BlueJayBird

BTC Date for new All Time High post 3rd Halving (May-June 2022)

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   比特币
This is a simple but powerful idea.

I've calculated some simple proportions for time distances and incremented percentage price, between the 1º and the 2º halvings. Then I related the results for similar proportions between the 2º and the 3º halving. ATH is All Time High(s).

1) DAYS:
First and Second halvings:
525 / 364 ≈ 1.44

Second and Third halvings:
x days for next ATH / 532 ≈ 1.44
x = 1.44 * 525 ≈ 756 days

2) PRICE:
First and Second halvings:
3,854 % / 10,758 % ≈ 0.35

Second and Third halvings:
x % increment / 3,854 % ≈ 0.35
x = 0.35 * 3,854 % ≈ 1,348 % which is an increment to the price of USD 130k

This numbers make sense since the supply has been reduced to half.

Next halvings is suppose to happen on February 29th, 2024. The supply will be reduced them from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC per block.

免责声明

这些信息和出版物并不意味着也不构成TradingView提供或认可的金融、投资、交易或其它类型的建议或背书。请在使用条款阅读更多信息。