Custom Time Alert with Vertical Line📌 Detailed Explanation of the Custom Time Alert with Vertical Line in Pine Script v5
This script is a time-based alert system designed for TradingView. It allows traders to set a specific hour and minute for alerts and provides visual indicators on the chart, including a marker when the alert triggers and a vertical line at the alert time.
🔹 Main Features
Custom Alert Time → Users can specify the exact hour and minute for an alert.
Time Zone Offset Support → Users can manually adjust their local UTC offset to ensure alerts trigger at the correct time.
Real-Time Alert Condition → When the market reaches the set time, an alert notification is triggered.
Chart Visualization → A red marker appears when the alert is activated, and a blue vertical line is drawn at the alert time.
Automated Calculation → The script adjusts the alert time based on the user’s time zone settings.
🛠️ How It Works
User Input for Alert Time
The script allows users to enter their desired alert hour (0-23) and minute (0-59).
This ensures the alert triggers at the exact specified time.
Time Zone Offset Handling
Users enter their UTC offset (e.g., New York is -5, Tokyo is +9).
This ensures alerts work correctly regardless of the user’s location.
Time Calculation
The script adjusts the TradingView time by adding the time zone offset in milliseconds.
This converts the UTC-based TradingView time into the user’s local time.
Checking for a Time Match
The script constantly checks if the current hour and minute match the user-defined alert time.
If they match, the script activates an alert.
Triggering Alerts
The script uses TradingView’s alertcondition() function to create an alert.
When the time matches, TradingView sends a notification (e.g., pop-up, sound, or mobile alert).
Chart Markers for Visual Alerts
A red marker is displayed on the chart when the alert triggers.
A blue vertical line is drawn at the exact alert time.
📌 Example Use Cases
📈 1. Forex Traders Monitoring Market Opens
A forex trader who trades the London session wants an alert when the market opens at 8:00 AM UTC.
The trader sets:
Alert Hour = 8
Alert Minute = 0
Time Zone Offset = 0 (for UTC)
When the market reaches 8:00 AM UTC, the script triggers an alert.
📈 2. Stock Market Open Alerts
A trader in New York (EST) wants an alert at 9:30 AM Eastern Time (New York Stock Exchange open).
New York’s UTC offset is -5.
The trader sets:
Alert Hour = 9
Alert Minute = 30
Time Zone Offset = -5
The script ensures the alert triggers at 9:30 AM EST.
📈 3. Crypto Trader Watching a Specific Time
A crypto trader wants an alert for a specific strategy at 3:00 PM in Tokyo (UTC+9).
Tokyo’s UTC offset is +9.
The trader sets:
Alert Hour = 15
Alert Minute = 0
Time Zone Offset = +9
The script ensures the alert triggers exactly at 3:00 PM Tokyo time.
在脚本中搜索"tradingview+筹码结构"
Divergence IQ [TradingIQ]Hello Traders!
Introducing "Divergence IQ"
Divergence IQ lets traders identify divergences between price action and almost ANY TradingView technical indicator. This tool is designed to help you spot potential trend reversals and continuation patterns with a range of configurable features.
Features
Divergence Detection
Detects both regular and hidden divergences for bullish and bearish setups by comparing price movements with changes in the indicator.
Offers two detection methods: one based on classic pivot point analysis and another that provides immediate divergence signals.
Option to use closing prices for divergence detection, allowing you to choose the data that best fits your strategy.
Normalization Options:
Includes multiple normalization techniques such as robust scaling, rolling Z-score, rolling min-max, or no normalization at all.
Adjustable normalization window lets you customize the indicator to suit various market conditions.
Option to display the normalized indicator on the chart for clearer visual comparison.
Allows traders to take indicators that aren't oscillators, and convert them into an oscillator - allowing for better divergence detection.
Simulated Trade Management:
Integrates simulated trade entries and exits based on divergence signals to demonstrate potential trading outcomes.
Customizable exit strategies with options for ATR-based or percentage-based stop loss and profit target settings.
Automatically calculates key trade metrics such as profit percentage, win rate, profit factor, and total trade count.
Visual Enhancements and On-Chart Displays:
Color-coded signals differentiate between bullish, bearish, hidden bullish, and hidden bearish divergence setups.
On-chart labels, lines, and gradient flow visualizations clearly mark divergence signals, entry points, and exit levels.
Configurable settings let you choose whether to display divergence signals on the price chart or in a separate pane.
Performance Metrics Table:
A performance table dynamically displays important statistics like profit, win rate, profit factor, and number of trades.
This feature offers an at-a-glance assessment of how the divergence-based strategy is performing.
The image above shows Divergence IQ successfully identifying and trading a bullish divergence between an indicator and price action!
The image above shows Divergence IQ successfully identifying and trading a bearish divergence between an indicator and price action!
The image above shows Divergence IQ successfully identifying and trading a hidden bullish divergence between an indicator and price action!
The image above shows Divergence IQ successfully identifying and trading a hidden bearish divergence between an indicator and price action!
The performance table is designed to provide a clear summary of simulated trade results based on divergence setups. You can easily review key metrics to assess the strategy’s effectiveness over different time periods.
Customization and Adaptability
Divergence IQ offers a wide range of configurable settings to tailor the indicator to your personal trading approach. You can adjust the lookback and lookahead periods for pivot detection, select your preferred method for normalization, and modify trade exit parameters to manage risk according to your strategy. The tool’s clear visual elements and comprehensive performance metrics make it a useful addition to your technical analysis toolbox.
The image above shows Divergence IQ identifying divergences between price action and OBV with no normalization technique applied.
While traders can look for divergences between OBV and price, OBV doesn't naturally behave like an oscillator, with no definable upper and lower threshold, OBV can infinitely increase or decrease.
With Divergence IQ's ability to normalize any indicator, traders can normalize non-oscillator technical indicators such as OBV, CVD, MACD, or even a moving average.
In the image above, the "Robust Scaling" normalization technique is selected. Consequently, the output of OBV has changed and is now behaving similar to an oscillator-like technical indicator. This makes spotting divergences between the indicator and price easier and more appropriate.
The three normalization techniques included will change the indicator's final output to be more compatible with divergence detection.
This feature can be used with almost any technical indicator.
Stop Type
Traders can select between ATR based profit targets and stop losses, or percentage based profit targets and stop losses.
The image above shows options for the feature.
Divergence Detection Method
A natural pitfall of divergence trading is that it generally takes several bars to "confirm" a divergence. This makes trading the divergence complicated, because the entry at time of the divergence might look great; however, the divergence wasn't actually signaled until several bars later.
To circumvent this issue, Divergence IQ offers two divergence detection mechanisms.
Pivot Detection
Pivot detection mode is the same as almost every divergence indicator on TradingView. The Pivots High Low indicator is used to detect market/indicator highs and lows and, consequently, divergences.
This method generally finds the "best looking" divergences, but will always take additional time to confirm the divergence.
Immediate Detection
Immediate detection mode attempts to reduce lag between the divergence and its confirmation to as little as possible while avoiding repainting.
Immediate detection mode still uses the Pivots Detection model to find the first high/low of a divergence. However, the most recent high/low does not utilize the Pivot Detection model, and instead immediately looks for a divergence between price and an indicator.
Immediate Detection Mode will always signal a divergence one bar after it's occurred, and traders can set alerts in this mode to be alerted as soon as the divergence occurs.
TradingView Backtester Integration
Divergence IQ is fully compatible with the TradingView backtester!
Divergence IQ isn’t designed to be a “profitable strategy” for users to trade. Instead, the intention of including the backtester is to let users backtest divergence-based trading strategies between the asset on their chart and almost any technical indicator, and to see if divergences have any predictive utility in that market.
So while the backtester is available in Divergence IQ, it’s for users to personally figure out if they should consider a divergence an actionable insight, and not a solicitation that Divergence IQ is a profitable trading strategy. Divergence IQ should be thought of as a Divergence backtesting toolkit, not a full-feature trading strategy.
Strategy Properties Used For Backtest
Initial Capital: $1000 - a realistic amount of starting capital that will resonate with many traders
Amount Per Trade: 5% of equity - a realistic amount of capital to invest relative to portfolio size
Commission: 0.02% - a conservative amount of commission to pay for trade that is standard in crypto trading, and very high for other markets.
Slippage: 1 tick - appropriate for liquid markets, but must be increased in markets with low activity.
Once more, the backtester is meant for traders to personally figure out if divergences are actionable trading signals on the market they wish to trade with the indicator they wish to use.
And that's all!
If you have any cool features you think can benefit Divergence IQ - please feel free to share them!
Thank you so much TradingView community!
is_strategyCorrection-Adaptive Trend Strategy (Open-Source)
Core Advantage: Designed specifically for the is_correction indicator, with full transparency and customization options.
Key Features:
Open-Source Code:
✅ Full access to the strategy logic – study how every trade signal is generated.
✅ Freedom to customize – modify entry/exit rules, risk parameters, or add new indicators.
✅ No black boxes – understand and trust every decision the strategy makes.
Built for is_correction:
Filters out false signals during market noise.
Works only in confirmed trends (is_correction = false).
Adaptable for Your Needs:
Change Take Profit/Stop Loss ratios directly in the code.
Add alerts, notifications, or integrate with other tools (e.g., Volume Profile).
For Developers/Traders:
Use the code as a template for your own strategies.
Test modifications risk-free on historical data.
How the Strategy Works:
Main Goal:
Automatically buys when the price starts rising and sells when it starts falling, but only during confirmed trends (ignoring temporary pullbacks).
What You See on the Chart:
📈 Up arrows ▼ (below the candle) = Buy signal.
📉 Down arrows ▲ (above the candle) = Sell signal.
Gray background = Market is in a correction (no trades).
Key Mechanics:
Buy Condition:
Price closes higher than the previous candle + is_correction confirms the main trend (not a pullback).
Example: Red candle → green candle → ▼ arrow → buy.
Sell Condition:
Price closes lower than the previous candle + is_correction confirms the trend (optional: turn off short-selling in settings).
Exit Rules:
Closes trades automatically at:
+0.5% profit (adjustable in settings).
-0.5% loss (adjustable).
Or if a reverse signal appears (e.g., sell signal after a buy).
User-Friendly Settings:
Sell – On (default: ON):
ON → Allows short-selling (selling when price falls).
OFF → Strategy only buys and closes positions.
Revers (default: OFF):
ON → Inverts signals (▼ = sell, ▲ = buy).
%Profit & %Loss:
Adjust these values (0-30%) to increase/decrease profit targets and risk.
Example Scenario:
Buy Signal:
Price rises for 3 days → green ▼ arrow → strategy buys.
Stop loss set 0.5% below entry price.
If price keeps rising → trade closes at +0.5% profit.
Correction Phase:
After a rally, price drops for 1 day → gray background → strategy ignores the drop (no action).
Stop Loss Trigger:
If price drops 0.5% from entry → trade closes automatically.
Key Features:
Correction Filter (is_correction):
Acts as a “noise filter” → avoids trades during temporary pullbacks.
Flexibility:
Disable short-selling, flip signals, or tweak profit/loss levels in seconds.
Transparency:
Open-source code → see exactly how every signal is generated (click “Source” in TradingView).
Tips for Beginners:
Test First:
Run the strategy on historical data (click the “Chart” icon in TradingView).
See how it performed in the past.
Customize It:
Increase %Profit to 2-3% for volatile assets like crypto.
Turn off Sell – On if short-selling confuses you.
Trust the Stop Loss:
Even if you think the price will rebound, the strategy will close at -0.5% to protect your capital.
Where to Find Settings:
Click the strategy name on the top-left of your chart → adjust sliders/toggles in the menu.
Русская Версия
Трендовая стратегия с открытым кодом
Главное преимущество: Полная прозрачность логики и адаптация под ваши нужды.
Особенности:
Открытый исходный код:
✅ Видите всю «кухню» стратегии – как формируются сигналы, когда открываются сделки.
✅ Меняйте правила – корректируйте тейк-профит, стоп-лосс или добавляйте новые условия.
✅ Никаких секретов – вы контролируете каждое правило.
Заточка под is_correction:
Игнорирует ложные сигналы в коррекциях.
Работает только в сильных трендах (is_correction = false).
Гибкая настройка:
Подстройте параметры под свой риск-менеджмент.
Добавьте свои индикаторы или условия для входа.
Для трейдеров и разработчиков:
Используйте код как основу для своих стратегий.
Тестируйте изменения на истории перед реальной торговлей.
Простыми словами:
Почему это удобно:
Открытый код = полный контроль. Вы можете:
Увидеть, как именно стратегия решает купить или продать.
Изменить правила закрытия сделок (например, поставить TP=2% вместо 1.5%).
Добавить новые условия (например, торговать только при высоком объёме).
Примеры кастомизации:
Новички: Меняйте только TP/SL в настройках (без кодинга).
Продвинутые: Добавьте RSI-фильтр, чтобы избегать перекупленности.
Разработчики: Встройте стратегию в свою торговую систему.
Как начать:
Скачайте код из TradingView.
Изучите логику в разделе strategy.entry/exit.
Меняйте параметры в блоке input.* (безопасно!).
Тестируйте изменения и оптимизируйте под свои цели.
Как работает стратегия:
Главная задача:
Автоматически покупает, когда цена начинает расти, и продаёт, когда падает. Но делает это «умно» — только когда рынок в основном тренде, а не во временном откате (коррекции).
Что видно на графике:
📈 Стрелки вверх ▼ (под свечой) — сигнал на покупку.
📉 Стрелки вниз ▲ (над свечой) — сигнал на продажу.
Серый фон — рынок в коррекции (не торгуем).
Как это работает:
Когда покупаем:
Если цена закрылась выше предыдущей и индикатор is_correction показывает «основной тренд» (не коррекция).
Пример: Была красная свеча → стала зелёная → появилась стрелка ▼ → покупаем.
Когда продаём:
Если цена закрылась ниже предыдущей и is_correction подтверждает тренд (опционально, можно отключить в настройках).
Когда закрываем сделку:
Автоматически при достижении:
+0.5% прибыли (можно изменить в настройках).
-0.5% убытка (можно изменить).
Или если появился противоположный сигнал (например, после покупки пришла стрелка продажи).
Настройки для чайников:
«Sell – On» (включено по умолчанию):
Если включено → стратегия будет продавать в шорт.
Если выключено → только покупки и закрытие позиций.
«Revers» (выключено по умолчанию):
Если включить → стратегия будет работать наоборот (стрелки ▼ = продажа, ▲ = покупка).
«%Profit» и «%Loss»:
Меняйте эти цифры (от 0 до 30), чтобы увеличить/уменьшить прибыль и риски.
Пример работы:
Сигнал на покупку:
Цена 3 дня растет → появляется зелёная стрелка ▼ → стратегия покупает.
Стоп-лосс ставится на 0.5% ниже цены входа.
Если цена продолжает расти → сделка закрывается при +0.5% прибыли.
Коррекция:
После роста цена падает на 1 день → фон становится серым → стратегия игнорирует это падение (не закрывает сделку).
Стоп-лосс:
Если цена упала на 0.5% от точки входа → сделка закрывается автоматически.
Важные особенности:
Фильтр коррекций (is_correction):
Это «защита от шума» — стратегия не реагирует на мелкие откаты, работая только в сильных трендах.
Гибкие настройки:
Можно запретить шорты, перевернуть сигналы или изменить уровни прибыли/убытка за 2 клика.
Прозрачность:
Весь код открыт → вы можете увидеть, как формируется каждый сигнал (меню «Исходник» в TradingView).
Советы для новичков:
Начните с теста:
Запустите стратегию на исторических данных (кнопка «Свеча» в окне TradingView).
Посмотрите, как она работала в прошлом.
Настройте под себя:
Увеличьте %Profit до 2-3%, если торгуете валюты.
Отключите «Sell – On», если не понимаете шорты.
Доверяйте стоп-лоссу:
Даже если кажется, что цена развернётся — стратегия закроет сделку при -0.5%, защитив ваш депозит.
Где найти настройки:
Кликните на название стратегии в верхнем левом углу графика → откроется меню с ползунками и переключателями.
Важно: Стратегия предоставляет «рыбу» – чтобы она стала «уловистой», адаптируйте её под свой стиль торговли!
