4. Institutional Behavior : Large players (market makers, institutions) use opening range as reference for the day's trading plan. They fade extremes in rotation days and follow breakouts in trend days.
Historical Context:
Opening Range Breakout methodology originated in commodity futures pits (1970s-80s) where floor traders noticed consistent patterns: the first 30-60 minutes established a "fair value zone," and directional moves occurred when this zone was violated with conviction. J. Peter Steidlmayer formalized this observation in Market Profile theory, introducing the "Initial Balance" concept—the first hour (two 30-minute periods) defining market structure.
📊 OPENING RANGE CONSTRUCTION
Four ORB Timeframe Options:
1. 5-Minute ORB (0930-0935 ET):
Captures immediate market direction during "opening drive"—the explosive first few minutes when overnight orders hit the tape.
Use Case:
• Scalping strategies
• High-frequency breakout trading
• Extremely liquid instruments (ES, NQ, SPY)
Characteristics:
• Very tight range (often 0.2-0.5% of price)
• Early breakouts common (7 of 10 days break within first hour)
• Higher false breakout rate (50-60%)
• Requires sub-minute chart monitoring
Psychology: Captures panic buyers/sellers reacting to overnight news. Range is small because sample size is minimal—only 5 minutes of price discovery. Early breakouts often fail because they're driven by retail FOMO rather than institutional conviction.
2. 15-Minute ORB (0930-0945 ET):
Balances responsiveness with statistical validity. Captures opening drive plus initial reaction to that drive.
Use Case:
• Day trading strategies
• Balanced scalping/swing hybrid
• Most liquid instruments
Characteristics:
• Moderate range (0.4-0.8% of price typically)
• Breakout rate ~60% of days
• False breakout rate ~40-45%
• Good balance of opportunity and reliability
Psychology: Includes opening panic AND the first retest/consolidation. Sophisticated traders (institutions, algos) start expressing directional bias. This is the "Goldilocks" timeframe—not too reactive, not too slow.
3. 30-Minute ORB (0930-1000 ET):
Classic ORB timeframe. Default for most professional implementations.
Use Case:
• Standard intraday trading
• Position sizing for full-day trades
• All liquid instruments (equities, indices, futures)
Characteristics:
• Substantial range (0.6-1.2% of price)
• Breakout rate ~55% of days
• False breakout rate ~35-40%
• Statistical sweet spot for extensions
Psychology: Full opening auction + first institutional repositioning complete. By 10:00 AM ET, headlines are digested, early stops are hit, and "real" directional players reveal themselves. This is when institutional programs typically finish their opening positioning.
Statistical Advantage: 30-minute ORB shows highest correlation with daily range. When price breaks and holds outside 30m ORB, probability of reaching 1.0x extension (doubling the opening range) exceeds 60% historically.
4. 60-Minute ORB (0930-1030 ET) - Initial Balance:
Steidlmayer's "Initial Balance"—the foundation of Market Profile theory.
Use Case:
• Swing trading entries
• Day type classification
• Low-frequency institutional setups
Characteristics:
• Wide range (0.8-1.5% of price)
• Breakout rate ~45% of days
• False breakout rate ~25-30% (lowest)
• Best for trend day identification
Psychology: Full first hour captures A-period (0930-1000) and B-period (1000-1030). By 10:30 AM ET, all early positioning is complete. Market has "voted" on value. Subsequent price action confirms (trend day) or rejects (rotation day) this value assessment.
Initial Balance Theory:
IB represents the market's accepted value area . When price extends significantly beyond IB (>1.5x IB range), it signals a Trend Day —strong directional conviction. When price remains within 1.0x IB, it signals a Rotation Day —mean reversion environment. This classification completely changes trading strategy.
🔬 LTF PRECISION TECHNOLOGY
The Chart Timeframe Problem:
Traditional ORB indicators calculate range using the chart's current timeframe. This creates critical inaccuracies:
Example:
• You're on a 5-minute chart
• ORB period is 30 minutes (0930-1000 ET)
• Indicator sees only 6 bars (30min ÷ 5min/bar = 6 bars)
• If any 5-minute bar has extreme wick, entire ORB is distorted
The Problem Amplifies:
• On 15-minute chart with 30-minute ORB: Only 2 bars sampled
• On 30-minute chart with 30-minute ORB: Only 1 bar sampled
• Opening spike or single large wick defines entire range (invalid)
Solution: Lower Timeframe (LTF) Precision:
ORB Fusion uses `request.security_lower_tf()` to sample 1-minute bars regardless of chart timeframe:
```
For 30-minute ORB on 15-minute chart:
- Traditional method: Uses 2 bars (15min × 2 = 30min)
- LTF Precision: Requests thirty 1-minute bars, calculates true high/low
```
Why This Matters:
Scenario: ES futures, 15-minute chart, 30-minute ORB
• Traditional ORB: High = 5850.00, Low = 5842.00 (range = 8 points)
• LTF Precision ORB: High = 5848.50, Low = 5843.25 (range = 5.25 points)
Difference: 2.75 points distortion from single 15-minute wick hitting 5850.00 at 9:31 AM then immediately reversing. LTF precision filters this out by seeing it was a fleeting wick, not a sustained high.
Impact on Extensions:
With inflated range (8 points vs 5.25 points):
• 1.5x extension projects +12 points instead of +7.875 points
• Difference: 4.125 points (nearly $200 per ES contract)
• Breakout signals trigger late; extension targets unreachable
Implementation:
```pinescript
getLtfHighLow() =>
float ha = request.security_lower_tf(syminfo.tickerid, "1", high)
float la = request.security_lower_tf(syminfo.tickerid, "1", low)
```
Function returns arrays of 1-minute high/low values, then finds true maximum and minimum across all samples.
When LTF Precision Activates:
Only when chart timeframe exceeds ORB session window:
• 5-minute chart + 30-minute ORB: LTF used (chart TF > session bars needed)
• 1-minute chart + 30-minute ORB: LTF not needed (direct sampling sufficient)
Recommendation: Always enable LTF Precision unless you're on 1-minute charts. The computational overhead is negligible, and accuracy improvement is substantial.
⚖️ INITIAL BALANCE (IB) FRAMEWORK
Steidlmayer's Market Profile Innovation:
J. Peter Steidlmayer developed Market Profile in the 1980s for the Chicago Board of Trade. His key insight: market structure is best understood through time-at-price (value area) rather than just price-over-time (traditional charts).
Initial Balance Definition:
IB is the price range established during the first hour of trading, subdivided into:
• A-Period : First 30 minutes (0930-1000 ET for US equities)
• B-Period : Second 30 minutes (1000-1030 ET)
A-Period vs B-Period Comparison:
The relationship between A and B periods forecasts the day:
B-Period Expansion (Bullish):
• B-period high > A-period high
• B-period low ≥ A-period low
• Interpretation: Buyers stepping in after opening assessed
• Implication: Bullish continuation likely
• Strategy: Buy pullbacks to A-period high (now support)
B-Period Expansion (Bearish):
• B-period low < A-period low
• B-period high ≤ A-period high
• Interpretation: Sellers stepping in after opening assessed
• Implication: Bearish continuation likely
• Strategy: Sell rallies to A-period low (now resistance)
B-Period Contraction:
• B-period stays within A-period range
• Interpretation: Market indecisive, digesting A-period information
• Implication: Rotation day likely, stay range-bound
• Strategy: Fade extremes, sell high/buy low within IB
IB Extensions:
Professional traders use IB as a ruler to project price targets:
Extension Levels:
• 0.5x IB : Initial probe outside value (minor target)
• 1.0x IB : Full extension (major target for normal days)
• 1.5x IB : Trend day threshold (classifies as trending)
• 2.0x IB : Strong trend day (rare, ~10-15% of days)
Calculation:
```
IB Range = IB High - IB Low
Bull Extension 1.0x = IB High + (IB Range × 1.0)
Bear Extension 1.0x = IB Low - (IB Range × 1.0)
```
Example:
ES futures:
• IB High: 5850.00
• IB Low: 5842.00
• IB Range: 8.00 points
Extensions:
• 1.0x Bull Target: 5850 + 8 = 5858.00
• 1.5x Bull Target: 5850 + 12 = 5862.00
• 2.0x Bull Target: 5850 + 16 = 5866.00
If price reaches 5862.00 (1.5x), day is classified as Trend Day —strategy shifts from mean reversion to trend following.
📈 DAY TYPE CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM
Four Day Types (Market Profile Framework):
1. TREND DAY:
Definition: Price extends ≥1.5x IB range in one direction and stays there.
Characteristics:
• Opens and never returns to IB
• Persistent directional movement
• Volume increases as day progresses (conviction building)
• News-driven or strong institutional flow
Frequency: ~20-25% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Follow the trend, trail stops, let winners run
• DON'T: Fade extremes, take early profits
• Key: Add to position on pullbacks to previous extension level
• Risk: Getting chopped in false trend (see Failed Breakout section)
Example: FOMC decision, payroll report, earnings surprise—anything creating one-sided conviction.
2. NORMAL DAY:
Definition: Price extends 0.5-1.5x IB, tests both sides, returns to IB.
Characteristics:
• Two-sided trading
• Extensions occur but don't persist
• Volume balanced throughout day
• Most common day type
Frequency: ~45-50% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Take profits at extension levels, expect reversals
• DON'T: Hold for massive moves
• Key: Treat each extension as a profit-taking opportunity
• Risk: Holding too long when momentum shifts
Example: Typical day with no major catalysts—market balancing supply and demand.
3. ROTATION DAY:
Definition: Price stays within IB all day, rotating between high and low.
Characteristics:
• Never accepts outside IB
• Multiple tests of IB high/low
• Decreasing volume (no conviction)
• Classic range-bound action
Frequency: ~25-30% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Fade extremes (sell IB high, buy IB low)
• DON'T: Chase breakouts
• Key: Enter at extremes with tight stops just outside IB
• Risk: Breakout finally occurs after multiple failures
Example: [/b> Pre-holiday trading, summer doldrums, consolidation after big move.
4. DEVELOPING:
Definition: Day type not yet determined (early in session).
Usage: Classification before 12:00 PM ET when IB extension pattern unclear.
ORB Fusion's Classification Algorithm:
```pinescript
if close > ibHigh:
ibExtension = (close - ibHigh) / ibRange
direction = "BULLISH"
else if close < ibLow:
ibExtension = (ibLow - close) / ibRange
direction = "BEARISH"
if ibExtension >= 1.5:
dayType = "TREND DAY"
else if ibExtension >= 0.5:
dayType = "NORMAL DAY"
else if close within IB:
dayType = "ROTATION DAY"
```
Why Classification Matters:
Same setup (bullish ORB breakout) has opposite implications:
• Trend Day : Hold for 2.0x extension, trail stops aggressively
• Normal Day : Take profits at 1.0x extension, watch for reversal
• Rotation Day : Fade the breakout immediately (likely false)
Knowing day type prevents catastrophic errors like fading a trend day or holding through rotation.
🚀 BREAKOUT DETECTION & CONFIRMATION
Three Confirmation Methods:
1. Close Beyond Level (Recommended):
Logic: Candle must close above ORB high (bull) or below ORB low (bear).
Why:
• Filters out wicks (temporary liquidity grabs)
• Ensures sustained acceptance above/below range
• Reduces false breakout rate by ~20-30%
Example:
• ORB High: 5850.00
• Bar high touches 5850.50 (wick above)
• Bar closes at 5848.00 (inside range)
• Result: NO breakout signal
vs.
