Price Distance RatioThis study plots the ratio between current price and the price N days ago.
With N input that is configurable, users can find optimal long/short entries when price is in an established trend and price has diverge far from a given local peak or all time high.
With many years of stock trading the analysis indicates a connection between the distance of price and subsequent returns.
Portfolios of stocks with lower price to local highes ratios generally underperformed portfolios of stocks with higher prices to peaks reached similar N days ago.
The highest returns to previous peak are recorded when buying at the biggest dip.
For example, the purchase at 20% drawdown could generate 25% when price returns to the peak. The purchase at 50% drawdown could generate bigger, i.e. 100% return, when price returns to the peak. And the purchase at 90% drawdown could generate much bigger, i.e. 900% return, in a case the price returns to the peak.
However, buying very far below local peaks on almost all holding periods produces lower CAGR returns because of "timing adjustment". In simple words, typically the drawdown takes less time vs. further recovery.
For example:
👉 The largest BTC drawdown in 2013-2015 took 410 days (Peak-to-Valley) . And the recovery of BTC to new highs took 771 days (Valley-to-Peak) after that.
👉 The 3rd longest drawdown in BTC took 363 days (observed from December 17, 2017 to December 15, 2018). And further recovery in BTC to its new high took almost two years - 716 days .
👉The 4th longest drawdown in BTC took 162 days (observed from June 08, 2011 to November 17, 2011). And further recovery in BTC to its new high took more than a year - 469 days .
The concept of this study could recognizes at least 4 different modes of action.
👉 In a clearly established upward trend traders should be buying (following the trend) when Ratio is above 100% and reducing the size when Ratio turns below 100%.
👉 Conversely, in a clearly established downward trend traders should be shorted when Ratio is below 100% and covering when the Ratio turns back to 100%.
👉 In a sideways movement traders are advised to wait carefully if the Ratio near 100% for a long time, and take a position the trend is clear.
👉 Chartists can analyze the dynamic of the indicator - both in terms of trends and overall level. For example as it shown at the chart.
The understading of the study and rules of "timing adjustments" could genarate the awesome opportunities for stock options traders also, with strategies of selling uncovered call options and vertical call spreads.
// Many thanks to @HPotter and @Wheeelman wizards for their continious support and assistance.
SPX (S&P 500 Index)
SPX Expected MoveThis indicator plots the "expected move" of SPX for today's trading session. Expected move is the amount that SPX is predicted to increase or decrease from its current price, based on the current level of implied volatility. The implied volatility in this indicator is computed from the current value of the VIX (or one of several volatility symbols available on Trading view). The computation is done using standard formula. The resulting plots are labeled as 1 and 2 standard deviations. The default values are to use VIX as well as 252 trading days in the years.
Use the square root of (days to expiration, or in this case a fraction of the day remaining) divided but the square root of (252, or number of trading days in a year).
timeRemaining = math.sqrt(DTE) / math.sqrt(252)
Standard deviation move = SPX bar closing price * (VIX/100) * timeRemaining
ILM CFTC COT Legacy PlotUse this indicator on Daily Timeframe
Please refer to the below link for CFTC Disaggregated COT
www.cftc.gov
This script is very similar to COT Financial Plot indicator except that it plots the data for Futures in Legacy buckets Commercial vs. Non-Commercial
Volatility Inverse Correlation CandleThis is an educational tool that can help you find direct or inverse relations between two assets.
In this case I am using VIX and SPX .
The way it works is the next one :
So I am looking at the current open value of VIX in comparison with the previous close ( if it either above or below) and after on the SPX I am looking into the history and see for example which type of candle we had in respect with the opening value from VIX .
So for example, lets imagine that today is monday, and the weekly open value from VIX was higher than previous friday close value. Now I am going to see with the inverse correlation , if based on this idea, the current weekly candle from SPX finished in a bear candle.
The same can be applied for the bearish situation, so if we had an open from VIX lower than previous close, we are looking to check the SPX bull candle accuracy.
At the same time, for a different type of calculation I have added an internal lookup into heikin ashi values.
If you have any questions please let me know !
Top 40 constituents of S&P 500 IndexDisplays real-time candles of top 40 constituents of S&P 500 Index ( TVC:SPX ) for a given time frame, side-by-side. This gives an overall idea of breadth and depth of market movements in the time-frame.
