JSW Infrastructure Ltd. – Strong Q4 Boost as it Eyes Breakout

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📈Technical Analysis

IPO & Rally: Since its listing on October - 2023 at ₹140–150, the stock surged to ₹360 by July 2024.

Correction & Support: A pullback followed, finding solid demand at ₹220, which held firm.

Recent Rally: Strong Q3 and Q4 2024 results triggered a rebound starting February 2025.

Resistance Zone: The stock now faces resistance at the ₹320 area, aligned with recent lower highs.

Higher Volume: A surge in trading volume on 5th June confirmed investor interest.

Breakout Signal: If JSW Infra breaks above ₹320 and retests it as support with bullish candlestick confirmation, it may rally further.

🎯Targets: ₹340 → ₹360 → ₹380

🔻Supports: ₹280 → ₹220 (major demand zone)

Caution Alert: A failure to hold above these supports could trigger further downside.

💰Q4 FY24 Key Financial Highlights:
  • Total Income: ₹1,283 Cr (vs ₹1,182 Cr in Q3 FY24; ₹1,096 Cr in Q4 FY23)
  • Total Expenses: ₹642 Cr (vs ₹596 Cr in Q3 FY24; ₹515 Cr in Q4 FY23)
  • Total Operating Profits: ₹641 Cr (vs ₹586 Cr in Q3 FY24; ₹581 Cr in Q4 FY23)
  • Profit Before Tax: ₹581 Cr (vs ₹276 Cr in Q3 FY24; ₹417 Cr in Q4 FY23)
  • Profit After Tax: ₹516 Cr (vs ₹336 Cr in Q3 FY24; ₹329 Cr in Q4 FY23)
  • Diluted Normalized EPS: ₹2.43 (vs ₹1.57 in Q3 FY24; ₹1.57 in Q4 FY23)

    📌All major metrics show strong sequential growth, demonstrating robust quarterly momentum.

    🔍Fundamental InsightsRevenue Growth: Q4 FY25 saw a 17% YoY increase to ₹1,283 Cr

    Profit Surge: Net profit jumped 57% YoY to ₹516 Cr

    Operating Margin: EBITDA rose 7% YoY to ₹730 Cr, with margin at 39%

    Cargo Volume: Handled 31.2 million tonnes in Q4 FY25 — up 5% YoY; third-party cargo share reached 50% from 47%

    Dividend Declared: ₹0.80 per share for Q4 FY25, showcasing shareholder returns

    Strategic Projects: Interim operations began at Tuticorin & JNPA terminals, reinforcing growth in coal & logistics verticals

    Industry Edge: Heavy reliance on bulk cargo provides resilience against global container market volatility

    🧭Conclusion
    JSW Infrastructure is fundamentally and technically well-positioned after its strong Q4 showing:

    🔹 Key Watchpoint: Break above ₹320 and retest as support.

    🔹 Bullish Scenario: Sustained move may target ₹340 → ₹360 → ₹380.

    🔹 Bearish Signal: Failure to hold ensuing supports (₹280 / ₹220) could lead to correction.

    Disclaimer:lnkd.in/gJJDnvn2

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