• Bar high touches 5850.50
• Bar closes at 5851.00 (outside range)
• Result: BREAKOUT signal confirmed
Trade-off: Slightly delayed entry (wait for close) but much higher reliability.
2. Wick Beyond Level:
Logic: [/b> Any touch of ORB high/low triggers breakout.
Why:
• Earliest possible entry
• Captures aggressive momentum moves
Risk:
• High false breakout rate (60-70%)
• Stop runs trigger signals
• Requires very tight stops (difficult to manage)
Use Case: Scalping with 1-2 point profit targets where any penetration = trade.
3. Body Beyond Level:
Logic: [/b> Candle body (close vs open) must be entirely outside range.
Why:
• Strictest confirmation
• Ensures directional conviction (not just momentum)
• Lowest false breakout rate
Example: Trade-off: [/b> Very conservative—misses some valid breakouts but rarely triggers on false ones.
Volume Confirmation Layer:
All confirmation methods can require volume validation:
Volume Multiplier Logic: Rationale: [/b> True breakouts are driven by institutional activity (large size). Volume spike confirms real conviction vs. stop-run manipulation.
Statistical Impact: [/b>
• Breakouts with volume confirmation: ~65% success rate
• Breakouts without volume: ~45% success rate
• Difference: 20 percentage points edge
Implementation Note: [/b>
Volume confirmation adds complexity—you'll miss breakouts that work but lack volume. However, when targeting 1.5x+ extensions (ambitious goals), volume confirmation becomes critical because those moves require sustained institutional participation.
Recommended Settings by Strategy: [/b>
Scalping (1-2 point targets): [/b>
• Method: Close
• Volume: OFF
• Rationale: Quick in/out doesn't need perfection
Intraday Swing (5-10 point targets): [/b>
• Method: Close
• Volume: ON (1.5x multiplier)
• Rationale: Balance reliability and opportunity
Position Trading (full-day holds): [/b>
• Method: Body
• Volume: ON (2.0x multiplier)
• Rationale: Must be certain—large stops require high win rate
🔥 FAILED BREAKOUT SYSTEM
The Core Insight: [/b>
Failed breakouts are often more profitable [/b> than successful breakouts because they create trapped traders with predictable behavior.
Failed Breakout Definition: [/b>
A breakout that:
1. Initially penetrates ORB level with confirmation
2. Attracts participants (volume spike, momentum)
3. Fails to extend (stalls or immediately reverses)
4. Returns inside ORB range within N bars
Psychology of Failure: [/b>
When breakout fails:
• Breakout buyers are trapped [/b>: Bought at ORB high, now underwater
• Early longs reduce: Take profit, fearful of reversal
• Shorts smell blood: See failed breakout as reversal signal
• Result: Cascade of selling as trapped bulls exit + new shorts enter
Mirror image for failed bearish breakouts (trapped shorts cover + new longs enter).
Failure Detection Parameters: [/b>
1. Failure Confirmation Bars (default: 3): [/b>
How many bars after breakout to confirm failure?
Logic: Settings: [/b>
• 2 bars: Aggressive failure detection (more signals, more false failures)
• 3 bars Balanced (default)
• 5-10 bars: Conservative (wait for clear reversal)
Why This Matters:
Too few bars: You call "failed breakout" when price is just consolidating before next leg.
Too many bars: You miss the reversal entry (price already back in range).
2. Failure Buffer (default: 0.1 ATR): [/b>
How far inside ORB must price return to confirm failure?
Formula: Why Buffer Matters: clear rejection [/b> (not just hovering at level).
Settings: [/b>
• 0.0 ATR: No buffer, immediate failure signal
• 0.1 ATR: Small buffer (default) - filters noise
• [b>0.2-0.3 ATR: Large buffer - only dramatic failures count
Example: Reversal Entry System: [/b>
When failure confirmed, system generates complete reversal trade:
For Failed Bull Breakout (Short Reversal): [/b>
Entry: [/b> Current close when failure confirmed
Stop Loss: [/b> Extreme high since breakout + 0.10 ATR padding
Target 1: [/b> ORB High - (ORB Range × 0.5)
Target 2: Target 3: [/b> ORB High - (ORB Range × 1.5)
Example:
• ORB High: 5850, ORB Low: 5842, Range: 8 points
• Breakout to 5853, fails, reverses to 5848 (entry)
• Stop: 5853 + 1 = 5854 (6 point risk)
• T1: 5850 - 4 = 5846 (-2 points, 1:3 R:R)
• T2: 5850 - 8 = 5842 (-6 points, 1:1 R:R)
• T3: 5850 - 12 = 5838 (-10 points, 1.67:1 R:R)
[b>Why These Targets? [/b>
• T1 (0.5x ORB below high): Trapped bulls start panic
• T2 (1.0x ORB = ORB Mid): Major retracement, momentum fully reversed
• T3 (1.5x ORB): Reversal extended, now targeting opposite side
Historical Performance: [/b>
Failed breakout reversals in ORB Fusion's tracking system show:
• Win Rate: 65-75% (significantly higher than initial breakouts)
• Average Winner: 1.2x ORB range
• Average Loser: 0.5x ORB range (protected by stop at extreme)
• Expectancy: Strongly positive even with <70% win rate
Why Failed Breakouts Outperform: [/b>
1. Information Advantage: You now know what price did (failed to extend). Initial breakout trades are speculative; reversal trades are reactive to confirmed failure.
2. Trapped Participant Pressure: Every trapped bull becomes a seller. This creates sustained pressure.
3. Stop Loss Clarity: Extreme high is obvious stop (just beyond recent high). Breakout trades have ambiguous stops (ORB mid? Recent low? Too wide or too tight).
4. Mean Reversion Edge: Failed breakouts return to value (ORB mid). Initial breakouts try to escape value (harder to sustain).
Critical Insight: [/b>
"The best trade is often the one that trapped everyone else."
Failed breakouts create asymmetric opportunity because you're trading against [/b> trapped participants rather than with [/b> them. When you see a failed breakout signal, you're seeing real-time evidence that the market rejected directional conviction—that's exploitable.
📐 FIBONACCI EXTENSION SYSTEM
Six Extension Levels: [/b>
Extensions project how far price will travel after ORB breakout. Based on Fibonacci ratios + empirical market behavior.
1. 1.272x (27.2% Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.272)
Psychology: [/b> Initial probe beyond ORB. Early momentum + trapped shorts (on bull side) covering.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~75-80% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• First resistance/support after breakout
• Partial profit target (take 30-50% off)
• Watch for rejection here (could signal failure in progress)
Why 1.272? [/b> Related to harmonic patterns (1.272 is √1.618). Empirically, markets often stall at 25-30% extension before deciding whether to continue or fail.
2. 1.5x (50% Extension):
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.5)
Psychology: [/b> Breakout gaining conviction. Requires sustained buying/selling (not just momentum spike).
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~60-65% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Major partial profit (take 50-70% off)
• Move stops to breakeven
• Trail remaining position
Why 1.5x? [/b> Classic halfway point to 2.0x. Markets often consolidate here before final push. If day type is "Normal," this is likely the high/low for the day.
3. 1.618x (Golden Ratio Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.618)
Psychology: [/b> Strong directional day. Institutional conviction + retail FOMO.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~45-50% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Final partial profit (close 80-90%)
• Trail remainder with wide stop (allow breathing room)
Why 1.618? [/b> Fibonacci golden ratio. Appears consistently in market geometry. When price reaches 1.618x extension, move is "mature" and reversal risk increases.
4. 2.0x (100% Extension): [/b>
Formula: ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 1.0)
Psychology: [/b> Trend day confirmed. Opening range completely duplicated.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~30-35% after confirmed breakout
Trading: Why 2.0x? [/b> Psychological level—range doubled. Also corresponds to typical daily ATR in many instruments (opening range ~ 0.5 ATR, daily range ~ 1.0 ATR).
5. 2.618x (Super Extension):
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 1.618)
Psychology: [/b> Parabolic move. News-driven or squeeze.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~10-15% after confirmed breakout
[b>Trading: Why 2.618? [/b> Fibonacci ratio (1.618²). Rare to reach—when it does, move is extreme. Often precedes multi-day consolidation or reversal.
6. 3.0x (Extreme Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 2.0)
Psychology: [/b> Market melt-up/crash. Only in extreme events.
[b>Probability of Reach: [/b> <5% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Close immediately if reached
• These are outlier events (black swans, flash crashes, squeeze-outs)
• Holding for more is greed—take windfall profit
Why 3.0x? [/b> Triple opening range. So rare it's statistical noise. When it happens, it's headline news.
Visual Example:
ES futures, ORB 5842-5850 (8 point range), Bullish breakout:
• ORB High : 5850.00 (entry zone)
• 1.272x : 5850 + 2.18 = 5852.18 (first resistance)
• 1.5x : 5850 + 4.00 = 5854.00 (major target)
• 1.618x : 5850 + 4.94 = 5854.94 (strong target)
• 2.0x : 5850 + 8.00 = 5858.00 (trend day)
• 2.618x : 5850 + 12.94 = 5862.94 (extreme)
• 3.0x : 5850 + 16.00 = 5866.00 (parabolic)
Profit-Taking Strategy:
Optimal scaling out at extensions:
• Breakout entry at 5850.50
• 30% off at 1.272x (5852.18) → +1.68 points
• 40% off at 1.5x (5854.00) → +3.50 points
• 20% off at 1.618x (5854.94) → +4.44 points
• 10% off at 2.0x (5858.00) → +7.50 points
[b>Average Exit: Conclusion: [/b> Scaling out at extensions produces 40% higher expectancy than holding for home runs.
📊 GAP ANALYSIS & FILL PSYCHOLOGY
[b>Gap Definition: [/b>
Price discontinuity between previous close and current open:
• Gap Up : Open > Previous Close + noise threshold (0.1 ATR)
• Gap Down : Open < Previous Close - noise threshold
Why Gaps Matter: [/b>
Gaps represent unfilled orders [/b>. When market gaps up, all limit buy orders between yesterday's close and today's open are never filled. Those buyers are "left behind." Psychology: they wait for price to return ("fill the gap") so they can enter. This creates magnetic pull [/b> toward gap level.
Gap Fill Statistics (Empirical): [/b>
• Gaps <0.5% [/b>: 85-90% fill within same day
• Gaps 0.5-1.0% [/b>: 70-75% fill within same day, 90%+ within week
• Gaps >1.0% [/b>: 50-60% fill within same day (major news often prevents fill)
Gap Fill Strategy: [/b>
Setup 1: Gap-and-Go
Gap opens, extends away from gap (doesn't fill).
• ORB confirms direction away from gap
• Trade WITH ORB breakout direction
• Expectation: Gap won't fill today (momentum too strong)
Setup 2: Gap-Fill Fade
Gap opens, but fails to extend. Price drifts back toward gap.
• ORB breakout TOWARD gap (not away)
• Trade toward gap fill level
• Target: Previous close (gap fill complete)
Setup 3: Gap-Fill Rejection
Gap fills (touches previous close) then rejects.