Timeframe Display + Countdown📘 Help Guide: Timeframe Display + Countdown + Alert
🔹 Overview
This indicator displays:
✅ The selected timeframe (e.g., 5min, 1H, 4H)
✅ A countdown timer showing minutes and seconds until the current candle closes
✅ An optional alert that plays a sound when 1 minute remains before the new candle starts
⚙️ How to Use
1️⃣ Add the Indicator
• Open TradingView
• Click on Pine Script Editor
• Copy and paste the script
• Click Add to Chart
2️⃣ Customize Settings
• Text Color: Choose a color for the displayed text
• Text Size: Adjust the font size (8–24)
• Transparency: Set how transparent the text is (0%–100%)
• Position: Choose where the text appears (Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, Bottom Right)
• Enable Audible Alert: Turn ON/OFF the alert when 1 minute remains
3️⃣ Set Up an Audible Alert in TradingView
🚨 Important: Pine Script cannot play sounds directly; you must set up a manual alert in TradingView.
Steps:
1. Click “Alerts” (🔔 icon in TradingView)
2. Click “Create Alert” (+ button)
3. In “Condition”, select this indicator (Timeframe Display + Countdown)
4. Under “Options”, choose:
• Trigger: “Once Per Bar”
• Expiration: Set a valid time range
• Alert Actions: Check “Play Sound” and choose a sound
5. Click “Create” ✅
🛠️ How It Works
• Countdown Timer:
• Updates in real time, displaying MM:SS until the candle closes
• Resets when a new candle starts
• Alert Trigger:
• When 1:00 minute remains, an alert is sent
• If properly configured in TradingView, it plays a sound
Volume Delta with Bollinger Bands [EMA]TL;DR
This indicator displays a “Volume Delta” candle chart based on a lower timeframe approximation of up vs. down volume. Bollinger Bands (using an EMA and a configurable standard deviation multiplier) highlight when Volume Delta exceeds typical volatility thresholds. Green bars will darken when Volume Delta is above the upper Bollinger band, and red bars will darken when Volume Delta is below the lower Bollinger band. You can optionally include wicks in the Bollinger calculations. Note : TradingView uses tick-based volume data, so these values may not precisely match true market orders.
What Is Volume Delta ?
• Volume Delta is a metric that identifies buying vs. selling activity in a market by distinguishing between orders transacting at the ask (buy volume) and orders transacting at the bid (sell volume).
• A positive Volume Delta indicates more buy volume during a bar, while a negative Volume Delta indicates more sell volume.
How TradingView Calculates Volume Delta
• TradingView relies on tick data to approximate up/down volume. This may not perfectly capture true order-flow distribution, particularly on higher timeframes or illiquid symbols.
• While it can provide useful insights into volume flow, keep in mind the underlying data’s limitations.
Key Features of This Indicator
1. Automatic or Custom Lower Timeframe Data
• The script can automatically select a lower timeframe for Volume Delta, or you can manually specify one in the settings.
2. Bollinger Bands on Volume Delta
• Uses an EMA of the Volume Delta (or a wick-based average) and calculates a standard deviation.
• The upper and lower bands highlight when activity deviates from typical volatility.
3. Configurable Wick Inclusion
• Decide whether to use only the “close” (lastVolume) of the Volume Delta bar or the average of its wicks ((maxVolume + minVolume) / 2) for Bollinger calculations.
4. Dynamic Bar Colors
• Positive Volume Delta bars turn dark green if they exceed the upper Bollinger band, otherwise lighter green .
• Negative Volume Delta bars turn dark red if they fall below the lower Bollinger band, otherwise lighter red .
How To Use
1. Add the Indicator to Your Chart
• Apply it to any symbol and timeframe in TradingView.
• Configure the lower timeframe for Volume Delta if desired.
2. Adjust Bollinger Settings
• Bollinger Length defines the EMA and standard deviation period.
• Bollinger Multiplier sets how far the bands lie from the EMA.
3. Choose Whether To Use Wicks
• Toggle to use the average of high/low for a potentially more volatile reading.
• Turn it off to rely solely on the Volume Delta “close.”
4. Interpret the Signals
• Dark Green Above the Upper Band : Suggests strong buying pressure above normal.
• Lighter Green : Positive but within typical volatility bounds.
• Dark Red Below the Lower Band : Suggests strong selling pressure below normal.
• Lighter Red : Negative but within typical volatility.
Important Caveats
• TradingView Volume Data : Tick-based and aggregated data may not reflect actual order-flow precisely.
• Context Matters : Combine Volume Delta with other forms of analysis (price action, support/resistance, etc.) to form a more comprehensive strategy.
Fibonacci Extension Strt StrategyCore Logic and Steps:
Weekly Trend Identification:
Find the last significant Higher High (HH) and Lower Low (LL) or vice-versa on the Weekly timeframe.
Determine if it's an uptrend (HH followed by LL) or a downtrend (LL followed by HH).
Plot a Fibonacci Extension (or Retracement in reverse order) from the swing point determined to the other significant swing point.
Weekly Retracement Levels:
Display horizontal lines at the 0.236, 0.382, and 0.5 Fibonacci levels from the weekly extension.
Monitor price action on these levels.
Daily Confirmation:
When price hits the Fib levels, examine the Daily chart.
Look for a rejection wick (indicating the pull back is ending) on the identified weekly retracement levels.
Confirm that the price is indeed starting to continue in the direction of the original weekly trend.
Four-Hour Entry:
On the 4H timeframe, plot a new Fib Extension in the opposite direction of the weekly.
If it's an uptrend, the Fib is plotted from last swing low to its swing high. If the weekly trend was bearish the Fib will be plotted from last swing high to the swing low.
Generate an entry when price breaks the high of that candle.
Trade Management:
Entry is on the breakout of the current candle.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below the wick of the breakout candle.
Take Profit 1: Close 50% of the position at the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Move the stop loss to breakeven on this position.
Take Profit 2: Close another 25% of the position at the 0.236 Fib level.
Trailing Take Profit: Keep the last 25% open, using a trailing stop loss. (You'll need to define the logic for the trailing stop, e.g., trailing stop using the last high/low)
How to Use in TradingView:
Open a TradingView Chart.
Click on "Pine Editor" at the bottom.
Copy and paste the corrected Pine Script code.
Click "Add to Chart".
The indicator should now be displayed on your chart.
Bollinger Bands CustomThe indicator is a customized version of Bollinger Bands with added trading signals. This indicator is designed to help traders identify potential entry (buy) and exit (sell) points based on the interaction between the price and the Bollinger Bands. Below, I will explain in detail its purpose, how it works, and how to use it.
Purpose of the Indicator
The main purpose of this indicator is:
Identify market volatility: Bollinger Bands expand and contract based on price volatility.
Provide trading signals: The indicator generates buy signals (BUY) when the price crosses the lower band and sell signals (SELL) when the price crosses the upper band.
Help identify dynamic support and resistance levels: The upper and lower bands act as dynamic resistance and support levels.
How the Indicator Works
The indicator is based on three main components:
Moving Average (SMA): It calculates the simple moving average (SMA) of the price over a specified period (length).
Bollinger Bands:
The upper band is calculated as the moving average plus a standard deviation multiplied by a factor (mult).
The lower band is calculated as the moving average minus a standard deviation multiplied by the same factor.
Trading signals:
A BUY signal is generated when the price crosses above the lower band.
A SELL signal is generated when the price crosses below the upper band.
How to Use the Indicator
Here is a step-by-step guide on how to use the indicator on TradingView:
1. Add the Indicator to the Chart
Copy the Pine Script code you created.
Open TradingView and go to the Pine Editor.
Paste the code and click "Add to Chart."
The indicator will be displayed directly on the price chart.
2. Customize the Parameters
You can customize the following parameters:
Moving Average Length (length): Set the period for the moving average (default is 20).
Price Source (source): Choose the price to use (default is the closing price).
Standard Deviation Multiplier (mult): Set the multiplier for the standard deviation (default is 2.0).
3. Interpret the Signals
BUY Signal: When you see a "BUY" label below a candle, it means the price has crossed above the lower band. This could indicate a buying opportunity.
SELL Signal: When you see a "SELL" label above a candle, it means the price has crossed below the upper band. This could indicate a selling opportunity.
4. Use Bollinger Bands as Support and Resistance
If the price approaches the upper band, it might indicate a resistance level.
If the price approaches the lower band, it might indicate a support level.
5. Monitor the Colored Background
The chart background turns light green when there is a BUY signal and light red when there is a SELL signal. This helps you quickly identify signals.
Practical Example
Suppose you are analyzing a daily chart of a stock or cryptocurrency:
If the price crosses above the lower band, the indicator will show a "BUY" label. You might consider this as a signal to open a long position.
If the price crosses below the upper band, the indicator will show a "SELL" label. You might consider this as a signal to close a long position or open a short position.
Limitations and Considerations
False signals: In range-bound markets, Bollinger Bands can generate many false signals. It is advisable to use this indicator in combination with other technical analysis tools.
Extreme volatility: During periods of high volatility, the bands expand, and signals may become less reliable.
Confirmation: It is always good practice to confirm signals with other indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) or candlestick analysis.
Conclusion
My indicator is a useful tool for identifying potential trading opportunities based on Bollinger Bands. However, as with any indicator, it is important to use it in combination with other forms of analysis and risk management to maximize effectiveness. Happy trading! 🚀
RSI from Rolling VWAP [CHE]Introducing the RSI from Rolling VWAP Indicator
Elevate your trading strategy with the RSI from Rolling VWAP —a cutting-edge indicator designed to provide unparalleled insights and enhance your decision-making on TradingView. This advanced tool seamlessly integrates the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with a Rolling Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) to deliver precise and actionable trading signals.
Why Choose RSI from Rolling VWAP ?
- Clear Trend Detection: Our enhanced algorithms ensure accurate identification of bullish and bearish trends, allowing you to capitalize on market movements with confidence.
- Customizable Time Settings: Tailor the time window in days, hours, and minutes to align perfectly with your unique trading strategy and market conditions.
- Flexible Moving Averages: Select from a variety of moving average types—including SMA, EMA, WMA, and more—to smooth the RSI, providing clearer trend analysis and reducing market noise.
- Threshold Alerts: Define upper and lower RSI thresholds to effortlessly spot overbought or oversold conditions, enabling timely and informed trading decisions.
- Visual Enhancements: Enjoy a visually intuitive interface with color-coded RSI lines, moving averages, and background fills that make interpreting market data straightforward and efficient.
- Automatic Signal Labels: Receive immediate bullish and bearish labels directly on your chart, signaling potential trading opportunities without the need for constant monitoring.
Key Features
- Inspired by Proven Tools: Building upon the robust foundation of TradingView's Rolling VWAP, our indicator offers enhanced functionality and greater precision.
- Volume-Weighted Insights: By incorporating volume into the VWAP calculation, gain a deeper understanding of price movements and market strength.
- User-Friendly Configuration: Easily adjust settings to match your trading preferences, whether you're a novice trader or an experienced professional.
- Hypothesis-Driven Analysis: Utilize hypothetical results to backtest strategies, understanding that past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.
How It Works
1. Data Integration: Utilizes the `hlc3` (average of high, low, and close) as the default data source, with customization options available to suit your trading needs.
2. Dynamic Time Window: Automatically calculates the optimal time window based on an auto timeframe or allows for fixed time periods, ensuring flexibility and adaptability.
3. Rolling VWAP Calculation: Accurately computes the Rolling VWAP by balancing price and volume over the specified time window, providing a reliable benchmark for price action.
4. RSI Analysis: Measures momentum through RSI based on Rolling VWAP changes, smoothed with your chosen moving average for enhanced trend clarity.
5. Actionable Signals: Detects and labels bullish and bearish conditions when RSI crosses predefined thresholds, offering clear indicators for potential market entries and exits.
Seamless Integration with Your TradingView Experience
Adding the RSI from Rolling VWAP to your TradingView charts is straightforward:
1. Add to Chart: Simply copy the Pine Script code into TradingView's Pine Editor and apply it to your desired chart.
2. Customize Settings: Adjust the Source Settings, Time Settings, RSI Settings, MA Settings, and Color Settings to align with your trading strategy.
3. Monitor Signals: Watch for RSI crossings above or below your set thresholds, accompanied by clear labels indicating bullish or bearish trends.
4. Optimize Your Trades: Leverage the visual and analytical strengths of the indicator to make informed buy or sell decisions, maximizing your trading potential.
Disclaimer:
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Get Started Today
Transform your trading approach with the RSI from Rolling VWAP indicator. Experience the synergy of momentum and volume-based analysis, and unlock the potential for more accurate and profitable trades.
Download now and take the first step towards a more informed and strategic trading journey!
For further inquiries or support, feel free to contact
Best regards
Chervolino
Inspired by the acclaimed Rolling VWAP by TradingView
$TUBR: Stop Loss IndicatorATR-Based Stop Loss Indicator for TradingView by The Ultimate Bull Run Community: TUBR
**Overview**
The ATR-Based Stop Loss Indicator is a custom tool designed for traders using TradingView. It helps you determine optimal stop loss levels by leveraging the Average True Range (ATR), a popular measure of market volatility. By adapting to current market conditions, this indicator aims to minimize premature stop-outs and enhance your risk management strategy.
---
**Key Features**
- **Dynamic Stop Loss Levels**: Calculates stop loss prices based on the ATR, providing both long and short stop loss suggestions.
- **Customizable Parameters**: Adjust the ATR period, multiplier, and smoothing method to suit your trading style and the specific instrument you're trading.
- **Visual Aids**: Plots stop loss lines directly on your chart for easy visualization.
- **Alerts and Notifications** (Optional): Set up alerts to notify you when the price approaches or hits your stop loss levels.
---
**Understanding the Indicator**
1. **Average True Range (ATR)**:
- **What It Is**: ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average range between high and low prices over a specified period.
- **Why It's Useful**: A higher ATR indicates higher volatility, which can help you set stop losses that accommodate market fluctuations.
2. **ATR Multiplier**:
- **Purpose**: Determines how far your stop loss is placed from the current price based on the ATR.
- **Example**: An ATR multiplier of 1.5 means the stop loss is set at 1.5 times the ATR away from the current price.
3. **Smoothing Methods**:
- **Options**: Choose from RMA (default), SMA, EMA, WMA, or Hull MA.
- **Effect**: Different smoothing methods can make the ATR more responsive or smoother, affecting where the stop loss is placed.
---
**How the Indicator Works**
- **Long Stop Loss Calculation**:
- **Formula**: `Long Stop Loss = Close Price - (ATR * ATR Multiplier)`
- **Purpose**: For long positions, the stop loss is set below the current price to protect against downside risk.
- **Short Stop Loss Calculation**:
- **Formula**: `Short Stop Loss = Close Price + (ATR * ATR Multiplier)`
- **Purpose**: For short positions, the stop loss is set above the current price to protect against upside risk.
- **Plotting on the Chart**:
- **Green Line**: Represents the suggested stop loss level for long positions.
- **Red Line**: Represents the suggested stop loss level for short positions.
---
**How to Use the Indicator**
1. **Adding the Indicator to Your Chart**:
- **Step 1**: Copy the PineScript code of the indicator.
- **Step 2**: In TradingView, click on **Pine Editor** at the bottom of the platform.
- **Step 3**: Paste the code into the editor and click **Add to Chart**.
- **Step 4**: The indicator will appear on your chart with the default settings.
2. **Adjusting the Settings**:
- **ATR Period**:
- **Definition**: Number of periods over which the ATR is calculated.
- **Adjustment**: Increase for a smoother ATR; decrease for a more responsive ATR.
- **ATR Multiplier**:
- **Definition**: Factor by which the ATR is multiplied to set the stop loss distance.
- **Adjustment**: Increase to widen the stop loss (less likely to be hit); decrease to tighten the stop loss.
- **Smoothing Method**:
- **Options**: RMA, SMA, EMA, WMA, Hull MA.
- **Adjustment**: Experiment to see which method aligns best with your trading strategy.
- **Display Options**:
- **Show Long Stop Loss**: Toggle to display or hide the long stop loss line.
- **Show Short Stop Loss**: Toggle to display or hide the short stop loss line.
3. **Interpreting the Indicator**:
- **Long Positions**:
- **Action**: Set your stop loss at the value indicated by the green line when entering a long trade.
- **Short Positions**:
- **Action**: Set your stop loss at the value indicated by the red line when entering a short trade.
- **Adjusting Stop Losses**:
- **Trailing Stops**: You may choose to adjust your stop loss over time, moving it in the direction of your trade as the ATR-based stop loss levels change.
4. **Implementing in Your Trading Strategy**:
- **Risk Management**:
- **Position Sizing**: Use the stop loss distance to calculate your position size based on your risk tolerance.
- **Consistency**: Apply the same settings consistently to maintain discipline.
- **Combining with Other Indicators**:
- **Enhance Decision-Making**: Use in conjunction with trend indicators, support and resistance levels, or other technical analysis tools.
- **Alerts Setup** (If included in the code):
- **Purpose**: Receive notifications when the price approaches or hits your stop loss level.
