Ichimoku Theories [LuxAlgo]The Ichimoku Theories indicator is the most complete Ichimoku tool you will ever need. Four tools combined into one to harness all the power of Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō.
This tool features the following concepts based on the work of Goichi Hosoda:
Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō: Original Ichimoku indicator with its five main lines and kumo.
Time Theory: automatic time cycle identification and forecasting to understand market timing.
Wave Theory: automatic wave identification to understand market structure.
Price Theory: automatic identification of developing N waves and possible price targets to understand future price behavior.
🔶 ICHIMOKU KINKŌ HYŌ
Ichimoku with lines only, Kumo only and both together
Let us start with the basics: the Ichimoku original indicator is a tool to understand the market, not to predict it, it is a trend-following tool, so it is best used in trending markets.
Ichimoku tells us what is happening in the market and what may happen next, the aim of the tool is to provide market understanding, not trading signals.
The tool is based on calculating the mid-point between the high and low of three pre-defined ranges as the equilibrium price for short (9 periods), medium (26 periods), and long (52 periods) time horizons:
Tenkan sen: middle point of the range of the last 9 candles
Kinjun sen: middle point of the range of the last 26 candles
Senkou span A: middle point between Tankan Sen and Kijun Sen, plotted 26 candles into the future
Senkou span B: midpoint of the range of the last 52 candles, plotted 26 candles into the future
Chikou span: closing price plotted 26 candles into the past
Kumo: area between Senkou pans A and B (kumo means cloud in Japanese)
The most basic use of the tool is to use the Kumo as an area of possible support or resistance.
🔶 TIME THEORY
Current cycles and forecast
Time theory is a critical concept used to identify historical and current market cycles, and use these to forecast the next ones. This concept is based on the Kihon Suchi (translating to "Basic Numbers" in Japanese), these are 9 and 26, and from their combinations we obtain the following sequence:
9, 17, 26, 33, 42, 51, 65, 76, 129, 172, 200, 257
The main idea is that the market moves in cycles with periods set by the Kihon Suchi sequence.
When the cycle has the same exact periods, we obtain the Taito Suchi (translating to "Same Number" in Japanese).
This tool allows traders to identify historical and current market cycles and forecast the next one.
🔹 Time Cycle Identification
Presentation of 4 different modes: SWINGS, HIGHS, KINJUN, and WAVES .
The tool draws a horizontal line at the bottom of the chart showing the cycles detected and their size.
The following settings are used:
Time Cycle Mode: up to 7 different modes
Wave Cycle: Which wave to use when WAVE mode is selected, only active waves in the Wave Theory settings will be used.
Show Time Cycles: keep a cleaner chart by disabling cycles visualisation
Show last X time cycles: how many cycles to display
🔹 Time Cycle Forecast
Showcasing the two forecasting patterns: Kihon Suchi and Taito Suchi
The tool plots horizontal lines, a solid anchor line, and several dotted forecast lines.
The following settings are used:
Show time cycle forecast: to keep things clean
Forecast Pattern: comes in two flavors
Kihon Suchi plots a line from the anchor at each number in the Kihon Suchi sequence.
Taito Suchi plot lines from the anchor with the same size detected in the anchored cycle
Anchor forecast on last X time cycle: traders can place the anchor in any detected cycle
🔶 WAVE THEORY
All waves activated with overlapping
The main idea behind this theory is that markets move like waves in the sea, back and forth (making swing lows and highs). Understanding the current market structure is key to having realistic expectations of what the market may do next. The waves are divided into Simple and Complex.
The following settings are used:
Basic Waves: allows traders to activate waves I, V and N
Complex Waves: allows traders to activate waves P, Y and W
Overlapping waves: to avoid missing out on any of the waves activated
Show last X waves: how many waves will be displayed
🔹 Basic Waves
The three basic waves
The basic waves from which all waves are made are I, V, and N
I wave: one leg moves
V wave: two legs move, one against the other
N wave: Three legs move, push, pull back, and another push
🔹 Complex Waves
Three complex waves
There are other waves like
P wave: contracting market
Y wave: expanding market
W wave: double top or double bottom
🔶 PRICE THEORY
All targets for the current N wave with their calculations
This theory is based on identifying developing N waves and predicting potential price targets based on that developing wave.
