faylee

USY10, to watch the long term debt cycle

faylee 已更新   
TVC:US10Y   美国10年期国债收益
"The history can't repeat the details, but the process will be repeated..."
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Short term
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My analysis on Fundamental looks match.
Based on current situations and the data, "my simple view is properly tighten debt, trimming down interest rates a little bit, to stimulate economic growth,after all, there's still some rooms for the inflation.... " But they don't keep reducing the debt, that i won't be surprised, because as I also said "Sometimes people isn’t willing to be a trouble maker, or they can’t be keeping a clear minds to do the right things always, even though a plan looks perfectly but can’t lead to a good result. That is because of there’re still something, not so important, but crucial that would change the situations. It’s why the infinite cycle works."... and finally the history will let us see it clearly.
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Whatever we do now will be wrong, because we did wrong at the beginning and didn't correct it, and now still following it
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Wave 4 rebound?
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this year will be the end of the previous 40yrc' cyclem, and next year will be the start of new cycle. ppl will face the realities and have to take over the results from the last long term debt cycle.
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*cycle
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change together with the universe!

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