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Bear MArket Warm UP

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TVC:US10Y   美国10年期国债收益
U.S. stock markets opened sharply lower on Thursday after a new 40-year record high for U.S. inflation stoked fears that the Federal Reserve will have to raise interest rates repeatedly this year.

Earlier, official statistics showed the consumer price index rose 0.6% on the month and 7.5% on the year, its highest since 1982. The rise in prices was broad-based, with the majority of sub-categories for various goods and services showing an inflation rate of over 5%. The labor market, too, showed further signs of having ridden out disruptions from the wave of Omicron-variant Covid-19 quickly, with initial jobless claims falling by more than expected last week to 223,000.

The figures were a disappointment to the bond market too, pushing yields (which move inversely to prices) at the long end of the curve up by around 5-6 basis points. The benchmark 10-Year Treasury note yield, which had fallen on Wednesday after a well-received auction, rose to 2.00% for the first time since August 2019.

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评论:
Pay attention to the macro and also for the UKRAIN -RUSSIAN war. What we expect from the beginning is that Putin will wait until the winter and during this time he can play out the winter card which will lead to the EUROPE crisis which will cause trouble also for the US economy not to mention the other consequences elswhere.

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