Please note that, this is not a standard chart rendered bar-wise and may take time to load as it requests multiple securities. You could modify the contents, from settings, to include stocks from your portfolio or indices of different sectors.
ILM COT Financial Table - CFTCUse this indicator on Daily Timeframe
Please refer to the below link for CFTC Financials
www.cftc.gov
This script shows the Financial COT for the respective instrument by deriving the CFTC code.
Option is provided to override the CFTC code
User can also configure the historical CFTC data view
The script calculates the Long% vs Short% for various categories (Dealers/Asset Managers/Leveraged Funds/Other Reportables) and color codes the column appropriately.
The goal of this script is to show all the financial CFTC data on a single page to digest the data better in a tabular form
Fixed the default TradingView Library which has some errors with CFTC code mapping.
For example, SPX CFTC Code #13874+ which is the most important one where big players take positions is not there in the default Library.
Seasonality - Session Performance - Morning Afternoon EveningUse this indicator on Intraday Timeframe. Higher the timeframe, more the data
This script calculates the performance of an instrument for different sessions.
Session inputs can be updated to study performance of
- Morning vs Afternoon vs Evening
- Pre-Market vs Market vs Post-Market (provided the data feed supports pre and post market)
- Overnight vs Intraday
Three session inputs are provided to tweak the session range
Performance is calculated as session close / session open - 1
Session timeframes can be set for various countries. Make sure the session timeframe aligns with the Candle open/close for the timeframe you choose. Some examples below
US Markets: 0930-1130 1130-1430 1430-1630 Timeframe 1 hour
India Markets: 0915-1030 1030-1415 1415-15:30 Timeframe 75min
Seasonality Overnight Gaps - Tabular Form Use this indicator on Daily Timeframe
This script calculates the overnight gaps above a specific threshold (that can be set through input parameters) and displays the data in a tabular form with Year in the rows and the day of the week in the columns.
Also a summary row is displayed at the bottom for day of the week.
Detailed Gap info is displayed as tooltip for the cell data
Gap - Open should be outside the previous day's Open and Close
Gap % - open/prev. close - 1 if Gap is there
ILM Overnight vs Intraday Performance - Tabular FormUse this indicator on Daily Timeframe
This script compares Overnight vs Intraday Performance based on the Day of the Week (DOW) - Sun - Sat of index/stock/currency/commodity symbols.
ON column indicates Overnight performance = open/close -1
ID column indicates Intraday performance = close-open/1
The calculations are detailed in the tooltips of the individual table cells.
Seasonality DOW - Day Of the Week - Tabular FormUse this indicator on Daily Timeframe
This indicator displays the seasonality data for any instrument (index/stock/ futures /currency) in a tabular data by day of the week - DOW ( Sun - Mon - Tue - Wed - Thu - Fri - Sat ).
User can change the start of the year for analysis from the inputs.
Year is represented in rows and Day of the week (DOW) is represented in cols.
This indicator uses Daily Data feed to calculate the % change
Summary data for DOW displayed as the last row
Dealar VIX Implied Range + Retracement LevelsThis Implied range Is derived by the VIX(1 sd annual +/- Implied move.)
This Indicator plots the daily Implied range, A lot of quantitative trading firms/ MM firms hedge their delta & gamma exposure around the Implied range(prop calc). I have added retracement levels as well, so you have more pivot levels.
Enjoy!
Hussarya compare DJI SPX BTCScript shows relations between DJI downJones SPX and BTC:USD.
DJI chart must be set from candlestick to line
Red line is price (close). x 8
Green line ist te price BTCUSD from Binance price (close) x 1.5
SPX Fair Value BandsThese are based on Darius Dale and Max Anderson's Net Liquidity model.
This is intended for use with the $SPX chart.
Balance of Power Heikin Ashi Investing Strategy Balance of Power Heikin Ashi Investing Strategy
This is a swing strategy designed for investment help.
Its made around the Balace of Power indicator, but has been adapted on using the Monthly Heikin Ashi candle from the SPY asset in order to be used with correlation for US Stock/ETF/Index Markets.