• ORB breakout AWAY from gap after fill
• Trade away from gap direction
• Thesis: Gap filled (orders executed), now resume original direction
[b>Example: Scenario A (Gap-and-Go):
• ORB breaks upward to $454 (away from gap)
• Trade: LONG breakout, expect continued rally
• Gap becomes support ($452)
Scenario B (Gap-Fill):
• ORB breaks downward through $452.50 (toward gap)
• Trade: SHORT toward gap fill at $450.00
• Target: $450.00 (gap filled), close position
Scenario C (Gap-Fill Rejection):
• Price drifts to $450.00 (gap filled) early in session
• ORB establishes $450-$451 after gap fill
• ORB breaks upward to $451.50
• Trade: LONG breakout (gap is filled, now resume rally)
ORB Fusion Integration: [/b>
Dashboard shows:
• Gap type (Up/Down/None)
• Gap size (percentage)
• Gap fill status (Filled ✓ / Open)
This informs setup confidence:
• ORB breakout AWAY from unfilled gap: +10% confidence (gap becomes support/resistance)
• ORB breakout TOWARD unfilled gap: -10% confidence (gap fill may override ORB)
[b>📈 VWAP & INSTITUTIONAL BIAS [/b>
[b>Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP): [/b>
Average price weighted by volume at each price level. Represents true "average" cost for the day.
[b>Calculation: Institutional Benchmark [/b>: Institutions (mutual funds, pension funds) use VWAP as performance benchmark. If they buy above VWAP, they underperformed; below VWAP, they outperformed.
2. [b>Algorithmic Target [/b>: Many algos are programmed to buy below VWAP and sell above VWAP to achieve "fair" execution.
3. [b>Support/Resistance [/b>: VWAP acts as dynamic support (price above) or resistance (price below).
[b>VWAP Bands (Standard Deviations): [/b>
• [b>1σ Band [/b>: VWAP ± 1 standard deviation
- Contains ~68% of volume
- Normal trading range
- Bounces common
• [b>2σ Band [/b>: VWAP ± 2 standard deviations
- Contains ~95% of volume
- Extreme extension
- Mean reversion likely
ORB + VWAP Confluence: [/b>
Highest-probability setups occur when ORB and VWAP align:
Bullish Confluence: [/b>
• ORB breakout upward (bullish signal)
• Price above VWAP (institutional buying)
• Confidence boost: +15%
Bearish Confluence: [/b>
• ORB breakout downward (bearish signal)
• Price below VWAP (institutional selling)
• Confidence boost: +15%
[b>Divergence Warning:
• ORB breakout upward BUT price below VWAP
• Conflict: Breakout says "buy," VWAP says "sell"
• Confidence penalty: -10%
• Interpretation: Retail buying but institutions not participating (lower quality breakout)
📊 MOMENTUM CONTEXT SYSTEM
[b>Innovation: Candle Coloring by Position
Rather than fixed support/resistance lines, ORB Fusion colors candles based on their [b>relationship to ORB :
[b>Three Zones: [/b>
1. Inside ORB (Blue Boxes): [/b>
[b>Calculation:
• Darker blue: Near extremes of ORB (potential breakout imminent)
• Lighter blue: Near ORB mid (consolidation)
[b>Trading: [/b> Coiled spring—await breakout.
[b>2. Above ORB (Green Boxes):
[b>Calculation: 3. Below ORB (Red Boxes):
Mirror of above ORB logic.
[b>Special Contexts: [/b>
[b>Breakout Bar (Darkest Green/Red): [/b>
The specific bar where breakout occurs gets maximum color intensity regardless of distance. This highlights the pivotal moment.
[b>Failed Breakout Bar (Orange/Warning): [/b>
When failed breakout is confirmed, that bar gets orange/warning color. Visual alert: "reversal opportunity here."
[b>Near Extension (Cyan/Magenta Tint): [/b>
When price is within 0.5 ATR of an extension level, candle gets tinted cyan (bull) or magenta (bear). Indicates "target approaching—prepare to take profit."
[b>Why Visual Context? [/b>
Traditional indicators show lines. ORB Fusion shows [b>context-aware momentum [/b>. Glance at chart:
• Lots of blue? Consolidation day (fade extremes).
• Progressive green? Trend day (follow).
• Green then orange? Failed breakout (reversal setup).
This visual language communicates market state instantly—no interpretation needed.
🎯 TRADE SETUP GENERATION & GRADING [/b>
[b>Algorithmic Setup Detection: [/b>
ORB Fusion continuously evaluates market state and generates current best trade setup with:
• Action (LONG / SHORT / FADE HIGH / FADE LOW / WAIT)
• Entry price
• Stop loss
• Three targets
• Risk:Reward ratio
• Confidence score (0-100)
• Grade (A+ to D)
[b>Setup Types: [/b>
[b>1. ORB LONG (Bullish Breakout): [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• Bullish ORB breakout confirmed
• Not failed
[b>Parameters:
• Entry: Current close
• Stop: ORB mid (protects against failure)
• T1: ORB High + 0.5x range (1.5x extension)
• T2: ORB High + 1.0x range (2.0x extension)
• T3: ORB High + 1.618x range (2.618x extension)
[b>Confidence Scoring:
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• Bearish breakout occurred
• Failed (returned inside ORB)
[b>Parameters: [/b>
• Entry: Close when failure confirmed
• Stop: Extreme low since breakout + 0.10 ATR
• T1: ORB Low + 0.5x range
• T2: ORB Low + 1.0x range (ORB mid)
• T3: ORB Low + 1.5x range
[b>Confidence Scoring:
[b>Trigger:
• Inside ORB
• Close > ORB mid (near high)
[b>Parameters: [/b>
• Entry: ORB High (limit order)
• Stop: ORB High + 0.2x range
• T1: ORB Mid
• T2: ORB Low
[b>Confidence Scoring: [/b>
Base: 40 points (lower base—range fading is lower probability than breakout/reversal)
[b>Use Case: [/b> Rotation days. Not recommended on normal/trend days.
[b>6. FADE LOW (Range Trade):
Mirror of FADE HIGH.
[b>7. WAIT:
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• ORB not complete yet OR
• No clear setup (price in no-man's-land)
[b>Action: [/b> Observe, don't trade.
[b>Confidence: [/b> 0 points
[b>Grading System:
```
Confidence → Grade
85-100 → A+
75-84 → A
65-74 → B+
55-64 → B
45-54 → C
0-44 → D
```
[b>Grade Interpretation: [/b>
• [b>A+ / A: High probability setup. Take these trades.
• [b>B+ / B [/b>: Decent setup. Trade if fits system rules.
• [b>C [/b>: Marginal setup. Only if very experienced.
• [b>D [/b>: Poor setup or no setup. Don't trade.
[b>Example Scenario: [/b>
ES futures:
• ORB: 5842-5850 (8 point range)
• Bullish breakout to 5851 confirmed
• Volume: 2.0x average (confirmed)
• VWAP: 5845 (price above VWAP ✓)
• Day type: Developing (too early, no bonus)
• Gap: None
[b>Setup: [/b>
• Action: LONG
• Entry: 5851
• Stop: 5846 (ORB mid, -5 point risk)
• T1: 5854 (+3 points, 1:0.6 R:R)
• T2: 5858 (+7 points, 1:1.4 R:R)
• T3: 5862.94 (+11.94 points, 1:2.4 R:R)
[b>Confidence: LONG with 55% confidence.
Interpretation: Solid setup, not perfect. Trade it if your system allows B-grade signals.
[b>📊 STATISTICS TRACKING & PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS [/b>
[b>Real-Time Performance Metrics: [/b>
ORB Fusion tracks comprehensive statistics over user-defined lookback (default 50 days):
[b>Breakout Performance: [/b>
• [b>Bull Breakouts: [/b> Total count, wins, losses, win rate
• [b>Bear Breakouts: [/b> Total count, wins, losses, win rate
[b>Win Definition: [/b> Breakout reaches ≥1.0x extension (doubles the opening range) before end of day.
[b>Example: [/b>
• ORB: 5842-5850 (8 points)
• Bull breakout at 5851
• Reaches 5858 (1.0x extension) by close
• Result: WIN
[b>Failed Breakout Performance: [/b>
• [b>Total Failed Breakouts [/b>: Count of breakouts that failed
• [b>Reversal Wins [/b>: Count where reversal trade reached target
• [b>Failed Reversal Win Rate [/b>: Wins / Total Failed
[b>Win Definition for Reversals: [/b>
• Failed bull → reversal short reaches ORB mid
• Failed bear → reversal long reaches ORB mid
[b>Extension Tracking: [/b>
• [b>Average Extension Reached [/b>: Mean of maximum extension achieved across all breakout days
• [b>Max Extension Overall [/b>: Largest extension ever achieved in lookback period
[b>Example: 🎨 THREE DISPLAY MODES
[b>Design Philosophy: [/b>
Not all traders need all features. Beginners want simplicity. Professionals want everything. ORB Fusion adapts.
[b>SIMPLE MODE: [/b>
[b>Shows: [/b>
• Primary ORB levels (High, Mid, Low)
• ORB box
• Breakout signals (triangles)
• Failed breakout signals (crosses)
• Basic dashboard (ORB status, breakout status, setup)
• VWAP
[b>Hides: [/b>
• Session ORBs (Asian, London, NY)
• IB levels and extensions
• ORB extensions beyond basic levels
• Gap analysis visuals
• Statistics dashboard
• Momentum candle coloring
• Narrative dashboard
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Traders who want clean chart
• Focus on core ORB concept only
• Mobile trading (less screen space)
[b>STANDARD MODE:
[b>Shows Everything in Simple Plus: [/b>
• Session ORBs (Asian, London, NY)
• IB levels (high, low, mid)
• IB extensions
• ORB extensions (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x)
• Gap analysis and fill targets
• VWAP bands (1σ and 2σ)
• Momentum candle coloring
• Context section in dashboard
• Narrative dashboard
[b>Hides: [/b>
• Advanced extensions (2.618x, 3.0x)
• Detailed statistics dashboard
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Most traders
• Balance between information and clarity
• Covers 90% of use cases
[b>ADVANCED MODE:
[b>Shows Everything:
• All session ORBs
• All IB levels and extensions
• All ORB extensions (including 2.618x and 3.0x)
• Full gap analysis
• VWAP with both 1σ and 2σ bands
• Momentum candle coloring
• Complete statistics dashboard
• Narrative dashboard
• All context metrics
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Professional traders
• System developers
• Those who want maximum information density
[b>Switching Modes: [/b>
Single dropdown input: "Display Mode" → Simple / Standard / Advanced
Entire indicator adapts instantly. No need to toggle 20 individual settings.
📖 NARRATIVE DASHBOARD
[b>Innovation: Plain-English Market State [/b>
Most indicators show data. ORB Fusion explains what the data [b>means [/b>.
[b>Narrative Components: [/b>
[b>1. Phase: [/b>
• "📍 Building ORB..." (during ORB session)
• "📊 Trading Phase" (after ORB complete)
• "⏳ Pre-Market" (before ORB session)
[b>2. Status (Current Observation): [/b>
• "⚠️ Failed breakout - reversal likely"
• "🚀 Bullish momentum in play"
• "📉 Bearish momentum in play"
• "⚖️ Consolidating in range"
• "👀 Monitoring for setup"
[b>3. Next Level:
Tells you what to watch for:
• "🎯 1.5x @ 5854.00" (next extension target)
• "Watch ORB levels" (inside range, await breakout)
[b>4. Setup: [/b>
Current trade setup + grade:
• "LONG " (bullish breakout, A-grade)
• "🔥 SHORT REVERSAL " (failed bull breakout, A+-grade)
• "WAIT " (no setup)
[b>5. Reason: [/b>
Why this setup exists:
• "ORB Bullish Breakout"
• "Failed Bear Breakout - High Probability Reversal"
• "Range Fade - Near High"
[b>6. Tip (Market Insight):
Contextual advice:
• "🔥 TREND DAY - Trail stops" (day type is trending)
• "🔄 ROTATION - Fade extremes" (day type is rotating)
• "📊 Gap unfilled - magnet level" (gap creates target)
• "📈 Normal conditions" (no special context)
[b>Example Narrative:
```
📖 ORB Narrative
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Phase | 📊 Trading Phase
Status | 🚀 Bullish momentum in play
Next | 🎯 1.5x @ 5854.00
📈 Setup | LONG
Reason | ORB Bullish Breakout
💡 Tip | 🔥 TREND DAY - Trail stops
```
[b>Glance Interpretation: [/b>
"We're in trading phase. Bullish breakout happened (momentum in play). Next target is 1.5x extension at 5854. Current setup is LONG with A-grade. It's a trend day, so trail stops (don't take early profits)."
