FX Sessions & Killzones ETJust another sessions indicator. Among all the many existing ones, I didn't find anything simple that would cover my needs and that would actually be correct.
New York time is forced here for plotting the stripes so you don't need to worry about the time zone currently set on your chart. The indicator will be accurate during Daylight Saving Time (which, in 2023 for example, started on Sunday, 12 March , 02:00:00 and will be in effect until Sunday, 5 November, 02:00:00).
Sentiment
Trend Bands [starlord_xrp]This indicator uses multiple trendlines to determine the overall trend and trend changes. It also highlights areas of potential pullbacks to entry.
LNL Smart TICKLNL Smart TICK
This study is mostly beneficial for intraday traders. It is basically a user-friendly "colorful" representation of the $TICK chart with highlighted $TICK extremes. This indicator also includes: a simple trend gauge that can visualize the bias for the day, cumulative tick cloud which is showing the cumulative strength of either longs & shorts on the day.
$TICK Trend Gauge
Although it is just a exponential moving average. This average (default set on 20) works quite well as an overall gauge for the day. Whenever the gauge is green (above zero), any negative $TICK values below -500 can offer great pullback opportunities. Same applies for the red gauge. 20 EMA is below zero ? Great time to fade any +500 or +1000 tick readings. Obviously the gauge can be ajdusted to any number based on personal style.
$TICK Extremes (little triangles)
These little triangles are triggered anytime $TICK jumps above or below the pre-set values of +1000 or -1000. By just simply observing the $TICK triangles during the day can tell you how much volaility or pressure there is. Sometimes there will be 20 green triangles and only 2 red ones. That obviously mean there is a strong bearish pressure. But there will be days when you are not going to see any triangles at all which can mean there is either a low volatility or the price is stuck in the indecisive market.
Cumulative $TICK Cloud
Cumulative $TICK by itself is a great study for day traders. It is basically running "counting" $TICK that is adding the previous $TICK values from previous bars. Cumulative $TICK can create a direct picture of the current market sentiment. It is not just a simple green / red line but a cloud that can really show you the depth on the $TICK. Some days, the cloud will be quite wide which is a good sign for the strength to one side, but sometimes the cloud will be so narrow it will practically disappear. This would be telling you the exact opposite - not much conviction to any side. Of course the depth as well as the color of the cloud can change during the day.
$TICK & Cumulative $TICK Tables
By just looking at these tables. You can immidiately tell the state of the current $TICK. They both can be red or green. It all depends whether the values are positive or negative. The tables are just a little visual addition to the whole $TICK study.
Hope it helps.
Volume / Open Interest "Footprint" - By LeviathanThis script generates a footprint-style bar (profile) based on the aggregated volume or open interest data within your chart's visible range. You can choose from three different heatmap visualizations: Volume Delta/OI Delta, Total Volume/Total OI, and Buy vs. Sell Volume/OI Increase vs. Decrease.
How to use the indicator:
1. Add it to your chart.
2. The script will use your chart's visible range and generate a footprint bar on the right side of the screen. You can move left/right, zoom in/zoom out, and the bar's data will be updated automatically.
Settings:
- Source: This input lets you choose the data that will be displayed in the footprint bar.
- Resolution: Resolution is the number of rows displayed in a bar. Increasing it will provide more granular data, and vice versa. You might need to decrease the resolution when viewing larger ranges.
- Type: Choose between 3 types of visualization: Total (Total Volume or Total Open Interest increase), UP/DOWN (Buy Volume vs Sell Volume or OI Increase vs OI Decrease), and Delta (Buy Volume - Sell Volume or OI Increase - OI Decrease).
- Positive Delta Levels: This function will draw boxes (levels) where Delta is positive. These levels can serve as significant points of interest, S/R, targets, etc., because they mark the zones where there was an increase in buy pressure/position opening.
