“While inverting the curve sends a warning ~2y in advance of bad times, disinversion has been a more urgent signal, suggesting trouble is only a few months away,” JPMorgan analysts Thomas Salopek and Maggie Zhong said in a recent report.
However, “many are inclined to ignore this signal on the assumption that it’s different this time, as we will be cutting rates due to disinflation.”
However, “many are inclined to ignore this signal on the assumption that it’s different this time, as we will be cutting rates due to disinflation.”
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