MujkanovicFX

🌐 FX MORNING MEETING: Let's prepare for the trading day June 30

FX:EURUSD   欧元/美元
Hi traders, here is our FX Morning Meeting for June 30.

This market overview will help you find market opportunities where they actually exist ("Trades of the Day section"), based on a number of fundamental, intermarket, and sentiment signals.

Leave us a comment what you want to trade today!

🌐 MORNING MEETING - JUNE 30
🔴 GLOBAL MARKETS (main chart)

Morning traders, global markets remain in a cautious mode ahead of the US NFP release and holiday ("event risks").

This has supported safe havens so far and put selling pressure on risk assets.

Asian markets closed mixed/unchanged, while European markets entered a strong downtrend this morning.

🔴 US DOLLAR INDEX

Looking at the USDx, the currency traded higher today despite slightly lower US yields, likely fueled by risk-off flows. The 92.40 resistance remains a strong obstacle to the upside, but we could see additional strength in the currency during the day.

🔴 CURRENCY STRENGTH

Our currency strength index shows a typical risk-off pattern: JPY and USD are among the strongest (together with GBP), while CAD, AUD, and NZD are the weakest currencies so far.

🔴 ECONOMIC CALENDAR

The economic calendar is packed with reports today, although few of them will have market-moving potential.

China PMIs came in weaker than expected (negative for AUD).

EUR CPI Flash Estimate (an early reading of eurozone inflation) matched forecasts (1.9%).

Upcoming events to follow:

- US ADP NFP Change (expected 555k)
- US Chicago PMI (expected 70.2)
- US Pending Home Sales (an important leading indicator, expected -1.1%)

🔴 TRADES OF THE DAY (JUNE 30)

- We hold to our short AUD/USD and AUD/JPY trades (Take-Profit hit, remaining position at Breakeven)

- Today's trade setups are similar to yesterday's: Long safe-havens (USD, JPY) and short high-beta risk currencies (AUD, NZD, CAD).

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