- Volume Aggregation: You can aggregate volume data from 8 different sources. Make sure to check if volume data is reported in base or quote currency and turn on the RQC (Reported in Quote Currency) function accordingly.
- Other settings mostly include appearance inputs. Read the tooltips for more info.
Percent of U.S. Stocks Above VWAPThis indicator plots a line reflecting the percentage of all U.S. stocks above or below their VWAP for the given candle. Horizontal lines have been placed at 40% (oversold), 50% (mid-line), and 60% (overbought). I recommend using this indicator as a market breadth indicator when trading individual stocks. In my experience, this indicator is best utilized while trading the major indices (SPX, SPY, QQQ, IWM) or their futures (ES, NQ, RTY) in the following manner:
- When the line crosses 50%, a green or red triangle is plotted indicating the majority of market momentum has turned bullish or bearish based on price positioning vs. VWAP. Look for longs when the line is rising (green) or above 50%, or shorts when the line is falling (red) or below 50%.
- When the line is below 40%, indicator shows red shading; I would not be long anything during this period. When the line exits this level, I begin looking for long entries. This line is adjustable in the indicator settings if you prefer to use a tighter or looser oversold level.
- When the line is above 60%, indicator shows green shading; I would not be short anything during this period. When the line exits this level, I begin looking for short entries. This line is adjustable in the indicator settings if you prefer to use a tighter or looser overbought level.
This indicator uses the TradingView ticker “PCTABOVEVWAP.US”, thus it only updates during NY market hours. If trading futures, I recommend applying VWAP to your chart and using that as the level to trade against in a similar manner, along with your personal price action analysis and other indicators you find useful.
Degen Dominator - (Crypto Dominance Tool) - [mutantdog]A fairly simple one this time. Another crypto dominance tool, consider it a sequel to Dominion if you will. Ready to go out-of-the-box with a selection of presets at hand.
The premise is straightforward, rather than viewing the various marketcap dominance indexes as their standard percentage values, here we have them represented as basic oscillators. This allows for multiple indexes to be viewed in one pane and gives a decent overview of their relative changes and thus the flow of capital within the overall crypto market. As a general rule-of-thumb, when a plot is above zero then the dominance is climbing, thus capital is likely flowing in that direction. The inverse applies when below zero. When the market is quiet, all will be close to zero. Basic overbought/oversold conditions can also be inferred too.
Active as default are:
Bitcoin (0range): CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Ethereum (Blue): CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D
Stablecoins (Red): CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D + CRYPTOCAP:USDC.D
Altcoins (Green): 100 - (all of the above)
These are plotted according to the selected oscillator preset and it's length parameter. The default is set to 'EMA Centre'. An optional RMA(3) smoothing filter is also included and active as default. Each index plot has its own colour and opacity settings available on the main page.
Additionally, the following are also available (deactivated as default):
Total DeFi : CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI.D
Current Symbol : Will try to match corresponding dominance index for the chart symbol if available.
Custom Input : Manual text input, will try to match if available.
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The included presets determine the oscillator type used, all are fairly simple and easy to interpret:
EMA Centre
SMA Centre
Median Centre
Midrange Centre
The first 4 are all variations on the same theme, simply calculated as the difference between the actual value and its respective average. EMA is the default and is my personal preference, if you generally favour using an SMA then perhaps that would be your better choice. Like the two MAs, median and midrange are also dependant on the length parameter. Midrange is calculated from the difference between highest and lowest values within the length period, with a little extra smoothing from an RMA(3).
Simple Delta
Weighted Delta
Running Delta
Often referred to as momentum, delta is just change over time. 'Simple' is the most basic of these, the difference between the current value and the value (length) bars prior. A more long-winded way of calculating this would be to take the difference between each bar and its previous then average them with an SMA which results in the same value. 'Weighted' adopts that principle but instead uses a WMA, likewise 'Running' is the same but using an RMA. The latter is actually the basis of RSI calculations before any normalisation is applied, as you can see in the next preset.