- **Configuration**: Set up alerts in TradingView based on the alert conditions defined in the indicator.
---
**Benefits of Using This Indicator**
- **Adaptive Risk Management**: By accounting for current market volatility, the indicator helps prevent setting stop losses that are too tight or too wide.
- **Minimize Premature Stop-Outs**: Reduces the likelihood of being stopped out due to normal price fluctuations.
- **Flexibility**: Customizable settings allow you to tailor the indicator to different trading instruments and timeframes.
- **Visualization**: Clear visual representation of stop loss levels aids in quick decision-making.
---
**Things to Consider**
- **Market Conditions**:
- **High Volatility**: Be cautious as ATR values—and thus stop loss distances—can widen, increasing potential losses.
- **Low Volatility**: Tighter stop losses may increase the chance of being stopped out by minor price movements.
- **Backtesting and Optimization**:
- **Historical Analysis**: Test the indicator on past data to evaluate its effectiveness and adjust settings accordingly.
- **Continuous Improvement**: Regularly reassess and fine-tune the parameters to adapt to changing market conditions.
- **Risk Per Trade**:
- **Alignment with Risk Tolerance**: Ensure the stop loss level keeps potential losses within your acceptable risk per trade (e.g., 1-2% of your trading capital).
- **Emotional Discipline**:
- **Stick to Your Plan**: Avoid making impulsive changes to your stop loss levels based on emotions rather than analysis.
---
**Example Usage Scenario**
1. **Setting Up a Long Trade**:
- **Entry Price**: $100
- **ATR Value**: $2
- **ATR Multiplier**: 1.5
- **Calculated Stop Loss**: $100 - ($2 * 1.5) = $97
- **Action**: Place a stop loss order at $97.
2. **During the Trade**:
- **Price Increases to $105**
- **ATR Remains at $2**
- **New Stop Loss Level**: $105 - ($2 * 1.5) = $102
- **Action**: Move your stop loss up to $102 to lock in profits.
---
**Final Tips**
- **Documentation**: Keep a trading journal to record your trades, stop loss levels, and observations for future reference.
- **Education**: Continuously educate yourself on risk management and technical analysis to enhance your trading skills.
- **Support**: Engage with trading communities or seek professional advice if you're unsure about implementing the indicator effectively.
---
**Conclusion**
The ATR-Based Stop Loss Indicator is a valuable tool for traders looking to enhance their risk management by setting stop losses that adapt to market volatility. By integrating this indicator into your trading routine, you can improve your ability to protect capital and potentially increase profitability. Remember to use it as part of a comprehensive trading strategy, and always adhere to sound risk management principles.
---
**How to Access the Indicator**
To start using the ATR-Based Stop Loss Indicator, follow these steps:
1. **Obtain the Code**: Copy the PineScript code provided for the indicator.
2. **Create a New Indicator in TradingView**:
- Open TradingView and navigate to the **Pine Editor**.
- Paste the code into the editor.
- Click **Save** and give your indicator a name.
3. **Add to Chart**: Click **Add to Chart** to apply the indicator to your current chart.
4. **Customize Settings**: Adjust the input parameters to suit your preferences and start integrating the indicator into your trading strategy.
---
**Disclaimer**
Trading involves significant risk, and it's possible to lose all your capital. The ATR-Based Stop Loss Indicator is a tool to aid in decision-making but does not guarantee profits or prevent losses. Always conduct your own analysis and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making trading decisions.
Volatility Adaptive Signal Tracker (VAST)The Adaptive Trend Following Buy/Sell Signals Pine Script is designed to help traders identify and capitalize on market trends using an adaptive trend-following strategy. This script focuses on generating reliable buy and sell signals by analyzing market trends and volatility. It simplifies the trading process by providing clear signals without plotting additional lines, making it easy to use and interpret.
Key Features:
Adaptive Trend Following:
The script employs an adaptive trend-following approach that leverages market volatility to generate buy and sell signals. This method is effective in both trending and volatile markets.
Inputs and Customization:
The script includes customizable parameters for the Simple Moving Average (SMA) length, the Average True Range (ATR) length, and the ATR multiplier. These inputs allow traders to adjust the sensitivity of the signals to match their trading style and market conditions.
Signal Generation:
Buy Signal: Generated when the closing price crosses above the upper adaptive band, indicating a potential upward trend.
Sell Signal: Generated when the closing price crosses below the lower adaptive band, indicating a potential downward trend.
Visual Signals:
The script uses plotshape to mark buy signals with green labels below the bars and sell signals with red labels above the bars. This clear visual representation helps traders quickly identify trading opportunities.
Alert Conditions:
The script sets up alert conditions for both buy and sell signals. Traders can use these alerts to receive notifications when a signal is generated, ensuring they do not miss any trading opportunities.
How It Works:
SMA Calculation: The script calculates the Simple Moving Average (SMA) over a specified period, which helps in identifying the general trend direction.
ATR Calculation: The Average True Range (ATR) is calculated to measure market volatility.
Adaptive Bands: Upper and lower adaptive bands are created by adding and subtracting a multiple of the ATR to the SMA, respectively.
Signal Logic: Buy signals are generated when the closing price crosses above the upper band, while sell signals are generated when the closing price crosses below the lower band.
Example Use Case:
A trader looking to capitalize on medium-term trends in the Nifty futures market can use this script to receive timely buy and sell signals. By customizing the SMA length and ATR parameters, the trader can fine-tune the script to match their trading strategy, ensuring they enter and exit trades at optimal points.
Benefits:
Simplicity: The script provides clear buy and sell signals without cluttering the chart with additional lines or indicators.
Adaptability: Customizable parameters allow traders to adapt the script to various market conditions and trading styles.
Alerts: Built-in alert conditions ensure traders receive timely notifications, helping them to act quickly on trading signals.
How to Use:
Open TradingView: Go to the TradingView website and log in.
Create a New Chart: Click on the “Chart” button to open a new chart.
Open the Pine Script Editor: Click on the “Pine Editor” tab at the bottom of the chart.
Create a New Script: Delete any default code in the Pine Script editor and paste the provided script.
Add to Chart: Click on the “Add to Chart” button to compile and add the script to your chart.
Save the Script: Click “Save” and name the script.
Set Alerts: Right-click on the chart, select “Add Alert,” and choose the appropriate condition to set alerts for buy and sell signals.
Gold Option Signals with EMA and RSIIndicators:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): Faster to respond to recent price changes compared to simple moving averages.
RSI: Measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions.
Signal Generation:
Buy Call Signal: Generated when the short EMA crosses above the long EMA and the RSI is not overbought (below 70).
Buy Put Signal: Generated when the short EMA crosses below the long EMA and the RSI is not oversold (above 30).
Plotting:
EMAs: Plotted on the chart to visualize trend directions.
Signals: Plotted as shapes on the chart where conditions are met.
RSI Background Color: Changes to red for overbought and green for oversold conditions.
Steps to Use:
Add the Script to TradingView:
Open TradingView, go to the Pine Script editor, paste the script, save it, and add it to your chart.
Interpret the Signals:
Buy Call Signal: Look for green labels below the price bars.
Buy Put Signal: Look for red labels above the price bars.
Customize Parameters:
Adjust the input parameters (e.g., lengths of EMAs, RSI levels) to better fit your trading strategy and market conditions.
Testing and Validation
To ensure that the script works as expected, you can test it on historical data and validate the signals against known price movements. Adjust the parameters if necessary to improve the accuracy of the signals.
azLibConnectorThe AzLibConnector provides a comprehensive suite of functions for facilitating seamless communication and chaining of signal value streams between connectable indicators, signal filters, monitors, and strategies on TradingView. By adeptly integrating both positive and negative weights from Entry Long (EL), Exit Long (XL), Entry Short (ES), and Exit Short (XS) signals into a singular figure, it leverages the source input field of TradingView to efficiently connect indicators in a chain. This results in a streamlined strategy setup without the necessity for Pine Script coding. Emphasizing modularity and uniformity, this library enables users to easily combine indicators into a coherent system, facilitating strategy development and execution with flexibility.
█ LIBRARY USAGE
extract(srcConnector)
Extract signals (EL, XL, ES, XS) from incoming connector signal stream
Parameters:
srcConnector : (series float) Source Connector. The connector stream series to extract the signals from.
Returns: A tuple containing the extracted EL, XL, ES, XS signal values.
compose(signalEL, signalXL, signalES, signalXS)
Compose a connector output signal stream from given EL, XL, ES and XS signals to be used by other Azullian Strategy Builder blocks.
Parameters:
signalEL : (series float) Entry Long signal value.
signalXL : (series float) Exit Long signal value.
signalES : (series float) Entry Short signal value.
signalXS : (series float) Exit Short signal value.
Returns: (series float) A composed connector output signal stream.
█ USAGE OF CONNECTABLE INDICATORS
■ Connectable chaining mechanism
Connectable indicators can be connected directly to the monitor, signal filter or strategy , or they can be daisy chained to each other while the last indicator in the chain connects to the monitor, signal filter or strategy. When using a signal filter or monitor you can chain the filter to the strategy input to make your chain complete.
• Direct chaining: Connect an indicator directly to the monitor, signal filter or strategy through the provided inputs (→).
• Daisy chaining: Connect indicators using the indicator input (→). The first in a daisy chain should have a flow (⌥) set to 'Indicator only'. Subsequent indicators use 'Both' to pass the previous weight. The final indicator connects to the monitor, signal filter, or strategy.
■ Set up the signal filter with a connectable indicator and strategy
Let's connect the MACD to a connectable signal filter and a strategy :
1. Load all relevant indicators
• Load MACD / Connectable
• Load Signal filter / Connectable
• Load Strategy / Connectable
2. Signal Filter: Connect the MACD to the Signal Filter
• Open the signal filter settings
• Choose one of the five input dropdowns (1→, 2→, 3→, 4→, 5→) and choose : MACD / Connectable: Signal Connector
• Toggle the enable box before the connected input to enable the incoming signal
3. Signal Filter: Update the filter settings if needed
• The default filter mode for the trading direction is SWING, and is compatible with the default settings in the strategy and indicators.
4. Signal Filter: Update the weight threshold settings if needed
• All connectable indicators load by default with a score of 6 for each direction (EL, XL, ES, XS)
• By default, weight threshold is 'ABOVE' Threshold 1 (TH1) and Threshold 2 (TH2), both set at 5. This allows each occurrence to score, as the default score is 1 point above the threshold.
5. Strategy: Connect the strategy to the signal filter in the strategy settings
• Select a strategy input → and select the Signal filter: Signal connector
6. Strategy: Enable filter compatible directions
• As the default setting of the filter is SWING, we should also set the SM (Strategy mode) to SWING.
Now that everything is connected, you'll notice green spikes in the signal filter or signal monitor representing long signals, and red spikes indicating short signals. Trades will also appear on the chart, complemented by a performance overview. Your journey is just beginning: delve into different scoring mechanisms, merge diverse connectable indicators, and craft unique chains. Instantly test your results and discover the potential of your configurations. Dive deep and enjoy the process!
█ BENEFITS
• Adaptable Modular Design: Arrange indicators in diverse structures via direct or daisy chaining, allowing tailored configurations to align with your analysis approach.
• Streamlined Backtesting: Simplify the iterative process of testing and adjusting combinations, facilitating a smoother exploration of potential setups.
• Intuitive Interface: Navigate TradingView with added ease. Integrate desired indicators, adjust settings, and establish alerts without delving into complex code.
• Signal Weight Precision: Leverage granular weight allocation among signals, offering a deeper layer of customization in strategy formulation.
• Advanced Signal Filtering: Define entry and exit conditions with more clarity, granting an added layer of strategy precision.
• Clear Visual Feedback: Distinct visual signals and cues enhance the readability of charts, promoting informed decision-making.
• Standardized Defaults: Indicators are equipped with universally recognized preset settings, ensuring consistency in initial setups across different types like momentum or volatility.
• Reliability: Our indicators are meticulously developed to prevent repainting. We strictly adhere to TradingView's coding conventions, ensuring our code is both performant and clean.
█ COMPATIBLE INDICATORS
Each indicator that incorporates our open-source 'azLibConnector' library and adheres to our conventions can be effortlessly integrated and used as detailed above.
For clarity and recognition within the TradingView platform, we append the suffix ' / Connectable' to every compatible indicator.
█ COMMON MISTAKES
• Removing an indicator from a chain: Deleting a linked indicator and confirming the "remove study tree" alert will also remove all underlying indicators in the object tree. Before removing one, disconnect the adjacent indicators and move it to the object stack's bottom.
• Point systems: The azLibConnector provides 500 points for each direction (EL: Enter long, XL: Exit long, ES: Enter short, XS: Exit short) Remember this cap when devising a point structure.
• Flow misconfiguration: In daisy chains the first indicator should always have a flow (⌥) setting of 'indicator only' while other indicator should have a flow (⌥) setting of 'both'.
█ A NOTE OF GRATITUDE
Through years of exploring TradingView and Pine Script, we've drawn immense inspiration from the community's knowledge and innovation. Thank you for being a constant source of motivation and insight.
█ RISK DISCLAIMER
Azullian's content, tools, scripts, articles, and educational offerings are presented purely for educational and informational uses. Please be aware that past performance should not be considered a predictor of future results.
5EMA BollingerBand Nifty Stock Scanner
What ?
We all heard about (well: over-heard) 5-EMA strategy. Which falls into the broader category of mean reversal type of trading setup.
What is mean reversal?
Price (or any time series, in fact) tries to follow a mean . Whenever price diverges from the mean it tries to meet it back.
It is empirically observed by some traders (I honestly don't know who first time observed it) that in Indian context specially, 5 Exponential Moving Average (5-EMA) works pretty good as that mean.
So whenever price moves away from that 5-EMA, it ultimately comes back and attain total nirvana :) Means: if price moved way higher than the 5EMA without touching it, then price will correct to meet it's 5-EMA and if price moved way lower, it will be uplifted to meet it's 5-EMA. Funny - but it works !
Now there are already enough social media coverage on this 5-EMA strategy/setup. Even TradingView has some excellent work done on these setups. Kudos to all those great souls.
So when we came to know about this, we were thinking what we should do for the community. Because it is well cover topic (specially in Indian context). Also, there are public indicators.
Then we thought why not come up with a scanner which will scan all the Nifty-50 constituent stocks and find out on the fly, real-time which all stocks are matching this 5-EMA setup and causing a Buy/Sell trade recommendation.
Hence here we are with the first version of our first scanner on the 5EMA setup (well it has some more masala than merely a 5-EMA setup).
Why?
Parts of why is already covered up.
Now instead of blindly following 5-EMA setup, we added the Bollinger band as well. Again: it's also not new. There are enough coverage in social media about the 5-EMA+BB strategy/setup. We mercilessly borrowed from all of these.
Suppose you have an indicator.
Now you apply the indicator in your chart. And then you need to (rock) and roll through your watchlist of Nifty-50 stocks (note: TradingView has no default watchlist of Nifty-50 stock by default - you have to create one custom watchlist to list all manually) to find out which all are matching the setup, need to take a note about the trade recomendations (entry, SL, target) and other stuffs like VWAP, Volume, volatility (Bollinger Band Width).
Not any more.
This scanner will track all the Nifty-50 stocks (technically: 40 stocks other than Banking stocks) and provide which one to Buy or Sell (if any), what's the entry, SL, target, where is the VWAP of the day, what's the picture in volume (high, low, rising, falling) and the implied volatility (using Bolling band width). Also it has a naive alerting mechanism as well.
In fact the code is there to monitor the (Future) OI also and all the OI drama (OI vs price and all the 4 stuffs like long build up, long unwinding, short covering, short buildup). But unfortunately, due to some limitations of the TradingView (that one can not monitor more than 40 `ta.security` call) we have to comment out the code. If you wish you can monitor only 20 stocks and enable the OI monitoring also (20 for stocks + 20 for their OI monitoring .. total 40 `ta.security` call).
How?
To know the divergence from 5-EMA we just check if the high of the candle (on closing) is below the 5-EMA. Then we check if the closing is inside the Bollinger Band (BB). That's a Buy signal. SL: low of the candle, T: middle and higher BB.
Just opposite for selling. 5-EMA low should be above 5-EMA and closing should be inside BB (lesser than BB higher level). That's a Sell signal. SL: high of the candle, T: middle and lower BB.
Along with we compare the current bar's volume with the last-20 bar VWMA (volume weighted moving average) to determine if the volume is high or low.
Present bar's volume is compared with the previous bar's volume to know if it's rising or falling.
VWAP is also determined using `ta.vwap` built-in support of TradingView.
The Bolling Band width is also notified, along with whether it is rising or falling (comparing with previous candle).
