Ridethemacro

USDCHF Macro outlook 2020.09.19

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FX:USDCHF   美元/瑞郎
USDCHF has been trading in a range between 0.9200 and 0.9000 since late July. when it retests the top of its range at 0.9200. Elsewhere, they are confident the pair will eventually break through 0.9000.

The most important even of the day is the Fed’s report today. It definitely will add fresh volatility to the market. in particular, await the Fed to deliver the dovish statement with economic guidelines up to 2023. The central bank may leave rates at low levels during this period. Even though the recent US data comes better than expected, Fed’s chairman Jerome Powell should stay uncertain and pessimistic over the recovery. As a result, the US dollar may plummet amid the Fed’s pressure as well as USD/CHF.

Let’s look at the 4-hour USD/CHF chart. If the pair test the Resistance of 0.91xx, it may fall deeper to the low of September 1 at 0.9010. In the opposite scenario, if the price manages to cross the high of September 10 at 0.917x-0.918xx , the way towards the next resistance of 0.92xx will be clear.

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