RSI
CMO
RSI really should not need explaining, it is however applied a little differently here to the usual, in this case centred around 0. The x100 multiplication factor has been dropped too for the sake of consistency. The same principle applies with CMO, which is basically a 'Simple Delta' version of RSI.
Hard Floor
Soft Floor
These last two are a little different but both can provide useful interpretations. The floor here is simply the lowest value within the chosen length period. 'Hard' plots the difference between the current value and the floor, thus giving a value that is always above 0. In this case, focus should be given to the relative heights of each with a simple interpretation that capital is flowing into those that are climbing and out of those descending. 'Soft' is essentially the same except that the floor is smoothed with an RMA(3), the result being that when new lows are made, the plot will break below 0 before the floor corrects a few bars later. This soft break provides additional information to that given by 'Hard' so is probably the more useful of the two.
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To finish it off, a bunch of preset alerts are included for the various 0 crossings.
So that just about covers everything then, all quite straightforward really. Future updates may include some extra stuff, the composition of the stablecoin index may change if necessary too. While this is not really a tweaker's tool like some of my other projects, there's still some room for experimentation here. The 'current' and 'custom' indexes can provide some useful data for compatible altcoins and the possibility to compare inter-related tokens (eg: Doge vs Shib). While i introduced this as a sort of sequel to Dominion, it is not intended as a replacement but more of a companion. This initially started as a feature intended for that one but it quickly grew into its own thing. Both the oscillator view here and the more traditional view have merits, i personally use this one primarily now but frequently refer to Dominion for confirmations etc.
That's it for now anyway. As always, feedback is welcome below. Enjoy!
Jdawg Sentiment Momentum Oscillator EnhancedThe Jdawg Sentiment Momentum Oscillator Enhanced (JSMO_E) is a versatile technical analysis indicator designed to provide traders with insights into potential trend changes and overbought or oversold market conditions. JSMO_E combines the principles of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), the Simple Moving Average (SMA), and the Rate of Change (ROC) to create a comprehensive tool for assessing market sentiment and momentum.
The uniqueness of JSMO_E lies in its ability to integrate the RSI, SMA of RSI, and ROC of RSI, while also allowing users to customize the weight of the ROC component. This combination of features is not commonly found in other indicators, which increases its distinctiveness.
To effectively use JSMO_E, follow these steps:
Apply the JSMO_E indicator to the price chart of the asset you are analyzing.
Observe the plotted JSMO_E line in relation to the zero line, overbought, and oversold levels.
When the JSMO_E line crosses above the zero line, it may signal the beginning of an uptrend or bullish momentum. Conversely, when the JSMO_E line crosses below the zero line, it may indicate the start of a downtrend or bearish momentum.
Overbought and oversold levels, marked by the red and green dashed lines, respectively, can serve as a warning that a trend reversal may be imminent. When the JSMO_E line reaches or surpasses the overbought level, it might indicate that the asset is overvalued and could experience a price decline. Conversely, when the JSMO_E line reaches or goes below the oversold level, it can signal that the asset is undervalued and may experience a price increase.
Adjust the input parameters (RSI Period, SMA Period, ROC Period, and ROC Weight) as needed to optimize the indicator for the specific market and time frame you are analyzing.
The JSMO_E indicator is suitable for various markets, including stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. However, its effectiveness may vary depending on the market conditions and time frames used. It is recommended to use JSMO_E in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and methods to confirm potential trade setups and improve overall trading performance. Always conduct thorough backtesting and forward-testing before employing any indicator in a live trading environment.
Quad RSRelative Strength (RS) is an Indicator which measures a Stock's performance as compared to a Benchmark Index or another Stock.
For example: RS will tell you whether “A” is increasing more or less than “B” in any market condition. It is one of the tools which is best suited for Momentum Investing.
