SOL tried to break out yesterday reaching $198 at the .618 trend-based fib level but failed to break higher and has since fallen to $183.
I think we'll need a new Wave 1 impulse to the .786 @ $202 which displays a fair value gap from Oct 15th, followed by a Wave 2 correction and of course Wave 3 impulse in order to say a recovery from the 9/17 rate cut dump is occurring.
According to Polymarket we're expecting a 96% chance for another 25 Bps cut on 10/29. If we get it I expect a surge upward similar to the downward action after the previous FOMC announcement. I think it'll be bullish this time unlike the last announcement which saw SOL overbought moving into it. I'm actually hoping the price stays stagnant until the rate cut to provide more momentum that day of the announcement.
I think we'll need a new Wave 1 impulse to the .786 @ $202 which displays a fair value gap from Oct 15th, followed by a Wave 2 correction and of course Wave 3 impulse in order to say a recovery from the 9/17 rate cut dump is occurring.
According to Polymarket we're expecting a 96% chance for another 25 Bps cut on 10/29. If we get it I expect a surge upward similar to the downward action after the previous FOMC announcement. I think it'll be bullish this time unlike the last announcement which saw SOL overbought moving into it. I'm actually hoping the price stays stagnant until the rate cut to provide more momentum that day of the announcement.
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