I've been hearing from many of my colleagues, most of whom are experienced traders, that rates are not going to rise anytime soon. 2023, 2024, 2025, all common projections for when rates will rise. Yet, we've observed the 10Y yield rising a whopping 120% since the beginning of August, to 1.13% today. Morgan Stanley said in a recent report, which I've mentioned in some of my other analysis, that the Nasdaq could be in for a 22% correction if the 10Y hits 2%. If the prospect of rising rates doesn't have traders and investors hedging their risk, nothing will. Trade accordingly.
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