How RS can be used as a Momentum Indicator:
RS is used in identifying both the strongest and the weakest stock, or any asset class, within the market. Usually, the stocks which display strong or weak RS over a given time period tend to continue to move in the same direction.
How to calculate Relative Strength:
Divide change of "A" over some time period by the change of a particular index/stock "B" over the same time period.
This indicator oscillates around zero. If the value is greater than zero, "A" has been relatively strong compared to "B", during the selected period; if the value is less than zero, "A" has been relatively weak.
Configuration & Default settings:
The Relative symbol can be Input, default is Nifty50.
Time frame can be set, I recommend setting to Day. Default time frame is set to same as chart.
Four different periods can be set. Default values are 500, 250, 125 & 63. If time frame is set as 'Day', these numbers correspond to 2 years, 1 year, 1/2 year & 1 quarter.
Example chart: NiftyMidCap100 with Quad RS indicator with Nifty50 used as Relative Symbol, Four periods: 500, 250, 125 & 63
LNL Simple Hedging ToolLNL Simple Hedging Tool
Simple Hedging Tool was created specifically for swing traders who struggle with hedging. This tool helps to spot the ideal moments to put the hedges on (protection of the portfolio during "high risk" times). Simple Hedging Tool will not help you when day trading. It was designed for the daily charts. It is called simple because it is pretty much self-explanatory indicator. The candles are either blue or yellow. Meaning of the colors depend on the version you are using. This tool consist of two versions:
SPX Version:
This version was designed for indexes & overall market benchmarks. In contrast with the VIX version, the SPX version is little more sophisticated since it is based on key market internals. Blue arrows above the candles? More often than not this is signalizing that the key market internals are now approaching bearish signals which means it is the best time to hedge any bullish positions. On the contrary, the yellow arrows are the good reason to lighten up of the shorts & ease off the gas pedal on any bearish outlooks.
VIX Version:
Apart from the black swan events (big market crashes) Vix usually oscillates between the daily extremes. The VIX version is based on a simple bollinger band technique which is visualized with blue & yellow arrows. Whenever the yellow arrows & candles appear, it is good time to put the hedges on & perhaps lighten up on longs.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:
The signals from this tool WILL NOT TELL YOU where to buy or sell! But rather when is a good time TO NOT buy or TO NOT sell. Once the signals appear it does not necessarily mean that the move is over & reversion willl happen immidiately. These signals can be flashing for days even weeks. They are not flashing for you to change the bias but rather tighten up your exposure in case your portfolio is mostly one sided.
Hope it helps.
Mason’s Line IndicatorThe Macon Strategy is an idea conceived by Didier Darcet , co-founder of Gavekal Intelligence Software. Inspired by the Water Level, an instrument used by masons to check the horizontality or verticality of a wall. This method aims to measure the psychology of financial markets and determine if the market is balanced or tilting towards an unfavorable side, focusing on the behavioral risk of markets rather than economic or political factors.
The strategy examines the satisfaction and frustration of investors based on the distance between the low and high points of the market over a period of one year. Investor satisfaction is influenced by the current price of the index and the path taken to reach that price. The distance to the low point provides satisfaction, while the distance to the high point generates frustration. The balance between the two dictates investors’ desire to hold or sell their positions.
To refine the strategy, it is important to consider the opinion of a group of investors rather than just one individual. The members of a hypothetical investor club invest successively throughout the past year. The overall satisfaction of the market on a given day is a democratic expression of all participants.
If the overall satisfaction is below 50%, investors are frustrated and sell their positions. If it is above, they are satisfied and hold their positions. The position of the group of investors relative to the high and low points represents the position of the air bubble in the water level. Market performance is measured day by day based on participant satisfaction or dissatisfaction.
In conclusion, memory, emotions, and decision-making ability are closely linked, and their interaction influences investment decisions. The Macon Strategy highlights the importance of the behavioral dimension in understanding financial market dynamics. By studying investor behavior through this strategy, it is possible to better anticipate market trends and make more informed investment decisions.
