This in my eyes is beyond technical...
Too many risks hide for the markets - 10 reasons why:
1. Way too much debt of the U.S(estimated roughly 21T)/European countries(Italy - 2.2T/France - 2.2T/Germany - 2.1T/U.K - 1.97T) etc..
2. Low volume in recent uptrend
3. Too much dependent on FAANG 27.5% Total weight of Nasdaq - P/E Way too high(Facebook - 28.32/Google - 63.33/Netflix - 218.91/Amazon - 267.44/Apple(reasonable) - 17.81)
4. Rising Interest rates(both U.S/EU - will start shortly)
5. Tariffs risks from U.S/China/EU/Canada/Mexico etc..
6. Inflation risks(stated in both Germany/U.K) - Don't expect them to stay only there(3.8% unemployment in the U.S? really?)
7. Volatile president in the most important country(economically at least) in the world.
8. Machines rule the market - and the next effect will be more dramatic.
9. Over optimistic market - less risk assesment
10. Unexpected President in the most important economy in the world.
And there are more...but we will not discuss all of them.
Long term perspective and patience will lead in my eyes to declines in this Index and by the breach of the range stated in the added chart the machines will come into place and effect the markets worse than February - stay tuned.
Too many risks hide for the markets - 10 reasons why:
1. Way too much debt of the U.S(estimated roughly 21T)/European countries(Italy - 2.2T/France - 2.2T/Germany - 2.1T/U.K - 1.97T) etc..
2. Low volume in recent uptrend
3. Too much dependent on FAANG 27.5% Total weight of Nasdaq - P/E Way too high(Facebook - 28.32/Google - 63.33/Netflix - 218.91/Amazon - 267.44/Apple(reasonable) - 17.81)
4. Rising Interest rates(both U.S/EU - will start shortly)
5. Tariffs risks from U.S/China/EU/Canada/Mexico etc..
6. Inflation risks(stated in both Germany/U.K) - Don't expect them to stay only there(3.8% unemployment in the U.S? really?)
7. Volatile president in the most important country(economically at least) in the world.
8. Machines rule the market - and the next effect will be more dramatic.
9. Over optimistic market - less risk assesment
10. Unexpected President in the most important economy in the world.
And there are more...but we will not discuss all of them.
Long term perspective and patience will lead in my eyes to declines in this Index and by the breach of the range stated in the added chart the machines will come into place and effect the markets worse than February - stay tuned.
交易开始:
So far trade moving as should - sections 7/10 remain active...