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XAUUSD Gold Forecast Week of Nov 6-1047

TVC:GOLD   黄金差价合约(美元/盎司)
With NFP release price has tested 1.281 and pulled back to 1.265 and ended at 1.269. We see a selling pressure on GOLD             and SILVER             , as the DXY             goes higher. Gold             price stuck between 1.1285 – 1.265.

Gold             and Silver             prices are trading solidly lower and are at their daily lows in late-morning dealings Friday.

"With US equities making all-time highs, the miners have continued to trade on lacklustre volume in the GDX             , while some are now being sold for tax-loss. However, with equities stealing gold’s thunder, it’s amazing that the gold             price has shown as much resilience as it has in the last few weeks.

Either way, the sector is due for a bounce within the next week or so as the miners are becoming over-sold on a short-term basis. When the inevitable bounce does take place, the big question miner investors will be asking themselves is “long-term bottom or bull-trap?”. Miners can begin the second leg of this new bull market. The gold             sector has a history of false-moves before a major up-leg takes place, taking most participants out of position before moving higher

As I tried to explain in my previous GOLD             forecasts, physical fundamentals are supporting the GOLD             prices.

DXY             rose 1.30% from October 5th when GOLD             tested 1.263 and closed the day at 1265. And Gold             price ended last week at 1.296 with DXY             94.94 3 months high

Even if we assume that DXY             will rise towards 97 level, this may carry GOLD             prices towards 1.247-1.250 levels. And this levels would be perfect buying opportunities for Mid- Long term trades.

Short term overview :

As seen on the Daily Chart , price tested 1.260 a few times and rejected. 1.264 is the EMA 200 support. If the price breaks below this support, 1254 and 1.247 will be the next targets of XAUUSD             .

On the smaller chart timeframes, the trend is bearish . Price is below EMA 50 and Kumo. Price needs to make H4 closings above 1.275 and 1.281 to continue upside movement towards 1.308.

Levels are clear for short term. 1.263 is the support, 1.281 is the resistance.

My short term trade strategy will be using pullbacks towards 1.263-1.265 as buying opportunity. My targets of those intraday trades will be 1.275 and 1.281. And I will wait for H4 closings above 1.283 to add LONG.

Good Luck
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