Interest Rate Projection

In April, inflation was at its lowest point. It was also the month when the 'Liberation Day' tariffs were introduced, applying a 10% baseline tariff to most countries.

But it wasn’t until August—when the July Core CPI rose to 3.1% from its April low of 2.8%— and now investors began to question whether inflation will be trending higher in the near future with now higher tariffs set in after 1st August.

With a lower non farm payroll or job created the last three months, Fed has to pivot to the economy and likely to ease rates. The real challenge will be lower job numbers and higher inflation number in the coming months.

Which side will Fed pivot to?
Recession or Inflation?

10 Year Yield Futures
Ticker: 10Y
Minimum fluctuation:
0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00

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