The tool displays 4 basic targets (V, E, N, and NT) and 3 extended targets (2E and 3E) according to the calculations shown in the chart above. Traders can enable or disable each target in the settings panel.
🔶 USING EVERYTHING TOGETHER
Please DON'T do this. This is not how you use it
Now the real example:
Daily chart of Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ1!) with our Ichimoku analysis
Time, waves, and price theories go together as one:
First, we identify the current time cycles and wave structure.
Then we forecast the next cycle and possible key price levels.
We identify a Taito Suchi with both legs of exactly 41 candles on each I wave, both together forming a V wave, the last two I waves are part of a developing N wave, and the time cycle of the first one is 191 candles. We forecast this cycle into the future and get 22nd April as a key date, so in 6 trading days (as of this writing) the market would have completed another Taito Suchi pattern if a new wave and time cycle starts. As we have a developing N wave we can see the potential price targets, the price is actually between the NT and V targets. We have a bullish Kumo and the price is touching it, if this Kumo provides enough support for the price to go further, the market could reach N or E targets.
So we have identified the cycle and wave, our expectations are that the current cycle is another Taito Suchi and the current wave is an N wave, the first I wave went for 191 candles, and we expect the second and third I waves together to amount to 191 candles, so in theory the N wave would complete in the next 6 trading days making a swing high. If this is indeed the case, the price could reach the V target (it is almost there) or even the N target if the bulls have the necessary strength.
We do not predict the future, we can only aim to understand the current market conditions and have future expectations of when (time), how (wave), and where (price) the market will make the next turning point where one side of the market overcomes the other (bulls vs bears).
To generate this chart, we change the following settings from the default ones:
Swing length: 64
Show lines: disabled
Forecast pattern: TAITO SUCHI
Anchor forecast: 2
Show last time cycles: 5
I WAVE: enabled
N WAVE: disabled
Show last waves: 5
🔶 SETTINGS
Show Swing Highs & Lows: Enable/Disable points on swing highs and swing lows.
Swing Length: Number of candles to confirm a swing high or swing low. A higher number detects larger swings.
🔹 Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō
Show Lines: Enable/Disable the 5 Ichimoku lines: Kijun sen, Tenkan sen, Senkou span A & B and Chikou Span.
Show Kumo: Enable/Disable the Kumo (cloud). The Kumo is formed by 2 lines: Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B.
Tenkan Sen Length: Number of candles for Tenkan Sen calculation.
Kinjun Sen Length: Number of candles for the Kijun Sen calculation.
Senkou Span B Length: Number of candles for Senkou Span B calculation.
Chikou & Senkou Offset: Number of candles for Chikou and Senkou Span calculation. Chikou Span is plotted in the past, and Senkou Span A & B in the future.
🔹 Time Theory
Show Time Cycle Forecast: Enable/Disable time cycle forecast vertical lines. Disable for better performance.
Forecast Pattern: Choose between two patterns: Kihon Suchi (basic numbers) or Taito Suchi (equal numbers).
Anchor forecast on last X time cycle: Number of time cycles in the past to anchor the time cycle forecast. The larger the number, the deeper in the past the anchor will be.
Time Cycle Mode: Choose from 7 time cycle detection modes: Tenkan Sen cross, Kijun Sen cross, Kumo change between bullish & bearish, swing highs only, swing lows only, both swing highs & lows and wave detection.
Wave Cycle: Choose which type of wave to detect from 6 different wave types when the time cycle mode is set to WAVES.
Show Time Cycles: Enable/Disable time cycle horizontal lines. Disable for better performance.
how last X time cycles: Maximum number of time cycles to display.