Simple, but effective.
Customization
As usual the EMA setup (5 default), the BB setup (20 SMA with 1.5 standard deviation), we provided option wherther to include or exclude BB role in the 5-EMA setup (as we found out there are two schools of thought .. some people use BB some don't. Lets make all happy :))
We also provide options to choose other symbols using Settings if they wish so. We have the default 40 non banking Nifty stocks (why non-banking? - Bank Nifty is in ATH :) .. enough :)). But if user wishes can monitor others too (provided the symbol is there in TradingView).
Although we strongly recommend the timeframe as 30 minutes , you can choose what's fit you most.
The output of the scanner is a table. By default the table is placed in the right-bottom (as we are most comfortable with that). However you can change per your wish. We have the option to choose that.
What is unique in it ?
This is more of an indicator. This is a scanner (of Nifty-50 stocks). So you can apply (our recommendation is in 30m timeframe) it to any chart (does not matter which chart it is) and it will show every 30 mins (which is also configurable) which all stocks (along with trade levels) to Buy and Sell according to the setup.
It will ease your trading activity.
You can concentrate only on the execution, the filtering you can leave it to this one.
Limitations
There is a build in limitation of the TradingView platform is that one can call only upto 40 securities API. Not beyond that. So naturally we are constraint by that. Otherwise we could monitor 190 Nifty F&O stocks itself.
30m is the recommended timeframe. In very lower (say 5m) this script tends to go out of heap (out of memory). Please note that also.
How to trade using this?
Put any chart in 30m (recommended) timeframe.
Apply this screener from Indicators (shortcut to launch indicators is just type / in your keyboard).
This will provide the Buy (shown in green color) or Sell (shown in red color) recommendations in a table, at every 30m candle closing.
Note the volume and BB width as well.
Wait for at least 2 5-minutes candles to close above/below the recommended level .
Take the trade with the SL and target mentioned.
Mentions
@QuantNomad. The whole implementation concept we mercilessly borrowed from him, even some of his code snippet we took it (after asking him through one of his videos comment section and seeking explicit permission which he readily granted within an hour). Thank You sir @QuantNomad. Indebted to you.
Monika (Rawat) ji: for reviewing, correcting, providing real time examples during live market hours, often compromising her own trading activities, about the effectiveness and usefulness of this setup. Thank You madam ji. Indebted to you.
There are innumerable contents in social media about this. Don't even know whom all we checked. Thanks to all of them.
Happy Trading (in stocks - isn't enough of Indices already?)
Disclaimer
This piece of software does not come up with any warrantee or any rights of not changing it over the future course of time.
We are not responsible for any trading/investment decision you are taking out of the outcome of this indicator.
ROC (Rate of Change) Refurbished▮ Introduction
The Rate of Change indicator (ROC) is a momentum oscillator.
It was first introduced in the early 1970s by the American technical analyst Welles Wilder.
It calculates the percentage change in price between periods.
ROC takes the current price and compares it to a price 'n' periods (user defined) ago.
The calculated value is then plotted and fluctuates above and below a Zero Line.
A technical analyst may use ROC for:
- trend identification;
- identifying overbought and oversold conditions.
Even though ROC is an oscillator, it is not bounded to a set range.
The reason for this is that there is no limit to how far a security can advance in price but of course there is a limit to how far it can decline.
If price goes to $0, then it obviously will not decline any further.
Because of this, ROC can sometimes appear to be unbalanced.
(TradingView)
▮ Improvements
The following features were added:
1. Eight moving averages for the indicator;
2. Dynamic Zones;
3. Rules for coloring bars/candles.
▮ Motivation
Averages have been added to improve trend identification.
For finer tuning, you can choose the type of averages.
You can hide them if you don't need them.
The Dynamic Zones has been added to make it easier to identify overbought/oversold regions.
Unlike other oscillators like the RSI for example, the ROC does not have a predetermined range of oscillations.
Therefore, a fixed line that defines an overbought/oversold range becomes unfeasible.
It is in this matter that the Dynamic Zone helps.
It dynamically adjusts as the indicator oscillates.
▮ About Dynamic Zones
'Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals.
Here's a concept based on zones that are responsive to the past levels of the indicator.'
The concept of Dynamic Zones was described by Leo Zamansky (Ph.D.) and David Stendahl, in the magazine of Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310).
Basically, a statistical calculation is made to define the extreme levels, delimiting a possible overbought/oversold region.
Given user-defined probabilities, the percentile is calculated using the method of Nearest Rank.
It is calculated by taking the difference between the data point and the number of data points below it, then dividing by the total number of data points in the set.
The result is expressed as a percentage.
This provides a measure of how a particular value compares to other values in a data set, identifying outliers or values that are significantly higher or lower than the rest of the data.
▮ Thanks and Credits
- TradingView: for ROC and Moving Averages
- allanster: for Dynamic Zones
Price Correction to fix data manipulation and mispricingPrice Correction corrects for index and security mispricing to the extent possible in TradingView on both daily and intraday charts. Price correction addresses mispricing issues for specific securities with known issues, or the user can build daily candles from intraday data instead of relying on exchange reported daily OHLC prices, which can include both legitimate special auction and off-exchange trades or illegitimate mispricing. The user can also detect daily OHLC prices that don’t reflect the intraday price action within a specified percent deviation. Price Correction functions as normal candles or bars for any time frame when correction is not needed.
On the 4th of October 2022, the AMEX exchange, owned by the New York Stock Exchange, decided to misprice the daily OHLC data for the SPY, the world’s largest ETF fund. The exchange eliminated the overnight gap that should have occurred in the daily chart that represents regular trading hours by showing a wick connecting near the close of the previous day. Neither the SPX, the SP500 cash index that the SPY ETF tracks, nor other SPX ETFs such as VOO or IVV show such a wick because significant price action at that level never occurred. The intraday SPY chart never shows the price drop below 372.31 that day, but there is a wick that extends to 366.57. On the 6th of October, they continued this practice of using a wick that connects with the close of the previous day to eliminate gaps in daily price action. The objective of this indicator is to fix such inconsistent mispricing practices in the SPY, NYA, and other indices or securities.
Price Correction corrects for the daily mispricing in the SPY to agree with the price action that actually occurred in the SPX index it tracks, as well as the other SPX ETFs, by using intraday data. The chart below compares the Price Correction of the SPY (top) to the SPX (middle) and the original mispriced SPY (bottom) with incorrect wicks. Price correction (top) removes those incorrect wicks (bottom) to match the SPX (middle).
The daily mispricing of the SPY follows after the successful deployment of the NYSE Composite Index mispricing, NYA, an index that represents all common stocks within the New York Stock Exchange, the largest exchange in the world. The importance of the NYA should not be understated. It is the price counterpart to NYSE’s market internals or statistics. Beginning in 2021, the New York Stock Exchange eliminated gaps in daily OHLC data for the NYA by using the close of the previous day as the open for the following day, in violation of their own NYSE Index Series Methodology. The Methodology states for the opening price that “The first index level is calculated and published around 09:30 ET, when the U.S. equity markets open for their regular trading session. The calculation of that level utilizes the most updated prices available at that moment.” You can verify for yourself that this is simply not the case. The first update of the NYA price for each day matches the close of the previous day, not the “most updated prices available at that moment”, causing data providers to often represent the first intraday bar with a huge sudden price change when an overnight price change occurred instead. For example, on 13 Jun 2022, TradingView shows a one-minute bar drop 2.3%. With a market capitalization of roughly 23 trillion dollars, the NYSE composite capitalization did not suddenly drop a half-trillion dollars in just one minute as the intraday chart data would have you believe. All major US indices, index ETFs, and even foreign indices like the Toronto TAX, the Australian ASXAL, the Bombay SENSEX, and German DAX had down gaps that day, except for the mispriced NYSE index. Price Correction corrects for this mispricing in daily OHLC data, as shown in the main chart at the top of this page comparing the original NYA (top) to the Price Corrected NYA (bottom).
Price Correction also corrects for the intraday mispricing in the NYA. The chart below shows how the Price Correction (top) replaces the incorrect first one-minute candles with gaps (bottom) from 22 Sep 2022 to 29 Sep 2022. TradingView is inconsistent in how intraday data is reported for overnight gaps by sometimes connecting the first intraday bar of the day to the close of the previous day, and other times not. This inconsistency may be due to manually changing the intraday data based on user support tickets. For example, after reporting the lack of a major gap in the NYA daily OHLC prices that existed intraday for 13 Jun 2022, TradingView opted to remove the true gap in intraday prices by creating a 2.3% half-a-trillion-dollar one-minute bar that connected the close of the previous day to show a sudden drop in price that didn’t occur, instead of adding the gap in the daily OHLC data that actually took place from overnight price action.
Price Correction allows users to detect daily OHLC data that does not reflect the intraday price action within a certain percent difference by changing the color of those candles or bars that deviate. The chart below clearly shows the start of the NYSE disinformation campaign for NYA that started in 2021 by painting blue those candles with daily OHLC values that deviated from the intraday values by 0.1%. Before 2021, the number of deviating candles is relatively sparse, but beginning in 2021, the chart is littered with deviating candles.
If there are other index or security mispricing or data issues you are aware of that can be incorporated into Price Correction, please let me know. Accurate financial data is indispensable in making accurate financial decisions. Assert your right to accurate financial data by reporting incorrect data and mispricing issues.
How to use the Price Correction
Simply add this “indicator” to your chart and remove the mispriced default candles or bars by right clicking on the chart, selecting Settings, and de-selecting Body, Wick, and Border under the Symbol tab. The Presets settings automatically takes care of mispricing in the NYA and SPY to the extent possible in TradingView. The user can also build their own daily candles based off of intraday data to address other securities that may have mispricing issues.
MTF Stoch RSI + Realtime DivergencesMulti-timeframe Stochastic RSI + Realtime Divergences + Alerts + Pivot lookback periods.
This version of the Stochastic RSI adds the following additional features to the stock UO by Tradingview:
- Optional 3 x Multiple-timeframe overbought and oversold signals, indicating where 3 selected timeframes are all overbought (>80) or all oversold (<20) at the same time, with alert option.
- Optional divergence lines drawn directly onto the oscillator in realtime, with alert options.
- Configurable lookback periods to fine tune the divergences drawn in order to suit different trading styles and timeframes, including the ability to enable automatic adjustment of pivot period per chart timeframe.
- Alternate timeframe feature allows you to configure the oscillator to use data from a different timeframe than the chart it is loaded on.
- Indications where the Stoch RSI is crossing down from above the overbought threshold (<80) and crossing above the oversold threshold (>20) levels on a given user selected timeframe, by printing gold dots on the indicator.
- Also includes standard configurable Stoch RSI options, including k length, d length, RSI length, Stochastic length, and source type (close, hl2, etc)
While this version of the Stochastic RSI has the ability to draw divergences in realtime along with related settings and alerts so you can be notified as divergences occur without spending all day watching the charts, the main purpose of this indicator was to provide the triple multiple-timeframe overbought and oversold confluence signals and alerts, in an attempt to add more confluence, weight and reliability to the single timeframe overbought and oversold states, commonly used for trade entry confluence. It's primary purpose is intended for scalping on lower timeframes, typically between 1-15 minutes. The triple timeframe overbought can often indicate near term reversals to the downside, with the triple timeframe oversold often indicating neartime reversals to the upside. The default timeframes for this confluence are set to check the 1 minute, 5 minute, and 15 minute timeframes, ideal for scalping the < 15 minute charts.
The Stochastic RSI
The popular oscillator has been described as follows:
“The Stochastic RSI is an indicator used in technical analysis that ranges between zero and one (or zero and 100 on some charting platforms) and is created by applying the Stochastic oscillator formula to a set of relative strength index (RSI) values rather than to standard price data. Using RSI values within the Stochastic formula gives traders an idea of whether the current RSI value is overbought or oversold. The Stochastic RSI oscillator was developed to take advantage of both momentum indicators in order to create a more sensitive indicator that is attuned to a specific security's historical performance rather than a generalized analysis of price change.”
How do traders use overbought and oversold levels in their trading?
The oversold level, that is when the Stochastic RSI is above the 80 level is typically interpreted as being 'overbought', and below the 20 level is typically considered 'oversold'. Traders will often use the Stochastic RSI at an overbought level as a confluence for entry into a short position, and the Stochastic RSI at an oversold level as a confluence for an entry into a long position. These levels do not mean that price will necessarily reverse at those levels in a reliable way, however. This is why this version of the Stoch RSI employs the triple timeframe overbought and oversold confluence, in an attempt to add a more confluence and reliability to this usage of the Stoch RSI.
What are divergences?
Divergence is when the price of an asset is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator, such as an oscillator, or is moving contrary to other data. Divergence warns that the current price trend may be weakening, and in some cases may lead to the price changing direction.
There are 4 main types of divergence, which are split into 2 categories;
regular divergences and hidden divergences. Regular divergences indicate possible trend reversals, and hidden divergences indicate possible trend continuation.
Regular bullish divergence: An indication of a potential trend reversal, from the current downtrend, to an uptrend.
Regular bearish divergence: An indication of a potential trend reversal, from the current uptrend, to a downtrend.
Hidden bullish divergence: An indication of a potential uptrend continuation.
Hidden bearish divergence: An indication of a potential downtrend continuation.
Setting alerts.
With this indicator you can set alerts to notify you when any/all of the above types of divergences occur, on any chart timeframe you choose, and also when the triple timeframe overbought and oversold confluences occur.
Configurable pivot lookback values.
You can adjust the default pivot lookback values to suit your prefered trading style and timeframe. If you like to trade a shorter time frame, lowering the default lookback values will make the divergences drawn more sensitive to short term price action. By default, this indicator has enabled the automatic adjustment of the pivot periods for 4 configurable timeframes, in a bid to optimise the divergences drawn when the indicator is loaded onto any of the 4 timeframes. These timeframes and the auto adjusted pivot periods on each of them can also be reconfigured within the settings menu.
How do traders use divergences in their trading?
A divergence is considered a leading indicator in technical analysis , meaning it has the ability to indicate a potential price move in the short term future.
Hidden bullish and hidden bearish divergences, which indicate a potential continuation of the current trend are sometimes considered a good place for traders to begin, since trend continuation occurs more frequently than reversals, or trend changes.
When trading regular bullish divergences and regular bearish divergences, which are indications of a trend reversal, the probability of it doing so may increase when these occur at a strong support or resistance level . A common mistake new traders make is to get into a regular divergence trade too early, assuming it will immediately reverse, but these can continue to form for some time before the trend eventually changes, by using forms of support or resistance as an added confluence, such as when price reaches a moving average, the success rate when trading these patterns may increase.
Typically, traders will manually draw lines across the swing highs and swing lows of both the price chart and the oscillator to see whether they appear to present a divergence, this indicator will draw them for you, quickly and clearly, and can notify you when they occur.
Disclaimer: This script includes code from the stock UO by Tradingview as well as the Divergence for Many Indicators v4 by LonesomeTheBlue.
Crypto Portfolio ManagementCrypto Portfolio Management
This is an indicator not like the other ones that you regularly see in tradingview. The main difference is that this indicator does not plot a value for each candle bar like you would see with RSI or MACD. Actually it is table and it just uses tradingview great database of assets to plot some valuebale information that can not be found elsewhere easily. These metrics are some basic one that is used by portfolio managers to decide what they want to hold in their portfolio. The basic idea is that you should hold assets in your basket that are less correlated to the benchmark.
Benchmark in traditional context refers to main market indices like S&P 500 of US market. But they already have a lot of tools available. My effort was for crypto investors who are trying to rebalance their portfolio every month or week to have some good metrics to make decision. Because of this I used Bitcoin as crypto market benchmark. So, everything is compared to bitcoin in this script. I’m gonna explain the terms that is used in the table’s columns below.
MAKE SURE YOU PUT YOUR CHART AT DAILY AND AT THE MAXIMUM AVAILABLE DATA EXCHANGE.
Y-Exp
This is yearly expected return of the asset. It is simply the mean of the yearly returns of the asset. (these calculations are not typical in Tradingview because mainly we calculate on each bar and give value at the same bar but here this value to change once a year). Remember that the higher this value is the better it is because historically the asset have shown good returns but there is a tip: Always check the available historical data in any asset that you are adding if you add an asset that has only 1 year of data available or you use an exchange data that recently added the coin you will get unsignificant results and the results can not be trusted. You should always selects coins and market (coins can be changed in setting) that have the largest data available.
Y-SDev
This is a little bit complicated than the previous. This is the standard deviation of the yearly returns. This is a classic measure of RISK in financial markets. The higher the value, the more risk is involved with the asset that you have added. If you added two assets that have same returns but different Standard deviations, the rational thinker should choose the asset with lower Standard deviation.
