Morning outlook - GBP/USD fails to break above 55- and 100-hour SMAs
In accordance with expectations, a combination of the 55- and 100-hour SMAs as well as the former monthly R2 did not let the pair to make any notable advances on Friday. In fact, they continued to push it to the bottom, simultaneously forcing to form a minor symmetrical triangle.
Due to release of a whole bunch of various fundamental data during this week, it is difficult to project how the pair is going to move. The only thing that can be said for sure is that the northern path is secured by numerous technical indicators, such as the 200-hour SMA and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.3503. In addition to that, the pair has recently made a rebound from the upper boundary of a long-term descending channel.
Hence, the gradual slip to the bottom remains a more plausible scenario.
In accordance with expectations, a combination of the 55- and 100-hour SMAs as well as the former monthly R2 did not let the pair to make any notable advances on Friday. In fact, they continued to push it to the bottom, simultaneously forcing to form a minor symmetrical triangle.
Due to release of a whole bunch of various fundamental data during this week, it is difficult to project how the pair is going to move. The only thing that can be said for sure is that the northern path is secured by numerous technical indicators, such as the 200-hour SMA and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.3503. In addition to that, the pair has recently made a rebound from the upper boundary of a long-term descending channel.
Hence, the gradual slip to the bottom remains a more plausible scenario.
A combination of release of worse than expected British and better than expected American manufacturing activity data created a downside momentum, which was strong enough to drive the pair through a combined support formed by the monthly PP at 1.3322 and the weekly S1 at 1.3305 and push right to the bottom edge of senior descending channel.
From daily perspective, the exchange rate has to continue to pave the way to the south.
But in the short run it might make a rebound, as the above boundary is additionally secured by the weekly S2 at 1.3210. Plus there is a need to take into account that the 1.3200 mark represents a psychological support level and might be surrounded by many buy limit orders.
However, the UK Construction PMI data release might also leave certain impact on the pair.