Complete market state communicated in 6 lines. No interpretation needed.
[b>Why This Matters:
Beginner traders struggle with "So what?" question. Indicators show lines and signals, but what does it mean [/b>? Narrative dashboard bridges this gap.
Professional traders benefit too—rapid context assessment during fast-moving markets. No time to analyze; glance at narrative, get action plan.
🔔 INTELLIGENT ALERT SYSTEM
[b>Four Alert Types: [/b>
[b>1. Breakout Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> ORB breakout confirmed (bull or bear)
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🚀 ORB BULLISH BREAKOUT
Price: 5851.00
Volume Confirmed
Grade: A
```
[b>Frequency: [/b> Once per bar (prevents spam)
[b>2. Failed Breakout Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> Breakout fails, reversal setup generated
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🔥 FAILED BULLISH BREAKOUT!
HIGH PROBABILITY SHORT REVERSAL
Entry: 5848.00
Stop: 5854.00
T1: 5846.00
T2: 5842.00
Historical Win Rate: 73%
```
[b>Why Comprehensive? [/b> Failed breakout alerts include complete trade plan. You can execute immediately from alert—no need to check chart.
[b>3. Extension Alert:
[b>Trigger: [/b> Price reaches extension level for first time
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🎯 Bull Extension 1.5x reached @ 5854.00
```
[b>Use: [/b> Profit-taking reminder. When extension hit, consider scaling out.
[b>4. IB Break Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> Price breaks above IB high or below IB low
[b>Message: [/b>
```
📊 IB HIGH BROKEN - Potential Trend Day
```
[b>Use: [/b> Day type classification. IB break suggests trend day developing—adjust strategy to trend-following mode.
[b>Alert Management: [/b>
Each alert type can be enabled/disabled independently. Prevents notification overload.
[b>Cooldown Logic: [/b>
Alerts won't fire if same alert type triggered within last bar. Prevents:
• "Breakout" alert every tick during choppy breakout
• Multiple "extension" alerts if price oscillates at level
Ensures: One clean alert per event.
⚙️ KEY PARAMETERS EXPLAINED
[b>Opening Range Settings: [/b>
• [b>ORB Timeframe [/b> (5/15/30/60 min): Duration of opening range window
- 30 min recommended for most traders
• [b>Use RTH Only [/b> (ON/OFF): Only trade during regular trading hours
- ON recommended (avoids thin overnight markets)
• [b>Use LTF Precision [/b> (ON/OFF): Sample 1-minute bars for accuracy
- ON recommended (critical for charts >1 minute)
• [b>Precision TF [/b> (1/5 min): Timeframe for LTF sampling
- 1 min recommended (most accurate)
[b>Session ORBs: [/b>
• [b>Show Asian/London/NY ORB [/b> (ON/OFF): Display multi-session ranges
- OFF in Simple mode
- ON in Standard/Advanced if trading 24hr markets
• [b>Session Windows [/b>: Time ranges for each session ORB
- Defaults align with major session opens
[b>Initial Balance: [/b>
• [b>Show IB [/b> (ON/OFF): Display Initial Balance levels
- ON recommended for day type classification
• [b>IB Session Window [/b> (0930-1030): First hour of trading
- Default is standard for US equities
• [b>Show IB Extensions [/b> (ON/OFF): Project IB extension targets
- ON recommended (identifies trend days)
• [b>IB Extensions 1-4 [/b> (0.5x, 1.0x, 1.5x, 2.0x): Extension multipliers
- Defaults are Market Profile standard
[b>ORB Extensions: [/b>
• [b>Show Extensions [/b> (ON/OFF): Project ORB extension targets
- ON recommended (defines profit targets)
• [b>Enable Individual Extensions [/b> (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x, 2.618x, 3.0x)
- Enable 1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x minimum
- Disable 2.618x and 3.0x unless trading very volatile instruments
[b>Breakout Detection:
• [b>Confirmation Method [/b> (Close/Wick/Body):
- Close recommended (best balance)
- Wick for scalping
- Body for conservative
• [b>Require Volume Confirmation [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (increases reliability)
• [b>Volume Multiplier [/b> (1.0-3.0):
- 1.5x recommended
- Lower for thin instruments
- Higher for heavy volume instruments
[b>Failed Breakout System: [/b>
• [b>Enable Failed Breakouts [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON strongly recommended (highest edge)
• [b>Bars to Confirm Failure [/b> (2-10):
- 3 bars recommended
- 2 for aggressive (more signals, more false failures)
- 5+ for conservative (fewer signals, higher quality)
• [b>Failure Buffer [/b> (0.0-0.5 ATR):
- 0.1 ATR recommended
- Filters noise during consolidation near ORB level
• [b>Show Reversal Targets [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (visualizes trade plan)
• [b>Reversal Target Mults [/b> (0.5x, 1.0x, 1.5x):
- Defaults are tested values
- Adjust based on average daily range
[b>Gap Analysis:
• [b>Show Gap Analysis [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON if trading instruments that gap frequently
- OFF for 24hr markets (forex, crypto—no gaps)
• [b>Gap Fill Target [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON to visualize previous close (gap fill level)
[b>VWAP:
• [b>Show VWAP [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (key institutional level)
• [b>Show VWAP Bands [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON in Standard/Advanced
- OFF in Simple
• [b>Band Multipliers (1.0σ, 2.0σ):
- Defaults are standard
- 1σ = normal range, 2σ = extreme
[b>Day Type: [/b>
• [b>Show Day Type Analysis [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (critical for strategy adaptation)
• [b>Trend Day Threshold [/b> (1.0-2.5 IB mult):
- 1.5x recommended
- When price extends >1.5x IB, classifies as Trend Day
[b>Enhanced Visuals:
• [b>Show Momentum Candles [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON for visual context
- OFF if chart gets too colorful
• [b>Show Gradient Zone Fills [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON for professional look
- OFF for minimalist chart
• [b>Label Display Mode [/b> (All/Adaptive/Minimal):
- Adaptive recommended (shows nearby labels only)
- All for information density
- Minimal for clean chart
• [b>Label Proximity [/b> (1.0-5.0 ATR):
- 3.0 ATR recommended
- Labels beyond this distance are hidden (Adaptive mode)
[b>🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL [/b>
[b>Phase 1: Learning the System (Week 1) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Understand ORB concepts and dashboard interpretation
[b>Setup: [/b>
• Display Mode: STANDARD
• ORB Timeframe: 30 minutes
• Enable ALL features (IB, extensions, failed breakouts, VWAP, gap analysis)
• Enable statistics tracking
[b>Actions: [/b>
• Paper trade ONLY—no real money
• Observe ORB formation every day (9:30-10:00 AM ET for US markets)
• Note when ORB breakouts occur and if they extend
• Note when breakouts fail and reversals happen
• Watch day type classification evolve during session
• Track statistics—which setups are working?
[b>Key Learning: [/b>
• How often do breakouts reach 1.5x extension? (typically 50-60% of confirmed breakouts)
• How often do breakouts fail? (typically 30-40%)
• Which setup grade (A/B/C) actually performs best? (should see A-grade outperforming)
• What day type produces best results? (trend days favor breakouts, rotation days favor fades)
[b>Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Tune system to your instrument and timeframe
[b>ORB Timeframe Selection:
• Run 5 days with 15-minute ORB
• Run 5 days with 30-minute ORB
• Compare: Which captures better breakouts on your instrument?
• Typically: 30-minute optimal for most, 15-minute for very liquid (ES, SPY)
[b>Volume Confirmation Testing:
• Run 5 days WITH volume confirmation
• Run 5 days WITHOUT volume confirmation
• Compare: Does volume confirmation increase win rate?
• If win rate improves by >5%: Keep volume confirmation ON
• If no improvement: Turn OFF (avoid missing valid breakouts)
[b>Failed Breakout Bars:
[b>Goal: [/b> Develop personal trading rules based on system signals
[b>Setup Selection Rules: [/b>
Define which setups you'll trade:
• [b>Conservative: [/b> Only A+ and A grades
• [b>Balanced: [/b> A+, A, B+ grades
• [b>Aggressive: [/b> All grades B and above
Test each approach for 5-10 trades, compare results.
[b>Position Sizing by Grade: [/b>
Consider risk-weighting by setup quality:
• A+ grade: 100% position size
• A grade: 75% position size
• B+ grade: 50% position size
• B grade: 25% position size
Example: If max risk is $1000/trade:
• A+ setup: Risk $1000
• A setup: Risk $750
• B+ setup: Risk $500
This matches bet sizing to edge.
[b>Day Type Adaptation: [/b>
Create rules for different day types:
Trend Days:
• Take ALL breakout signals (A/B/C grades)
• Hold for 2.0x extension minimum
• Trail stops aggressively (1.0 ATR trail)
• DON'T fade—reversals unlikely
Rotation Days:
• ONLY take failed breakout reversals
• Ignore initial breakout signals (likely to fail)
• Take profits quickly (0.5x extension)
• Focus on fade setups (Fade High/Fade Low)
Normal Days:
• Take A/A+ breakout signals only
• Take ALL failed breakout reversals (high probability)
• Target 1.0-1.5x extensions
• Partial profit-taking at extensions
Time-of-Day Rules: [/b>
Breakouts at different times have different probabilities:
10:00-10:30 AM (Early Breakout):
• ORB just completed
• Fresh breakout
• Probability: Moderate (50-55% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Conservative position sizing
10:30-12:00 PM (Mid-Morning):
• Momentum established
• Volume still healthy
• Probability: High (60-65% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Standard position sizing
12:00-2:00 PM (Lunch Doldrums):
• Volume dries up
• Whipsaw risk increases
• Probability: Low (40-45% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Avoid new entries OR reduce size 50%
2:00-4:00 PM (Afternoon Session):
• Late-day positioning
• EOD squeezes possible
• Probability: Moderate-High (55-60%)
• Strategy: Watch for IB break—if trending all day, follow
[b>Phase 4: Live Micro-Sizing (Month 2) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Validate paper trading results with minimal risk
[b>Setup: [/b>
• 10-20% of intended full position size
• Take ONLY A+ and A grade setups
• Follow stop loss and targets religiously
[b>Execution: [/b>
• Execute from alerts OR from dashboard setup box
• Entry: Close of signal bar OR next bar market order
• Stop: Use exact stop from setup (don't widen)
• Targets: Scale out at T1/T2/T3 as indicated
[b>Tracking: [/b>
• Log every trade: Entry, Exit, Grade, Outcome, Day Type
• Calculate: Win rate, Average R-multiple, Max consecutive losses
• Compare to paper trading results (should be within 15%)
[b>Red Flags: [/b>
• Win rate <45%: System not suitable for this instrument/timeframe
• Major divergence from paper trading: Execution issues (slippage, late entries, emotional exits)
• Max consecutive losses >8: Hitting rough patch OR market regime changed
[b>Phase 5: Scaling Up (Months 3-6)
[b>Goal: [/b> Gradually increase to full position size
[b>Progression: [/b>
• Month 3: 25-40% size (if micro-sizing profitable)
• Month 4: 40-60% size
• Month 5: 60-80% size
• Month 6: 80-100% size
[b>Milestones Required to Scale Up: [/b>
• Minimum 30 trades at current size
• Win rate ≥48%
• Profit factor ≥1.2
• Max drawdown <20%
• Emotional control (no revenge trading, no FOMO)
[b>Advanced Techniques:
[b>Multi-Timeframe ORB: Assumes first 30-60 minutes establish value. Violation: Market opens after major news, price discovery continues for hours (opening range meaningless).
