After yesterday’s CME session, a significant options portfolio appeared in platinum (PL) with expiry in 75 days.
Structure: A classic Straddle, opened at the central strike
Cost: A hefty $2 million
Break-even points:
Lower: 1443
Upper: 1907
(Marked on the futures chart)
At first glance, this looks like a bet on massive volatility — profit only kicks in after price moves beyond either break-even level.
But here’s the catch:
If you’re thinking "How can anyone profit from such wide boundaries?" —
👉 You're thinking in the right direction.
The owner likely doesn’t need price to go beyond these levels.
Instead, they’re positioning for a smarter play.
Once price approaches either boundary closely, the straddle can be transformed using synthetic logic:
Near 1443 → convert into a risk-free Сall
Near 1907 → convert into a risk-free Put
These synthetics would be immediately at breakeven — no losing leg.
Just pure directional exposure, funded by the original premium.
Given the size, this is not retail.
This is someone who knows exactly what they’re doing — and will act rationally near these extremes.
📌 So what does it mean for us?
These break-even levels aren’t just technicals —
They become high-probability zones for trade entries:
Short setup near 1907
Long setup near 1443
I’d recommend watching both closely.
I certainly will planning my trades around them.
Structure: A classic Straddle, opened at the central strike
Cost: A hefty $2 million
Break-even points:
Lower: 1443
Upper: 1907
(Marked on the futures chart)
At first glance, this looks like a bet on massive volatility — profit only kicks in after price moves beyond either break-even level.
But here’s the catch:
If you’re thinking "How can anyone profit from such wide boundaries?" —
👉 You're thinking in the right direction.
The owner likely doesn’t need price to go beyond these levels.
Instead, they’re positioning for a smarter play.
Once price approaches either boundary closely, the straddle can be transformed using synthetic logic:
Near 1443 → convert into a risk-free Сall
Near 1907 → convert into a risk-free Put
These synthetics would be immediately at breakeven — no losing leg.
Just pure directional exposure, funded by the original premium.
Given the size, this is not retail.
This is someone who knows exactly what they’re doing — and will act rationally near these extremes.
📌 So what does it mean for us?
These break-even levels aren’t just technicals —
They become high-probability zones for trade entries:
Short setup near 1907
Long setup near 1443
I’d recommend watching both closely.
I certainly will planning my trades around them.
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