Presentation of the Mason’s Line Indicator:
The main strategy of this indicator is to measure the average satisfaction of investors based on the position of an imaginary air bubble in a tube delimited by the market’s highs and lows over a given period. After calculating the satisfaction level, it is then normalized between 0 and 1, and a moving average can be used to visualize trends.
Key features:
Calculation of highs and lows over a user-defined period.
Determination of the position of the air bubble in the tube based on the closing price.
Calculation of the average satisfaction of investors over a selected period.
Normalization of the average satisfaction between 0 and 1.
Visualization of normalized or non-normalized average satisfaction levels, as well as their corresponding moving averages.
User parameters:
Period for min and max (days) : Sets the period over which highs and lows will be calculated (1 to 365 days).
Period for average satisfaction (days) : Determines the period over which the average satisfaction of investors will be calculated (1 to 365 days).
Period for SMA : Sets the period of the simple moving average used to smooth the data (1 to 1000 days).
Bubble_value : Adjustment of the air bubble value, ranging from 0 to 1, in increments of 0.025.
Normalized average satisfaction : Option to choose whether to display the normalized or non-normalized average satisfaction.
Please note that the Mason’s Line Indicator is not a guarantee of future market performance and should be used in conjunction with proper risk management. Always ensure that you have a thorough understanding of the indicator’s methodology and its limitations before making any investment decisions. Additionally, past performance is not indicative of future results.
Cryptocurrency Market Sentiment v1.0Introduction:
Capable of observing the market sentiment of the cryptocurrency market
The relative status of BTC and altcoins
How it works:
1. The general uptrend process of the cryptocurrency market is BTC → ETH → high-cap altcoins → low-cap altcoins. When funds cannot push up BTC's market cap, funds gradually flow into smaller-cap altcoins until the upward trend ends.
2. Select ETH as the representative of altcoins, and understand the sentiment and current stage
3. Mathematical principle : divide the price of ETH by the price of BTC, and then apply it to the RSI formula .
How to use it:
1. Similar to the RSI indicator , when CMS enters the overbought zone, it represents an active altcoin market, a passionate market sentiment , and the end of the uptrend.
2. When CMS enters the oversold zone, it indicates the leading stage of BTC in the rising trend or the capital flow back to BTC in the declining process .
3. If CMS is at a low level, long positions should focus on altcoins, and short positions should focus on BTC, and vice versa.
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简单介绍:
能够观察加密市场市场情绪
BTC和寨币的相对状态
如何工作:
1、加密市场一般的上涨过程为 BTC → ETH → 大市值山寨 → 小市值山寨,当资金无法推动大市值的BTC上涨时,资金就会逐渐流向市值较小的山寨,直到一轮上涨结束。
2、选取ETH作为altcoins的代表,通过ETH与BTC的关系来了解加密市场的情绪和目前上涨的阶段。
3、数学原理:将ETH的价格/BTC的价格,随后将其带入RSI公式
如何使用:
1、与RSI指标类似,当cms进入超买时,代表寨币市场的活跃,市场情绪热烈,上涨进入尾声。
2、当cms进入超卖时,为上涨中BTC领涨的阶段或下降过程中资金回流BTC。
3、如果cms在低位,做多应关注altcoins,做空应关注btc,反之亦然。
Regular Trading Hour Sessions for America, Asia and EUThis trading view script is a simple one but I find it very helpful in spotting changes in trend of FX.
The basic idea is to create a visual direction from the previous session to the next new session.
The concept while basic provides visual trend direction and changes as session change.
The three sessions are:
1. Asia from 2130-0400
2. Europe from 0300-1130
3. America from 0930-1600
When you use a line chart you will see the default line when no sessions are active.
Features I plan to add
* Tracking delta of each session
* Moving Averages of each session
* Momentum of each session
* Delta difference
My ultimate goal for this script will be to provide a way to visualize the impact of each session and provide data to buy/sell triggers for Trading Strategies.