2. [b>Volume Indicates Conviction: ES, NQ, RTY, SPY, QQQ—high liquidity, clean ORB formation, reliable extensions
• [b>Large-Cap Stocks: AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, NVDA (>$5B market cap, >5M daily volume)
• [b>Liquid Futures: CL (crude oil), GC (gold), 6E (EUR/USD), ZB (bonds)—24hr markets benefit from session ORBs
• [b>Major Forex Pairs: [/b> EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY—London/NY session ORBs work well
[b>Performs Poorly On: [/b>
• [b>Illiquid Stocks: <$1M daily volume, wide spreads, gappy price action
• [b>Penny Stocks: [/b> Manipulated, pump-and-dump, no real price discovery
• [b>Low-Volume ETFs: Exotic sector ETFs, leveraged products with thin volume
• [b>Crypto on Sketchy Exchanges: Wash trading, spoofing invalidates volume analysis
• [b>Earnings Days: [/b> ORB completes before earnings release, then completely resets (useless)
• Binary Event Days: FDA approvals, court rulings—discontinuous price action
[b>Known Weaknesses: [/b>
• [b>Slow Starts: ORB doesn't complete until 10:00 AM (30-min ORB). Early morning traders have no signals for 30 minutes. Consider using 15-minute ORB if this is problematic.
• [b>Failure Detection Lag: [/b> Failed breakout requires 3+ bars to confirm. By the time system signals reversal, price may have already moved significantly back inside range. Manual traders watching in real-time can enter earlier.
• [b>Extension Overshoot: [/b> System projects extensions mathematically (1.5x, 2.0x, etc.). Actual moves may stop short (1.3x) or overshoot (2.2x). Extensions are targets, not magnets.
• [b>Day Type Misclassification: [/b> Early in session, day type is "Developing." By the time it's classified definitively (often 11:00 AM+), half the day is over. Strategy adjustments happen late.
• [b>Gap Assumptions: [/b> System assumes gaps want to fill. Strong trend days never fill gaps (gap becomes support/resistance forever). Blindly trading toward gaps can backfire on trend days.
• [b>Volume Data Quality: Forex doesn't have centralized volume (uses tick volume as proxy—less reliable). Crypto volume is often fake (wash trading). Volume confirmation less effective on these instruments.
• [b>Multi-Session Complexity: [/b> When using Asian/London/NY ORBs simultaneously, chart becomes cluttered. Requires discipline to focus on relevant session for current time.
[b>Risk Factors: [/b>
• [b>Opening Gaps: Large gaps (>2%) can create distorted ORBs. Opening range might be unusually wide or narrow, making extensions unreliable.
• [b>Low Volatility Environments:[/b> When VIX <12, opening ranges can be tiny (0.2-0.3%). Extensions are equally tiny. Profit targets don't justify commission/slippage.
• [b>High Volatility Environments:[/b> When VIX >30, opening ranges are huge (2-3%+). Extensions project unrealistic targets. Failed breakouts happen faster (volatility whipsaw).
• [b>Algorithm Dominance:[/b> In heavily algorithmic markets (ES during overnight session), ORB levels can be manipulated—algos pin price to ORB high/low intentionally. Breakouts become stop-runs rather than genuine directional moves.
[b>⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE[/b>
Trading futures, stocks, options, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Opening Range Breakout strategies, while based on sound market structure principles, do not guarantee profits and can result in significant losses.
The ORB Fusion indicator implements professional trading concepts including Opening Range theory, Market Profile Initial Balance analysis, Fibonacci extensions, and failed breakout reversal logic. These methodologies have theoretical foundations but past performance—whether backtested or live—is not indicative of future results.
Opening Range theory assumes the first 30-60 minutes of trading establish a meaningful value area and that breakouts from this range signal directional conviction. This assumption may not hold during:
• Major news events (FOMC, NFP, earnings surprises)
• Market structure changes (circuit breakers, trading halts)
• Low liquidity periods (holidays, early closures)
• Algorithmic manipulation or spoofing
Failed breakout detection relies on patterns of trapped participant behavior. While historically these patterns have shown statistical edges, market conditions change. Institutional algorithms, changing market structure, or regime shifts can reduce or eliminate edges that existed historically.
Initial Balance classification (trend day vs rotation day vs normal day) is a heuristic framework, not a deterministic prediction. Day type can change mid-session. Early classification may prove incorrect as the day develops.
Extension projections (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x, etc.) are probabilistic targets derived from Fibonacci ratios and empirical market behavior. They are not "support and resistance levels" that price must reach or respect. Markets can stop short of extensions, overshoot them, or ignore them entirely.
Volume confirmation assumes high volume indicates institutional participation and conviction. In algorithmic markets, volume can be artificially high (HFT activity) or artificially low (dark pools, internalization). Volume is a proxy, not a guarantee of conviction.
LTF precision sampling improves ORB accuracy by using 1-minute bars but introduces additional data dependencies. If 1-minute data is unavailable, inaccurate, or delayed, ORB calculations will be incorrect.
The grading system (A+/A/B+/B/C/D) and confidence scores aggregate multiple factors (volume, VWAP, day type, IB expansion, gap context) into a single assessment. This is a mechanical calculation, not artificial intelligence. The system cannot adapt to unprecedented market conditions or events outside its programmed logic.
Real trading involves slippage, commissions, latency, partial fills, and rejected orders not present in indicator calculations. ORB Fusion generates signals at bar close; actual fills occur with delay. Opening range forms during highest volatility (first 30 minutes)—spreads widen, slippage increases. Execution quality significantly impacts realized results.
Statistics tracking (win rates, extension levels reached, day type distribution) is based on historical bars in your lookback window. If lookback is small (<50 bars) or market regime changed, statistics may not represent future probabilities.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, and broker execution environment. Paper trade extensively (100+ trades minimum) before risking capital. Start with micro position sizing (5-10% of intended size) for 50+ trades to validate execution quality matches expectations.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing (0.5-2% risk per trade maximum). Implement stop losses on every single trade without exception. Understand that most retail traders lose money—sophisticated indicators do not change this fundamental reality. They systematize analysis but cannot eliminate risk.
The developer makes no warranties regarding profitability, suitability, accuracy, reliability, or fitness for any purpose. Users assume full responsibility for all trading decisions, parameter selections, risk management, and outcomes.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and accepted these risk disclosures and limitations, and you accept full responsibility for all trading activity and potential losses.
[b>═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════[/b>
[b>CLOSING STATEMENT[/b>
[b>═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════[/b>
Opening Range Breakout is not a trick. It's a framework. The first 30-60 minutes reveal where participants believe value lies. Breakouts signal directional conviction. Failures signal trapped participants. Extensions define profit targets. Day types dictate strategy. Failed breakouts create the highest-probability reversals.
ORB Fusion doesn't predict the future—it identifies [b>structure[/b>, detects [b>breakouts[/b>, recognizes [b>failures[/b>, and generates [b>probabilistic trade plans[/b> with defined risk and reward.
The edge is not in the opening range itself. The edge is in recognizing when the market respects structure (follow breakouts) versus when it violates structure (fade breakouts). The edge is in detecting failures faster than discretionary traders. The edge is in systematic classification that prevents catastrophic errors—like fading a trend day or holding through rotation.
Most indicators draw lines. ORB Fusion implements a complete institutional trading methodology: Opening Range theory, Market Profile classification, failed breakout intelligence, Fibonacci projections, volume confirmation, gap psychology, and real-time performance tracking.
Whether you're a beginner learning market structure or a professional seeking systematic ORB implementation, this system provides the framework.
"The market's first word is its opening range. Everything after is commentary." — ORB Fusion
TA Confluence Scanner v2.9 | Mint_Algo📘 TA Confluence Scanner
Introduction
The TA Confluence Scanner is a multi-factor trend system designed to filter market noise and identify high-probability trade setups. By combining adaptive algorithms (KAMA) with Price Action methodologies (SMC, Breakouts, Fractals), this indicator operates on the principle of Confluence : a signal is only valid when multiple independent tools agree on the direction.
Instead of relying on a single lagging indicator (like just MA fast and slow crossover), this script acts as a "Scanner," evaluating the market state through Volatility, Trend Structure, and Equilibrium.
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Important Note
To make this "Plug & Play," I have included optimized presets in the settings for different timeframes (1m/15m-1h/4h-1D) and trading styles (Scalper, Intraday, Swing, Investor) tested on symbols:
FX:EURUSD
IG:NASDAQ
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BINANCE:ETHUSD
CAPITALCOM:US500
OANDA:XAUUSD
NASDAQ:AAPL
NASDAQ:TSLA
BUT default settings already include a good preset which excludes most of the noise and grabs the trend better (fewer entries, but quality is higher).
Check the presets at the bottom 👇
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Core Features
Adaptive Trend Filter (KAMA): Adjusts to market volatility to distinguish between chop and true trends.
SMC Equilibrium (EQ) Fans: A three-tiered dynamic structure (Fast, Medium, Slow) for trailing stops and targets.
Confluence Counter: Visually displays the strength of a signal (e.g., "Strong 4/6") based on how many factors align.
Re-Entry Logic: Identifies low-risk entry points within an existing trend.
Automated S/R & Breakouts: Detects key pivot levels and structural breaks.
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Settings & Components Breakdown
1. KAMA (Primary Trend Filter)
The backbone of the system. It calculates the Efficiency Ratio (ER) of price movement.
How it works: If the ER is high (strong trend), KAMA follows price closely. If ER is low (ranging), KAMA flattens out to prevent false signals.
Tuning:
Fast (ER ~100/5/60): For Scalping.
Smooth: Default settings are optimized for a balance between lag and noise reduction.
2. SMC Equilibrium (EQ Structure)
Based on the HL2 formula (High+Low / 2), this creates a "fan" of three lines:
EQ1 (Fast): The aggressive line. Used for early exits or scalping stops.
EQ2 (Medium): The baseline trend structure.
EQ3 (Slow): The major trend container. Used for position trading.
Usage: Use these lines to gauge how far price has deviated from its "fair value."
3. Breakout & Internal Trend
Lookback Period: Defines the range for a valid breakout. A lower lookback (e.g., 10) gives earlier signals but more noise; a higher lookback (e.g., 20-30) confirms significant structural breaks.
Internal Trend: A simplified SMA check to ensure immediate momentum aligns with the macro trend.
4. Signal Strength (The Confluence Meter)
The indicator counts active signals from: KAMA, Internal Trend, S/R, FVG, Breakout, and EQ.
