NVTS Weekly Options Outlook — June 3, 2025

📉 NVTS Weekly Options Outlook — June 3, 2025

🚨 AI Consensus: Moderately Bearish into June 20 Expiry

🧠 Model Breakdown
🔹 Grok (xAI)

Bias: Moderately Bearish

Setup: 5-min price under 10 EMA, MACD weak; overbought daily band

Trade: Buy $6.00P @ $0.70 → PT $1.05, SL if NVTS > $6.10

Confidence: 65%

🔹 Claude (Anthropic)

Bias: Moderately Bearish

Setup: Consolidation phase, overbought daily RSI, falling volume

Trade: Buy $5.50P @ $0.45 → PT $0.70–$0.95, SL $0.25

Confidence: 65%

🔹 Llama (Meta)

Bias: Moderately Bearish

Setup: RSI ~41, bearish MACD; still long-term bullish

Trade: Buy $5.50P @ $0.45 → PT +50%, SL if NVTS > $6.20

Confidence: 65%

🔹 Gemini (Google)

Bias: Moderately Bearish

Setup: Rally fading, MACD histogram decaying

Trade: Buy $6.00P @ $0.70 → PT $1.05, SL $0.49

Confidence: 65%

🔹 DeepSeek

Bias: Moderately Bullish (Contrarian)

Setup: Daily trend strong; news catalysts could lift price

Trade: Buy $6.00C @ $0.70 → PT $1.00, SL $0.45

Confidence: 70%

✅ Consensus Summary
✅ Recent rally is cooling across all models (overbought RSI, fading MACD)

🧲 Max pain @ $5.50 = gravitational pull risk

📉 4 of 5 models recommend buying puts

📊 Two preferred strikes: $5.50P (Llama/Claude), $6.00P (Grok/Gemini)

📈 DeepSeek remains bullish due to news catalysts

🎯 Recommended Trade Setup
💡 Strategy: Bearish Naked Weekly Put

🔘 Ticker: NVTS

📉 Direction: PUT

🎯 Strike: $5.50

💵 Entry: $0.45

🎯 Profit Target: $0.68 (+50%)

🛑 Stop Loss: $0.25 (−45%)

📏 Size: 1 contract

📅 Expiry: 2025-06-20

⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open

📈 Confidence: 65%

⚠️ Key Risks to Monitor
🔼 News catalyst (Nvidia/Hydrogen) could reverse downside

⚠️ Low put liquidity may result in wide bid/ask spreads

📈 Break above $6.20 invalidates bearish setup

⌛ Theta decay quickens late next week — exit early if no move