Please provide feedback and if you use the script or add a feature please update me or send me the feature to add to the script.
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Overview
Equilibrium is a tool designed to measure the buying & selling pressure in the market. It is depicted as a “pressure gauge” that automatically adjusts as new candles are formed, providing a real-time indication of who's on top right now, buyers or sellers?
Background
Supply & demand is considered to be the main driving force of our modern economies, where the interaction between the two parties(sellers & buyers) leads to the determination of the fair price for a given product. Stock markets are no exception, they operate very much based around the idea of supply & demand.
In simple terms, supply refers to the availability of a product, and demand is the willingness of consumers to buy that product at a given price. It is obvious that different vendors may sell the same product at slightly different prices, and similarly, different customers may choose to buy the same product from different vendors at varying prices. The idea is that the price is allowed to fluctuate from time to time, but in a free & fair market, the price will eventually settle down to a value that makes both the parties happy. Such a state is known as the “Price-Equilibrium”, and this process is also referred to as the market mechanism.
This is the basic assumption around which this tool is based, the market is always trying to move towards a state of equilibrium.
Calculations
This tool takes a simplistic approach to estimate the degree of imbalance between buyers & sellers, here’s a brief summary of how the pressure is calculated:
- We compute the total lengths of red & green candles for a given period, i.e. price range multiplied by the volume for that candle.
- Then the distribution of each type of candle is calculated.
- Assuming more red candles denote more selling pressure, and green candles denote buying pressure, the gauge is populated cell by cell.
- As the pressure on one side increases, the intensity of the cell color also increases, signifying the extent to which one side is dominating.
How to use it
- The indicator is designed as a pressure gauge that moves up(vertical alignment) or to the right(horizontal alignment) as the buying pressure increases, and moves down or to the left as the selling pressure increases. How it is to be used & applied, that completely depends on your trading methodology. But, the general idea is that we expect the market to be in a state of equilibrium, and if that is not the case the tool will highlight that, and this is also where the opportunity lies to find suitable trades.
- Just by having an idea about who’s dominating the market currently, a trader can also pick sides wisely. Remember, the market is always striving to come back a state of equilibrium, and a slight imbalance can indicate the current trend, and more importantly, who’s more likely to make the next move.
User Settings
The tool offers some minimal configurations for the end user:
- You can choose to display the actual percentage value in the gauge(Show Text).
- You can adjust colors that denote buyers & sellers.
- You can change the layout of gauge, default is vertical(right side of the screen).
- Last, and most important, you can adjust the number of candles to traverse for calculating the pressure. Default is 50, can go upto 1000.
War TimesPlots US Miltary operations start dates. Will update the script later to include more dates and end dates if there is one.
30 Second Futures Session Open RangeThis indicator displays 30 second opening ranges from Globex, Europe, and RTH sessions.
From the RTH session range, it also displays infinitely generating Price Targets based on a % of the opening range size.
I am retrieving the 30 second data using the new "request.security_lower_tf()" function.
The importance of these levels is based on the idea that when the market opens, algorithms establish their positions within the first 30 seconds.
These areas can also be seen as potential areas of support and resistance throughout the sessions.
Enjoy!
ORB Smart Candle finder [With Volume Candle] with EXTENDOpening Range Breakout (ORB) Smart Candle Finder Indicator - finds first smart candle of the day and make it a label to trade at its higher or lower levels. You can adjust the size of smart candle as well as the Volume levels to detect smart candle.
Big 8 Intraday TICKAt the start of each trading day (0930 EST), this indicator calculates the intraday price difference between open and close for the eight largest market cap stocks (AAPL, AMZN, GOOGLE, META, MSFT, NFLX, NVDA, and TSLA), assigns a +/-1 for each, and then plots the cumulative change. An EMA has been added for smoothing purposes that is set to 5 but can be changed. Please note indicator is best used on lower timeframes (15 min or less) and has no applicability to time frames above 1 hour.