Strong Signal: When the count hits your threshold (e.g., 4/6 ). This suggests a high-probability reversal or breakout.
Medium Signal (Triangles): These appear when the trend is active but not all filters align. These are excellent continuation/re-entry points.
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How to Trade (Strategy Guide)
🎯 The Entry
Wait for a Strong Signal (Large Label). This confirms that volatility, structure, and momentum have aligned.
Conservative: Wait for the candle to close.
Aggressive: Enter on the breakout of the KAMA line.
🔄 Re-Entry & Continuation
Markets rarely move in a straight line.
Scenario: You missed the initial "Strong" entry, or you took profit and want to re-enter.
The Signal: Look for the small Triangles (Medium signals). These often appear after a pullback when price resumes the main trend.
Logic: If the main KAMA trend is still green/red, but the "Strong" signal isn't firing, a Triangle indicates a safe place to add to a position.
⚠️ Pyramiding & Risk Management (Advanced)
The EQ Lines (Fast/Medium/Slow) are designed for a tiered position management strategy:
Entry: Open position (e.g., 0.03 lots).
First Take Profit: When price extends far beyond EQ1 (Fast) , lock in partial profits.
Trailing Stop: Move your Stop Loss to trace the EQ2 (Medium) line.
Trend Riding: Hold the "Runner" portion of your position until price closes back under EQ3 (Slow) or the KAMA line.
Tip: Use William Fractals (Period 2) to pinpoint exact swing highs/lows for tightening stops.
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Presets & Optimized Settings
To make this "Plug & Play," I have included optimized presets in the settings for different trading styles.
(If you don't see some parameters, that means they are turned off in trading mode)
⚡ SCALPER (1m - 5m)
KAMA:
ER: 100
Fast Length: 15
Slow Length: 30
FVG:
Size %: 0.01
Trend Detection:
Length: 20
Breakout:
Lookback Period: 10
S/R Detection:
Pivot Length: 10
Tolerance: 0.3
SMC EQ:
Default: 10
EQ1: 10
EQ2 (Main): 30
EQ3: 120
Signal Strength:
Strong: 4
Medium: 3
📊 INTRADAY (15m - 1H)
KAMA:
ER: 100
Fast Length: 5
Slow Length: 30
Trend Detection:
Length: 100
Breakout:
Lookback Period: 30
S/R Detection:
Pivot Length: 20
Tolerance: 0.5
SMC EQ:
Default: 10
EQ1: 10
EQ2 (Main): 40
EQ3: 80
Signal Strength:
Strong: 4
Medium: 3
📈 SWING (4H - 1D)
KAMA:
ER: 30
Fast Length: 4
Slow Length: 30
Trend Detection:
Length: 50
Breakout:
Lookback Period: 20
S/R Detection:
Pivot Length: 30
Tolerance: 0.7
SMC EQ:
Default: 10
EQ1: 10
EQ2: 50
EQ3 (Main): 60
Signal Strength:
Strong: 4
Medium: 3
💼 INVESTOR (4H - 1D+)
KAMA:
ER: 30
Fast Length: 5
Slow Length: 10
Trend Detection:
Length: 100
Breakout:
Lookback Period: 50
S/R Detection:
Pivot Length: 30
Tolerance: 0.7
SMC EQ:
Default: 10
EQ1: 10
EQ2: 50
EQ3 (Main): 100
Signal Strength:
Strong: 4
Medium: 3
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Notes
FVG (Fair Value Gaps): Optional. Enable if you trade volatile assets like Crypto/Gold where imbalances are common.
Support/Resistance: The built-in Pivot system is optional. Disable it if you prefer drawing your own levels to keep the chart clean.
Recommended Pairing:
For best results, pair this with a momentum oscillator like RSI to detect the range regime of a trend. Or DI+ and DI- (when it crosses over each other, that means the "range of possible" regime change of a trend).
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Disclaimer:
This tool is for informational purposes only. "Confluence" increases probability but does not guarantee results. Always manage your risk.
CYCLE BY RiotWolftradingDescription of the "CYCLE" Indicator
The "CYCLE" indicator is a custom Pine Script v5 script for TradingView that visualizes cyclic patterns in price action, dividing the trading day into specific sessions and 90-minute quarters (Q1-Q4). It is designed to identify and display market phases (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution, and Continuation/Reversal) along with key support and resistance levels within those sessions. Additionally, it allows customization of boxes, lines, labels, and colors to suit user preferences.
Main Features
Cycle Phases:
Accumulation (1900-0100): Represents the phase where large operators accumulate positions.
Manipulation (0100-0700): Identifies potential manipulative moves to mislead retail traders.
Distribution (0700-1300): The phase where large operators distribute their positions.
Continuation/Reversal (1300-1900): Indicates whether the price continues the trend or reverses.
90-Minute Quarters (Q1-Q4):
Divides each 6-hour cycle (360 minutes) into four 90-minute quarters (Q1: 00:00-01:30, Q2: 01:30-03:00, Q3: 03:00-04:30, Q4: 04:30-06:00 UTC).
Each quarter is displayed with a colored box (Q1: light purple, Q2: light blue, Q3: light gray, Q4: light pink) and labels (defaulted to black).
Support and Resistance Visualization:
Draws boxes or lines (based on settings) showing the high and low levels of each session.
Optionally displays accumulated volume at the highs and lows within the boxes.
Daily Lines and Last 3 Boxes:
How to Use the Indicator
Step 1: Add the Indicator to TradingView
Open TradingView and select the chart where you want to apply the indicator (e.g., UMG9OOR on a 5-minute timeframe, as shown in the screenshot).
Go to the Pine Editor (at the bottom of the TradingView interface).
Copy and paste the provided code.
Click Compile and then Add to Chart.
Step 2: Configure the Indicator
Click on the indicator name on the chart ("CYCLE") and select Settings (or double-click the name).
Adjust the options based on your needs:
Cycle Phases: Enable/disable phases (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution, Continuation/Reversal) and adjust their time slots if needed.
90-Minute Quarters: Enable/disable quarters (Q1-Q4).
Step 3: Interpret the Indicator
Identify Cycle Phases:
Observe the red boxes indicating the phases (Accumulation, Manipulation, etc.).
The high and low levels within each phase are potential support/resistance zones.
If volume is enabled, pay attention to the accumulated volume at highs and lows, as it may indicate the strength of those levels.
Use the 90-Minute Quarters (Q1-Q4):
The colored boxes (Q1-Q4) divide the day into 90-minute segments.
Each quarter shows the price range (high and low) during that period.
Use these boxes to identify price patterns within each quarter, such as breakouts or consolidations.
The labels (Q1, Q2, etc.) help you track time and anticipate potential moves in the next quarter.
Analyze Support and Resistance:
The high and low levels of each phase/quarter act as support and resistance.
Daily lines (if enabled) show key levels from the previous day, useful for planning entries/exits.
The "last 3 boxes below price" (if enabled) highlight potential support levels the price might target.
Avoid Manipulation:
During the Manipulation phase (0100-0700), be cautious of sharp moves or false breakouts.
Use the high/low levels of this phase to identify potential traps (as explained in your first question about manipulation candles).
Step 4: Trading Strategy
Entries and Exits:
Support/Resistance: Use the high/low levels of phases and quarters to set entry or exit points.
For example, if the price bounces off a Q1 support level, consider a buy.
Breakouts: If the price breaks a high/low of a quarter (e.g., Q2), wait for confirmation to enter in the direction of the breakout.
Volume: If accumulated volume is high near a key level, that level may be more significant.
Risk Management:
Place stop-loss orders below lows (for buys) or above highs (for sells) identified by the indicator.
Avoid trading during the Manipulation phase unless you have a specific strategy to handle false breakouts.
Time Context:
Use the quarters (Q1-Q4) to plan your trades based on time. For example, if Q3 is typically volatile in your market, prepare for larger moves between 03:00-04:30 UTC.
Step 5: Adjustments and Testing
Test on Different Timeframes: The indicator is set for a 5-minute timeframe (as in the screenshot), but you can test it on other timeframes (e.g., 1-minute, 15-minute) by adjusting the time slots if needed.
Adjust Colors and Styles: If the default colors are not visible on your chart, change them for better clarity.
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📌 1. **Accumulation: Strong Institutional Activity**
- During the **accumulation phase, we see **high volume: 82.773K, which suggests strong buying interest**, likely from institutional players.
- This sets the base for the following upward move in price.
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📌 2. **Manipulation: False Breakout with Lower Volume**
- Later, there's a manipulation phase where price breaks above previous highs, but the volume (71.814K) is **lower than during accumulation**.
- This implies that buyers are not as aggressive as before—no real demandbehind the breakout.
- It’s likely a bull trap, where smart money is selling into the breakout to exit their positions.
---
### 📌 3. Distribution: Weakness and Lack of Demand
- The market enters a distribution phase, and volume drops even further (only 7.914K).
- Price struggles to go higher, and you start seeing rejections at the top.
- This shows that demand is drying up, and smart money is offloading positions**—not accumulating anymore.
---
### 💡 Why Take the Short Here?
- Volume is not increasing with new highs—showing weak demand**.
- The manipulation volume is weaker than the accumulation volume, confirming the breakout was likely false.
- Structure starts to break down (Q levels falling), which confirms weakness.
- This creates a high-probability short setup:
- **Entry:** after confirmation of distribution and structural breakdown.
- **Stop loss:** above the manipulation high.
- **Target:** down toward previous lows or value zones.
---
### ✅ Conclusion
Since the manipulation volume failed to exceed the accumulation volume, the breakout lacked real strength. Combined with decreasing volume in the distribution phase, this indicates fading demand and supply taking control—which justifies entering a short position.
Trend Gauge [BullByte]Trend Gauge
Summary
A multi-factor trend detection indicator that aggregates EMA alignment, VWMA momentum scaling, volume spikes, ATR breakout strength, higher-timeframe confirmation, ADX-based regime filtering, and RSI pivot-divergence penalty into one normalized trend score. It also provides a confidence meter, a Δ Score momentum histogram, divergence highlights, and a compact, scalable dashboard for at-a-glance status.
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## 1. Purpose of the Indicator
Why this was built
Traders often monitor several indicators in parallel - EMAs, volume signals, volatility breakouts, higher-timeframe trends, ADX readings, divergence alerts, etc., which can be cumbersome and sometimes contradictory. The “Trend Gauge” indicator was created to consolidate these complementary checks into a single, normalized score that reflects the prevailing market bias (bullish, bearish, or neutral) and its strength. By combining multiple inputs with an adaptive regime filter, scaling contributions by magnitude, and penalizing weakening signals (divergence), this tool aims to reduce noise, highlight genuine trend opportunities, and warn when momentum fades.
Key Design Goals
Signal Aggregation
Merged trend-following signals (EMA crossover, ATR breakout, higher-timeframe confirmation) and momentum signals (VWMA thrust, volume spikes) into a unified score that reflects directional bias more holistically.
Market Regime Awareness
Implemented an ADX-style filter to distinguish between trending and ranging markets, reducing the influence of trend signals during sideways phases to avoid false breakouts.
Magnitude-Based Scaling
Replaced binary contributions with scaled inputs: VWMA thrust and ATR breakout are weighted relative to recent averages, allowing for more nuanced score adjustments based on signal strength.
Momentum Divergence Penalty
Integrated pivot-based RSI divergence detection to slightly reduce the overall score when early signs of momentum weakening are detected, improving risk-awareness in entries.