🔹 Wave Theory
Basic Waves: Enable/Disable the display of basic waves, all at once or one at a time. Disable for better performance.
Complex Waves: Enable/Disable complex wave display, all at once or one by one. Disable for better performance.
Overlapping Waves: Enable/Disable the display of waves ending on the same swing point.
Show last X waves: 'Maximum number of waves to display.
🔹 Price Theory
Basic Targets: Enable/Disable horizontal price target lines. Disable for better performance.
Extended Targets: Enable/Disable extended price target horizontal lines. Disable for better performance.
Wavetheory
Elliott Wave with Supertrend Exit - Strategy [presentTrading]## Introduction and How it is Different
The Elliott Wave with Supertrend Exit provides automated detection and validation of Elliott Wave patterns for algorithmic trading. It is designed to objectively identify high-probability wave formations and signal entries based on confirmed impulsive and corrective patterns.
* The Elliott part is mostly referenced from Elliott Wave by @LuxAlgo
Key advantages compared to discretionary Elliott Wave analysis:
- Wave Labeling and Counting: The strategy programmatically identifies swing pivot highs/lows with the Zigzag indicator and analyzes the waves between them. It labels the potential impulsive and corrective patterns as they form. This removes the subjectivity of manual wave counting.
- Pattern Validation: A rules-based engine confirms valid impulsive and corrective patterns by checking relative size relationships and fib ratios. Only confirmed wave counts are plotted and traded.
- Objective Entry Signals: Trades are entered systematically on the start of new impulsive waves in the direction of the trend. Pattern failures invalidate setups and stop out positions.
- Automated Trade Management: The strategy defines specific rules for profit targets at fib extensions, trailing stops at swing points, and exits on Supertrend reversals. This automates the entire trade lifecycle.
- Adaptability: The waveform recognition engine can be tuned by adjusting parameters like Zigzag depth and Supertrend settings. It adapts to evolving market conditions.
ETH 1hr chart
In summary, the strategy brings automation, objectivity and adaptability to Elliott Wave trading - removing subjective interpretation errors and emotional trading biases. It implements a rules-based, algorithmic approach for systematically trading Elliott Wave patterns across markets and timeframes.
## Trading Logic and Rules
The strategy follows specific trading rules based on the detected and validated Elliott Wave patterns.
Entry Rules
- Long entry when a new impulsive bullish (5-wave) pattern forms
- Short entry when a new impulsive bearish (5-wave) pattern forms
The key is entering on the start of a new potential trend wave rather than chasing.
Exit Rules
- Invalidation of wave pattern stops out the trade
- Close long trades on Supertrend downturn
- Close short trades on Supertrend upturn
- Use a stop loss of 10% of entry price (configurable)
Trade Management
- Scale out partial profits at Fibonacci levels
- Move stop to breakeven when price reaches 1.618 extension
- Trail stops below key swing points
- Target exits at next Fibonacci projection level
Risk Management
- Use stop losses on all trades
- Trade only highest probability setups
- Size positions according to chart timeframe
- Avoid overtrading when no clear patterns emerge
## Strategy - How it Works
The core logic follows these steps:
1. Find swing highs/lows with Zigzag indicator
2. Analyze pivot points to detect impulsive 5-wave patterns:
- Waves 1, 3, and 5 should not overlap
- Waves 3 and 5 must be longer than wave 1
- Confirm relative size relationships between waves
3. Validate corrective 3-wave patterns:
- Look for overlapping, choppy waves that retrace the prior impulsive wave
4. Plot validated waves and Fibonacci retracement levels
5. Signal entries when a new impulsive wave pattern forms
6. Manage exits based on pattern failures and Supertrend reversals
Impulsive Wave Validation
The strategy checks relative size relationships to confirm valid impulsive waves.