The thought behind this indicator is those eight major stocks drive a majority of intraday price change in indices like SPY and QQQ that are heavily weighted towards these stocks, therefore they should be a leading indicator in price change. You can often catch a move in SPY or QQQ one to two bars (on 1 min chart) ahead of the actual move because you see this indicator moving strong to one direction.
It's not perfect as there are divergences you will see when you compare historical charts, but oftentimes those divergences ultimately lead to significant price swings in the same direction as this indicator, so recommend being on watch to pull the trigger when you see those and price confirms.
You can use this indicator in a few ways:
1. Confirmation that your current trade is in the same direction as this indicator
2. Use the zero cross as a trigger for put or call entry
3. Focusing only on calls/longs if the value is above 0, or only puts/shorts if the value is below zero. Just be sure to keep an eye on reversals.
If you have recommendations on how to improve, let me know and I'll do my best to make changes.
Majors HOD/LODThis simple script detects when the major American sectors — technology ( QQQ ), financials ( XLF ), and healthcare ( XLV ) — are at the high or low of the current day at the same time. This information can be useful to gauge the potential strength or weakness of the trading day. The script uses the security function to pull in data from the three major indices and keeps a running cache of the high and low of the day regardless of the time frame selected.
A small table in the top right corner displays the current status of the major sectors. The display table can read:
"Mixed" - Major sectors are not at the high or low of the day at the same time
"Majors @ HOD" - Major sectors are at the high of day at the same time
"Majors @ LOD" - Major sectors are at the low of the day at the same time
Labels (optional) show past moments when the major sectors were at the high or low of the day at the same time. A green label above a candle indicates major sectors were at the high of the day at the same time, and a red label below a candle indicates major sectors were at the low of the day at the same time. These labels can be toggled on or off in the indicator settings.
To receive an alert when either condition happens (all majors at high of day or all majors at low of day), click the more (...) icon next to the indicator settings button and click "Add alert on Majors HOD/LOD".
If you notice any problems with the script, feel free to DM me.
Recession Warning Traffic LightThis is an indicator that uses 6 different metrics to determine the combined probability of a recession and compares the high probability warning periods against actual historical periods of recession.
GREEN tells us that the referenced recession indicators are not exhibiting any warning. Observe the long stretches of “all-green” in between recessionary periods in the chart above.
RED will show a full-on warning level for that particular recession indicator, signaling that monitoring of this sector is clearly showing a problem – which has in the past, reliably exhibited itself as a forewarning of recessions.
Adding green and red together can help determine a combined probability of recession.
IMPORTANT: Your chart should be on 1d and set to SPX , DJI ,or NDQ indices
Precious metals: This indicator calculates the relative prices of Gold & rhodium. Gold is a flight-to-quality asset. Rhodium is the rarest of precious industrial metals and prices spike when the economy is heating up. In front of a recession, the upper relative movement of rhodium precedes gold.
Stock markets: This indicator compares closing prices to growth rate curves of the SPX. This indication is the noisiest but tells us very well when the recession has ended. Stock market indices, which respond to “smart money” moving out of markets when the other indicators begin to warn of recession, or when markets become overheated and rise to historically unsustainable levels.
Yield curve: This indicator compares the 3m & 10y treasuries and detects yield curve inversions. Interest rates are controlled by the Federal Reserve and by the purchasers in the Federal Treasury auction markets, which together create the treasury yield curve. This inversion is the most reliable recession indicator. These happen during a flight to quality.
Federal Reserve: This indicator measures GDP and detects contraction which is technically a recession. This is usually one of the last indicators to enter a Warning state, and it could be 6 months delayed simply confirming what may have already been projected.
