Zoom out.
Since the 2021 highs, Ethereum has spent years grinding sideways, printing what now looks like a textbook symmetrical triangle. Labeled here as an ABCD compression pattern, this structure has been tightening since the macro top (B), slowly building energy within narrowing volatility.
🔺 Structure Breakdown:
• A to B: The explosive bull run from the March 2020 low to the all-time high.
• B to C: A deep correction that shook out weak hands and set the bottom.
• C to D: A multi-year coil of consolidation, forming higher lows and lower highs.
• D to ?: We’re now nearing the apex, where compression typically leads to expansion.
📍 The Trigger Zone
The key level to watch is $4,000–$4,200. A clean breakout above this zone would invalidate the downtrend line and break the triangle to the upside. From a pattern-measured move perspective, the height of the triangle (A to B) projected from the breakout point suggests potential upside into the $7,800–$8,000 region.
🧠 Why This Matters
• Volume has been tapering throughout the structure — classic behaviour in large triangles.
• Market sentiment remains uncertain, making a breakout all the more impactful.
• Ethereum fundamentals are arguably stronger than they were in 2021 — Layer 2s, institutional use cases, and new ETH ETF speculation all add fuel.
📊 Potential Target:
• Immediate resistance: $3,300
• Breakout trigger: $4,000–$4,200
• Projected move: ~$8,000
🕰️ When? Well.. who knows but it does sort of line-up with my previous idea using a SOL/USDT chart that says early next year.. and not this year.
This is the type of setup plays out pretty well on lower timeframes, why not a massive one? The real question is: Are we on the verge of expansion after compression?
Let the chart do the talking.
⚡️ Not Financial Advice
Since the 2021 highs, Ethereum has spent years grinding sideways, printing what now looks like a textbook symmetrical triangle. Labeled here as an ABCD compression pattern, this structure has been tightening since the macro top (B), slowly building energy within narrowing volatility.
🔺 Structure Breakdown:
• A to B: The explosive bull run from the March 2020 low to the all-time high.
• B to C: A deep correction that shook out weak hands and set the bottom.
• C to D: A multi-year coil of consolidation, forming higher lows and lower highs.
• D to ?: We’re now nearing the apex, where compression typically leads to expansion.
📍 The Trigger Zone
The key level to watch is $4,000–$4,200. A clean breakout above this zone would invalidate the downtrend line and break the triangle to the upside. From a pattern-measured move perspective, the height of the triangle (A to B) projected from the breakout point suggests potential upside into the $7,800–$8,000 region.
🧠 Why This Matters
• Volume has been tapering throughout the structure — classic behaviour in large triangles.
• Market sentiment remains uncertain, making a breakout all the more impactful.
• Ethereum fundamentals are arguably stronger than they were in 2021 — Layer 2s, institutional use cases, and new ETH ETF speculation all add fuel.
📊 Potential Target:
• Immediate resistance: $3,300
• Breakout trigger: $4,000–$4,200
• Projected move: ~$8,000
🕰️ When? Well.. who knows but it does sort of line-up with my previous idea using a SOL/USDT chart that says early next year.. and not this year.
This is the type of setup plays out pretty well on lower timeframes, why not a massive one? The real question is: Are we on the verge of expansion after compression?
Let the chart do the talking.
⚡️ Not Financial Advice
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这些信息和出版物并非旨在提供,也不构成TradingView提供或认可的任何形式的财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议或推荐。请阅读使用条款了解更多信息。
免责声明
这些信息和出版物并非旨在提供,也不构成TradingView提供或认可的任何形式的财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议或推荐。请阅读使用条款了解更多信息。