For uptrends, it ensures:
```
Copy code- Wave 3 is longer than wave 1
- Wave 5 is longer than wave 2
- Waves do not overlap
```
Corrective Wave Validation
The strategy identifies overlapping corrective patterns that retrace the prior impulsive wave within Fibonacci levels.
Pattern Failure Invalidation
If waves fail validation tests, the strategy invalidates the pattern and stops signaling trades.
## Trade Direction
The strategy detects impulsive and corrective patterns in both uptrends and downtrends. Entries are signaled in the direction of the validated wave pattern.
## Usage
- Use on charts showing clear Elliott Wave patterns
- Start with daily or weekly timeframes to gauge overall trend
- Optimize Zigzag and Supertrend settings as needed
- Consider combining with other indicators for confirmation
## Default Settings
- Zigzag Length: 4 bars
- Supertrend Length: 10 bars
- Supertrend Multiplier: 3
- Stop Loss: 10% of entry price
- Trading Direction: Both
Wavechart v2 ##Wave Chart v2##
For analyzing Neo-wave theory
Plot the market's highs and lows in real-time order.
Then connect the highs and lows
with a diagonal line. Next, the last plot of one day (or bar) is connected with a straight line to the
first plot of the next day (or bar).
Musashi_Katana=== Musashi-Katana ===
This tool was designed to fit my particular trading style and personal theories about the "Alchemy of the markets" and ''Harmonic Structure'.
Context
When following a Technical approach to to surf the markets, there are teachings that must be understood before reaching a confort-zone, this usually happen the possible worst way by constant experimentation, it hurts.
Here few technical hints:
- Align High timeframes with lower timeframes:
This simple concept relax a lot complexity of finding of a trend bias. Musashi-Katana allows you to use technical indicator corresponding to specific timeframes, like daily weekly or yearly. They wont change when you change the chart's timeframe, its very useful as you know where you're standing in the long term, Its quite relaxing.
- Use volume:
The constant usage of volume will allow you to sync with the market's breathing. This shows you the mass of money flowing into and out of the market, is key if you want to understand momentum. This tool can help here, as it have multi-period vwaps. You can use yearly, monthly for swing trading, and even weekly if you enjoy scalping.
Useful stuff:
- You have access to baselines, AMA and Kijun-sen with the possibility of adding ATR bands.
- AMAs come as two lines strategies for different approaches, fast medium or slow.
- You can experiment with normal and multi timeframe moving averages and other trend tools.
Final Note
If used correctly Musashi-Katana is a very powerful tool, which makes no sense as there is no correct usage. Don't add everything at the same time, experiment, combine stuff, every market is different.
Backtest every possible strategy before using it, see what works and doesn't. This gives you a lot of peace, specially while you're at the tip of the spear surfing the markets
--> I personally use this in combination with 'Musashi_Slasher (Mometum+Volatility)', as it gives me volatility and momentum in a very precise way.
Wolfe Waves Signals [NXT2017] by the rules of Bill WolfeScript to find entries of Wolfe Wave Point 5 for Pinescript in Tradingview
Dear followers,
in my search for a good Wolfe Wave screener I havn't success. This is why I wrote my own script for find good Wolfe Waves entries for Pinescript in Tradingview.
The script calculate the relationsship between wave 4 (point 4 to point 5) and wave 3 (point 3 and point 4) in combination with the relationsship of wave 3 and wave 2 (point 2 to point 3). The first relationship should like the rules be 127.2 % and the second relationship 68.2% - but not every pattern join in this rule. This is why I give a little room to move around this values.
In one hand the higher the green peak, the longer and stronger the wave for buysetup and on the other hand the lower the red Peak, the longer and stronger the wave for sellsetup.
My skills didn't sufficient for show the lines of Wolfe Waves. If you have a modified version with lines with EPA and ETA Points, so please be so Kind to inform me.
Of course, not every signal is a good signal, so look to the rules of Bill Wolfe and on a perfect pattern be active.
At least I wish everyone a good tradingtime.