The BOP acts as an oscilallator showing the power of a bull trend when its positive and a bearish trend when its in negative. At the same time we can spot reversals, based on the percentiles ( 99/1)
The rules for entry :
For long : The 99 percentile is ascending, and we are either in a positive value (>0), or we crossed the bottom place ( -0.35)
For short : the 99 and 1 percentile are descending, and we are either in a negative value(<0), or we crossed down the top place ( 0.6)
If you have any questions please let me know !
Stock Gaps SPY Correlation StrategyThis is daytrade stock strategy, designed to take the best out of the daily gaps that are forming between the close of previous day and opening of present day.
At the same time its logic has been adapted for SPY chart, in order to use correlation with the other stocks/assets/ etf which are linked with SP500 movement.
Lastly it has been added 2 new confirmation logics, based on the USI: advance/decline chart and percentage above vwap among all US stocks.
The rules for entry are simple :
We are at the opening daily candle, we have a long/short gap based on where the opening is happening and at the same time we are checking to see that the current different between the current difference between low and previous high (or viceversa) is higher than an established parameter(minimal deviation )
For exit, we exit based on time/clock parameter, in this case by default I selected 1h and half before close of the US session.
For testing purposes I have used 10% of the available capital, with a 0.0035$ comission per each share bought ( IBKR comissions)
If there are any questions, please let me know either here or in private !
VWAP Push StrategyThis strategy is unfortunately not finished yet.
A pretty simple strategy. If price broke through VWAP and had three consecutive candles following the breakthroughs trend, the high of the third candle will be drawn. If this happened after a crossover of the vwap and price breaks through the high of the third candle, strategy will go long. Short will be the same after crossing under the vwap. A long or short will be closed after crossing the vwap in the opposite direction, so the vwap is kind of a trailing stop.
Unfortunately, I could not manage to stop the script from entering multiple times into one drawn high or low. Of course, if a high was crossed the script should wait for a new formed high before entering a new long. If someone would find a solution to this, it would be great, because I think it is a nice strategy .
Should work great scalping 5min charts (when scripting, I used the SPX for reference).
Swing Trading SPX CorrelationThis is a long timeframe script designed to benefit from the correlation with the Percentage of stocks Above 200 moving average from SPX
At the same time with this percentage we are creating a weighted moving average to smooth its accuracy.
The rules are simple :
If the moving average is increasing its a long signal/short exit
If the moving average is decreased its a short signal/long exit.
Curently the strategy has been adapted for long only entries.
If you have any questions let me know !
Compare ticker against SPX - yoyo This script is built on a request of one of the best trader yoyo. The script compares the performance of a tickers against SPX.
The script gives user option to override default SPX ticker to a ticker of their choice using settings.
The script does a % change comparison against base stock which is SPX by default for same timeframes and you can see relativity of stock to the other.
It also does plot a line that shows any divergence.
PuetzUWS [time, price] multiFractal mirrors, SPX 1872-2020This script is simply provided because a few rare people may actually be able to use one or two coding ideas. It is not possible to provide useful (description, explanation)s here. Maybe you can find those with a webSearch. If anybody is interested in the basic concept, just copy the code and run with it.
As the original was in violation of PineScript rules, I've removed many links, including :
- documentation of my code
- external sources of code
- blog solutions to Pine script programming
- math, science references, people
Hopefully it will won't be rejected this time, if so, too bad. I only made it through 10% of the conceptual objectives, and I do not believe any of the rest of the concepts are do-able in Pine Script. The current coding is (incomplete, unstable) but does give a faint idea of my "first step" intents. I have stopped all work, as I have to get back to my real projects (nothing to do with markets).
Infiten Slope StrategyThis model is an index fund trading model, which uses moving averages and price percentage oscillators to minimize downside exposure.
Volatility Calculator for Daily Top and Bottom RangeWith the usage of ATR, applied on the close of the daily candle, I am calculated the volatility channels for the TOP and BOTTOM
Based on this logic, we can estimate, with a huge confidence factor, where the prices are going to be compressed for the trading day.
