BTC Prediction for Aug-22 and beyond

I'm assuming the long term trend is down
Jul-22 was a green month, relief bounce
Aug-22 probably going to continue the overall trend so will be red
inflation at 9%, expected double digits, recession for 12+months
difficult to be bullish

think there are 3 legs down
23->20
20->14
14->10

bottom here at $10k
timeframe : 12 months