The standard deviation is a good place to start but there are some considerations to have -it is getting complicated and average user should not be involved with these terms and can ignore the next phrases- standard deviation and mean of the yearly returns are random variables, these variables have a theoretical probability density function and these functions are not gaussian normal distribution. Because of this in the professional usage these returns should be transformed to a normal distribution and have all these terms calculated there and then transform back to its own normal state and then be used for any serious investment decision. I think these calculations can be done on Tradingview but I need you support to do this in the form of like and share of my scripts and ideas.
M-Exp and M-SDev
These terms are like the previous ones but it is calculated on monthly returns. As it goes for yearly return, the monthly returns change once a monthly candle closes. So be patient to use this indicator.
I highly recommend not to make decisions on monthly data due to a lot of noise involved with this market but in long run it is ok. So go with yearly returns and wait at least for 3 years to see your results.
CorToBTC
Basically you want to buy something that is less correalted with the benchmark. this is the correlation of the asset to bitcoin.
Sharpe Ratio
This is one of the most used metric as a risk adjusted return measurment. you can google it for more information. The higher this value the better. remmeber with any invenstment it is important to understand risks associated with the assets that you are buying.
DownFromATH
This metric that I didn't see anywhere in the tradingview and is familiar in the platforms like coinmarketcap. this is a real calculation of precentage down from ATH (All Time High). it means how much percentage a coin is down from the maximum price that the asset has experienced until now.
***
Remember you can change all the asset except main asset. If you like this script to 500 I will update this continuously.
.srb suiteThe essential suite Indicator.
that are well integrated to ensure visibility of essential items for trading.
it is very cumbersome to put symbol in the Tradingview chart and combine essential individual indicators one by one.
Moreover even with such a combination, the chart is messy and visibility is not good.
This is because each indicator is not designed with the others in mind.
This suite was developed as a composite-solution to that situation, and will make you happy.
designed to work in the same pane with open-source indicator by default.
Recommended visual order ; Back = .srb suite, Front = .srb suite vol & info
individually turn on/off only what you need on the screen.
BTC-agg. Volume
4 BTC-spot & 4 BTC-PERP volume aggregated.
It might helps you don't miss out on important volume flows.
Weighted to spot trading volume when using PERP+spot volume .
If enabled, BTC-agg.Vol automatically applied when selecting BTC-pair.
--> This is used in calculations involving volumes, such as VWAP.
Moving Average
1 x JMA trend ribbon ; Accurately follow short-term trend changes.
3 x EMA ribbon ; zone , not the line.
MA extension line ; It provide high visibility to recognize the direction of the MA.
SPECIAL TOOLS
VWAP with Standard Deviation Bands
VWAP ruler
BB regular (Dev. 2.0, 2.5)
BB Extented (Dev. 2.5, 3.0, 3.5)
Fixed Range Volume Profile ; steamlined one, performace tuned & update.
SPECIAL TOOLS - Auto Fibonacci Retracement - New GUI
'built-in auto FBR ' has been re-born
It shows - retracement Max top/ min bottom ; for higher visibility
It shows - current retracement position ; for higher visibility
The display of the Fib position that exceeds the regular range is auto-determined according to the price.
tradingview | chart setting > Appearance > Top margin 0%, Bottom margin 0% for optimized screen usage
tradingview | chart setting > Appearance > Right margin 57
.srb suite vol & info --> Visual Order > Bring to Front
.srb suite vol & info --> Pin to scale > No scale (Full-screen)
Visual order ; Back = .srb suite, Front = .srb suite vol & info
1. Fib.Retracement core is from tradingview built-in FBR ---> upgrade new-type GUI, and performance tuned.
2. Fixed-range volume-profile core is from the open-source one ---> some update & perf.tuned.
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if you have any questions freely contact to me by message on tradingview.
but please understand that responses may be quite late.
Special thanks to all of contributors of community.
The script may be freely distributed under the MIT license.
Combo 4+ KDJ STO RSI EMA3 Visual Trend Pine V5@RL! English !
Combo 4+ KDJ STO RSI EMA3 Visual Trend Pine V5 @ RL
Combo 4+ KDJ STO RSI EMA3 Visual Trend Pine V5 @ RL is a visual trend following indicator that groups and combines four trend following indicators. It is compiled in PINE Script Version V5 language.
• STOCH: Stochastic oscillator.
• RSI Divergence: Relative Strength Index Divergence. RSI Divergence is a difference between a fast and a slow RSI.
• KDJ: KDJ Indicator. (trend following indicator).
• EMA Triple: 3 exponential moving averages (Default display).
This indicator is intended to help beginners (and also the more experienced ones) to trade in the right direction of the market trend. It allows you to avoid the mistakes of always trading against the trend.
The calculation codes of the different indicators used are standard public codes used in the usual TradingView coding for these indicators.
The STO indicator calculation script is taken from TradingView's standard STOCH calculation.
The RSI indicator calculation script is a replica of the one created by @Shizaru.
The KDJ indicator calculation script is a replica of the one created by @iamaltcoin.
The Triple EMA indicator calculation script is a replica of the one created by @jwilcharts.
This indicator can be configured to your liking. It can even be used several times on the same graph (multi-instance), with different configurations or display of another indicator among the four that compose it, according to your needs or your tastes.
A single plot, among the 4 indicators that make it up, can be displayed at a time, but either with its own trend or with the trend of the 4 (3 by default) combined indicators (sell=green or buy=red, background color).
Trend indications (potential sell or buy areas) are displayed as a background color (bullish: green or bearish: red) when at least three of the four indicators (3 by default and configurable from 1 to 4) assume that the market is moving in the same direction. These trend indications can be configured and displayed, either only for the signal of the selected indicator and displayed, or for the signals of the four indicators together and combined (logical AND).
You can tune the input, style and visibility settings of each indicator to match your own preferences or habits.
A 'buy stop' or 'sell stop' signal is displayed (layouts) in the form of a colored square (green for 'stop buy' and red for 'stop sell'. These 'stop' signals can be configured and displayed, either only for the indicator chosen, or for the four indicators together and combined (logical OR).
Note that the presence of a Stop Long signal cancels the background color of the Long trend (green).
Likewise, the presence of a Stop Short signal cancels out the background color of the Short trend (red).
It is also made up of 3 labels:
• Trend Label
• signal Stop Label (signals Stop buy or sell )
• Info Label (Names of Long / Short / Stop Long / Stop Short indicators, and / Open / Close / High / Low ).
Each label is configurable (visibility and position on the graph).
• Trend label: indicates the number of indicators suggesting the same trend (Long or Short) as well as a strength index (PWR) of this trend: For example: 3 indicators in Short trend, 1 indicator in Long trend and 1 indicator in neutral trend will give: PWR SHORT = 2/4. (3 Short indicators - 1 Long indicator = 2 Pwr Short). And if PWR = 0 then the display is "Wait and See". It also indicates which current indicator is displayed and the display mode used (combined 1 to 4 indicators or not combined ).
• Signal Stop Label: Indicates a possible stop of the current trend.
• Label Info (Simple or Full) gives trend info for each of the 4 indicators and OHLC info for the chart (in “Full” mode).
It is possible to display this indicator several times on a chart (up to 3 indicators max with the Basic TradingView Plan and more with the paid plans), with different configurations: For example:
• 1-Stochastic - 2/4 Combined Signals - no Label displayed
• 1-RSI - Combined Signals 3/4 - Stop Label only displayed
• 1-KDJ - Combined Signals 4/4 - the 3 Labels displayed
• 1-EMA'3 - Non-combined signals (EMA only) - Trend Label displayed
Some indicators have filters / thresholds that can be configured according to your convenience and experience!
The choice of indicator colors is suitable for a graph with a "dark" theme, which you will probably need to modify for visual comfort, if you are using a "Light" mode or a custom mode.
This script is an indicator that you can run on standard chart types. It also works on non-standard chart types but the results will be skewed and different.
Non-standard charts are:
• Heikin Ashi (HA)
• Renko
• Kagi
• Point & Figure
• Range
As a reminder: No indicator is capable of providing accurate signals 100% of the time. Every now and then, even the best will fail, leaving you with a losing deal. Whichever indicator you base yourself on, remember to follow the basic rules of risk management and capital allocation.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
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! Français !
Combo 4+ KDJ STO RSI EMA3 Visual Trend Pine V5@RL
Combo 4+ KDJ STO RSI EMA3 Visual Trend Pine V5@RL est un indicateur visuel de suivi de tendance qui regroupe et combine quatre indicateurs de suivi de tendance. Il est compilé en langage PINE Script Version V5.
• STOCH : Stochastique.
• RSI Divergence : Relative Strength Index Divergence. La Divergence RSI est une différence entre un RSI rapide et un RSI lent.
• KDJ : KDJ Indicateur. (indicateur de suivi de tendance).
• EMA Triple : 3 moyennes mobiles exponentielles (Affichage par défaut).
Cet indicateur est destiné à aider les débutants (et aussi les plus confirmé) à trader à dans le bon sens de la tendance du marché. Il permet d'éviter les erreurs qui consistent à toujours trader à contre tendance.
Les codes de calcul des différents indicateurs utilisés sont des codes publics standards utilisés dans le codage habituel de TradingView pour ces indicateurs !
Le script de calcul de l’indicateur STO est issu du calcul standard du STOCH de TradingView.
Le script de calcul de l’indicateur RSI Div est une réplique de celui créé par @Shizaru.
Le script de calcul de l’indicateur KDJ est une réplique de celui créé par @iamaltcoin.
Le script de calcul de l’indicateur Triple EMA est une réplique de celui créé par @jwilcharts
Cet indicateur peut être configuré à votre convenance. Il peut même être utilisé plusieurs fois sur le même graphique (multi-instance), avec des configurations différentes ou affichage d’un autre indicateur parmi les quatre qui le composent, selon vos besoins ou vos goûts.
Un seul tracé, parmi les 4 indicateurs qui le composent, peut être affiché à la fois mais, soit avec sa propre tendance soit avec la tendance des 4 (3 par défaut) indicateurs combinés (couleur de fond vente=vert ou achat=rouge).
Les indications de tendance (zones de vente ou d’achat potentielles) sont affichés sous la forme de couleur de fond (Haussier : vert ou baissier : rouge) lorsque au moins trois des quatre indicateurs (3 par défaut et configurable de 1 à 4) supposent que le marché évolue dans la même direction. Ces indications de tendance peuvent être configuré et affichés, soit uniquement pour le signal de l’indicateur choisi et affiché, soit pour les signaux des quatre indicateurs ensemble et combinés (ET logique).
Vous pouvez accorder les paramètres d’entrée, de style et de visibilité de chacun des indicateurs pour correspondre à vos propres préférences ou habitudes.
Un signal ‘stop achat’ ou ‘stop vente’ est affiché (layouts) sous la forme d’un carré de couleur (vert pour ‘stop achat’ et rouge pour ‘stop vente’. Ces signaux ‘stop’ peuvent être configuré et affichés, soit uniquement pour l’indicateur choisi, soit pour les quatre indicateurs ensemble et combinés (OU logique).
A noter que la présence d’un signal Stop Long annule la couleur de fond de la tendance Long (vert).
De même, la présence d’un signal Stop Short annule la couleur de fond de la tendance Short (rouge).
Il est aussi composé de 3 étiquettes (Labels) :
• Trend Label (infos de tendance)
• Signal Stop Label (signaux « Stop » achat ou vente)
• Infos Label (Noms des indicateurs Long/Short/Stop Long/Stop Short,
et /Open/Close/High/Low )
Chaque label est configurable (visibilité et position sur le graphique).
• Label Trend : indique le nombre d’indicateurs suggérant une même tendance (Long ou Short) ainsi qu’un indice de force (PWR) de cette tendance :
Par exemple : 3 indicateurs en tendance Short, 1 indicateur en tendance Long et 1 indicateur en tendance neutre donnera :
PWR SHORT = 2/4. (3 indicateurs Short – 1 indicateur Long=2 Pwr Short).
Et si PWR=0 alors l’affichage est « Wait and See » (Attendre et Observer).
Il indique aussi quel indicateur actuel est affiché et le mode d’affichage utilisé (combiné 1 à 4 indicateurs ou non combiné ).
• Signal Stop Label : Indique un possible arrêt de la tendance en cours.
• Infos Label (Simple ou complet) donne les infos de tendance de chacun des 4 indicateurs et les infos OHLC du graphique (en mode « Complet »).
Il est possible d’afficher ce même indicateur plusieurs fois sur un graphique (jusqu’à 3 indicateurs max avec le Plan Basic TradingView et plus avec les plans payants), avec des configurations différentes :
Par exemple :
• 1-Stochastique – Signaux Combinés 2/4 – aucun Label affiché
• 1-RSI – Signaux Combinés 3/4 – Label Stop uniquement affiché
• 1-KDJ – Signaux Combinés 4/4 – les 3 Labels affichés
• 1-EMA’3 - Signaux Non combinés (EMA seuls) – Trend Label affiché
Certains indicateurs ont des filtres/seuils (Thresholds) configurables selon votre convenance et votre expérience !
Le choix des couleurs de l’indicateur est adapté pour un graphique avec thème « sombre », qu’il vous faudra probablement modifier pour le confort visuel, si vous utilisez un mode « Clair » ou un mode personnalisé.
Ce script est un indicateur que vous pouvez exécuter sur des types de graphiques standard. Il fonctionne aussi sur des types de graphiques non-standard mais les résultats seront faussés et différents.
Les graphiques Non-standard sont :
• Heikin Ashi (HA)
• Renko
• Kagi
• Point & Figure
• Range
Pour rappel : Aucun indicateur n’est capable de fournir des signaux précis 100% du temps. De temps en temps, même les meilleurs échoueront, vous laissant avec une affaire perdante. Quel que soit l’indicateur sur lequel vous vous basez, n’oubliez pas de suivre les règles de base de gestion des risques et de répartition du capital.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
RenkoNow you can plot a "Renko" chart on any timeframe for free! As with my previous algorithm, you can plot the "Linear Break" chart on any timeframe for free!
I again decided to help TradingView programmers and wrote code that converts a standard candles / bars to a "Renko" chart. The built-in renko() and security() functions for constructing a "Renko" chart are working wrong. Do not try to write strategies based on the built-in renko() function! The developers write in the manual: "Please note that you cannot plot Renko bricks from Pine script exactly as they look. You can only get a series of numbers similar to OHLC values for Renko bars and use them in your algorithms". However, it is possible to build a "Renko" chart exactly like the "Renko" chart built into TradingView. Personally, I had enough Pine Script functionality.
For a complete understanding of how such a chart is built, you can read to Steve Nison's book "BEYOND JAPANESE CANDLES" and see the instructions for creating a "Renko" chart:
Rule 1: one white brick (or series) is built when the price rises above the base price by a fixed threshold value or more.
Rule 2: one black brick (or series) is built when the price falls below the base price by a fixed threshold or more.
Rule 3: if the rise or fall of the price is less than the minimum fixed value, then new bricks are not drawn.
Rule 4: if today's closing price is higher than the maximum of the last brick (white or black) by a threshold or more, move to the column to the right and build one or more white bricks of equal height. A new brick begins with the maximum of the previous brick.
Rule 5: if today's closing price is below the minimum of the last brick (white or black) by a threshold or more, move to the column to the right and build one or more black bricks of equal height. A new brick begins with the minimum of the previous brick.
Rule 6: if the price is below the maximum or above the minimum, then new bricks are not drawn on the chart.
So my algorithm can to plot Traditional Renko with a fixed box size. I want to note that such a "Renko" chart is slightly different from the "Renko" chart built into TradingView, because as a base price I use (by default) close of first candle. How the developers of TradingView calculate the base price I don’t know. Personally, I do as written in the book of Steve Neeson.
The algorithm is very complicated and I do not want to explain it in detail. I will explain very briefly. The first part of the get_renko () function — // creating lists — creates two lists that record how many green bricks should be and how many red bricks. The second part of the get_renko () function — // creating open and close series — creates open and close series to plot bricks. So, this is a white box - study it!
As you understand, one green candle can create a condition under which it will be necessary to plot, for example, 10 green bricks. So the smaller the box size you make, the smaller the portion of the chart you will see.
I stuffed all the logic into a wrapper in the form of the get_renko() function, which returns a tuple of OHLC values. And these series with the help of the plotcandle() annotation can be converted to the "Renko" chart. I also want to note that with a large number of candles on the chart, outrages about the buffer size uncertainty are heard from the TradingView blackbox. Because of it, in the annotation study() set the value of the max_bars_back parameter.