Having said that, lets take a look at the data gathered among the most important financial markets:
SPX
TOP CROSSES : 2116
BOT CROSSES : 1954
Total Daily Candles : 18908
Occurance ratio = 0.215
NDX
TOP CROSSES : 1212
BOT CROSSES : 1183
Total Daily Candles : 9386
Occurance ratio = 0.255
DIA
TOP CROSSES : 759
BOT CROSSES : 769
Total Daily Candles : 6109
Occurance ratio = 0.25
DXY
TOP CROSSES : 1597
BOT CROSSES : 1598
Total Daily Candles : 13156
Occurance ratio = 0.243
DAX
TOP CROSSES : 1878
BOT CROSSES : 1848
Total Daily Candles : 13155
Occurance ratio = 0.283
BTC USD
TOP CROSSES : 416
BOT CROSSES : 417
Total Daily Candles : 4290
Occurance ratio = 0.194
ETH USD
TOP CROSSES : 247
BOT CROSSES : 268
Total Daily Candles : 2452
Occurance ratio = 0.21
EUR USD
TOP CROSSES : 820
BOT CROSSES : 805
Total Daily Candles : 7489
Occurance ratio = 0.217
GOLD
TOP CROSSES : 1722
BOT CROSSES : 1569
Total Daily Candles : 13747
Occurance ratio = 0.239
USOIL
TOP CROSSES : 1077
BOT CROSSES : 1089
Total Daily Candles : 10231
Occurance ratio = 0.212
US 10Y
TOP CROSSES : 1302
BOT CROSSES : 1365
Total Daily Candles : 9075
Occurance ratio = 0.294
Based on this, we can assume with a very high confidence ( 70-80%) that the market is going to stay, within the range created from the BOT and TOP ATR points.
PClose Levels 2.0This script plots the levels generated via a combination of SPX 2Y Quartiles for everyday, red days, and green days. It is intended for use solely with SPX.
These quartiles are also sorted by VIX averages into bands that expand and contract with VIX.
It gives us an idea of what levels to potentially expect resistance/support fairly well, but is designed to be used in conjunction with other indicators and macroeconomic information.
Green Dashed is your Expected Max Range (EMR+) based on Green Day averages.
Green Dotted is your Expected Range (ER+) based on full dataset averages.
Green solid lines are POS2 and POS1, based on Green Day averages.
White Dotted is your Expected Move (EM), based on full dataset averages.
Red solid lines are NEG1 and NEG2, based on Red Day averages.
Red Dotted is your Expected Range (ER-) based on full dataset averages.
Red Dashed is your Expected Max Range (EMR-) based on Red Day averages.
S&P Sector Advance/Decline Weighted -Tom1traderEnjoy, enhance your trading (I hope), copy or adapt to your needs and keep smiling!
Thanks to @MartinShkreli. The sector variables and the "repaint" option (approx lines 20 through 32 of this script) are used directly from your script "Sectors"
RECOMMENDATION: Update the sector weightings -inputs are provided. They change as often as monthly and the
annual changes are certainly significant. When updating weighting percentages use the decimal value. I.E. 29% is .29
Good on any time frame. Especially SPY, SPX and ES scalpers and 0DTE options traders may like this a lot.
This gives good signals on S & P and related (ES, SPY) and indicates / plots differently than the AD line or ratio.
Each sector's entire % weight is added or subtracted depending of whether that sector advanced or declined.
Example: Information Tech weight at 29% so that % of 500 (145) is added if InfoTech is up a penny and subtracted if it is
down a penny. All sectors processed the same way so that for a given bar/candle the value will be between +500 (all
sectors up) and -500 (all sectors down). This weighted AD line of sectors is scaled to +/- 350 and plotted as a red/green line
along with aqua/fuchsia columns of its 5 period ema. The line is actual sector behavior and the columns seem to make a
good signal with column zero crosses standing out.
The columns aqua / fuchsia are a 5 period ema of the Sector AD line and give pretty good signals at
zero cross for SPX. I colored the AD red green line also to emphasize the times it opposes the ema
for example the histo/colums zero cross signal is NOT true when the AD line is showing all or most sectors
going the other way.
For readability, the AD line itself is scaled to 350. This lets the columns of the ema stand out better. The hlines at
350 and at 175 give an idea for the AD green red line how much of the sector's weight is up or down.
350 is all sectors up (advancing) and -350 is all sectors down (declining). The hlines at +/- 175 seem to outline
a more or less "neutral" zone. For example in an uptrend with most of the AD level positive and the columns positive;
a negative spike that does not pass the -175 line and returns positive does not seem to impact the price as much as
a deeper negative spike.