Money Supply. This indicator measures the M2 money supply, which typically grows about 1% per calendar quarter. When this shrinks, it's tapping the brakes on the economy. This can also lead to yield curve inversion. This is also a measure of inflation and its effects on the aggregate money supply (liquid capital) available for short-term economic activity, or which can be directed into the purchase of long-term, less liquid assets.
Leading Economic factors: There is a whole basket of leading economic indicators that, as collections, reflect overall growth or contraction of economic activity. These indicators include measures of level and growth in productivity, employment, housing, consumer confidence, industrial purchasing confidence, and much more. These indicators may or may not be detached from the broader economy, and often provide up to 6 months of foresight. For more information please visit www.conference-board.org
Actual Recession: Central Bank indicators are published by the Federal Reserve and reflect their own analysis of national and regional economic health, as well as their calculations of the likelihood of a recession. The Federal Reserve has a recession ticker which is used to plot periods of actual recessions on this indicator for comparison.
TICK - Custom Tickers [Pt]Traditionally, the TICK index is a technical analysis indicator that shows the difference in the number of stocks that are trading on an uptick vs a downtick in a particular period of time. This indicator allows user to choose up to 40 tickers to calculate TICK.
By default, it uses the SPY Top 40 stocks, but can be changed to any tickers.
There are options to show:
- Top 7 , ie. can be used for just showing TICK for FAANGMT => $FB + $AMZN + $AAPL + $NFLX + $GOOG + $MSFT + $TSLA
- Top 10
- Top 20
- Top 30
- Top 40
Data can be displayed in candle bars, line, or both.
Enjoy~
BTC / DXY, BTC / US10Y
The combination of the DXY and US02Y can be used to gauge market sentiment and assess the state of the global economy.
When the DXY is rising, it indicates that the U.S. dollar is strengthening relative to other currencies, which can lead to increased risk aversion among investors as the U.S. dollar is often seen as a safe-haven currency.
When the US02Y is rising, it suggests that market expectations for future inflation and interest rate increases are increasing, which can lead to a decrease in the value of riskier assets such as stocks.
In general, the combination of the DXY and US02Y can provide important information on the direction of global market trends and the state of the economy, and as such, they are important indicators to consider when making investment decisions.
True Range MomentumThe indicator calculates the momentum of bullish and bearish based on the average true range and the highest highs and lowest lows of the historical price.
The indicator displays the strength for either taking a long position, or a short position.
The simplest way to use the indicator is to take a long position when the M+ line crosses above the 0 line. Similarly, to short, the M- line should cross above the 0 line. The exit would be when the respective line crosses below the 0 line.
The contrarian traders should wait for the lines to start rising towards the 0 line and taking an exit. In essence, the line should be going from negative to 0.
The greater the divergence between the M+ and M-, the stronger the trend.
The small table of Long and Short suggests what is in strength. A 100 will show a strong trend in the respective direction. It will be 50-50 when there is no clear direction, ideally identifying a consolidation range.
Balance of Force Day of the Week (BOFDW)The script is a custom technical indicator for TradingView that is based on an analysis of the price movements of a financial instrument over the course of a week. The indicator uses a variety of inputs, including the open and close prices for each day of the week, to determine the "BOF" (BOF) for each day.
The BOF is calculated based on the relative magnitude of bullish and bearish price movements and is then used to determine the average BOF over a moving window of data points. This average BOF is displayed on the chart as an overlay, providing a measure of the average bullishness or bearishness of the financial instrument over the course of a week.
The indicator also allows users to specify the location of the overlay on the chart and to customize the appearance of the overlay with options for text and box colors. The script provides a number of built-in options for chart position, including the top-left, top-middle, top-right, middle-left, middle-center, middle-right, bottom-left, bottom-middle, and bottom-right corners of the chart.
Overall, this custom technical indicator is a useful tool for traders and investors who are looking to gain a deeper understanding of the price trends of a financial instrument over the course of a week. By providing a clear and concise measure of the average POF over time, the indicator can help users identify key patterns in the market and make more informed trading decisions.