In general, use this script (for example, to write strategies)!
How to automate this strategy for free using a chrome extension.Hey everyone,
Recently we developed a chrome extension for automating TradingView strategies using the alerts they provide. Initially we were charging a monthly fee for the extension, but we have now decided to make it FREE for everyone. So to display the power of automating strategies via TradingView, we figured we would also provide a profitable strategy along with the custom alert script and commands for the alerts so you can easily cut and paste to begin trading for profit while you sleep.
Step 1:
You are going to need to download the Chrome Extension called AutoView. You can get the extension for free by following this link: bit.ly ( I had to shorten the link as it contains Google and TV automatically converts it to a symbol)
Step 2: Go to your chrome extension page, and under the new extension you'll see a "settings" button. In the setting you will have to connect and give permission to the exchange 1broker allowing the extension to place your orders automatically when triggered by an alert.
Step 3: Setup the strategy and custom script for the alerts in TradingView. The attached script is the strategy, you can play with the settings yourself to try and get better numbers/performance if you please.
This following script is for the custom alerts:
//@version=2
study("4All-Alert", shorttitle="Alerts")
src = close
len = input(4, minval=1, title="Length")
up = rma(max(change(src), 0), len)
down = rma(-min(change(src), 0), len)
rsi = down == 0 ? 100 : up == 0 ? 0 : 100 - (100 / (1 + up / down))
rsin = input(5)
sn = 100 - rsin
ln = 0 + rsin
short = crossover(rsi, sn) ? 1 : 0
long = crossunder(rsi, ln) ? 1 : 0
plot(long, "Long", color=green)
plot(short, "Short", color=red)
Now that you have the extension installed, the custom strategy and alert scripts in place, you simply need to create the alerts.
To get the alerts to communicate with the extension properly, there is a specific syntax that you will need to put in the message of the alert. You can find more details about the syntax here : gist.github.com
For this specific strategy, I use the Alerts script, long/short greater than 0.9 on close.
In the message for a long place this as your message:
Long
c=order b=short
c=position b=short l=200 t=market
b=long q=0.01 l=200 t=market tp=13 sl=25
and for the short...
Short
c=order b=long
c=position b=long l=200 t=market
b=short q=0.01 l=200 t=market tp=13 sl=25
If you'll notice in my above messages, compared to the strategy my tp and sl (take profit and stop loss) vary by a few pips. This is to cover the market opens and spread on 1broker. You can change the tp and sl in the strategy to the above and see that the overall profit will not vary much at all.
I hope this all makes sense and it is enough to not only make some people money, but to show the power of coming up with your own strategy and automating it using TradingView alerts and the free Chrome Extension AutoView.
ps. I highly recommend upgrading your TradingView account so you have access to back testing and multiple alerts.
There is really no reason you won't cover the cost and then some on a monthly basis using the tools provided.
Best of luck and happy trading.
Note: The extension currently allows for automation on 2 exchanges; 1broker and Okcoin. If you do not have accounts there, we'd appreciate you signing up using our referral links.
www.okcoin.com
1broker.com
COT IndexTHE HIDDEN INTELLIGENCE IN FUTURES MARKETS
What if you could see what the smartest players in the futures markets are doing before the crowd catches on? While retail traders chase momentum indicators and moving averages, obsess over Japanese candlestick patterns, and debate whether the RSI should be set to fourteen or twenty-one periods, institutional players leave footprints in the sand through their mandatory reporting to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. These footprints, published weekly in the Commitment of Traders reports, have been hiding in plain sight for decades, available to anyone with an internet connection, yet remarkably few traders understand how to interpret them correctly. The COT Index indicator transforms this raw institutional positioning data into actionable trading signals, bringing Wall Street intelligence to your trading screen without requiring expensive Bloomberg terminals or insider connections.
The uncomfortable truth is this: Most retail traders operate in a binary world. Long or short. Buy or sell. They apply technical analysis to individual positions, constrained by limited capital that forces them to concentrate risk in single directional bets. Meanwhile, institutional traders operate in an entirely different dimension. They manage portfolios dynamically weighted across multiple markets, adjusting exposure based on evolving market conditions, correlation shifts, and risk assessments that retail traders never see. A hedge fund might be simultaneously long gold, short oil, neutral on copper, and overweight agricultural commodities, with position sizes calibrated to volatility and portfolio Greeks. When they increase gold exposure from five percent to eight percent of portfolio allocation, this rebalancing decision reflects sophisticated analysis of opportunity cost, risk parity, and cross-market dynamics that no individual chart pattern can capture.
This portfolio reweighting activity, multiplied across hundreds of institutional participants, manifests in the aggregate positioning data published weekly by the CFTC. The Commitment of Traders report does not show individual trades or strategies. It shows the collective footprint of how actual commercial hedgers and large speculators have allocated their capital across different markets. When mining companies collectively increase forward gold sales to hedge thirty percent more production than last quarter, they are not reacting to a moving average crossover. They are making strategic allocation decisions based on production forecasts, cost structures, and price expectations derived from operational realities invisible to outside observers. This is portfolio management in action, revealed through positioning data rather than price charts.
If you want to understand how institutional capital actually flows, how sophisticated traders genuinely position themselves across market cycles, the COT report provides a rare window into that hidden world. But understand what you are getting into. This is not a tool for scalpers seeking confirmation of the next five-minute move. This is not an oscillator that flashes oversold at market bottoms with convenient precision. COT analysis operates on a timescale measured in weeks and months, revealing positioning shifts that precede major market turns but offer no precision timing. The data arrives three days stale, published only once per week, capturing strategic positioning rather than tactical entries.
If you need instant gratification, if you trade intraday moves, if you demand mechanical signals with ninety percent accuracy, close this document now. COT analysis rewards patience, position sizing discipline, and tolerance for being early. It punishes impatience, overleveraging, and the expectation that any single indicator can substitute for market understanding.
The premise is deceptively simple. Every Tuesday, large traders in futures markets must report their positions to the CFTC. By Friday afternoon, this data becomes public. Academic research spanning three decades has consistently shown that not all market participants are created equal. Some traders consistently profit while others consistently lose. Some anticipate major turning points while others chase trends into exhaustion. Bessembinder and Chan (1992) demonstrated in their seminal study that commercial hedgers, those with actual exposure to the underlying commodity or financial instrument, possess superior forecasting ability compared to speculators. Their research, published in the Journal of Finance, found statistically significant predictive power in commercial positioning, particularly at extreme levels. This finding challenged the efficient market hypothesis and opened the door to a new approach to market analysis based on positioning rather than price alone.
Think about what this means. Every week, the government publishes a report showing you exactly how the most informed market participants are positioned. Not their opinions. Not their predictions. Their actual money at risk. When agricultural producers collectively hold their largest short hedge in five years, they are not making idle speculation. They are locking in prices for crops they will harvest, informed by private knowledge of weather conditions, soil quality, inventory levels, and demand expectations invisible to outside observers. When energy companies aggressively hedge forward production at current prices, they reveal information about expected supply that no analyst report can capture. This is not technical analysis based on past prices. This is not fundamental analysis based on publicly available data. This is behavioral analysis based on how the smartest money is actually positioned, how institutions allocate capital across portfolios, and how those allocation decisions shift as market conditions evolve.
WHY SOME TRADERS KNOW MORE THAN OTHERS
Building on this foundation, Sanders, Boris and Manfredo (2004) conducted extensive research examining the behaviour patterns of different trader categories. Their work, which analyzed over a decade of COT data across multiple commodity markets, revealed a fascinating dynamic that challenges much of what retail traders are taught. Commercial hedgers consistently positioned themselves against market extremes, buying when speculators were most bearish and selling when speculators reached peak bullishness. The contrarian positioning of commercials was not random noise but rather reflected their superior information about supply and demand fundamentals. Meanwhile, large speculators, primarily hedge funds and commodity trading advisors, exhibited strong trend-following behaviour that often amplified market moves beyond fundamental values. Small traders, the retail participants, consistently entered positions late in trends, frequently near turning points, making them reliable contrary indicators.
Wang (2003) extended this research by demonstrating that the predictive power of commercial positioning varies significantly across different commodity sectors. His analysis of agricultural commodities showed particularly strong forecasting ability, with commercial net positions explaining up to fifteen percent of return variance in subsequent weeks. This finding suggests that the informational advantages of hedgers are most pronounced in markets where physical supply and demand fundamentals dominate, as opposed to purely financial markets where information asymmetries are smaller. When a corn farmer hedges six months of expected harvest, that decision incorporates private observations about rainfall patterns, crop health, pest pressure, and local storage capacity that no distant analyst can match. When an oil refinery hedges crude oil purchases and gasoline sales simultaneously, the spread relationships reveal expectations about refining margins that reflect operational realities invisible in public data.
The theoretical mechanism underlying these empirical patterns relates to information asymmetry and different participant motivations. Commercial hedgers engage in futures markets not for speculative profit but to manage business risks. An agricultural producer selling forward six months of expected harvest is not making a bet on price direction but rather locking in revenue to facilitate financial planning and ensure business viability. However, this hedging activity necessarily incorporates private information about expected supply, inventory levels, weather conditions, and demand trends that the hedger observes through their commercial operations (Irwin and Sanders, 2012). When aggregated across many participants, this private information manifests in collective positioning.
Consider a gold mining company deciding how much forward production to hedge. Management must estimate ore grades, recovery rates, production costs, equipment reliability, labor availability, and dozens of other operational variables that determine whether locking in prices at current levels makes business sense. If the industry collectively hedges more aggressively than usual, it suggests either exceptional production expectations or concern about sustaining current price levels or combination of both. Either way, this positioning reveals information unavailable to speculators analyzing price charts and economic data. The hedger sees the physical reality behind the financial abstraction.
Large speculators operate under entirely different incentives and constraints. Commodity Trading Advisors managing billions in assets typically employ systematic, trend-following strategies that respond to price momentum rather than fundamental supply and demand. When crude oil rallies from sixty dollars to seventy dollars per barrel, these systems generate buy signals. As the rally continues to eighty dollars, position sizes increase. The strategy works brilliantly during sustained trends but becomes a liability at reversals. By the time oil reaches ninety dollars, trend-following funds are maximally long, having accumulated positions progressively throughout the rally. At this point, they represent not smart money anticipating further gains but rather crowded money vulnerable to reversal. Sanders, Boris and Manfredo (2004) documented this pattern across multiple energy markets, showing that extreme speculator positioning typically marked late-stage trend exhaustion rather than early-stage trend development.
Small traders, the retail participants who fall below reporting thresholds, display the weakest forecasting ability. Wang (2003) found that small trader positioning exhibited negative correlation with subsequent returns, meaning their aggregate positioning served as a reliable contrary indicator. The explanation combines several factors. Retail traders often lack the capital reserves to weather normal market volatility, leading to premature exits from positions that would eventually prove profitable. They tend to receive information through slower channels, entering trends after mainstream media coverage when institutional participants are preparing to exit. Perhaps most importantly, they trade with emotion, buying into euphoria and selling into panic at precisely the wrong times.
At major turning points, the three groups often position opposite each other with commercials extremely bearish, large speculators extremely bullish, and small traders piling into longs at the last moment. These high-divergence environments frequently precede increased volatility and trend reversals. The insiders with business exposure quietly exit as the momentum traders hit maximum capacity and retail enthusiasm peaks. Within weeks, the reversal begins, and positions unwind in the opposite sequence.
FROM RAW DATA TO ACTIONABLE SIGNALS
The COT Index indicator operationalizes these academic findings into a practical trading tool accessible through TradingView. At its core, the indicator normalizes net positioning data onto a zero to one hundred scale, creating what we call the COT Index. This normalization is critical because absolute position sizes vary dramatically across different futures contracts and over time. A commercial trader holding fifty thousand contracts net long in crude oil might be extremely bullish by historical standards, or it might be quite neutral depending on the context of total market size and historical ranges. Raw position numbers mean nothing without context. The COT Index solves this problem by calculating where current positioning stands relative to its range over a specified lookback period, typically two hundred fifty-two weeks or approximately five years of weekly data.
The mathematical transformation follows the methodology originally popularized by legendary trader Larry Williams, though the underlying concept appears in statistical normalization techniques across many fields. For any given trader category, we calculate the highest and lowest net position values over the lookback period, establishing the historical range for that specific market and trader group. Current positioning is then expressed as a percentage of this range, where zero represents the most bearish positioning ever seen in the lookback window and one hundred represents the most bullish extreme. A reading of fifty indicates positioning exactly in the middle of the historical range, suggesting neither extreme optimism nor pessimism relative to recent history (Williams and Noseworthy, 2009).
This index-based approach allows for meaningful comparison across different markets and time periods, overcoming the scaling problems inherent in analyzing raw position data. A commercial index reading of eighty-five in gold carries the same interpretive meaning as an eighty-five reading in wheat or crude oil, even though the absolute position sizes differ by orders of magnitude. This standardization enables systematic analysis across entire futures portfolios rather than requiring market-specific expertise for each contract.
The lookback period selection involves a fundamental tradeoff between responsiveness and stability. Shorter lookback periods, perhaps one hundred twenty-six weeks or approximately two and a half years, make the index more sensitive to recent positioning changes. However, it also increases noise and produces more false signals. Longer lookback periods, perhaps five hundred weeks or approximately ten years, create smoother readings that filter short-term noise but become slower to recognize regime changes. The indicator settings allow users to adjust this parameter based on their trading timeframe, risk tolerance, and market characteristics.
UNDERSTANDING CFTC DATA STRUCTURES
The indicator supports both Legacy and Disaggregated COT report formats, reflecting the evolution of CFTC reporting standards over decades of market development. Legacy reports categorize market participants into three broad groups: commercial traders (hedgers with underlying business exposure), non-commercial traders (large speculators seeking profit without commercial interest), and non-reportable traders (small speculators below reporting thresholds). Each category brings distinct motivations and information advantages to the market (CFTC, 2020).
The Disaggregated reports, introduced in September 2009 for physical commodity markets, provide finer granularity by splitting participants into five categories (CFTC, 2009). Producer and merchant positions capture those actually producing, processing, or merchandising the physical commodity. Swap dealers represent financial intermediaries facilitating derivative transactions for clients. Managed money includes commodity trading advisors and hedge funds executing systematic or discretionary strategies. Other reportables encompasses diverse participants not fitting the main categories. Small traders remain as the fifth group, representing retail participation.
This enhanced categorization reveals nuances invisible in Legacy reports, particularly distinguishing between different types of institutional capital and their distinct behavioural patterns. The indicator automatically detects which report type is appropriate for each futures contract and adjusts the display accordingly.
Importantly, Disaggregated reports exist only for physical commodity futures. Agricultural commodities like corn, wheat, and soybeans have Disaggregated reports because clear producer, merchant, and swap dealer categories exist. Energy commodities like crude oil and natural gas similarly have well-defined commercial hedger categories. Metals including gold, silver, and copper also receive Disaggregated treatment (CFTC, 2009). However, financial futures such as equity index futures, Treasury bond futures, and currency futures remain available only in Legacy format. The CFTC has indicated no plans to extend Disaggregated reporting to financial futures due to different market structures and participant categories in these instruments (CFTC, 2020).
THE BEHAVIORAL FOUNDATION
Understanding which trader perspective to follow requires appreciation of their distinct trading styles, success rates, and psychological profiles. Commercial hedgers exhibit anticyclical behaviour rooted in their fundamental knowledge and business imperatives. When agricultural producers hedge forward sales during harvest season, they are not speculating on price direction but rather locking in revenue for crops they will harvest. Their business requires converting volatile commodity exposure into predictable cash flows to facilitate planning and ensure survival through difficult periods. Yet their aggregate positioning reveals valuable information because these hedging decisions incorporate private information about supply conditions, inventory levels, weather observations, and demand expectations that hedgers observe through their commercial operations (Bessembinder and Chan, 1992).
Consider a practical example from energy markets. Major oil companies continuously hedge portions of forward production based on price levels, operational costs, and financial planning needs. When crude oil trades at ninety dollars per barrel, they might aggressively hedge the next twelve months of production, locking in prices that provide comfortable profit margins above their extraction costs. This hedging appears as short positioning in COT reports. If oil rallies further to one hundred dollars, they hedge even more aggressively, viewing these prices as exceptional opportunities to secure revenue. Their short positioning grows increasingly extreme. To an outside observer watching only price charts, the rally suggests bullishness. But the commercial positioning reveals that the actual producers of oil find these prices attractive enough to lock in years of sales, suggesting skepticism about sustaining even higher levels. When the eventual reversal occurs and oil declines back to eighty dollars, the commercials who hedged at ninety and one hundred dollars profit while speculators who chased the rally suffer losses.
