samitrading

SPX's study since 80s, SP X& 10Y relation Code is "Decoded"

samitrading 已更新   
TVC:US10Y   美国10年期国债收益
Since the 80s every time we get a spike in US10Y Bonds SPX got a correction with a
minimum of 20% and maximum of 57 % the question is where & when. Therefore,
looking back to all the data available on Tradingview since 80s to 2021 we have
measure the spike's percentage of 20% and more and the distance from the Golden Crosses & Death
Crosses and showed the crash percentage as results of that. Surprisingly the weekly
Golden Cross are 50-50 chance not the normal with indicators so the results are shown
not plotted for the weekly. As for the daily all the work is plotted on the chart for
your reference. Feel free to print, share, redistribute and publish this study for the
benefit of any one out there. How to read the table below, just follow the steps:

1. Fist percentage is the gain of US10Y from the last reasonable low.
2. Second percentage is the % of the actual crashes.
3. The distance between the Gold Cross & the peak of the crash it self.
4. G.C = Golden Cross. D.C Death Cross


244 % up So far- ???? so far
144% up -20%- 305D G.C
59 % up -20%-70D G.C
70% up -57%- 20D D.C
64 % up -50%- 363D G.C
(-24% Down) -22% -357D D.C xxx.
18% up -20%-78D G.C
28% up -36%- 130D G.C
43% up- -27%- 53D G.C
3 G. Crosses Vs 4 D. Crosses "Irrelevant weekly"
6 G. Crosses Vs 2 D. Crosses " 75% G. Cross "
评论:
We've passed distance days between the Golden Cross and any possible pullback/correction of, 70 day +20 days+78 days + 53 days. Therefore,
we are left with these days. 305,363 and 130. April 1st, 2021 is a 130 days
from the Golden cross nothing of a significant just another piece of the
puzzle .

I do more in depth studies of stocks on my twitter account. Hope you would enjoy it there as you are enjoying it here.

****** Past performance is no guarantee of future results***


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