Confidence Transparency
Added a live confidence metric that shows what percentage of enabled sub-indicators currently agree with the overall bias, making the scoring system more interpretable.
Momentum Acceleration Visualization
Plotted the change in score (Δ Score) as a histogram bar-to-bar, highlighting whether momentum is increasing, flattening, or reversing, aiding in more timely decision-making.
Compact Informational Dashboard
Presented a clean, scalable dashboard that displays each component’s status, the final score, confidence %, detected regime (Trending/Ranging), and a labeled strength gauge for quick visual assessment.
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## 2. Why a Trader Should Use It
Main benefits and use cases
1. Unified View: Rather than juggling multiple windows or panels, this indicator delivers a single score synthesizing diverse signals.
2. Regime Filtering: In ranging markets, trend signals often generate false entries. The ADX-based regime filter automatically down-weights trend-following components, helping you avoid chasing false breakouts.
3. Nuanced Momentum & Volatility: VWMA and ATR breakout contributions are normalized by recent averages, so strong moves register strongly while smaller fluctuations are de-emphasized.
4. Early Warning of Weakening: Pivot-based RSI divergence is detected and used to slightly reduce the score when price/momentum diverges, giving a cautionary signal before a full reversal.
5. Confidence Meter: See at a glance how many sub-indicators align with the aggregated bias (e.g., “80% confidence” means 4 out of 5 components agree ). This transparency avoids black-box decisions.
6. Trend Acceleration/Deceleration View: The Δ Score histogram visualizes whether the aggregated score is rising (accelerating trend) or falling (momentum fading), supplementing the main oscillator.
7. Compact Dashboard: A corner table lists each check’s status (“Bull”, “Bear”, “Flat” or “Disabled”), plus overall Score, Confidence %, Regime, Trend Strength label, and a gauge bar. Users can scale text size (Normal, Small, Tiny) without removing elements, so the full picture remains visible even in compact layouts.
8. Customizable & Transparent: All components can be enabled/disabled and parameterized (lengths, thresholds, weights). The full Pine code is open and well-commented, letting users inspect or adapt the logic.
9. Alert-ready: Built-in alert conditions fire when the score crosses weak thresholds to bullish/bearish or returns to neutral, enabling timely notifications.
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## 3. Component Rationale (“Why These Specific Indicators?”)
Each sub-component was chosen because it adds complementary information about trend or momentum:
1. EMA Cross
o Basic trend measure: compares a faster EMA vs. a slower EMA. Quickly reflects trend shifts but by itself can whipsaw in sideways markets.
2. VWMA Momentum
o Volume-weighted moving average change indicates momentum with volume context. By normalizing (dividing by a recent average absolute change), we capture the strength of momentum relative to recent history. This scaling prevents tiny moves from dominating and highlights genuinely strong momentum.
3. Volume Spikes
o Sudden jumps in volume combined with price movement often accompany stronger moves or reversals. A binary detection (+1 for bullish spike, -1 for bearish spike) flags high-conviction bars.
4. ATR Breakout
o Detects price breaking beyond recent highs/lows by a multiple of ATR. Measures breakout strength by how far beyond the threshold price moves relative to ATR, capped to avoid extreme outliers. This gives a volatility-contextual trend signal.
5. Higher-Timeframe EMA Alignment
o Confirms whether the shorter-term trend aligns with a higher timeframe trend. Uses request.security with lookahead_off to avoid future data. When multiple timeframes agree, confidence in direction increases.
6. ADX Regime Filter (Manual Calculation)
o Computes directional movement (+DM/–DM), smoothes via RMA, computes DI+ and DI–, then a DX and ADX-like value. If ADX ≥ threshold, market is “Trending” and trend components carry full weight; if ADX < threshold, “Ranging” mode applies a configurable weight multiplier (e.g., 0.5) to trend-based contributions, reducing false signals in sideways conditions. Volume spikes remain binary (optional behavior; can be adjusted if desired).
7. RSI Pivot-Divergence Penalty
o Uses ta.pivothigh / ta.pivotlow with a lookback to detect pivot highs/lows on price and corresponding RSI values. When price makes a higher high but RSI makes a lower high (bearish divergence), or price makes a lower low but RSI makes a higher low (bullish divergence), a divergence signal is set. Rather than flipping the trend outright, the indicator subtracts (or adds) a small penalty (configurable) from the aggregated score if it would weaken the current bias. This subtle adjustment warns of weakening momentum without overreacting to noise.
8. Confidence Meter
o Counts how many enabled components currently agree in direction with the aggregated score (i.e., component sign × score sign > 0). Displays this as a percentage. A high percentage indicates strong corroboration; a low percentage warns of mixed signals.
9. Δ Score Momentum View
o Plots the bar-to-bar change in the aggregated score (delta_score = score - score ) as a histogram. When positive, bars are drawn in green above zero; when negative, bars are drawn in red below zero. This reveals acceleration (rising Δ) or deceleration (falling Δ), supplementing the main oscillator.
10. Dashboard
• A table in the indicator pane’s top-right with 11 rows:
1. EMA Cross status
2. VWMA Momentum status
3. Volume Spike status
4. ATR Breakout status
5. Higher-Timeframe Trend status
6. Score (numeric)
7. Confidence %
8. Regime (“Trending” or “Ranging”)
9. Trend Strength label (e.g., “Weak Bullish Trend”, “Strong Bearish Trend”)
10. Gauge bar visually representing score magnitude
• All rows always present; size_opt (Normal, Small, Tiny) only changes text size via text_size, not which elements appear. This ensures full transparency.
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## 4. What Makes This Indicator Stand Out
• Regime-Weighted Multi-Factor Score: Trend and momentum signals are adaptively weighted by market regime (trending vs. ranging) , reducing false signals.
• Magnitude Scaling: VWMA and ATR breakout contributions are normalized by recent average momentum or ATR, giving finer gradation compared to simple ±1.
• Integrated Divergence Penalty: Divergence directly adjusts the aggregated score rather than appearing as a separate subplot; this influences alerts and trend labeling in real time.
• Confidence Meter: Shows the percentage of sub-signals in agreement, providing transparency and preventing blind trust in a single metric.
• Δ Score Histogram Momentum View: A histogram highlights acceleration or deceleration of the aggregated trend score, helping detect shifts early.
• Flexible Dashboard: Always-visible component statuses and summary metrics in one place; text size scaling keeps the full picture available in cramped layouts.
• Lookahead-Safe HTF Confirmation: Uses lookahead_off so no future data is accessed from higher timeframes, avoiding repaint bias.
• Repaint Transparency: Divergence detection uses pivot functions that inherently confirm only after lookback bars; description documents this lag so users understand how and when divergence labels appear.
• Open-Source & Educational: Full, well-commented Pine v6 code is provided; users can learn from its structure: manual ADX computation, conditional plotting with series = show ? value : na, efficient use of table.new in barstate.islast, and grouped inputs with tooltips.
• Compliance-Conscious: All plots have descriptive titles; inputs use clear names; no unnamed generic “Plot” entries; manual ADX uses RMA; all request.security calls use lookahead_off. Code comments mention repaint behavior and limitations.
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## 5. Recommended Timeframes & Tuning
• Any Timeframe: The indicator works on small (e.g., 1m) to large (daily, weekly) timeframes. However:
o On very low timeframes (<1m or tick charts), noise may produce frequent whipsaws. Consider increasing smoothing lengths, disabling certain components (e.g., volume spike if volume data noisy), or using a larger pivot lookback for divergence.
o On higher timeframes (daily, weekly), consider longer lookbacks for ATR breakout or divergence, and set Higher-Timeframe trend appropriately (e.g., 4H HTF when on 5 Min chart).
• Defaults & Experimentation: Default input values are chosen to be balanced for many liquid markets. Users should test with replay or historical analysis on their symbol/timeframe and adjust:
o ADX threshold (e.g., 20–30) based on instrument volatility.
o VWMA and ATR scaling lengths to match average volatility cycles.
o Pivot lookback for divergence: shorter for faster markets, longer for slower ones.
• Combining with Other Analysis: Use in conjunction with price action, support/resistance, candlestick patterns, order flow, or other tools as desired. The aggregated score and alerts can guide attention but should not be the sole decision-factor.
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## 6. How Scoring and Logic Works (Step-by-Step)
1. Compute Sub-Scores
o EMA Cross: Evaluate fast EMA > slow EMA ? +1 : fast EMA < slow EMA ? -1 : 0.
o VWMA Momentum: Calculate vwma = ta.vwma(close, length), then vwma_mom = vwma - vwma . Normalize: divide by recent average absolute momentum (e.g., ta.sma(abs(vwma_mom), lookback)), clip to .
o Volume Spike: Compute vol_SMA = ta.sma(volume, len). If volume > vol_SMA * multiplier AND price moved up ≥ threshold%, assign +1; if moved down ≥ threshold%, assign -1; else 0.
o ATR Breakout: Determine recent high/low over lookback. If close > high + ATR*mult, compute distance = close - (high + ATR*mult), normalize by ATR, cap at a configured maximum. Assign positive contribution. Similarly for bearish breakout below low.
o Higher-Timeframe Trend: Use request.security(..., lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off) to fetch HTF EMAs; assign +1 or -1 based on alignment.
2. ADX Regime Weighting
o Compute manual ADX: directional movements (+DM, –DM), smoothed via RMA, DI+ and DI–, then DX and ADX via RMA. If ADX ≥ threshold, market is considered “Trending”; otherwise “Ranging.”
o If trending, trend-based contributions (EMA, VWMA, ATR, HTF) use full weight = 1.0. If ranging, use weight = ranging_weight (e.g., 0.5) to down-weight them. Volume spike stays binary ±1 (optional to change if desired).
3. Aggregate Raw Score
o Sum weighted contributions of all enabled components. Count the number of enabled components; if zero, default count = 1 to avoid division by zero.
4. Divergence Penalty
o Detect pivot highs/lows on price and corresponding RSI values, using a lookback. When price and RSI diverge (bearish or bullish divergence), check if current raw score is in the opposing direction:
If bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high) and raw score currently positive, subtract a penalty (e.g., 0.5).
If bullish divergence (price lower low, RSI higher low) and raw score currently negative, add a penalty.
o This reduces score magnitude to reflect weakening momentum, without flipping the trend outright.
5. Normalize and Smooth
o Normalized score = (raw_score / number_of_enabled_components) * 100. This yields a roughly range.
o Optional EMA smoothing of this normalized score to reduce noise.
6. Interpretation
o Sign: >0 = net bullish bias; <0 = net bearish bias; near zero = neutral.
o Magnitude Zones: Compare |score| to thresholds (Weak, Medium, Strong) to label trend strength (e.g., “Weak Bullish Trend”, “Medium Bearish Trend”, “Strong Bullish Trend”).
o Δ Score Histogram: The histogram bars from zero show change from previous bar’s score; positive bars indicate acceleration, negative bars indicate deceleration.
o Confidence: Percentage of sub-indicators aligned with the score’s sign.
o Regime: Indicates whether trend-based signals are fully weighted or down-weighted.
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## 7. Oscillator Plot & Visualization: How to Read It
Main Score Line & Area
The oscillator plots the aggregated score as a line, with colored fill: green above zero for bullish area, red below zero for bearish area. Horizontal reference lines at ±Weak, ±Medium, and ±Strong thresholds mark zones: crossing above +Weak suggests beginning of bullish bias, above +Medium for moderate strength, above +Strong for strong trend; similarly for bearish below negative thresholds.