Large speculators or managed money traders operate under entirely different incentives and constraints. Their systematic, momentum-driven strategies mean they amplify existing trends rather than anticipate reversals. Trend-following systems, the most common approach among large speculators, by definition require confirmation of trend through price momentum before entering positions (Sanders, Boris and Manfredo, 2004). When crude oil rallies from sixty dollars to eighty dollars per barrel over several months, trend-following algorithms generate buy signals based on moving average crossovers, breakouts, and other momentum indicators. As the rally continues, position sizes increase according to the systematic rules.
However, this approach becomes a liability at turning points. By the time oil reaches ninety dollars after a sustained rally, trend-following funds are maximally long, having accumulated positions progressively throughout the move. At this point, their positioning does not predict continued strength. Rather, it often marks late-stage trend exhaustion. The psychological and mechanical explanation is straightforward. Trend followers by definition chase price momentum, entering positions after trends establish rather than anticipating them. Eventually, they become fully invested just as the trend nears completion, leaving no incremental buying power to sustain the rally. When the first signs of reversal appear, systematic stops trigger, creating a cascade of selling that accelerates the downturn.
Small traders consistently display the weakest track record across academic studies. Wang (2003) found that small trader positioning exhibited negative correlation with subsequent returns in his analysis across multiple commodity markets. This result means that whatever small traders collectively do, the opposite typically proves profitable. The explanation for small trader underperformance combines several factors documented in behavioral finance literature. Retail traders often lack the capital reserves to weather normal market volatility, leading to premature exits from positions that would eventually prove profitable. They tend to receive information through slower channels, learning about commodity trends through mainstream media coverage that arrives after institutional participants have already positioned. Perhaps most importantly, retail traders are more susceptible to emotional decision-making, buying into euphoria and selling into panic at precisely the wrong times (Tharp, 2008).
SETTINGS, THRESHOLDS, AND SIGNAL GENERATION
The practical implementation of the COT Index requires understanding several key features and settings that users can adjust to match their trading style, timeframe, and risk tolerance. The lookback period determines the time window for calculating historical ranges. The default setting of two hundred fifty-two bars represents approximately one year on daily charts or five years on weekly charts, balancing responsiveness with stability. Conservative traders seeking only the most extreme, highest-probability signals might extend the lookback to five hundred bars or more. Aggressive traders seeking earlier entry and willing to accept more false positives might reduce it to one hundred twenty-six bars or even less for shorter-term applications.
The bullish and bearish thresholds define signal generation levels. Default settings of eighty and twenty respectively reflect academic research suggesting meaningful information content at these extremes. Readings above eighty indicate positioning in the top quintile of the historical range, representing genuine extremes rather than temporary fluctuations. Conversely, readings below twenty occupy the bottom quintile, indicating unusually bearish positioning (Briese, 2008).
However, traders must recognize that appropriate thresholds vary by market, trader category, and personal risk tolerance. Some futures markets exhibit wider positioning swings than others due to seasonal patterns, volatility characteristics, or participant behavior. Conservative traders seeking high-probability setups with fewer signals might raise thresholds to eighty-five and fifteen. Aggressive traders willing to accept more false positives for earlier entry could lower them to seventy-five and twenty-five.
The key is maintaining meaningful differentiation between bullish, neutral, and bearish zones. The default settings of eighty and twenty create a clear three-zone structure. Readings from zero to twenty represent bearish territory where the selected trader group holds unusually bearish positions. Readings from twenty to eighty represent neutral territory where positioning falls within normal historical ranges. Readings from eighty to one hundred represent bullish territory where the selected trader group holds unusually bullish positions.
The trading perspective selection determines which participant group the indicator follows, fundamentally shaping interpretation and signal meaning. For counter-trend traders seeking reversal opportunities, monitoring commercial positioning makes intuitive sense based on the academic research discussed earlier. When commercials reach extreme bearish readings below twenty, indicating unprecedented short positioning relative to recent history, they are effectively betting against the crowd. Given their informational advantages demonstrated by Bessembinder and Chan (1992), this contrarian stance often precedes major bottoms.
Trend followers might instead monitor large speculator positioning, but with inverted logic compared to commercials. When managed money reaches extreme bullish readings above eighty, the trend may be exhausting rather than accelerating. This seeming paradox reflects their late-cycle participation documented by Sanders, Boris and Manfredo (2004). Sophisticated traders thus use speculator extremes as fade signals, entering positions opposite to speculator consensus.
Small trader monitoring serves primarily as a contrary indicator for all trading styles. Extreme small trader bullishness above seventy-five or eighty typically warns of retail FOMO at market tops. Extreme small trader bearishness below twenty or twenty-five often marks capitulation bottoms where the last weak hands have sold.
VISUALIZATION AND USER INTERFACE
The visual design incorporates multiple elements working together to facilitate decision-making and maintain situational awareness during active trading. The primary COT Index line plots in bold with adjustable line width, defaulting to two pixels for clear visibility against busy price charts. An optional glow effect, controlled by a simple toggle, adds additional visual prominence through multiple plot layers with progressively increasing transparency and width.
A twenty-one period exponential moving average overlays the index line, providing trend context for positioning changes. When the index crosses above its moving average, it signals accelerating bullish sentiment among the selected trader group regardless of whether absolute positioning is extreme. Conversely, when the index crosses below its moving average, it signals deteriorating sentiment and potentially the beginning of a reversal in positioning trends.
The EMA provides a dynamic reference line for assessing positioning momentum. When the index trades far above its EMA, positioning is not only extreme in absolute terms but also building with momentum. When the index trades far below its EMA, positioning is contracting or reversing, which may indicate weakening conviction even if absolute levels remain elevated.
The data table positioned at the top right of the chart displays eleven metrics for each trader category, transforming the indicator from a simple index calculation into an analytical dashboard providing multidimensional market intelligence. Beyond the COT Index itself, users can monitor positioning extremity, which measures how unusual current levels are compared to historical norms using statistical techniques. The extremity metric clarifies whether a reading represents the ninety-fifth or ninety-ninth percentile, with values above two standard deviations indicating genuinely exceptional positioning.
Market power quantifies each group's influence on total open interest. This metric expresses each trader category's net position as a percentage of total market open interest. A commercial entity holding forty percent of total open interest commands significantly more influence than one holding five percent, making their positioning signals more meaningful.
Momentum and rate of change metrics reveal whether positions are building or contracting, providing early warning of potential regime shifts. Position velocity measures the rate of change in positioning changes, effectively a second derivative providing even earlier insight into inflection points.
Sentiment divergence highlights disagreements between commercial and speculative positioning. This metric calculates the absolute difference between normalized commercial and large speculator index values. Wang (2003) found that these high-divergence environments frequently preceded increased volatility and reversals.
The table also displays concentration metrics when available, showing how positioning is distributed among the largest handful of traders in each category. High concentration indicates a few dominant players controlling most of the positioning, while low concentration suggests broad-based participation across many traders.
THE ALERT SYSTEM AND MONITORING
The alert system, comprising five distinct alert conditions, enables systematic monitoring of dozens of futures markets without constant screen watching. The bullish and bearish COT signal alerts trigger when the index crosses user-defined thresholds, indicating the selected trader group has reached extreme positioning worthy of attention. These alerts fire in real-time as new weekly COT data publishes, typically Friday afternoon following the Tuesday measurement date.
Extreme positioning alerts fire at ninety and ten index levels, representing the top and bottom ten percent of the historical range, warning of particularly stretched readings that historically precede reversals with high probability. When commercials reach a COT Index reading below ten, they are expressing their most bearish stance in the entire lookback period.
The data staleness alert notifies users when COT reports have not updated for more than ten days, preventing reliance on outdated information for trading decisions. Government shutdowns or federal holidays can interrupt the normal Friday publication schedule. Using stale signals while believing them current creates dangerous false confidence.
The indicator's watermark information display positioned in the bottom right corner provides essential context at a glance. This persistent display shows the symbol and timeframe, the COT report date timestamp, days since last update, and the current signal state. A trader analyzing a potential short entry in crude oil can glance at the watermark to instantly confirm positioning context without interrupting analysis flow.
LIMITATIONS AND REALISTIC EXPECTATIONS
Practical application requires understanding both the indicator's considerable strengths and inherent limitations. COT data inherently lags price action by three days, as Tuesday positions are not published until Friday afternoon. This delay means the indicator cannot catch rapid intraday reversals or respond to surprise news events. Traders using the COT Index for timing entries must accept this latency and focus on swing trading and position trading timeframes where three-day lags matter less than in day trading or scalping.
The weekly publication schedule similarly makes the indicator unsuitable for short-term trading strategies requiring immediate feedback. The COT Index works best for traders operating on weekly or longer timeframes, where positioning shifts measured in weeks and months align with trading horizon.
Extreme COT readings can persist far longer than typical technical indicators suggest, testing the patience and capital reserves of traders attempting to fade them. When crude oil enters a sustained bull market driven by genuine supply disruptions, commercial hedgers may maintain bearish positioning for many months as prices grind higher. A commercial COT Index reading of fifteen indicating extreme bearishness might persist for three months while prices continue rallying before finally reversing. Traders without sufficient capital and risk tolerance to weather such drawdowns will exit prematurely, precisely when the signal is about to work (Irwin and Sanders, 2012).
Position sizing discipline becomes paramount when implementing COT-based strategies. Rather than risking large percentages of capital on individual signals, successful COT traders typically allocate modest position sizes across multiple signals, allowing some to take time to mature while others work more quickly.
The indicator also cannot overcome fundamental regime changes that alter the structural drivers of markets. If gold enters a true secular bull market driven by monetary debasement, commercial hedgers may remain persistently bearish as mining companies sell forward years of production at what they perceive as favorable prices. Their positioning indicates valuation concerns from a production cost perspective, but cannot stop prices from rising if investment demand overwhelms physical supply-demand balance.
Similarly, structural changes in market participation can alter the meaning of positioning extremes. The growth of commodity index investing in the two thousands brought massive passive long-only capital into futures markets, fundamentally changing typical positioning ranges. Traders relying on COT signals without recognizing this regime change would have generated numerous false bearish signals during the commodity supercycle from 2003 to 2008.
The research foundation supporting COT analysis derives primarily from commodity markets where the commercial hedger information advantage is most pronounced. Studies specifically examining financial futures like equity indices and bonds show weaker but still present effects. Traders should calibrate expectations accordingly, recognizing that COT analysis likely works better for crude oil, natural gas, corn, and wheat than for the S&P 500, Treasury bonds, or currency futures.
Another important limitation involves the reporting threshold structure. Not all market participants appear in COT data, only those holding positions above specified minimums. In markets dominated by a few large players, concentration metrics become critical for proper interpretation. A single large trader accounting for thirty percent of commercial positioning might skew the entire category if their individual circumstances are idiosyncratic rather than representative.
GOLD FUTURES DURING A HYPOTHETICAL MARKET CYCLE
Consider a practical example using gold futures during a hypothetical but realistic market scenario that illustrates how the COT Index indicator guides trading decisions through a complete market cycle. Suppose gold has rallied from fifteen hundred to nineteen hundred dollars per ounce over six months, driven by inflation concerns following aggressive monetary expansion, geopolitical uncertainty, and sustained buying by Asian central banks for reserve diversification.
Large speculators, operating primarily trend-following strategies, have accumulated increasingly bullish positions throughout this rally. Their COT Index has climbed progressively from forty-five to eighty-five. The table display shows that large speculators now hold net long positions representing thirty-two percent of total open interest, their highest in four years. Momentum indicators show positive readings, indicating positions are still building though at a decelerating rate. Position velocity has turned negative, suggesting the pace of position building is slowing.
Meanwhile, commercial hedgers have responded to the rally by aggressively selling forward production and inventory. Their COT Index has moved inversely to price, declining from fifty-five to twenty. This bearish commercial positioning represents mining companies locking in forward sales at prices they view as attractive relative to production costs. The table shows commercials now hold net short positions representing twenty-nine percent of total open interest, their most bearish stance in five years. Concentration metrics indicate this positioning is broadly distributed across many commercial entities, suggesting the bearish stance reflects collective industry view rather than idiosyncratic positioning by a single firm.
Small traders, attracted by mainstream financial media coverage of gold's impressive rally, have recently piled into long positions. Their COT Index has jumped from forty-five to seventy-eight as retail investors chase the trend. Television financial networks feature frequent segments on gold with bullish guests. Internet forums and social media show surging retail interest. This retail enthusiasm historically marks late-stage trend development rather than early opportunity.
The COT Index indicator, configured to monitor commercial positioning from a contrarian perspective, displays a clear bearish signal given the extreme commercial short positioning. The table displays multiple confirming metrics: positioning extremity shows commercials at the ninety-sixth percentile of bearishness, market power indicates they control twenty-nine percent of open interest, and sentiment divergence registers sixty-five, indicating massive disagreement between commercial hedgers and large speculators. This divergence, the highest in three years, places the market in the historically high-risk category for reversals.
The interpretation requires nuance and consideration of context beyond just COT data. Commercials are not necessarily predicting an imminent crash. Rather, they are hedging business operations at what they collectively view as favorable price levels. However, the data reveals they have sold unusually large quantities of forward production, suggesting either exceptional production expectations for the year ahead or concern about sustaining current price levels or combination of both. Combined with extreme speculator positioning indicating a crowded long trade, and small trader enthusiasm confirming retail FOMO, the confluence suggests elevated reversal risk even if the precise timing remains uncertain.
A prudent trader analyzing this situation might take several actions based on COT Index signals. Existing long positions could be tightened with closer stop losses. Profit-taking on a portion of long exposure could lock in gains while maintaining some participation. Some traders might initiate modest short positions as portfolio hedges, sizing them appropriately for the inherent uncertainty in timing reversals. Others might simply move to the sidelines, avoiding new long entries until positioning normalizes.
The key lesson from case study analysis is that COT signals provide probabilistic edges rather than deterministic predictions. They work over many observations by identifying higher-probability configurations, not by generating perfect calls on individual trades. A fifty-five percent win rate with proper risk management produces substantial profits over time, yet still means forty-five percent of signals will be premature or wrong. Traders must embrace this probabilistic reality rather than seeking the impossible goal of perfect accuracy.
INTEGRATION WITH TRADING SYSTEMS
Integration with existing trading systems represents a natural and powerful use case for COT analysis, adding a positioning dimension to price-based technical approaches or fundamental analytical frameworks. Few traders rely exclusively on a single indicator or methodology. Rather, they build systems that synthesize multiple information sources, with each component addressing different aspects of market behavior.
Trend followers might use COT extremes as regime filters, modifying position sizing or avoiding new trend entries when positioning reaches levels historically associated with reversals. Consider a classic trend-following system based on moving average crossovers and momentum breakouts. Integration of COT analysis adds nuance. When large speculator positioning exceeds ninety or commercial positioning falls below ten, the regime filter recognizes elevated reversal risk. The system might reduce position sizing by fifty percent for new signals during these high-risk periods (Kaufman, 2013).
Mean reversion traders might require COT signal confluence before fading extended moves. When crude oil becomes technically overbought and large speculators show extreme long positioning above eighty-five, both signals confirm. If only technical indicators show extremes while positioning remains neutral, the potential short signal is rejected, avoiding fades of trends with underlying institutional support (Kaufman, 2013).
Discretionary traders can monitor the indicator as a continuous awareness tool, informing bias and position sizing without dictating mechanical entries and exits. A discretionary trader might notice commercial positioning shifting from neutral to progressively more bullish over several months. This trend informs growing positive bias even without triggering mechanical signals.
Multi-timeframe analysis represents another powerful integration approach. A trader might use daily charts for trade execution and timing while monitoring weekly COT positioning for strategic context. When both timeframes align, highest-probability opportunities emerge.
Portfolio construction for futures traders can incorporate COT signals as an additional selection criterion. Markets showing strong technical setups AND favorable COT positioning receive highest allocations. Markets with strong technicals but neutral or unfavorable positioning receive reduced allocations.
ADVANCED METRICS AND INTERPRETATION
The metrics table transforms simple positioning data into multidimensional market intelligence. Position extremity, calculated as the absolute deviation from the historical mean normalized by standard deviation, helps identify truly unusual readings versus routine fluctuations. A reading above two standard deviations indicates ninety-fifth percentile or higher extremity. Above three standard deviations indicates ninety-ninth percentile or higher, genuinely rare positioning that historically precedes major events with high probability.
Market power, expressed as a percentage of total open interest, reveals whose positioning matters most from a mechanical market impact perspective. Consider two scenarios in gold futures. In scenario one, commercials show a COT Index reading of fifteen while their market power metric shows they hold net shorts representing thirty-five percent of open interest. This is a high-confidence bearish signal. In scenario two, commercials also show a reading of fifteen, but market power shows only eight percent. While positioning is extreme relative to this category's normal range, their limited market share means less mechanical influence on price.
