Despite failing to cross a convergence of the 200-SMA and a 50% Fibonacci retracement of June-August upside, the USDCAD pair remains above four-month-old horizontal support. Given the firmer RSI conditions, not overbought, the bullish momentum is likely to prevail for a while, which in turn can allow the pair buyers to cross the 1.2480 resistance confluence and challenge September’s low near 1.2495. Should the quote manage to cross the 1.2495 hurdle, also the 1.2500 threshold, the run-up to the 1.2600 round –figure can’t be ruled out.
Alternatively, pullback moves may aim for the stated multi-day-old horizontal support near 1.2420, a break of which will direct the sellers towards a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.2365. In a case where the USDCAD bears keep reins past 1.2365, October’s bottom surrounding 1.2285 will question further downside. To sump, the pair’s rebound has the momentum support and hence is capable of breaking the immediate barrier to the north.
Alternatively, pullback moves may aim for the stated multi-day-old horizontal support near 1.2420, a break of which will direct the sellers towards a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.2365. In a case where the USDCAD bears keep reins past 1.2365, October’s bottom surrounding 1.2285 will question further downside. To sump, the pair’s rebound has the momentum support and hence is capable of breaking the immediate barrier to the north.