Δ Score Histogram
If enabled, a histogram shows score - score . When positive, bars appear in green above zero, indicating accelerating bullish momentum; when negative, bars appear in red below zero, indicating decelerating or reversing momentum. The height of each bar reflects the magnitude of change in the aggregated score from the prior bar.
Divergence Highlight Fill
If enabled, when a pivot-based divergence is confirmed:
• Bullish Divergence : fill the area below zero down to –Weak threshold in green, signaling potential reversal from bearish to bullish.
• Bearish Divergence : fill the area above zero up to +Weak threshold in red, signaling potential reversal from bullish to bearish.
These fills appear with a lag equal to pivot lookback (the number of bars needed to confirm the pivot). They do not repaint after confirmation, but users must understand this lag.
Trend Direction Label
When score crosses above or below the Weak threshold, a small label appears near the score line reading “Bullish” or “Bearish.” If the score returns within ±Weak, the label “Neutral” appears. This helps quickly identify shifts at the moment they occur.
Dashboard Panel
In the indicator pane’s top-right, a table shows:
1. EMA Cross status: “Bull”, “Bear”, “Flat”, or “Disabled”
2. VWMA Momentum status: similarly
3. Volume Spike status: “Bull”, “Bear”, “No”, or “Disabled”
4. ATR Breakout status: “Bull”, “Bear”, “No”, or “Disabled”
5. Higher-Timeframe Trend status: “Bull”, “Bear”, “Flat”, or “Disabled”
6. Score: numeric value (rounded)
7. Confidence: e.g., “80%” (colored: green for high, amber for medium, red for low)
8. Regime: “Trending” or “Ranging” (colored accordingly)
9. Trend Strength: textual label based on magnitude (e.g., “Medium Bullish Trend”)
10. Gauge: a bar of blocks representing |score|/100
All rows remain visible at all times; changing Dashboard Size only scales text size (Normal, Small, Tiny).
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## 8. Example Usage (Illustrative Scenario)
Example: BTCUSD 5 Min
1. Setup: Add “Trend Gauge ” to your BTCUSD 5 Min chart. Defaults: EMAs (8/21), VWMA 14 with lookback 3, volume spike settings, ATR breakout 14/5, HTF = 5m (or adjust to 4H if preferred), ADX threshold 25, ranging weight 0.5, divergence RSI length 14 pivot lookback 5, penalty 0.5, smoothing length 3, thresholds Weak=20, Medium=50, Strong=80. Dashboard Size = Small.
2. Trend Onset: At some point, price breaks above recent high by ATR multiple, volume spikes upward, faster EMA crosses above slower EMA, HTF EMA also bullish, and ADX (manual) ≥ threshold → aggregated score rises above +20 (Weak threshold) into +Medium zone. Dashboard shows “Bull” for EMA, VWMA, Vol Spike, ATR, HTF; Score ~+60–+70; Confidence ~100%; Regime “Trending”; Trend Strength “Medium Bullish Trend”; Gauge ~6–7 blocks. Δ Score histogram bars are green and rising, indicating accelerating bullish momentum. Trader notes the alignment.
3. Divergence Warning: Later, price makes a slightly higher high but RSI fails to confirm (lower RSI high). Pivot lookback completes; the indicator highlights a bearish divergence fill above zero and subtracts a small penalty from the score, causing score to stall or retrace slightly. Dashboard still bullish but score dips toward +Weak. This warns the trader to tighten stops or take partial profits.
4. Trend Weakens: Score eventually crosses below +Weak back into neutral; a “Neutral” label appears, and a “Neutral Trend” alert fires if enabled. Trader exits or avoids new long entries. If score subsequently crosses below –Weak, a “Bearish” label and alert occur.
5. Customization: If the trader finds VWMA noise too frequent on this instrument, they may disable VWMA or increase lookback. If ATR breakouts are too rare, adjust ATR length or multiplier. If ADX threshold seems off, tune threshold. All these adjustments are explained in Inputs section.
6. Visualization: The screenshot shows the main score oscillator with colored areas, reference lines at ±20/50/80, Δ Score histogram bars below/above zero, divergence fill highlighting potential reversal, and the dashboard table in the top-right.
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## 9. Inputs Explanation
A concise yet clear summary of inputs helps users understand and adjust:
1. General Settings
• Theme (Dark/Light): Choose background-appropriate colors for the indicator pane.
• Dashboard Size (Normal/Small/Tiny): Scales text size only; all dashboard elements remain visible.
2. Indicator Settings
• Enable EMA Cross: Toggle on/off basic EMA alignment check.
o Fast EMA Length and Slow EMA Length: Periods for EMAs.
• Enable VWMA Momentum: Toggle VWMA momentum check.
o VWMA Length: Period for VWMA.
o VWMA Momentum Lookback: Bars to compare VWMA to measure momentum.
• Enable Volume Spike: Toggle volume spike detection.
o Volume SMA Length: Period to compute average volume.
o Volume Spike Multiplier: How many times above average volume qualifies as spike.
o Min Price Move (%): Minimum percent change in price during spike to qualify as bullish or bearish.
• Enable ATR Breakout: Toggle ATR breakout detection.
o ATR Length: Period for ATR.
o Breakout Lookback: Bars to look back for recent highs/lows.
o ATR Multiplier: Multiplier for breakout threshold.
• Enable Higher Timeframe Trend: Toggle HTF EMA alignment.
o Higher Timeframe: E.g., “5” for 5-minute when on 1-minute chart, or “60” for 5 Min when on 15m, etc. Uses lookahead_off.
• Enable ADX Regime Filter: Toggles regime-based weighting.
o ADX Length: Period for manual ADX calculation.
o ADX Threshold: Value above which market considered trending.
o Ranging Weight Multiplier: Weight applied to trend components when ADX < threshold (e.g., 0.5).
• Scale VWMA Momentum: Toggle normalization of VWMA momentum magnitude.
o VWMA Mom Scale Lookback: Period for average absolute VWMA momentum.
• Scale ATR Breakout Strength: Toggle normalization of breakout distance by ATR.
o ATR Scale Cap: Maximum multiple of ATR used for breakout strength.
• Enable Price-RSI Divergence: Toggle divergence detection.
o RSI Length for Divergence: Period for RSI.
o Pivot Lookback for Divergence: Bars on each side to identify pivot high/low.
o Divergence Penalty: Amount to subtract/add to score when divergence detected (e.g., 0.5).
3. Score Settings
• Smooth Score: Toggle EMA smoothing of normalized score.
• Score Smoothing Length: Period for smoothing EMA.
• Weak Threshold: Absolute score value under which trend is considered weak or neutral.
• Medium Threshold: Score above Weak but below Medium is moderate.
• Strong Threshold: Score above this indicates strong trend.
4. Visualization Settings
• Show Δ Score Histogram: Toggle display of the bar-to-bar change in score as a histogram. Default true.
• Show Divergence Fill: Toggle background fill highlighting confirmed divergences. Default true.
Each input has a tooltip in the code.
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## 10. Limitations, Repaint Notes, and Disclaimers
10.1. Repaint & Lag Considerations
• Pivot-Based Divergence Lag: The divergence detection uses ta.pivothigh / ta.pivotlow with a specified lookback. By design, a pivot is only confirmed after the lookback number of bars. As a result:
o Divergence labels or fills appear with a delay equal to the pivot lookback.
o Once the pivot is confirmed and the divergence is detected, the fill/label does not repaint thereafter, but you must understand and accept this lag.
o Users should not treat divergence highlights as predictive signals without additional confirmation, because they appear after the pivot has fully formed.
• Higher-Timeframe EMA Alignment: Uses request.security(..., lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off), so no future data from the higher timeframe is used. This avoids lookahead bias and ensures signals are based only on completed higher-timeframe bars.
• No Future Data: All calculations are designed to avoid using future information. For example, manual ADX uses RMA on past data; security calls use lookahead_off.
10.2. Market & Noise Considerations
• In very choppy or low-liquidity markets, some components (e.g., volume spikes or VWMA momentum) may be noisy. Users can disable or adjust those components’ parameters.
• On extremely low timeframes, noise may dominate; consider smoothing lengths or disabling certain features.
• On very high timeframes, pivots and breakouts occur less frequently; adjust lookbacks accordingly to avoid sparse signals.
10.3. Not a Standalone Trading System
• This is an indicator, not a complete trading strategy. It provides signals and context but does not manage entries, exits, position sizing, or risk management.
• Users must combine it with their own analysis, money management, and confirmations (e.g., price patterns, support/resistance, fundamental context).
• No guarantees: past behavior does not guarantee future performance.
10.4. Disclaimers
• Educational Purposes Only: The script is provided as-is for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
• Use at Your Own Risk: Trading involves risk of loss. Users should thoroughly test and use proper risk management.
• No Guarantees: The author is not responsible for trading outcomes based on this indicator.
• License: Published under Mozilla Public License 2.0; code is open for viewing and modification under MPL terms.
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## 11. Alerts
• The indicator defines three alert conditions:
1. Bullish Trend: when the aggregated score crosses above the Weak threshold.
2. Bearish Trend: when the score crosses below the negative Weak threshold.
3. Neutral Trend: when the score returns within ±Weak after being outside.
Good luck
– BullByte
RY-Parabolic Stop and ReverseParabolic Stop and Reverse with Support Resistance (PSAR-SR)
Identify dynamic support and resistance levels based on price movements.
Reduce false signals often generated by the regular PSAR.
Provide more accurate trading decisions by considering previous reversal points as support and resistance.
How Does PSAR-SR Work?
PSAR Reversal Points:
When the regular PSAR generates a reversal signal, the price at that reversal point is used as support (in an uptrend) or resistance (in a downtrend).
Support and Resistance Lines:
Support: A line drawn from the previous PSAR reversal point in an uptrend.
Resistance: A line drawn from the previous PSAR reversal point in a downtrend.
Price often moves sideways between these support and resistance levels before a breakout occurs.
Breakout Above/Below Support and Resistance:
A Buy signal is generated when the price breaks above resistance with a new candle closing above it.
A Sell signal is generated when the price breaks below support with a new candle closing below it.
Strategy Using PSAR-SR
Wait for the Breakout:
Avoid buying or selling immediately when the PSAR gives a signal.
Confirm that the price breaks past the support or resistance levels and forms a new candle outside those lines.
Use Alongside Other Indicators:
PSAR-SR is not recommended as a standalone tool. Use additional confirmation indicators such as:
Moving Average: To identify long-term trends.
RSI or MACD: To confirm momentum or overbought/oversold conditions.
Advantages of PSAR-SR
Reduces False Signals:
By focusing on previous support and resistance levels, PSAR-SR avoids invalid signals.
Helps Identify Breakouts:
It provides better insight for traders to enter the market during valid breakouts.
Limitations of PSAR-SR
Not Suitable for Sideways Markets:
If the price moves sideways for an extended period, the signals may become less effective.
Requires Additional Confirmation:
Should be used in combination with other indicators to improve accuracy.
Conclusion
PSAR-SR is a helpful tool for identifying dynamic support and resistance levels and generating buy/sell signals based on price breakouts. However, it should always be used with additional indicators for confirmation to avoid false trades.
Disclaimer:
Use this indicator at your own risk, and always perform additional analysis before making any trading decisions.
If you'd like further clarification or examples of how to apply this to a chart, feel free to ask! 😊