The rate of change and momentum metrics highlight whether positions are accelerating or decelerating, often providing earlier warnings than absolute levels alone. A COT Index reading of seventy-five with rapidly building momentum suggests continued movement toward extremes. Conversely, a reading of eighty-five with decelerating or negative momentum indicates the positioning trend is exhausting.
Position velocity measures the rate of change in positioning changes, effectively a second derivative. When velocity shifts from positive to negative, it indicates that while positioning may still be growing, the pace of growth is slowing. This deceleration often precedes actual reversal in positioning direction by several weeks.
Sentiment divergence calculates the absolute difference between normalized commercial and large speculator index values. When commercials show extreme bearish positioning at twenty while large speculators show extreme bullish positioning at eighty, the divergence reaches sixty, representing near-maximum disagreement. Wang (2003) found that these high-divergence environments frequently preceded increased volatility and reversals. The mechanism is intuitive. Extreme divergence indicates the informed hedgers and momentum-following speculators have positioned opposite each other with conviction. One group will prove correct and profit while the other proves incorrect and suffers losses. The resolution of this disagreement through price movement often involves volatility.
The table also displays concentration metrics when available. High concentration indicates a few dominant players controlling most of the positioning within a category, while low concentration suggests broad-based participation. Broad-based positioning more reliably reflects collective market intelligence and industry consensus. If mining companies globally all independently decide to hedge aggressively at similar price levels, it suggests genuine industry-wide view about price valuations rather than circumstances specific to one firm.
DATA QUALITY AND RELIABILITY
The CFTC has maintained COT reporting in various forms since the nineteen twenties, providing nearly a century of positioning data across multiple market cycles. However, data quality and reporting standards have evolved substantially over this long period. Modern electronic reporting implemented in the late nineteen nineties and early two thousands significantly improved accuracy and timeliness compared to earlier paper-based systems.
Traders should understand that COT reports capture positions as of Tuesday's close each week. Markets remain open three additional days before publication on Friday afternoon, meaning the reported data is three days stale when received. During periods of rapid market movement or major news events, this lag can be significant. The indicator addresses this limitation by including timestamp information and staleness warnings.
The three-day lag creates particular challenges during extreme volatility episodes. Flash crashes, surprise central bank interventions, geopolitical shocks, and other high-impact events can completely transform market positioning within hours. Traders must exercise judgment about whether reported positioning remains relevant given intervening events.
Reporting thresholds also mean that not all market participants appear in disaggregated COT data. Traders holding positions below specified minimums aggregate into the non-reportable or small trader category. This aggregation affects different markets differently. In highly liquid contracts like crude oil with thousands of participants, reportable traders might represent seventy to eighty percent of open interest. In thinly traded contracts with only dozens of active participants, a few large reportable positions might represent ninety-five percent of open interest.
Another data quality consideration involves trader classification into categories. The CFTC assigns traders to commercial or non-commercial categories based on reported business purpose and activities. However, this process is not perfect. Some entities engage in both commercial and speculative activities, creating ambiguity about proper classification. The transition to Disaggregated reports attempted to address some of these ambiguities by creating more granular categories.
COMPARISON WITH ALTERNATIVE APPROACHES
Several alternative approaches to COT analysis exist in the trading community beyond the normalization methodology employed by this indicator. Some analysts focus on absolute position changes week-over-week rather than index-based normalization. This approach calculates the change in net positioning from one week to the next. The emphasis falls on momentum in positioning changes rather than absolute levels relative to history. This method potentially identifies regime shifts earlier but sacrifices cross-market comparability (Briese, 2008).
Other practitioners employ more complex statistical transformations including percentile rankings, z-score standardization, and machine learning classification algorithms. Ruan and Zhang (2018) demonstrated that machine learning models applied to COT data could achieve modest improvements in forecasting accuracy compared to simple threshold-based approaches. However, these gains came at the cost of interpretability and implementation complexity.
The COT Index indicator intentionally employs a relatively straightforward normalization methodology for several important reasons. First, transparency enhances user understanding and trust. Traders can verify calculations manually and develop intuitive feel for what different readings mean. Second, academic research suggests that most of the predictive power in COT data comes from extreme positioning levels rather than subtle patterns requiring complex statistical methods to detect. Third, robust methods that work consistently across many markets and time periods tend to be simpler rather than more complex, reducing the risk of overfitting to historical data. Fourth, the complexity costs of implementation matter for retail traders without programming teams or computational infrastructure.
PSYCHOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF COT TRADING
Trading based on COT data requires psychological fortitude that differs from momentum-based approaches. Contrarian positioning signals inherently mean betting against prevailing market sentiment and recent price action. When commercials reach extreme bearish positioning, prices have typically been rising, sometimes for extended periods. The price chart looks bullish, momentum indicators confirm strength, moving averages align positively. The COT signal says bet against all of this. This psychological difficulty explains why COT analysis remains underutilized relative to trend-following methods.
Human psychology strongly predisposes us toward extrapolation and recency bias. When prices rally for months, our pattern-matching brains naturally expect continued rally. The recent price action dominates our perception, overwhelming rational analysis about positioning extremes and historical probabilities. The COT signal asking us to sell requires overriding these powerful psychological impulses.
The indicator design attempts to support the required psychological discipline through several features. Clear threshold markers and signal states reduce ambiguity about when signals trigger. When the commercial index crosses below twenty, the signal is explicit and unambiguous. The background shifts to red, the signal label displays bearish, and alerts fire. This explicitness helps traders act on signals rather than waiting for additional confirmation that may never arrive.
The metrics table provides analytical justification for contrarian positions, helping traders maintain conviction during inevitable periods of adverse price movement. When a trader enters short positions based on extreme commercial bearish positioning but prices continue rallying for several weeks, doubt naturally emerges. The table display provides reassurance. Commercial positioning remains extremely bearish. Divergence remains high. The positioning thesis remains intact even though price action has not yet confirmed.
Alert functionality ensures traders do not miss signals due to inattention while also not requiring constant monitoring that can lead to emotional decision-making. Setting alerts for COT extremes enables a healthier relationship with markets. When meaningful signals occur, alerts notify them. They can then calmly assess the situation and execute planned responses.
However, no indicator design can completely overcome the psychological difficulty of contrarian trading. Some traders simply cannot maintain short positions while prices rally. For these traders, COT analysis might be better employed as an exit signal for long positions rather than an entry signal for shorts.
Ultimately, successful COT trading requires developing comfort with probabilistic thinking rather than certainty-seeking. The signals work over many observations by identifying higher-probability configurations, not by generating perfect calls on individual trades. A fifty-five or sixty percent win rate with proper risk management produces substantial profits over years, yet still means forty to forty-five percent of signals will be premature or wrong. COT analysis provides genuine edge, but edge means probability advantage, not elimination of losing trades.
EDUCATIONAL RESOURCES AND CONTINUOUS LEARNING
The indicator provides extensive built-in educational resources through its documentation, detailed tooltips, and transparent calculations. However, mastering COT analysis requires study beyond any single tool or resource. Several excellent resources provide valuable extensions of the concepts covered in this guide.
Books and practitioner-focused monographs offer accessible entry points. Stephen Briese published The Commitments of Traders Bible in two thousand eight, offering detailed breakdowns of how different markets and trader categories behave (Briese, 2008). Briese's work stands out for its empirical focus and market-specific insights. Jack Schwager includes discussion of COT analysis within the broader context of market behavior in his book Market Sense and Nonsense (Schwager, 2012). Perry Kaufman's Trading Systems and Methods represents perhaps the most rigorous practitioner-focused text on systematic trading approaches including COT analysis (Kaufman, 2013).
Academic journal articles provide the rigorous statistical foundation underlying COT analysis. The Journal of Futures Markets regularly publishes research on positioning data and its predictive properties. Bessembinder and Chan's earlier work on systematic risk, hedging pressure, and risk premiums in futures markets provides theoretical foundation (Bessembinder, 1992). Chang's examination of speculator returns provides historical context (Chang, 1985). Irwin and Sanders provide essential skeptical perspective in their two thousand twelve article (Irwin and Sanders, 2012). Wang's two thousand three article provides one of the most empirical analyses of COT data across multiple commodity markets (Wang, 2003).
Online resources extend beyond academic and book-length treatments. The CFTC website provides free access to current and historical COT reports in multiple formats. The explanatory materials section offers detailed documentation of report construction, category definitions, and historical methodology changes. Traders serious about COT analysis should read these official CFTC documents to understand exactly what they are analyzing.
Commercial COT data services such as Barchart provide enhanced visualization and analysis tools beyond raw CFTC data. TradingView's educational materials, published scripts library, and user community provide additional resources for exploring different approaches to COT analysis.
The key to mastering COT analysis lies not in finding a single definitive source but rather in building understanding through multiple perspectives and information sources. Academic research provides rigorous empirical foundation. Practitioner-focused books offer practical implementation insights. Direct engagement with data through systematic backtesting develops intuition about how positioning dynamics manifest across different market conditions.
SYNTHESIZING KNOWLEDGE INTO PRACTICE
The COT Index indicator represents the synthesis of academic research, trading experience, and software engineering into a practical tool accessible to retail traders equipped with nothing more than a TradingView account and willingness to learn. What once required expensive data subscriptions, custom programming capabilities, statistical software, and institutional resources now appears as a straightforward indicator requiring only basic parameter selection and modest study to understand. This democratization of institutional-grade analysis tools represents a broader trend in financial markets over recent decades.
Yet technology and data access alone provide no edge without understanding and discipline. Markets remain relentlessly efficient at eliminating edges that become too widely known and mechanically exploited. The COT Index indicator succeeds only when users invest time learning the underlying concepts, understand the limitations and probability distributions involved, and integrate signals thoughtfully into trading plans rather than applying them mechanically.
The academic research demonstrates conclusively that institutional positioning contains genuine information about future price movements, particularly at extremes where commercial hedgers are maximally bearish or bullish relative to historical norms. This informational content is neither perfect nor deterministic but rather probabilistic, providing edge over many observations through identification of higher-probability configurations. Bessembinder and Chan's finding that commercial positioning explained modest but significant variance in future returns illustrates this probabilistic nature perfectly (Bessembinder and Chan, 1992). The effect is real and statistically significant, yet it explains perhaps ten to fifteen percent of return variance rather than most variance. Much of price movement remains unpredictable even with positioning intelligence.
The practical implication is that COT analysis works best as one component of a trading system rather than a standalone oracle. It provides the positioning dimension, revealing where the smart money has positioned and where the crowd has followed, but price action analysis provides the timing dimension. Fundamental analysis provides the catalyst dimension. Risk management provides the survival dimension. These components work together synergistically.
The indicator's design philosophy prioritizes transparency and education over black-box complexity, empowering traders to understand exactly what they are analyzing and why. Every calculation is documented and user-adjustable. The threshold markers, background coloring, tables, and clear signal states provide multiple reinforcing channels for conveying the same information.
This educational approach reflects a conviction that sustainable trading success comes from genuine understanding rather than mechanical system-following. Traders who understand why commercial positioning matters, how different trader categories behave, what positioning extremes signify, and where signals fit within probability distributions can adapt when market conditions change. Traders mechanically following black-box signals without comprehension abandon systems after normal losing streaks.
The research foundation supporting COT analysis comes primarily from commodity markets where commercial hedger informational advantages are most pronounced. Agricultural producers hedging crops know more about supply conditions than distant speculators. Energy companies hedging production know more about operating costs than financial traders. Metals miners hedging output know more about ore grades than index funds. Financial futures markets show weaker but still present effects.
The journey from reading this documentation to profitable trading based on COT analysis involves several stages that cannot be rushed. Initial reading and basic understanding represents the first stage. Historical study represents the second stage, reviewing past market cycles to observe how positioning extremes preceded major turning points. Paper trading or small-size real trading represents the third stage to experience the psychological challenges. Refinement based on results and personal psychology represents the fourth stage.
Markets will continue evolving. New participant categories will emerge. Regulatory structures will change. Technology will advance. Yet the fundamental dynamics driving COT analysis, that different market participants have different information, different motivations, and different forecasting abilities that manifest in their positioning, will persist as long as futures markets exist. While specific thresholds or optimal parameters may shift over time, the core logic remains sound and adaptable.
The trader equipped with this indicator, understanding of the theory and evidence behind COT analysis, realistic expectations about probability rather than certainty, discipline to maintain positions through adverse volatility, and patience to allow signals time to develop possesses genuine edge in markets. The edge is not enormous, markets cannot allow large persistent inefficiencies without arbitraging them away, but it is real, measurable, and exploitable by those willing to invest in learning and disciplined application.
REFERENCES
Bessembinder, H. (1992) Systematic risk, hedging pressure, and risk premiums in futures markets, Review of Financial Studies, 5(4), pp. 637-667.
Bessembinder, H. and Chan, K. (1992) The profitability of technical trading rules in the Asian stock markets, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 3(2-3), pp. 257-284.
Briese, S. (2008) The Commitments of Traders Bible: How to Profit from Insider Market Intelligence. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Chang, E.C. (1985) Returns to speculators and the theory of normal backwardation, Journal of Finance, 40(1), pp. 193-208.
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) (2009) Explanatory Notes: Disaggregated Commitments of Traders Report. Available at: www.cftc.gov (Accessed: 15 January 2025).
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) (2020) Commitments of Traders: About the Report. Available at: www.cftc.gov (Accessed: 15 January 2025).
Irwin, S.H. and Sanders, D.R. (2012) Testing the Masters Hypothesis in commodity futures markets, Energy Economics, 34(1), pp. 256-269.
Kaufman, P.J. (2013) Trading Systems and Methods. 5th edn. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Ruan, Y. and Zhang, Y. (2018) Forecasting commodity futures prices using machine learning: Evidence from the Chinese commodity futures market, Applied Economics Letters, 25(12), pp. 845-849.
Sanders, D.R., Boris, K. and Manfredo, M. (2004) Hedgers, funds, and small speculators in the energy futures markets: an analysis of the CFTC's Commitments of Traders reports, Energy Economics, 26(3), pp. 425-445.
Schwager, J.D. (2012) Market Sense and Nonsense: How the Markets Really Work and How They Don't. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Tharp, V.K. (2008) Super Trader: Make Consistent Profits in Good and Bad Markets. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Wang, C. (2003) The behavior and performance of major types of futures traders, Journal of Futures Markets, 23(1), pp. 1-31.
Williams, L.R. and Noseworthy, M. (2009) The Right Stock at the Right Time: Prospering in the Coming Good Years. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
FURTHER READING
For traders seeking to deepen their understanding of COT analysis and futures market positioning beyond this documentation, the following resources provide valuable extensions:
Academic Journal Articles:
Fishe, R.P.H. and Smith, A. (2012) Do speculators drive commodity prices away from supply and demand fundamentals?, Journal of Commodity Markets, 1(1), pp. 1-16.
Haigh, M.S., Hranaiova, J. and Overdahl, J.A. (2007) Hedge funds, volatility, and liquidity provision in energy futures markets, Journal of Alternative Investments, 9(4), pp. 10-38.
Kocagil, A.E. (1997) Does futures speculation stabilize spot prices? Evidence from metals markets, Applied Financial Economics, 7(1), pp. 115-125.
Sanders, D.R. and Irwin, S.H. (2011) The impact of index funds in commodity futures markets: A systems approach, Journal of Alternative Investments, 14(1), pp. 40-49.
Books and Practitioner Resources:
Murphy, J.J. (1999) Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York: New York Institute of Finance.
Pring, M.J. (2002) Technical Analysis Explained: The Investor's Guide to Spotting Investment Trends and Turning Points. 4th edn. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Federal Reserve and Research Institution Publications:
Federal Reserve Banks regularly publish working papers examining commodity markets, futures positioning, and price discovery mechanisms. The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City maintain active research programs in this area.
Online Resources:
The CFTC website provides free access to current and historical COT reports, explanatory materials, and regulatory documentation.
Barchart offers enhanced COT data visualization and screening tools.
TradingView's community library contains numerous published scripts and educational materials exploring different approaches to positioning analysis.
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Features:
Aggregates OI from 7 major exchanges: Binance, Bybit, OKX, Bitget, Deribit, HTX, and Coinbase
All values converted to USD - unlike native OI which shows contracts/coins
Uses only data available on TradingView platform
Automatically detects the asset from your chart (BTC, ETH, SOL, etc.)
True apples-to-apples comparison across exchanges
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Toggle exchanges on/off individually
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